|
Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright May Day 18 2005
BULLETIN ARCHIVE
| CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE | QUEST GROUP |
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 18 2005 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the "big picture" about how the dynamic changes in the
Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the
latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. NEW LINK FOR THE NEW Earth
Changes Bulletin Almanac & Updates Archive. USE THIS NEW HOME PAGE TO ACCESS
THE ARCHIVES OF WEEKLY UPDATES, SPECIAL REPORTS, AND THE NEW ALMANAC. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or
use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2005/ecb_May_18_05.htm Tectonic danger probably has begun to increase again at the
current time while forces begin to gather strength in June through August.
The Full Moon is drawing closer to Perigee and will be closest in August to
create the maximum period of danger. Continue
to maintain vigilance especially for FOR THIS YEAR OF THE GATHERING
EMERGENCE: On the geophysical front, at the current time
activity at the solar level of our vast Vortex is rapidly ebbing after
Sunday's Big Blast. The Sunspot Count
climbed to 117 on May 10 with the Flux at 120 after a huge magnetic storm on
May 15 blew the Magnetic "Planetary A Index" up to 105 (from a base
average range of 5-10). Second week in
a row for such a large solar blast, most unusual but we do enough to know
that nothing is usual anymore. TODAY, THE SUNSPOT COUNT WAS FALLING RAPIDLY THROUGH 45
WHILE THE FLUX WAS ALSO FALLING RAPIDLY THROUGH 90. Minor solar disturbances are likely
for the next few days but activity should quiet down to low levels for most
of the coming week. On the
mental/emotional and weather fronts, expect the same as last week, only more
so. Many latent irrationalities and
emotional reactions are surging into manifestation, chaos in all things will
increase during May through June, peaking about June 1, before beginning to
settle down again after what may be a wet and stormy Summer Solstice. Once
again, weather patterns should receive another round of energization during
the next week and may not normalize again until June. Despite the New Moon
Syzygy during the last week, seismic activity was only slightly up in
frequency, though it increased a little in magnitude. At least 30 shape-shifters struck in the
Great Rifts of the ocean bottoms, perhaps
signaling a new round of tectonic activity in the month ahead, and perhaps
signaling as well, with some 22 quakes in the same location in the Mid
Atlantic Rift to the South of Iceland, that underwater
volcanism may be building South of Iceland, where, MOST UNCOINCIDENTALLY,
oceanographers are freaking out about rapid, radical changes in ocean
currents which may portend a shift in climate for Ireland and Britain.
Readers of the EC Bulletins should be able to understand what is really
happening. As well and not least, world volcanism increased once again by
about 25% during the past seven days. Some 32 volcanoes are now on the active
list, most of them spewing ash this past week and at least four oozing lava. St. Helens and the On the geopolitical
front, sorry to be so blunt, but… THE BEARS NOW RULE AT MOST MACRO ECONOMIC
LEVELS. THEY ARE QUITE BUSY
POSITIONING THEMSELVES TO PICK UP WHAT THEY CAN FROM THE GREAT BULL
SLAUGHTER. VERY LITTLE CONFIDENCE IS LEFT OUTSIDE THE IMPERIAL BUBBLE. THE IMPERIAL BUBBLE IS AT MAX AND WILL
FINALLY BREAK THIS YEAR AND CONTINUE SLIDING THROUGH 2006. THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY IS CLEARLY STALLING
OUT AND THIS WILL APPEAR IN THE |
, |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks
and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to
prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth
Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ The Bulletin is written in Arizona (UTC +8
hours) so any relative references, such as "Today", or
"Tomorrow", or "Yesterday" should generally to taken to
refer to the day spans as experienced in Western North America. |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
PREVIOUS UPDATES Nov 24
not available as of this date |
COMING LATE SUMMER IN WEEKLY
INSTALLMENTS: UPDATE PREDICTIONS FOR 2005 – 2012 and
through "The Tribulations"
go to the Earth
Changes Almanac A systematic synopsis
is being assembled which succinctly outlines predictions for the period 2005
– 2012 and through the period of what the Q’ero call the Pachacuti and the
Hopi call the "Great Purification" (also known as the "Time of
Troubles" or "The Tribulations". This outline will update the predictions in
"The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" and the "Return of the
Phoenix", mainly by confirming the general plot line and by adding more
details which carry the predictions well beyond 2006-2008. I have just consumed
four books and many iway articles and websites the past few weeks to prepare
for this. For a variety of reasons,
the final keys for putting together the final plot line of the Fourth Age and
the most probable key signals are now being brought forward into my
consciousness in a way which will allow me to describe them clearly and
specifically to the world. Due to many
issues, the greater bulk of this material shall not be openly available
directly on the internet. Access to
most of the predictions will be made available through paid annual
subscriptions. Because of the
strategic seriousness of some of the predictions, some I will only make
available through mouth and ear in private seminars. I will begin to advise of this material
through the EC Bulletins and through Alex Merklinger’s radio program PRELIMINARY FINDING: (based on the
integration of several credible psychic sources) We have perhaps as little as 1.5 years
but possibly up to 5 years before the first wave of "The Upheavals"
– the long predicted rupturing of the crust along the West Coast of North
America. This will terminate the
American Empire and consummate the final stages of a continental civic
struggle, a virtual civil war (but one without armies), which will have begun
as a consequence of the economic collapse during 2006-07. Several waves of catastrophic ruptures in
various locations of the crust will follow over some 20-25 years. These ruptures will create opportunities
for wars in Eurasia which are not restrained by the Western powers and
serious efforts will be made by regional coalitions to "conquer"
the greater part of SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will "bottom" in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since May 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF May 18, 2005: THE BEARS NOW RULE, THE IMPERIAL BUBBLE
IS AT MAX AND WILL FINALLY BREAK THIS YEAR. All economic and political conditions continue to
deteriorate at an accelerating rate. MANY NEW BEAR SIGNALS ARE CIRCULATING
INTERNATIONALLY. THE INTERNATIONAL
ECONOMIC ORDER IS INCREASINGLY NERVOUS AND FRAGILE. THE INTERNATIONAL ECONOMY IS CLEARLY
STALLING OUT AND THIS WILL APPEAR IN THE LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 17,
2004: As per stated below, the bubble is re-inflating for
a few more weeks or even months if Al Qaeda does not attack. Oil prices are dropping as stocks and
equities firm up and the economy continues expansion with the expectation
that American Imperialism will continue (unfortunately)
to drive international events during 2005. BEWARE SUDDEN REVERSALS WHEN
ALQAEDA STRIKES. BEWARE THE EMERGING SUPER-COALITION IN |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
ALL
DATES AND TIMES USED IN THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN ARE NOW UTC = Universal
Time Constant, previously known as Greenwich Mean Time. |
HOUSEKEEPING WE ARE
STILL IN AN AWKWARD STAGE WITH THE BULLETINS.
MUCH PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE IN COMPLETELY REDEFINING THE BULLETIN,
MONITOR, ALMANAC, AND WEBSITE, BUT SO FAR IT IS ALL INVISIBLE. THE NEW SCHEMA WILL BE INTRODUCED DURING
MARCH – MAY. We are halfway into
a process which will combine an almanac structure with the weekly
updates. I intend a three tier
Bulletin/Almanac Archive: a weekly
newsletter which is shorter than present, an archive of the Weekly Updates in
web pages, and a deeper core structure which is like an Almanac, encompassing
years, major references, explanations of all the details, and outlines for
many years in advance of various predictions and concerns. To this core we will link the Updates and
around the entire business we will add a variety of news feeds and tightly
focused discussion forums. From these
news feeds, some items in summary form will appear in the Updates. It will take a couple of months yet to
shape this up to where I will truly want it to be. Today you can
finally access an update of the past year's bulletins and the beginning of an
annual forecast for 2005. Click here
for the new access point to the current new home page for the Earth Changes Bulletin Almanac & Archive |
MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex
Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 7 PM |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
As stated in the "Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006", the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire
Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to
making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. FOR WINTER
AND SPRING 2005: All forces, BOTH DARK AND LIGHT, seem to be gathering and
abiding at the moment…. Many things and events are being set in motion but very
little is currently visible on the surface as people busy themselves
re-arranging the deck chairs of the Titanic. The loony Imperial Faction clearly is on a course for a
massive confrontation with the Iceberg of history. They have consummated almost a complete
takeover of the National government, all that remains are two Supreme Court
Justice appointments. None of us will escape the titanic struggle for the soul
of There is underway very rapid progress on all internal
spiritual and psychic development issues.
THOSE WHO MEDITATE ARE TUNING INTO INCREASING ENERGY LEVELS AND MAJOR
TRANSFORMATIONS OF HOW THEIR CHAKRAS BALANCE AND WORK. Much of this transformation is not very
describable as it involves shifts in how our personal "holographic"
field is experienced. DIET IS EXCEPTIONALLY IMPORTANT AS EVER BUT EVEN MORE SO
FOR THOSE WHOSE UPPER CHAKRAS ARE OPENING and energize. As they energize, the body begins to reject
more militantly the load of industrial chemistry which now adulterates the
greater bulk of American grocery store food items. What to do about it is very complex and differs for nearly
all people. But here is a shot gun
approach which is probably very helpful for a great many If you are having an increased load of
health issues, drop prepackaged food out of your diet AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE,
fix from scratch with items as pure as possible, eat mega doses of sodium
acerbate (Vitamin C) or from natural sources such as rose hips, and MAKE SURE
YOU TAKE IN NO COOKING OILS EXCEPT FROM OLIVE OIL. OLIVE OIL IS A GIFT FROM THE GODS AND HAS
ALSO BEEN DEMONSTRATED TO DECREASE CANCER AND/OR SLOW DOWN ITS REPLICATION IN
THE BODY. Interior channels have energized and nearly everyone I
talk to relays similar experiences of new channels or access to new awareness
of imagery or feelings or knowledge opening up. A step-function in personal maturity has
been experienced, along with increased personal vibrancy. As it were, a real "personal
inauguration" seems at hand. It
is a good time to focus on the emerging Medicine Wheel of the Earth and our
energetic interconnection within Indri's Net.
It is an excellent time to enhance the power of inner visualization
and connection. Thanks to Adam for
bringing this back into our consciousness.
Try this visualization:. Indri's Net: (as
described in the ancient Sanskrit texts) There is an endless net of threads throughout the
universe. The horizontal threads are in space. The vertical threads are in time. At every crossing of threads there is an individual. And every individual is a crystal bead. The great light of absolute being illuminates and
penetrates every crystal being. And every crystal being reflects not only the light from
every other crystal in the net, But also every reflection of every reflection throughout
the universe. MWM: Try that on for visualizing the All In All we call
God. Talk about opening up channels…. Mayan Elders have delivered an urgent message: the major Earth Changes of the
"Pachacuti" or "Purification" period have begun with the
rupture of the Indo-Trench. They
expect increasing seismic activity and major quakes of a similar nature to
occur through the next several months. FOR 2005:
Some major keywords for 2005 are: "Gathering", most especially in the sense of
gathering of forces; "Being", as in the sense of fully participating
in the realization and practice of what we dare to hope we are becoming; "Accepting"; negatively as in eating the
"Karmic Blowback" (the American People are going to take an immense
amount of Karmic Blowback for the Tragedy in "Emerging", realization and experiencing of the
becomings long sought, most especially as in bringing forth the new
understandings, orientations, needs, and directions of purpose for a
profoundly different world than is celebrated in the Mass Media. In the positive dimension, around these keywords, many new
phenomenon will emerge, especially in the forms of groups and individuals
manifesting new activities. NEXT
SEVEN YEARS: In the negative dimension, the coming "Karmic
Blowback" is going to be terrible and shake the very roots of everything
in STAY FOCUSED ON HELPING THE EMERGENCE OF PEACE, JUSTICE,
AND FREEDOM. DENY ALL MOVEMENT TOWARDS
FASCISM. THE FASCISTS AND BIGOTS AMONG
THE NATIONS ARE GOING TO DELIVER INCREASING QUANTITIES OF KARMIC BLOWBACK TO
EACH OTHER. It will be terrible in the
coming years, and in 2005 the I SUGGEST YOU "DUCK" AND KEEP PUTTING YOURSELF
IN A DIFFERENT PLACE ALLTOGETHER – MENTALLY AND EMOTIONALLY AND POLITICALLY
AND ECONOMICALLY, AND IF YOU ARE URBAN DEPENDENT, I HIGHLY RECOMMEND THAT YOU
BEGIN TO FORM YOUR STRATEGY FOR PHYSICALLY DUCKING THE EMPIRE’S KARMIC BLOWBACK
FOR THE PERIOD 2006-2012, ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN THE EAST COAST BUBBLE. No-Eyes, the blind old first world prophet of the Rockies
had it right 20 years ago, conditions are going to get increasing bad because
of the karmic blowback and there is no end in sight until "the Phoenix
screeches". BREATH
FREE. Let go of everything which is
disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced,
contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the
rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.
The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new
relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and
straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown,
embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater
understanding and relationship with the all. SPIRITS EMERGING:
CONFIRMING WHAT I PREDICTED LAST YEAR:
"In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great
energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was
upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will
have greater meaning by the end of the year." Here is one. ADAM,
an 18 year old healer in Don’t react, go to center, get clear,
release, and grieve…the Fourth Age is dying rapidly now… much more rapidly
than we thought, its institutions and identities are beyond saving… let it
go, let go, get to center…flow into God, let God flow into you…don’t
speculate, don’t analyze, don’t react to the shtuff…clear…clean out the past
four years…we are now free to grieve the death of everything we detested…let
it go…let it go…let it die. As you
re-center in God, find the realization that this is the final moment you have
been waiting for to end your connections and involvements with the illusions
and delusions of all that which has betrayed the divine within each and
brought greed, war, and destruction over the Earth. The destroyers belong to each other,
this is now the final time of their fatal embrace. Let them love their wars…they have greatly
desired the bitter wines of their hatreds and violence, they have lusted
greatly for their Armageddon, and they shall have it. The die has been cast with a thousand
artifices and illusions. With the
excellence of its manner of casting,
God has delivered to you your own freedom from the delusions and spells
of the Mass Sorcerers, indeed, from the entire age, if you will but realize
it. Clear yourself and your life to
find now the sense of movement and direction to separate your life from the
dying culture which is putrefying all around you. There is no saving it…as
Buckminster Fuller observed many decades ago, the old order is never saved,
the new order merely grows up around it to eventually takes its place. So it will come to pass now in an intense
period of vast change during the next twenty years. |
The "Great Purification" predicted
by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that
these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to
advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES
WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP. |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. BREAKING
NEWS: The Spiral Track of the Spin Axis is still modestly
erratic. It is currently resisting
spiraling down to its minimum diameter spiral track around the world. AS
PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The
deviation in the time dimension of the Earth's spiral wobble track
continues. Polar motion X Plot now showing
perhaps as much as 20% deviation in the time dimension. A similar deviation is obvious also in the
Y Plot. This may show up as a
substantial increase in the rate of the drift of the North Spin Axis. Possibly, the average location may be seen
to "drift" more rapidly during this "closing phase" of
the 6.5 year spiral cycle, more rapidly than the preceding 6.5 year cycle. This is most likely the engine in the acceleration of both the earth changes, global warming, and the related
weather/climate disruptions FOR A DETAILED DISCUSSION OF THE RECENT
"PHASE-SHIFTING" IN CHANDLER'S WOBBLE, GO TO THE NEW MATERIAL IN
THE NEW Earth Changes Almanac BACKGROUND
INFORMATION FOR 2005: In general, the Wobble Track is showing
continued tightening of the Chandler’s Wobble Spiral, as should be at this
time in its 7 year Wobble Cycle, and the track seems to be conforming with a
continued acceleration in the rate of drift, but this can be by no means
certain until this 7 year cycle is over.
In about two years we will be able to locate the minimum spiral of
motion and then look for the average 7 year "location" of this past
seven years for comparison with previous cycles. NEXT
SEVEN YEARS: (The spiral track
takes nearly seven years to define a complete wobble cycle and it takes the
entire cycle to be able to calculate the average location of the North Spin
Axis in order to compare it against other "average locations" in
the previous axis cycles. From this, a
straight line track of the "average locations" can be computed and
the acceleration in the rate of motion of the "shift" can be
defined I believe at the current time that this will
show a specific "jump" this past year, a micro "pole
shift". Very micro.) REFERENCE:
http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. EXCELLENT
BACKGROUNDER: Focus On Our
Magnetic Planet http://www.terradaily.com/news/earth-magnetic-05b.html "Mission
controllers cross their fingers whenever the Sun is stormy and their
spacecraft have to fly over the Troublesome faults
occur in electronic systems and astronauts see flashes in their eyes. The
Earth's magnetic field, which shields our planet against charged atomic
particles coming from outer space, is curiously weak in that region. The South Atlantic
Anomaly, as the experts call it, is one pressing reason why they are
intensifying their exploration of the Earth's magnetism. These satellites
show that the danger zone for satellites over The Earth's
magnetic field is becoming generally weaker at an astonishing rate. When a
French-Danish team compared Orsted's results for 2000 with those from an
American satellite, Magsat, 20 years earlier, the decline in the field's
strength suggested that it might disappear completely in a thousand years or
so. The experts wonder
if our planet is preparing to swap its north and south magnetic poles around,
as it has often done before during the Earth's long history. These and other
mysteries about our magnetic planet will get the closer attention they
deserve, in ESA's forthcoming Swarm project. Three satellites will work
together to measure the magnetic field and its variations far more accurately
than ever before. [...] Separating the
different sources of magnetism Ordinary magnetic
compasses obey the main magnetic field, produced by electric currents in the
Earth's core of molten iron. But in magnetic storms, compass needles wander. Since the 19th
Century scientists have linked these storms to eruptions on the Sun. Many
space ventures, recently including the ESA-NASA SOHO spacecraft and ESA's
four-satellite Cluster mission, have helped to clarify the solar connection. We live in a
protective bubble in space called the magnetosphere. At its boundary, gusts
in a non-stop solar wind of atomic particles battle with the Earth's
magnetism. As a result, events
in outer space make a continual but highly variable contribution to the
magnetic field. So do electric currents in the ionosphere, the zone of free
electrons and charged air molecules high in the atmosphere that's best known
for reflecting radio signals. Other, much weaker
patterns are overlaid on the global picture. In the Earth's crust, many rocks
have built-in magnetism that remembers the direction of the main magnetic
field when they formed. This affects the
field measured locally. By its subtle east-west comparisons Swarm will
picture the magnetic field of the crust with unprecedented clarity. And even
ocean water generates electric currents as it move in the main field, so that
the ebb and flow of the tides have a slight magnetic effect. As gauged by the
satellites, the main field is roughly 6,000 times stronger than the rock
magnetism of the ocean floor, and 30,000 times greater than the influence of
the oceanic tides. Only with delicate
measurements by satellite constellations, supported by ground stations, ships
and aircraft carrying magnetic instruments, can scientists sort out all the
patterns of magnetism from the different sources. The most careful
analyses reveal yet another effect. Magnetic variations drive electric
currents in the mantle, the main region between the core and the crust. These
in turn cause further magnetic changes, from which scientists can estimate
the electrical conductivity of the mantle. This provides a check on the
temperature of the material hidden deep in the Earth's interior. "What excites
us is the huge scope of what we can study even with quite small
satellites," comments Nils Olsen of the "By making
magnetic measurements in space we get new information about the Earth, from
the molten core deep under our feet, through the mantle, to the crust on
which we live. And then we go on upwards into the upper atmosphere, through
the planet's local space environment, and all the way to the Sun itself,
which is the source of daily magnetic disturbances." Practical benefits Solar storms can be
fatal for satellites, and not only on account of radiation damage. The
atmosphere inflates and low-orbiting spacecraft run into unexpected air
resistance. Experts used to
think it was just a matter of the air being heated by particles and electric
currents in the regions around the poles, where auroras occur. Now a sensitive
French-built accelerometer on the German CHAMP satellite has revealed heating
by intense currents where the solar wind pushes towards the magnetic poles in
daytime. The three Swarm satellites will investigate this new effect with
accelerometers of their own. Swarm's operational
lifetime, 2009-13, will coincide with the next expected peak of storminess on
the Sun. Immediate practical benefits will centre on Swarm's general
monitoring of space weather, and the solar events affecting not just
spacecraft and astronauts but technological systems on the ground as well. Magnetic storms can
damage power systems and pipelines, whilst the changes in the magnetic field
can mislead any navigational systems that use magnetic compasses. These
include compasses operating underground to guide the drills used to find and
recover oil. For scientists, the
biggest benefit of Swarm is that high-quality magnetic measurements provide a
new way of 'x-raying' the hidden interior of planet. Earthquake waves and
variations in the strength of gravity already provide a picture of the hot
core, the rocky mantle that surrounds it, and the ever-active crust. But the
picture is not yet clear enough for scientists to agree how the internal
machinery of the planet really works. "Magnetic
measurements give a fresh point of view on the Earth's interior," says
Roger Haagmans, who is responsible for solid-Earth science in ESA's Earth
Observation programme. "And Swarm
will also investigate the puzzling changes in the Earth's core that are
responsible for the present weakening of the magnetic field. That's already a
matter of practical concern for many satellite operators. With a better idea
of the reasons, we may know what to expect in the busy decades of spaceflight
that we have ahead of us." |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space
rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05
AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are
on a collision course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time." |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the "equal orbits" view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar FOR AN
ALMANAC SYTLE SUMMARY FORECAST OF 2005 ALIGNMENTS, AND a
general discussion of how all this works and why this is worth doing, click
here for the Earth
Changes Almanac. TODAY’S MOON We are in Lunation #1019 and we are now 9 days past the
New Moon of May 8 (UTC), the Moon this day is nearly overhead of the Equator
approaching from the North. It is now approximately 396,072 KM from the
Earth. It is 73% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase) now waxing toward the
Full Moon of May 23. LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR 2005 Event Day UTC
Distance Days +/- Phase
SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS QUALIFER:
As we have seen at least three times this past year, most dramatically
with the recent outbreak (Oct 23-26 2004) of large Earthquakes on the West
side of Honshu Island (Japan), the Syzygy Window and Perigee principles DO
NOT WORK CONSISTENTLY TO FORECAST AN INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE NOR FREQUENCY OF
EARTHQUAKES. Using strictly an
intuitive view of the past 12 months, the rate of accuracy is definitely
larger than random but probably not larger than about 70% for any given area. THE
CURRENT WEEK We are now heading towards the next Full Moon Syzygy (in
six days) which will be followed three days later by a Perigee. Seismic and
tectonic activity should pick up appreciably a little after May 21 for the
Full Moon and Perigee which follows a few days afterwards. FOR THE
YEAR 2005 The strongest syzygies (based on the combination of the
Lunar Phase with Perigee) during the first half of the year should tend to be
around the New Moon. The New Moon and
Perigee combination was the strongest in January (occurring at virtually the
same time on January 10) and the combination gradually gets weaker during the
year and is at its lowest during the Summer. The Full Moon is in the weakest syzygy (based on its
distance from the Earth) during January and SUCCEEDING FULL MOONS will
gradually become stronger, achieving their greatest pull on the Earth in June
and July. (Cancer natives will have a
maximum power Lunar whammy this year).
Then it gradually gets weaker during the remainder of the year while
the New Moon is slowly gaining again in strength. HOWEVER, VERY IMPORTANT QUALIFICATION: This characterization of strong and weak
syzygies does not necessarily mean you can predict the strength or frequency
of earthquake activity by this means…the Earth is inconsistent and full of
surprises to keep us all busy.
Outbreaks of seismic activity can and do break out at any time. Large
quakes tend to be in the syzygies, but they are not always… AS
PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to
define the most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method
for computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater
precision. For details see the Syzygy website (Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any "Home Planet Software" charts
of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on
this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital
rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1
closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn
is 6, Uranus is 7, IMPORTANT
NOTE ABOUT PLANETARY/SOLAR INFLUENCES:
Solar
Cycle 23 is rapidly approaching its minima period when solar activity and
sunspot counts will be minimal most of the time. But even so, major sunspot peaks, big
flares, coronal holes, and powerful CME’s will still occur once in a while,
as the graphs of previous sunspot cycles definitely show. These flare-ups will be a lot less
predictable than during the past four years, which makes the large flare-ups
even more intrusive. LIST OF
ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO JUNE 30, 2005 Today's
Solar System: Click Here For
Heliocentric Chart of Solar System as of May
1, 2005 From January through to June 2005, one more period stands out for their
potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge
ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest
storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment During
this coming week (May 18-25, 2005) – Mercury is now leaving an alignment with
Uranus (on May 14) while Mars is slowly forming up an alignment with Neptune
(for June 7) even as Venus does the same thing with Saturn on the opposite
side of the Sun (nearly 180 degrees opposite). Mercury will join Venus on about June 7…. Continue
to expect sunspot activity to remain relatively high during May, rising and
falling and then peak above 100 about the beginning of June. Summer Ping Pong June
7, 2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
STAR & PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NASA –
"JUPITER & THE MOON: When the sun sets on Thursday, May
19th, step outside and face southeast. You'll see Jupiter and the Moon,
together, bright enough to attract attention even before the sky fades to
black. The pair will be up all night long: sky map." NASA'S
DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs)
are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth
than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our
planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time." On 2
March 2005 there were 696 known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids.
Notes: LD is a "Lunar
Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon.
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar
Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The sunspot count stood on May 11 at 117
and the Flux Index stood at 125 just about on perfect timing for the Mercury
| Uranus alignment (the spike in the count coming three days prior to the
alignment, which is typical). The
sunspot count declined thereafter but waggled up and down on Sunday for the
Great Blast, WHEWEEEE,
NOW THAT WAS A BLAST, on Sunday May 15, 2005. A huge magnetic explosion, flare, and CME brought
in the highest category of magnetic disturbance, which NASA/NOAA categorized
at G5. It also brought in spectacular auroras which were seen as far south as
AS OF MAY DAY 18, the Sunspot Count has
dropped sharply to 45 (May 17 count) with a Flux Index
of 90. This is as should be expected
now that the Mercury | Uranus alignment began to break up a couple of days
ago.. Despite the sudden drop, all the
sunspot activity of the past three weeks is making the average for solar
activity during May much higher than predicted. THE
SUNSPOT COUNT SHOULD NOW FALL TO LOWER LEVEL AND BOB UP AND DOWN THROUGH TO
THE (Please note that Flux and
Sunspot numbers were inverted in the May 11 Update. The correct numbers are below) Date Flux
Sunspots Total Area 2005 05 04 109
61 1040 2005 05 05 109
50 830 2005 05 06 110
66 870 2005 05 07 100
55 400 2005 05 08 101
79 510 2005 05 09 110
106 910 2005 05 10 119
106 870 2005 05 11 125
117 1330 2005 05 12 117
110 1140 2005 05 13 126
100 1280 2005 05 14 100
91 720 2005 05 15 103
69 490 2005 05 16 99
70 520 2005 05 17 90
45 360 AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Solar Cycle 23 is dying quickly
but IT CAN AND WILL OCCASSIONALLY PRODUCE SUDDEN STORMY MOMENTS WITH BRIEF
MOMENTS OF HIGH SUNSPOT COUNTS, CME’S FLARES, ETC. "NOW" is the kind of moment when
these spritzy solar moods will come. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN
SOLAR CYCLE 23 Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February
2004 was 46.0. By November 2004, the count was still abnormally high at 43.7,
making the decline of Solar Cycle 23 slow indeed. But December clearly brought the end of the
high sunspot counts. The average dipped down to a low of 17.9, surprising
everyone. The predicted average value for January was 27 but the Sun's
average sunspot output nearly doubled December's and rose to 31.3. February's was 29, some 8 more than the
expected 21. March was projected to be
some 24 and in fact produced 24.8 average sunspots. April came in at 24.4 FOR 2005 – 2009 It
looks like this Sunspot Cycle 23 will officially end at about the mid-point
of the NASA projections. This will
push the next rise in the Sunspot Counts beginning in 2009 with the peak
above 100 monthly average coming in late 2010 or in 2011. The average count
should drop during the next 12 months to a monthly low in the range of
10. More and more, now and for the
next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s atmosphere and weather
less and less. Global Warming and El
Nino type of phenomena will be more and more influential compared to the
solar input. The geo-data we gather
during the next three years about weather, climate, the Arctic, Antarctic,
Drought Regions, etc. will be extremely valuable in telling us what the true
long-term geo-trends really are. NOTE: The Sun and its
cycles are really not very "average" and not very
"cyclical" or "regular".
Nowhere can we find any evidence of an exact regularity, only constant
variations. The Sun is and probably
always has been a vast cauldron of chaotic storms, electro-magnetic
upwellings, and enormous explosions and sudden flares (or CME’s) which can
extend out as far as even the outer planets, producing somewhat chaotic
impacts on the planets. All this makes
exact predictions of solar activity far beyond the pale of human science,
even with first class models of the electromagnetic gradients created by the
planets and their orbital relationships.
From this it is easy to infer with considerable experience and
conviction, that nothing on Earth can be foreseen, EXACTLY. Just as some order is inevitable, so is
some chaos built directly into the cosmos. |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by Iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM Once
again, solar activity picked up significantly this last week. The May 3 huge explosion (which missed the
Earth) was followed a few days ago on May 15 with another huge flare and CME
which this time struck the Earth directly. Additional
disturbances are expected during the next several days by NASA/NOAA observers
and by Jan Alvestad (whose predictions I follow). The odds of major CME's (and major magnetic
disturbances) during the next 24 hours are 60-100%, …this forecast is likely
good for a few days. The Solar Wind was brisk at: 510.2 km/s this hour while
pushing a quite thin density of0.5 protons/cm3". Fluxgate
Magnetometer: To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE. The Fluxgate Chart at the NASA PREDICTS: "There are no
big coronal holes on the Earth-facing side of the sun today. The chance of another strong solar flare
from sunspot 759 is declining as the sunspot decays." Solar Flares:
Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during
the next 24/48 hours are: 5-40%. Geomagnetic
Storms: Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth's magnetic field
are 15-30%. Jan
Alvestad reports: "The geomagnetic field was quiet to active on May 17.
Solar wind speed ranged between 448 and 729 km/sec. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz
was 90.0. The planetary A index was 19 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three
hour interval ap indices: 19.1)...At midnight there were 3 spotted regions on
the visible solar disk. The solar flare activity level was moderate. A total
of 3 C and 1 M class events was recorded during the day...May 15-16: No
obviously fully or partly potentially geoeffective CMEs were observed. May
17: A very faint and slow full halo CME was observed after the M1.8 flare in
region 10763 early in the day. This CME could reach Earth early on May
20. Coronal holes...A recurrent
coronal hole (CH166) in the northern hemisphere will likely be in an Earth
facing position on May 17." Jan
Alvestad predicts: "The geomagnetic field is expected be quiet to unsettled
on May 18-19 becoming quiet to active on May 20 due to a weak CME." Alvestad also predicts for the next 24
hours a 0-20% probability of coronal holes, a 60-100% probability of CME’s,
and a 0-20%
probability of M and/or X Class Flares. |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been watching the weather
patterns track the Sunspot Peaks have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
"sloppycasts" (approximate continental weather patterns) this past
few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. With the decline in sunspot activity,
weather is now more governed by Earth’s geophysics and will be mostly through
to about 2010. For geophysical-based reports and predictions – start with
Yahoo Weather, or the Weather Channel. Am I resigning from weather
forecasts? Almost. This section will
only add commentary on possible weather disturbances when major sunspot peaks
form up. These should be more rare than
during the past four years. In
General: All conditions are moderating in
most of the Northern Hemisphere, even if nothing in the climate regimes are
normal anymore. BUT, the
last two waves of spikes in the Sunspot Count will drive a lot of unseasonable
flow of air, which will be wetter and
more energetic than normal, and which will flow in unusual ways. This will continue to create
"freaks" in the weather. Another
storm front is moving onto the continents right now and expect another one,
even more massive, within 5-10 days. FOR AN ALMANAC SYTLE SUMMARY FORECAST OF 2005 ALIGNMENTS,
SUNSPOT PEAKS, WEATHER IMPACTS, AND HUMAN MOOD SHIFTS (through to Summer at
this point) AND a general discussion of how all this works and why this is
worth doing, click here for Earth
Changes Almanac. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This
"sloppycast" is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and
visual data shown on satellite and radar. Last
week's prediction already rolling up into the Rockies on its way to EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR SUMMER/FALL
SEASON (Northern Hemisphere) This
"sloppycast" is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and
visual data shown on satellite and radar. Late May through June will see intense, stormy periods
across huge areas of the continents. HURRICANES For NOAA's 2005 projections
related to hurricanes, go to: http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories2005/s2438.htm Summary From NOAA: "May 16, 2005 — NOAA
hurricane forecasters are predicting another above-normal hurricane season on
the heels of last year's destructive and historic hurricane season.
"NOAA's prediction for the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season is for 12 to15
tropical storms, with seven to nine becoming hurricanes, of which three to
five could become major hurricanes," said retired Navy Vice Adm. Conrad C. Lautenbacher,
Ph.D., undersecretary of commerce for oceans and atmosphere and NOAA administrator
at a news conference today in Bay St. Louis, Miss. "Forecaster
confidence that this will be an active hurricane season is very high." Above Average Number of
Hurricanes To Hit Less Property Damage Expected
than in 2004, Says ( The forecast prepared by the "Tropical activity in 2005
will again be above average," said Joe Bastardi, AccuWeather.com
Hurricane Center Expert Senior Meteorologist and one of the world's leading
hurricane forecasters. "The threat to interests on the Property damage from 2005's
storms is not expected to reach the magnitude of the devastating 2005 season.
Bastardi projects total damage on the Bastardi emphasized that this
forecast does not mean the public should lower their guard. "Though a
repeat this year of the devastating 2004 season seems unlikely, any tropical
storm can cause property damage and, tragically, even deaths," said
Bastardi. Even Americans outside the path
of actual storms are likely to feel the impact of the 2005 hurricane season.
The Tropical storms and hurricanes
making landfall in the Bastardi and the other Among the forecasts of the Bastardi was also the first to
warn - on national television - of the reappearance of The Ghost of Hurricane
Ivan. After making an initial landfall on the Gulf Coast and causing
extensive inland flooding, remnants of Ivan circled south across the Atlantic
and again brought damaging winds to the Florida Peninsula and the Gulf Coast
of Louisiana. AccuWeather.com offers an online
SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This "sloppycast" is based on six
years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary
alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar. NO NEW NEWS. The
wild flowers are still rioting raucously in the Southwest. AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:
The Sonoran Desert Plain will have a long Spring with some occasional
light rain getting rarer and rarer until the Summer Monsoon begins. I am not
sure at this point what is in store for the Summer Monsoon. The past 200 days have clearly broken the drought pattern
of the past four years. Some
climatologists are arguing that this is an anomalous wet year for the Pacific
Southwest and that the drought will reassert itself next year or the year
after. I am inclined to think that the
drought in the Southwest is a product of both the Sunspot Cycle 23 and the
Global Warming syndrome. From this, I
suppose that the drought pattern may be somewhat reduced during the next four
years during the Sunspot Minima, submerged completely by a lot of rain during
El Nino, if it appears, but slowly the drought will reappear during the next
climb of sunspot counts during Solar Sunspot Cycle 24. |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif BREAKING
NEWS: The
pattern reported last week (see below) persists but there has been no growth
in the warm water May 1 – 8, 2005. AS
PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: As of May 1 on the NOAA animated
graphs of sea surface temperature along the Pacific Ocean Equatorial Band,
there is the beginning appearance of a classic El Nino signal. A patch of
warmer than normal water along the Coast of Equator, exactly straddling the
Equator has been joined by a plume of warm water which is spreading westward
from the This is the classic El Nino "starting" pattern. The rate of growth is anybody's guess, but
I expect it to grow rapidly (because of the acceleration of tectonic movement
this year). Late Fall and early Winter 2006, WATCH
OUT!!! El Nino may be on the way…we
should be able to firm this possibility up within about 60 days. This location, as previously pointed out, is almost
exactly 180 degrees opposite the location of the beginning of the Indo Trench
Rupture on December 25. (We may be seeing the telltale sign of an upsurge in
underwater volcanism just offshore of AS
PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: As of April 17, 2005, no trends, no anomalies are apparent in
the chart of ocean surface water temperatures in the Pacific. BOY, DID I SHOOT TOO QUICKLY WITH THIS ONE: "MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT, NO El Nino OR
La Nina this year." BACKGROUND: The NOAA website
for El Nino has gotten fairly well organized and is far more digestible by
laypeople. Try clicking here to go to the latest NOAA ENSO Home Page. AS
REPORTED PREVIOUSLY – THE CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know
whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005.
Purely in accordance with the
X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model, AN
EL NINO WAS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN
2005. But, the El Nino is not like an
astrophysical cycle. There are some
"missing" El Nino’s in the record of the 20th century
and we may have a missing one.
HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN UNTIL ABOUT APRIL OF 2005, which is about
the latest month in which the syndrome has formed up during previous El
Nino’s. ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance
with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s
Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods
seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as
April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early
Spring 2005. |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC, ANTARCTIC, and
the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories
of the climate shift. |
GLOBAL WARMING It is becoming obvious that we have a long term
real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the
latitudes. This climate shift is creating a growing environmental
disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the
Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004 BREAKING
NEWS: (AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK) The main news this past 60 days
has been the growing discussion about the growing realization that global
warming is real and is a trend to which we still do not know how to react
appropriately on a planetary level. BACKGROUND
INFO: For the most recent global assessment, see this article in
the New Yorker Magazine. This is first
class journalism which builds a global perspective: THE CLIMATE OF MAN—I by ELIZABETH KOLBERT Disappearing islands, thawing permafrost, melting polar
ice. How the earth is changing. Issue of 2005-04-25 http://www.newyorker.com/fact/content/articles/050425fa_fact3 For more perspective from the "vortex" paradigm on
the Global Warming issues, go to the Earth Changes Almanac. |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR BREAKING
NEWS Our calls the past two weeks have been right on the
money: "All emotional
conditions now rising. Mass Behavior is
becoming more random, stagecrafting is weak and ineffectual…MORE OF THE SAME FOR MAY, WITH
CONDITIONS RISING TO CHAOS AND MANY MORE DISRUPTIONS AFFECTING EVERYONE
DURING LATE MAY AND JUNE. MAJOR MOOD SWINGS IN THE STOCK MARKETS THROUGHOUT
THIS PERIOD." Since the last two weeks saw amazing riots, near coups,
very nervous stock markets up and down, bizaare psycho personal behaviours
(kidnappings, murders, etc.), who really needs the numbers, the truth speaks
loud and clear here. Conditions should mellow out for the next week but upchuck
mightily once again in June. Expect a
lot of sudden new dramatic developments based on emotional reactions. FOR THE
NEXT PERIOD In general, with the falling count of the average monthly
Sunspot Count, more and more people are shifting international discussions to
elections, compromises, negotiations, diplomacy, renouncing or ending
violence, etc.. all within the context set by the Imperial Faction. It is the next wave and it could take us through to the
Fall of 2005. How the coalition shapes
up in With the death (likely CIA or MOSSAD inspired
assassination) of Arafat, the American military machine is knee deep already
in taking over the Palestinian government.
A U.S. General has been "appointed" by the PLO to rebuild
its "security forces". It
should be obvious where all of that is going…. STAND PAT AGAIN
THIS WEEK CONFIRMATION OF DISCUSSION BELOW: THE ARMED FORCES ARE CONSISTLY FAILING TO
MEET THEIR RECRUITMENT GOALS. A
SHORTAGE OF AS OF MAY
18, A SHORTAGE OF Soldiers are dropping their weapons on the tarmac and are
walking away in various ways in larger and larger numbers each month. They cannot find enough to replace them…it
has become so bad the recruiters are massively cheating, like everyone else
in this crooked, corrupt Empire of Pretense. AT THE MOMENT, TIME IS ON THE SIDE OF REASON AND IS
STRONGLY RUNNING AGAINST THE IMPERIAL FACTION.. IN GENERAL
FOR 2005-2009 DURING LULLS OF THE
SOLAR VORTEX: AS OBSERVED AS OF DECEMBER 30: As the sunspot counts decline and fail to
peak for the planetary alignments, the impact on humans and the biosphere is
declining progressively. Relatively
more human activity will tend to be more driven by mental activity and
spiritual connectivity than emotional impulses. This is going to be especially true with the four year jag
of emotional associations around "patriotism". During 2005, patriotism and martial ardor
will become increasingly
"old" among the young and the marginal. More and more soldiers will wake up and
realize they have been on a "bender" which left them in a literal
hellhole. As solar activity ebbs into low activity levels, have you
noticed that the polls are increasingly showing that people think the Tragic
Invasion of Iraq was in fact A MISTAKE (now some 60%) and that 65% believe
Rumsfeld should go. People collectively are losing the ardor of blind
emotional commitments which the sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast Media and the
agents of Hillbilly Sunday whipped up.
They are waking up to a wicked hangover in bed with a very ugly mess. This shift is palpable and will grow in magnitude and
depth. The Imperial Faction will stall
out rapidly during 2005, it is increasingly unlikely that they will have
their way in the |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and
potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of
danger. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake
activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above. Unfortunately there are many
lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of
quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.
Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON
INCOMPLETE INFORMATION. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS,
Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication
than I do. See
Syzygy.com As suggested last week, we did indeed see a sudden
increase in magnitude of quakes this past seven days, but not in Quake activity during the past seven days continued to be
muted in frequency BUT was elevated in magnitude with at least six 6.0+
quakes, most of them in South Pacific or along the nearby Equator. The frequency was at typical non-syzygy rate and most of the
quakes were widely distributed and randomized. As last week, the greatest seismic activity in the world
occurred along the edge of in the Northern and Northeastern edge of the
Australian Plate. There were
four highly interesting patterns out of random this past week, from which we
can garner a rough idea of how the "shape shifting" waves traverse
the Earth. This past
seven days brought a record breaking number of modest and strong quakes in
the Great Rift of the Earth. Some 21
quakes ranging from 4.2 to 4.7 struck in the ocean bottom "Great
Rift" to the South of Iceland in a portion which is known as the
(Northern) Mid Atlantic Ridge. At least another six shapeshifters (ranging in
size from 5.0 to 6.5) struck along the edge of the Antarctic Tectonic Plate - widely
dispersed through 360 degrees around the Earth, while another two stuck in
the Mid Atlantic to the North and to the South of the Equator. The activity in the Great Rift in the Atlantic no doubt
contributed to an outbreak of quakes along the Northern edge of the Carib
plate as well as a large outcrop of 2.5 – 3.5 quakes in the Western U.S.,
ranging from Vancouver Island through to Baja and There appears to be a clear pattern here which has been
observed several times now on these pages during the past two years. I fully expect to see the BEEG ONE which is
widely expected along the West Coast of North America to be prefaced by this
pattern: several quakes in the Mid
Atlantic Rift, quakes on the Carib and an upsurge of volcanism in
Colima/Popo, 4.0+ quakes along the Baja edge, then a sudden rupturing along
the San Andreas or adjacent to the Santa Monica or San Gabriel Mountains. AS
PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: I AM NOT
CONCERNED ABOUT THE ISSUE OF A MAJOR TECTONIC RUPTURE ON THE NORTH AMERICAN
WEST COAST THIS YEAR. I RAISED THE
ISSUE SEVERAL WEEKS AGO BUT I THINK THAT THIS PREDICTED EVENT, ALONG WITH AN
EXPLOSIVE ERUPTION OF EL POPO, IS NOT LIKELY THIS YEAR. MORE LIKELY DURING ONE OF THE NEXT FOUR
YEARS. Whatever happens this year will
probably be just a harbinger of much greater activity to come, building
towards a peak perhaps sometime in 2008-2010. Nonetheless, I am still very concerned that the earth is
"cocking the trigger" for major tectonic activity which will break
out in There of course is a strong potential for a 6.0 plus quake
in COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR SUPER ALERT FOR THIS WATCH!!! As witnessed by the Indo-Trench
Rupture and the aberrant motions of the Earth’s crust, global tectonic
motions in the Earth are unstable and obviously are tending to exceptionally
explosive releases in the trenches of tectonic collision and in the spreading
Great Rift zones. The Western ledge of the Carib
Plate is 180 degrees from the 9.3 quake in the Indo-Trench. Accordingly, the Carib Plate may also
release its "shape-shifting" stress during one of the upcoming
Lunar syzygies this year. This release
could come in the form of major volcanism and major Earthquakes which breaks
out first in AS PREVIOUSLY
OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a
major destructive quake could now strike at any time in SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH No reports to add this week SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of
the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the
Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy
vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around
the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which
list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the
quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.) For
additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the
Earth, go to Plate
Tectonics Map AS
PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The Earth is still slowly adjusting
its "tectonic skin" as a
result of the Indo-Trench Rupture which began on December 25, 2004. Although the activity related to the
rupture is now dwindling rapidly, over a thousand quakes above 5.0 in that
zone during the past four months are forcing changes in the shape of Earth in
all quadrants. NEW THIS
WEEK: see
discussion above at the beginning of Earthquakes WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES Without doubt the 21 quakes in the Mid Atlantic below A NEW UNDERWATER VOLCANO MAY BE A-BUILDING HERE. Magnitude 4.8 Wednesday, May 11, 2005 at 06:47:13 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_xyap.html Location 62.14N
26.52W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region Reference 320 km
(200 miles) SW of 410 km (255 miles) WSW of 475 km (295 miles) SSW of 1290 km (800 miles) E of NUUK ( Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity
which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables
which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of
the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in
magnitude.
Any numbers
used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect
what will eventually appear in scientific databases. IMPORTANT NOTE: Most
volcano monitoring sites appear to be screening out microquakes. A study
needs to be done to establish how to reconcile various lists and databases
because of this practice. The numbers
below cannot be considered to be definitive totals and subtotals. We use them merely to observe relative
fluctuations from week to week. Seismic activity in North America was up very modestly
over last week for quakes in the range of 1.0 and up, though once again US & ALASKA & up from 630 last week BIG ISLAND up from 11 last week. up from 385 last week widely scattered in down from 30 last week typical level widely scattered predominantly up from 20 last week PNW --- 142 down from 174 last week. still high level, many widely scattered throughout the Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude. For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE. down from 24 last
week. |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
VOLCANOES Around the world with the most interesting and
relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage
of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre. Or
see "Breaking
Volcano Eruption News". AS
PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Observable world volcanic activity increased substantially during March
and April, as predicted – by nearly
45%. But then volcanic activity in the active volcanoes ebbed during late
March and April. A decrease in
activity occurred, perhaps by as much as 20%.
Last week, as with seismic activity, a small pickup in volcanic activity
began – perhaps by as much as 2%. THIS WEEK'S
BREAKING NEWS: Worldwide volcanic
activity increased substantially during the past seven days, perhaps by as
much as 25%. Active lava flows from
Fuego and Pacaya in Guatamala, Kilauea, and Colima in The Most Dangerous Volcanoes in the NO NEW
CHANGE IN THIS ITEM - AS PREVIOUSLY
REPORTED: MORE OR LESS, ST. HELENS IS NOW DIRECTLY MIRRORING FOUR
SIMILAR VOLCANOES ON THE Low level ash and steam emissions are continuing all
around the Another major flare up in activity will probably come
during the next 135 days and then slowly ebb away to a low point by the end
of the year. VOLCANO
TO WATCH: EREBUS Major eruptions may occur in the deep South as well. AS QUOTED FROM SWVC: "As of the 11th of February, the Mt.
Erebus Volcano Observatory (MEVO) reports http://www.swvrc.org/cerupt.htm that
there has never been an eruption, or set of eruptions like this in the
recorded history of The
Current Color Code for WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THIS POINT: Anything on the Carib Plate (East, West,
North, or South) is in danger of major tectonic activity during the next 90
days, especially around the Perigeen New Moons. To this list I would add the Northern Arc
of the Pacific Rim of Fire, especially on SAINT
HELENS VOLCANO UPDATES Text in this section is a condensation of
direct quotes from online source: Latest
Update supplied by the U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University
of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington;
U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of Washington,
Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington Wednesday,
May 18, 2005 8:32 a.m. PDT (1532 UTC) MOUNT Current status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level
2); aviation color code Potential ash hazards: Wind forecasts from the National
Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), coupled with eruption models,
show that any ash clouds that rise above the crater rim today would drift
north-northeastward. Under such wind conditions, Johnston Ridge Observatory
and other areas near the east end of SR 504 could receive ash fall if there
were an ash-producing event. Potential ash hazards to aviation: Under current eruptive conditions,
small, short-lived explosions may produce ash clouds that exceed 30,000 feet
in altitude. Ash from such events can travel 100 miles or more downwind. Recent observations: Although seismicity and ground
deformation in the crater remain at relatively low rates, the volcano marks
the 25th anniversary of its major 1980 eruption in a state of active
eruption. It is building a second lava dome in its crater. However, clouds
and rain obscure views of the volcano, and likely will do so for a few more
days. The weather forecast for the next few days suggests that snow will be
accumulating on the crater floor and upper flanks. For
additional information, background, images, and other graphics:
http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html For
seismic information: http://www.pnsn.org/HELENS/welcome.html For a
definition of alert levels: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html Telephone
recordings with the latest update on OTHER CASCADE VOLCANOES
as of May Day 18 2005 "Volcanoes
in the LATEST FORECAST FOR
SAINT HELENS BY EC BULLETIN: March-2
2005: The three active eruptions
(still small) on Kamchatka Peninsula, one in the Kurile Islands, and a new
one on Atka Island in the Aleutians, along and the continued steady increase
in seismic activity around St. Helens most likely means that this prediction
below is on track for major activity during the next four months: I
EXPECT VIGOROUS ERUPTIONS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE PACIFIC SOMETIME BY SUMMER
EQUINOX. Look
for the next increase in eruptive behavior in St. Helens to occur in tandem
with an increase in activity on AS
OBSERVED LAST MONTH: At least three of
the active volcanoes on AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY: Colima may be the closest
"model" for how Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of May Day
18 2004: (SWVC
does it annual database cleaning and new predictions at the beginning of the
year, accordingly its numbers in early January "break" sequence
with the last numbers in December). 7 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment)
(same as last week) 54 on alert list – up from 51 last week (alert list are
volcanoes with pre-cursor activities suggesting that activity may begin) 32 on active list (seismic,
gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (up from 26 as of last week). Suddenly, volcanism is flaring once again around the
entire perimeter of the Pacific Rim of Fire. Even though Popo's numbers are
down today, eruptions of lava from Colima, Popo gave an 11 puff day yesterday. Centrapred reports for May Day 18 (17:00 GMT) that " In last the 24
hours the system of monitoreo of the Popocatépetl registered 11 exhalations
of low intensity, accompanied mainly by steam and gas. Today at 05:11 (local
time) a volcanotectonic microearthquake of magnitud 2.3 was detected,it was
located at 8.0 km to the Southeast from the crater and depth of 4.9km. Also
there were recorded episodes of high frequency and low amplitude tremor for
about 15 minutes. During the morning
it has been possible to see the volcano with a light steam and gas emission.
In an aerial photograph taken on January 14th, subsidence is observed in the
inner crater; an external lava dome at the bottom of the crater can not be
distinguished. The traffic light of volcanic alert is in YELLOW-1. Access is
restricted in a radius of 12 km from the crater. The road between Santiago
Xalitzintla ( HIGHLY
INTERESTING NEW PLATE TECTONICS RESOURCE: Digital
World Tectonic Activity Map (DTAM) - visualization tool that
presents an actual representational view of global tectonics; created using
current global datasets of seismicity, volcanism, and plate motions. MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK FOR THE
LASTEST REPORTS ON ACTIVE VOLCANOES COMPILED BY THE SOUTHWEST VOLCANO CENTER,
SEE http://www.swvrc.org/cerupt.htm Or go to Volcano Breaking News by Volcanologist
John Seach Volcano Travel:
john@volcanolive.com http://www.volcanolive.com/volcanolive.html Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian
Time (UT + 10 hr) Some Recent Reports Below From John Seach Rabaul Volcano (Papua New
Guinea) Krakatau Volcano (Indonesia)
Awu Volcano
(Indonesia) Manam Volcano
(Papua New Guinea)
Mt Belinda
Volcano (South Sandwich Islands) Semeru Volcano
(Indonesia) Fernandina
Volcano (Galapagos Islands) Loihi Volcano
(Hawaii) Anatahan
Volcano (Mariana Islands) Dieng Volcano
(Indonesia) Colima Volcano
Mexico Yasur Volcano
(Vanuatu) Eastern Indonesian Volcano Update Ambrym Volcano
(Vanuatu) Manam Volcano
(Papua New Guinea)
|
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Standing Assessment: Likely, it is
fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to
the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to
mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical,
moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. |
ANOTHER EXCELLENT DOSSIER ON DU: (THAT'S DEPLETED URANIUM) click here for many more links on
this topic DU Dossier - 50% of Gulf War Vet's Now On Permanent
Medical Disability MWM: This Black
Arts Nation war was supposed to have only some 100 Heads Roll at Veterans Administration Mushrooming Depleted Uranium Scandal Blamed by Bob Nichols Project Censored Award Winner 'Depleted Considering the tons of depleted uranium used by the Monday, February 28, 2005 -- Preventive Psychiatry
E-Newsletter charged today that the reason Veterans Affairs Secretary Anthony
Principi stepped down earlier this month was the growing scandal surrounding
the use of uranium munitions in the Iraq War. Writing in Preventive Psychiatry E-Newsletter No. 169,
Arthur N. Bernklau, executive director of Veterans for Constitutional Law in "The VA Secretary (Principi) was aware of this fact
as far back as 2000," wrote Bernklau.
"He and the Bush administration have been hiding these facts, but
now, thanks to Moret’s report, it is far too big to hide or cover up. The long-term effects have revealed that DU
(uranium oxide) is a virtual death sentence." Bernklau continues, "This malady from uranium
munitions, from which thousands of our military have suffered and died, has
finally been identified as the cause of this sickness, eliminating the
guessing. The terrible truth is now
being revealed." He adds, "Out of the
580,400 soldiers who served in the first Gulf War, 11,000 are now dead. By the year 2000, 325,000 were on permanent
medical disability. This astounding
number of disabled vets means that a decade later, 56 percent of those
soldiers who served have some form of permanent medical problem." The disability rate for most of the wars of the last
century was 5 percent; and it was
higher for the Vietnam War at 10 percent. Terry Jamison, Public Affairs Specialist at the Department
of Veterans Affairs, recently reported that since 1991, 518,739 Gulf Era
veterans are now on medical disability. Marion Fulk, a nuclear physical chemist who retired from
the Lawrence Livermore Nuclear Weapons Lab and was involved with the
Manhattan Project, interprets the new and rapid malignancies in the soldiers
from the 2003 Iraq War as "spectacular ... and a matter of concern." When asked if the main purpose of using DU was for
"destroying things and killing people," Fulk was more
specific. "I would say it is the
perfect weapon for killing lots of people." References http://www.sfbayview.com/081804/Depleteduranium081804.shtml "Dirty bombs, dirty missiles, dirty bullets: A death sentence here and abroad" by
Leuren Moret. * Veterans for
Constitutional Law, * Preventive
Psychiatry E-Newsletter. Email Gary
Kohls, mailto:gkohls@cpinternet.com?subject=Subscribe gkohls@cpinternet.com, with "Subscribe" in the
subject line. Weather Modification: as previously observed Many psychics have predicted it. Many scientists are reporting details on
aspects of it. BUT THE WEATHER ITSELF MAY BE THE FINAL WITNESS. What ever is happening with the Wacky
Weather over too kinky… too extreme… I have been trying for the past few years to
connect as much phenomenon as possible into the cycles of the vast solar
vortex. That sure did work well during
the AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The Iway and the bookstores are awash with
the outings of the Black Arts Nation. BUT THERE IS NO CHANGE THIS WEEK
IN ACTION WHICH IS AIMED AT DEALING WITH IT Have we passed the point of no
return? Should we just admit to
ourselves that the Junta won and we live in a seedy third-rate banana
republic which is devolving rapidly into the autocracy of nowhereville? Riddle this one! Can you answer it? HOPEFULLY THE DU CONTROVERSY
WILL BREAK THE LOGJAM In the meantime, it looks like
civilized people are being taken collectively to the cleaners and once again
their noses are being rubbed in the realization that after all, this is NOT a
civilization, it is a masquerade. So far the scandals are being
kept in the closets of But very little is manifesting
in actual dynamics of change. Except this: through the Iway the web of connections is
being spun in greater and greater detail, in better and better fidelity and
precision. It is ONLY through the Iway
that the web of corruption is going to be fully spun. I think it is well
worth the spinning, eventually events will conspire to bring Humpty Dumpty
into question. If their wicked web has
been reasonably spun out into completion, suddenly it will have the strength
of a rope, with the power to hang Humpty Dumpty, or pull him down from the
Wall. BUT AS OBSERVED LAST YEAR.
The auguries are not clear to me this past two weeks on how any of
this is going, or even if any of this IS going anywhere during the next
several months. If none of this goes
anywhere, take it as a given, take it as a fact, that all is lost on the
Republic and we have passed into in the deep twilight zone of a Fascist
nightmare for which there may not be any electoral remedy…at least not while
we are mired within the deep sorcery which the Mass Broadcast Media now casts in greater
depth all around us. It is as if after
the elections they turned up the volume of manipulation by at least a half
turn of the knob. Despite impeccable scientific reasoning, high caliber
informed observers and investigators, the story of the stolen elections
simply will not be told in |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
ECONOMY WATCH Little change from past weeks. All conditions continue to
deteriorate. Bears predominate and are
found strolling everywhere, waiting in anticipation. Bulls are hard to find. A vast inflation was setting in,
and indeed real estate and construction are still going up…but most likely
not for long.
ALL SIGNALS
MIXED, THE ECONOMY IS "WOBBLING" WITH VERY LITTLE "GOOD
NEWS" OR HOPES. As throughout most of 2004, there are still no signs of
a general recovery of the classic 20th century kind. MOST COMMENTARY AND EXPECTATIONS ARE
PESSIMISTIC FOR 2005. The most
optimistic projections appear to be in the nature of "holding" firm
with small improvements. The worst
expectations are dire indeed. I predict that most of the expectations will turn sour
after May or June. I also predict that
they will become more and more morose as the economy begins to show a rapid
movement into recession during the later part of the year and then clearly
moves into depression in 2006. THE STAGFLATION OF THE LAST HALF
OF 2004 AND EARLY 2005 MAY ALREADY BE LOSING MOMENTUM. AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: The economy will never regain any sense of
confidence in government efforts to build the basis for more solid
growth. The Bush administration will
continue to lose credibility, will come under severe legal pressure from wide
ranging indictments, perhaps even impeachment proceedings (long overdue), and
this gathering loss of political confidence will destroy corporate confidence. This loss of confidence may be experienced
first in Europe and AS OBSERVED IN DECEMBER:
With the re-election of George Bush a completely new scenario for the
next two years is needed. It is this:
the main driving force of the economy will transition fully into an
Imperial economy. It will be based on
major militarization of the A massive empire building drive to export
"Order" over the greater portion of the world’s petroleum reserves
will shore up the value of the petro dollar quite nicely and preserve its
hegemony well through the "peak oil" period. Huge expenditures on armaments should
provide a continuing stimulus of the North American economy, enough to at
least keep it gimping along while the Empire is consolidated. The eventual eclipse of well oil poses no long term
problem. Only naïve analysts are
worried. Once oil supply is seriously
declining and oil prices can be maintained above $80/barrel, some people in
the oil industry, including David Rockefeller, understand the means of
"growing" your own. They
have held the secrets of this for some 23 years. THE ONLY BUMP ON THE ROAD TO THE IMPERIAL ECONOMY is
"global warming". This is
bringing people into other solutions than the use of oil. Is this not a course of development the
cabals of great wealth in GENERAL PREDICTION DJI
AVERAGES The THIS WEEK The DJI finished May Day 18 at 10,464.45, up 160 points in one
week. It was 10,300 last week. The market
will continue to bobble in this range for a few weeks.
AS OBSERVED
DURING 2004: WATCH THIS VERY CAREFULLY – WAR IN THE
MIDDLE EAST IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR DRIVING OIL UP IN PRICE AND ACCELERATING
THE DECLINE IN THE DOLLAR. The dollar
of course is a major factor. As the
dollar drops AND the stock values remain constant, MAIN
OVER-RIDING STRATEGIC VARIABLE: For the players, what the Bush administration will and
will not do is beginning to become more and more set. This allows others to make their bets on
the outcomes, pro and con. THIS
APPEARS TO HAVE BEGUN: "WORLD CONFIDENCE MAY IMPROVE FOR A WHILE if a
Shiite coalition can take power in Iraq through the elections and motivate
Bush to substantially withdraw American troops." EURO WATCH
The dollar closed today at 0.7888 per euro, which is about
the same as last week's 0.7814 per
euro. It continues to be stronger at
the moment than most of this year so far. This situation is of course highly
volatile. In general, stock and dollar
will trend down as oil trends up.
Right now oil is trending down because of weakening demand. Interesting article on current dynamics of currency
markets http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/050119/markets_forex_8.html Did you know that corporations have a special
"deal" this year which allows them to repatriate billions of
dollars in foreign profits by paying a surcharge of only $.05 per dollar in
lieu of the regular 35% tax rate. Thus in general, expect a steady if slow creep of prices
upward all through 2005, with faster relative increases for some basic
commodities and imports to reflect rapidly rising international costs, which
will still accelerate in response to the rise in energy costs this past six
months. MUST READ: "The Dollar
Panics" in "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006",
which lays out the dynamics of what is happening. LATEST OVERVIEW ON OIL: As of February 2, 2005 The high price points at the pump established last Fall look
permanent. It does not look like
retail prices will ever again be South of where they currently are. We are going to have a pretty vigorous
STAGFLATION for 2005 and average wholesale prices are likely to continue an
upward drift, somewhere in the range of 10% to 30%, with transitory peaks in
the range of last year’s $55. Perhaps
even higher, if the oil industry is disrupted by Al Qaeda or other terrorist
groups. HIGH PRICE PRESSURES CAN NO LONGER BE RESISTED BECAUSE ALL OF THE
WORLD POLITICAL STRUGGLES ARE NOW POLARIZING AROUND THE STRUGGLE FOR
OIL. Oil has become in the minds of
all those seeking power as THE ONLY SOURCE OF POWER in the world today. PREDICTED IN FEBRUARY 2005: HERE
IS THE ARCHILLES HEEL OF EMPIRE: It
seems more probable than not, reading the tea leaves and listening to Seymour
Hersh and other internationalists, that the main irrational and
"upsetting factor" in the world at this juncture is the aggressive
plan which the Imperial Faction would like to pursue in Iran. Any effort to beat the war drums in that
direction will unify the Eurasian powers to "clip the wings" of the
Empire. They will do it with a
concerted program to push down the value of the dollar sufficient to swamp
the ALL THIS IS ON COURSE AS OF APRIL 27. Putin is clearly making a major
effort to create an Eurasian Grand |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
SURVIVAL WATCH For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin
Update as of July
7, 2004 |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME). But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted. Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year. ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES: The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services. This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah. I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM. |
POLITICAL WATCH For general overview on the Tragedy in AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED – NO CHANGE. THE WHOLE SCENE GROWS
MORE SURREAL WITH EACH WEEK: A STRANGE
SORT OF "AMELICAN GRAFFITI" SEEMS TO HAVE TAKEN OVER EVERYTHING. Kookiness has seized complete control of Bush's policies are nearly universally rejected around the
world, brutal operations procedures and war doctrines, not to mention
incompetence and pervasive denial and lying, are steadily destroying the
fragments of what was left of the legitimacy of the American Military
Machine, Eurasian and Oil Producer alliances are forming up tightly to begin
a world campaign to restrain and block the Imperial Faction, Venezuela and
Iran are making arrangements, Syria is craftily setting up Israel and the
U.S. to collide with Hezbollah, which is the most dominant force in Lebanon,
and Putin is bidding to create an Eurasian peace process for the Mid East,
the U.S. be damned. Meanwhile, international inflation of commodity prices IN
DOLLAR terms is accelerating briskly and will bring in the next
recession-becoming-depression sometime in 2006, the strong The Democratic Faux Centrists and Clintonistas are folding
solidly into an acutely sad, uncomfortable sack of metooism with the Imperial
Faction, revealing clearly who they are, meanwhile of course the most extreme
cold war hawks and right wing fascists in North America have seized control of
all agencies of the U.S. Government. The Mass Hysteria Broadcast Media is busy diverting
everyone's attention with a never-ending stream of completely irrelevant
did-he-do-it soap operas while the plutocrats continue to steal all
sensibility from Planet Earth - all domestic programs and regulations are
being bludgeoned and blackjacked daily in the alleys of Washington DC by the
plutocrats and their agents while a super-sized IMPERIAL BONUS in being
prepared for the American People:
PLANS STILL APPEAR TO BE WELL UNDERWAY to mobilize the drive to
destroy the independent culture and government of Iran, all the better to
seize complete hegemony of the Persian Gulf oil fields and force the world to
consume the PETRO-DOLLAR and the American Imperial Machine. And so it goes. YOU
WILL NEED TO WHINE MUCH LOUDER lest you soon be floating in a sea of oil you
can no longer afford to buy because a couple million conscripted Central
Americans are busy fighting in the
Middle East under your flag to eradicate all opposition to the Great
American Dream of Bush Inc. AS OBSERVED IN PREVIOUS WEEKS: The Faux-Centrists will finish digging their grave this
year just in time to be dumped in by the political convulsions which will
begin in 2006 and split both political parties into warring splinters.
Meanwhile, as a result of the incompetence of the Imperial Faction and the
moral vacuum of the Mass Broadcast Media, the balance of the current American
fate STILL lies in the hands of those in the Mid-East. If their will is strong enough, the will of
the Iraqi people to create peace among themselves, the Americans will be able
to extricate themselves from what has always been a completely untenable
condition. Let us hope the same is
true with the Lebanese people. With such a deluded national leadership in
control of the AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: Seymour Hersch's article in the
New Yorker outlines the Imperial Faction's current thinking for stirring the
pot of the Mid-East into a vast cauldron of violence, war, and Imperial
expeditions. It seems to devolve to
this. Shock and awe and G.I. Joe
didn't work for saving Why does the base concept sound terribly
much like a carbon copy of With this article, I am not so sure. The bureaucracies of the Imperial Faction
are becoming threadbase and their support base is becoming so thin they are
losing any credibility they once had. Many in Eurasia are now saying
that the This is not an argument that
Bush and his Empire can win. There is
also no possibility of a successful invasion or a strategic win by the The Shah of Iran, the CIA's very
own stooge for the American Oil Industry, was as nasty and violent a thug who
ever ruled a colonial outpost. His demise had nothing to do with religion.
He, we, have not been forgiven, nor should we. It is true that the But their time is running out
for an attack on The Iranians have shown a
methodical, disciplined, progressive approach to reasoning their way out and
around the boxes imposed by Western imperializing forces. They have found much success in
establishing relationships with other nations. They are likely to continue in this mode
and practice the art of "what is possible" to avoid violent
conflagration. If they are careful and
methodical enough, they will outflank the Imperial Faction and simply wait it
out FOR 2005 & BEYOND More probable than not....another
four years of political struggle, bitterness, the loss of more political and
individual rights, continued declassing and economic deterioration, and a
growing general civil upheaval which takes many forms…in the midst of a
nation which is virtually ostracized from most of the remainder of the
world…with the forces of Jihad reaching greater ascendancy in the
Middle-East. |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and
with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven
so much of the past 50 years…. From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly
collapses. All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty! |
THE STRATEGIC SITUATION – Final Synopsis AS
PREVIOUSLY REPORTED For the first time in nearly a year we can see a changing
of the strategic conditions of the age.
It rests on six
realities: 1.
In the dark background, Al Qaeda could to be a spent, dying force. It
does NOT SEEM to have flourished well in hidden places. It has not delivered on its promises for
over a year. Is it a spent force? Or
is it preparing a new round? With the
circumstances in 2.
The Iraqi insurgent's opposition to the elections was a catastrophic
failure. At the moment, it is terminal
for their movement. The elections clearly reveal a massive swing of popular
opinion against the diktat of the insurgents.
The insurgents are now clearly revealed to be in opposition to real
democracy and the greater portion of the people in 3.
The American Bull is currently focused on 4.
5. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
