Cayce & The Economy
Conditions and Trends
The October 1929 crash of the stock market was merely the herald of far worse to come. All aspects of the economy began to progressively fall apart. Try as he might, President Hoover, could not put back together again the Humpty-Dumpty of the Dynastic Age, nor could any of the moneyed elites in any of the nations. Business as usual, which had been based on supplying the expansion of the imperial powers to exploit new resources during the preceding centuries, was over. Five hundred years of imperial expansion had ended, leaving the world economy without the means to grow further. A new driving force to fill the sails of the world economy was needed, but few of the established elites had enough gray matter to think in new terms about how to make a world economy work.
As conditions became progressively worse, the questions posed to Cayce shifted dramatically. The stock market questions virtually disappeared, replaced with increasingly nervous questions about economic and political conditions. Implicitly, Cayce had already predicted in a late 1920s Blumenthal reading that economic conditions would not be fruitful again for stock brokers until 1934, which implied that recovery from the depression would begin about then. But since this prediction was likely not available nor comprehendible to Cayces other clients, they began to ask very specific questions about all aspects of the economy.
Cayce was very good in answering their questions. His vision over the age was uncanny, it is as if he was reading from a book which had already been written. But what a painful irony! Though he tried in his personal life, he could never personally connect to the rising prosperity of the forces of growth which his reading forecast so clearly. He accurately called all aspects of the Great Depression era, its beginning, its progress, the timing of changes, developments which would create the turn-around, its end, and the eventually return of a booming civilian economy after World War II (after his death). Consistently, several years in advance he laid out the entire course of the American economy, even giving dates, years, comparative numbers, and specific industry forecasts.
Second only to the stock market "break" of 1929, one of Cayce's most clairvoyant "five-star" predictions was on the span of the great depression. He grimly and explicitly predicted in December 1930 that it would get worse in 1931 and then get worse again, finally readjusting for recovery in 1934 and 1935. At the time, most people still thought of the downtown as merely a recession, which would be over sometime in 1931. In 1930, nobody was capable of making such a guess.
In 1935 and 1936, after many predictions about the economic recovery, Cayce predicted that the troublesome "breaking up" events in Europe (conflict between Germany, Spain, France, England, Italy and others which destroyed the League of Nations), would drive a boom to recovery in many directions in America. He foresaw that greater and greater amounts of foreign capital which came into the U.S. for parking in a safe haven and as a growing demand for war materials. In April 1936 Cayce predicted that America would become what Roosevelt later termed "the arsenal of democracy": America must remain - as it were - the balance of power in not only the money forces of the world but... for the manning of...destructive forces...powering other nations with implements of destruction of every nature, these will show for a greater and greater volume being carried on in the United States.
In April 1938 during a recessionary period in the midst of a lot of doom and gloom about international events, Cayce gave another one of his amazing long range five-star predictions: for some years yet...more and more investments will be made of foreign capital in America...gradually making for a period - which must come, of course, before '41 or 2 - when there will be the GREATER BOOM in the United States that it has known! The U.S. economy boomed an astounding 16.25% in 1941 and 15.43% in 1942 to deliver the greatest boom which has ever been known in the American economy, before and since. In June 1944 Cayce predicted, in his last economic prediction, that great economic changes would come after the war ended, but it would come after two or three years of economic disturbances. The civilian economy began to bloom in 1948.
His readings, though often grim with moral reminders about the potential outcomes of selfish and parochial thinking, were consistently upbeat about the abilities of people to transcend the Great Depression and rebuild a better foundation for the world. He exhorted people to apply the principles of the God Game to set in motion the new driving "leveling" force for the world economy, warning over and over again that the only obstacle to peace and prosperity was imperialism, racism, and the greed of special elites. He preached that the true basis of recovery could only be in measures which created rising prosperity for the common man regardless of race, creed, religion, class, or nation, and that any distinction based on them was a fetter which would diminish prosperity in some way.
Well before their time, before the demands of global war which gave impetus to them, Cayce pinpointed the industries which would expand and eventually become dominant in the post war world. He had a remarkable eye for the growth sectors of the age: aviation, telecommunication, radio, electronics, TV, plastics and composite materials.
In 1925 Cayce described the concept of infra-red vision for night vision, correctly claiming that it would be superior to any attempt to use artificial light to see in darkened conditions. As early as 1930, Cayce predicted the long term growth of the aviation industry and the long term expansion of mass communications through radio broadcasting. In early 1932, Cayce predicted the integration of telegraphy and radio communication by 1939 and the switch to using radio (microwave towers) to transmit wireless telegraphs, all of which occurred in various experiments by that date. In 1944, well before a TV broadcasting industry was created, he predicted that TV would become an important consumer product.
In 1933, Cayce described the airplane manufacturing and transportation industries as the most "outstanding" change which would come, which, in physical terms in North America, is exactly right. In March 1944, Cayce predicted that consumer products, especially radio, refrigerators, automobiles, lights, and the like would drive the post war economy. Intriguingly, in September 1939, Cayce predicted that spiritual phenomenon (astral/etheric plane consciousness) COULD also be turned into as reliable a science and as practical a technology as any other, but he made that conditional on the application of as much resource to develop it as had been given the other sciences of the industrial age.
Cayce was equally good on the trends of gold, inflation, interest, money and tariffs. He was never wrong. There isnt an econometric statistician on the planet who can match the record Cayce achieved psychically during the 1930s.
He foresaw one to three years in advance the radical reforms under the New Deal which would change the nature of money, banking, and securities practices. Throughout the 1930s and early 1940s he successfully predicted, several months to several years in advance, the ups and downs of interest rates, bond prices and yields, the periods of stability and flux in the inflation rate, and the behavior of gold and money in and out of the U.S.. Though much less precisely, he also predicted the stabilization of exchange rates for foreign currencies.
Cayce claimed that changing the tariff law was essential for the recovery of international trade and he predicted that it would undergo change and become a tool of recovery, as indeed it did and became one of the enduring cornerstones of U.S. foreign policy as the reciprocal trade act (most-favored-nation). With it, the Democrats destroyed the ability of special interests to dictate tariffs and employed it to negotiate mutual reductions with other nations to expand U.S. exports.
Cayce told us in 1936 that the gold standard would eventually wane over a course of 50 to 60 years but he over-shot the final abandonment of the gold standard in 1971 by the U.S. (and thus the world) by 15 years. Even so, it was decently good prediction, equal to the one he made about international currency stabilization. He correctly could see that no international currency would emerge, for a long, long time, and gave no prediction about the successful creation of one.
In one of Cayces most phenomenal long range predictions, truly a five-star prediction fully incapable of coming from linear, materialistic consciousness, he predicted in 1932 that Norfolk area, then a third-rate back-water port, would become the chief port on the East Coast of the U.S. within 30 years. It only took 28 years. He was equally good with his real estate predictions about Virginia Beach.
In another five-star prediction, Cayce correctly described a long economic cycle of 24/25 years which accounts for all depressionary periods in the U.S. economy, though not for every recession. Starting with Cayces base year of 1907, every 24th or 25th year from each succeeding point precisely described the beginning of an economic downturn, though not all of them. The next Cayce cycle downturn is forecast for the year 2006 or 2007.
Most of the economic predictions were long range predictions, some for a few months, many for a year to a few years, and some were for periods which ranged between several years to several decades. Out of 63 general economic predictions which were specific enough to validate, Cayce made 4 errors. One was about the gross revenues of Western Union in 1933, which fell far short of his optimistic projection. Another was about a sector in the economy which did not do as well as Cayce predicted during one year. The third was his failure to predict the recessionary downturn of 1938. A fourth was his failure to correctly describe the supply of wheat. Four failures out of 63 leaves Cayce with an accuracy rate of 93.55%. for long term economic predictions.
The remaining pages of this chapter places each of Cayces general economic predictions within their historical mosaic and summarizes how each of them was fulfilled, or not, as the case may be.
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