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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright February Day 2 2005
BULLETIN ARCHIVE
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to progressively
link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth
which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which
is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of February 2
2005 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the "big picture" about how the dynamic changes in the
Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the
latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. NEW LINK FOR THE NEW Earth
Changes Bulletin Almanac & Updates Archive. USE THIS NEW HOME PAGE TO ACCESS
THE ARCHIVES OF WEEKLY UPDATES, SPECIAL REPORTS, AND THE NEW ALMANAC. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or
use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2005/ecb_Feb_2_05.htm EXTREME VIGILENCE IS HIGHLY RECOMMENDED IN ALL SEISMIC ZONES
DURING NEW MOON PERIGEE SYZYGY FEB 5-10 CONTINUE
EXCEPTIONAL VIGILENCE IN ACTIVE SEISMIC ZONES THROUGH TO THE END OF MARCH
2005: Nearly all psychic
and avocational quake predictors believe that additional major tectonic activity
is about to occur during the next few weeks.
The danger period probably extends through to the end of March 2005. NEARLY FINISHED WILL BE POSTED WITHIN TWO WEEKS UPDATE PREDICTIONS FOR 2005 –
2012 I am still working
diligently on this material which succinctly outlines predictions for the
period 2005 – 2012. This will serve as the
basis of two one day seminars during April, one in LATER, PERHAPS BY MID
MARCH: Beyond this I am also working
on the period of what the Q’ero call the Pachacuti and the Hopi call the
"Great Purification" (also known as the "Time of
Troubles" or "The Tribulations"). I have just consumed four books and many
iway articles and websites the past few weeks to prepare for this. For a variety of reasons, the final keys
for putting together the final plot line of the Fourth Age and the most
probable key signals are now being brought forward into my consciousness in a
way which will allow me to describe them clearly and specifically to the
world. Due to many issues, the greater
bulk of this material shall not be openly available directly on the
internet. Access to most of the
predictions will be made available through paid annual subscriptions. Because of the strategic seriousness of
some of the predictions, some I will only make available through mouth and
ear in private seminars. I will begin
to advise of this material through the EC Bulletins and through Alex
Merklinger’s radio program EACH WEDNESDAY - Alex Merklinger Radio at Mysteries Of The Mind 7 PM Mountain Time FOR THIS YEAR OF THE GATHERING EMERGENCE: On the geophysical front, SOLAR activity has steadily declined during the
past two weeks and is virtually quiescent as of this date. The Sunspot Count
is plateauing at 28 while the Flux is falling at 82. At the current time activity at the solar
level of our vast Vortex is decreasing and this trend should continue for at
least several days. The Jet Stream is reforming along the West Coast
and should enable an early respite from both the cold and the huge storms by
next week. Tectonic signals are
showing classic signs of an upsurge in activity. Volcanism clearly increased again this past
seven days. A couple dozen intermittent smokers are smoking and several more
are showing ever more clearly the signs of pre-ignition – at least four major
eruptions could be brewing during the next 120 days, including On the geopolitical
front, the elections in |
EACH WEDNESDAY - Alex Merklinger Radio at Mysteries
Of The Mind 7 PM Mountain Time This
hidden column on the right is available for links, banners, and icons
of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual
donation. Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a
REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update. YOU MUST HAVE
BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous
subscriber).. |
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to
prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth
Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ The Bulletin is written in Arizona (UTC +8
hours) so any relative references, such as "Today", or
"Tomorrow", or "Yesterday" should generally to taken to
refer to the day spans as experienced in Western North America. |
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PREVIOUS UPDATES Nov 24
not available as of this date |
COMING MID MARCH IN WEEKLY INSTALLMENTS: UPDATE PREDICTIONS FOR 2005 – 2012 and
through "The Tribulations" A systematic synopsis
is being assembled which succinctly outlines predictions for the period 2005
– 2012 and through the period of what the Q’ero call the Pachacuti and the
Hopi call the "Great Purification" (also known as the "Time of
Troubles" or "The Tribulations". This outline will update the predictions in
"The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" and the "Return of the
Phoenix", mainly by confirming the general plot line and by adding more
details which carry the predictions well beyond 2006-2008. COMING IN APRIL… Mandeville will be conducting a
book tour in SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will "bottom" in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since May 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF FEBRUARY 2, 2005: Ditto all conditions. ONLY MORE SO. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JANUARY 6, 2005:
On track, as discussed in previous Bulletins. A new quick summary is provided below in
the Economy section. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF DECEMBER 22,
2004: No surprises, everything on track as predicted…conditions
remain about the same through to the first week of January – things will then
begin to break suddenly…into a fast and furiously changing year. The tide will clearly turn during 2005 on
many fronts, collectively marking the end of the American Age and a
progressive waning of American stature and prosperity.. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 17,
2004: As per stated below, the bubble is re-inflating for
a few more weeks or even months if Al Qaeda does not attack. Oil prices are dropping as stocks and
equities firm up and the economy continues expansion with the expectation
that American Imperialism will continue (unfortunately)
to drive international events during 2005. BEWARE SUDDEN REVERSALS WHEN
ALQAEDA STRIKES. BEWARE THE EMERGING SUPER-COALITION IN |
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ALL
DATES AND TIMES USED IN THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN ARE NOW UTC = Universal
Time Constant, previously known as Greenwich Mean Time. |
HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 7
PM WE ARE
STILL IN AN AWKWARD STAGE WITH THE BULLETINS.
MUCH PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE IN COMPLETELY REDEFINING THE BULLETIN,
MONITOR, ALMANAC, AND WEBSITE, BUT SO FAR IT IS ALL INVISIBLE. THE NEW SCHEMA WILL BE INTRODUCED DURING
FEBRUARY AND MARCH We are halfway into
a process which will combine an almanac structure with the weekly
updates. I intend a three tier
Bulletin/Almanac Archive: a weekly newsletter
which is shorter than present, an archive of the Weekly Updates in web pages,
and a deeper core structure which is like an Almanac, encompassing years,
major references, explanations of all the details, and outlines for many
years in advance of various predictions and concerns. To this core we will link the Updates and
around the entire business we will add a variety of news feeds and tightly
focused discussion forums. From these
news feeds, some items in summary form will appear in the Updates. It will take a couple of months yet to shape
this up to where I will truly want it to be. Today you can
finally access an update of the past year's bulletins and the beginning of an
annual forecast for 2005. Click here
for the new access point to the current new home page for the Earth Changes Bulletin Almanac & Archive |
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As stated in the "Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006", the nature of human politics reflects the
communication abilities of the human species. As we transform the
media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the
entire Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent
to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. BREAKING
NEWS: No new items for
this week. FOR
WINTER 2005: The surge in solar activity the last few days has had a
major impact on a great number of people who meditate. Interior channels have energized and nearly
everyone I talk to relays similar experiences of new channels or access to
new awareness of imagery or feelings or knowledge opening up. A step-function in personal maturity has
been experienced, along with increased personal vibrancy. As it were, a real "personal inauguration"
seems at hand. It is a good time to
focus on the emerging Medicine Wheel of the Earth and our energetic
interconnection within Indra's Net. It
is an excellent time to enhance the power of inner visualization and
connection. Thanks to Adam for
bringing this back into our consciousness.
Try this visualization:. Indra's Net: (as
described in the ancient Sanskrit texts) There is an endless net of threads throughout the
universe. The horizontal threads are in space. The vertical threads are in time. At every crossing of threads there is an individual. And every individual is a crystal bead. The great light of absolute being illuminates and
penetrates every crystal being. And every crystal being reflects not only the light from
every other crystal in the net, But also every reflection of every reflection throughout
the universe. MWM: Try that on for visualizing the All In All we call
God. Talk about opening up channels…. Mayan Elders have delivered an urgent message: the major Earth Changes of the
"Pachacuti" or "Purification" period have begun with the
rupture of the Indo-Trench. They
expect increasing seismic activity and major quakes of a similar nature to
occur through the next several months. FOR 2005:
Some major keywords for 2005 are: "Gathering", most especially in the sense of
gathering of forces; "Being", as in the sense of fully participating
in the realization and practice of what we dare to hope we are becoming; "Accepting"; negatively as in eating the
"Karmic Blowback" (the American People are going to take an immense
amount of Karmic Blowback for the Tragedy in "Emerging", realization and experiencing of the
becomings long sought, most especially as in bringing forth the new
understandings, orientations, needs, and directions of purpose for a
profoundly different world than is celebrated in the Mass Media. In the positive dimension, around these keywords, many new
phenomenon will emerge, especially in the forms of groups and individuals
manifesting new activities. NEXT
SEVEN YEARS: In the negative dimension, the coming "Karmic
Blowback" is going to be terrible and shake the very roots of everything
in STAY FOCUSED ON HELPING THE EMERGENCE OF PEACE, JUSTICE,
AND FREEDOM. DENY ALL MOVEMENT TOWARDS
FASCISM. THE FASCISTS AND BIGOTS AMONG
THE NATIONS ARE GOING TO DELIVER INCREASING QUANTITIES OF KARMIC BLOWBACK TO
EACH OTHER. It will be terrible in the
coming years, and in 2005 the I SUGGEST YOU "DUCK" AND KEEP PUTTING YOURSELF
IN A DIFFERENT PLACE ALLTOGETHER – MENTALLY AND EMOTIONALLY AND POLITICALLY
AND ECONOMICALLY, AND IF YOU ARE URBAN DEPENDENT, I HIGHLY RECOMMEND THAT YOU
BEGIN TO FORM YOUR STRATEGY FOR PHYSICALLY DUCKING THE EMPIRE’S KARMIC
BLOWBACK FOR THE PERIOD 2006-2012, ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN THE EAST COAST
BUBBLE. No-Eyes, the blind old first world prophet of the Rockies
had it right 20 years ago, conditions are going to get increasing bad because
of the karmic blowback and there is no end in sight until "the Phoenix
screeches". BREATH
FREE. Let go of everything which is
disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced,
contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the
rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.
The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new
relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and
straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown,
embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater
understanding and relationship with the all. SPIRITS EMERGING:
CONFIRMING WHAT I PREDICTED LAST YEAR:
"In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great
energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was
upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will
have greater meaning by the end of the year." Here is one. ADAM,
an 18 year old healer in Don’t react, go to center, get clear,
release, and grieve…the Fourth Age is dying rapidly now… much more rapidly
than we thought, its institutions and identities are beyond saving… let it go,
let go, get to center…flow into God, let God flow into you…don’t speculate,
don’t analyze, don’t react to the shtuff…clear…clean out the past four
years…we are now free to grieve the death of everything we detested…let it
go…let it go…let it die. As you
re-center in God, find the realization that this is the final moment you have
been waiting for to end your connections and involvements with the illusions
and delusions of all that which has betrayed the divine within each and
brought greed, war, and destruction over the Earth. The destroyers belong to each other,
this is now the final time of their fatal embrace. Let them love their wars…they have greatly
desired the bitter wines of their hatreds and violence, they have lusted
greatly for their Armageddon, and they shall have it. The die has been cast with a thousand
artifices and illusions. With the
excellence of its manner of casting,
God has delivered to you your own freedom from the delusions and spells
of the Mass Sorcerers, indeed, from the entire age, if you will but realize
it. Clear yourself and your life to
find now the sense of movement and direction to separate your life from the
dying culture which is putrefying all around you. There is no saving it…as
Buckminster Fuller observed many decades ago, the old order is never saved,
the new order merely grows up around it to eventually takes its place. So it will come to pass now in an intense
period of vast change during the next twenty years. |
The "Great Purification" predicted by
the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that
these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to
advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. BREAKING
NEWS: Without question, the North Spin Axis is moving out of its
normal 6.5 Chandler Wobble spiral track. The North Spin Axis is becoming
increasingly anomalous and is signaling a significant instability in the mass
spin balance of the Earth. This aberrant motion is a slowly emerging anomaly which
appears to be a continuation of aberrations which began in approximately
September 2004. There is too much horizontal movement in the X plot
which graphs the spiral motion track of the North Spin Axis in what is called
The Great Rupture of the Indo-Trench on Christmas 2004
caused a decided departure from what was already an aberrant track. The
track has not returned to normal and it appears to be initiating what may
best be described as a "phase shift" in the waveform of the motion
of the North Spin Axis relative to the surface of the Earth. During the past few days another round of daily shape
shifter quakes in the Great Rift of the Earth has commenced, signaling that
another acceleration in tectonic plate movement has begun.. The onset of this phase shift began in approximately
September 2004 and was followed approximately 120 days later with the
Christmas Day Great Rupture. Earlier "phase-shifts" of Accordingly, it is fair to conclude that the Earth appears
to have entered into a very dangerous "season" during which
unusually destructive Earthquakes will likely be more frequent than
normal. CERTAIN CLUES ARE ALSO BEING GIVEN THROUGH MULTIPLE
PSYCHIC SOURCES ABOUT BOTH FEBRUARY AND THE NEXT 75 DAYS. The New Moon on FEBRUARY is very close to a Perigee moment
and this Perigee is going to be about as close as the Moon ever gets to the
surface of the Earth. The lifting forces on the Earth's tectonic plates
will be very concentrated indeed Feb. 5-10. Perigee 7-Feb 22:10 358563 km N-1d 0h New 8-Feb 22:30 BE AWARE. I RECOMMEND EXCEPTIONAL VIGILENCE AROUND THE EQUATORIAL
ZONE, ESP IN THE CARIB PLATE, THE BAJA PLATE, THE BACKGROUND
INFORMATION No change
from last week For an excellent timely discussion of mass instability in
the Earth during this current time, check out this very interesting article
by William Hutton which is linked below.
Long time subscribers to the EC Bulletins will recall that I began to
report in 2000 that a major anomaly had appeared beginning in December 1998
in the track of Chandler's Wobble (of the North Spin Axis). Hutton, a retired professional geologist,
has followed up this lead with this very interesting article which confirms
the anomaly within his framework of thought. This is especially pertinent because the current anomaly
is beginning to smell a lot like the 1998-1999 anomaly, which
"phase-shifted" the wobble to some degree. If the wobble once again
phase-shifts as it approaches its MIN spiral track in the 6.5 year cycle, it
will reveal a new recurring pattern in polar motion which has not been
apparent since the 1936 phase shift which Edgar Cayce described. For one thing, it will reveal that the
Earth will require an era of shape-shifting and accelerated wobble drift to
regain a balanced distribution of mass (more mass needs to be shoved by
centrifugal spin energy towards the equator). Reflect on the idea that a phase-shift represents a shift
in the time domain for a variable…suddenly it is in a new time connection
with the flux of the universe. Now
reflect for a moment that the primary description of the shifting of the
poles which was offered by the oral tradition of the Inca is the name "Pachacuti",
which they defined as a rip in the fabric of time… This is ALL VERY PERTINENT as well because it tends to
corroborate the "feeling" of the tripwires among psychics and
shamen and avant garde researchers that an acceleration is occurring in Earth
Changes right now and that many more major quakes are to be expected during
the coming months. As you will see in Hutton's discussion, the 1998 incident
was followed by some historical quakes. for background information, click here POSSIBLE
POLE-SHIFT PRECURSOR FOUND! Hutton
Commentaries On 1998 Polar Motion Anomaly RECENT The "jiggle" in the polar motion wobble produced
by the 9.2 Indo-Trench quake can be clearly seen on the spiral wobble track. It is as if two vectors at 90 degrees to each other are
contending with each other over which force will move the Earth’s crust the
most, and thus move the location of the North Spin Axis in one direction or
another. Since this anomaly is directly synchronous with the Great
Rupture of the Indo-Trench, I am deeply suspicious that the events are directly
related (the slightly erratic wobble causing the rupture, the rebound of
which shifts the wobble into an even more erratic motion). The specific causes are unknown (the general cause is
simple: an accumulating imbalance in
the distribution of the mass of the Earth on which centrifugal force acts to
push excess mass towards the Equator). The appearances of the graphs of polar motion suggest that
this is an "emerging" and accelerating instability which has been
increasing in tempo for at least the past 20 years. (Actually this is an
illusion, it is the crust of the Earth which is wobbling and moving as
centrifugal force attempts to push accumulating extra mass (such as polar ice
pack) towards the equator). This acceleration in the rate of motion suggests the there
is indeed a "Change In The Earth", as long prophesied, beginning to
happen right before our eyes and under our feet. As many no doubt have been reading, many prophetic
"tripwires" among psychics and First World Medicine Wheel elders are
clearly interpreting current Earth events as signals and signs and effects of
the "Pachacuti", "Great Purification", or
"Tribulation" which precedes the final avalanche of the crust
(shifting of the poles, Ragnarok, Judgment Day, etc.). ANATOMY OF
THE 2004 GREAT RUPTURE OF THE INDO-TRENCH The outline of the wobble track on the map grid of the
world seems to show more clearly every week that the spiraling motion of the
North Spin Axis has indeed, as I have suspected for weeks, accelerated its
rate of drift. More, it is showing
considerable instability in moving through its spiraling track. Polar motion returned to its spiral track and is currently
spiraling tightly inward. OOPS, that was a couple of weeks ago. Now it is very lazily actually drifting
away from its X Min track (when the wobble is the smallest approximately
every seven years). It is also having a bad hair month – err, year. Its motion seems more unstable during this
past three months and does not appear to be "forming up" in a track
appropriate to its last six months of motion.
It currently appears to be "spreading" out into a wider
spiral rather than it typical. Take a look at the x plot chart and you will see the
beginning of the new outward, horizontal motion on the wave track. What is it doing? It is always hard to generalize about
these motions but I believe we are currently seeing the "blowback"
or "feedback" energy of the rupturing of the Earth’s crust in the
Indo-Trench. I believe that the poles are now shifting (have been for
the past few years) their "average" location more rapidly than
during the previous century. This accelerated drift is probably due to some
mass imbalance in the Earth’s crust.
This imbalance is being acted upon by centrifugal motion of the
Earth’s spin, which is changing the focal point of the "wobble" in
the spin. Then, about 90 days ago, apparently the drift track of the
wobble hit a vector of mass resistance.
This resistance was strong enough to flatten the peak of its normal
sine-wave spiraling motion in what is called the X plot of polar motion. This plot is maintained by international
cooperation to keep tabs on the exact location of the North Spin Axis from
day to day. Apparently, the normal smooth motion of the Earth’s crust
dipping over the theoretical average location of the North Spin Axis toward
the Pacific and then back again down was arrested and cut off. The entire Crust of the Earth was arrested
in its Then the normal motion seemed to begin to assert itself
and the spiral began to turn inward, as it should be doing at this time, closing
toward the X Min point where the wobble will be at its smallest size of its
seven year cycle. I believe this abnormal track of the wobble is one of the
primary causes of the Great Rupture in the Indo-Trench. The connection and time parallelism between
these two relatively abnormal events is just too close to ignore as mere
coincidence. And…the parallelism gets better. Suddenly the motion of
the North Spin Axis began to flare out again this past few days, apparently
shifting the focal point for the entire wobble of the North Spin Axis. I do not have enough of the numbers of actual polar motion
(agreed upon and formally reported) to be mathematically precise about
this. The IERS generally cogitates on
what it will advance as the real numbers to make sure it corresponds will all
reports. It will be another month or so until enough real numbers are
available on table form to clearly see what may have been the feedback or
blowback effect. However, the IERS X plot
is not nearly so shy and currently shows exactly what I am talking
about. The current, apparent
out-flaring "jiggle" in the X plot has probably been created by the
"ringing" or oscillation of the Earth created by the Christmas Rupture
of the Indo-Trench. FOR 2005: In general, the Wobble Track is showing
continued tightening of the Chandler’s Wobble Spiral, as should be at this
time in its 7 year Wobble Cycle, and the track seems to be conforming with a
continued acceleration in the rate of drift, but this can be by no means
certain until this 7 year cycle is over.
In about two years we will be able to locate the minimum spiral of
motion and then look for the average 7 year "location" of this past
seven years for comparison with previous cycles. NEXT
SEVEN YEARS: KEEP IN
MIND THAT THIS WATCH
HAS BEEN SET TO LOOK EXACTLY FOR THIS TYPE OF DEPARTURE OF THE EARTH FROM ITS
PREVIOUS SPIRALING WOBBLE TRACKS.
THESE MOTIONS DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS CONFIRMS THE THESIS OF VORTEX
TECTONICS AND THE DEDUCTION FOR THE PROJECTED AVALANCHE OF THE CRUST WHICH
WAS CALCULATED IN THE "RETURN
OF THE PHOENIX". (The spiral track takes nearly seven years to define a
complete wobble cycle and it takes the entire cycle to be able to calculate
the average location of the North Spin Axis in order to compare it against
other "average locations" in the previous axis cycles. From this, a straight line track of the
"average locations" can be computed and the acceleration in the
rate of motion of the "shift" can be defined I believe at the current time that this will show a specific
"jump" this past year, a micro "pole shift". Very
micro.) REFERENCE:
http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. EXCELLENT
UPDATING BACKGROUNDER: Focus On Our
Magnetic Planet http://www.terradaily.com/news/earth-magnetic-05b.html "Mission
controllers cross their fingers whenever the Sun is stormy and their
spacecraft have to fly over the Troublesome faults
occur in electronic systems and astronauts see flashes in their eyes. The
Earth's magnetic field, which shields our planet against charged atomic
particles coming from outer space, is curiously weak in that region. The South Atlantic
Anomaly, as the experts call it, is one pressing reason why they are
intensifying their exploration of the Earth's magnetism. These satellites
show that the danger zone for satellites over The Earth's
magnetic field is becoming generally weaker at an astonishing rate. When a
French-Danish team compared Orsted's results for 2000 with those from an
American satellite, Magsat, 20 years earlier, the decline in the field's
strength suggested that it might disappear completely in a thousand years or
so. The experts wonder
if our planet is preparing to swap its north and south magnetic poles around,
as it has often done before during the Earth's long history. These and other
mysteries about our magnetic planet will get the closer attention they
deserve, in ESA's forthcoming Swarm project. Three satellites will work
together to measure the magnetic field and its variations far more accurately
than ever before. [...] Separating the
different sources of magnetism Ordinary magnetic
compasses obey the main magnetic field, produced by electric currents in the
Earth's core of molten iron. But in magnetic storms, compass needles wander. Since the 19th
Century scientists have linked these storms to eruptions on the Sun. Many
space ventures, recently including the ESA-NASA SOHO spacecraft and ESA's
four-satellite Cluster mission, have helped to clarify the solar connection. We live in a
protective bubble in space called the magnetosphere. At its boundary, gusts
in a non-stop solar wind of atomic particles battle with the Earth's
magnetism. As a result, events
in outer space make a continual but highly variable contribution to the
magnetic field. So do electric currents in the ionosphere, the zone of free
electrons and charged air molecules high in the atmosphere that's best known
for reflecting radio signals. Other, much weaker
patterns are overlaid on the global picture. In the Earth's crust, many rocks
have built-in magnetism that remembers the direction of the main magnetic
field when they formed. This affects the
field measured locally. By its subtle east-west comparisons Swarm will
picture the magnetic field of the crust with unprecedented clarity. And even
ocean water generates electric currents as it move in the main field, so that
the ebb and flow of the tides have a slight magnetic effect. As gauged by the
satellites, the main field is roughly 6,000 times stronger than the rock
magnetism of the ocean floor, and 30,000 times greater than the influence of
the oceanic tides. Only with delicate
measurements by satellite constellations, supported by ground stations, ships
and aircraft carrying magnetic instruments, can scientists sort out all the
patterns of magnetism from the different sources. The most careful
analyses reveal yet another effect. Magnetic variations drive electric
currents in the mantle, the main region between the core and the crust. These
in turn cause further magnetic changes, from which scientists can estimate
the electrical conductivity of the mantle. This provides a check on the
temperature of the material hidden deep in the Earth's interior. "What excites
us is the huge scope of what we can study even with quite small
satellites," comments Nils Olsen of the "By making
magnetic measurements in space we get new information about the Earth, from
the molten core deep under our feet, through the mantle, to the crust on
which we live. And then we go on upwards into the upper atmosphere, through
the planet's local space environment, and all the way to the Sun itself,
which is the source of daily magnetic disturbances." Practical benefits Solar storms can be
fatal for satellites, and not only on account of radiation damage. The
atmosphere inflates and low-orbiting spacecraft run into unexpected air
resistance. Experts used to
think it was just a matter of the air being heated by particles and electric
currents in the regions around the poles, where auroras occur. Now a sensitive
French-built accelerometer on the German CHAMP satellite has revealed heating
by intense currents where the solar wind pushes towards the magnetic poles in
daytime. The three Swarm satellites will investigate this new effect with
accelerometers of their own. Swarm's operational
lifetime, 2009-13, will coincide with the next expected peak of storminess on
the Sun. Immediate practical benefits will centre on Swarm's general
monitoring of space weather, and the solar events affecting not just
spacecraft and astronauts but technological systems on the ground as well. Magnetic storms can
damage power systems and pipelines, whilst the changes in the magnetic field
can mislead any navigational systems that use magnetic compasses. These
include compasses operating underground to guide the drills used to find and
recover oil. For scientists, the
biggest benefit of Swarm is that high-quality magnetic measurements provide a
new way of 'x-raying' the hidden interior of planet. Earthquake waves and
variations in the strength of gravity already provide a picture of the hot
core, the rocky mantle that surrounds it, and the ever-active crust. But the
picture is not yet clear enough for scientists to agree how the internal
machinery of the planet really works. "Magnetic
measurements give a fresh point of view on the Earth's interior," says
Roger Haagmans, who is responsible for solid-Earth science in ESA's Earth
Observation programme. "And Swarm
will also investigate the puzzling changes in the Earth's core that are
responsible for the present weakening of the magnetic field. That's already a
matter of practical concern for many satellite operators. With a better idea
of the reasons, we may know what to expect in the busy decades of spaceflight
that we have ahead of us." |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space
rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05
AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are
on a collision course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time." |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the "equal orbits" view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar FOR AN
ALMANAC SYTLE SUMMARY FORECAST OF 2005 ALIGNMENTS, AND a
general discussion of how all this works and why this is worth doing, click
here for Almanac
2005. (in progress and soon will be
available only through registered subscriptions). TODAY’S
MOON We are in Lunation #1015 and we are now 22 days past the New Moon of January 10 at 1:29 UTC. As of February
Day 2, the Moon this day is now DEEP in
its South Node (orbiting South of the Equator). It is now approximately
372,641 KM from the Earth. It
is 43% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase) now already waning past the
Full Moon of January 25. LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR 2005 Event Day UTC
Distance Days +/- Phase
SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS QUALIFER:
As we have seen at least three times this past year, most dramatically
with the recent outbreak (Oct 23-26 2004) of large Earthquakes on the West side
of Honsho Island (Japan), the Syzygy Window and Perigee principles DO NOT
WORK CONSISTENTLY TO FORECAST AN INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE NOR FREQUENCY OF
EARTHQUAKES. Using strictly an
intuitive view of the past 12 months, the rate of accuracy is definitely larger
than random but probably not larger than about 70% for any given area. FOR THE
YEAR 2005 The strongest syzygies (based on the combination of the
Lunar Phase with Perigee) during the first half of the year should tend to be
around the New Moon. The New Moon and
Perigee combination is the strongest this January (occurring at virtually the
same time on January 10) and the combination gradually gets weaker during the
year and is at its lowest during the Summer. THE NEXT NEW
MOON PERIGEE SYZYGY IS FEB 5-10. THIS COULD BE A VERY DANGEROUS PERIOD. WE ARE IN THE MIDDLE OF A PHASE OF TIME
WHICH HAS ALL THE TRIPWIRES BUZZING LIKE CRAZY. MAYBE IT IS JUST THE AFTERMATH OF THE
INDO-TRENCH RUPTURE, MAYBE THE BUZZ IS A TRUE HARBINGER. IN THE FACE OF IGNORANCE, I WOULD NOT SHRUG
MY SHOULDERS, I WOULD MAINTAIN
EXCEPTIONAL VIGILENCE AT THIS TIME The Full Moon is in the weakest syzygy (based on its
distance from the Earth) during January and SUCCEEDING FULL MOONS will
gradually become stronger, achieving their greatest pull on the Earth in June
and July. (Cancer natives will have a
maximum power Lunar whammy this year).
Then it gradually gets weaker during the remainder of the year while
the New Moon is slowly gaining again in strength. HOWEVER, VERY IMPORTANT QUALIFICATION: This characterization of strong and weak
syzygies does not necessarily mean you can predict the strength or frequency
of earthquake activity by this means…the Earth is inconsistent and full of
surprises to keep us all busy.
Outbreaks of seismic activity can and do break out at any time. Large
quakes tend to be in the syzygies, but they are not always… AS
PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to
define the most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method
for computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater
precision. For details see the Syzygy website Seismic/Tsunami
Heads Up All Zones Pacific Rim of Fire & Indonesia before Christmas 2004. Unlike the week long aftershocks which
continued to strike the Indo- Trench, the Macquarie Sound quake was not
accompanied by aftershocks. This new quake may indicate another round of
motion in the Australian tectonic plate is beginning and thus this may be a
signal that additional rupturing will occur along the Northern and Western
edges of the Australian plate and/or directly once again along the
Indo-Trench. However, during the past 24 hours,
seismic activity has fallen off dramatically in entire world's seismic activity was
exclusively focused along the Indo-Trench, quake activity has fallen
there and appears at the moment to be building up in the Accordingly, at this moment, the
tectonic signals are mixed. As well, cosmic signals are mixed, but
cosmic forces will shortly consolidate gravitational influences to
exert nearly maximum torque effects on the Earth. The Great Indo-Trench rupture occurred
during a Full Moon Syzygy as the Earth was approaching very close to its
annual orbital Perihelion (closest approach to the Sun). At the moment the
Moon is between syzygies (alignment of the Earth-Moon-Sun in a straight line)
during which quake activity usually abates to a considerable extent. However,
the Earth is still approaching its orbital Perihelion, which will be about
January 6. At Earth's Perihelion, the Sun will have
its maximum gravitational effect on the Earth, pulling most strongly
on the Southern Hemisphere, tending to pull the Australian plate UP towards
the equator where it is colliding with areas such as the Indo-Trench. This influence will be greatly magnified
by the New Moon Syzygy during January 7 through to January 14.
The New Moon on January 10 will be very close to halfway between Apogee and
Perigee (its closest approach to the Earth) in a straight line with the Sun.
This will create a very strong gravitational pulling force on the crust of
the Earth during the current annual cycle. This pulling of the Moon and the
Sun will combine a pull of the South to the North against the Equator with an
East to West pull of all continents against their adjacent oceanic floors. Since the Carib Plate is nearly on the
Equator and will be squeezed especially strongly during this coming syzygy,
along with the entire Northern Arc of the Australian Tectonic Plate, ranging
from the Solomon Islands through to the Nicobar Islands, major rupturing
could also occur in Central America down through Peru. At somewhat lesser risk may be the
Northern Arc of the Pacific Rim of Fire but the current build up of seismic
activity in the region may be signaling much more activity to come during the
next two weeks. The most destructive quake activity during the last 15 years
in Adding to this mix of strong forces and
potential major tectonic motions is a complex set of planetary
alignments which appear to cluster most strongly around January 13.
One of these alignments is a straight line between the Sun, Earth, and
Saturn. Though the gravitational impact of this is not significant
(theoretically) on Earth, the electromagnetic impact of these alignments is
often very strong on both the Sun (in the form of major sunspots, CME's,
flares, and solar wind disturbances) and the Earth's weather (which is
strongly modified by any increase in solar activity). Accordingly, some increase in solar
activity is to be expected during the next several days. These increases will
likely drive another round of major storm fronts to hit major continents.
These may in turn increase the probability of increased tectonic activity.
Some geophysicists have been speculating in recent years that these solar
storms and major weather fronts on Earth have an indirect impact on
stimulating an increase in tectonic activity through an increase in drag
forces against the Earth's crust and by making the normal slight wobbling
motion of the Earth more irregular than normal. These fluctuations may cause
shifts in the stress in earthquake faults, pushing some of them "over
the edge". Adding to this mixture are a large
number of warnings from most people who watch the Earth's tectonic
activity avocationally or who tune into it psychically. Most
"tripwires" seem to believe that additional major "events" are
on the way during the next 30 days. Accordingly,
given the constellation of material forces and various human impressions, all
peoples who live in the Pacific Rim of Fire and along the Australian Plate,
especially those on the coasts, should at all times maintain a heightened
sense of vigilance MOST
ESPECIALLY DURING THE NEXT 30 DAYS. Right now is the time to work through
your evacuation plan. It is a useful drill for anytime and it may be needed
in somewhere during the next 90 days. If you fall into the target areas
outlined above, DO IT NOW. (Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any "Home Planet Software" charts
of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on
this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital
rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1
closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn
is 6, Uranus is 7, IMPORTANT
NOTE ABOUT PLANETARY/SOLAR INFLUENCES:
Solar
Cycle 23 is rapidly approaching its minima period when solar activity and
sunspot counts will be minimal most of the time. But even so, major sunspot peaks, big flares,
coronal holes, and powerful CME’s will still occur once in a while, as the
graphs of previous sunspot cycles definitely show. These flare-ups will be a lot less
predictable than during the past four years, which makes the large flare-ups
even more intrusive. LIST OF
ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO JUNE 30, 2005 Today's Solar
System: Click Here For Heliocentric
Chart of Solar System as of January 19, 2005 From January through to June 2005, four particular periods stand out for their
potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge
ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather. SO
FAR…fortunately, the odds of major solar eruptions are beginning to decline
dramatically. The alignments of
December and early January have not produced any significant increase in
sunspot counts or solar storms. (knock on
wood, this current alignment could cause sunspot counts to climb for another
three days) The Aphelion At or near the Earth’s Perihelion (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. January 13, 2005 Mercury & Mars close couple to The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June
7, 2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NASA
INVITES YOU TO VIEW SATURN: " GREEN COMET: With the Moon out of the way, now is a good time to see
Comet Machholz again. Step outside after sunset and face north. You'll find
the comet near the W-shaped constellation Cassiopeia. It looks like a faint (4th
magnitude) fuzzball, barely visible to the unaided eye but an easy target for
binoculars. [sky
map] " NASA'S
DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs)
are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth
than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our
planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time." On 22
Dec 2004 there were 662 known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (three more than last
month). For January 2005, NASA has listed three Earth-asteroid encounters
ranging from 14 to 15 LD’s away (see below).
Notes: LD is a "Lunar
Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon.
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. AS OF FEBRUARY 2: ALL QUIET - Sunspots
are now at 28, Flux Index at 82 and falling, Magnetic A Index at ~8. The Sunspot Count bobbed up and down
during the last seven days between 30 and 56, showing two minor peaks during
the last week. Mercury and Venus are now
decoupling during the next two weeks and as they do so they are forming
alignments with Neptune and Uranus. (See the schedule above These combos are
likely forming large number of sunspots on the other side of the Sun but for
Earth the count will remain low through the next four days. Then we may see two or three relatively
minor peaks. If the two Giant Sunspot
Regions do not decay, we may see a sudden sizable peak about February 10-18
which could impact the Earth's weather during the last week of February. But in general, all
weather fronts will tend towards normality, conditions will warm and dry
out. Except for the PNW and BC, Spring
will appear to break out during the next several days. Date Flux
Sunspots Area 2005 01 25 94
56 330 2005 01 26 89
46 160 2005 01 27 87
43 140 2005 01 28 85
43 150 2005 01 29 86
30 160 2005 01 30 86
38 120 2005 01 31 86
49 180 2005 02 01 84
27 170 2005 02 02 82
28 150 AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Solar Cycle 23 is dying quickly
but IT CAN AND WILL OCCASSIONALLY PRODUCE SUDDEN STORMY MOMENTS WITH BRIEF
MOMENTS OF HIGH SUNSPOT COUNTS, CME’S FLARES, ETC. "NOW" is the kind of moment when
these spritzy solar moods will come. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN
SOLAR CYCLE 23 Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. By November
2004, the count was still abnormally high at 43.7, making the decline of
Solar Cycle 23 slow indeed. But December
clearly brought the end of the high sunspot counts. The average dipped down
to a low of 17.9, surprising everyone. The predicted average value for
January was 27 but the Sun's average sunspot output nearly double December's
and rose to 31.3. February's is
expected to be 21 and since there are few compelling planetary alignments
during February, this projection may well be very close. FOR 2005 – 2009 The
average count should drop during the next 12 months to a monthly low in the
range of 10. More and more, now and
for the next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s atmosphere and
weather less and less. Global Warming
and El Nino type of phenomena will be more and more influential compared to
the solar input. The geo-data we
gather during the next three years about weather, climate, the Arctic,
Antarctic, Drought Regions, etc. will be extremely valuable in telling us
what the true long-term geo-trends really are. NOTE: The Sun and its
cycles are really not very "average" and not very "cyclical"
or "regular". Nowhere can we
find any evidence of an exact regularity, only constant variations. The Sun is and probably always has been a
vast cauldron of chaotic storms, electro-magnetic upwellings, and enormous
explosions and sudden flares (or CME’s) which can extend out as far as even
the outer planets, producing somewhat chaotic impacts on the planets. All this makes exact predictions of solar
activity far beyond the pale of human science, even with first class models
of the electromagnetic gradients created by the planets and their orbital
relationships. From this it is easy to
infer with considerable experience and conviction, that nothing on Earth can
be foreseen, EXACTLY. Just as some
order is inevitable, so is some chaos built directly into the cosmos. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by Iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM All in all, the Sun was very similar to last week's
activity. The Solar Wind was moderate at: 523.0 km/s this hour while
pushing a soupy density of 3.7
protons/cm3". NASA REPORTS: "The sun is almost blank. Solar
activity is very low and auroras are unlikely this week." BUT NASA ADDS:
"That's the report for the Earth-facing
side of the sun. The other side of the sun is a different story. Using a
technique called helioseismic holography, astronomers can take pictures of
the sun's far side--and they've seen possibly two big sunspots there: One of the sunspots is
NOAA 720, which was facing Earth on Jan. 20th when it unleashed an X7-class
solar flare. The blast sparked bright auroras over Check out the January
31 2005 image of the Far Side of the Sun "Either of these
active regions might be responsible for a spate of farside explosions yesterday.
The explosions themselves were not visible from Earth, but the coronal mass
ejections (CMEs) they hurled into space were photographed rising over the
sun's limb, as shown
in this SOHO
coronagraph movie captured on February 1st. The sun's 27-day
rotation will soon carry these 'spots around to face Earth. Watch for them
emerging over the sun's eastern limb as early as February 6th." COMMENT:
These may cause a sudden increase in Solar output as noted in the
previous section. Fluxgate
Magnetometer: The Fluxgate Chart at the
University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s
atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) is showing only a very few very small
disturbances during the past 36 hours (as of this time, about 2 PM
Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE. NASA AS
REPORTED THREE WEEKS AGO: NASA has produced a great
image of the BIG SUNSPOT 720 which grew for the Earth | Saturn alignment on
January 13. This is a potent sunspot region, it has already spawned the large
increase in the sunspot count today. Don’t miss viewing it. This image provides a basic classic
illustration of what happens when planets "pull" together on the
electromagnetic atmosphere of the Sun. http://www.spaceweather.com/images2005/12jan05/720_big.gif NASA PREDICTS: " A solar wind stream flowing from this coronal hole
could reach Earth on or about February 8th." There is a 1-30% probability of geomagnetic
storms, 1%-5% probability on coronal holes, CME’s, and M and/or X Class
Flares. Jan
Alvestad reports: " The geomagnetic field was inactive to unsettled on February
1. Solar wind speed ranged between 484 and 600 km/sec. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz
was 83.7. The planetary A index was 6 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three
hour interval ap indices: 5.9)...At midnight there were 2 spotted regions on
the visible solar disk. The solar flare activity level was very low. No C
class events were recorded during the day...January 30-February 1: No obvious
fully or partly Earth directed CMEs were observed. A full halo CME observed
during the afternoon and early evening on January 30 most likely had a
backsided source. Another full halo CME observed near noon on February 1 had
a source behind the northeast limb, possibly in returning old region
10720." Jan
Alvestad predicts: " A small recurrent coronal hole (CH143) in the southern
hemisphere will likely rotate to a geoeffective position on February 3. The
geomagnetic field is expected to be inactive to quiet on February 2-5. A low
speed stream from coronal hole CH143 could reach Earth on February 6 and
cause a few unsettled and active intervals. " Alvestad also predicts for
the next 24 hours a 60-100% probability of coronal holes, a 0-20% probability
of CME’s, and a 0-20% probability of M and/or X Class Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been watching the weather
patterns track the Sunspot Peaks have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
"sloppycasts" (approximate continental weather patterns) this past
few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. With the decline in sunspot activity,
weather is now more governed by Earth’s geophysics and will be mostly through
to about 2010. For geophysical-based reports and predictions – start with
Yahoo Weather, or the Weather Channel. Am I resigning from weather
forecasts? Almost. This section will
only add commentary on possible weather disturbances when major sunspot peaks
form up. These should be more rare
than during the past four years. FOR AN
ALMANAC SYTLE SUMMARY FORECAST OF 2005 ALIGNMENTS, SUNSPOT PEAKS, WEATHER
IMPACTS, AND HUMAN MOOD SHIFTS (through to Summer at this point) AND a
general discussion of how all this works and why this is worth doing, click
here for Almanac
2005. (in progress and soon will be
available only through registered subscriptions). AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:
I think the weather patterns pretty much prove up the case of Global
Warming and reveal what the essential syndrome is going to be: a major shift in
the eco systems of the extreme North and the desert zone latitudes with short
intense Winters and Summers and long drawn out often stormy Springs and
Falls. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This
"sloppycast" is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and
visual data shown on satellite and radar. SOLAR ACTIVITY IS STILL DROPPING AND THIS MOST LIKELY WILL
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS. ALL
STORM FRONTS ARE NOW DISSAPATING RAPIDLY.
The West is now drying out and during the next few days the East will
begin to warm and dry out as well. BUT IT IS
STILL WINTER AND THE JET STREAM IS STILL KINKY AND CHAOTIC. THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF JUST ABOUT
ANYTHING DURING THE NEXT WEEK, FREAK SPRING WEATHER ONE DAY, FREAK SNOW STORM
THE NEXT. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR WINTER
SEASON (Northern Hemisphere) This
"sloppycast" is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and
visual data shown on satellite and radar. AS OBSERVED IN JANUARY 2005: NOAA is trying its hand at three month
forecasts of rain and temperature patterns over The jet stream will gradually unkink and air flow should
more and more reflect a normal winter syndrome. After
about another week of rain and cold, winter should begin to retreat quickly. FOR
SPRING: During the end of
March we will have another major round of extreme weather, due to the five
planet straight line alignment. After
a mild ending to Winter, the first week of Spring will rapidly turn into a
very stormy period of about two weeks of extremely wet weather. No doubt the high mountains will have
another late round of snow and the
skiing season may be extended in many areas. KEEP
WATCHING FOR THIS GLOBAL WARMING WEATHER PATTERN:
Global Warming could easily intensify the seasons, making a short
bitterly cold Winter, longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and
shorter but very hot and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at
work in the Northern Hemisphere? SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This "sloppycast" is based on six
years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary
alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar. No change this week.
The forecast below is on track…the grass is growing thicker and taller
than ever, the brittlebush is already blooming, the Jojoba are setting beans
for the first time in years, wild flowers should be blooming all over by the
end of February. If rain continues
sporadically, the wildflower bloom could last until Mid May. I suspect the worst of Winter is over for the Pacific
Southwest and that the Sonoran will have a long Spring with some occasional
light rain getting rarer and rarer until the Summer Monsoon begins. I am not sure at this point what is in
store for the Summer Monsoon. AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
The past 120 days has clearly broken the drought pattern of the past
four years. You can see it in the
plants and the atmosphere everywhere.
It "feels" wet here now even on a sunny day, which it rarely
has during the past six years (that I have been here). Some climatologists are arguing that this
is an anomalous wet year for the Pacific Southwest and that the drought will
reassert itself next year or the year after.
I am inclined to think that the drought in the Southwest is a product
of both the Sunspot Cycle 23 and the Global Warming syndrome. From this, I suppose that the drought
pattern may be somewhat reduced during the next four years during the Sunspot
Minima, submerged completely by a lot of rain during El Nino, if it appears,
but slowly the drought will reappear during the next climb of sunspot counts
during Solar Sunspot Cycle 24. |
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EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif STILL,
ANOTHER WEEK DELAY: NOAA OR
NASA HAVE CUT US OFF…the dynamic El Nino charts I have been using have not
been updated by NOAA since January 2, 2005. Accordingly, no new news is
possible. Other than that, the website for El Nino has gotten fairly
well organized and is far more digestible by laypeople. Try clicking here to go to the latest NOAA ENSO Home Page. AS OF JANUARY 2, 2005
El Nino MAY OR MAY NOT OCCUR.
No prediction one way or the other is truly possible at the current
moment but if anyone will lay me odds at Vegas, at the moment I will bet on
one. If El Nino
does begin to firm up, it will have little impact on the Winter of 2005, but
it may begin to impact the Spring and hit heavy and hard during the Summer
and Fall months and perhaps deliver a VERY wet and warm Winter for 2006. Or
not…only time will tell. Probably by
April we will know for certain. AS
REPORTED PREVIOUSLY – THE CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know
whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005.
Purely in accordance with the
X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model, AN
EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN 2005.
But, the El Nino is not like an astrophysical cycle. There are some "missing" El
Nino’s in the record of the 20th century and we may have a missing
one. HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN
UNTIL ABOUT APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in which the
syndrome has formed up during previous El Nino’s. ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance
with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s
Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods
seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as
April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early
Spring 2005. |
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KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC, ANTARCTIC, and
the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories
of the climate shift. |
GLOBAL WARMING It is becoming obvious that we have a long term
real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the
latitudes. This climate shift is creating a growing environmental
disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the
Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004 NO
CHANGE THIS WEEK It would appear that the primary
messengers of Global Warming are appearing among the Inuit. It is their stories which are beginning to
press the phenomenon into every consciousness through all media. This is a good thing. It will help humanity become conscious of
dealing with the whole Earth and humanity will learn much more about how we
are all interconnected. Once again
stewardship in BEING on Earth is being led by the 'Our land is changing - soon yours will too' · Sheila Watt-Cloutier is the
elected chair of the Inuit Circumpolar Conference, which represents the
155,000 Inuit who live in Our elders and hunters have intimate knowledge of the
land and sea ice, and have observed disturbing changes to the Arctic climate
and environment, and to the wildlife. These changes include melting permafrost causing
increased erosion and damaging infrastructure; longer sea-ice free seasons;
new species of birds and fish invading the region; the arrival of mosquitoes
and blackflies; unpredictable sea-ice conditions; and glaciers melting fast,
creating torrents instead of streams. My homeland, the By looking at what is already happening in remote Inuit
villages in Scientists tell us that polar bears, ice living seals, walrus,
and some birds are very likely to decline, and that warming will disrupt or
destroy our hunting and food sharing culture. Our ancient connection to our hunting culture may well
disappear, within my grandson's lifetime. My culture continues to see us through much tumultuous
change. This change has resulted in confusion and despair, and all too often
in early death for our young people from suicides and addiction. Climate change is a matter of the survival of humanity as
whole. It is the most pressing global issue we face today. Protect the http://www.guardian.co.uk/international/story/0,3604,1391021,00.html AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
It is now clear that a "wet winter" is well under way for
almost all of North America and At the moment it would be hard to think that the area is
in a drought period, but it is very clear that the area, like much of the
planet, is experiencing some pretty weird unseasonable climate patterns. Where all this is going only the wind can tell... AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED ABOUT THE LIKELY IMPACT OF GLOBAL
WARMING ON HURRICANES– For others comments on Global Warming, Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25, 2004 For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how
to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and
tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004 |
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IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR STAND PAT THIS WEEK The assessment as of last week, repeated below, is well and
good in very general terms for this rapid descent into Sunspot Cycle 23
MIN. For a general discussion and forecast for the Spring
Season, go to: Almanac
2005 IN GENERAL
FOR 2005-2009 DURING LULLS OF THE
SOLAR VORTEX: AS OBSERVED AS OF DECEMBER 30: As the sunspot counts decline and fail to
peak for the planetary alignments, the impact on humans and the biosphere is
declining progressively. Relatively
more human activity will tend to be more driven by mental activity and
spiritual connectivity than emotional impulses. This does not favor the Imperial Faction and the Sorcerers
in the Mass Broadcast Smokescreen Industry.
The strength of the emotional associations which they rely upon to
program mass behavior will have less and less power during the next four
years. This is going to be especially true with the four year jag
of emotional associations around "patriotism". During 2005, patriotism and martial ardor
will become increasingly
"old" among the young and the marginal. More and more soldiers will wake up and
realize they have been on a "bender" which left them in a literal
hellhole. As solar activity ebbs into low activity levels, have you
noticed that the polls are increasingly showing that people think the Tragic
Invasion of Iraq was in fact A MISTAKE (now some 60%) and that 65% believe
Rumsfeld should go. People collectively are losing the ardor of blind emotional
commitments which the sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast Media and the agents of
HillBilly Sunday whipped up. They are
waking up to a wicked hangover in bed with a very ugly mess. This shift is palpable and will grow in magnitude and
depth. The Imperial Faction will stall
out rapidly during 2005, it is increasingly unlikely that they will have
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EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and potential
patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger.
Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on
the USGS database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of
2.0 mag. and above. Unfortunately there are many lags in reporting of
information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of quakes nor the actual
quakes discussed may be complete and accurate. Real time analysis of
quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON INCOMPLETE INFORMATION.
FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim Berkland calculates
syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I do. See
Syzygy.com Seismic activity cannot be easily generalized at this
time, largely due to high numbers of tremulations at the tectonic plate
margins near Since the last seven days have been a non-syzygy period,
both frequency and magnitude of seismic events should be down
substantially. In Worldwide, frequency and magnitude was down in all areas
for mag 3.0 plus, except along the equator and most especially in the Nicobar
Islands and along the coast of In addition there were four shape-shifter quakes in the
range of 5.2-5.6. One struck in the North Atlantic, another
in the Equatorial Atlantic, and two more struck along the Antarctic Tectonic Margin, one of these in
the Quake activity was largely depressed in all other areas
except Quite clearly the Earth is rapidly adjusting its shape in
response to the phase-shifting of the Chandler Wobble and the sudden
rupturing of the Indo-Trench. The
equatorial zone is still in process of adjusting the shape of the Earth along
Sumatra and at the opposite side at the coast of With the flexing once again of the Great Rift in multiple
locations, the shape shifting is probably broadening out to slowly adjust
more of the overall shape of the Earth.
This has stimulated a focal point of activity in both the THIS
SHAPE-SHIFTING PROCESS IS BY NO MEANS OVER.
THE PHASE-SHIFTING PROCESS IN THE WOBBLE IS NOT OVER AND WILL REQUIRE
ADDITIONAL ADJUSTMENTS IN THE SHAPE OF THE EARTH. AND, MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT, THE EARTH IS
ONLY BEGINNING TO RESPOND TO THE LARGE AMOUNT OF CHANGE RELATED TO THE
INDO-TRENCH AREA. A period
of accelerated tectonic activity will likely continue for the remainder of
this year. THE COMING NEW MOON PERIGEE MAY BE A HIGHLY DANGEROUS TIME. IMPORTANT ITEM FROM LAST WEEK: As predicted, the equatorial zone on the
opposite side of the Earth from the Indo-Trench Rupture did respond to the
sudden change in the shape of the equator by AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
I AM STILL VERY CONCERNED THAT THE EARTH IS "COCKING THE
TRIGGER" THIS YEAR FOR MAJOR TECTONIC ACTIVITY WHICH WILL BREAK OUT IN COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR SUPER ALERT FOR THIS WATCH!!! As witnessed by the Indo-Trench
Rupture and the aberrant motions of the Earth’s crust, global tectonic
motions in the Earth are unstable and obviously are tending to exceptionally explosive
releases in the trenches of tectonic collision and in the spreading Great
Rift zones. The Western ledge of the Carib
Plate is 180 degrees from the 9.2 quake in the Indo-Trench. Accordingly, the Carib Plate may also
release its "shape-shifting" stress during one of the upcoming
Lunar syzygies this year. This release
could come in the form of major volcanism and major Earthquakes which breaks
out first in AS PREVIOUSLY
OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a
major destructive quake could now strike at any time in SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH No reports to add this week SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of
the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the
Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy
vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around
the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which
list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the
quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.) For
additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the
Earth, go to Plate
Tectonics Map 4 SHAPESHIFTERS 5.2-5.6 Magnitude 5.6 PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE Saturday, January 29, 2005 at 06:37:46 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_twcc.html Location 56.91S
141.00W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC
RIDGE Reference 3585 km
(2230 miles) SE of Magnitude 5.5 NORTH OF Saturday, January 29, 2005 at 21:01:08 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_twb1.html Location 1.80S
15.47W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region NORTH
OF Reference 690 km
(430 miles) N of 1035 km (640 miles) SW of 1035 km (650 miles) SSW of 2265 km (1400 miles) ENE of Magnitude 5.2 Monday, January 31, 2005 at 20:29:08 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_tyap.html Location 65.87N
9.84W Depth 19.4
kilometers Region NORWEGIAN
SEA Reference 195 km
(120 miles) ENE of 380 km (235 miles) E of 455 km (280 miles) NNW of 605 km (375 miles) ENE of Magnitude 5.6 Monday, January 31, 2005 at 13:56:37 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_tyae.htmlU.S.
Geological Survey, Location 56.08S
27.42W Depth 109.3
kilometers Region Reference 70 km
(45 miles) N of Visokoi Island, 330 km (205 miles) N of 610 km (380 miles) ESE of Grytviken, South Georgia 3375 km (2090 miles) SE of Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity
which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables
which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of
the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in
magnitude.
Any numbers
used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect
what will eventually appear in scientific databases. IMPORTANT NOTE: Most
volcano monitoring sites appear to be screening out microquakes. A study
needs to be done to establish how to reconcile various lists and databases
because of this practice. The numbers
below cannot be considered to be definitive totals and subtotals. We use them merely to observe relative
fluctuations from week to week. Seismic activity in US & ALASKA & UP from 572 the prior week; BIG ISLAND up from 22 during the prior week - these do not include
the microquakes under UP from 319 last week, widely scattered in down from 16 last week – widely scattered PNW --- 226 up from 175 last
week; scattered but dominated 90% by NE Cal - East of down from 1 last week; these are almost certainly volcanic
related, quakes have broken out here off and on during the past two years. Tahoma (Rainer) – ? Hood – ? down from 24 last week. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude. For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE. up from 8 last week WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES There were probably hundreds of quakes in the |
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VOLCANOES Around the world with the most interesting and
relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage
of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre. Or
see "Breaking
Volcano Eruption News". OBSERVABLE
WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY HAS DEFINITELY CONTINUED AT LAST WEEK'S PACE AND ONCE AGAIN INCREASED PERHAPS
BY AS MUCH AS ANOTHER 5% THIS PAST SEVEN DAYS. Numbers are up. The intermittent
"smokers" are flaring on and off MORE OFTEN in new ash plumes and
lava flows, led as nearly always by the lava flows of All around
the Saint Helens is sedately still building a dome along with
several look-alike dome-builders on the AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: We have passed the null point for volcanic
activity, which usually occurs during the last 60 days of the year. As predicted here last year, activity has
already begun to pick up and more probable than not will continue building up
on through June of 2005, when once again it will begin to taper off. WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THIS POINT: Anything on the Carib Plate (East, West,
North, or South) is in danger of major tectonic activity during the next 90
days, especially around the Perigeen New Moons. To this list I would add the Northern Arc
of the Pacific Rim of Fire, especially on SAINT
HELENS VOLCANO UPDATES Text in this section is a condensation of
direct quotes from online source: CURRENT
UPDATE supplied by the U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington;
University of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle,
Washington; U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of
Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington Wednesday,
February 2, 2005 10:00 a.m. PST (1800 UTC) MOUNT Current
status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level 2); aviation color code Growth
of the new lava dome inside the crater of Potential
ash hazards: Wind forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA), coupled with eruption models, show that ash clouds
that rise above the crater rim today would drift eastward. Recent
observations: Several crews worked in the field yesterday. Installation of
one continuous GPS station on the south flank was completed and installation
of another on the southwest flank was started by UNAVCO and USGS personnel.
An existing GPS station on the upper west flank was repaired, as was the Dome
Cam at the mouth of the crater. Geologists got good views and photographs of
the crater and new lava dome and vertical aerial photographs were obtained
from which a new digital elevation model (DEM) will be created. Extrusion of
the new lava dome continues. Weather permitting tomorrow we will deploy by
helicopter a new GPS and seismic instrument package (“spyder”) on the new lava
dome and conduct a thermal-imaging flight.
For
additional information, background, images, and other graphics:
http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html USGS
Cascades Volcano Observatory, the Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network at
the For
additional information, background, images, and other graphics:
http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html For
seismic information: http://www.pnsn.org/HELENS/welcome.html For a
definition of alert levels: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html Telephone
recordings with the latest update on OTHER CASCADE VOLCANOES
as of February Day 2 2005 All
other volcanoes in the LATEST FORECAST FOR
SAINT HELENS BY EC BULLETIN: Feb-2 2005: THE INCREASE IN ACTIVITY THIS PAST SEVERAL
DAYS ON THE Look
for the next increase in eruptive behavior in St. Helens to occur in tandem
with an increase in activity on AS
OBSERVED LAST MONTH: At least three of
the active volcanoes on AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY: Colima may be the closest
"model" for how Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of February
Day 2 2004: (SWVC
does it annual database cleaning and new predictions for the year at this
time, accordingly its numbers in early January "break" sequence
with the last numbers in December). 7 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment)
(down one from last week) 31 alert list – up from 29 last week (alert list are
volcanoes with pre-cursor activities suggesting that activity may begin) 22 on active list (seismic,
gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (up from 21 a week ago) Popo gave a 24 puff day yesterday. Centrapred reports for February Day 2 (17:00 GMT) that " In the last 24 hours, the system
of monitoreo of Popocatépetl volcano registered 45 exhalations of low
intensity accompanied by steam, gas and some of them with small amounts of ash. Today in the
morning it was possible to be observed the volcano with a steam emission of
water and gas...In an aerial photograph taken on January 14th by Ing. Roberto
Quaas Weppen(CENAPRED) , subsidence is observed in the inner crater; an
external lava dome at the bottom of the crater cannot be distinguished.
" HIGHLY
INTERESTING NEW PLATE TECTONICS RESOURCE: Digital
World Tectonic Activity Map (DTAM) - visualization tool that
presents an actual representational view of global tectonics; created using
current global datasets of seismicity, volcanism, and plate motions. MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK from Volcano Breaking News by
Volcanologist John Seach Volcano Travel:
john@volcanolive.com Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian
Time (UT + 10 hr) Guam Hit by Earthquake and Volcanic Haze Kliuchevskoi
Volcano (Russia) Mt Etna Volcano
(Italy) Ebeko Volcano
(Russia) Miyake-jima
Volcano (Japan) Kliuchevskoi
Volcano (Russia) Veniaminof
Volcano (Alaska) Anatahan
Volcano (Mariana Islands) Manam Volcano
(Papua New Guinea)
Manam Volcano
(Papua New Guinea)
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Standing Assessment: Likely, it is
fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to
the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to mention
many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical, moral,
constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. |
NO UPDATE THIS WEEK We are just on the front edge of
"the outing"…. OR ARE WE? MORE DISCLOSURES HAVE EMERGED IN
THE TORTURE SCANDALS BUT SADLY, THERE IS NO CHANGE THIS WEEK IN ACTION WHICH
IS AIMED AT DEALING WITH IT REALLY. The Imperial System has neatly
contained the problem and is adroitly sending its grunts to jail for 10 year
stretches to take the fall for the institutional network of officers,
planners, spooks, and academic quacks who have designed an American Gulag
which stretches from where ever and back again.. It looks like civilized people
are being taken collectively to the cleaners and once again their noses are
being rubbed in the realization that after all, this is NOT a civilization,
it is a masquerade. So far the scandals are being
kept in the closets of But very little is manifesting
in actual dynamics of change. Except this: through the Iway the web of connections is
being spun in greater and greater detail, in better and better fidelity and
precision. It is ONLY through the Iway
that the web of corruption is going to be fully spun. I think it is well
worth the spinning, eventually events will conspire to bring Humpty Dumpty
into question. If their wicked web has
been reasonably spun out into completion, suddenly it will have the strength
of a rope, with the power to hang Humpty Dumpty, or pull him down from the
Wall. BUT AS OBSERVED LAST YEAR.
The auguries are not clear to me this past two weeks on how any of
this is going, or even if any of this IS going anywhere during the next
several months. If none of this goes
anywhere, take it as a given, take it as a fact, that all is lost on the
Republic and we have passed into in the deep twilight zone of a Fascist
nightmare for which there may not be any electoral remedy…at least not while
we are mired within the deep sorcery which the Mass Broadcast Media now casts in greater
depth all around us. It is as if after
the elections they turned up the volume of manipulation by at least a half
turn of the knob. Despite impeccable scientific reasoning, high caliber
informed observers and investigators, the story of the stolen elections
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ECONOMY WATCH NO CHANGE THIS WEEK OF FEBRUARY
2 2005 ALL SIGNALS MIXED, THE ECONOMY IS "WOBBLING"
WITH VERY LITTLE "GOOD NEWS" OR HOPES. As throughout most of 2004,
there are still no signs of a general recovery of the classic 20th
century kind. MOST COMMENTARY AND
EXPECTATIONS ARE PESSIMISTIC FOR 2005.
The most optimistic projections appear to be in the nature of
"holding" firm with small improvements. The worst expectations are dire indeed. I predict that most of the expectations will turn sour
after May or June. I also predict that
they will become more and more morose as the economy begins to show a rapid
movement into recession during the later part of the year and then clearly
moves into depression in 2006. STAGFLATION IS BUILDING MOMENTUM FOR A
CONSIDERABLE RISE DURING 2005. COMMODITY
PRICES WILL CLIMB RAPIDLY DURING 2005 TO CATCH UP WITH THE HUGE INCREASE IN
ENERGY COSTS (UP SOME 30% THIS YEAR). This
will generate a pernicious inflation in The economy will never regain any sense
of confidence in government efforts to build the basis for more solid
growth. The Bush administration will
continue to lose credibility, will come under severe legal pressure from wide
ranging indictments, perhaps even impeachment proceedings (long overdue), and
this gathering loss of political confidence will destroy corporate
confidence. This loss of confidence may be
experienced first in Europe and AS OBSERVED IN DECEMBER:
With the re-election of George Bush a completely new scenario for the
next two years is needed. It is this:
the main driving force of the economy will transition fully into an
Imperial economy. It will be based on
major militarization of the A massive empire building drive to export
"Order" over the greater portion of the world’s petroleum reserves
will shore up the value of the petro dollar quite nicely and preserve its
hegemony well through the "peak oil" period. Huge expenditures on armaments should
provide a continuing stimulus of the North American economy, enough to at
least keep it gimping along while the Empire is consolidated. The eventual eclipse of well oil poses no long term
problem. Only naïve analysts are
worried. Once oil supply is seriously
declining and oil prices can be maintained above $80/barrel, some people in
the oil industry, including David Rockefeller, understand the means of
"growing" your own. They
have held the secrets of this for some 23 years. THE ONLY BUMP ON THE ROAD TO THE IMPERIAL ECONOMY is
"global warming". This is
bringing people into other solutions than the use of oil. Is this not a course of development the
cabals of great wealth in BACKGROUNDERS
FOR JANUARY ON THE STATE OF THE Associated Press Retailers Report Unimpressive Dec. Sales Thursday January 6, 4:18 pm ET By Anne D'Innocenzio, AP Business Writer Nation's Retailers Report Generally
Unimpressive Sales Figures for It was hard to discern a trend Thursday as
merchants reported December sales, the final assessment of the holiday
season. Costco Wholesale Corp., Target Corp., teen retailer Abercrombie &
Fitch Co., Federated Department Stores Inc., and upscale stores like Neiman
Marcus Group Inc. all surpassed Wall Street projections but Sears, Roebuck
and Co., Gap Inc., Pier 1 Imports Inc. and May Department Stores Co. were
among the disappointments. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., which stepped up
discounting after a slow start to the season, posted a decent but not
outstanding 3 percent rise in same-store sales, or sales at stores open at
least a year. That was a slightly higher than Wall Street's forecast. "The Christmas season was just OK, clearly
salvaged by the last-minute shoppers and steep discounting," said Ken
Perkins, an analyst at RetailMetrics LLC, a research firm in Perkins noted that two-thirds of the 65
retailers that reported sales Thursday beat Wall Street's modest sales
estimates, a reversal of November's results. But the heavy discounting needed to bring
consumers into stores came at the expense of profits, prompting retailers
including Target and Pier 1 to cut fourth-quarter earnings projections,
according to Todd S. Slater, a retail analyst at Lazard Freres & Co. The International Council of Shopping
Centers-UBS same-store sales tally of 77 retailers for December rose 2.7
percent, which was below the already reduced forecast of 3 percent to 3.5
percent. That means same-store sales for the combined
November-December period were up 2.3 percent, below the 2.5 percent to 3
percent forecast, according to Michael P. Niemira, chief economist at the
association. November's final same-store sales tally was up a slim 1.8
percent. The holiday performance was weaker than the 4.0
percent gain posted in 2003, and in line with the holiday 2000 and 2001
seasons, which averaged a 2.3 percent gain. Still, as Niemira noted, the holiday season
"had a lot of things going on," making it difficult to measure its
success. The season was marked by the increasing popularity of gift cards,
sales of which are not recorded until consumers redeem them, and the
increasing popularity of online shopping, which is are not included in retailers'
same-store results. Online sales for the November and December
period rose a better-than-expected 29 percent to $15.8 billion, according to
comScore Networks Inc. The season had an uneven start at Thanksgiving,
prompting many merchants to step up discounts, but consumers didn't start
shopping seriously until the week before Christmas. The surprise this season
came the week after Christmas, when many stores saw a bigger-than-expected
bump from the redemption of gift cards. At apparel retailer Ann Taylor Stores Corp.,
sales "were better than we had anticipated given November's weak
performance, with most of the improvement coming in week five" of the
season, chairman J. Patrick Spainhour said in a statement. American Eagle Outfitters Inc., which reported
a better-than-expected 32.8 percent same-store sales increase on Wednesday,
said same-store sales soared 90 percent in the week after Christmas compared
to a year earlier. Although procrastination has become the norm
during the holidays, consumers' uneasiness contributed to their late shopping
-- they were looking for marked-down merchandise. While gasoline prices have
fallen, they are still high, and consumers, particularly low- and
middle-income Americans, have cut spending on non-essentials. Many consumers
are also worried about job security. The Labor Department underscored the uneven
nature of the labor market Thursday, reporting that the number of new people
signing up for jobless benefits shot up last week. New applications filed for
unemployment insurance increased by a seasonally adjusted 43,000 to 364,000,
the highest level since late September. The unimpressive holiday performance raised
questions about consumers' ability to spend in 2005, as factors like an
uncertain job market and high fuel prices are not going away. Rising interest
rates will also add to consumers' expenses. "Consumer spending moving forward has a
weak tone," said Anthony Chan, senior economist with J.P. Morgan Fleming
Asset Management in Wal-Mart had to work hard to generate
December's 3 percent same-store sales gain, which was at the high end of the
company's projections, and higher than the 2.3 percent forecast by Wall
Street analysts in a survey by Thomson First Call. Target had a 5.1 percent gain in same-store
sales, better than the 4.2 percent estimate. Costco had a 9 percent increase in same-store
sales, better than the TJX Cos. Inc. reported a 6 percent same-store
sales gain, above the 2.8 percent forecast. "In general, Christmas
business surged late in December, as we had expected," Edmond J.
English, president and chief executive officer, said in a statement. Among department stores, upscale merchants did
the best. Neiman Marcus enjoyed a 10.8 percent increase in same-store sales,
better than the 7.9 percent forecast. But Sears suffered a 3.0 percent same-store
sales decline in its domestic business, while Wall Street's forecast 0.2
percent. "Relatively strong sales at the end of the holiday shopping
season were insufficient to offset a slow start to the month," said Alan
J. Lacy, chairman and CEO, in a statement. Penney had a 1.2 percent decline in same-store
sales, better than the Federated had a 2.3 percent increase in
same-store sales, better than the 1.1 percent forecast. May had a 3.3 percent same-store sales decline,
close to the 3.5 percent estimate. Among apparel chains, Limited Brands Inc. had a
modest 2 percent same-store sales gain, better than the 1.4 percent forecast.
Gap had a 1 percent same-store sales decline, worse than Wall Street's 0.1
percent projection. Pier 1 suffered an 8.8 percent decline in same-store
sales. Analysts had expected a 4.3 percent decline. Teen retailers generally did well. Pacific
Sunwear of California Inc. had a 5.3 percent same-store sales increase; Wall
Street expected 4.0 percent. Abercrombie & Fitch had a 10 percent gain
in same-store sales, much higher than the 0.7 percent estimate. On Wednesday, Nordstrom Inc. reported a
same-store sales gain of 9.3 percent, better than the 3.6 percent forecast. Jobless Claims Climb, Retail Sales Mixed Thu Jan 6, 2:00 PM ET By JEANNINE The Labor Department (news - web sites)
reported Thursday that new applications filed for unemployment insurance
jumped by a seasonally adjusted 43,000 to 364,000, the highest level since
late September. The over-the-week increase of 43,000 was the most since the
end of March 2002. The latest snapshot of the labor market activity | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
