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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright October Day 6 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE |
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of October 6
2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the
Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest
prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week,
or use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Oct_6_04.htm On the geophysical
front,
FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR, sunspots remain at 40 and solar
activity has been very low for the past week, with no action in sight,
leaving weather conditions with very little solar energization. Storms are
now muting out their intensify and there are no longer any Hurricanes in the
cue. No El Nino trend is apparent and
the anomalous huge patch of warming water North of On the geopolitical
front,
once again the good news remains in the economy for the moment, the need to
rebuild is stimulating a uptick in the economy. This gives everything a little more life
for the next few months. Further good news is evident in the collapse of
Bush’s “bubble”. Despite a great deal
of pessimism, the Presidential debate pricked it and the next two debates
will likely deflate it some more. The
bad news is that, as everyone now knows, the crisis in …and you think this country is polarized now. |
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't
understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth.
Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report
earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment
often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various
technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely
educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ |
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PREVIOUS UPDATES |
SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 29,
2004: The main proviso in all things is “The October
Surprise”. This is such a strong
psychic impression among a great many, I will now be surprised if there is
NOT an “October Surprise”. Since the
October surprise is widely expected to be highly negative, it most likely
will influence all markets negatively.
In the main, hold to the course laid out months ago. There will likely
be some recovery in the equity markets to rise the DJI closer to 10,500
before it heads South for good sometime next year, probably early. Oil prices are substantially higher than
anyone thought and part of the reason is completely logical, oil production
is depressed by weather and political disturbances, while Asian demand is
soaring at a much more rapid rate than expected. This is softening equity markets in the LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1, 2004: All projections are on track. This month and next more probable than not
are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg of the long term
economic cycle. When equities begin to
slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as the chaos deepens
through 2005. Absolute Bottom will be
found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow increase (not driven by Bull
speculation) will probably begin to manifest in 2008. In the interim period, most of the “Fortune
500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants will reappear as
vastly different companies.. |
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HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. |
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As stated in the “Coming Economic Collapse
of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities
of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have been on the
Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth. Making the
way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on
the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it. Not by a long
shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and
dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. WE
WERE RIGHT ABOUT THIS CALL MADE TWO WEEKS AGO >>> IGNORE THE TOUTATIS ASTEROID SCARE
– No credible scientific source is reporting anything close to a close
call. It is passing by us at over four
Lunar distances in a few days. NASA
reports that the orbit is predictable, which means it is stable. NASA and the astronomy buffs around the
world are highly competitive and all of them have a great self-interest in
being the first to find “provocative news”.
If there was anything closer with Toutatis, it would be raging news in
serious venues. As it is, the entire scare is based on “psychic sources”,
most likely originated by the Billy Meier group. My prediction, Billy Meier will be proven
wrong. BILLY
MEIER WAS PROVEN WRONG. KEEP
FOCUSING ON PEACE, DISENGAGEMENT FROM HOSTILITY, RESOLUTION OF CONFLICT, WALKING
AWAY FROM WARS AND LEADERS WHO CREATE WARS A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts
and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance,
hate, revenge, and violence appear to
crow even more loudly on the world stage or can be found eagerly arranging a
major increase in the tempo of bomb explosions to murder and maime even more
people. A consciousness is gathering
greater focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of
absolutism and militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement
en masse towards peaceful solutions. Look for it. Greet
it. Nourish it with love. BREATH
FREE. Let go of
everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of
everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or
constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which
are filling many thirsty souls. The old patterns are falling
away. Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying
to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new
openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your
life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all. EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE
CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a
short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has
come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them.
This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater
meaning by the end of the year. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these
ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us
that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. No change as of October Day 6, 2004: North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly
normally. It is currently tightening
up rapidly as it heads into its minima phase which will begin in 2006. http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. Currently, there is little of note. Despite many
claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis
of many different regions of the Earth. |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a
collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding
new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF 2004 Distance Perigee 22-Sep 21:13 369599
km F-5d15h Full 28-Sep 13:09 Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326
km F+7d 9h New 14-Oct 2:48 Perigee 18-Oct 0:04 367757
km N+3d21h Full 28-Oct 3:08 Apogee 2-Nov 18:10 404998
km F+5d15h New 12-Nov 14:27 Perigee 14-Nov 13:55 362312
km N+1d23h Full 26-Nov 20:08 Apogee 30-Nov 11:26 405951
km F+3d15h Perigee 12-Dec 21:31 357985
km N+ 20h New 12-Dec 1:29 Full 26-Dec 15:07 Apogee 27-Dec 19:16 406487
km F+1d 4h For 2005, see the August
25 EC Update TODAY’S MOON We are still in Lunation #1011 and now only eight days
until the next New Moon of October 14 at 02:47
UTC. As of October Day 6, the
Moon this day is now high in its North Node (North of the Equator 22 days
past the New Moon and about 1 day past the last Apogee. It is now
approximately 405035 KM from the Earth. It is 46% of the Full Moon
(visibility or phase). SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS The Next Perigee is October 18. October
12 to October 20: The next important
syzygy period will be the New Moon Near Perigee which runs from October 14 –
October 18. Add two days to either
side, we have an eight day period of higher seismic activity than normal… A NEW MOON SYZYGY CLOSE TO PERIGEE: We enter the next seismic window about October
12 and we will leave it once again about October 20. Seismic activity should be at low levels
THIS WEEK and then slowly increase to bob up again for the New Moon Syzygy. The two strongest seismic syzygies remaining for 2004 will
be the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days) and
December 12 (Perigee within 20 hours). For describing the peak danger periods for the most
damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as November 10 – November 16 December 10 – December 15 Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the
most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for
computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision. For details see the Syzygy website
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the
planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page,
you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you
do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the
Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is
7, We have just left the Triple Whammy Alignments for September
28 through October 3. This group of
alignments involved Mercury aligning with Mar and Jupiter as all three line
up in a very close alignment. This alignment failed to produce any significant activity
in the Sun. SO FAR
AS OF THIS DATE, NO SHOW AND THE ODDS NOW ARE VERY SMALL THAT WE WILL SEE ANY
SIGNIFICANT RISE IN SOLAR ACTIIVTY. CLEARLY
SUNSPOT ACTIVITY IS CLOSE TO MINIMA. LIST OF
ALIGNMENTS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004 – JUST LEFT The Triple Whammy September Surprise September
28, 2004 - October
1, 2004 Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment ***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury
catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5
degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed ***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected SPECTACULARLY
BAD CALL: Spots
peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into chaos by about October 1,
followed by extreme Fall flooding by the
middle of October in the usual places. PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS For the next three months, there are NO significant
alignments. Solar Activity would wane
down into MINIMA. Weather and climate
patterns should become more regular and much more modest in their dynamics. For late December through to June 2005, four particular periods stand out for their
potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge
ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather. The Aphelion At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an
INTENSELY STORMY WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June 7,
2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NASA'S
DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids
(PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to
Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our
planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.” On 29 Sep 2004 there were 633 known Potentially Hazardous
Asteroids.
For October 2004, there will be no Earth-asteroid encounters. |
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The Sunspot Count on October 5 was 40 on a week- long
plateau, which stood at 27 seven days ago.
Solar Flux was 91, the same as September 28. BAD CALL FROM LAST MONTH: “MORE
PROBABLE THAN NOT:
A new peak should begin to form immediately for
the month-end Triple Whammy planetary alignments involving Mercury, Mars, and
Jupiter.” MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23 Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March
2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s
count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5
was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an average
count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of 51. August’s count dropped the average to 40,
which returns us to the point on the general curve which we reached during
April 2004. The law of averages
finally caught with the Sun during September.
For the first time all year, sunspot activity fell below the 32.8
predicted average monthly count and was only 27.7. More and more, now
and for the next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s atmosphere
and weather less and less. Global
Warming and El Nino type of phenomena will be more and more influential
compared to the solar input. The
geo-data we gather during the next three years about weather, climate, the |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Solar Wind was quite modest at 313.9 km/s this hour
while pushing a somewhat thick density of 2.9 protons/cm3”. NO CHANGE FROM THE PAST
TEN DAYS: In general not much activity
today nor is much foreseen through the next 48 hours. Fluxgate
Magnetometer: The Fluxgate
Chart at the NASA AURORA WATCH: “ NASA PREDICTS AS OF OCTOBER DAY 6: “Solar activity is very low and
it should remain low for at least the next three days. Unless something
unexpected happens, bright auroras are unlikely this week. There are no big coronal holes on the
Earth-facing side of the sun.” During the next 24/48 hours,
probability for an M-class solar flare is at 1% and for an X-class solar
flare is at 5%, with a generally 5% - 20% probability for minor to severe
geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude
(higher the latitude, higher the probability). THESE ARE REALLY NO PREDICTIONS AT ALL,
THE PROBABILITY FIGURES ARE BOGUS, THEY ARE REALLY JUST MAKING “SLOPPYCASTS”
LIKE I DO. THEY ARE REALLY SAYING THAT NOT MUCH IS HAPPENING NOR CAN THEY FORESEE
MUCH OF ANYTHING AT THE MOMENT Jan
Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was quiet on October 5. Solar wind speed
ranged between 321 and 372 km/sec.
Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 90.8. The planetary A
index was 5 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices:
6.3)...At midnight there were 3 spotted regions on the visible disk. The
solar flare activity level was low. A single C class event was recorded
during the day...A region at the southeast limb continued to produce small
flares...October 3-5: No obviously Earth directed CMEs observed. Coronal holes...A trans equatorial coronal
hole (CH117) was in a geoeffective position on October 3-4.” Jan
Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active on
October 6-7 due to effects from coronal hole CH117. Quiet to unsettled is
likely on October 8-9.“ Alvestad also
predicts a 60%-100%% probability of coronal holes, a 0% probability of CME’s,
and a 0% probability of M and/or X Class Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. SSSHHHH….don’t
look now, but Hurricane season has virtually collapsed…right along with peak
sunspot counts....WHAT A PERFECT CORRELATION!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! The
planets did not correlate. But the
weather sure has. Accuweather reports as of today that: “ | |
