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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright September 1 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE |
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of September
1 2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth
Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic
changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more
intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen,
farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week,
or use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Sept_1_04.htm BEWARE
HURRICANE FRANCIS This
is more probable than not a Category Five Grand Slam into the middle of THE COSMIC FORCES BRIEFLY MUTED ON
THE EARTH PLANE THIS PAST WEEK BUT ALREADY A RESURGENCE
FROM THE SOLAR VORTEX IS GROWING AND WILL PUSH WEATHER AND HUMANS TO
EXTREMES. AMONG THE NATIONS, AL QAEDA,
OBVIOUSLY HOPING TO DIMIINSH THE TURN TO PEACE IN On the geophysical
front,
FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING SUMMER, the next major peak of sunspots will
probably hit 180 plus during the first week of September to produce VERY WET
LATE SUMMER STORMS . But Earth’s
tectonics remain calm. Volcanism remains largely muted with the
calming of Kilauea and Etna, even despite four minor eruptions in Africa and On the geopolitical
front,
BEWARE THE NEXT 60 DAYS. As the Imperial Faction continues to lose its
hypnotic mindlock on the American public, vigorous
effort and stupendous sums are being expended on manufacturing FEAR AND THE WILL TO VIOLENT
REACTIONS. The greater portion of the
Republican National Convention is lavishing praise and adulation on “Der Fuhrer” (German for National Leader). Along with this weird and endless spectacle,
we see the endless repetition of fear and loathing mantras to raise THE WILL
TO ENDLESS INTERNATIONAL WAR led by “Der Fuhrer” against
the Enemies and Evil-doers. The
nakedness of the lies is stunning. The
boldness of this starkly Hitlerian strategy is jaw-dropping But will
they work?….THAT is not easy to determine.
Save possibly for this, the economy is now
in free fall and this inconvenient fact is likely to invoke more real fear to
vote for a change than the Merchants of Imperialism can contrive for their
masters. On this front, beware the Ides of September. |
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hidden column on the right is available for
links, banners, and icons of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational PREVIOUS UPDATES |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes
Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these
Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/ |
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SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1,
2004: All projections are on track. This month and next more probable than not
are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg of the long term
economic cycle. When equities begin to
slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as the chaos deepens
through 2005. Absolute Bottom will be
found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow increase (not driven by Bull
speculation) will probably begin to manifest in 2008. In the interim period, most of the “Fortune
500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants will reappear as
vastly different companies.. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF AUGUST 11, 2004: Once
again, the Collapse 2006 book TRACKS the unfolding real dynamics, except that
the forecasted events are tending to manifest three to fours months
earlier. All economic indicators for this July 2004 are DOWN except of
course the BIG ONE is UUUUUP (you know what it is, don’t you?). Yes of
course, OIL is climbing rapidly, partly based on a 34% increase this year in
world demand created largely in LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY 21, 2004 – Several important economic
factors and/or indicators are now declining – IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES
ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS, IT WILL BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT
THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED PROGRESSIVELY DOWN. ACCORDINGLY,
SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE 25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE HAS FINALLY
HIT. IF THE MESSAGE IS “YES”, the Kerry-Edwards ticket most likely will
win decisively and the Republican control of Congress most likely will be
“cracked”. But there is room for considerable movement in all positions
among large numbers of people and it is clear that many events in this
fast-paced, unpredictable year could deflect ALL expectations. |
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HOUSEKEEPING Some portions of this week’s update was prepared one day early on Tuesday, August 17, others
one day later than usual, on August 19. MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. |
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As stated in the “Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire
Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to
making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts
and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance,
hate, revenge,
and violence appear to crow even more loudly on the world stage or can be
found eagerly arranging a major increase in the tempo of bombs explosions to
murder and maime even more people. A consciousness is gathering greater focus
to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism and
militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse
towards peaceful solutions. Look for it. Greet
it. Nourish it with love. AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
BREATH
FREE. Let go of
everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of
everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or
constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which
are filling many thirsty souls. The old patterns are falling
away. Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying
to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new
openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your
life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all. EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE
CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a
short while, some will come forth giving witness to
a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of
God was upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these
words will have greater meaning by the end of the year. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these
ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us
that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For
additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The Y Max point, reported three weeks ago, has been passed
and the North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally after giving us a bumpy
peak. AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS: We have passed the “Y
Max” last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis
when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is
maintained by the IERS agency in As the Spin Axis begins its return towards the X Axis, the
seismic activity may mirror what happened as it was moving outwards.
This may occur during the next Full Moon or New Moon in September. http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole shift
is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least. Currently, there is little of note. Despite many
claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical
analysis of many different regions of the Earth. |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids)
are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are
finding new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar AS REPORTED LAST WEEK:
A new almanac is being constructed.
The links above are the main sources I use. I am now going to incorporate them directly
into the Bulletin Updates. It still is not complete. August is a
bad time to get real work accomplished. August is for people to relate
to each other and the REALLY real world. LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR Sept. 2004 Distance Full 30-Aug 2:23 378,000 km (rounded) Perigee 27-Aug 5:38 365105
km F-2d20h Apogee 8-Sep 2:43 404462
km N-6d11h New 14-Sep 14:29 Perigee 22-Sep 21:13 369599
km F-5d15h Full 28-Sep 13:09 Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326
km F+7d 9h For the remainder of 2004, see the August
25 EC Update TODAY’S MOON We are still in Lunation #1010 with the next New Moon on September
14 at 14:28 UTC. As of September 1, the Moon this day is North of the
Equator (in its North Node) 17 days past
the New Moon. It is now approximately 388,000 KM from the Earth. It is still
90% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase). The next Perigee is Sept 22,
about 5 and a half days before the next Full Moon. SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS We are still in the August Full Moon Perigee syzygy but
the influence is waning rapidly and should disappear by September 3. Since September 8 is the Apogee of the
Moon, seismic activity should null out at the lowest levels through to about
September 11. Thereafter, seismic
activity should gradually pick up in tempo and magnitudes through to
September 16, hold steady or dip for a few days, then increase suddenly on
about September 20 through to September 24 for the Perigee, thereafter dip
again, and then perhaps increase somewhat once again for the Full Moon on
September 28. September’s seismic
activity should be somewhat weaker over all than August’s. The next two strongest seismic syzygies for
2004 will be the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days)
and December 12 (Perigee within 20 hours). For describing the peak danger periods for the most
damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as November 10 – November 16 December 10 – December 15 Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the
most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for
computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision. For details see the Syzygy website
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the
planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page,
you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you
do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the
Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is
7, From August 3 to September 8, the three closest inner
planets have been and will be in very close angles to each other. Mercury will align with Venus on September 8 to finish up
a probably tempestuous season of exceptional solar activity. LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004 Mercury | Venus ***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury
catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5
degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed ***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out
for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and
pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the
Earth’s weather. The Summer Knot July 27 through
September 8 Major ups and downs in the sunspot counts, at least three major storm fronts betwixt
now and September 15 or so. The Triple Whammy September Surprise September
28, 2004 - October
1, 2004 Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into
chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme
Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places. The Apogee At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY
STORMY WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June 7,
2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NO CHANGE THIS WEEK NASA REPORTS ON URANUS:
“This week Uranus and Earth are having a close encounter. Uranus will
be "at opposition" on August 27th, which means it's opposite the
sun in the sky and as near to Earth as it gets: about 1.7 billion miles. Because close encounters with Uranus are,
in fact, so distant, the planet is not easy to see. Shining like a 6th
magnitude star, Uranus is barely--barely!--visible to the unaided eye from
the darkest observing sites. You can try to find it in the constellation
Aquarius an hour or so after sunset.” MWM: Because it is
in near perfect alignment with the Earth, it will rise as the Sun sets. At midnight it should be close to the
middle of the sky along the Zodiac belt. |
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The Sunspot Count on August 31 was 11 after falling
sharply along with the Solar Flux Index.
The Solar Flux sunk to 87 and then leveled off. MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT:
Spots and flux counts will rise today and for the next additional few
days. Peak could be well over 150. AS
PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: the alignment on
September 8, 2004 between Mercury | Venus
should bring another high spike in the Sunspot Count, at least as high as
160. This peak should form up about
September One and bring late Summer storms no later than September 10. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23 JULY’S
AVERAGE DAILY COUNT IN THE ISSN SERIES WAS UP BY NEARLY 10 FROM 43.2 TO
51. Somewhere the Sun took a wrong turn. This rise in the count
is in the opposite direction to where it should be going. August’s
average, which is predicted by computers to drop to 34, may also hover near
50.. Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at
48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER
THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2. and July took as
even higher to an average count of 51.
August could also be higher than the predicted average sunspot
curves (based on computer modeling of the Solar Sunspot Cycles) and probably
will be higher than June but lower than July. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Solar Wind was robust at 472.2 km/s this day while
pushing a density of 1.0 protons/cm3”. GENERAL
CONSENSUS: NO CHANGE FROM LAST
THURSDAY - Not much solar activity of note, not much is likely during the
next 48 hours, very little probability of disturbances felt on Earth. The Fluxgate Chart
at the A major rise in the Planetary A Index (a measure of the
Earth’s magnetic field in the atmosphere) showed a large spike of about 35 on
August 30 (normally this Index hovers around 10 most of the time). This
disturbance was well displayed in the Fluxgate Charts. NASA AURORA WATCH: “ NASA PREDICTS AS OF SEPTEMBER
1: During the next 24/48 hours, probability
for an M-class solar flare is at 10% and for an X-class solar flare is at 1%,
with a generally 1% to 30% probability for minor to severe geomagnetic
disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude (higher the
latitude, higher the probability). Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was
unsettled to major storm on August 31. Solar wind speed ranged between 363
and 548 km/sec under the influence of a high speed stream from coronal hole
CH111...Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 88.1. The planetary A index was 28 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour
interval ap indices: 28.5)...At midnight the visible disk was spotless. The solar
flare activity level was moderate. A total of 1 M class event was recorded
during the day...A poorly defined coronal hole
(CH111) in the northern hemisphere was in a geoeffective position on August
27-29. Jan Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active on September 1 due to a coronal hole flow. Quiet to unsettled is likely on September 2-4.“ Alvestad also
predicts a 0% probability of coronal holes, a 0% probability of CME’s, and a 0%
probability of M and/or X Class Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. FOLLOWING THE SUNSPOTS, CURRENTLY ALL CONDITIONS ARE CALMING OR MUTING DOWN. BUT SOON CONDITIONS WILL GATHER GREATER FORCE AS SUNSPOTS
CLIMB, AND THIS IS LIKELY TO OCCUR WITH HURRICANE FRANCIS AS OBSERVED LAST MONTH: weather patterns are tweaked
out into chaotic extremes which fit no averages or generalities. Forget
predictions, expect anything. THIS CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH SEPTEMBER,
CHAOS ALTERNATING WITH PERIODS OF CALMING. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. BEWARE
HURRICANE FRANCIS This
is more probable than not a Category Five Grand Slam into the middle of WATCH
THE SUNSPOTS, ON WHICH ALL THINGS IN THE WEATHER TURN. IF THE NUMBER GOES UP TOMORROW, I HIGHLY
RECOMMEND SPENDING TIME ANYWHERE ELSE BUT STAND PAT: IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE NORMAL?
Nope. I can’t keep up with it and therefore won’t. MORE OF
THE SAME. No predictions will call the tune for any
area. More extremes during the next 30
days will be quite “normal”. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. | |