PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is underway.

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of October 20 2004

You have heard of the Weather Report? Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this URL

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Oct_20_04.htm

EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING.

IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO.

NOVEMBER: Will be a complete surprise!!! Forget everyone’s projections and fears. The MASS MEDIA is as much in the dark as you are!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

On the geophysical front, FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR, sunspots are an amazing (and unexpected) 129 as of today and a variety of solar activity has been rising for the past week and is expected to continue for a few more days. ONCE MORE, BATTEN DOWN THE HATCHES!!!! WEATHER CONDITIONS NOW WILL HAVE MAJOR SOLAR ENERGIZATION AND THUS STORMS ARE CURRENTLY INCREASING IN INTENSITY WORLDWIDE. Taiwan and Japan will be battered in a few days by a huge cyclone. No El Nino trend is apparent BUT the North Pacific ocean is diverging in temperature and is now beginning to drive El Nino type Pacific storm fronts into North America. World volcanism has declined from last week and several volcanoes are now paralleling St. Helens quite closely with sporadic steam, gas and small ash emissions. Only Kilauea is still oozing lava today. Worldwide seismic activity was down throughout this New Moon – Perigee syzygy and totally busted the syzygy paradigm this time around.

On the geopolitical front, the economy continues to putter along for the moment from the need to rebuild the storm battered Southeast. Stock values have stabilized but dollar values relative to the euro are still falling as oil prices maintain around $55.00 per barrel of oil. This gives everything a little more shaky life for the next few months in the amidst of a lot of uncertainties. This is not necessarily comfortable news, some analysts expect retail gas prices to rise sharply just after the elections. The main good news is evident in the collapse of Bush’s “bubble”. The Presidential debates pricked the balloon and new reports and books, even from former employees, come out each day to add additional daggers. Bush is unlikely now to be able to huff it back up but that has not stopped him from conducting a non-stop tour of the most bald-faced lying and distortions which the country has ever witnessed. The truly bad news, now a continuing saga, is that the crisis in Iraq has reached critical condition. As things stand, the U.S. is losing the struggle in Iraq and helicopter evacuations will probably end this tragedy near the summer of 2005. But also as things stand, a political disaster, as expected by many observers, may befall the U.S. before that moment. The U.S. election system may fail to produce an obvious winner and the conflicts may be sent next January to the House of Representatives for adjudication by an institution which is controlled by a corrupt clique of nominal Republicans.

Go to detailed synopsis…

This hidden column on the right is available for links, banners, and icons of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual donation. Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update. YOU MUST HAVE BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous subscriber)..

NOTES

Grayed items are not yet operational

Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/

PREVIOUS
WEEKLY

UPDATES

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF OCTOBER 14, 2004:

So far so good. No “October Surprise” has appeared. But, of course, the month is only half over. For maximum reactivity with mass consciousness, any major contrived manipulation will need to occur during the next five days. On all economic fronts, hang tuff. The bubble will hang in there for a little while longer even if it is currently sagging under the high oil prices. They will come down this Winter and the rebuilding boom in the SE section of the country will keep the economy firm. Stocks will go back up with the decline in oil prices and so will the value of the dollar. All long term projection for the collapse in 2006 is still right on target.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 29, 2004:

The main proviso in all things is “The October Surprise”. This is such a strong psychic impression among a great many, I will now be surprised if there is NOT an “October Surprise”. Since the October surprise is widely expected to be highly negative, it most likely will influence all markets negatively. In the main, hold to the course laid out months ago. There will likely be some recovery in the equity markets to rise the DJI closer to 10,500 before it heads South for good sometime next year, probably early. Oil prices are substantially higher than anyone thought and part of the reason is completely logical, oil production is depressed by weather and political disturbances, while Asian demand is soaring at a much more rapid rate than expected. This is softening equity markets in the U.S. and inflating the petro-dollar with rapidly rising international commodity prices. I normally stay away from gold, but it looks good at this time, but only for a quick flip during the next year. But don’t buy unless you “know when to fold ‘em”.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1, 2004:

All projections are on track. This month and next more probable than not are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg of the long term economic cycle. When equities begin to slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as the chaos deepens through 2005. Absolute Bottom will be found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow increase (not driven by Bull speculation) will probably begin to manifest in 2008. In the interim period, most of the “Fortune 500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants will reappear as vastly different companies..

HOUSEKEEPING

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network.

Begin Synopsis

As stated in the “Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies.

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

DON’T LET UP. KEEP THE RESOLUTE FOCUS.

KEEP FOCUSING ON PEACE, DISENGAGEMENT FROM HOSTILITY, RESOLUTION OF CONFLICT,

WALKING AWAY FROM WARS AND LEADERS WHO CREATE WARS

A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance, hate, revenge, and violence appear to crow even more loudly on the world stage or can be found eagerly arranging a major increase in the tempo of bomb explosions to murder and maim even more people. A consciousness is gathering greater focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism and militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse towards peaceful solutions.

Look for it. Greet it. Nourish it with love.

BREATH FREE. Let go of everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls. The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all.

EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater meaning by the end of the year.

The “Great Purification” predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving

The Great Purification

of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004.

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….

THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

FOR THE MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

No change as of October Day 20, 2004: North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally. It is currently tightening up rapidly as it heads into its minima phase which will begin in 2006.

The Wobble Track is showing continued tightening of the Chandler’s

Wobble Spiral, as should be, and the track seems to be conforming with a continued acceleration in the rate of drift, but this can be by no means certain until this 7 year cycle is over. In about two years we will be able to locate the minimum spiral of motion and then look for the average 7 year "location" of this past seven years for comparison with previous cycles.

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

Currently, there is little of note. Despite many claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis of many different regions of the Earth.

Asteroids

As of June 04,

NASA’S

ESTIMATE:

“Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted, dates for planetary alignments are derived from Home Planet Software using PC graphics, due to limitations of software and graphics display, actual timing may be off as much as three days, for scientific work, use a professional ephemeris for exact dates). For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar. The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.

Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure

Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html

Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date

Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html

Daily Solar System – click here to view Planet Alignments

The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar

LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF 2004

Distance

Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326 km F+7d 9h

New 14-Oct 2:48

Perigee 18-Oct 0:04 367757 km N+3d21h

Full 28-Oct 3:08

Apogee 2-Nov 18:10 404998 km F+5d15h

New 12-Nov 14:27

Perigee 14-Nov 13:55 362312 km N+1d23h

Full 26-Nov 20:08

Apogee 30-Nov 11:26 405951 km F+3d15h

Perigee 12-Dec 21:31 357985 km N+ 20h

New 12-Dec 1:29

Full 26-Dec 15:07

Apogee 27-Dec 19:16 406487 km F+1d 4h

For 2005, see the August 25 EC Update

TODAY’S MOON

We are in Lunation #1012 and now 7 days past the New Moon of October 14 at 02:47 UTC and two days the Perigee of October 18. As of October Day 20, the Moon this day is now high in its South Node (South of the Equator). It is now approximately 364,227 KM from the Earth. It is 49% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase).

SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS

As of today we clearing past the Cot 12-20 New Moon Perigee Syzygy. As predicted, this period was stronger than the preceding New Moon syzygy.

The Next Perigee is November 14, just day days past the New Moon. This Syzygy should be more potent than the one we have just gone through.

The two strongest seismic syzygies remaining for 2004 will be the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days) and December 12 (Perigee within 20 hours).

For describing the peak danger periods for the most damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as

November 10 – November 16 – Similar to the period we have just gone through

December 10 – December 15 – This syzygy should produce more seismic energy release (earthquakes) than during most of the other syzygies of the preceding year.

Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision. For details see the Syzygy website

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website.

THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS

For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is 7, Neptune is 8, Pluto is 9, and both Planet X and Nibiru are bogus.

LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO DECEMBER 21, 2004

For October and November there are NO significant alignments except possibly for the November 20 alignment of Mercury | Uranus. Since Uranus is so far out, it is not likely to induce a strong em bias in combination with Mercury to pull out much solar activity. Accordingly, solar activity should stay close to MINIMA until very close to December. Weather and climate patterns should become more regular and much more modest in their dynamics.

An alignment of Venus | Jupiter on December 3 should prove productive of a new round of solar flares and sunspots beginning during the last week of November This activity will introduce an even greater flare-up during the first week in December for the Mercury | Earth alignment on December 10

November 20 Mercury | Uranus

December 3 Venus | Jupiter

December 10 Mercury | Earth

PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR LATE DECEMBER 2004 – JUNE 2005

For late December through to June 2005, four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.

The Aphelion Six Way Cluster Bomb

At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY STORMY WINTER.

December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter
Venus and Mars still close and Earth near Saturn alignment
January 13, 2005 Mercury & Mars close couple to
Venus | Pluto and Earth | Saturn
January 27, 2005 Mercury | Venus with Pluto close couple

The Spring Grand Alignment

Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus

Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts. The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment

March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn
Spring Alignments begin in three main spirals
March 21,2005 Mars | Pluto with a spiral forming in
Mercury | Earth | Jupiter and another in Venus | Uranus
March 30, 2005 Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus
form a virtual straight line through the solar system with Mars and Pluto still closely coupled. Observers on Earth will only be able to physically see Jupiter rising on the Eastern horizon just after sunset and Saturn close to the Mid-heavens in the Western half of the sky. In the very early morning Mars and Uranus visible

Summer Ping Pong

June 7, 2005 Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and
Mars | Neptune. The timing of these alignments between these planets is not exact, the electromagnetic balances of the solar system will shift in a complex way, probably producing a number of ups and downs.

PLANET WATCHING

For background and the current information on observable planets.

NASA'S DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

On 20 Oct 2004 there were 639 known Potentially

Hazardous Asteroids. For October 2004, there will be no Earth-asteroid encounters.

NASA REPORTS: “ LUNAR ECLIPSE: Mark your calendar! On Wednesday, Oct. 27th, sky watchers in the Americas can see a lovely-red total eclipse of the moon.” [full story] “

NASA REPORTS: MAGICAL MORNING: On Thursday morning, Oct. 21st, pieces of Halley's Comet will spray out of the constellation Orion. Meteors will fly past Venus and Saturn, Sirius, Castor and Pollux. Don't miss the show! [full story] Go outside before sunrise, around 5:30 a.m. is best, and look east. The brightest object in that direction is the planet Venus. It looks like a star going supernova. Above Venus lies Saturn, and below, near the horizon, is Jupiter. Every 10 minutes or so you'll see a meteor streak among these planets. The meteors are pieces of Halley's Comet. "Every year around this time Earth glides through a cloud of dusty debris from Halley's Comet," explains Bill Cooke of the NASA Marshall Space Flight Center. "Bits of dust, most no larger than grains of sand, disintegrate in Earth's atmosphere and become shooting stars." "It's not an intense shower," he says, "but it is a pretty one." Astronomers call it the "Orionid meteor shower," because the meteors appear to stream out of a point (called "the radiant") in the constellation Orion. The radiant is near Orion's left shoulder. But don't stare at that spot, advises Cooke. Meteors near the radiant seem short and stubby, a result of foreshortening. Instead, look toward any dark region of the sky about 90 degrees away. The vicinity of Venus or Jupiter is good. You'll see just as many Orionids there, but they will seem longer and more dramatic.”

NASA REPORTS: “CRESCENT SUNSET: In Hawaii yesterday, just before sunset, the moon glided in front of the sun producing a partial solar eclipse. On the beach at Wailea, Maui, Rob Ratkowski took this picture of the sun with a strange bite taken out of it.”

NASA REPORTS: “LUNAR ECLIPSE: Mark your calendar: On Oct. 27th and 28th, sky watchers around the world can see a total eclipse of the moon. The event begins next Wednesday at 9:14 p.m. EDT. [full story] “

live webcasts: from the Canary Islands; from Iran; from Switzerland; from Mexico;

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information.

To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table.

The Sunspot Count on October 20 rose to 129, up much higher than expected from the 0 count on October 11, while the Solar Flux Index continued to rise from the mid ‘80’s on October 11 up to 111.

What is it about the 11’s?

The peak may not have fully formed and may continue climbing tomorrow, though it most likely will not stay high for more than a day or so.

Date Flux Sunspots Area

2004 10 11 87 0 0

2004 10 12 88 14 10

2004 10 13 87 41 190

2004 10 14 91 38 265

2004 10 15 89 26 240

2004 10 16 92 43 220

2004 10 17 92 51 210

2004 10 18 96 86 230

2004 10 19 105 86 380

This peak is likely related to the Planetary Alignment Mercury | Uranus on November 20.

This was definitely higher than guestimated last week, but even so, for the most part during the next eight months expect sunspot counts to dip up and down between zero and 50 or so, hovering often in this 30 - 40 range.

There will probably be some major peaks up as high as 100-150 or so, perhaps even higher, when Mercury and Venus connect with Earth, Mars, or Jupiter.

NASA REPORTS, BUT NOT VERY ACCURATELY: “SOLAR MINIMUM: Something strange happened on the sun last week: all the sunspots vanished. The "blank spell" lasted only two days, but it was significant. It's a sign, say forecasters, that solar minimum is coming sooner than expected--probably in 2006, followed by a new solar maximum in 2010.”

Sorry boys, this doesn’t fly. THE SOLAR CYCLES ARE HIGHLY IRREGULAR. YOU CAN LINE THEM ALL UP ON CHARTS FOR THE PAST 100 YEARS AND CANNOT FIND A “TYPICAL” CYCLE. The averages are all “statistics” and we all know about “statistics”, right…as in lies, damn lies, and then there are statistics…There is nothing really “early” about the slide into the next minima. It just is. AUM. Nice attempt at provocative stirring of interest, though, it seems to fit right into this Carney age.

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23
These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad

Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of 51. August’s count dropped the average to 40, which returns us to the poi