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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright September 8 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE |
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of September
8 2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the
Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest
prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week,
or use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Sept_8_04.htm ONCE
AGAIN!!! BEWARE
HURRICANE IVAN It has
intensified rapidly into a Category Four and may be Category Five when it
slams across WATCH
CAREFULLY!!! The good news is that it
is likely to mute down into a Category Three or Two by the time it slams into
North America, but, like Frances, this storm is unbelievably HUGE and will
blow long and hard and dump a foot of water over already flooded areas. THE COSMIC FORCES BEGAN
TO RISE IN INTENSITY ON THE EARTH PLANE THIS PAST WEEK. ALREADY A RESURGENCE FROM
THE SOLAR VORTEX PUSHED WEATHER AND HUMANS TO EXTREMES AND THERE IS NO END IN
SIGHT FOR A TEMPESTUOUS SEPTEMBER. BUT
AL QAEDA’S SPONSORED MURDERS OF RUSSIAN SCHOOL CHILDREN IS LIKELY A TERRIBLE
MISTAKE AND THIS TEMPESTUOUS FALL MAY MARK THE BEGINNING OF ITS END. On the geophysical
front,
FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR, the CURRENT peak of sunspots will
probably hit 100 plus to produce VERY WET LATE SUMMER STORMS . The El Nino trend weakened in the charts of
August 8-29, calling it in doubt for 2005, but an anomalous huge patch of
warming water between On the geopolitical front, AS As
the Imperial Faction continues to lose its control of the Iraqi street and
the hypnotic mindlock on the American public which led to the Tragedy of
Iraq, vigorous efforts and stupendous sums are being expended on
manufacturing FEAR
AND THE WILL TO VIOLENT REACTIONS. The boldness of this starkly Hitlerian
strategy is jaw-dropping But will it
work?….THAT is not easy to determine. BUT NO DOUBT ALQAEDA WILL DO ITS BEST TO MAKE IT WORK.
THE BOMBING OF THE SCHOOL CHILDREN IN |
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational PREVIOUS UPDATES |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/ |
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SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1,
2004: All projections are on track. This month and next more probable than not
are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg of the long term
economic cycle. When equities begin to
slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as the chaos deepens
through 2005. Absolute Bottom will be
found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow increase (not driven by Bull
speculation) will probably begin to manifest in 2008. In the interim period, most of the “Fortune
500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants will reappear as
vastly different companies.. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF AUGUST 11, 2004: Once again,
the Collapse 2006 book TRACKS the unfolding real dynamics, except that the
forecasted events are tending to manifest three to fours months
earlier. All economic indicators for this July 2004 are DOWN except of
course the BIG ONE is UUUUUP (you know what it is, don’t you?). Yes of
course, OIL is climbing rapidly, partly based on a 34% increase this year in
world demand created largely in LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY 21, 2004 – Several important economic
factors and/or indicators are now declining – IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES
ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS, IT WILL BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT
THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED PROGRESSIVELY DOWN. ACCORDINGLY,
SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE 25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE HAS FINALLY
HIT. IF THE MESSAGE IS “YES”, the Kerry-Edwards ticket most likely will
win decisively and the Republican control of Congress most likely will be
“cracked”. But there is room for considerable movement in all positions
among large numbers of people and it is clear that many events in this
fast-paced, unpredictable year could deflect ALL expectations. |
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HOUSEKEEPING Some portions of this week’s update was prepared
one day early on Tuesday, August 17, others one day later than usual, on
August 19. MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. |
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As stated in the “Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire
Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to
making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts
and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance,
hate, revenge, and violence appear to
crow even more loudly on the world stage or can be found eagerly arranging a
major increase in the tempo of bombs explosions to murder and maime even more
people. A consciousness is gathering
greater focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism
and militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse
towards peaceful solutions. Look for it. Greet
it. Nourish it with love. AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
BREATH
FREE. Let go of
everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of
everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or
constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which
are filling many thirsty souls. The old patterns are falling
away. Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying
to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new
openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your
life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all. EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE
CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a
short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has
come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them.
This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater
meaning by the end of the year. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these ancient
oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this
was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The Y Max point, reported three weeks ago, has been passed
and the North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally after giving us a bumpy
peak. AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS: We have passed the “Y
Max” last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis
when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is
maintained by the IERS agency in As the Spin Axis begins its return towards the X Axis, the
seismic activity may mirror what happened as it was moving outwards.
This may occur during the next Full Moon or New Moon in September. http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. Currently, there is little of note. Despite many
claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical
analysis of many different regions of the Earth. |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a
collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding
new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR Sept. 2004
Distance Apogee 8-Sep 2:43 404462
km N-6d11h New 14-Sep 14:29 Perigee 22-Sep 21:13 369599
km F-5d15h Full 28-Sep 13:09 Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326
km F+7d 9h For the remainder of 2004, see the August
25 EC Update TODAY’S MOON We are still in Lunation #1010 with the next New Moon on September
14 at 14:28 UTC. As of September Day 8, the Moon this day is North of
the Equator (in its North Node) 24 days
past the New Moon. It is now approximately 405,000 KM from the Earth.
It is still 29% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase). The next Perigee
is Sept 22, about 5 and a half days before the next Full Moon. SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS Since September 8 is the Apogee of the Moon, seismic
activity should null out at the lowest levels through to about September 11. Thereafter, seismic activity should
gradually pick up in tempo and magnitudes through to September 16, hold
steady or dip for a few days, then increase suddenly on about September 20 through
to September 24 for the Perigee, thereafter dip again, and then perhaps
increase somewhat once again for the Full Moon on September 28. September’s seismic activity should be
somewhat weaker over all than August’s.
The next two strongest seismic syzygies for 2004 will be the New Moon
of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days) and December 12 (Perigee
within 20 hours). For describing the peak danger periods for the most
damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as November 10 – November 16 December 10 – December 15 Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the
most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for
computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision. For details see the Syzygy website
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the
planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page,
you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you
do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the
Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is
7, The three closest inner planets have been and will be in
very close angles to each other Mercury will align with Venus on
September 8. LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004 Mercury | Venus ***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury
catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5
degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed ***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out
for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and
pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the
Earth’s weather. The Summer Knot July 27 through
September 8 Major ups and downs in the sunspot counts, at least three major storm fronts betwixt
now and September 15 or so. The Triple Whammy September Surprise September
28, 2004 - October
1, 2004 Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into
chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme
Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places. The Apogee At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an
INTENSELY STORMY WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June 7,
2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. |
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The Sunspot Count on September 7 was 95 AND RISING
RAPIDLY after climbing steadily from 11 on August 31. The Solar Flux rose from 87 to reach 120 on
September 7 AND IT IS STILL RISING RAPIDLY. Date Flux
Sunspots Area 2004 09 01 90
12 180 2004 09 02 94
25 260 2004 09 03 97
25 270 2004 09 04 99
28 390 2004 09 05 103
59 340 2004 09 06 107
82 390 2004 09 07 119
95 480 MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT:
Spots and flux counts will rise at least for today. After that it is the cosmic wheel of
destiny for the next additional few days.
Peak could be well over 150 today, tomorrow, or the next. AS
PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: the alignment on
September 8, 2004 between Mercury | Venus
should bring another high spike in the Sunspot Count, at least as high as
160. This peak should form up about
September One and bring late Summer storms no later than September 10. AS WE CAN SEE, this
sunspot peak formed up relatively late for the planetary alignment of Mercury
| Venus. Since the nominal date of the
alignment may be “off” by as much as two days (due to computational and
display limitations of “Home Planet Software”, the peak could form up anytime
during the next five days and be within the general pattern of timing
correlation which we have seen many times this past couple of years. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23 Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March
2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s
count was radically lower at 39.3. The May
2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004
was higher still with an average count of 43.2.
and July took as even higher to an
average count of 51. August’s count
dropped the average to 40, which returns us to the point on the general curve
which we reached during April 2004. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Solar Wind was robust at 382.3 km/s this day while
pushing a density of 0.8 protons/cm3”. General consensus: some volatility, more expected The Fluxgate Chart
at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the
Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) showed only a
couple of relatively small disturbance today in a solar sea which is composed
of very small chops defining a long plateau. (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain
time NASA NASA PREDICTS AS OF SEPTEMBER
8: During the next 24/48 hours, probability
for an M-class solar flare is at 15% and for an X-class solar flare is at 1%,
with a generally 5% to 30% probability for minor to severe geomagnetic
disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude (higher the
latitude, higher the probability). Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was
quiet to active on September 7. Solar wind speed ranged between 412 and 495
km/sec under the influence of a fairly low speed stream from coronal hole
CH112...Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 118.9. The planetary A
index was 16 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices:
16.1)...At midnight there were 3 spotted regions on the visible disk. The
solar flare activity level was low. A total of 2 C class events was recorded
during the day...One or perhaps two closely spaced regions are approaching
the northeast limb and could rotate into view late today or tomorrow. M class
flares are possible...September 5-7: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were
observed. A full halo CME was observed after the C2 event behind the
northeast limb on September 7...A recurrent coronal hole (CH112) in the
northern hemisphere was in a geoeffective position on September 3-6.” Jan Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled on September 8-10 with the possibility of a
few active intervals on September 8 due to coronal hole effects.“ Alvestad also predicts a 0% probability of
coronal holes, a 0% probability of CME’s, and a 20% probability of M and/or X
Class Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. CONDITIONS WILL GATHER GREATER FORCE AS SUNSPOTS CLIMB, MAJOR STORM FRONTS AND EXTENSIVE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED
IN MANY AREAS FROM ABOUT SEPTEMBER 12 THROUGH TO SEPTEMBER 20. WE CERTAINLY CALLED THIS CORRECTLY FOR THE EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. BEWARE
HURRICANE IVAN This
is more probable than not a Category Five Grand Slam into the WATCH
THE SUNSPOTS, ON WHICH ALL THINGS IN THE WEATHER TURN. IF THE NUMBER GOES UP AGAIN FOR TODAY AND
FOR TOMORROW, I HIGHLY RECOMMEND SPENDING TIME ANYWHERE ELSE BUT STAND PAT: IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE NORMAL?
Nope. I can’t keep up with it and therefore won’t. MORE OF
THE SAME. No predictions will call the tune for any
area. More extremes during the next 30
days will be quite “normal”. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR FALL SEASON
(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. WILD AND WOOLY: The
output of the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable to give very
good predictions. Accordingly, expect 50% probability of anything. | |
