|
Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright September Day 22
2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE |
QUEST GROUP |
|
|
|
FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of September 22
2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the
Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest
prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week,
or use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Sept_22_04.htm IGNORE
THE TOUTATIS ASTEROID SCARE – No credible scientific source is reporting
anything close to a close call. It is
passing by us at over four Lunar distances in a few days. NASA reports that the orbit is predictable,
which means it is stable. NASA and the
astronomy buffs around the world are highly competitive and all of them have
a great self-interest in being the first to find “provocative news”. If there was anything closer with Toutatis,
it would be raging news in serious venues. As it is, the entire scare is
based on “psychic sources”, most likely originated by the Billy Meier
group. My prediction, Billy Meier will
be proven wrong. On the geophysical
front,
FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR, sunspots have momentarily plunged to 33,
leaving weather conditions with very little solar energization. Storms are
now muting out their intensify. No El
Nino trend is apparent but an anomalous huge patch of warming water North of On the geopolitical
front,
the good news is that the destruction caused by the three hurricanes which
struck the On the sermonizing front:
A RADICALLY NEW STRATEGIC APPROACH BY AN ASTUTE LEADER IS IMMEDIATELY
NECESSARY TO AVERT FURTHER TRAGEDY. The
one sure method for destroying the terrorist and insurgency movements is to
help the Islamic community forge a common front to oppose both the crudities
of western interference and the barbarism of the jihadists and Baathists. If figures like Al Sistani can rise to the
occasion, they are most likely to be the ones who are able to resolve the
situation into peaceful conditions and
“arrange” the abrupt withdrawal of American troops. Since it is clear that
the |
This
hidden column on the right is available for links, banners, and icons
of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual
donation. Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a
REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update. YOU MUST HAVE
BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous
subscriber).. |
|
NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational PREVIOUS UPDATES |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global,
seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ |
|
|
|
SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 22,
2004: Hold to the course laid out months ago. We are more or less, on the DJI, within 200
points of the peak of the economic bubble.
We may already be past it as the odor of regime change in the LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1, 2004: All projections are on
track. This month and next more
probable than not are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg
of the long term economic cycle. When
equities begin to slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as
the chaos deepens through 2005.
Absolute Bottom will be found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow
increase (not driven by Bull speculation) will probably begin to manifest in
2008. In the interim period, most of
the “Fortune 500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants
will reappear as vastly different companies.. |
|
|
|
HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. |
|
|
As stated in the “Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire
Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to
making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts
and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance, hate, revenge, and violence appear to crow even
more loudly on the world stage or can be found eagerly arranging a major
increase in the tempo of bomb explosions to murder and maime even more
people. A consciousness is gathering
greater focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of
absolutism and militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement
en masse towards peaceful solutions. Look for it. Greet
it. Nourish it with love. BREATH
FREE. Let go of
everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of
everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or
constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which
are filling many thirsty souls. The old patterns are falling
away. Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying
to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new
openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your
life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all. EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE
CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a
short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has
come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them.
This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater
meaning by the end of the year. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these
ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us
that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
|
FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally .. AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS: We have passed the “Y
Max” last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis
when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is
maintained by the IERS agency in http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
|
|
|
MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. Currently, there is little of note. Despite many
claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical
analysis of many different regions of the Earth. |
|
|
Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a
collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding
new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR Sept. 2004
Distance Perigee 22-Sep 21:13 369599
km F-5d15h Full 28-Sep 13:09 Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326
km F+7d 9h For the remainder of 2004, see the August
25 EC Update TODAY’S MOON We are in Lunation #1011 with the next Full Moon on September
28 at 13:09 UTC. As of September Day 22,
the Moon this day is now deep in its South Node (South of the Equator 8 days
past the New Moon. It is now approximately 363,700 KM from the Earth.
It is 68% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase). The Perigee is TODAY Sept 22 about 5 and a half days
before the next Full Moon. SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS We entered the seismic window for the Perigee about
September 19 and we will leave it once again on September 25. Seismic activity should be peaking now and
decrease slowly until about September 26 and then bob up again for the Full
Moon Syzygy, which will end about September 30. September’s seismic activity
should be somewhat weaker over all than August’s. The next two strongest seismic syzygies for 2004 will be
the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days) and December
12 (Perigee within 20 hours). For describing the peak danger periods for the most
damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as November 10 – November 16 December 10 – December 15 Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the
most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for
computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision. For details see the Syzygy website
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the
planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page,
you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you
do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the
Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is
7, We are in between planetary alignments at the current
time. The next set begins about
September 25 and ends about October 3.
The next group of alignments involves Mercury aligning with Mar and
Jupiter as all three line up in a very close alignment. This would produce quite a bit of activity
on the sun. LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004 Mercury | Venus ***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury
catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5 degrees,
with all other planets widely dispersed ***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out
for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and
pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the
Earth’s weather. The Triple Whammy September Surprise September
28, 2004 - October
1, 2004 Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into
chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme
Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places. The Aphelion At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an
INTENSELY STORMY WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June 7,
2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
|
|
|
PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. |
|
|
|
SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The Sunspot Count on September 21 was 33 and falling.
Solar Flux was 95 and falling. The
Solar Flux has gradually dropped from 110 on September 15 and sunspots have
followed the Flux downward from 67 on the same day. Date Flux
Sunspots Area 2004 09 15 110
67 460 2004 09 16 108
80 470 2004 09 17 105
76 470 2004 09 18 103
50 460 2004 09 19 105
42 370 2004 09 20 101
59 400 2004 09 21 95
33 340 MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT:
A new peak should begin to form immediately for the month-end Triple
Whammy planetary alignments involving Mercury, Mars, and Jupiter. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23 Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March
2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s
count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5
was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an
average count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of
51. August’s count dropped the average
to 40, which returns us to the point on the general curve which we reached
during April 2004. |
|
|
|
SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Solar Wind was robust at 489.9 km/s this day while pushing a density of 4.5 protons/cm3”. In general not much activity nor is much foreseen through
the next 48 hours. Fluxgate
Magnetometer: The Fluxgate
Chart at the NASA AURORA WATCH: “ NASA PREDICTS AS OF SEPTEMBER DAY 22: “None of the 'spots on the Earth-facing side of the sun today pose a
threat for strong solar flares…There are no big coronal holes on the
Earth-facing side of the sun.” During the next 24/48 hours,
probability for an M-class solar flare is at 1% and for an X-class solar
flare is at 5%, with a generally 5% - 45% probability for minor to severe
geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude
(higher the latitude, higher the probability). Jan
Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled on September 21.
Solar wind speed ranged between 373 and 450 km/sec under the influence of a
weak and slow coronal hole flow from recurrent coronal hole CH114. The
expected CME from the M1 event on September 19 has not arrived. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz
was 94.9. The planetary A index was 9 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three
hour interval ap indices: 10.6)…At midnight there was 1 spotted region on the
visible disk. The solar flare activity level was low. A total of 1 C class
event was recorded during the day…Region 10672 rotated out of view at the
northwest limb…Comment added at 06:07 UTC on September 22: A solar wind shock
was observed at ACE at about 06h UTC with an increase in solar wind speed
from 440 to 540 km/sec. Initially the interplanetary magnetic field has been
northwards and it is too early to tell if this disturbance will have
significant geomagnetic effects.” Jan
Alvestad predicts: “No obvious coronal holes are currently approaching
geoeffective positions…The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to
unsettled on September 22-25. There is still a slight chance of a glancing
blow from a CME on September 22. In that case geomagnetic activity could
increase to the unsettled to active level.“
Alvestad also predicts a 0% probability of coronal holes, a 0% probability
of CME’s, and a 0% probability of M and/or X Class Flares. |
|
|
|
WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. The
TRIPLE WHAMMY alignment on September 28 – October 1 between Mercury |
Mars | Jupiter should bring another high spike in the Sunspot Count above
100. This peak should begin to form
by about September 20 and bring intense, wet Fall storms no later than
October 5. LATEST
HURRICANE ADVISORY AS OF THIS DATE:
All storm fronts should most likely be weakening as of this date. Very little ionic flux is available from
the Sun and upper atmosphere to feed energy into the storms and pump the
atmosphere to accelerate low pressure vortices. All tropical systems should continue to
lose energy during the next 24 hours. HURRICANE
GENERAL ADVISORY: September 24 through
October 2 most likely will provide strong solar ionic influx which will tend
to increase the size and severity of Hurricanes. Watch the daily sunspot peak to determine
whether a storm will increase or decrease in size. FLOOD PRONE AREAS: EXPECT MAJOR FLOODING IN THE PERIOD OCTOBER
5 – OCTOBER 20. In North America,
Pacific Northwest through to WE SURE GOT THIS ONE RIGHT DURING PRIOR WEEKS: MAJOR STORM FRONTS AND EXTENSIVE FLOODING
CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS FROM ABOUT SEPTEMBER 12 THROUGH TO SEPTEMBER
20. STAND
PAT ON THIS THROUGH OCTOBER 15: WE
CERTAINLY CALLED THIS CORRECTLY FOR THE U.S. AND JAPAN:
AS OBSERVED LAST MONTH: weather patterns are tweaked out into
chaotic extremes which fit no averages or generalities. Forget
predictions, expect anything. THIS CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH SEPTEMBER,
CHAOS ALTERNATING WITH PERIODS OF CALMING. CONSIDER THIS STILL ON AS THE STAND PAT
PREDICTION OF SEPTEMBER 2004.. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. WE
SURE GOT THIS ONE RIGHT, EXCEPT FOR THE LANDFALL OF THE EYE OF THE HURRICANE: The greatest damage in THERE
IS NO LONGER ANY EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR FALL SEASON
(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. WILD AND WOOLY: The
output of the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable to give very
good predictions. Accordingly, expect 50% probability of anything. Another wave will begin to form up about October 1st. The long slow alignments of Mercury, Mars,
and Jupiter from September 28 through October 1 should bring sunspots from
below 20 up to well above 100 to intensify any Hurricanes, Typhoons, and
Marine Storm Fronts coming in off the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. | |