PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is underway.

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of September 29 2004

You have heard of the Weather Report? Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this URL

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Sept_29_04.htm

On the geophysical front, FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR, sunspots have plunged at 25 and solar activity is very low, leaving weather conditions with very little solar energization. Storms are now muting out their intensify. No El Nino trend is apparent but an anomalous huge patch of warming water North of Hawaii is still growing and will force Fall weather in North America into chaotic, unpredictable patterns, exactly as it has this past week. Alaska’s drought is most likely over for at least this year. Meanwhile, Earth’s tectonics are anything but calm. Volcanism is up from week’s level. The worldwide increase in ignition and pre-ignition signals suggests that St. Helens ignition signals really are heralds of another eruption to occur soon. Quake activity was quite subdued around most of the world, but five shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great Rifts of the ocean bottoms this past week and most likely set off strong motion in the Baja Plate and the rupture of the San Andreas Fault which produced a 6.0 quake yesterday and some 600 aftershocks in the 24 hour period afterward, quite possibly a record number. Motion of North America against the Pacific plate may also have let loose the genie in the St. Helens bag, some 1000 to 2000 quakes a day constitute a clear ignition signal of an eruption during the next 120 days.

On the geopolitical front, the good news remains in the economy for the moment, the need to rebuild is stimulating a uptick in the economy. This gives everything a little more life for the next few months. The bad news is that, as everyone now knows, the crisis in Iraq has reached critical condition. As things stand, the U.S. is losing the struggle in Iraq and helicopter evacuations will probably end this tragedy near the summer of 2005. But most likely the Presidential debates will not provide much help, rather they are more likely to divide and polarize conditions even more and continue to throw up confusion. Will someone please kindly ask the Islamic community to step up to the table and resolve this terrible tragedy with some common sense?. Quite apparently crazy euro white man culture in North America cannot. The even worse news is that more and more doubt is gathering that the U.S. elections will be safe or fair in many locations. Quite aside from the known “back doors” into vote tabulation software which has already manipulated at least two local elections in the U.S., most recently the Carter Center has put the world community on notice that the election machinery in Florida has been so slovenly managed and ludicrously manipulated once again by the Bush family, that every detail at every location must be intensively watched to insure a fair result…

….and you think this country is polarized now.

On the sermonizing front: A RADICALLY NEW STRATEGIC APPROACH BY AN ASTUTE LEADER IS IMMEDIATELY NECESSARY TO AVERT FURTHER TRAGEDY. The one sure method for destroying the terrorist and insurgency movements is to help the Islamic community forge a common front to oppose both the crudities of western interference and the barbarism of the jihadists and Baathists. If figures like Al Sistani can rise to the occasion, they are most likely to be the ones who are able to resolve the situation into peaceful conditions and “arrange” the abrupt withdrawal of American troops. Since it is clear that the U.S. is completely incompetent to rebuild Iraq or to indulge its fantasies of Imperial domination through a half-baked military expedition, the more quickly Islamic forces can arrange the withdrawal of American forces, THE BETTER. I fail to see any other solution.

Go to detailed synopsis…

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NOTES

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Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/

PREVIOUS
WEEKLY

UPDATES

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 29, 2004:

The main proviso in all things is “The October Surprise”. This is such a strong psychic impression among a great many, I will now be surprised if there is NOT an “October Surprise”. Since the October surprise is widely expected to be highly negative, it most likely will influence all markets negatively. In the main, hold to the course laid out months ago. There will likely be some recovery in the equity markets to rise the DJI closer to 10,500 before it heads South for good sometime next year, probably early. Oil prices are substantially higher than anyone thought and part of the reason is completely logical, oil production is depressed by weather and political disturbances, while Asian demand is soaring at a much more rapid rate than expected. This is softening equity markets in the U.S. and inflating the petro-dollar with rapidly rising international commodity prices. I normally stay away from gold, but it looks good at this time, but only for a quick flip during the next year. But don’t buy unless you “know when to fold ‘em”.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1, 2004:

All projections are on track. This month and next more probable than not are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg of the long term economic cycle. When equities begin to slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as the chaos deepens through 2005. Absolute Bottom will be found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow increase (not driven by Bull speculation) will probably begin to manifest in 2008. In the interim period, most of the “Fortune 500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants will reappear as vastly different companies..

HOUSEKEEPING

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network.

Begin Synopsis

As stated in the “Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies.

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

WE WERE RIGHT ABOUT THIS CALL MADE LAST WEEK >>> IGNORE THE TOUTATIS ASTEROID SCARE – No credible scientific source is reporting anything close to a close call. It is passing by us at over four Lunar distances in a few days. NASA reports that the orbit is predictable, which means it is stable. NASA and the astronomy buffs around the world are highly competitive and all of them have a great self-interest in being the first to find “provocative news”. If there was anything closer with Toutatis, it would be raging news in serious venues. As it is, the entire scare is based on “psychic sources”, most likely originated by the Billy Meier group. My prediction, Billy Meier will be proven wrong.

BILLY MEIER WAS PROVEN WRONG. Most of his predictions forward of this date are a mishmash of stuff from dozens if not hundreds of borrowed sources…primarily Zoroastrian/Romanized Christian sources. Meier’s “ET” source fails to exhibit sufficient intellect and ability to communicate scientifically with enough credibility to command continued attention. I do not believe that extra-terrestrial intelligence would waste its time and my time with the mishmash presented in Meier’s material.

In my opinion it is just another flavor of “channeled” material which has never been “credentialed” with actual third party documented proof. The main material available is “stories”, “stories about stories”, and “claims” about “claims”.

Having said all this, I believe that Meier is actually somewhat psychic and does, as an “intuitive”, pick up some insights and “readings” or “indications” about some stuff which is coming down the pike. I believe it is about as equal in value to the material in Star, National Enquirer, or other tabloids of that ilk. Those who can hear, let them hear.

KEEP FOCUSING ON PEACE, DISENGAGEMENT FROM HOSTILITY, RESOLUTION OF CONFLICT,

WALKING AWAY FROM WARS AND LEADERS WHO CREATE WARS

A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance, hate, revenge, and violence appear to crow even more loudly on the world stage or can be found eagerly arranging a major increase in the tempo of bomb explosions to murder and maime even more people. A consciousness is gathering greater focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism and militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse towards peaceful solutions.

Look for it. Greet it. Nourish it with love.

BREATH FREE. Let go of everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls. The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all.

EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater meaning by the end of the year.

The “Great Purification” predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving

The Great Purification

of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004.

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….

THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

FOR THE MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

No change as of September Day 29, 2004: North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally. It is currently tightening up rapidly as it heads into its minima phase which will begin in 2006.

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

Currently, there is little of note. Despite many claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis of many different regions of the Earth.

Asteroids

As of June 04,

NASA’S

ESTIMATE:

“Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted, dates for planetary alignments are derived from Home Planet Software using PC graphics, due to limitations of software and graphics display, actual timing may be off as much as three days, for scientific work, use a professional ephemeris for exact dates). For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar. The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.

Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure

Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html

Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date

Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html

Daily Solar System – click here to view Planet Alignments

The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar

LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF 2004

Distance

Perigee 22-Sep 21:13 369599 km F-5d15h

Full 28-Sep 13:09

Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326 km F+7d 9h

New 14-Oct 2:48

Perigee 18-Oct 0:04 367757 km N+3d21h

Full 28-Oct 3:08

Apogee 2-Nov 18:10 404998 km F+5d15h

New 12-Nov 14:27

Perigee 14-Nov 13:55 362312 km N+1d23h

Full 26-Nov 20:08

Apogee 30-Nov 11:26 405951 km F+3d15h

Perigee 12-Dec 21:31 357985 km N+ 20h

New 12-Dec 1:29

Full 26-Dec 15:07

Apogee 27-Dec 19:16 406487 km F+1d 4h

For 2005, see the August 25 EC Update

TODAY’S MOON

We are still in Lunation #1011 and just slightly past the Full Moon of September 28 at 13:09 UTC. As of September Day 29, the Moon this day is now close to the Equator in its North Node (North of the Equator 16 days past the New Moon and about 7 days past the last Perigee. It is now approximately 390,000 KM from the Earth. It is 97% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase).

The Next Apogee is October 5. Within another two days, quake activity should now diminish to very low levels.

WHY WAS THIS THE HARVEST MOON? It was the first Full Moon after the Fall Equinox. The Fall Equinox heralds the end of the growing season and the beginning of the final harvests for the years. During the first Full Moon of the Fall Season, farmers used the extra light of the Full Moon to work until they dropped.

SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS

We entered the seismic window for the Perigee about September 19 and we will leave it once again on September 25. Seismic activity should be peaking now and decrease slowly until about September 26 and then bob up again for the Full Moon Syzygy, which will end about September 30.

HALF BAD CALL FROM PREVIOUS WEEKS: “September’s seismic activity should be somewhat weaker over all than August’s.” Overall quake magnitudes have in fact been weaker. But major swarms related San Andreas Fault, Mono Lake Volcanic Field, and St. Helens, have elevated totals of small quakes into very large numbers for North America.

October 12 to October 20: The next important syzygy period will be the New Moon Near Perigee which runs from October 14 – October 18. Add two days to either side, we have an eight day period of higher seismic activity than normal…

The two strongest seismic syzygies remaining for 2004 will be the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days) and December 12 (Perigee within 20 hours).

For describing the peak danger periods for the most damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as

November 10 – November 16

December 10 – December 15

Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision. For details see the Syzygy website

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website.

THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS

For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is 7, Neptune is 8, Pluto is 9, and both Planet X and Nibiru are bogus.

We have more or less entered the Triple Whammy Alignments for September 28 through October 3. This group of alignments involves Mercury aligning with Mar and Jupiter as all three line up in a very close alignment.

This should produce quite a bit of activity on the sun. BUT SO FAR AS OF THIS DATE, NO SHOW. SUNSPOT ACTIVITY IS AT MINIMA.

LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004

***September 28, 2004

***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5 degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed
***October 1, 2004

***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected

PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS

For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.

The Triple Whammy September Surprise September 28, 2004 - October 1, 2004

Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment

Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places.

The Aphelion Six Way Cluster Bomb

At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY STORMY WINTER.

December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter
Venus and Mars still close and Earth near Saturn alignment
January 13, 2005 Mercury & Mars close couple to
Venus | Pluto and Earth | Saturn
January 27, 2005 Mercury | Venus with Pluto close couple

The Spring Grand Alignment

Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus

Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts. The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment

March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn
Spring Alignments begin in three main spirals
March 21,2005 Mars | Pluto with a spiral forming in
Mercury | Earth | Jupiter and another in Venus | Uranus
March 30, 2005 Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus
form a virtual straight line through the solar system with Mars and Pluto still closely coupled. Observers on Earth will only be able to physically see Jupiter rising on the Eastern horizon just after sunset and Saturn close to the Mid-heavens in the Western half of the sky. In the very early morning Mars and Uranus visible

Summer Ping Pong

June 7, 2005 Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and
Mars | Neptune. The timing of these alignments between these planets is not exact, the electromagnetic balances of the solar system will shift in a complex way, probably producing a number of ups and downs.

PLANET WATCHING

For background and the current information on observable planets.

NASA'S DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time. On 29 Sep 2004 there were 618 known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids." During September 2004, there were four Earth-asteroid encounters, the closest was Toutatis at four lunar distances.

NASA REPORTS: “ASTEROID FLYBY: A big asteroid named 4179 Toutatis is flying past Earth today. This space rock is shaped like a peanut about 3 miles long and it tumbles like a badly thrown football. Astronomers say there's no danger of a collision, but they'll be monitoring it closely anyway. All asteroids glow by means of reflected sunlight. Toutatis is about as bright as a 9th magnitude star. It's an easy target for backyard telescopes--but only in the southern hemisphere. Observers in Australia and New Zealand will have a good view of Toutatis gliding 1o from the bright star Alpha Centauri.”

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information.

To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table.

The Sunspot Count on September 28 was 27 IN PLATEAU. Solar Flux was 90 and IN A PLATEAU. The Solar Flux has gradually dropped from 110 on September 15 and sunspots have followed the Flux downward from 67 on the same day.

Date Flux Sunspots Area

MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT: A new peak should begin to form immediately for the month-end Triple Whammy planetary alignments involving Mercury, Mars, and Jupiter.

SO FAR THE PEAK IS LATE, BUT THAT SOMETIMES HAPPENS. IT MAY NOT FORM UP UNTIL AROUND OCTOBER 1-3.

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23
These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad

Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of 51. August’s count dropped the average to 40, which returns us to the point on the general curve which we reached during April 2004.

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM Arizona Mountain Time (which does not have daylight savings time).

The Solar Wind was modest at 384.4 km/s this day while pushing a somewhat thick density of 4.2 protons/cm3”.

In general not much activity nor is much foreseen through the next 48 hours.

Fluxgate Magnetometer: The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) has been flat-line for the past 36 hours. (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE.

NASA AURORA WATCH: “AURORA SEASON - it's now aurora season. Scientists don't completely understand why, but there are more geomagnetic storms and auroras around the autumnal equinox than any other time of the year.” BUT, “There are no big coronal holes on the Earth-facing side of the sun today” and virtually no significant solar activity, which means that there is very little stimulus coming into the Earth’s magnetosphere to produce Auroras.

NASA PREDICTS AS OF SEPTEMBER DAY 29: “Solar activity is very low and it should remain low for at least the next three days. Unless something unexpected happens, bright auroras are unlikely this week. There are no big coronal holes on the Earth-facing side of the sun.” During the next 24/48 hours, probability for an M-class solar flare is at 1% and for an X-class solar flare is at 1%, with a generally 5% - 30% probability for minor to severe geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude (higher the latitude, higher the probability).

Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled on September 28. Solar wind speed ranged between 351 and 398 km/sec under the influence of a low speed flow from coronal hole CH115. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 89.9. The planetary A index was 8 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 9.1)…At midnight there were 2 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was very low. No C class events were recorded during the day….September 26-28: No obviously earth directed CMEs observed…No obvious coronal holes are currently approaching geoeffective positions.”

Jan Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on September 29 - October 1.“ Alvestad also predicts a 0% probability of coronal holes, a 0% probability of CME’s, and a 0% probability of M and/or X Class Flares.

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and majo