PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Monitoring The Changes In The Earth

edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright January Day 06 2005

                                                                                                             

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Please Note:  This Bulletin is conceived as a System.  It is still in an early stage of evolution.  We intend to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is underway.

 

 

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of January 06 2005

You have heard of the Weather Report?  Here exclusively is this week’s  "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

 

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this  URL

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2005/ecb_Jan_06_05.htm

 

EXCEPTIONAL WARNING

Nearly all psychic and avocational quake predictors believe that additional major tectonic activity is about to occur during the next few weeks.  As well, from January 7 through 17, the New Moon Syzygy will combine forces with the Solar Perihelion.  You definitely should consider this to be a dangerous time period for major quake and tsunami activity. This danger period is immediate and probably extends through to the end of March 2005.

 

COMING SOON - UPDATE PREDICTIONS FOR 2005 – 2012

and through “The Tribulations”

 

BEGINNING ON FRIDAY, January 7, 2005 - Alex Merklinger Radio at Mysteries Of The Mind

 

CONTINUING ON FRIDAY, January 14, 2004 – Lou Gentile Radio at

http://lougentile.com/

 

I am working diligently on a systematic update which succinctly outlines predictions for the period 2005 – 2012 and through the period of what the Q’ero call the Pachacuti and the Hopi call the “Great Purification” (also known as the “Time of Troubles” or “The Tribulations”).  I have just consumed four books and many iway articles and websites the past few weeks to prepare for this.  For a variety of reasons, the final keys for putting together the final plot line of the Fourth Age and the most probable key signals are now being brought forward into my consciousness in a way which will allow me to describe them clearly and specifically to the world.  Due to many issues, the greater bulk of this material shall not be openly available directly on the internet.  Access to most of the predictions will be made available through paid annual subscriptions.  Because of the strategic seriousness of some of the predictions, some I will only make available through mouth and ear in private seminars.   I will begin to advise of this material through the EC Bulletins, through Alex Merklinger’s radio program, and through other radio appearances, such as the Lou Gentile Show.

 

FOR THIS YEAR OF THE GATHERING EMERGENCE:

 

On the geophysical front,  SOLAR  activity has slowly abated this past two weeks and today’s Sunspot Count was falling through the bottom at 14 while the Solar Flux was sinking down to 84, a sure sign of solar exhaustion.  Not much rise if any in solar activity and Sunspots is likely for the three way planetary alignments on January 13.  Accordingly, January’s weather and human emotions will continue to be mainly geophysical.  EL NINO MAY NOW BE FORMING UP and become a factor in late Spring 2005 through the early Winter of 2006 BUT THIS IS STILL NOT VERY CERTAIN AT THE MOMENT.  MORE IMMEDIATELY, the North Pacific Hot Zone in the Gulf of Alaska is cooling off.  It was PROBABLY A SIGNIFICANT FACTOR IN DRIVING THE EXTREME LOOPING IN THE JET STREAM WHICH IS SUCKING NORTH ALASKAN AIR DOWN THROUGH TO ARIZONA AND THE GULF STATES, PRODUCING THE CURRENT COLD SNAP AND LARGE SNOWFALLS WHICH SWEEP ACROSS THE ENTIRE CONTINENT.  IF SO THIS PATTERN WILL BEGIN TO DISSOLVE  now, but  COLD SNAPS will be ALTERNATING WITH BRIEF CLEARING AND WARMING for the next week at least.  From below during the past fourteen days, the Earth activity in the Indo-Trench was awesome if tragic for millions of people. This entire world event is a profoundly important precursor in all dimensions  which reveals much about the nature of what we will experience in the first major waves of the shifting of the poles.  In fact, this may be the first major wave which will be followed during the coming months and years with an ever increasing tempo of breakups in the Equatorial Zone and then with equally destructive activity up through the other major tectonic collision zones.  Enormous quantities of seismic energy, nearly all world quake activity, struck exclusively for nearly a week along the Northwestern edge of the Australian Tectonic Plate.  At the moment, volcanic activity is still mainly negligible.   Quake activity has now moved on, mainly to other locations in the Pacific Rim, and to East Africa.   As warned last week, quake activity has picked up on the Carib Plate, Baja, and Southern California, which is more or less about 180 degrees almost directly from the Indo Trench – expect much more activity in this zone during the next seven days as a mirror reflection of the shape-shifting of the Earth in Indonesia.

 

On the geopolitical front, There is very little new to say.  It is wonderful pause to see nations and peoples organize to assist those so devastated in Southeast Asia.  This was truly a huge devastation, yet not even equal to the devastation imposed on Iraq by some 15 years of tyrannical American policies. It is remarkable to see how well people can cooperate when not polarized by greed and imperious, tyrannizing egos by people who pretend to be better than others. But sadly, in the U.S. the National Democratic Party appears well organized to complete its total demise as a moral force of conscientious representation for its voters.  It refuses to pinch itself and wake up to the reality that another series of vote-scams have turned it completely into a minority party.   It is unable to even stand up to the S.S.A.G. Goebbles appointment, err, that’s Gonzales, proffering instead to continue to eat the proven noxious lies of the Bush Imperial Faction, something to do with how he doesn’t really believe in torture.  Oh Really? Does anyone except the den of lying liars lying in their lies in the Senate to believe THAT STINKY BRAIN FART can fly out of Washington DC? It is clearly far too bloated and slimy to fly for all those eyes in the hinterlands who have not been hypnotized by the Sorcerers of Nieuw Yorke. Such insanity abounds in human affairs it is no wonder that Nostradamus’ predictions are so obscurely written, apparently with disappearing sour grape wine.  What is the point, after all (one imagines Nostradamus must have asked himself) for these mad mad times have hardly a man in power with ears to hear and eyes to see. And meanwhile of course, the truly bad news remains as Iraq sinks more deeply into anarchy while international economic pressures continue to accelerate the deterioration of the U.S. economy.  THE MAIN STRATEGIC OUTSTANDING ISSUE IS HOW SOON AFTER THE ELECTIONS IN IRAQ THE U.S. Imperial Expedition will be forced to withdraw by the combined force of the overwhelming opinion of humankind.  After that, Bush’s next term will get progressively more and more unstable and untenable and the tragic consequences of his regime may finally entangle him and bring him down.  If not, the growing economic collapse will reduce the Republicrats to oblivion during 2006 as Progressives arise once again on the Prairies of North America.

 

Go to detailed synopsis…

 

 

This hidden column on the right  is available for links, banners, and icons of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual donation.  Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update.  YOU MUST HAVE BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous subscriber).. 

 

NOTES

Grayed items are not yet operational

 

 

 

Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well.  They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth.  Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects  The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors.  Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together.  This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead.  The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences.  The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

 

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/

 

The Bulletin is written in Arizona (UTC +8 hours) so any relative references, such as “Today”, or “Tomorrow”, or “Yesterday” should generally to taken to refer to the day spans as experienced in Western North America.

 

 

 

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Nov 24 not available as of this date

 

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June 2, 2004

May 26, 2004

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UPDATE PREDICTIONS FOR 2005 – 2012 and through “The Tribulations”

 

A systematic synopsis is being assembled which succinctly outlines predictions for the period 2005 – 2012 and through the period of what the Q’ero call the Pachacuti and the Hopi call the “Great Purification” (also known as the “Time of Troubles” or “The Tribulations”.  This outline will update the predictions in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006” and the “Return of the Phoenix”, mainly by confirming the general plot line and by adding more details which carry the predictions well beyond 2006-2008.

 

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007.  Click here to download

 

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008:  This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since May 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent.  If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything.

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JANUARY 6, 2006:   On track, as discussed in previous Bulletins.  A new quick summary is provided below in the Economy section.

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF DECEMBER 22, 2004:  No surprises, everything on track as predicted…conditions remain about the same through to the first week of January – things will then begin to break suddenly…into a fast and furiously changing year.  The tide will clearly turn during 2005 on many fronts, collectively marking the end of the American Age and a progressive waning of American stature and prosperity..

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 17, 2004:

As per stated below, the bubble is re-inflating for a few more weeks or even months if Al Qaeda does not attack.  Oil prices are dropping as stocks and equities firm up and the economy continues expansion with the expectation that American Imperialism will continue (unfortunately) to drive international events during 2005. BEWARE SUDDEN REVERSALS WHEN ALQAEDA STRIKES.  BEWARE THE EMERGING SUPER-COALITION IN EURASIA WHICH WILL PROGRESSIVELY UNDERCUT THE AMERICAN DOLLAR DURING 2005, GENERALLY IN A MEASURED WAY WHICH AVOIDS SUDDEN PANIC.  This is not a hostile action, it is a sensible reaction of the world to the vast over-reach of America’s Imperial Pretenders. This will produce a strong trend of basic price inflation in the U.S. as basic material commodity prices and the cost of imported goods continue to rise. The world WILL solve the Balance of Payments problem, mainly by raising the dollar costs of imports beyond the means of Americans to purchase them.

 

 

 

 

ALL DATES AND TIMES USED IN THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN ARE NOW UTC = Universal Time Constant, previously known as Greenwich Mean Time.

 

 

HOUSEKEEPING

 

 

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 7 PM Arizona Time (6 PM Pacific Time).   Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin.  To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network

 

Alex Merklinger is recovering from his heart attack.  He considers his survival a miracle.  He has resumed some of his schedule this week and as noted above, Mandeville will be on Friday evening January 7 for an extended discussion of the year 2005 and following.

 

MANDEVILLE WILL BE INTERVIEWED ON THE LOU GENTILE SHOW:  Fri. Jan. 14, 2005 - 5 PM to 7 PM PACIFIC TIME - http://lougentile.com/

 

TOPIC:  Predictions and Prophecies 2005 and Beyond

 

·        Updating Cayce's Earth Changes and Economic Depression Cycle

·        Political/Economic Consequences of Bush's Empire Building

·        How all this in 2004/2005 may connect with the Nostradamus prophecy as seen through Dolores Cannon.

 

Through Gentile's questions I will talk out a lot of predictions and interconnections of prophecies which I have not had time to keyboard into the computer.

 

A

Begin Synopsis

 

 As stated in the “Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities of the human species.  As we transform the media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth.  Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it.  Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies.

 

 

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time.  Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

For those who have not yet gotten their “High Holy Happy Khepera Ascension” card,  Please Go Here.  I love bringing back into consciousness the ancient Egyptian symbolism, on which Western thought and most of the major religious symbolism and concepts of the Semitic and Persian traditions are based, as well as many of the key words and ideas of the Hindu traditions which came forth through the Sanskrit language.  There is enough beautiful Egyptian material to deluge you so I will continue each Winter Solstice to send just a small token.

 

FOR 2005 IN GENERAL:  Some major keywords for 2005 are:

 

“Gathering”, most especially in the sense of gathering of forces;

 

“Being”, as in the sense of fully participating in the realization and practice of what we dare to hope we are becoming;

 

“Accepting”; negatively as in eating the “Karmic Blowback” (the American People are going to take an immense amount of Karmic Blowback for the Tragedy in Iraq); positively as in receiving supportive affirmation for long-suffering spiritual efforts and intentions

 

“Emerging”, realization and experiencing of the becomings long sought, most especially as in bringing forth the new understandings, orientations, needs, and directions of purpose for a profoundly different world than is celebrated in the Mass Media.

 

In the positive dimension, around these keywords, many new phenomenon will emerge, especially in the forms of groups and individuals manifesting new activities.

 

In the negative dimension, the coming “Karmic Blowback” is going to be terrible and shake the very roots of everything in North America from now through to 2012.  But a great turning towards peace and a desire for equitable, personal connection to real community is underway in the hearts and minds of a great mass of humanity.  This is the entire hope.

 

STAY FOCUSED ON HELPING THE EMERGENCE OF PEACE, JUSTICE, AND FREEDOM.  DENY ALL MOVEMENT TOWARDS FASCISM.  THE FASCISTS AND BIGOTS AMONG THE NATIONS ARE GOING TO DELIVER INCREASING QUANTITIES OF KARMIC BLOWBACK TO EACH OTHER.  It will be terrible in the coming years, and in 2005 the U.S. will begin to tangibly feel PRECURSERS of the blowback.  Nothing is going to “go right” for the North American Powers That Be this year – and it gets worse and worse as the year goes down.

 

I SUGGEST YOU “DUCK” AND KEEP PUTTING YOURSELF IN A DIFFERENT PLACE ALLTOGETHER – MENTALLY AND EMOTIONALLY AND POLITICALLY AND ECONOMICALLY, AND IF YOU ARE URBAN DEPENDENT, I HIGHLY RECOMMEND THAT YOU BEGIN TO FORM YOUR STRATEGY FOR PHYSICALLY DUCKING THE EMPIRE’S KARMIC BLOWBACK FOR THE PERIOD 2006-2012, ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN THE EAST COAST BUBBLE.

 

No-Eyes, the blind old first world prophet of the Rockies had it right 20 years ago, it is going to get increasing bad there and there is no end in sight until “the Phoenix screeches”. 

 

BREATH FREE. Let go of everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird.  Let go of everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.  The old patterns are falling away.  Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all.

 

SPIRITS EMERGING:  CONFIRMING WHAT I PREDICTED LAST YEAR:  “In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them.  This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater meaning by the end of the year.”

 

Here is one.  ADAM, an 18 year old healer in Vancouver, British Columbia, is beginning to be recognized and is causing more and more of a stir.  He is quite possibly a great successor to the Edgar Cayce tradition.  If you combine his group “work” with disciplined personal meditation, you have the keys to the full realization of gathering, being, and emergence this year.  His two short books, which I had the opportunity to read over the year end holidays are well worth reading and he will tell you in his own words how to operationalize what I had written in this section last month:

 

Don’t react, go to center, get clear, release, and grieve…the Fourth Age is dying rapidly now… much more rapidly than we thought, its institutions and identities are beyond saving… let it go, let go, get to center…flow into God, let God flow into you…don’t speculate, don’t analyze, don’t react to the shtuff…clear…clean out the past four years…we are now free to grieve the death of everything we detested…let it go…let it go…let it die.   As you re-center in God, find the realization that this is the final moment you have been waiting for to end your connections and involvements with the illusions and delusions of all that which has betrayed the divine within each and brought greed, war, and destruction over the Earth.

 

The destroyers belong to each other, this is now the final time of their fatal embrace.  Let them love their wars…they have greatly desired the bitter wines of their hatreds and violence, they have lusted greatly for their Armageddon, and they shall have it. 

 

The die has been cast with a thousand artifices and illusions.  With the excellence of its manner of casting,  God has delivered to you your own freedom from the delusions and spells of the Mass Sorcerers, indeed, from the entire age, if you will but realize it.  Clear yourself and your life to find now the sense of movement and direction to separate your life from the dying culture which is putrefying all around you. There is no saving it…as Buckminster Fuller observed many decades ago, the old order is never saved, the new order merely grows up around it to eventually takes its place.  So it will come to pass now in an intense period of vast change during the next twenty years.

 

 

 

The “Great Purification” predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues.  How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving

The Great Purification

of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004.

 

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….

THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

 

 

FOR THE MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration.  This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

 

 

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE.  To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

 

ANATOMY OF THE

2004 GREAT RUPTURE OF THE INDO-TRENCH

 

The outline of the wobble track on the map grid of the world seems to show more clearly every week that the spiraling motion of the North Spin Axis has indeed, as I have suspected for weeks, accelerated its rate of drift.  More, it is showing considerable instability in moving through its spiraling track.

 

Polar motion returned to its spiral track and is currently spiraling tightly inward. OOPS, that was a couple of weeks ago.  Now it is very lazily actually drifting away from its X Min track (when the wobble is the smallest approximately every seven years). 

 

It is also having a bad hair month – err, year.  Its motion seems more unstable during this past three months and does not appear to be “forming up” in a track appropriate to its last six months of motion.  It currently appears to be “spreading” out into a wider spiral rather than it typical.

 

Take a look at the xplot chart and you will see the beginning of the new outward, horizontal motion on the wave track. 

 

What is it doing? It is always hard to generalize about these motions but I believe we are currently seeing the “blowback” or “feedback” energy of the rupturing of the Earth’s crust in the Indo-Trench.

 

I believe that the poles are now shifting (have been for the past few years) their ”average” location more rapidly than during the previous century. This accelerated drift is probably due to some mass imbalance in the Earth’s crust.  This imbalance is being acted upon by centrifugal motion of the Earth’s spin, which is changing the focal point of the “wobble” in the spin.

 

Then, about 90 days ago, apparently the drift track of the wobble hit a vector of mass resistance.  This resistance was strong enough to flatten the peak of its normal sine-wave spiraling motion in what is called the Xplot of polar motion.  This plot is maintained by international cooperation to keep tabs on the exact location of the North Spin Axis from day to day.

 

Apparently, the normal smooth motion of the Earth’s crust dipping over the theoretical average location of the North Spin Axis toward the Pacific and then back again down was arrested and cut off.  The entire Crust of the Earth was arrested in its NORMAL motion.  The North Spin Axis was pulled back down into the Atlantic Hemisphere, down towards England earlier and more rapidly than it should have.

 

Then the normal motion seemed to begin to assert itself and the spiral began to turn inward, as it should be doing at this time, closing toward the X Min point where the wobble will be at its smallest size of its seven year cycle.

 

I believe this abnormal track of the wobble is one of the primary causes of the Great Rupture in the Indo-Trench.  The connection and time parallelism between these two relatively abnormal events is just too close to ignore as mere coincidence.

 

And…the parallelism gets better. Suddenly the motion of the North Spin Axis began to flare out again this past few days, apparently shifting the focal point for the entire wobble of the North Spin Axis.

 

I do not have enough of the numbers of actual polar motion (agreed upon and formally reported) to be mathematically precise about this.  The IERS generally cogitates on what it will advance as the real numbers to make sure it corresponds will all reports. It will be another month or so until enough real numbers are available on table form to clearly see what may have been the feedback or blowback effect.  However, the IERS Xplot is not nearly so shy and currently shows exactly what I am talking about.  The current, apparent out-flaring “jiggle” in the Xplot has probably been created by the “ringing” or oscillation of the Earth created by the Christmas Rupture of the Indo-Trench.

 

KEEP IN MIND THAT THIS WATCH HAS BEEN SET TO LOOK EXACTLY FOR THIS TYPE OF DEPARTURE OF THE EARTH FROM ITS PREVIOUS SPIRALING WOBBLE TRACKS.  THESE MOTIONS DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS CONFIRMS THE THESIS OF VORTEX TECTONICS AND THE DEDUCTION FOR THE PROJECTED AVALANCHE OF THE CRUST WHICH WAS CALCULATED IN THE “RETURN OF THE PHOENIX”.

 

(The spiral track takes nearly seven years to define a complete wobble cycle and it takes the entire cycle to be able to calculate the average location of the North Spin Axis in order to compare it against other “average locations” in the previous axis cycles.  From this, a straight line track of the “average locations” can be computed and the acceleration in the rate of motion of the “shift” can be defined I believe at the current time that this will show a specific “jump” this past year, a micro “pole shift”.  Very micro.)

 

In general, the Wobble Track is showing continued tightening of the Chandler’s Wobble Spiral, as should be at this time in its 7 year Wobble Cycle, and the track seems to be conforming with a continued acceleration in the rate of drift, but this can be by no means certain until this 7 year cycle is over.  In about two years we will be able to locate the minimum spiral of motion and then look for the average 7 year "location" of this past seven years for comparison with previous cycles.

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif

 

 

 

 

 

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth.  No real change during the past year:  a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

 

Currently, there is little of note.  Despite many claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis of many different regions of the Earth.

 

 

 

Asteroids

As of June 04,

NASA’S

ESTIMATE:

“Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs  (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

 

 

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted, dates for planetary alignments are derived from Home Planet Software using PC graphics, due to limitations of software and graphics display, actual timing may be off as much as three days, for scientific work, use a professional ephemeris for exact dates).  For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar.  The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.  

 

Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure

Every day John Walker’s  (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of  hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows.  Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way.  http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html

 

Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data  - click here to be always up to date

Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html


Daily Solar System – click here to view Planet Alignments

The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets.  Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake.  You can set any date and time.  You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar

 

LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR 2005

                                             Distance

 

2005

New              10-Jan  12:04

 

This list will be expanded for the entire year this coming weekend

 

TODAY’S MOON

 

We are in Lunation #1014 and we are now 25 days past the New Moon of December 12 at 1:29 UTC.   As of January Day 06, the Moon this day is now deep in its South Node (orbiting South of the Equator).  It is now approximately 370,000 KM from the Earth. It is 16% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase) now waning into the New Moon of January 10.

 

SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS

QUALIFER:  As we have seen at least three times this past year, most dramatically with the recent outbreak (Oct 23-26 2004) of large Earthquakes on the West side of Honsho Island (Japan), the Syzygy Window and Perigee principles DO NOT WORK CONSISTENTLY TO FORECAST AN INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE NOR FREQUENCY OF EARTHQUAKES.  Using strictly an intuitive view of the past 12 months, the rate of accuracy is definitely larger than random but probably not larger than about 70% for any given area.

 

We are just about in the seismic New Moon Syzygy of January 7–14.  This syzygy should be neither weak nor strong compared to other Syzygies during the past year, using strictly the logic of gravity influences between the Moon and the Earth.

 

As we have seen this past few months, this is not always the entire story.  Hard to say what to expect.  However, in conjunction with the Solar Perihelion which the Earth entered into this day, this New Moon Syzygy may be far more potent than most.

 

Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision.  For details see the Syzygy website  

 

Seismic/Tsunami Heads Up All Zones Pacific Rim of Fire & Indonesia

Special Alert of the Earth Changes Bulletin

(ECB, January 4, 2004) There is substantial danger of additional major rupturing of the Earth's Crust and the creation of major Tsunami forces during the next 30 days. The 9.0 Great Rupture of Christmas 2004 in the Indo-Trench may be just a precursor to additional major seismic, volcanic, and tsunami activity to occur within the next three to four weeks.

The Great Rupture in the Indo-Trench was preceded by about 24 hours with a Great 8.1 quake in the Southeastern edge of the Australian tectonic plate in a region of the seafloor near Macquarie Sound to the South of New Zealand. A new quake struck in the same location about 24 hours ago as of this date-time stamp (approximately January 3 2004 at UTC 6:00 pm). It was a major quake of 6.1, though this magnitude is puny compared to the earlier Great Quake of 8.1 the day

before Christmas 2004.

 

Unlike the week long aftershocks which continued to strike the Indo- Trench, the Macquarie Sound quake was not accompanied by aftershocks. This new quake may indicate another round of motion in the Australian tectonic plate is beginning and thus this may be a signal that additional rupturing will occur along the Northern and Western edges of the Australian plate and/or directly once again along the Indo-Trench.

 

However, during the past 24 hours, seismic activity has fallen off

dramatically in Indonesia. After a week during which almost the

entire world's seismic activity was exclusively focused along the

Indo-Trench, quake activity has fallen there and appears at the

moment to be building up in the Philippines, Japan, and California. A quake even appeared in Greece.

 

Accordingly, at this moment, the tectonic signals are mixed. As

well, cosmic signals are mixed, but cosmic forces will shortly

consolidate gravitational influences to exert nearly maximum torque effects on the Earth.

 

The Great Indo-Trench rupture occurred during a Full Moon Syzygy as the Earth was approaching very close to its annual orbital Perihelion (closest approach to the Sun). At the moment the Moon is between syzygies (alignment of the Earth-Moon-Sun in a straight line) during which quake activity usually abates to a considerable extent. However, the Earth is still approaching its orbital Perihelion, which will be about January 6.

 

At Earth's Perihelion, the Sun will have its maximum gravitational

effect on the Earth, pulling most strongly on the Southern Hemisphere, tending to pull the Australian plate UP towards the equator where it is colliding with areas such as the Indo-Trench.

 

This influence will be greatly magnified by the New Moon Syzygy

during January 7 through to January 14. The New Moon on January 10 will be very close to halfway between Apogee and Perigee (its closest approach to the Earth) in a straight line with the Sun. This will create a very strong gravitational pulling force on the crust of the Earth during the current annual cycle. This pulling of the Moon and the Sun will combine a pull of the South to the North against the Equator with an East to West pull of all continents against their adjacent oceanic floors.

 

Since the Carib Plate is nearly on the Equator and will be squeezed especially strongly during this coming syzygy, along with the entire Northern Arc of the Australian Tectonic Plate, ranging from the Solomon Islands through to the Nicobar Islands, major rupturing could also occur in Central America down through Peru.

 

At somewhat lesser risk may be the Northern Arc of the Pacific Rim of Fire but the current build up of seismic activity in the region may be signaling much more activity to come during the next two weeks. The most destructive quake activity during the last 15 years in Japan, California, and the Puget Sound has been in the period of late December to January through to as late as March. Clearly the Perihelion phase is the most dangerous period for large destructive quakes and the recent rupturing in the Indo-trench may be merely a precursor to more to come during the next 90 days, most especially during the next 14 days.

 

Adding to this mix of strong forces and potential major tectonic

motions is a complex set of planetary alignments which appear to

cluster most strongly around January 13. One of these alignments is a straight line between the Sun, Earth, and Saturn. Though the gravitational impact of this is not significant (theoretically) on Earth, the electromagnetic impact of these alignments is often very strong on both the Sun (in the form of major sunspots, CME's, flares, and solar wind disturbances) and the Earth's weather (which is strongly modified by any increase in solar activity).

 

Accordingly, some increase in solar activity is to be expected during the next several days. These increases will likely drive another round of major storm fronts to hit major continents. These may in turn increase the probability of increased tectonic activity. Some geophysicists have been speculating in recent years that these solar storms and major weather fronts on Earth have an indirect impact on stimulating an increase in tectonic activity through an increase in drag forces against the Earth's crust and by making the normal slight wobbling motion of the Earth more irregular than normal. These fluctuations may cause shifts in the stress in earthquake faults, pushing some of them "over the edge".

 

Adding to this mixture are a large number of warnings from most

people who watch the Earth's tectonic activity avocationally or who tune into it psychically. Most "tripwires" seem to believe that

additional major "events" are on the way during the next 30 days.

 

Accordingly, given the constellation of material forces and various human impressions, all peoples who live in the Pacific Rim of Fire and along the Australian Plate, especially those on the coasts, should at all times maintain a heightened sense of vigilance

 

MOST ESPECIALLY DURING THE NEXT 30 DAYS.

 

Right now is the time to work through your evacuation plan. It is a useful drill for anytime and it may be needed in somewhere during the next 90 days. If you fall into the target areas outlined above, DO IT NOW.

 

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit).   (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.)  For details see the Syzygy website.

 

THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS

For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is 7, Neptune is 8, Pluto is 9, and both Planet X and Nibiru are bogus.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT PLANETARY/SOLAR INFLUENCES:  Solar Cycle 23 is rapidly approaching its minima period when solar activity and sunspot counts will be minimal most of the time.  But even so, major sunspot peaks, big flares, coronal holes, and powerful CME’s will still occur once in a while, as the graphs of previous sunspot cycles definitely show.  These flare-ups will be a lot less predictable than during the past four years, which makes the large flare-ups even more intrusive.

 

LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO JUNE 30, 2005

 

For late December through to June 2005,  four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.

 

The Aphelion Six Way Cluster Bomb

 

At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets during a 30 day period.  Expect an INTENSELY STORMY WINTER.

 

December 30, 2004  Mercury | Jupiter
Venus and Mars still close and Earth near Saturn alignment
January 13, 2005  Mercury & Mars close couple to
Venus | Pluto and Earth | Saturn
January 27, 2005  Mercury | Venus with Pluto close couple

 

The Spring Grand Alignment

Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus

 

Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.  The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment

 

March 14, 2005  Mercury | Saturn
Spring Alignments begin in three main spirals
March 21,2005  Mars | Pluto with a spiral forming in
Mercury | Earth | Jupiter and another in Venus | Uranus
March 30, 2005 Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus
form a virtual straight line through the solar system with Mars and Pluto still closely coupled. Observers on Earth will only be able to physically see Jupiter rising on the Eastern horizon just after sunset and Saturn close to the Mid-heavens in the Western half of the sky. In the very early morning Mars and Uranus visible

 

Summer Ping Pong

 

June 7, 2005  Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and
Mars | Neptune.  The timing of these alignments between these planets is not exact, the electromagnetic balances of the solar system will shift in a complex way, probably producing a number of ups and downs in the sunspot count.

 

 

 

 

 

 

PLANET WATCHING  

For background and the current information on observable planets.

NASA REPORTS: Comet Machholz (C/2004 Q2) has been nearing Earth for weeks, brightening day by day, and now it looks like a fuzzy 5th-magnitude star near the feet of Orion. Look for it in the southeastern sky a few hours after sunset: sky map. Astronomers expect Comet Machholz to reach peak brightness (3rd or 4th magnitude) in January 2005--an easy target for Christmas telescopes. [ephemeris]

NASA'S DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

 

On 22 Dec 2004 there were 662 known Potentially

Hazardous Asteroids (three more than last month).  For January 2005, NASA has listed three Earth-asteroid encounters ranging from 14 to 15 LD’s away (see below).

 

ASTEROID

DATE (UT)

MISS DISTANCE

MAG.

1998 DV9

Jan. 11

30 LD

15

2004 EW

Feb. 14

23 LD

16

2004 RF84

Feb. 27

23 LD

14

 

Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon.

 

 

 

 

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information.  

To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table.

 

AS OF JANUARY 6: The Sunspot Count has bobbed up and down between 11 and 60 for the past three weeks and is currently sinking downward at 14 today.  The Index of Solar Flux is 83 today and also sinking. 

 

Apparently, we have seen most of the solar activity peak for the first constellation of planetary alignments in January. We may see another peak yet during the next few days, but it is not likely to be a spectacular rise. 

 

Solar Cycle 23 is dying quickly NOW.

 

HOWEVER, MERCURY AND JUPITOR ARE PROBABLY THE TWO LARGEST INFLUENCES ON THE SUN, MERCURY BECAUSE OF ITS CLOSENESS AND JUPITER BECAUSE OF ITS IMMENSE SIZE.  THEIR COMBINED INFLUENCE MAY GIVE US QUITE A WALLOP IN SUNSPOTS, SOLAR FLARES, MAGNETIC STORMS, AND INTENSE STORM FRONTS ON EARTH.

 

Following the Jupiter alignment, Mercury aligns with Mars on January 13 while Earth and Saturn align and Venus and Pluto cluster close.

 

Date       Flux  Sunspots  Area

 

2004 12 22   99     47      200     

2004 12 23   96     47      230     

2004 12 24   97     42      210     

2004 12 25   93     26      100     

2004 12 26   92     16       90     

2004 12 27   97     11      100     

2004 12 28  105     27      230     

2004 12 29   99     27      410     

2004 12 30  100     34      360     

2004 12 31   99     60      250     

2005 01 01   99     51      230     

2005 01 02  100     52      250     

2005 01 03   94     43      160     

2005 01 04   88     30       40     

2005 01 05   88     15       30     

2005 01 06   83     14       30

 

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23
These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad

Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. By November 2004, the count was still abnormally high at 43.7, making the decline of Solar Cycle 23 slow indeed.  But December clearly brought the end of the high sunspot counts. The average dipped down to a low of 17.9, surprising everyone.  The predicted average value for January is 27, so if we notice an increase during the next few weeks, it will just be the law of averages asserting itself.

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  Once again we are reminded that the Sun and its cycles are really not very “average” and not very “cyclical” or “regular”.  Nowhere can we find any evidence of an exact regularity, only constant variations.  The Sun is and probably always has been a vast cauldron of chaotic storms, electro-magnetic upwellings, and enormous explosions and sudden flares (or CME’s) which can extend out as far as even the outer planets, producing somewhat chaotic impacts on the planets.

All this makes exact predictions of solar activity far beyond the pale of human science, even with first class models of the electromagnetic gradients created by the planets and their orbital relationships.  From this it is easy to infer with considerable experience and conviction, that nothing on Earth can be foreseen, EXACTLY.  Just as some order is inevitable, so is some chaos built directly into the cosmos.

But even so the average count should drop during the next 12 months to a monthly low in the range of 10.  More and more, now and for the next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s atmosphere and weather less and less.  Global Warming and El Nino type of phenomena will be more and more influential compared to the solar input.  The geo-data we gather during the next three years about weather, climate, the Arctic, Antarctic, Drought Regions, etc. will be extremely valuable in telling us what the true long-term geo-trends really are.

 

 

 

 

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated.  (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into).  Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM Arizona Mountain Time (which does not have daylight savings time).

 

The Solar Wind was very mild at: 489.9 km/s this hour while pushing a very thin density of 0.6 protons/cm3”.   

 

Solar activity is at a very low ebb...THE OUTLOOK FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS  IS FOR VERY LITTLE ACTIVITY. Activity will probably pick up for the Earth | Saturn alignment.

 

Fluxgate Magnetometer:  The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) is showing virtually a FLAT LINE (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE.

 

NASA AURORA WATCH:  no forecast

 

NASA REPORTS:  Sunspot 715 has decayed almost completely since it unleashed an X-class solar flare on January 1st.”

 

NASA PREDICTS:  A solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole might hit Earth's magnetic field on January 9th or 10th.”  There is a 5-30% probability of geomagnetic storms, 1%-5% probability on coronal holes, CME’s, and M and/or X Class Flares.

 

Jan Alvestad reports:  “The geomagnetic field was inactive to unsettled on January 6. Solar wind speed ranged between 478 and 583 km/sec, generally decreasing all day. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 83.2. The planetary A index was 4 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 3.9)...At midnight there were 2 spotted regions on the visible solar disk. The solar flare activity level was very low. No C class events were recorded during the day. Region 10715 decayed slowly and had two tiny spots left at midnight, the region could become spotless today...January 6: No obvious fully or partly Earth directed CMEs were observed.”

 

Jan Alvestad predicts:  “A recurrent coronal hole in the southern hemisphere will likely be in a geoeffective position on January 6-7. The associated high speed stream could become geoeffective on January 9 or 10...The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on January 7. A weak CME impact is possible and could cause occasional active intervals. A more significant CME is likely to arrive on January 8 and may cause unsettled to minor storm conditions. Quiet to active is possible on January 9 due to this CME and the arrival of a coronal hole flow from CH138.” Alvestad also predicts for the next 24 hours a 20-60% probability of coronal holes, a 60-100% probability of CME’s, and a  0-20% probability of M and/or X Class Flares.

 

 

 

 

 

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been watching the weather patterns track the Sunspot Peaks  have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark.  Accordingly, our “sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.  With the decline in sunspot activity, weather is now more governed by Earth’s geophysics and will be mostly through to about 2010. For geophysical-based reports and predictions – start with Yahoo Weather, or the Weather Channel. Am I resigning from weather forecasts?  Almost. This section will only add commentary on possible weather disturbances when major sunspot peaks form up.  These should be more rare than during the past four years.

 

WELL WELL WELL…MAYBE YOU WOULD PREFER THE SUNSPOT INDUCED MID-LATITUDE MARINE STORM FRONTS OF THE PAST YEAR?  ISN’T THIS CONTINENTAL POLAR INDUCED STORM FRONT WORSE FOR THE MIDWESTERN, HIGH MOUNTAINS, AND EASTERN SEABOARD?


BUT IT IS GREAT FOR THE WESTERN DESERT ZONES.  ARIZONA IS DRENCHED IN WET, SNOW, AND COLD WEATHER SUCH AS I HAVE NOT SEEN IN SIX YEARS OF LIVING HERE.  THERE HAS BEEN MORE WILD PLANT GROWTH IN THE SONORAN DESERT REGION THIS PAST FOUR MONTHS THAN IN THE PREVIOUS FOUR YEARS.

 

All came weather came about as I predicted.  Much more on the way…but for this I am merely listening to the weathermen.  The sun’s input in irrelevant.  It is back to old-fashioned ocean temperatures, jet streams, and polar conditions. 

 

AND THEY ARE WACKY THIS WINTER.  I think the weather patterns pretty much prove up the case of Global Warming and reveal what the essential syndrome is going to be.

 

AN INTENSE COLD WET WINTER, and perhaps a short one as per the Global Warming Syndrome I have been suggesting.  A major shift in the eco systems of the extreme North and the desert zone latitudes with short intense Winters and Summers and long drawn out often stormy Springs and Falls. 

 

The Pacific Southwest is clearly going to get a LOT more rain this winter and this may be a recurring feature.  If so, it will change everything here. Some say, it is merely returning the area to be more what it was like several decades ago.

 

I am not sure what this says about Global Warming, but it says a lot about the Pacific Southwest.  I have been wondering about how the Pacific Southwest could show so many extreme erosion patterns with such little rainfall this past five years.  I have just seen more erosion and shifts of earth in the “dry washes” in the past month than I have seen in the past four years.

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

COLD WET, LOTS OF RAIN AND SNOW, TWO MORE MARINE FRONTS ON THE WAY FOR NORTH AMERICA.

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR WINTER SEASON

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

 

THE WARM WATER PATCH IN THE NORTH PACIFIC (GULF OF ALASKA) seems to be dissipating now but the jet stream is still kinked.  Mid Pacific Marine air is flowing up to Alaska and then down off shore the North American Coast to as far South as San Diego before flowing onto the continent, which then turns over Arizona to flow nearly straight North over Utah and Colorado.  This is, shall we say, highly unusual.

 

I cannot explain it but it surely has broken the drought pattern for the Pacific Southwest and California and is driving an enormous amount of snow into the Rockies and all other Mountains of  North America.

 

As of December 26, the warm water in the North Pacific (Gulf of Alaska)  decreased in size.  This has probably been the source of our “El Nino Norte”.  At the moment, still, as of today, the jet stream is extremely distorted driving Alaska air down to Arizona. This of course is bringing very cold wet air a lot further South than “normal” across all North America.

 

THIS “LOOP” OF COURSE PUSHES ACROSS NORTH AMERICA AS A STABLE STRUCTURE AND THEN IS FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER LOOP SEVERAL DAYS LATER.

 

I SUSPECT THE WARM PATCH IN THE GULF OF ALASKA THIS THE WINTER IS GOING TO DRIVE THIS PATTERN CONTINUOUSLY, MAKING WINTER VERY INTENSE IN COLD AND PRECIPITATION, ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS THROUGH AT LEAST JANUARY.

 

EXPECT TO GET SNOWED-IN DURING JANUARY FOR A SPELL IF YOU LIVE IN THE HIGH ELEVATIONS.

 

HAH! I DID.  The day I was scheduled to return to Black Canyon City from Snowflake, some 180 miles away, points on the ONLY three routes between the cities were closed.

 

KEEP WATCHING FOR GLOBAL WEATHER PATTERN:  Global Warming could easily intensify the seasons, making a short bitterly cold Winter, longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and shorter but very hot and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at work in the Northern Hemisphere?

 

SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS

This “sloppycast” is based on six years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

Brrrr…it is cold here as well.

 

But the grass is growing everywhere…and flowers bloom on the Sonoran despite the cold. 

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  The past 60 days has clearly broken the drought pattern of the past four years.  You can see it in the plants and the atmosphere everywhere.  It “feels” wet here now even on a sunny day, which it rarely has during the past six years (that I have been here).  Some climatologists are arguing that this is an anomalous wet year for the Pacific Southwest and that the drought will reassert itself next year or the year after.  I am inclined to think that the drought in the Southwest is a product of both the Sunspot Cycle 23 and the Global Warming syndrome.  From this, I suppose that the drought pattern may be somewhat reduced during the next four years during the Sunspot Minima, submerged completely by a lot of rain during El Nino, if it appears, but slowly the drought will reappear during the next climb of sunspot counts during Solar Sunspot Cycle 24.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH
The watch is now open again; Pacific water activity appears mostly normal, we are between the extremes of the ENSO; Click here for the NOAA window on the Pacific Ocean Temperatures:

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif

 

AS OF DECEMBER 26, conditions along the Pacific Equator continued to WARM SLIGHTLY. 

 

The trend is still very weak.   El Nino may not occur.  No prediction one way or the other is possible at the current moment.

 

BUT, as of December 26, conditions for El Nino are a little stronger than the preceding couple of weeks. 

 

If El Nino does begin to firm up, it will have little impact on the Winter of 2005, but it may begin to impact the Spring and hit heavy and hard during the Summer and Fall months and perhaps deliver a VERY wet and warm Winter for 2006.

 

Or not…only time will tell.  Probably by April we will know for certain.

 

AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY – THE CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005.  Purely in accordance with the X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model,  AN EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN 2005.  But, the El Nino is not like an astrophysical cycle.  There are some “missing” El Nino’s in the record of the 20th century and we may have a missing one.  HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN UNTIL ABOUT APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in which the syndrome has formed up during previous El Nino’s.

 

ADDITIONAL NOTE:  The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS.   Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El Nino year.  So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005.

 

 

 

KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC,  ANTARCTIC, and the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories of the climate shift.

 

 

GLOBAL WARMING

It is becoming obvious that we have a long term real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the latitudes.  This climate shift is creating a growing environmental disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  It is now clear that a “wet winter” is well under way for almost all of North America and Mexico, even the normally dry desert areas in Arizona and New Mexico.  This is already overcoming some of the effects of the drought. After a highly unusually wet Fall, moisture starved plants in the Mojave, Sonoran Desert Plain and along the Mogollon Foothills, are suddenly growing like crazy, pretending as if it were April.  Many plants have bloomed during November and December and green grass, only rarely seen in lower elevations, is growing widely throughout Arizona. 

 

At the moment it would be hard to think that the area is in a drought period, but it is very clear that the area, like much of the planet, is experiencing some pretty weird unseasonable climate patterns.

 

Where all this is going only the wind can tell...

 

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED ABOUT THE LIKELY IMPACT OF GLOBAL WARMING ON HURRICANES

 

For others comments on Global Warming,

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25, 2004

 

For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004

 

 

 

 

 

IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR

 

AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK:  As the sunspot counts decline and fail to peak for the planetary alignments, the impact on humans and the biosphere is declining progressively.  Relatively more human activity will tend to be more driven by mental activity and spiritual connectivity than emotional impulses.

 

This does not favor the Imperial Faction and the Sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast Smokescreen Industry.  The strength of the emotional associations which they rely upon to program mass behavior will have less and less power during the next four years.

 

This is going to be especially true with the four year jag of emotional associations around “patriotism”.  During 2005, patriotism and martial ardor will become increasingly  “old” among the young and the marginal.  More and more soldiers will wake up and realize they have been on a “bender” which left them in a literal hellhole.

 

As solar activity ebbs into low activity levels, have you noticed that the polls are increasingly showing that people think the Tragic Invasion of Iraq was in fact A MISTAKE (now some 60%) and that 65% believe Rumsfeld should go.

 

People collectively are losing the ardor of blind emotional commitments which the sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast Media and the agents of HillBilly Sunday whipped up.  They are waking up to a wicked hangover in bed with a very ugly mess.

 

This shift is palpable and will grow in magnitude and depth.  The Imperial Faction will stall out rapidly during 2005, it is increasingly unlikely that they will have their way in the Middle East.

 

 

 

 

 

EARTHQUAKES

Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger.  Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above.  Unfortunately there are many lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.  Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON INCOMPLETE INFORMATION.  FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I do.  See Syzygy.com

Like the previous Christmas Week, by far the greater part of the world’s seismic energy above 3.0 for the last seven days continued to be expressed around the Northwestern margin of the Australian Tectonic Plate, mainly in the Indo-Trench.  But activity began to spread during the last several days to Greece, East Africa, to the Philippines, Japan, the Carib Plate, and Southern California.

 

Shape-shifting produced four modest quakes (4.4 – 5.5) in the Great Rift of the Earth.  There were no clear patterns except the continued shaking in the Indo-Trench..

 

COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR SOUTH CAL.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a major destructive quake could now strike at any time in Santa Barbara, Santa Monica, Hollywood, the Van Nuys Valley region, Bakersfield, and anywhere along the escarpment of the San Bernardino Mountains. This will be a follow up to the 4.9 quake which was felt in Coos Bay Oregon during July 2004.  If a quake occurs near Santa Barbara, warnings will need to be given to Mexico City about the possibility of a major explosive event in Popo.

 

SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH

 

No reports to add this week

 

SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH

The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.)  For additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the Earth, go to Plate Tectonics Map

 

Four mild shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great Rift during the past seven days, one of them, measuring magnitude 4.4, struck in middle of the Mid Atlantic Rise near Iceland.   As well a 4.8 struck along the  Central East Pacific Rise, West of Ecuador, while a 5.5 quake struck to the South of Africa along the margin of the Antarctic Tectonic Plate and a 4.5 struck the Carlsburg Ridge in the Middle of the Indian Ocean.

 

Magnitude 4.4 REYKJANES RIDGE

Thursday, December 30, 2004 at 00:32:35 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_srel.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        52.52N 34.90W

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          REYKJANES RIDGE

Reference     1140 km (710 miles) SE of Qaqortoq (Julianehab), Greenland

1170 km (730 miles) ESE of Nain, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

1395 km (860 miles) ENE of SAINT JOHN'S, Nfld. and Labrador, Canada

1620 km (1010 miles) SE of NUUK (GODTHAB), Greenland

 

Magnitude 4.8 CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC RISE

Thursday, December 30, 2004 at 22:17:56 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_srdh.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        6.12S 106.84W

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC RISE

Reference     3015 km (1870 miles) W of Guayaquil, Ecuador

 

 

Magnitude 5.5 SOUTH OF AFRICA

Thursday, January 06, 2005 at 03:28:51 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_syaj.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        52.56S 27.57E

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          SOUTH OF AFRICA

Reference     960 km (600 miles) SW of Marion Island, Prince Edward Islands

2535 km (1570 miles) S of Durban, South Africa

 

Magnitude 4.5 CARLSBERG RIDGE

Thursday, December 30, 2004 at 10:17:26 UTC

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_srdm.html

Preliminary Earthquake Report

Location        2.35S 68.76E

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          CARLSBERG RIDGE

Reference     685 km (425 miles) NW of Diego Garcia, Chagos Archipelago

885 km (550 miles) SW of MALE, Maldives

1605 km (1000 miles) SW of COLOMBO, Sri Lanka

 

NORTH AMERICAN WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitudeAny numbers used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect what will eventually appear in scientific databases. IMPORTANT NOTE: Most volcano monitoring sites appear to be screening out microquakes. A study needs to be done to establish how to reconcile various lists and databases because of this practice.  The numbers below cannot be considered to be definitive totals and subtotals.  We use them merely to observe relative fluctuations from week to week.

 

Seismic activity in North America overall for quakes in the range of 1.0 and over was generally down this last week in conformance with the syzygy window.  Activity has basically random. Only Yellowstone showed a minor increase up to 10 quakes of 1.0 or so over a seven day period.

 

IN THIS TABLE BELOW, “PRIOR WEEK” OR “LAST WEEK” refers to two weeks ago.

 

US & ALASKA & ISLANDS  --- 518

down from 590 the prior week

 

BIG ISLAND HAWAII (not including microswarms) --- 14

up from 12 during the prior week - these do not include the microquakes under Mauna Loa

 

CALIFORNIANEVADA  ---  323

down from 342 last week, widely scattered in California and Nevada;

 

LONG VALLEY - MONO LAKE REGION – 21

down from 34 last week – widely scattered

 

PNW --- 110

down from 315 last week; scattered but dominated still by St. Helens activity;

 

NE Cal - East of Klamath Falls, Oregon --- 1

down from 2 last week; these are almost certainly volcanic related, quakes have broken out here off and on during the past two years.

 

UTAH --- 24

down from 56 last week.

 

YELLOWSTONE WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude.  For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE.

 

YELLOWSTONE  --   10 widely scattered

up from 2 last week

 

WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES

 

The Indo Trench had innumerable quakes and clearly dominates all news. But this one 180 degrees away on the other side of the Earth may be a mirror reflection of the action in Indonesia and it may be an important precursor for activity on the Carib Plate

 

Magnitude 5.2 REVILLA GIGEDO ISLANDS REGION

Thursday, January 06, 2005 at 00:04:14 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_syab.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        19.63N 109.06W

Depth            50.0 kilometers

Region          REVILLA GIGEDO ISLANDS REGION

Reference     225 km (140 miles) ENE of Socorro Island, Mexico

365 km (225 miles) SSE of Cabo San Lucas, Baja Calif. Sur, Mexico

415 km (255 miles) WSW of Puerto Vallarta, Jalisco, Mexico

1035 km (640 miles) W of MEXICO CITY, D.F., Mexico

 

 

 

 

 

VOLCANOES

Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre.  Or see “Breaking Volcano Eruption News”.

 

OBSERVABLE WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY IS MUCH THE SAME AS THE PRIOR WEEKS.  Most volcanoes are barely cooking..  Kilauea is still oozing lava but only a very few are still smoking.

 

This is the null point for volcanic activity during the year.  Activity will begin to pick up in January and continue building up on through June of 2005, when it will begin to taper off.

 

Saint Helens is still building a dome relatively rapidly but activity was down sharply  Colima is smoking lava.  A few other smokers are still at it in the South Seas, on Kamchatka Peninsula, and in Central America.

 

SAINT HELENS VOLCANO UPDATES

Text in this section is a condensation of direct quotes from online source:

CURRENT UPDATE supplied by the U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington; U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington

Thursday, January 6, 2005 9:25 a.m. PST (1725 UTC)

MOUNT ST. HELENS UPDATE

Current status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level 2); aviation color code ORANGE

Growth of the new lava dome inside the crater of Mount St. Helens continues, accompanied by low rates of seismicity, low emissions of steam and volcanic gases, and minor production of ash. During such eruptions, episodic changes in the level of activity can occur over days to months. The eruption could also intensify suddenly or with little warning and produce explosions that cause hazardous conditions within several miles of the crater and farther downwind. Small lahars could suddenly descend the Toutle River if triggered by heavy rain or by interaction of hot rocks with snow and ice. These lahars pose a negligible hazard below the Sediment Retention Structure (SRS) but could pose a hazard along the river channel upstream.

Potential ash hazards: Wind forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), coupled with eruption models, show that ash clouds that rise above the crater rim today would drift southward early in the day then switch to an eastward drift by late afternoon.

Recent observations: The mountain is obscured by clouds from a storm that has settled into the region. Several inches of snow are expected to accumulate at the mountain over the next few days. Seismometers indicate that seismicity continues at a very low level, and the GPS unit on the rear of the lava dome continues to move slowly outward and downward. Crews will be back in the field during the next significant break in weather to install more GPS units.

For additional information, background, images, and other graphics: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html

USGS Cascades Volcano Observatory, the Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network at the University of Washington, and the USGS Northern California Seismic Network and Volcano Hazards Team in Menlo Park, California, monitor the major volcanoes in the Cascade Range of northern California, Oregon, and Washington. The U.S. Geological Survey and the University of Washington continue to monitor the situation closely and will issue additional updates and changes in alert

For additional information, background, images, and other graphics: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html

For seismic information: http://www.pnsn.org/HELENS/welcome.html

For a definition of alert levels: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html

Telephone recordings with the latest update on Mount St. Helens and phone contacts for additional information can be heard by calling: Media (360) 891-5180 General public (360) 891-5202

OTHER CASCADE VOLCANOES as of January Day 06 2004
Same source as above.

All other volcanoes in the Cascade Range are all at normal levels of background seismicity. These include Mount Baker, Glacier Peak, Mount Rainier, and Mount Adams in Washington State; Mount Hood, Mount Jefferson, Three Sisters, Newberry, and Crater Lake, in Oregon; and Medicine Lake, Mount Shasta, and Lassen Peak in northern California.

LATEST FORECAST FOR SAINT HELENS BY EC BULLETIN:   Look for the next increase in eruptive behaviour in St. Helens to occur in tandem with an increase in activity on Kamchatka Peninsula and/or in Alaska.  Activity among these volcanoes will progressively increase and reach a peak in the period of May – July.

AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK:  At least three of the active volcanoes on Kamchatka Peninsula are behaving in many ways very similar to St. Helens.  Perhaps we shall see these four volcanoes, which are in the Northern Arc of the Pacific Rim of Fire, flare up virtually simultaneously.

AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY: Colima may be the closest “model” for how St. Helens may behave during the next few years.  Both may erupt off and on with lava flows, as Colima does now from week to week, or with occasional ash plumes, then slowly stewing for weeks and months on end while merely steaming like nearly two dozen other volcanoes around the world, steaming until the next eruptive episode of ash and lava, which may last from a few days to several months.  More probable than not, St. Helens will have sudden flare-offs and a few major ash plumes during the next year, but no major, explosive eruption which comes even close to its 1980 eruption.  It will continue to sporadically emit steam and ash like Colima and Popo for the next few years.  How much and how vigorously remains unpredictable.

 

Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of January Day 06 2004: (SWVC does it annual database cleaning and new predictions for the year at this time, accordingly its numbers “break” sequence with the last numbers in December).

 

5 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment) (same as last week)

 

24 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may begin) – one half of the database at the end of 2004 - SWVO has done its annual database housecleaning and has restarted its alert list by eliminating all volcanoes on the list from 2004 except for those showing precursor signals at this moment in time.

 

17 on active list (seismic, gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (down from 22 two weeks ago – this decrease probably mainly represents a paring of the database during year end house-cleaning more than it represents a real decline in volcanic activity at this particular time, or, in other words, the real decline happened during 2004)

 

Popo gave another 6 puff day yesterday, same as two weeks ago.  Centrapred reports for January Day 06 (17:00 GMT) that “In the last 24 hours the monitoring system of Popocatepetl volcano, recorded 6 low intensity exhalations accompanied by steam and gas emissions. The other monitored parameters remain without important changes.

 

At the moment of this report we can observe the volcano with a light emission of steam and gas. (see image)

 

In an aerial photograph taken on November 12 by SCT, subsidence is observed in the inner crater; an external lava dome at the bottom of the crater cannot be distinguished. Due to the low levels of activity shown in the past days, the scenarios consisting of explosions and ash emission are less probable.”

 

HIGHLY INTERESTING NEW PLATE TECTONICS RESOURCE:

 

Digital World Tectonic Activity Map (DTAM) -  visualization tool that presents an actual representational view of global tectonics; created using current global datasets of seismicity, volcanism, and plate motions.

 

MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK

from Volcano Breaking News by Volcanologist John Seach

Volcano Travel:  john@volcanolive.com

Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian Time (UT + 10 hr)

Anatahan Volcano (Mariana Islands)
16.35 N, 145.67 E, summit elevation 788 m, Stratovolcano
Friday 7th January 2005
The third recorded eruption of Anatahan volcano began about 0540 UT (1540 MI) on 4th January. The eruption was preceded by two days of seismic activity at the volcano. The eruption was small and no large explosions were recorded. A low plume of ash up to about 500 ft was visible on January 5th (MI). A hotspot was visible on satellite images indicating the proximity of magma to the surface. The Emergency Management Office, Office of the Governor, CNMI, has placed Anatahan Island off-limits until further notice and concludes that, although the volcano is not currently dangerous to most aircraft within the CNMI airspace, conditions may change rapidly, and aircraft should pass upwind of Anatahan or farther than 30 km downwind from the island and exercise due caution within 30-50 km of Anatahan.
More on Anatahan Volcano...

Veniaminof Volcano (Alaska)
56.17 N, 159.38 W, summit elevation 2507 m, stratovolcano with summit caldera
Thursday 6th January 2005
The color code for Mount Veniaminof has been upgraded to "yellow". This follows ash emissions from the intracaldera cone. Ash emissions are small and rise several hundred feet above the cone. Ashfall is likely to be confined to the caldera. Weak seismic tremor started on January 1, and has increased slightly over the past 2 days. Steam and ash emissions may continue intermittently and could pose a hazard to people and low-flying aircraft in the vicinity of the active cone. This activity is above the normal background level.
More on Veniaminof Volcano...

Manam Volcano (Papua New Guinea)
4.10 S, 145.06 E, summit elevation 1807 m, Stratovolcano
Monday 3rd January 2005
Eruptions are continuing at Manam volcano in Papua New Guinea. Ash emisions reached 18,000 ft. Stronger eruptions are possible. The volcano remains at level 2 alert.
More on Manam Volcano...
Volcanoes of Papua New Guinea...

 

 

 

 

Standing Assessment:  Likely, it is fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical, moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. 

 

 

BLACK ARTS NATION

 

We are just on the front edge of “the outing”….

 

OR ARE WE?

 

So far the scandals are being kept in the closets of Washington DC.  Votescam 2004 should be big news and so should the prisoner abuse scandal, not to mention the growing international interest in pulling down Rumsfeld with indictments to eat his own words.

 

But very little is manifesting in actual dynamics of change.  So far, the Democratic response to Gonzales’ nomination for A.G. is hopelessly gutless.  Only today’s challenge in Congress to the legality of the Ohio Electors offers any hope.

 

But this challenge is being conducted so tepidly, or least is being reported so tepidly, it is real obvious that the fix is in and that the National Democratic Party is almost an entirely lost cause.

 

Funny, but real Democrats in a small, remote, conservative state don’t feel and talk like National Democrats at all.  As an elected Precinct Committeeman, I attended a meeting of the Yavaipai County Democratic Committee to meet the Executive Director of the Arizona State  Democratic Committee.  He wanted to ask County Democratic Committees what went wrong with the elections of 2004. 

 

I opined at the beginning with the thought that Kerry may not have actually lost the election.  This opinion met with genuine affirmative verbal response by several people in the room and from the reaction of the 50 people who were there, I believe I could have carried a resolution to demand a complete new election in Ohio to replace its crooked one.

 

AS I WALK AROUND AS A REAL PERSON IT IS TOTALLY OBVIOUS TO ME THAT THERE IS A HUGE, FUNDAMENTAL DISCONNECT  BETWEEN THE EAST COAST BUBBLE, AS CENTERED IN WASHINGTON DC AND NEW YORK, AND THE REMAINDER OF THE U.S.

 

BUT AS OBSERVED LAST YEAR.  The auguries are not clear to me this past two weeks on how any of this is going, or even if any of this IS going anywhere during the next several months.  If none of this goes anywhere, take it as a given, take it as a fact, that all is lost on the Republic and we have passed into in the deep twilight zone of a Fascist nightmare for which there may not be any electoral remedy…at least not while we are mired within the deep sorcery which the  Mass Broadcast Media now casts in greater depth all around us.  It is as if after the elections they turned up the volume of manipulation by at least a half turn of the knob.

 

Despite impeccable scientific reasoning, high caliber informed observers and investigators, the story of the stolen elections simply will not be told in America through the corporatized media.  By their acts, said the good saint, ye shall know them.  Doubtless, we are in very deep doodoo and, with few exceptions, the only things allowed on TV are a bunch of chickens clucking through the mire.

 

ONCE AGAIN, Michael Moore’s has it about right. He is asking the Senate to act to restore Ohio with a valid election. Go read it at http://www.michaelmoore.com/words/message/index.php?id=179.

 

Better yet, tell you Senators and Congressmen to undertake an investigation into the weirdness of Ohio’s election.

 

 

 

 

ECONOMY WATCH 

 

ALL SIGNALS MIXED, THE ECONOMY IS “WOBBLING” WITH VERY LITTLE “GOOD NEWS” OR HOPES. As throughout most of 2004, there are still no signs of a general recovery of the classic 20th century kind.  MOST COMMENTARY AND EXPECTATIONS ARE PESSIMISTIC FOR 2005.  The most optimistic projections appear to be in the nature of “holding” firm with small improvements.  The worst expectations are dire indeed.

 

I predict that most of the expectations will turn sour after May or June.  I also predict that they will become more and more morose as the economy begins to show a rapid movement into recession during the later part of the year and then clearly moves into depression in 2006.

 

STAGFLATION IS BUILDING MOMENTUM FOR A CONSIDERABLE RISE DURING 2005. 

 

COMMODITY PRICES WILL CLIMB RAPIDLY DURING 2005 TO CATCH UP WITH THE HUGE INCREASE IN ENERGY COSTS (UP SOME 30% THIS YEAR).  This will generate a pernicious inflation in NORTH AMERICA.

 

The economy will never regain any sense of confidence in government efforts to build the basis for more solid growth.  The Bush administration will continue to lose credibility, will come under severe legal pressure from wide ranging indictments, perhaps even impeachment proceedings (long overdue), and this gathering loss of political confidence will destroy corporate confidence.

 

This loss of confidence may be experienced first in Europe and Japan, even China, which may bring the recessionary pressures home to the U.S. with a rapid decline in demand for American products and a shrinking profit base for American companies overseas.

 

AS OBSERVED IN DECEMBER:  With the re-election of George Bush a completely new scenario for the next two years is needed. It is this:  the main driving force of the economy will transition fully into an Imperial economy.  It will be based on major militarization of the U.S. to AMP up Empire Building for general export.  We may be as in Germany as in approximately 1934-6.  During the 1930’s, while much of the world was mired in a deep depression, Germany, Italy, and Japan under the Fascists (Corporate National Plutocracy) prospered in a wave of tremendous prosperity for their workers.  The Fascists terminated all external debt to the international banks and recycled their currencies highly astutely without the need to finance debt.  That is why Hitler, Mussolini, and the Japanese Militarists were so fervently supported.

 

A massive empire building drive to export “Order” over the greater portion of the world’s petroleum reserves will shore up the value of the petro dollar quite nicely and preserve its hegemony well through the “peak oil” period.  Huge expenditures on armaments should provide a continuing stimulus of the North American economy, enough to at least keep it gimping along while the Empire is consolidated.

 

The eventual eclipse of well oil poses no long term problem.  Only naïve analysts are worried.  Once oil supply is seriously declining and oil prices can be maintained above $80/barrel, some people in the oil industry, including David Rockefeller, understand the means of “growing” your own.  They have held the secrets of this for some 23 years.

 

THE ONLY BUMP ON THE ROAD TO THE IMPERIAL ECONOMY is “global warming”.  This is bringing people into other solutions than the use of oil.  Is this not a course of development the cabals of great wealth in America must resist as strongly as they can?  If this is correct, we would expect that a great political struggle will be waged on both sides of this global warming issue.  We should expect to see that the Republicrats will resist encouraging a replacement for oil to the very bitter end.  Without dominance over oil, their feudalized world will dissolve away from them.

 

BACKGROUNDERS FOR JANUARY ON THE STATE OF THE U.S. ECONOMY

 

Associated Press

Retailers Report Unimpressive Dec. Sales

Thursday January 6, 4:18 pm ET

By Anne D'Innocenzio, AP Business Writer

Nation's Retailers Report Generally Unimpressive Sales Figures for Holiday Shopping Season

 

NEW YORK (AP) -- The 2004 holiday shopping season turned out to be a bumpy one, with last-minute shoppers giving some retailers solid results but other storeowners struggling to a disappointing finish.

 

It was hard to discern a trend Thursday as merchants reported December sales, the final assessment of the holiday season. Costco Wholesale Corp., Target Corp., teen retailer Abercrombie & Fitch Co., Federated Department Stores Inc., and upscale stores like Neiman Marcus Group Inc. all surpassed Wall Street projections but Sears, Roebuck and Co., Gap Inc., Pier 1 Imports Inc. and May Department Stores Co. were among the disappointments.

 

Wal-Mart Stores Inc., which stepped up discounting after a slow start to the season, posted a decent but not outstanding 3 percent rise in same-store sales, or sales at stores open at least a year. That was a slightly higher than Wall Street's forecast.

 

"The Christmas season was just OK, clearly salvaged by the last-minute shoppers and steep discounting," said Ken Perkins, an analyst at RetailMetrics LLC, a research firm in Swampscott, Mass. "Stores that have been struggling over the last couple of months appear to be continuing that trend. And for stores that have been doing well over the last several months, December was a good month."

 

Perkins noted that two-thirds of the 65 retailers that reported sales Thursday beat Wall Street's modest sales estimates, a reversal of November's results.

 

But the heavy discounting needed to bring consumers into stores came at the expense of profits, prompting retailers including Target and Pier 1 to cut fourth-quarter earnings projections, according to Todd S. Slater, a retail analyst at Lazard Freres & Co.

 

The International Council of Shopping Centers-UBS same-store sales tally of 77 retailers for December rose 2.7 percent, which was below the already reduced forecast of 3 percent to 3.5 percent.

 

That means same-store sales for the combined November-December period were up 2.3 percent, below the 2.5 percent to 3 percent forecast, according to Michael P. Niemira, chief economist at the association. November's final same-store sales tally was up a slim 1.8 percent.

 

The holiday performance was weaker than the 4.0 percent gain posted in 2003, and in line with the holiday 2000 and 2001 seasons, which averaged a 2.3 percent gain.

 

Still, as Niemira noted, the holiday season "had a lot of things going on," making it difficult to measure its success. The season was marked by the increasing popularity of gift cards, sales of which are not recorded until consumers redeem them, and the increasing popularity of online shopping, which is are not included in retailers' same-store results.

 

Online sales for the November and December period rose a better-than-expected 29 percent to $15.8 billion, according to comScore Networks Inc.

 

The season had an uneven start at Thanksgiving, prompting many merchants to step up discounts, but consumers didn't start shopping seriously until the week before Christmas. The surprise this season came the week after Christmas, when many stores saw a bigger-than-expected bump from the redemption of gift cards.

 

At apparel retailer Ann Taylor Stores Corp., sales "were better than we had anticipated given November's weak performance, with most of the improvement coming in week five" of the season, chairman J. Patrick Spainhour said in a statement.

 

American Eagle Outfitters Inc., which reported a better-than-expected 32.8 percent same-store sales increase on Wednesday, said same-store sales soared 90 percent in the week after Christmas compared to a year earlier.

 

Although procrastination has become the norm during the holidays, consumers' uneasiness contributed to their late shopping -- they were looking for marked-down merchandise. While gasoline prices have fallen, they are still high, and consumers, particularly low- and middle-income Americans, have cut spending on non-essentials. Many consumers are also worried about job security.

 

The Labor Department underscored the uneven nature of the labor market Thursday, reporting that the number of new people signing up for jobless benefits shot up last week. New applications filed for unemployment insurance increased by a seasonally adjusted 43,000 to 364,000, the highest level since late September.

 

The unimpressive holiday performance raised questions about consumers' ability to spend in 2005, as factors like an uncertain job market and high fuel prices are not going away. Rising interest rates will also add to consumers' expenses.

 

"Consumer spending moving forward has a weak tone," said Anthony Chan, senior economist with J.P. Morgan Fleming Asset Management in Columbus, Ohio. "Stores will have to keep inventories lean and offer good value" to get consumers to spend this year.

 

Wal-Mart had to work hard to generate December's 3 percent same-store sales gain, which was at the high end of the company's projections, and higher than the 2.3 percent forecast by Wall Street analysts in a survey by Thomson First Call.

 

Target had a 5.1 percent gain in same-store sales, better than the 4.2 percent estimate.

 

Costco had a 9 percent increase in same-store sales, better than the 6.3 percent Wall Street expected.

 

TJX Cos. Inc. reported a 6 percent same-store sales gain, above the 2.8 percent forecast. "In general, Christmas business surged late in December, as we had expected," Edmond J. English, president and chief executive officer, said in a statement.

 

Among department stores, upscale merchants did the best. Neiman Marcus enjoyed a 10.8 percent increase in same-store sales, better than the 7.9 percent forecast.

 

But Sears suffered a 3.0 percent same-store sales decline in its domestic business, while Wall Street's forecast 0.2 percent. "Relatively strong sales at the end of the holiday shopping season were insufficient to offset a slow start to the month," said Alan J. Lacy, chairman and CEO, in a statement.

 

Penney had a 1.2 percent decline in same-store sales, better than the 2.7 percent Wall Street expected.

 

Federated had a 2.3 percent increase in same-store sales, better than the 1.1 percent forecast.

 

May had a 3.3 percent same-store sales decline, close to the 3.5 percent estimate.

 

Among apparel chains, Limited Brands Inc. had a modest 2 percent same-store sales gain, better than the 1.4 percent forecast. Gap had a 1 percent same-store sales decline, worse than Wall Street's 0.1 percent projection.

 

Pier 1 suffered an 8.8 percent decline in same-store sales. Analysts had expected a 4.3 percent decline.

 

Teen retailers generally did well. Pacific Sunwear of California Inc. had a 5.3 percent same-store sales increase; Wall Street expected 4.0 percent.

 

Abercrombie & Fitch had a 10 percent gain in same-store sales, much higher than the 0.7 percent estimate.

 

On Wednesday, Nordstrom Inc. reported a same-store sales gain of 9.3 percent, better than the 3.6 percent forecast.

 

 

 

Jobless Claims Climb, Retail Sales Mixed

 

Thu Jan 6, 2:00 PM ET

       

By JEANNINE AVERSA, Associated Press Writer

 

WASHINGTON - The number of new people signing up for jobless benefits shot up last week, highlighting the sometimes uneven nature of the recovery taking place in the labor market.

 

 

 

The Labor Department (news - web sites) reported Thursday that new applications filed for unemployment insurance jumped by a seasonally adjusted 43,000 to 364,000, the highest level since late September. The over-the-week increase of 43,000 was the most since the end of March 2002.

 

The latest snapshot of the labor market activity surprised economists. They were forecasting claims to rise last week to around 331,000.

 

However, in a more positive note, the number of claims that had been filed in the prior week turned out to have fallen by 10,000, according to revised figures. That drop was twice as big as initially reported.

 

"Even though we are in an expansion phase, the jobless claims statistics continue to come in very choppy," said Richard Yamarone, economist at Argus Research.

 

The more stable, four-week moving average of claims, which smooths out week-to-week fluctuations, rose last week by a smaller 750 to 333,000.

 

Labor Department analysts cautioned that jobless claims figures around the holidays can swing widely from week to week. In these cases, the four-week moving average is sometimes a better barometer of labor market activity, they said.

 

On Wall Street, investors took the latest figures on jobless claims in stride. The Dow Jones industrials were up 42 points in morning trading.

 

In other economic news, consumers — the lifeblood of the economy — spent decently during the holiday shopping season.

 

Last-minute shoppers gave retailers overall a respectable 2004 holiday season, with a variety of stores from discounters to apparel sellers reporting better than expected sales, according to reports from the nation's retailers.

 

Costco Wholesale Corp., Target Corp. and upscale merchants like Neiman Marcus Group Inc. all surpassed Wall Street projections. But disappointments included Pier 1 Imports Inc. and jeweler Zale Corp.

 

On the labor market front, strengthening job creation has been an important task for President Bush (news - web sites). The still-recovering job market has been seized upon by Democrats who contend the president's economic policies have failed to induce a steady hiring spree by businesses.

 

Employers added 112,000 jobs in November, down from 303,000 in October. Economists, however, are hoping for a pickup in December's payrolls and are forecasting the addition of around 175,000 jobs during the month. The jobless rate is expected to hold steady at 5.4 percent. The employment report for December will be released by the government on Friday.

 

Looking ahead, the Bush administration predicts the economy will create an additional 2.1 million jobs in 2005 — a figure private economists called respectable. Still, that's a much lower estimate than a previous forecast that 3.6 million jobs would be created next year.

 

The Federal Reserve (news - web sites), encouraged by the economy's performance, boosted short-term interest rates for a fifth time this year on Dec. 14. Fed policy-makers at that meeting said "labor market conditions continue to improve gradually."

 

The number of people continuing to collect jobless benefits, meanwhile, rose by 61,000 to 2.84 million for the week ending Dec. 25, the most recent period for which that information is available. However, compared to last year, there's been improvement. A year ago, the figure stood at 3.30 million.

 

Separately, the percentage of credit card payments 30 or more days past due dipped to 4.26 percent in the third quarter, from 4.28 percent in the second quarter, the American Bankers Association reported Thursday.

 

However, the delinquency rate on a composite of other types of consumer loans, including auto loans and home equity loans, rose to 1.90 percent in the third quarter, the highest in a year.

 

"Consumer pocketbooks still felt the pinch of elevated gas prices, draining resources that would otherwise have been available to meet financial obligations," said James Chessen, the association's chief economist.

 

 

GENERAL PREDICTION DJI AVERAGES

The bubble is rising steadily.  The DJI finished January Day 06 at 10622.88, down about $200 from the Christmas week high, and even down from the high on December 15 at 10,691.45. 

       

THE MARKET will hover here and then fall for a while in January until the market absorbs the psychological shock of the somewhat depressed Christmas Season.  The Jive-Ass division of Amalgamated Mass News Sorcery Inc.  is busy spinning increased retail sales volumes as “recovery”, but enormous quantities of goods were sold at virtually no profit and loan defaults are already up…there is no recovery here and thus no reason to place your bet with the New York Stock Schills.

 

DON’T EXPECT ANYTHING HIGHER THIS YEAR. 

 

THIS IS STILL GOOD:  AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  “Propredictions” predicts a soft DJI around 11,000 during the first quarter of January 2005.  IT LOOKS LIKE THIS IS PROBABLY ON TARGET FOR A FLUCTUATION IN THE MARKET.  BUT IT WON’T LAST LONG.  And be careful with their numbers, they tend to be in the right direction but they tend to be optimistically high.

 

AS OBSERVED DURING 2004:  WATCH THIS VERY CAREFULLY – WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR DRIVING OIL UP IN PRICE AND ACCELERATING THE DECLINE IN THE DOLLAR.  The dollar of course is a major factor.  As the dollar drops AND the stock values remain constant, U.S. stocks will become suddenly cheaper for foreign investors and they may begin to convert to buy U.S. stocks.  This also will firm up values when it occurs, but I have no idea where the conversion points are.  This is all a complex equation which could go sideways at any moment.  THE MAIN PROVISO IS AL QAEDA. When they strike in the U.S. again, they will trump all else.

 

MAIN OVER-RIDING STRATEGIC VARIABLE:  The main weakness in the international economy is that THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION IS SO INCOMPETENT THAT NO INTERNATIONAL ACTOR KNOWS HOW TO BE RATIONAL AND MAKE REAL DECISIONS.  EVERYTHING IS HEDGED AND HIDDEN.  All news on the war fronts is terrible. Iraq recovery has essentially collapsed. Real war is heating up. The insurgents and terrorists now are just playing hide and seek in Iraq, the more the American Bull rushes them, the less energy it has to remain in the game.  Bush’s support is crumbling and he couldn’t do a deal internationally if his life depended upon it.

 

BUT, WORLD CONFIDENCE MAY IMPROVE FOR A WHILE if a Shiite coalition can take power in Iraq through the elections and motivate Bush to substantially withdraw American troops.

 

EURO WATCH    - DOLLAR VALUE FIRMED UP, BUT WILL WEAKEN WITH RENEWED OIL PRICE INCREASES

 

The dollar closed today at 0.7586 per euro,  up a full penny from two weeks ago.  We can see now the very clear relationship between oil prices and stock prices and dollar value.  Oil up, stock up, dollar down.  Oil down, stock down, dollar up. 

 

Pressures against the American Imperial Faction are still mounting and will slowly erode the dollar during 2005.

 

“As oil goes up, the dollar will tend also to go down against the Euro.”

 

PREDICTION CONFIRMED SO FAR:  Don’t expect much drop for the remainder of the year.  The dollar may actually gain a bit for a brief time, but not much and not for long.

 

Thus in general, expect a steady if slow creep of prices upward all through 2005, with faster relative increases for some basic commodities and imports to reflect rapidly rising international costs, which will still accelerate in response to the rise in energy costs this past six months.

 

MUST READ:  “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, which lays out the dynamics of what is happening

 

LATEST OVERVIEW ON OIL: As of January 6, 2005

 

The high price points at the pump established last Fall look permanent.  It does not look like retail prices will ever again be South of where they currently are.  We are going to have a pretty vigorous STAGFLATION for 2005 and average wholesale prices are likely to continue an upward drift, somewhere in the range of 10% to 30%, with transitory peaks in the range of last year’s $55.  Perhaps even higher, if the oil industry is disrupted by Al Qaeda or other terrorist groups. 

 

HIGH PRICE PRESSURES CAN NO LONGER BE RESISTED BECAUSE ALL OF THE WORLD POLITICAL STRUGGLES ARE NOW POLARIZING AROUND THE STRUGGLE FOR OIL.  Oil has become in the minds of all those seeking power as THE ONLY SOURCE OF POWER in the world today.

 

Associated Press

Oil Prices Shoot Above $45 Per Barrel

Thursday January 6, 5:01 pm ET

By Brad Foss, AP Business Writer

Oil Prices Shoot Up 5 Percent, Close Above $45 Per Barrel After an Early Spurt of Buying

 

Oil prices shot up 5 percent Thursday and closed above $45 a barrel after an early spurt of buying created momentum that forced investors anticipating lower prices to cover their bets.

 

Analysts said there was no single spark that got the rally going. Instead, they suggested that the move higher merely signals the persistent skittishness in the market, stemming from strong demand, tight supplies and fears about instability in Iraq, Saudi Arabia, Nigeria and other key producing nations.

 

"Not a lot has changed from when we were $10 a barrel higher than where we are now," said Tom Bentz, a broker at BNP Paribas Commodity Futures in New York.

 

"And heating oil inventories are still on the low side," he added. "At some point, the weather is going to get colder."

 

Light sweet crude for February delivery soared $2.17 to settle at $45.56 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. February heating oil futures surged 6.29 cents to $1.2813 per gallon, while February gasoline ended 5.19 cents higher at $1.2229 a gallon.

 

In London, Brent crude for February delivery rose $2.34 to $42.85 per barrel on the International Petroleum Exchange.

 

"We have a great deal of investment funds that are trading crude oil right now, a lot of end users that are hedging in the market and producers in the Far East that are trading in crude," said James Cordier, president of Liberty Trading Group in St. Petersburg, Fla. "We get to where we're going a lot faster than we used to."

 

Cordier said there was considerable resistance for Nymex crude at the $44 a barrel level, but that once that was surpassed, prices moved higher very fast.

 

On Wednesday, oil prices fell after a U.S. government report showed larger-than-expected increases in winter fuel supplies, sending heating oil prices lower too.

 

The U.S. Energy Department's statistical arm reported Wednesday that supplies of distillate fuel, which include heating oil and diesel, grew by 2 million barrels last week to 121.1 million barrels. The increase was much higher than expected, though it still leaves inventories 11 percent below year ago levels, according to the Energy Information Administration.

 

High-sulfur distillates used for heating oil increased by 1.2 million barrels to 50.1 million barrels, about 9 percent below year ago levels.

 

While oil prices are well below the late October high above $55 a barrel, traders remain wary about tight heating oil supplies in the United States and about possible supply disruptions in Iraq and terrorist activity in Saudi Arabia, the world's top supplier of crude oil.

 

Markets were rattled throughout 2004 by stronger-than-expected demand and persistent supply fears and unrest in key producers Saudi Arabia, Russia, Venezuela, Nigeria and Iraq.

 

U.S. and Norwegian producers have also been working to restore production caused by leaks and storms.

 

Associated Press Writer Christopher Bodeen in Singapore contributed to this report.

 

wor

 

 

SURVIVAL WATCH

 

FOOD WATCH

 

For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

 

JOB WATCH

 

Any aspect of the construction and home products industry is hot.

 

 

 

SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME).  But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted.  Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year.  ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES:  The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services.  This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah.  I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM.

 

POLITICAL WATCH

For general overview on the Tragedy in Iraq and the Bureau-Political Civil War in Washington DC, I highly recommend Tom Dispatch.

 

 

All of the activity of 2004 gave us the “lowest possible outcome” of all choices.  We are stooping along smartly onto the pages of history:

 

More probable than not....another four years of political struggle, bitterness, the loss of more political and individual rights, continued declassing and economic deterioration, and a growing general civil upheaval which takes many forms…in the midst of a nation which is virtually ostracized from most of the remainder of the world…and the forces of Jihad reaching greater ascendancy in the Middle-East.”

 

Many who would will a great change are depressing in deep pessimism. Despite a year of exposing the grave crimes of the Imperial Faction and the incompetence of their President, a majority of Americans WHO VOTE refuse to believe that conditions have become so corrupt.  They insist on drawing their blinders more tightly around their favorite illusions.

 

In this they are so well aided and abetted by a crony Mass Broadcast Media which has chosen to abjectly shill the fantasies and delusions of an upper class bubble of “attitude” - domination. 

 

Mass Merchant Media Sorcery of Domination Uber Alles, despite massive evidence of grevious abuses of all previous norms and standards of human decency in the conduct of war and treatment of prisoners along with the clearest evidence to surface in over 40 years of pervasive vote fraud to steal the national elections.

 

THE BIGGEST STORY OF 2004 AND THE “CRONIES OF THE YEAR” ARE THE CROOKS WHO CONTROL THE NEW YORK MEDIA EMPIRES.

 

Thus, for a time yet, important truths must remain an orphan in the street.  Unfortunately the orphan is getting the crap pounded out of it by Republicrat Mobsters and it most likely will not survive a bitter winter.

 

It remains possible that Votescam 2004 could break out a line of investigation which, like Watergate 1972, leads to the highest offices and forces a complete change in who is sitting in the White House. 

 

Bush may be broken by the VOTESCAM scandals, but at this point I doubt it.  He may “rule” until the bitter end. Nobody will prosecute the crimes!!!!

 

Nixon’s thieving trickery and lies were ultimately broken by Congress, when finally leading Republicans realized that they couldn’t hide away his crookedness and obvious abuse of power.  ANY ATTEMPT TO HIDE WAS MET WITH A LOUD AND RAUCUS CATCALL FROM NEARLY ALL CORNERS OF THE MEDIA.

 

IF THE NATIONAL DEMOCRATS WILL NOT STEP UP TO THE PLATE AT THIS JUNCTURE AND DEAL IN CONGRESS WITH THE OBVIOUS SCAMS, THERE IS NOT MUCH HOPE OF AVOIDING WHATEVER BUSH AND COMPANY DECIDE TO IMPOSE ON THE REST OF US DURING THE NEXT FOUR YEARS.

 

 

 

A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven so much of the past 50 years….

 

From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly collapses.

 

All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty!

 

THE STRATEGIC SITUATIONFinal Synopsis
For predictions related to the mess in Palestine, the Middle East, and the Bush political era.

 

 

CONDITIONS IN IRAQ AND THE MIDDLE EAST

ARE IN EXTREME CRISIS

 

The entire world continues to witness the American impasse in Iraq.  American policy and management are now clearly on trajectory to a catastrophic loss.

 

The damage is done, the strategic condition is fatal, Iraq and the entire Middle East is lost.  Iraq is the fatal Achilles Heel of the American Empire. Iraq, like Iran, is totally lost to Western influences and the infections from this disastrous invasion will spread poisons throughout the world body politic.  The situation condemns the Americans to a generation of internal conflict and a steep collective bankruptcy. The next Democratic administration in the U.S. will have an enormous job just to get rid of all the SS stooges who will have been embedded into the fabric of American society by the time of the collapse of the Bush Junta.

 

Despite the looming loss and collapse,  we can already see at work the aggressive moves of the Imperial Faction to ready the U.S. for another round of Imperial adventurism.  A long, deepening affair with some aspects of Fascist tyranny is more probable than not if the Bush Administration cannot be seriously derailed and/or blockaded with paralysis.

 

A major consolidation of power is now underway. The new CIA director, who is assuming de facto control of all U.S. intelligence, regardless of the so-called reform legislation, was a virtual classmate of George Herbert Walker Bush at Yale.  His career is the history of the agency, hired out of Skull and Crossbones, one of the early agents in the New National Security State which was created at the same time as the state of Israel. 

 

Porter Goss is George Herbert Walker Bush’s old Skull and Bones Yale frat buddy from way back in the days when the CIA WAS Skull and Bones…who do you think is now in fact running the CIA once again?  People who believe in extreme secrecy in very discrete service to the inner circles of a small aristocracy of entitled people.  If you think we are shut out now, you t’aint seen nuttin yet.

 

Thus in certain ways, “Poppy”  is back in the saddle again…the Bush Crime Family, its plutocratic allies, and the Imperial Faction is closer than ever with dominance over the CIA, NSA, the Pentagon, the FBI.  What is government, what is corporate, and what is Bush Crime Family is no longer discernible.  And still invisible are the great fortunes who sponsor many of the institutions and political/ media foot soldiers who are advancing the cause of fascist plutocracy everywhere.

 

A major turnover in the CIA will soon stuff it with Yassha Men.  And the same fate is in store for the State Department under the diktat of Condeleeza Rice.  The international competence of the U.S., whatever is left, will disintegrate rapidly during the next four years and it will in fact move operationally a long way toward being a corrupt Banana Republic ruled by small circles of corrupt, cynical estate managers.

 

Meanwhile the semi-tragic Powell falls by the wayside and all of the powers of the State Department are brought directly into the control of the Imperial Faction through the appointment of Condeleeza Rice as Secretary Of State.  The one true act of service Powell could give the country and the world would be to reveal the truth of the past 40 years, beginning with his conduct in Vietnam while white-washing My Lai.  If the fool could find it in himself to fall on his sword he could find a true grace in history’s remembrance.  But I suspect that the man is too conflicted in bogus cants to get anything right.  He will leave the stage of history as a thoroughly discredited liar and fool, even if he retains a good enough schtick to fleece right wing evangelical and business groups for tens of thousands per “motivational” speech.

 

The departure of Ashcroft is extremely bad news.  Ashcroft was crazy but his replacement is insane, a deep core sociopath who finds nothing to dislike in Nazi-like rationales for hidden torture chambers and Soviet style gulags in which people disappear forever.  Shades of the Gestapo and Heinrich Himmler, now Bush gives us for Attorney General the man who wrote the legal doctrines for Al Ghraib, Gitmo, and other sociopath hidey holes for nouveau torture.

 

Oh how he lies.  His latest schtick is to deny all.  Just like the Nazi’s did at Nuremburg after the War.  “Oh no, it wasn’t me.”  “Oh no, I would not wish to violate the laws”.  But it was him.  And he did conspire so to do..

 

The U.S. is in desperate difficulty with such a man in command of the laws.  In the mind of such an obvious sociopath, no law means anything…

 

As these prime players and others are moved into position, the Imperial Faction consolidates its control with or without the understanding of George Bush.   With only slight luck, they will be able to appoint “made men” into the Supreme Court and complete a generational seizure of all aspects of the U.S. Government.

 

Working with their key allies in the Black Arts Nation and the hidden cabal of plutocratic families on the East Coast which predominately controls it, inner groups will be able to employ even more aggressively their gangs of right wing street enforcers to intimidate independent media and naive people at various non-violent demonstrations while creating bogus “violence” to bad rap the demonstrators.  As well, they will have even greater ability to shut off the political careers of upstarts who promote the wrong issues and agendas.

 

And if they get away with the theft of the current elections by hacking the voting machines and the electronic process of tabulating the totals together, it is doubtful that most crucial elections in the country will ever be “won” by the majority of people again.

 

All in all, the year 2004/05 is parallel with approx. 1934/35. The fascist nightmare in America is far closer than anyone dares to believe.  History branches this next two years PERMANENTLY.  And the choice is currently too close to call but the game is surely rigged.

 

As previously observed, as a consequence of the widely unexpected Bush reelection, several massive reaction waves have been set in motion.  One of the most important reaction waves is among political state policymakers throughout Eurasia. The Eurasian Super-Coalition will form up rapidly this next year and progressively isolate the U.S., Bush, and the Dollar. This consolidation will be largely silent, conversations of understanding among many leaders in many states who wish, entirely reasonably, to isolate themselves from involvement in the international tragedies being engineered in the U.S.  This will make the coming economic collapse in the U.S. so much deeper, precipitous,  more bitter. What Americans have not yet understood in Kansas is that the world does not NEED America.

 

…Not since the production of technology was outsourced.  (You dumb clucks)…

 

Another reaction wave is at a more fundamental human level.  The increasing violence in Iraq continues to reveal that American military forces are inadequate to the task of conducting the proper kind of warfare and national pacification.  An arrogant “superpower” elite sits in Washington DC and believes in its doctrines of massive, overpowering force, shock and awe tactics, and Proactive Aggression Dominance and are simply oblivious to the increasing feeling of disgust and loathing which is mounting in the world.  HUGE NUMBERS OF people worldwide are beginning to realize that the modern face of Americas’ military and internal police forces look more  and more like Hitler’s Germany.

 

Falluja, which the Sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast Media tout as a great victory, provides little sense of confidence.  There cannot be said to be a victory when one successfully slaughters all the fish in a barrel with a machine gun. One speaks in terms of butchery, not victory.  Scenes from Falluja appear to reveal that the U.S. military still confuses saving a city with destroying it…more and more glimpses of MyLai can be seen as hyped up, drugged up, hair-trigger soldiers shoot at anything that moves…more and more the ceaseless propaganda phrases of surgical strikes, precision targeting, highly disciplined, highly skilled operations can be seen largely for what it is, wishful thinking by incompetent pipe-dreamers in Washington DC which ends up as unmitigated horseshit in operation.

 

And every soldier past and present knows and understands….sadly some of them are so confused they think they like it.

 

It most certainly seems fair to conclude that a discredited Army engagement doctrine pounds away at densely settled urban zones with exceptional violence. The results please no one and simply increase the polarization of world dynamic forces into greater opposition.   The time is quickly coming when the American military simply is not going to be welcome anywhere at any level in most of the world. 

 

And the answer for all this is at least partly obvious, an extremely self-centered piker too cheap to do real war…using high explosives and extreme fear (instead of skill and people) to pacify and occupy a country without a clue to how real men have successfully conducted pacification operations in peace among many peoples in many places and times.

 

The damage is done…

 

Iraq is the fatal Achilles Heel of the American Empire. The country is lost and the infections from it  which have set into the world body politic condemn the Americans to a generation of internal conflict and a steep collective bankruptcy. The next Democratic administration in the U.S. will have an enormous job just to get rid of all the SS stooges who will have been embedded into the fabric of American society.

 

THE MAIN OBSTACLE TO PEACE IN IRAQ AND THE MIDDLE EAST ARE THE AMERICANS AND THEIR STUPID AND INEFFECTUAL INTERFERENCES which are about as successful as Israel’s efforts to make peace.  America seems utterly high jacked by Zionist agents but people are still too timid to talk about it.

 

Bottom line:

 

All the King’s Men got mugged by a swindling crook named Chalabi, who sold the New World Order Emperor the equivalent of the Brooklyn Bridge – the mythical Weapons of Mass Destruction.

 

To claim this prize, the Mass Broadcast Media began beating the war drums and the “Good German” Americans goose-stepped to war.  One thousand four hundred and counting Americans died in vain, along with some 100,000 Iraqis, and some 10,000 U.S. soldiers got maimed for life, with unknown numbers of Iraqi’s wandering around mutilated in some fashion.  And then there is the DU poisoning. God only knows how many tens of thousands of people are getting poisoned for life by the depleted uranium.

 

As things stand now, sometime in 2005, Americans will beat a hasty retreat, under the pretext of some contrived imaginary political fig leaf, and we will see the last helicopter evacuation from Iraq...finishing the historical parallel of this Tragedy with the Tragedy of Vietnam.

 

If so, it will be the beginning of the end of both the American Century and the U.S. Constitution. A generation of upheaval and grievous conflict will ensue before the Americans can repose themselves and their society on a sounder basis.

 

For the Iraqis, likely Iraq may cease to exist.  The Kurds may go their way, while the Sunnis and Shias struggle over the future of Baghdad, perhaps reducing it to the Beirut of the early 1980’s .  In the end Iran’s mullahs may provide the Shias the margin to take control.  And thus the stage may be set for the emergence during the next few years of the one long foretold by Nostradamus, or even longer foretold by a man named John of Patmos..

 

FOR THE LASTEST SUMMARY BRIEFING ON THE SITUATION AND THE WAY OUT OF IT, GO TO

 

“A Letter To The Generals:  Saving Iraq and Saving The U.S.”

 

FOR A PDF VERSION, CLICK HERE.

 

PLEASE NOTE:  IT IS FAR TOO LATE FOR AMERICANS TO SOLVE THE IMPASSE IN IRAQ.  THIS DOCUMENT MAY BE OF SOME HELP TO IRAQI SHIA WHO CAN PROVIDE THE MORAL FORCE TO REUNIFY IRAQ ON THE ROAD TO PEACE AND JUSTICE.

 

HERE IS THE MAIN HOPE OUT OF THIS STRATEGIC IMPASSE:

 

AN AUTHENTIC ISLAMIC MORAL AUTHORITY IS ARISING AND IS BEGINNING TO FORGE A COALITION TO UNIFY IRAQ AND BRING CIRCUMSTANCES TO THE POINT WHERE THE AMERICANS CAN BE ASKED TO LEAVE.  QUICKLY. 

 

THE ARRANGEMENTS WILL BE FORGED BY JANUARY.  MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT, THE MULLAHS WILL ARRANGE THE ELECTION OF A GOVERNMENT WHICH ASSERTS ITS SOVEREIGNTY AND ASKS THE U.S. TO LEAVE VIRTUALLY IMMEDIATELY.

 

PASS THE WORD: THIS IS HOW IT WILL END IN IRAQ,

Michael Wells Mandeville,
The Hills of Arizona USA at mwman@earthlink.net
Master Website Index is at: http://www.michaelmandeville.com

Author of  several books, including: "Return of the Phoenix" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/phoenix/phoenix.htm
and "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006.htm
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