PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is underway.

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of September 15 2004

You have heard of the Weather Report? Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this URL

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Sept_15_04.htm

BEWARE HURRICANE IVAN - this storm is unbelievably HUGE and will blow long and hard and dump a foot of water over much of the Mississippi River Valley system up through to Ohio. New Orleans will be flooded severely.

On the geophysical front, FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR, sunspots have momentarily plateaued at 70, leaving weather conditions with only modest energization. Since solar output is likely to decline during the next week, storms should gradually mute out rather than intensify. No El Nino trend is apparent but an anomalous huge patch of warming water between Hawaii and California is still growing and will force Fall weather in North America into chaotic, unpredictable patterns. Meanwhile, Earth’s tectonics remain calm. Volcanism remains largely muted but activity picked up slightly again this week. Seven shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great Rifts of the ocean bottoms this past week, six of these in the Mid Atlantic Rift. Otherwise quake activity was quite subdued compared to the prior week.

On the geopolitical front, the crisis in Iraq has reached critical condition. The Mass Broadcast Media is filtering you so heavily you have no idea what is happening unless you read the newspapers and the Iway. Some say the U.S. is not tough enough, others say that working the politics of the situations is the only way to work. Both sides of the whipsaw arguments which are underway in Washington DC are TOTALLY OUT TO LUNCH. THE UNITED STATES HAS LOST CONTROL OF THE IRAQI STREET AND DO NOT LOOK NOW BUT HAS NOT A PRAYER FOR GETTING BACK IN CONTROL OF IT. CIVIL WAR IS ESCALATING AND MAY SUCCEED BY JANUARY IN DISRUPTING ELECTIONS TO SUCH AN EXTENT THAT THEY CANNOT BE HELD. A RADICALLY NEW STRATEGIC APPROACH BY AN ASTUTE LEADER IS IMMEDIATELY NECESSARY TO AVERT FURTHER TRAGEDY. The one sure method for destroying the terrorist and insurgency movements is to help the Islamic community forge a common front to oppose both the crudities of western interference and the barbarism of the jihadists and Baathists. If figures like Al Sistani can rise to the occasion, they are most likely to be the ones who are able to resolve the situation into peaceful conditions and “arrange” the abrupt withdrawal of American troops. Since it is clear that the U.S. is completely incompetent to rebuild Iraq or to indulge its fantasies of Imperial domination through a half-baked military expedition, the more quickly Islamic forces can arrange the withdrawal of American forces, THE BETTER.

Go to detailed synopsis…

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Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1, 2004:

All projections are on track. This month and next more probable than not are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg of the long term economic cycle. When equities begin to slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as the chaos deepens through 2005. Absolute Bottom will be found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow increase (not driven by Bull speculation) will probably begin to manifest in 2008. In the interim period, most of the “Fortune 500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants will reappear as vastly different companies..

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF AUGUST 11, 2004: Once again, the Collapse 2006 book TRACKS the unfolding real dynamics, except that the forecasted events are tending to manifest three to fours months earlier. All economic indicators for this July 2004 are DOWN except of course the BIG ONE is UUUUUP (you know what it is, don’t you?). Yes of course, OIL is climbing rapidly, partly based on a 34% increase this year in world demand created largely in ASIA. The progressive devaluation of the PETRO DOLLAR is now unfolding rapidly, despite the best expressed intentions of the House of Saud to hold dollar price stability for their partners, the Bush Family.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY 21, 2004 – Several important economic factors and/or indicators are now declining – IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS, IT WILL BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED PROGRESSIVELY DOWN. ACCORDINGLY, SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE 25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE HAS FINALLY HIT. IF THE MESSAGE IS “YES”, the Kerry-Edwards ticket most likely will win decisively and the Republican control of Congress most likely will be “cracked”. But there is room for considerable movement in all positions among large numbers of people and it is clear that many events in this fast-paced, unpredictable year could deflect ALL expectations.

HOUSEKEEPING

Some portions of this week’s update was prepared one day early on Tuesday, August 17, others one day later than usual, on August 19.

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network.

Begin Synopsis

As stated in the “Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies.

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance, hate, revenge, and violence appear to crow even more loudly on the world stage or can be found eagerly arranging a major increase in the tempo of bomb explosions to murder and maime even more people. A consciousness is gathering greater focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism and militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse towards peaceful solutions.

Look for it. Greet it. Nourish it with love.

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:

BREATH FREE. Let go of everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls. The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all.

EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater meaning by the end of the year.

The “Great Purification” predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving

The Great Purification

of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004.

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….

THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

FOR THE MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally ..

AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS: We have passed the “Y Max” last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is maintained by the IERS agency in France. “Y Max” is where the North Spin Axis is titled as far as it can go towards North America down Longitude West 90. The motion towards “Y Max” may have caused the increased movement of the North American Tectonic Plate to produce the interesting quake activity of the previous weeks.

As the Spin Axis begins its return towards the X Axis, the seismic activity may mirror what happened as it was moving outwards. This may occur during the next Full Moon or New Moon in September.

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

Currently, there is little of note. Despite many claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis of many different regions of the Earth.

Asteroids

As of June 04,

NASA’S

ESTIMATE:

“Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted, dates for planetary alignments are derived from Home Planet Software using PC graphics, due to limitations of software and graphics display, actual timing may be off as much as three days, for scientific work, use a professional ephemeris for exact dates). For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar. The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.

Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure

Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html

Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date

Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html

Daily Solar System – click here to view Planet Alignments

The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar

LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR Sept. 2004

Distance

Apogee 8-Sep 2:43 404462 km N-6d11h

New 14-Sep 14:29

Perigee 22-Sep 21:13 369599 km F-5d15h

Full 28-Sep 13:09

Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326 km F+7d 9h

For the remainder of 2004, see the August 25 EC Update

TODAY’S MOON

We are in Lunation #1011 with the next Full Moon on September 28 at 13:09 UTC. As of September Day 15, the Moon this day is nearly dead on over the Equator just one day past the New Moon. It is now approximately 382,000 KM from the Earth. It is only 1% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase). The next Perigee is Sept 22, about 5 and a half days before the next Full Moon.

SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS

We entered the seismic window for the New Moon on about September 13 and we will leave it once again on September 17. Since it is so close to the Apogee it has been relatively weak for producing earthquakes. Seismic activity should gradually pick up in tempo and magnitudes once again on about September 20 through to September 24 for the Perigee, thereafter dip again, and then perhaps increase somewhat once again for the Full Moon on September 28. September’s seismic activity should be somewhat weaker over all than August’s. The next two strongest seismic syzygies for 2004 will be the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days) and December 12 (Perigee within 20 hours).

For describing the peak danger periods for the most damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as

November 10 – November 16

December 10 – December 15

Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision. For details see the Syzygy website

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website.

THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS

For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is 7, Neptune is 8, Pluto is 9, and both Planet X and Nibiru are bogus.

We are in between planetary alignments at the current time. The next set begins about September 25 and ends about October 3. The next group of alignments involves Mercury aligning with Mar and Jupiter as all three line up in a very close alignment. This would produce quite a bit of activity on the sun.

LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004

September 8, 2004

Mercury | Venus
Most of the planets in general now begin breaking apart widely, the "Summer Knot" become untied. From About September 10 onwards, Mars and Jupiter will be in a slow forming virtual alignment

***September 28, 2004

***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5 degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed
***October 1, 2004

***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected

PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS

For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.

The Triple Whammy September Surprise September 28, 2004 - October 1, 2004

Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment

Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places.

The Aphelion Six Way Cluster Bomb

At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY STORMY WINTER.

December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter
Venus and Mars still close and Earth near Saturn alignment
January 13, 2005 Mercury & Mars close couple to
Venus | Pluto and Earth | Saturn
January 27, 2005 Mercury | Venus with Pluto close couple

The Spring Grand Alignment

Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus

Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts. The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment

March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn
Spring Alignments begin in three main spirals
March 21,2005 Mars | Pluto with a spiral forming in
Mercury | Earth | Jupiter and another in Venus | Uranus
March 30, 2005 Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus
form a virtual straight line through the solar system with Mars and Pluto still closely coupled. Observers on Earth will only be able to physically see Jupiter rising on the Eastern horizon just after sunset and Saturn close to the Mid-heavens in the Western half of the sky. In the very early morning Mars and Uranus visible

Summer Ping Pong

June 7, 2005 Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and
Mars | Neptune. The timing of these alignments between these planets is not exact, the electromagnetic balances of the solar system will shift in a complex way, probably producing a number of ups and downs.

PLANET WATCHING

For background and the current information on observable planets.

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information.

To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table.

The Sunspot Count on September 14 was 70 on a plateau. The Solar Flux dropped from 132 on September 9 to 115 on September 14 where it has been plateaued for the last three days.

Date Flux Sunspots Area

MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT: Spots and flux counts will decline somewhat, highly possible sunspots could once again bottom out at 10 or so for a day or so. Then they will begin to rise again, with the Flux leading the parade, beginning by about September 20.

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23
These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad

Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of 51. August’s count dropped the average to 40, which returns us to the point on the general curve which we reached during April 2004.

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM Arizona Mountain Time (which does not have daylight savings time).

The Solar Wind was robust at 579.1 km/s this day while pushing a density of 3.5 protons/cm3”.

In general more activity now and more expected during the next two days than last Wednesday. General consensus: some volatility, more expected

The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) showed a major disturbance yesterday for a major M Class flare. The past 12 hours recorded three modest magnetic storm periods. (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE.

NASA AURORA WATCH: “There are no large coronal holes on the Earth-facing side of the sun today. Sky watchers in Scandinavia, Canada and Alaska should be alert for auroras tonight. Earth's magnetic field is being buffeted by a high speed solar wind stream, which could spark a high-latitude geomagnetic storm.”

NASA PREDICTS AS OF SEPTEMBER DAY 15: During the next 24/48 hours, probability for an M-class solar flare is at 30% and for an X-class solar flare is at 5%, with a generally 1% - 40% probability for minor to severe geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude (higher the latitude, higher the probability).

My, that last prediction sure leaves a lot of room for close to 50% probability of anything! Hard to go wrong on those.

Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was unsettled to minor storm on September 14. Solar wind speed ranged between 526 and 694 km/sec. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 114.7. The planetary A index was 28 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 28.5). At midnight there were 2 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was moderate. A total of 4 C and 1 M class events was recorded during the day….September 13-14: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed. No obvious coronal holes are currently approaching geoeffective positions.”

Jan Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active on September 15-17. “ Alvestad also predicts a 0% probability of coronal holes, a 0% probability of CME’s, and a 20% - 60% probability of M and/or X Class Flares.

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our “sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.

The TRIPLE WHAMMY alignment on September 28 – October 1 between Mercury | Mars | Jupiter should bring another high spike in the Sunspot Count above 100. This peak should begin to form by about September 20 and bring intense, wet Fall storms no later than October 5.

HURRICANE ADVISORY: September 20 through October 2 will provide strong solar ionic influx which will tend to increase the size and severity of Hurricanes. Watch the daily sunspot peak to determine whether a storm will increase or decrease in size.

FLOOD PRONE AREAS: EXPECT MAJOR FLOODING IN THE PERIOD OCTOBER 5 – OCTOBER 20. In North America, Pacific Northwest through to Midwest will be hit hard. But it should be a great year for mushrooms.

WE SURE GOT THIS ONE RIGHT DURING PRIOR WEEKS: MAJOR STORM FRONTS AND EXTENSIVE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS FROM ABOUT SEPTEMBER 12 THROUGH TO SEPTEMBER 20.

STAND PAT ON THIS THROUGH OCTOBER 15: WE CERTAINLY CALLED THIS CORRECTLY FOR THE U.S. AND JAPAN: AS OBSERVED LAST MONTH: weather patterns are tweaked out into chaotic extremes which fit no averages or generalities. Forget predictions, expect anything. THIS CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH SEPTEMBER, CHAOS ALTERNATING WITH PERIODS OF CALMING. CONSIDER THIS STILL ON AS THE STAND PAT PREDICTION OF SEPTEMBER 2004..

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

BEWARE HURRICANE IVAN

LIKE FRANCES, THIS HURRICANE IS OF RECORD-BREAKING SIZE AND WILL DROP A PRODIGIOUS AMOUNT OF WATER. The greatest damage in Louisiana and Mississippi and Alabama will COME FROM RECORD BREAKING FLOODS, both off the ocean and from the rain. The winds should drop to Category 3 as Ivan hits the North Gulf Coast. The “eye” looks like it may pass right over New Orleans.

STAND PAT: IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE NORMAL? Nope. I can’t keep up with it and therefore won’t. MORE OF THE SAME. No predictions will call the tune for any area. More extremes during the next 30 days will be quite “normal”.

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR FALL SEASON

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

WILD AND WOOLY: The output of the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable to give very good predictions. Accordingly, expect 50% probability of anything.

Once we get past this current wave of sunspot induced weather, along about September 20, another wave will begin to form up about October 1^st. The long slow alignments of Mercury, Mars, and Jupiter from September 28 through October 1 should bring sunspots from below 20 up to well above 100 to intensify any Hurricanes, Typhoons, and Marine Storm Fronts coming in off the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans.

I expect a very wet late September with a lot of rain as well in October with an early “Fall Syndrome” before and after the Mercury alignments at the end of September.. THIS SHOULD BE A GREAT YEAR FOR SHROOMING.

LAST WEEK WE ASKED: HAS “FALL” COME?

For remarks related to the early Fall Season see the Weather Section in the August 25 EC Update

Note as of September-15: The late summer heat wave is slowly dissipating. Overnight lows are now down below 70 in the foothills..

KEEP WATCHING FOR THIS PATTERN: Global Warming could easily intensify the seasons, making a short bitterly cold Winter, longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and shorter but very hot and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at work in the Northern Hemisphere?

SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS

This “sloppycast” is based on six years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: For a large part of the elevations below 4000 feet in the Southwest, the general drought in the Western U.S. is still holding sway. Only the Winter of 2005 remains a hope at this point. At this point, everyone in the Southwest should begin to pray in earnest for a HUGE El Nino effect. During the last El Nino, the Southwest received substantial water.

EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH
The watch is now open again; Pacific water activity appears mostly normal, we are between the extremes of the ENSO; Click here for the NOAA window on the Pacific Ocean Temperatures:

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif

CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005. There are no signs of it along the Equator in the Pacific. Purely in accordance with the X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model, AN EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN 2005. But, the El Nino is not like an astrophysical cycle. There are some “missing” El Nino’s in the record of the 20^th century and we may have a missing one. HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN UNTIL ABOUT APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in which the syndrome has formed up during previous El Nino’s.

INSTEAD, AS REPORTED IN PRIOR WEEKS, a huge spot of warm water, considerably above average range, has concentrated in the zone between Hawaii and California. This patch is huge and is now stable as of September 5. This MUST BE HAVING A HUGE IMPACT ON ALL MARINE AND WEST COAST WEATHER PATTERNS ALREADY. This is not your normal pattern at all and it will create some El Nino characteristics in the Fall Weather for the Gulf of Alaska and the Pacific Coast of North America. It should be highly productive of wet warm marine air seeking to flow into North America along the more northerly latitudes.

By increasing and altering the pattern of the flow of wet marine air into North America, this patch of warm water (up to about eight degrees higher than normal in its center) will effect the weather of North America through the Mid-West and even into New England and Eastern Canada. If it persists into December, we should see exceptionally heavy snowfalls in all mountain areas

Accordingly, we are flying into Weather chaos. Until a RECOGNIZABLE trend forms up, it is impossible to predict what is going to happen on this front.

ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005.

KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC, ANTARCTIC, and the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories of the climate shift.

GLOBAL WARMING

It is becoming obvious that we have a long term real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the latitudes. This climate shift is creating a growing environmental disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004

It is apparent from dozens and hundreds of reports from around the world that “global warming” is accelerating climate shifts and ecological changes around the world. These changes are so varied in such great quantity, it is difficult to summarize the shifts which are going on but it is impossible to ignore them.

LOOK FOR THE “HEADLINES ON EARTH NEWS” WHICH I OCCASSIONALLY SEND. THERE IS SO MUCH HAPPENING ON THIS FRONT IT IS DIFFICULT TO EASILY SUMMARIZE IT.

For latest comments on Global Warming,

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25, 2004

For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see