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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright February Day 16 2005
BULLETIN ARCHIVE
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of February 16
2005 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the "big picture" about how the dynamic changes in the
Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the
latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. NEW LINK FOR THE NEW Earth
Changes Bulletin Almanac & Updates Archive. USE THIS NEW HOME PAGE TO ACCESS
THE ARCHIVES OF WEEKLY UPDATES, SPECIAL REPORTS, AND THE NEW ALMANAC. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or
use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2005/ecb_Feb_16_05.htm Continue To Maintain Extreme Vigilance!!! CONTINUE
EXCEPTIONAL VIGILENCE IN ACTIVE SEISMIC ZONES THROUGH TO THE END OF MARCH
2005: Nearly all psychic and
avocational quake predictors believe that additional major tectonic activity
is about to occur during the next few weeks.
The danger period probably extends through to the end of March 2005. THIS TIME THE URL WORKS!!! ( : - ) LENGTHY
NEW MATERIAL I am still working
diligently on this material which succinctly outlines predictions for the
period 2005 – 2012. This will serve as the
basis of two one day seminars during April, one in LATER, PERHAPS BY MID
MARCH: Beyond this I am also working
on the period of what the Q’ero call the Pachacuti and the Hopi call the "Great
Purification" (also known as the "Time of Troubles" or "The
Tribulations"). I have just
consumed four books and many iway articles and websites the past few weeks to
prepare for this. For a variety of
reasons, the final keys for putting together the final plot line of the
Fourth Age and the most probable key signals are now being brought forward
into my consciousness in a way which will allow me to describe them clearly
and specifically to the world. Due to
many issues, the greater bulk of this material shall not be openly available
directly on the internet. Access to
most of the predictions will be made available through paid annual
subscriptions. Because of the
strategic seriousness of some of the predictions, some I will only make
available through mouth and ear in private seminars. I will begin to advise of this material
through the EC Bulletins and through Alex Merklinger’s radio program EACH WEDNESDAY - Alex Merklinger Radio at Mysteries Of The Mind 7 PM Mountain Time FOR THIS YEAR OF THE GATHERING
EMERGENCE: On the geophysical front, at the current time
activity at the solar level of our vast Vortex is decreasing and this trend
should continue for at least several days. SOLAR activity increased greatly during the past several
days as the Flux rose to 125 and the Sunspot Count hit 115 and this
"wave" will send another "wave" of energy into the Winter
Storm Fronts during the following week.
But both counts were falling as of February 16, Sunspots at 61, Flux
at 113, and this drop should continue for at least a week. Still, for unknown
reasons, the Jet Stream remains very kinky against On the geopolitical
front, the fog is lifting and all international and domestic dynamics are
shifting rapidly. The kooky part of
the Bush-Rove domestic agenda will go nowhere as political forces in the |
EACH WEDNESDAY - Alex Merklinger Radio at Mysteries
Of The Mind 7 PM Mountain Time This
hidden column on the right is available for links, banners, and icons
of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual
donation. Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a
REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update. YOU MUST HAVE
BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous
subscriber).. |
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to
prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth
Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ The Bulletin is written in Arizona (UTC +8
hours) so any relative references, such as "Today", or "Tomorrow",
or "Yesterday" should generally to taken to refer to the day spans
as experienced in Western North America. |
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PREVIOUS UPDATES Nov 24
not available as of this date |
COMING MID MARCH IN WEEKLY INSTALLMENTS: UPDATE PREDICTIONS FOR 2005 – 2012 and
through "The Tribulations"
go to the Earth
Changes Almanac THIS TIME THE URL WORKS!!! ( : - ) A systematic synopsis
is being assembled which succinctly outlines predictions for the period 2005
– 2012 and through the period of what the Q’ero call the Pachacuti and the
Hopi call the "Great Purification" (also known as the "Time of
Troubles" or "The Tribulations". This outline will update the predictions in
"The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" and the "Return of the
Phoenix", mainly by confirming the general plot line and by adding more
details which carry the predictions well beyond 2006-2008. COMING IN APRIL… Mandeville will be conducting a
book tour in SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will "bottom" in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS
AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis is far
ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since May 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF FEBRUARY 16, 2005: Ditto all conditions. ONLY MORE SO. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JANUARY 6, 2005:
On track, as discussed in
previous Bulletins. A new quick
summary is provided below in the Economy
section. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF DECEMBER 22,
2004: No surprises, everything on track as
predicted…conditions remain about the same through to the first week of
January – things will then begin to break suddenly…into a fast and furiously
changing year. The tide will clearly
turn during 2005 on many fronts, collectively marking the end of the American
Age and a progressive waning of American stature and prosperity.. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 17,
2004: As per stated below, the bubble is re-inflating for
a few more weeks or even months if Al Qaeda does not attack. Oil prices are dropping as stocks and
equities firm up and the economy continues expansion with the expectation
that American Imperialism will continue (unfortunately)
to drive international events during 2005. BEWARE SUDDEN REVERSALS WHEN
ALQAEDA STRIKES. BEWARE THE EMERGING SUPER-COALITION IN |
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ALL
DATES AND TIMES USED IN THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN ARE NOW UTC = Universal
Time Constant, previously known as Greenwich Mean Time. |
HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 7
PM WE ARE
STILL IN AN AWKWARD STAGE WITH THE BULLETINS.
MUCH PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE IN COMPLETELY REDEFINING THE BULLETIN,
MONITOR, ALMANAC, AND WEBSITE, BUT SO FAR IT IS ALL INVISIBLE. THE NEW SCHEMA WILL BE INTRODUCED DURING
FEBRUARY AND MARCH We are halfway into
a process which will combine an almanac structure with the weekly
updates. I intend a three tier
Bulletin/Almanac Archive: a weekly
newsletter which is shorter than present, an archive of the Weekly Updates in
web pages, and a deeper core structure which is like an Almanac, encompassing
years, major references, explanations of all the details, and outlines for
many years in advance of various predictions and concerns. To this core we will link the Updates and
around the entire business we will add a variety of news feeds and tightly
focused discussion forums. From these news
feeds, some items in summary form will appear in the Updates. It will take a couple of months yet to
shape this up to where I will truly want it to be. Today you can
finally access an update of the past year's bulletins and the beginning of an
annual forecast for 2005. Click here
for the new access point to the current new home page for the Earth Changes Bulletin Almanac & Archive |
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As stated in the "Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006", the nature of human politics reflects the
communication abilities of the human species. As we transform the
media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the
entire Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally
equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there
is to it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. BREAKING
NEWS: There is underway very rapid progress on all internal spiritual
and psychic development issues. THOSE
WHO MEDITATE ARE TUNING INTO INCREASING ENERGY LEVELS AND MAJOR
TRANSFORMATIONS OF HOW THEIR CHAKRAS BALANCE AND WORK. Much of this transformation is not very
describable as it involves shifts in how our personal "holographic"
field is experienced. DIET IS EXCEPTIONALLY IMPORTANT AS EVER BUT EVEN MORE SO
FOR THOSE WHOSE UPPER CHAKRAS ARE OPENING and energize. As they energize, the body begins to reject
more militantly the load of industrial chemistry which now adulterates the
greater bulk of American grocery store food items. What to do about it is very complex and differs for nearly
all people. But here is a shot gun
approach which is probably very helpful for a great many If you are having an increased load of
health issues, drop prepackaged food out of your diet AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE, fix
from scratch with items as pure as possible, eat mega doses of sodium acerbate
(Vitamin C) or from natural sources such as rose hips, and MAKE SURE YOU TAKE
IN NO COOKING OILS EXCEPT FROM OLIVE OIL.
OLIVE OIL IS A GIFT FROM THE GODS AND HAS ALSO BEEN DEMONSTRATED TO
DECREASE CANCER AND/OR SLOW DOWN ITS REPLICATION IN THE BODY. FOR
WINTER 2005: The surge in solar activity the last few days has had a
major impact on a great number of people who meditate. Interior channels have energized and nearly
everyone I talk to relays similar experiences of new channels or access to
new awareness of imagery or feelings or knowledge opening up. A step-function in personal maturity has
been experienced, along with increased personal vibrancy. As it were, a real "personal
inauguration" seems at hand. It
is a good time to focus on the emerging Medicine Wheel of the Earth and our
energetic interconnection within Indri's Net.
It is an excellent time to enhance the power of inner visualization
and connection. Thanks to Adam for
bringing this back into our consciousness.
Try this visualization:. Indri's Net: (as
described in the ancient Sanskrit texts) There is an endless net of threads throughout the
universe. The horizontal threads are in space. The vertical threads are in time. At every crossing of threads there is an individual. And every individual is a crystal bead. The great light of absolute being illuminates and
penetrates every crystal being. And every crystal being reflects not only the light from
every other crystal in the net, But also every reflection of every reflection throughout
the universe. MWM: Try that on for visualizing the All In All we call
God. Talk about opening up channels…. Mayan Elders have delivered an urgent message: the major Earth Changes of the
"Pachacuti" or "Purification" period have begun with the
rupture of the Indo-Trench. They
expect increasing seismic activity and major quakes of a similar nature to
occur through the next several months. FOR 2005:
Some major keywords for 2005 are: "Gathering", most especially in the sense of
gathering of forces; "Being", as in the sense of fully participating
in the realization and practice of what we dare to hope we are becoming; "Accepting"; negatively as in eating the "Karmic
Blowback" (the American People are going to take an immense amount of
Karmic Blowback for the Tragedy in "Emerging", realization and experiencing of the
becomings long sought, most especially as in bringing forth the new
understandings, orientations, needs, and directions of purpose for a
profoundly different world than is celebrated in the Mass Media. In the positive dimension, around these keywords, many new
phenomenon will emerge, especially in the forms of groups and individuals
manifesting new activities. NEXT
SEVEN YEARS: In the negative dimension, the coming "Karmic
Blowback" is going to be terrible and shake the very roots of everything
in STAY FOCUSED ON HELPING THE EMERGENCE OF PEACE, JUSTICE,
AND FREEDOM. DENY ALL MOVEMENT TOWARDS
FASCISM. THE FASCISTS AND BIGOTS AMONG
THE NATIONS ARE GOING TO DELIVER INCREASING QUANTITIES OF KARMIC BLOWBACK TO
EACH OTHER. It will be terrible in the
coming years, and in 2005 the I SUGGEST YOU "DUCK" AND KEEP PUTTING YOURSELF IN
A DIFFERENT PLACE ALLTOGETHER – MENTALLY AND EMOTIONALLY AND POLITICALLY AND
ECONOMICALLY, AND IF YOU ARE URBAN DEPENDENT, I HIGHLY RECOMMEND THAT YOU
BEGIN TO FORM YOUR STRATEGY FOR PHYSICALLY DUCKING THE EMPIRE’S KARMIC
BLOWBACK FOR THE PERIOD 2006-2012, ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN THE EAST COAST
BUBBLE. No-Eyes, the blind old first world prophet of the Rockies
had it right 20 years ago, conditions are going to get increasing bad because
of the karmic blowback and there is no end in sight until "the Phoenix
screeches". BREATH
FREE. Let go of everything which is
disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced,
contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the
rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.
The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new
relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward
and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that
which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and
relationship with the all. SPIRITS EMERGING:
CONFIRMING WHAT I PREDICTED LAST YEAR:
"In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great
energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was
upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will
have greater meaning by the end of the year." Here is one. ADAM,
an 18 year old healer in Don’t react, go to center, get clear,
release, and grieve…the Fourth Age is dying rapidly now… much more rapidly
than we thought, its institutions and identities are beyond saving… let it
go, let go, get to center…flow into God, let God flow into you…don’t
speculate, don’t analyze, don’t react to the shtuff…clear…clean out the past
four years…we are now free to grieve the death of everything we detested…let
it go…let it go…let it die. As you
re-center in God, find the realization that this is the final moment you have
been waiting for to end your connections and involvements with the illusions
and delusions of all that which has betrayed the divine within each and
brought greed, war, and destruction over the Earth. The destroyers belong to each other,
this is now the final time of their fatal embrace. Let them love their wars…they have greatly
desired the bitter wines of their hatreds and violence, they have lusted
greatly for their Armageddon, and they shall have it. The die has been cast with a thousand
artifices and illusions. With the
excellence of its manner of casting,
God has delivered to you your own freedom from the delusions and spells
of the Mass Sorcerers, indeed, from the entire age, if you will but realize
it. Clear yourself and your life to
find now the sense of movement and direction to separate your life from the
dying culture which is putrefying all around you. There is no saving it…as
Buckminster Fuller observed many decades ago, the old order is never saved,
the new order merely grows up around it to eventually takes its place. So it will come to pass now in an intense
period of vast change during the next twenty years. |
The "Great Purification" predicted
by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that
these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to
advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. BREAKING
NEWS: NO CHANGE
THIS WEEK – A SMALL AMOUNT OF PHASE-SHIFTING CONTINUES. FOR A
DETAILED DISCUSSION OF THE CURRENT "PHASE-SHIFTING" IN The North Spin Axis is STILL moving out of its normal 6.5
Chandler Wobble spiral track. The anomaly is becoming larger. The
"phase-shifting" of This aberrant motion is a slowly emerging anomaly which
appears to be a continuation of aberrations which began in approximately
September 2004. There is too much horizontal movement in the X plot
which graphs the spiral motion track of the North Spin Axis in what is called
The Great Rupture of the Indo-Trench on Christmas 2004
caused a decided departure from what was already an aberrant track. The
track has not returned to normal and it appears to be initiating what may
best be described as a "phase shift" in the waveform of the motion
of the North Spin Axis relative to the surface of the Earth. During the past few days another round of daily shape
shifter quakes in the Great Rift of the Earth has commenced, signaling that
another acceleration in tectonic plate movement has begun.. The onset of this phase shift began in approximately
September 2004 and was followed approximately 120 days later with the
Christmas Day Great Rupture. Earlier "phase-shifts" of Accordingly, it is fair to conclude that the Earth appears
to have entered into a very dangerous "season" during which
unusually destructive Earthquakes will likely be more frequent than
normal. CERTAIN CLUES ARE ALSO BEING GIVEN THROUGH MULTIPLE
PSYCHIC SOURCES ABOUT BOTH FEBRUARY AND THE NEXT 75 DAYS. BE AWARE. I RECOMMEND EXCEPTIONAL VIGILENCE AROUND THE EQUATORIAL
ZONE, ESP IN THE CARIB PLATE, THE BAJA PLATE, THE BACKGROUND
INFORMATION No change
from last week For an excellent timely discussion of mass instability in
the Earth during this current time, check out this very interesting article by
William Hutton which is linked below.
Long time subscribers to the EC Bulletins will recall that I began to
report in 2000 that a major anomaly had appeared beginning in December 1998
in the track of Chandler's Wobble (of the North Spin Axis). Hutton, a retired professional geologist,
has followed up this lead with this very interesting article which confirms
the anomaly within his framework of thought. This is especially pertinent because the current anomaly
is beginning to smell a lot like the 1998-1999 anomaly, which
"phase-shifted" the wobble to some degree. If the wobble once again
phase-shifts as it approaches its MIN spiral track in the 6.5 year cycle, it
will reveal a new recurring pattern in polar motion which has not been
apparent since the 1936 phase shift which Edgar Cayce described. For one thing, it will reveal that the
Earth will require an era of shape-shifting and accelerated wobble drift to
regain a balanced distribution of mass (more mass needs to be shoved by
centrifugal spin energy towards the equator). Reflect on the idea that a phase-shift represents a shift
in the time domain for a variable…suddenly it is in a new time connection
with the flux of the universe. Now
reflect for a moment that the primary description of the shifting of the
poles which was offered by the oral tradition of the Inca is the name "Pachacuti",
which they defined as a rip in the fabric of time… This is ALL VERY PERTINENT as well because it tends to
corroborate the "feeling" of the tripwires among psychics and
shamen and avante garde researchers that an acceleration is occurring in
Earth Changes right now and that many more major quakes are to be expected
during the coming months. As you will see in Hutton's discussion, the 1998
incident was followed by some historical quakes. for background information, click here POSSIBLE
POLE-SHIFT PRECURSOR FOUND! Hutton
Commentaries On 1998 Polar Motion Anomaly RECENT The "jiggle" in the polar motion wobble produced
by the 9.2 Indo-Trench quake can be clearly seen on the spiral wobble track. It is as if two vectors at 90 degrees to each other are
contending with each other over which force will move the Earth’s crust the
most, and thus move the location of the North Spin Axis in one direction or
another. Since this anomaly is directly synchronous with the Great
Rupture of the Indo-Trench, I am deeply suspicious that the events are
directly related (the slightly erratic wobble causing the rupture, the
rebound of which shifts the wobble into an even more erratic motion). The specific causes are unknown (the general cause is
simple: an accumulating imbalance in
the distribution of the mass of the Earth on which centrifugal force acts to
push excess mass towards the Equator). The appearances of the graphs of polar motion suggest that
this is an "emerging" and accelerating instability which has been
increasing in tempo for at least the past 20 years. (Actually this is an
illusion, it is the crust of the Earth which is wobbling and moving as
centrifugal force attempts to push accumulating extra mass (such as polar ice
pack) towards the equator). This acceleration in the rate of motion suggests the there
is indeed a "Change In The Earth", as long prophesied, beginning to
happen right before our eyes and under our feet. As many no doubt have been reading, many prophetic
"tripwires" among psychics and First World Medicine Wheel elders
are clearly interpreting current Earth events as signals and signs and
effects of the "Pachacuti", "Great Purification", or
"Tribulation" which precedes the final avalanche of the crust
(shifting of the poles, Ragnarok, Judgment Day, etc.). ANATOMY OF
THE 2004 GREAT RUPTURE OF THE INDO-TRENCH The outline of the wobble track on the map grid of the
world seems to show more clearly every week that the spiraling motion of the
North Spin Axis has indeed, as I have suspected for weeks, accelerated its
rate of drift. More, it is showing
considerable instability in moving through its spiraling track. Polar motion returned to its spiral track and is currently
spiraling tightly inward. OOPS, that was a couple of weeks ago. Now it is very lazily actually drifting
away from its X Min track (when the wobble is the smallest approximately
every seven years). It is also having a bad hair month – err, year. Its motion seems more unstable during this
past three months and does not appear to be "forming up" in a track
appropriate to its last six months of motion.
It currently appears to be "spreading" out into a wider
spiral rather than it typical. Take a look at the x plot chart and you will see the
beginning of the new outward, horizontal motion on the wave track. What is it doing? It is always hard to generalize about
these motions but I believe we are currently seeing the "blowback"
or "feedback" energy of the rupturing of the Earth’s crust in the
Indo-Trench. I believe that the poles are now shifting (have been for
the past few years) their "average" location more rapidly than
during the previous century. This accelerated drift is probably due to some
mass imbalance in the Earth’s crust.
This imbalance is being acted upon by centrifugal motion of the
Earth’s spin, which is changing the focal point of the "wobble" in
the spin. Then, about 90 days ago, apparently the drift track of the
wobble hit a vector of mass resistance.
This resistance was strong enough to flatten the peak of its normal
sine-wave spiraling motion in what is called the X plot of polar motion. This plot is maintained by international
cooperation to keep tabs on the exact location of the North Spin Axis from
day to day. Apparently, the normal smooth motion of the Earth’s crust dipping
over the theoretical average location of the North Spin Axis toward the
Pacific and then back again down was arrested and cut off. The entire Crust of the Earth was arrested
in its Then the normal motion seemed to begin to assert itself
and the spiral began to turn inward, as it should be doing at this time,
closing toward the X Min point where the wobble will be at its smallest size
of its seven year cycle. I believe this abnormal track of the wobble is one of the
primary causes of the Great Rupture in the Indo-Trench. The connection and time parallelism between
these two relatively abnormal events is just too close to ignore as mere
coincidence. And…the parallelism gets better. Suddenly the motion of
the North Spin Axis began to flare out again this past few days, apparently shifting
the focal point for the entire wobble of the North Spin Axis. I do not have enough of the numbers of actual polar motion
(agreed upon and formally reported) to be mathematically precise about this. The IERS generally cogitates on what it
will advance as the real numbers to make sure it corresponds will all
reports. It will be another month or so until enough real numbers are
available on table form to clearly see what may have been the feedback or
blowback effect. However, the IERS X
plot is not nearly so shy and currently shows exactly what I am talking
about. The current, apparent out-flaring
"jiggle" in the X plot has probably been created by the "ringing"
or oscillation of the Earth created by the Christmas Rupture of the
Indo-Trench. FOR 2005: In general, the Wobble Track is showing
continued tightening of the Chandler’s Wobble Spiral, as should be at this
time in its 7 year Wobble Cycle, and the track seems to be conforming with a
continued acceleration in the rate of drift, but this can be by no means
certain until this 7 year cycle is over.
In about two years we will be able to locate the minimum spiral of
motion and then look for the average 7 year "location" of this past
seven years for comparison with previous cycles. NEXT
SEVEN YEARS: KEEP IN
MIND THAT THIS
WATCH HAS BEEN SET TO LOOK EXACTLY FOR THIS TYPE OF DEPARTURE OF THE EARTH
FROM ITS PREVIOUS SPIRALING WOBBLE TRACKS.
THESE MOTIONS DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS CONFIRMS THE THESIS OF VORTEX
TECTONICS AND THE DEDUCTION FOR THE PROJECTED AVALANCHE OF THE CRUST WHICH
WAS CALCULATED IN THE "RETURN
OF THE PHOENIX". (The spiral track takes nearly seven years to define a
complete wobble cycle and it takes the entire cycle to be able to calculate
the average location of the North Spin Axis in order to compare it against
other "average locations" in the previous axis cycles. From this, a straight line track of the
"average locations" can be computed and the acceleration in the
rate of motion of the "shift" can be defined I believe at the current time that this will show a specific
"jump" this past year, a micro "pole shift". Very
micro.) REFERENCE:
http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. EXCELLENT
UPDATING BACKGROUNDER: Focus On Our
Magnetic Planet http://www.terradaily.com/news/earth-magnetic-05b.html "Mission
controllers cross their fingers whenever the Sun is stormy and their
spacecraft have to fly over the Troublesome faults
occur in electronic systems and astronauts see flashes in their eyes. The
Earth's magnetic field, which shields our planet against charged atomic
particles coming from outer space, is curiously weak in that region. The South Atlantic
Anomaly, as the experts call it, is one pressing reason why they are
intensifying their exploration of the Earth's magnetism. These satellites
show that the danger zone for satellites over The Earth's
magnetic field is becoming generally weaker at an astonishing rate. When a
French-Danish team compared Orsted's results for 2000 with those from an
American satellite, Magsat, 20 years earlier, the decline in the field's
strength suggested that it might disappear completely in a thousand years or
so. The experts wonder
if our planet is preparing to swap its north and south magnetic poles around,
as it has often done before during the Earth's long history. These and other
mysteries about our magnetic planet will get the closer attention they
deserve, in ESA's forthcoming Swarm project. Three satellites will work
together to measure the magnetic field and its variations far more accurately
than ever before. [...] Separating the
different sources of magnetism Ordinary magnetic
compasses obey the main magnetic field, produced by electric currents in the
Earth's core of molten iron. But in magnetic storms, compass needles wander. Since the 19th Century
scientists have linked these storms to eruptions on the Sun. Many space
ventures, recently including the ESA-NASA SOHO spacecraft and ESA's
four-satellite Cluster mission, have helped to clarify the solar connection. We live in a
protective bubble in space called the magnetosphere. At its boundary, gusts
in a non-stop solar wind of atomic particles battle with the Earth's
magnetism. As a result, events
in outer space make a continual but highly variable contribution to the
magnetic field. So do electric currents in the ionosphere, the zone of free
electrons and charged air molecules high in the atmosphere that's best known
for reflecting radio signals. Other, much weaker
patterns are overlaid on the global picture. In the Earth's crust, many rocks
have built-in magnetism that remembers the direction of the main magnetic
field when they formed. This affects the
field measured locally. By its subtle east-west comparisons Swarm will
picture the magnetic field of the crust with unprecedented clarity. And even
ocean water generates electric currents as it move in the main field, so that
the ebb and flow of the tides have a slight magnetic effect. As gauged by the
satellites, the main field is roughly 6,000 times stronger than the rock
magnetism of the ocean floor, and 30,000 times greater than the influence of
the oceanic tides. Only with delicate
measurements by satellite constellations, supported by ground stations, ships
and aircraft carrying magnetic instruments, can scientists sort out all the
patterns of magnetism from the different sources. The most careful
analyses reveal yet another effect. Magnetic variations drive electric
currents in the mantle, the main region between the core and the crust. These
in turn cause further magnetic changes, from which scientists can estimate
the electrical conductivity of the mantle. This provides a check on the
temperature of the material hidden deep in the Earth's interior. "What excites
us is the huge scope of what we can study even with quite small
satellites," comments Nils Olsen of the "By making
magnetic measurements in space we get new information about the Earth, from
the molten core deep under our feet, through the mantle, to the crust on
which we live. And then we go on upwards into the upper atmosphere, through
the planet's local space environment, and all the way to the Sun itself,
which is the source of daily magnetic disturbances." Practical benefits Solar storms can be
fatal for satellites, and not only on account of radiation damage. The
atmosphere inflates and low-orbiting spacecraft run into unexpected air
resistance. Experts used to
think it was just a matter of the air being heated by particles and electric
currents in the regions around the poles, where auroras occur. Now a sensitive
French-built accelerometer on the German CHAMP satellite has revealed heating
by intense currents where the solar wind pushes towards the magnetic poles in
daytime. The three Swarm satellites will investigate this new effect with
accelerometers of their own. Swarm's operational
lifetime, 2009-13, will coincide with the next expected peak of storminess on
the Sun. Immediate practical benefits will centre on Swarm's general
monitoring of space weather, and the solar events affecting not just
spacecraft and astronauts but technological systems on the ground as well. Magnetic storms can
damage power systems and pipelines, whilst the changes in the magnetic field
can mislead any navigational systems that use magnetic compasses. These
include compasses operating underground to guide the drills used to find and
recover oil. For scientists, the
biggest benefit of Swarm is that high-quality magnetic measurements provide a
new way of 'x-raying' the hidden interior of planet. Earthquake waves and
variations in the strength of gravity already provide a picture of the hot
core, the rocky mantle that surrounds it, and the ever-active crust. But the
picture is not yet clear enough for scientists to agree how the internal
machinery of the planet really works. "Magnetic
measurements give a fresh point of view on the Earth's interior," says
Roger Haagmans, who is responsible for solid-Earth science in ESA's Earth
Observation programme. "And Swarm
will also investigate the puzzling changes in the Earth's core that are
responsible for the present weakening of the magnetic field. That's already a
matter of practical concern for many satellite operators. With a better idea
of the reasons, we may know what to expect in the busy decades of spaceflight
that we have ahead of us." |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space
rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05
AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are
on a collision course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time." |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the "equal orbits" view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar FOR AN
ALMANAC SYTLE SUMMARY FORECAST OF 2005 ALIGNMENTS, AND a
general discussion of how all this works and why this is worth doing, click
here for the Earth
Changes Almanac. TODAY’S
MOON We are in Lunation #1016 and we are now 8 day past the New Moon of February 8. As of February Day 16, the Moon this day is now in its North Node (orbiting North
of the Equator). It is now approximately 400,000 KM from the Earth. It
is 58% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase) now waxing toward the Full Moon
of February 24. LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR 2005 Event Day UTC
Distance Days +/- Phase
SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS QUALIFER:
As we have seen at least three times this past year, most dramatically
with the recent outbreak (Oct 23-26 2004) of large Earthquakes on the West
side of Honshu Island (Japan), the Syzygy Window and Perigee principles DO
NOT WORK CONSISTENTLY TO FORECAST AN INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE NOR FREQUENCY OF
EARTHQUAKES. Using strictly an
intuitive view of the past 12 months, the rate of accuracy is definitely
larger than random but probably not larger than about 70% for any given area. THE
CURRENT WEEK We are in-between syzergies and are close to mid-distance
between Apogee and Perigee. Tectonic
activity should be ebbing this next several days but should begin to pick up
in about seven days. FOR THE
YEAR 2005 The strongest syzygies (based on the combination of the Lunar
Phase with Perigee) during the first half of the year should tend to be
around the New Moon. The New Moon and
Perigee combination was the strongest in January (occurring at virtually the
same time on January 10) and the combination gradually gets weaker during the
year and is at its lowest during the Summer. The Full Moon is in the weakest syzygy (based on its
distance from the Earth) during January and SUCCEEDING FULL MOONS will
gradually become stronger, achieving their greatest pull on the Earth in June
and July. (Cancer natives will have a
maximum power Lunar whammy this year).
Then it gradually gets weaker during the remainder of the year while
the New Moon is slowly gaining again in strength. HOWEVER, VERY IMPORTANT QUALIFICATION: This characterization of strong and weak
syzygies does not necessarily mean you can predict the strength or frequency
of earthquake activity by this means…the Earth is inconsistent and full of
surprises to keep us all busy.
Outbreaks of seismic activity can and do break out at any time. Large
quakes tend to be in the syzygies, but they are not always… AS
PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to
define the most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method
for computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater
precision. For details see the Syzygy website Seismic/Tsunami
Heads Up All Zones Given the
constellation of many material forces and various human impressions, all
peoples who live in the Pacific Rim of Fire and along the Australian Plate,
especially those on the coasts, should at all times maintain a heightened
sense of vigilance MOST
ESPECIALLY DURING THE NEXT 40 DAYS. Right now is the time to work through
your evacuation plan. It is a useful drill for anytime and it may be needed
in somewhere during the next 90 days. If you fall into the target areas
outlined above, DO IT NOW. (Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any "Home Planet Software" charts
of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on
this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital
rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1
closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn
is 6, Uranus is 7, IMPORTANT
NOTE ABOUT PLANETARY/SOLAR INFLUENCES:
Solar
Cycle 23 is rapidly approaching its minima period when solar activity and
sunspot counts will be minimal most of the time. But even so, major sunspot peaks, big
flares, coronal holes, and powerful CME’s will still occur once in a while,
as the graphs of previous sunspot cycles definitely show. These flare-ups will be a lot less
predictable than during the past four years, which makes the large flare-ups
even more intrusive. LIST OF
ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO JUNE 30, 2005 Today's
Solar System: Click Here For Heliocentric
Chart of Solar System as
of February 17, 2005 Four
alignments are shaping up, two of them for the next two days: Mercury | Uranus Venus | Venus | Uranus Mars | Pluto The Mercury | Uranus alignment we are most likely in at the current time.
The next alignment will be Venus | These two have
produced a very high increase in sunspot activity on February 14 when
the sunspot count climbed to 115. Venus will go on to align with Uranus on March 7 while
Mars aligns in a different quadrant of the solar system with Pluto. These are likely to produce a milder
increase in solar activity than this current alignment. From January through to June 2005, four particular periods stand out for their
potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge
ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather. SO FAR…fortunately,
the odds of major solar eruptions are beginning to decline dramatically. The alignments of December and early
January have not produced any significant increase in sunspot counts or solar
storms. (knock on
wood, this current alignment could cause sunspot counts to climb for another
three days) The Aphelion At or near the Earth’s Perihelion (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. January 13, 2005 Mercury & Mars close couple to The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June
7, 2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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STAR & PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NASA REPORTS ON THE NEAREST KNOWN PROBABLE
MAJOR ASTEROID ENCOUNTER:
"There's no danger of a collision, but on April 13, 2029,
asteroid 2004 MN4 will come awfully close to Earth. You'll be able to see the
300m-wide space rock glowing like a 3rd magnitude star as it passes only
30,000 km above our planet's surface--closer than many satellites. [full
story]
That's a
mighty big rock and that's mighty close. NASA'S
DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs)
are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth
than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our
planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time." On 22 Dec
2004 there were 662 known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (three more than last
month). For January 2005, NASA has listed three Earth-asteroid encounters
ranging from 14 to 15 LD’s away (see below).
Notes: LD is a "Lunar
Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon.
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. A 7-day
movie of the Sun captured Feb. 8th - 15th by the Solar and Heliospheric
Observatory (SOHO). AS OF FEBRUARY DAY 16: AS PREDICTED, THE SUNSPOT COUNT SUDDENLY
SHOT UP – WAY UP. The past five days have brought a huge spike up to 115 on
Valentine's Day. And you thought it
was your cialis, didn't you? Currently
the count is falling and had declined to 61 in just two days. The Solar Flux Index also climbed from 82
on February 14, when the Sunspot Count was at 22, all the way up to 121 on
February 15. But the Flux is falling
as of February 16 through 113. Both the Flux and Sunspot Count should
continue dropping for a few days but they will likely "twin up" for
the next alignments on or about March 7. The MAGNETIC A FLUX INDEX revealed a
large magnetic storm in the Solar Atmosphere on February 8 when it rose to but
it dropped steadily every day since then and is now back at 5. Date Flux
Sunspots Area 2005 02 09 109
60 490 2005 02 10 114
63 530 2005 02 11 114
73 900 2005 02 13 116
73 720 2005 02 14 118
115 760 2005 02 15 122
69 690 2005 02 16 113
61 720 AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Solar Cycle 23 is dying quickly
but IT CAN AND WILL OCCASSIONALLY PRODUCE SUDDEN STORMY MOMENTS WITH BRIEF
MOMENTS OF HIGH SUNSPOT COUNTS, CME’S FLARES, ETC. "NOW" is the kind of moment when
these spritzy solar moods will come. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR
CYCLE 23 Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. By November
2004, the count was still abnormally high at 43.7, making the decline of
Solar Cycle 23 slow indeed. But
December clearly brought the end of the high sunspot counts. The average
dipped down to a low of 17.9, surprising everyone. The predicted average
value for January was 27 but the Sun's average sunspot output nearly double
December's and rose to 31.3. February's
is expected to be 21 and since there are few compelling planetary alignments
during February, this projection may well be very close. FOR 2005 – 2009 The
average count should drop during the next 12 months to a monthly low in the
range of 10. More and more, now and
for the next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s atmosphere and
weather less and less. Global Warming
and El Nino type of phenomena will be more and more influential compared to
the solar input. The geo-data we
gather during the next three years about weather, climate, the Arctic,
Antarctic, Drought Regions, etc. will be extremely valuable in telling us
what the true long-term geo-trends really are. NOTE: The Sun and its
cycles are really not very "average" and not very "cyclical"
or "regular". Nowhere can we
find any evidence of an exact regularity, only constant variations. The Sun is and probably always has been a
vast cauldron of chaotic storms, electro-magnetic upwellings, and enormous
explosions and sudden flares (or CME’s) which can extend out as far as even
the outer planets, producing somewhat chaotic impacts on the planets. All this makes exact predictions of solar
activity far beyond the pale of human science, even with first class models
of the electromagnetic gradients created by the planets and their orbital
relationships. From this it is easy to
infer with considerable experience and conviction, that nothing on Earth can
be foreseen, EXACTLY. Just as some
order is inevitable, so is some chaos built directly into the cosmos. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into).
Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by Iway sources at
about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Sun was
quite frisky this past week, especially on Valentine's Day for the Mercury |
Uranus Planetary Alignment, but the Sun is now rapidly diminishing in
activity and this decline may continue so for at least the next several days. The Solar Wind was brisk at: 384.3 km/s this hour while pushing a thin density of 1.7 protons/cm3". NASA REPORTS: "A solar wind gust flowing from [a major] coronal hole
could hit Earth's magnetic field on Feb. 18th." Fluxgate
Magnetometer: To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE. The Fluxgate Chart at the
University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s
atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) shows one major disturbances during the past 24
hours (as
of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). NASA NASA PREDICTS: There is a 5-25%
probability of geomagnetic storms, 1%-15% probability on coronal holes,
CME’s, and M and/or X Class Flares. Jan
Alvestad reports: "The geomagnetic field was quiet on February 15. Solar
wind speed ranged between 336 and 436 km/sec. Early in the day the solar wind
was under the influence of a low speed stream from CH146. Late in the day and
early on February 16 the stream from CH145 arrived. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz
was 121.7. The planetary A index was 5 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three
hour interval ap indices: 4.6)…At midnight there were 5 spotted regions on
the visible solar disk. The solar flare activity level was low. A total of 1
C class event was recorded during the day…February 14-15: No obvious fully or
partly Earth directed CMEs were observed…A recurrent coronal hole (CH145) in
the northern hemisphere was in a geoeffective position on February 13-15." Jan
Alvestad predicts: "The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active
on February 16 due to effects from CH145. Unsettled to active conditions are
likely on February 17-18 with a possibility of minor storm
intervals." Alvestad also
predicts for the next 24 hours a 0-20% probability of coronal holes, a 20-60%
probability of CME’s, and a 0-20% probability of M and/or X Class Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been watching the weather patterns
track the Sunspot Peaks have seen that
the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off
the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes
very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our "sloppycasts"
(approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven
out to be fairly worthwhile. With the
decline in sunspot activity, weather is now more governed by Earth’s
geophysics and will be mostly through to about 2010. For geophysical-based
reports and predictions – start with Yahoo Weather, or the Weather Channel.
Am I resigning from weather forecasts?
Almost. This section will only add commentary on possible weather
disturbances when major sunspot peaks form up. These should be more rare than during the
past four years. FOR AN
ALMANAC SYTLE SUMMARY FORECAST OF 2005 ALIGNMENTS, SUNSPOT PEAKS, WEATHER
IMPACTS, AND HUMAN MOOD SHIFTS (through to Summer at this point) AND a
general discussion of how all this works and why this is worth doing, click
here for Earth
Changes Almanac. AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:
I think the weather patterns pretty much prove up the case of Global
Warming and reveal what the essential syndrome is going to be: a major shift
in the eco systems of the extreme North and the desert zone latitudes with
short intense Winters and Summers and long drawn out often stormy Springs and
Falls. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This "sloppycast"
is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. WE ARE STILL IN AN INBETWEEN PERIOD WHICH WILL BE
CHARACTERIZED BY MANY UNPREDICTABLE AND UNSTABLE WEATHER FRONTS. CONTINUE TO EXPECT 50% PROBABILITY OF
NEARLY ANYTHING. JET STREAM
IS STILL KINKY AND CHAOTIC. THERE IS A
GOOD CHANCE OF JUST ABOUT ANYTHING DURING THE NEXT WEEK, FREAK SPRING WEATHER
ONE DAY, FREAK SNOW STORM THE NEXT. IT WILL
GET MORE PREDICTABLE IN A FEW MORE DAYS: THE RECENT
SUNSPOT SPIKE WILL ENERGIZE THE WEATHER WHICH WILL ALSO GET MORE ENERGETIC,
MORE EXTREME IN SOME AREAS. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR WINTER
SEASON (Northern Hemisphere) This "sloppycast"
is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. IT DOESN'T
LOOK LIKE A SHORT WINTER AT ALL. FOR
SPRING: During the end of
March we will have another major round of extreme weather, due to the five
planet straight line alignment. After
a mild ending to Winter, the first week of Spring will rapidly turn into a
very stormy period of about two weeks of extremely wet weather. No doubt the high mountains will have
another late round of snow and the
skiing season may be extended in many areas. KEEP
WATCHING FOR THIS GLOBAL WARMING WEATHER PATTERN:
Global Warming could easily intensify the seasons, making a short
bitterly cold Winter, longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and
shorter but very hot and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at
work in the Northern Hemisphere? NOTE AS OF FEBRUARY 9, THIS IS NOT LOOKING AS
GOOD AS IT DID. IT WAS ON TRACK
THROUGH TO THE END OF JANUARY BUT IT IS NOW LOOKING LIKE WE HAD AN EARLY WINTER ONSET WHICH IS NOT
GOING TO PACK UP ITS BAGS ANY TIME SOON. SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This "sloppycast" is based on six
years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary
alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar. We got another two inches of rain this past several days
and we should have more in the next week.
This will make late March and April a riot of wildflowers. THIS ONE IS STILL WORKING:
No change this week. The
forecast below is on track…the grass is growing thicker and taller than ever,
the brittlebush is blooming, the Jojoba are setting prodigious numbers of beans
for the first time in years. The Sonoran Desert Plain will have a long Spring with some
occasional light rain getting rarer and rarer until the Summer Monsoon
begins. Wild flowers are already blooming all over. I am
not sure at this point what is in store for the Summer Monsoon. AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
The past 120 days has clearly broken the drought pattern of the past
four years. You can see it in the
plants and the atmosphere everywhere.
It "feels" wet here now even on a sunny day, which it rarely
has during the past six years (that I have been here). Some climatologists are arguing that this
is an anomalous wet year for the Pacific Southwest and that the drought will
reassert itself next year or the year after.
I am inclined to think that the drought in the Southwest is a product
of both the Sunspot Cycle 23 and the Global Warming syndrome. From this, I suppose that the drought
pattern may be somewhat reduced during the next four years during the Sunspot
Minima, submerged completely by a lot of rain during El Nino, if it appears, but
slowly the drought will reappear during the next climb of sunspot counts
during Solar Sunspot Cycle 24. |
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EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif BREAKING
NEWS: Apparently the NOAA animated chart I use is no
longer updated weekly, only monthly. As of
January 23, 2005, NO TREND IS APPARENT El Nino MAY OR MAY NOT OCCUR. No prediction one way or the other is truly
possible at the current moment but if anyone will lay me odds at Vegas, at
the moment I will bet on one. BACKGROUND: The NOAA website
for El Nino has gotten fairly well organized and is far more digestible by
laypeople. Try clicking here to go to the latest NOAA ENSO Home Page. If El Nino does begin to firm up, it will have little
impact on the Winter of 2005, but it may begin to impact the Spring and hit
heavy and hard during the Summer and Fall months and perhaps deliver a VERY
wet and warm Winter for 2006. Or not…only time will tell. Probably by the end of May we will know for
certain. AS
REPORTED PREVIOUSLY – THE CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know
whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005.
Purely in accordance with the
X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model, AN
EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN 2005.
But, the El Nino is not like an astrophysical cycle. There are some "missing" El
Nino’s in the record of the 20th century and we may have a missing
one. HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN
UNTIL ABOUT APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in which the
syndrome has formed up during previous El Nino’s. ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance
with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s
Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods
seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as
April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early
Spring 2005. |
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KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC, ANTARCTIC, and
the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories
of the climate shift. |
GLOBAL WARMING It is becoming obvious that we have a long term
real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the
latitudes. This climate shift is creating a growing environmental disaster
in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the Pacific
Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004 BREAKING
NEWS: For a
broad and detailed perspective on Global Warming issues, go to the Earth
Changes Almanac. NO
CHANGE THIS WEEK |
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IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR BREAKING
NEWS It is amazing how often the synchronicity of events proves
the point. While the Sunspot Count as
over 100, the car bomb was ignited in Beirut in an incredible explosion which
took out just about the wealthiest independent Arab in the Mid-East. It wasn't blind emotion though, this was such a huge explosion,
exactly timed, that it obviously required a lot of resource and crafty
planning. As such it was clearly a PRO job. FOR THE
NEXT PERIOD No change from last week. With the falling count of the average Sunspot Count, more
and more people are shifting international discussions to elections,
compromises, negotiations, diplomacy, renouncing or ending violence, etc..
all within the context set by the Imperial Faction. It is the next wave and it could take us through to the
Fall of 2005. How the coalition shapes
up in With the death (likely CIA or MOSSAD inspired assassination)
of Arafat, the American military machine is knee deep already in taking over
the Palestinian government. A U.S. General
has been "appointed" by the PLO to rebuild its "security
forces". It should be obvious
where all of that is going…. Bush's Democracy is springtime all over the Mid-East and
as you have no doubt noticed they are grinning like the Cheshire Cat. STAND PAT AGAIN THIS
WEEK The assessment as of last week, repeated below, is well
and good in very general terms for this rapid descent into Sunspot Cycle 23
MIN. For a general discussion and forecast for the Spring
Season, go to: Earth
Changes Almanac IN GENERAL
FOR 2005-2009 DURING LULLS OF THE
SOLAR VORTEX: AS OBSERVED AS OF DECEMBER 30: As the sunspot counts decline and fail to
peak for the planetary alignments, the impact on humans and the biosphere is
declining progressively. Relatively
more human activity will tend to be more driven by mental activity and
spiritual connectivity than emotional impulses. This is going to be especially true with the four year jag
of emotional associations around "patriotism". During 2005, patriotism and martial ardor
will become increasingly "old"
among the young and the marginal. More
and more soldiers will wake up and realize they have been on a "bender"
which left them in a literal hellhole. As solar activity ebbs into low activity levels, have you
noticed that the polls are increasingly showing that people think the Tragic
Invasion of Iraq was in fact A MISTAKE (now some 60%) and that 65% believe Rusted
should go. People collectively are losing the ardor of blind
emotional commitments which the sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast Media and the
agents of Hillbilly Sunday whipped up.
They are waking up to a wicked hangover in bed with a very ugly mess. This shift is palpable and will grow in magnitude and
depth. The Imperial Faction will stall
out rapidly during 2005, it is increasingly unlikely that they will have
their way in the |
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EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and
potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of
danger. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake
activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above. Unfortunately there are many
lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of
quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.
Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON
INCOMPLETE INFORMATION. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS,
Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication
than I do. See
Syzygy.com Four shape-shifters, three in the Mid-Atlantic and one
near the Pacific Triple Junction East of Chile. World seismic activity continued to be dominated by
activity in the Nicobar/Andaman Islands area and In general the Carib plate continued a heightened level of
activity and this is likely to continue.
Three shape-shifter quakes in the Mid-Atlantic Ridge, including a 6.4
today in the Southern Mid-Atlantic Ridge and a 5.9 in the The outbreak of major quakes I was expecting did not
occur. Some 27 quakes did strike on
February 10, far more than the small numbers during the rest of the week. Only one 6.0 quake struck during the syzygy
period. So once again the frequency of worldwide quake activity was depressed
for a Perigee New Moon (Feb 7-9). But
during the past seven days four 6.0 plus quakes did hit, three in the
Fiji-Papua Tectonic Arc. Heightened activity remained in the
Nicobar/Andaman/Sumatra Islands area, but the action is clearly shifting to
the East. Around to the other side of the The Northern and Eastern edge of the Australian Tectonic
Plate was quite active all week, producing the majority of quakes during the
past seven days. Nearly due North of the Four shape-shifters stuck, three in the Mid Atlantic Rift,
including a 6.4 which just struck a few hours ago in the Mid-Atlantic Ridge,
equidistant between South America, Africa, and There was also much random activity around the world, including quakes in Quake activity in North America was up mainly due to
increased activity in AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
Quite clearly the Earth is rapidly adjusting its shape in response to
the phase-shifting of the Chandler Wobble and the sudden rupturing of the
Indo-Trench. The equatorial zone is
still in process of adjusting the shape of the Earth along Sumatra and at the
opposite side at the coast of With the flexing once again of the Great Rift in multiple
locations, the shape shifting is probably broadening out to slowly adjust
more of the overall shape of the Earth.
This has stimulated a focal point of activity in both the A period of accelerated tectonic activity will likely
continue for the remainder of this year.
This shape-shifting process is by no means over. The phase-shifting process in the wobble is
not over and will require additional adjustments in the shape of the
earth. And, more probable than not,
the earth is only beginning to respond to the large amount of change related
to the indo-trench area. AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
I AM STILL VERY CONCERNED THAT THE EARTH IS "COCKING
THE TRIGGER" THIS YEAR FOR MAJOR TECTONIC ACTIVITY WHICH WILL BREAK OUT
IN COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR SUPER ALERT FOR THIS WATCH!!! As witnessed by the Indo-Trench
Rupture and the aberrant motions of the Earth’s crust, global tectonic
motions in the Earth are unstable and obviously are tending to exceptionally
explosive releases in the trenches of tectonic collision and in the spreading
Great Rift zones. The Western ledge of the Carib
Plate is 180 degrees from the 9.3 quake in the Indo-Trench. Accordingly, the Carib Plate may also
release its "shape-shifting" stress during one of the upcoming
Lunar syzygies this year. This release
could come in the form of major volcanism and major Earthquakes which breaks
out first in AS PREVIOUSLY
OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a
major destructive quake could now strike at any time in SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH No reports to add this week SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of
the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the
Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy
vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around
the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which
list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the
quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.) For
additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the
Earth, go to Plate
Tectonics Map Four shape-shifters, three in the Mid-Atlantic and one
near the Pacific Triple Junction East of Chile. Magnitude 4.9 AZORES Monday, February 14, 2005 at 05:30:35 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_umbd.html Location 41.57N
29.39W Depth 16.2
kilometers Region AZORES
Reference 275 km
(170 miles) NNE of Santa Cruz das Flores, 345 km (215 miles) N of Horta, 555 km (345 miles) NW of 1755 km (1090 miles) WNW of Location Quality Error
estimate: horizontal +/- 11.6 km; depth fixed by location program Location Quality Parameters Nst=46,
Nph=58, Dmin=2153.5 km, Rmss=0.86 sec, Erho=11.6 km, Erzz=0 km, Gp=96.4
degrees Source USGS
NEIC (WDCS-D) Magnitude 6.4 SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE Wednesday, February 16, 2005 at 20:27:52 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_upbh.html Location 35.70S
16.34W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region SOUTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE Reference 390 km
(245 miles) WNW of 3180 km (1970 miles) WSW of Location Quality Error
estimate: horizontal +/- 21.0 km; depth fixed by location program Location Quality Parameters Nst=27,
Nph=27, Dmin=391.1 km, Rmss=1.48 sec, Erho=21.0 km, Erzz=0 km, Gp=66.7
degrees Magnitude 5.2 SOUTHEAST OF Thursday, February 10, 2005 at 04:42:02 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_uiah.html Location 35.40S
103.58W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region SOUTHEAST
OF Reference 1065 km
(660 miles) SSE of Hanga Roa, 3015 km (1880 miles) WSW of Location Quality Error
estimate: horizontal +/- 11.0 km; depth fixed by location program Location Quality Parameters Nst=91,
Nph=91, Dmin=2939.1 km, Rmss=0.85 sec, Erho=11.0 km, Erzz=0 km, Gp=74.0
degrees Source USGS
NEIC (WDCS-D) Magnitude 5.3 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE Wednesday, February 16, 2005 at 10:54:07 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_upat.html Location 35.27N
36.03W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE Reference 635 km
(395 miles) SW of Santa Cruz das Flores, 750 km (465 miles) WSW of Horta, 960 km (600 miles) WSW of 2415 km (1500 miles) W of Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity
which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables
which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of
the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in
magnitude.
Any numbers
used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect
what will eventually appear in scientific databases. IMPORTANT NOTE: Most
volcano monitoring sites appear to be screening out microquakes. A study
needs to be done to establish how to reconcile various lists and databases
because of this practice. The numbers
below cannot be considered to be definitive totals and subtotals. We use them merely to observe relative
fluctuations from week to week. Seismic activity in North America overall for quakes in
the range of 1.0 and over was up from the preceding week, mostly due to a
late surge in seismic activity for the New Moon Syzygy. Most activity was basically random but the
increase was mainly due to increased activity in US & ALASKA & UP from 595 the prior week; BIG ISLAND up from 20 during the prior week - these do not include
the microquakes under down from 308 last week, widely scattered in up from 14 last week – widely scattered PNW --- 348 up from 283 last
week; widely scattered but dominated 90% by St. Helens activity – 310 mostly
for NE Cal - East of Baker -- 1 Tahoma (Rainer) – 0 Hood – 0 Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude. For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE. down from 12 last week WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES THIS IS VERY VERY
CLOSE TO THE "NODE" or axis of turn for the "avalanche"
of the crust which I calculated for the Fifth Phoenix in the trilogy of the
Return of the Magnitude 6.6 KEPULAUAN Tuesday, February 15, 2005 at 14:42:25 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_unal.html Location 4.78N
126.39E Depth 39.7
kilometers Region KEPULAUAN
Reference 200 km
(125 miles) SE of General 265 km (165 miles) SSE of 1245 km (770 miles) SSE of 2490 km (1550 miles) ENE of |
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VOLCANOES Around the world with the most interesting and
relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage
of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre. Or
see "Breaking
Volcano Eruption News". As predicted here last year volcanic activity
is still picking up and more probable than not will continue building up on
through June of 2005, when once again it will begin to taper off. OBSERVABLE
WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY HAS DEFINITELY CONTINUED AT LAST WEEK'S PACE AND ONCE AGAIN INCREASED THIS PAST SEVEN DAYS. The number
of active volcanoes increased from 23 to 27 in just the past seven days. Once again, more and more intermittent "smokers"
are flaring on and off in ash plumes and lava flows, led again as nearly
always by the lava flows of Ash and
steam emissions are continuing all around the Saint Helens is sedately but now accelerating the building
of a dome and at least four look-alike volcanoes on the Pacific Rim Northern Arc volcanoes seemed destined to
flare up and erupt vigorously during the next 150 days. Major eruptions may occur in the deep South as well. AS QUOTED FROM SWVC: "As of the 11th of February, the Mt.
Erebus Volcano Observatory (MEVO) reports http://www.swvrc.org/cerupt.htm that
there has never been an eruption, or set of eruptions like this in the
recorded history of The
Current Colour Code for WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THIS POINT: Anything on the Carib Plate (East, West,
North, or South) is in danger of major tectonic activity during the next 90
days, especially around the Perigeen New Moons. To this list I would add the Northern Arc
of the Pacific Rim of Fire, especially on AND THEN THERE IS EREBUS.
It appears likely to sustain a major eruption this year. SAINT
HELENS VOLCANO UPDATES Text in this section is a condensation of direct
quotes from online source: CURRENT
UPDATE supplied by the U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University
of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington;
U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of Washington,
Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington Wednesday,
February 16, 2005 9:40 a.m. PST (1740 UTC) MOUNT
Current
status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level 2); aviation color code Growth
of the new lava dome inside the crater of Potential
ash hazards: Wind
forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
coupled with eruption models, show that any ash clouds that rise above the
crater rim today would drift southwestward early in the day, and follow a
westward trajectory later. Potential
ash hazards to aviation: Under current eruptive conditions, any ash clouds produced are
unlikely to exceed 15,000 feet in altitude. Ashfall from such events rarely
reaches more than 20 miles downwind. If the lava dome continues to grow over
the next several months, it will become able to produce larger ash clouds
that reach higher altitudes and extend farther downwind. Recent
observations:
Despite blustery winds around the volcano, conditions in the crater are calm.
Crews have completed a thermal-imaging flight, and are now deploying
temporary “spyder” packages (with GPS units) to track movement of the crater
glacier. If all goes well, they will also retrieve the GPS package that sits
on the new lava dome, modify it slightly, and redeploy it as a new station on
the welt area between the new and old lava domes. If time and conditions
permit, they may also remotely retrieve new rock samples. For
additional information, background, images, and other graphics: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html For
seismic information: http://www.pnsn.org/HELENS/welcome.html For a
definition of alert levels: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html Telephone
recordings with the latest update on OTHER CASCADE VOLCANOES
as of February Day 16 2005 "All
other volcanoes in the LATEST FORECAST FOR
SAINT HELENS BY EC BULLETIN: Feb-16
2005: The three active eruptions
(still small) on Feb-2
2005: THE INCREASE IN ACTIVITY THIS
PAST SEVERAL DAYS ON THE Look
for the next increase in eruptive behavior in St. Helens to occur in tandem
with an increase in activity on AS
OBSERVED LAST MONTH: At least three of
the active volcanoes on AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY: Colima may be the closest "model"
for how Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of February
Day 16 2004: (SWVC does it annual database cleaning and new predictions at the
beginning of the year, accordingly its numbers in early January "break"
sequence with the last numbers in December). 8 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment)
(same as last week) 36 alert list – up from 32 last week (alert list are
volcanoes with pre-cursor activities suggesting that activity may begin) 27 on active list (seismic,
gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (up from 23 a week ago) Popo gave a 12 puff day yesterday. Centrapred reports for February Day 16 (17:00 GMT) that "In the last
24 hours, the monitoring system of Popocatépetl volcano registered 17
exhalations of low intensity accompanied by steam, gas and some of them with
small amounts of ash. The most important one occurred today, at 8:33h. Today
in the morning it was possible to observed the volcano with a steam emission
of water and gas. In an aerial photograph taken on January 14th by Ing.
Roberto Quaas Weppen(CENAPRED) , subsidence is observed in the inner crater;
an external lava dome at the bottom of the crater cannot be distinguished.
The traffich light of volcanic alert is in YELLOW-1. Access is restricted in
a radius of 12 km from the crater. The road between Santiago Xalitzintla ( HIGHLY
INTERESTING NEW PLATE TECTONICS RESOURCE: Digital
World Tectonic Activity Map (DTAM) - visualization tool that
presents an actual representational view of global tectonics; created using
current global datasets of seismicity, volcanism, and plate motions. MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK from Volcano Breaking News by
Volcanologist John Seach Volcano Travel:
john@volcanolive.com Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian
Time (UT + 10 hr) Egon Volcano (
Indonesia) Manam Volcano Gases Reach Australia Anatahan
Volcano (Mariana Islands) Manam Volcano
(Papua New Guinea)
Anatahan
Volcano (Mariana Islands) Egon Volcano (
Indonesia) Lopevi Volcano
(Vanuatu) Kliuchevskoi
Volcano (Russia) |
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Standing Assessment: Likely, it is
fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to
the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to
mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical,
moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. |
The Iway and the bookstores are awash
with the outings… BUT THERE IS NO CHANGE THIS WEEK
IN ACTION WHICH IS AIMED AT DEALING WITH IT Have we passed the point of no
return? Should we just admit to
ourselves that the Junta won and we live in a seedy third-rate banana
republic which is devolving rapidly into the autocracy of nowhereville? Riddle this one! Can you answer it? It looks like civilized people
are being taken collectively to the cleaners and once again their noses are
being rubbed in the realization that after all, this is NOT a civilization,
it is a masquerade. So far the scandals are being
kept in the closets of But very little is manifesting
in actual dynamics of change. Except this: through the Iway the web of connections is
being spun in greater and greater detail, in better and better fidelity and
precision. It is ONLY through the Iway
that the web of corruption is going to be fully spun. I think it is well
worth the spinning, eventually events will conspire to bring Humpty Dumpty
into question. If their wicked web has
been reasonably spun out into completion, suddenly it will have the strength
of a rope, with the power to hang Humpty Dumpty, or pull him down from the
Wall. BUT AS OBSERVED LAST YEAR.
The auguries are not clear to me this past two weeks on how any of
this is going, or even if any of this IS going anywhere during the next
several months. If none of this goes
anywhere, take it as a given, take it as a fact, that all is lost on the
Republic and we have passed into in the deep twilight zone of a Fascist
nightmare for which there may not be any electoral remedy…at least not while
we are mired within the deep sorcery which the Mass Broadcast Media now casts in greater
depth all around us. It is as if after
the elections they turned up the volume of manipulation by at least a half
turn of the knob. Despite impeccable scientific reasoning, high caliber
informed observers and investigators, the story of the stolen elections
simply will not be told in |
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ECONOMY WATCH NO CHANGE THIS WEEK OF FEBRUARY 16
2005 ALL SIGNALS MIXED, THE ECONOMY IS "WOBBLING"
WITH VERY LITTLE "GOOD NEWS" OR HOPES. As throughout most of 2004,
there are still no signs of a general recovery of the classic 20th
century kind. MOST COMMENTARY AND
EXPECTATIONS ARE PESSIMISTIC FOR 2005.
The most optimistic projections appear to be in the nature of "holding"
firm with small improvements. The
worst expectations are dire indeed. I predict that most of the expectations will turn sour
after May or June. I also predict that
they will become more and more morose as the economy begins to show a rapid
movement into recession during the later part of the year and then clearly
moves into depression in 2006. STAGFLATION IS BUILDING MOMENTUM FOR A
CONSIDERABLE RISE DURING 2005. COMMODITY
PRICES WILL CLIMB RAPIDLY DURING 2005 TO CATCH UP WITH THE HUGE INCREASE IN
ENERGY COSTS (UP SOME 30% THIS YEAR).
This will generate a pernicious inflation in The economy will never regain any sense
of confidence in government efforts to build the basis for more solid
growth. The Bush administration will
continue to lose credibility, will come under severe legal pressure from wide
ranging indictments, perhaps even impeachment proceedings (long overdue), and
this gathering loss of political confidence will destroy corporate
confidence. This loss of confidence may be
experienced first in Europe and AS OBSERVED IN DECEMBER:
With the re-election of George Bush a completely new scenario for the
next two years is needed. It is this: the
main driving force of the economy will transition fully into an Imperial
economy. It will be based on major
militarization of the A massive empire building drive to export "Order"
over the greater portion of the world’s petroleum reserves will shore up the
value of the petro dollar quite nicely and preserve its hegemony well through
the "peak oil" period. Huge
expenditures on armaments should provide a continuing stimulus of the North
American economy, enough to at least keep it gimping along while the Empire
is consolidated. The eventual eclipse of well oil poses no long term
problem. Only naïve analysts are
worried. Once oil supply is seriously
declining and oil prices can be maintained above $80/barrel, some people in
the oil industry, including David Rockefeller, understand the means of "growing"
your own. They have held the secrets
of this for some 23 years. THE ONLY BUMP ON THE ROAD TO THE IMPERIAL ECONOMY is "global
warming". This is bringing people
into other solutions than the use of oil.
Is this not a course of development the cabals of great wealth in GENERAL PREDICTION DJI
AVERAGES THIS WEEK Oil prices
firmed and rose slightly and the dollar slimmed down very slightly while the
DOW rose a little. See the relationship. LAST WEEK Oil prices
sagged and the dollar rose while the DOW stood firm and slightly higher. See
the relationship. TWO WEEKS AGO Fed signals slightly higher interest rates
while Oil held near constant and Stocks and Dollar all firmed up higher. See the relationship. The DJI finished February Day 16
at 10,834.88 UP about
$160 from 10,664.11 a week ago, WHILE ALAN GREENSPAN DELIVERED HIS USUAL LITANY OF
GLOBALIST DISINFORMATION.
AS
OBSERVED DURING 2004: WATCH THIS VERY CAREFULLY –
WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR DRIVING OIL UP IN PRICE AND
ACCELERATING THE DECLINE IN THE DOLLAR.
The dollar of course is a major factor. As the dollar drops AND the stock values
remain constant, MAIN
OVER-RIDING STRATEGIC VARIABLE: For the players, what the Bush administration will and
will not do is beginning to become more and more set. This allows others to make their bets on
the outcomes, pro and con. WORLD
CONFIDENCE MAY IMPROVE FOR A WHILE if a Shiite coalition can take power in
Iraq through the elections and motivate Bush to substantially withdraw
American troops. THIS IS NOW ON COURSE. EURO WATCH
- DOLLAR VALUE FIRM AGAINST EURO - IT WILL
WEAKEN WITH RENEWED OIL PRICE INCREASES BUT, OIL PRICES
SAGGED AND THE DOLLAR ROSE WHILE THE DOW STOOD FIRM. The dollar closed today at 0.7664 per euro, about the same
as two weeks ago, about one and one third cent lower than last week which was at 0.7804 per euro. They must
be managing this now on computer program.
This item below may have something to do with the firming of the
values: Interesting article on current dynamics of currency
markets http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/050119/markets_forex_8.html Did you know that corporations have a special
"deal" this year which allows them to repatriate billions of
dollars in foreign profits by paying a surcharge of only $.05 per dollar in
lieu of the regular 35% tax rate. Thus in general, expect a steady if slow creep of prices
upward all through 2005, with faster relative increases for some basic
commodities and imports to reflect rapidly rising international costs, which
will still accelerate in response to the rise in energy costs this past six
months. MUST READ: "The Dollar
Panics" in "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006",
which lays out the dynamics of what is happening LATEST OVERVIEW ON OIL: As of February 2, 2005 The high price points at the pump established last Fall look
permanent. It does not look like
retail prices will ever again be South of where they currently are. We are going to have a pretty vigorous STAGFLATION
for 2005 and average wholesale prices are likely to continue an upward drift,
somewhere in the range of 10% to 30%, with transitory peaks in the range of
last year’s $55. Perhaps even higher,
if the oil industry is disrupted by Al Qaeda or other terrorist groups. HIGH PRICE PRESSURES CAN NO LONGER BE RESISTED BECAUSE ALL
OF THE WORLD POLITICAL STRUGGLES ARE NOW POLARIZING AROUND THE STRUGGLE FOR
OIL. Oil has become in the minds of
all those seeking power as THE ONLY SOURCE OF POWER in the world today. HERE IS THE ARCHILLES HEEL OF EMPIRE: It seems more probable than not, reading
the tea leaves and listening to Seymour Hersh and other internationalists,
that the main irrational and "upsetting factor" in the world at
this juncture is the aggressive plan which the Imperial Faction would like to
pursue in Iran. Any effort to beat the
war drums in that direction will unify the Eurasian powers to "clip the
wings" of the Empire. They will
do it with a concerted program to push down the value of the dollar
sufficient to swamp the PETROLEUM:
Crude oil falls to lowest price in month
Associated Press Oil Prices Decline on Rise in Wednesday January 26, 4:00 pm ET By Jane Wardell, AP Business Writer Oil Prices Drop As Still, prices are more than 40
percent higher than a year ago and traders remain concerned about possible
supply disruptions in ADVERTISEMENT Light sweet crude for March
delivery was down 86 cents to close at $48.78 per barrel on the New York
Mercantile Exchange. A year ago, oil futures settled at $34.47 a barrel. Brent for March delivery on the
International Petroleum Exchange in After meeting with Nigerian labor
ministry officials on Wednesday, union representatives for oil workers agreed
to hold off any strike action until at least Friday, said Obiadulu Nduka, an
official of the white-collar PENGASSAN oil union. The unions initially said they
would launch a strike in and around the Still, Royal Dutch/Shell shut down
two oil platforms producing 35,000 barrels per day in the Niger Delta after
protesters armed with machetes attacked the facility. In its weekly petroleum supply
report, the U.S. Energy Department said Wednesday that supplies of crude oil
grew last week by 3.4 million barrels to 295.6 million barrels, or 9 percent
above year ago levels. Inventories of distillate fuel, which include heating
oil, declined by 2.3 million barrels to 121.5 million barrels, or 4 percent
below year ago levels. The drop in distillate was expected due to increased
demand during a cold spell last week. Heating oil for February delivery
fell 2.15 cents to $1.4033 per gallon on Nymex, where gasoline futures were
down about 1.48 at $1.3593 per gallon and natural gas futures declined by 1.5
cent to $6.388 per 1,000 cubic feet. One of the persistent jitters underpinning
today's higher prices is uncertainty about Demand from OPEC ministers, meanwhile, are
scheduled to meet Jan. 30 to discuss whether additional production cuts may
be necessary. Some members have suggested, however, that the current high
prices might mean that the group may not cut output quotas, easing the market
slightly. | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
