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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright October Day 14 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE | QUEST GROUP |
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of October 14
2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the
Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest
prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or
use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Oct_14_04.htm On the geophysical front, FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL
WARMING YEAR, sunspots are at 41 as of today and solar activity has been very
low for the past week, though a coronal hole is producing a brisk solar wind
and lots of magnetic disturbances. Weather conditions have very little solar
energization and thus storms are now muting out their intensify and there are
no longer any Hurricanes in the cue.
No El Nino trend is apparent and North Pacific ocean is normalizing which
will allow weather in On the geopolitical
front,
once again the good news remains in the economy for the moment, the need to
rebuild is still stimulating a uptick in the economy even if stock, dollar
values are falling as oil prices surge past $55.00 per barrel of oil. This gives everything a little more life
for the next few months in the amidst of a lot of uncertainties. Further good news is evident in the
collapse of Bush’s “bubble”. The
Presidential debates deflated it and Bush is unlikely now to be able to huff
it back up. The bad news is that, as
everyone now knows, the crisis in |
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains
various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and
genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ |
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PREVIOUS UPDATES |
SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF OCTOBER 14,
2004: So far so good.
No “October Surprise” has appeared.
But, of course, the month is only half over. For maximum reactivity
with mass consciousness, any major contrived manipulation will need to occur
during the next five days. On all
economic fronts, hang tuff. The bubble will hang in there for a little while
longer even if it is currently sagging under the high oil prices. They will come down this Winter and the
rebuilding boom in the SE section of the country will keep the economy firm. Stocks will go back with the decline in oil
prices and so will the value of the dollar. All long term projection for the
collapse in 2006 is still right on target. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 29,
2004: The main proviso in all things is “The October
Surprise”. This is such a strong psychic
impression among a great many, I will now be surprised if there is NOT an
“October Surprise”. Since the October
surprise is widely expected to be highly negative, it most likely will
influence all markets negatively. In
the main, hold to the course laid out months ago. There will likely be some
recovery in the equity markets to rise the DJI closer to 10,500 before it
heads South for good sometime next year, probably early. Oil prices are substantially higher than
anyone thought and part of the reason is completely logical, oil production
is depressed by weather and political disturbances, while Asian demand is
soaring at a much more rapid rate than expected. This is softening equity markets in the LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1, 2004: All projections are on
track. This month and next more
probable than not are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg
of the long term economic cycle. When
equities begin to slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as
the chaos deepens through 2005.
Absolute Bottom will be found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow
increase (not driven by Bull speculation) will probably begin to manifest in
2008. In the interim period, most of
the “Fortune 500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants
will reappear as vastly different companies.. |
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HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. |
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As stated in the “Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire
Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to
making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. DON’T LET UP. KEEP THE
RESOLUTE FOCUS. KEEP
FOCUSING ON PEACE, DISENGAGEMENT FROM HOSTILITY, RESOLUTION OF CONFLICT, WALKING
AWAY FROM WARS AND LEADERS WHO CREATE WARS A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts
and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance,
hate, revenge, and violence appear to
crow even more loudly on the world stage or can be found eagerly arranging a
major increase in the tempo of bomb explosions to murder and maim even more
people. A consciousness is gathering
greater focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of
absolutism and militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement
en masse towards peaceful solutions. Look for it. Greet
it. Nourish it with love. BREATH
FREE. Let go of everything which is
disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced,
contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the
rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.
The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new
relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and
straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown,
embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater
understanding and relationship with the all. EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE
CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a
short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has
come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them.
This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater
meaning by the end of the year. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these
ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us
that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. No change as of October Day 14, 2004: North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly
normally. It is currently tightening
up rapidly as it heads into its minima phase which will begin in 2006. http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. Currently, there is little of note. Despite many
claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical
analysis of many different regions of the Earth. |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a collision
course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR THE REMAINDER OF 2004 Distance Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326
km F+7d 9h New
14-Oct 2:48 Perigee 18-Oct 0:04 367757 km N+3d21h Full 28-Oct 3:08 Apogee 2-Nov 18:10 404998
km F+5d15h New 12-Nov 14:27 Perigee 14-Nov 13:55 362312
km N+1d23h Full 26-Nov 20:08 Apogee 30-Nov 11:26 405951
km F+3d15h Perigee 12-Dec 21:31 357985
km N+ 20h New 12-Dec 1:29 Full 26-Dec 15:07 Apogee 27-Dec 19:16 406487
km F+1d 4h For 2005, see the August
25 EC Update TODAY’S MOON We are in Lunation #1012 and now only 1 day into New Moon of October 14 at 02:47 UTC. As of October Day 14, the Moon this day is now high in its
South Node (South of the Equator 20 hours past the New Moon at this writing
and about 3 days approaching the next Perigee. It is now approximately 375,00
KM from the Earth. It is 0% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase). SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS The Next Perigee is October 18. October 12
to October 20: The next important
syzygy period will be the New Moon Near Perigee which runs from October 14 –
October 18. Add two days to either
side, we have an eight day period of higher seismic activity than normal… The two strongest seismic syzygies remaining for 2004 will
be the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days) and
December 12 (Perigee within 20 hours). For describing the peak danger periods for the most damaging
earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as November 10 – November 16 December 10 – December 15 Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the
most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for
computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater
precision. For details see the Syzygy website
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the
planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page,
you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you
do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the
Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is
7, LIST OF
ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO DECEMBER 21, 2004 For October and November there are NO significant
alignments except possibly for the November 20 alignment of Mercury | Uranus.
Since Uranus is so far out, it is not likely to induce a strong em bias in
combination with Mercury to pull out much solar activity. Accordingly, solar activity should stay
close to MINIMA until very close to December.
Weather and climate patterns should become more regular and much more
modest in their dynamics. An alignment of Venus | Jupiter on December 3 should prove
productive of a new round of solar flares and sunspots beginning during the
last week of November This activity
will introduce an even greater flare-up during the first week in December for
the Mercury | Earth alignment on December 10 October 28 Mercury
| Pluto all others widely dispersed November 16 Mercury
| November 20 Mercury | Uranus December 3 Venus |
Jupiter December 10 Mercury
| Earth PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR LATE DECEMBER 2004 – JUNE 2005 For late December through to June 2005, four particular periods stand out for their
potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge
ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather. The Aphelion At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY
STORMY WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June 7,
2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NASA'S
DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU.
None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time.” On 29 Sep 2004 there were 633 known Potentially Hazardous
Asteroids.
For October 2004, there will be no
Earth-asteroid encounters. NASA – “LUNAR ECLIPSE: Mark your calendar! On Wednesday, Oct. 27th, sky
watchers in the NASA – “CRESCENT SUNSET: In |
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The Sunspot Count on October was 41, back up more or less to
the long week- long plateau of the first week of October, after a two day dip
to ZERO. Solar Flux was 87, for close to the low
90’s during late September and early October. Date Flux Sunspots Area 2004 10 13 87 41 190 It looks like we are very close
this first part of October to an average baseline value as Solar Cycle 23
slides down into its Minima during 2005/2006. During the next eight months,
expect sunspot counts to dip up and down between zero and 50 or so, hovering
often in this 30 - 40 range. There will probably be some
major peaks up as high as 100 or so when Mercury and Venus connect with
Earth, Mars, or Jupiter. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23 Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March
2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s
count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5
was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an
average count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of
51. August’s count dropped the average
to 40, which returns us to the point on the general curve which we reached
during April 2004. The law of averages
finally caught with the Sun during September.
For the first time all year, sunspot activity fell below the 32.8
predicted average monthly count and was only 27.7. More and more, now and
for the next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s atmosphere and
weather less and less. Global Warming
and El Nino type of phenomena will be more and more influential compared to
the solar input. The geo-data we
gather during the next three years about weather, climate, the |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Solar Wind was brisk at : 520.0 km/s this hour while
pushing a thick density of 3.4 protons/cm3”. Substantial activity
yesterday and today, more likely. Fluxgate
Magnetometer: The Fluxgate
Chart at the NASA PREDICTS not much AS
OF OCTOBER DAY 14:
“A solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole will probably
miss Earth, blowing high above the northern hemisphere of our planet” During
the next 24/48 hours, probability for an M-class solar flare is at 15% and
for an X-class solar flare is at 1%, with a generally 5% - 40% probability
for minor to severe geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours,
depending upon latitude (higher the latitude, higher the probability). Jan
Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was unsettled to minor storm on October
13. Solar wind speed ranged between 370 and 520 km/sec under the influence of
a stream from coronal hole CH118.The geomagnetic field is expected to be
quiet to unsettled on October 14-15 and mostly quiet on October 16. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz
was 87.1. The planetary A index was 35 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three
hour interval ap indices: 32.8)...At midnight there were 2 spotted regions on
the visible solar disk. The solar flare activity level was low. A single C
class event was recorded during the day...October 11-13: No obviously Earth
directed CMEs observed...A recurrent coronal hole (CH118) in the southern
hemisphere was in a geoeffective position on October 8-9. A poorly defined coronal
hole (CH119) in the southern hemisphere could rotate into a geoeffective
position on October 14.” Jan
Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on
October 14-15 and mostly quiet on October 16.“ Alvestad also predicts a 20%-60%%
probability of coronal holes, a 0-20% probability of CME’s, and a 0-20%
probability of M and/or X Class Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. AS REPORTED LAST
WEEK -
SSSHHHH….don’t look now, but Hurricane season has virtually
collapsed…right along with peak sunspot counts....WHAT A PERFECT
CORRELATION!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! AS PREDICTED
LAST WEEK: NORMAL WEATHER WITHIN FOR THE AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED – OF
MAJOR INTEREST: as reported in prior weeks, a huge
spot of warm water, considerably above average range, concentrated in a huge
zone North of the This is not your normal pattern at all and it will create
some El Nino characteristics in the Fall Weather for the As of LAST
week, this patch of warm water has shifted away from North America and
towards It still should be highly productive of wet warm marine
air seeking to flow into AS OF
OCTOBER DAY 14, the warm water has cooled during the past seven days. Its effect on the weather of EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. Other than
on the North American West Coast, which is probably more unstable than normal,
the weather should continue to mute out during the next several days – the
weather should feel more and more like an Indian Summer. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR FALL SEASON
(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. Normalizing out…sunspots not active….return to your
traditional local weathercasting. KEEP
WATCHING FOR THIS PATTERN: Global Warming
could easily intensify the seasons, making a short bitterly cold Winter,
longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and shorter but very hot
and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at work in the Northern
Hemisphere? SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This “sloppycast” is based on six years of
living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary
alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar. A normal Fall…the heat is falling off gradually but it is
as dry as can be, which is normal for October. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:
For a large part of the elevations below 4000 feet in the
Southwest, the general drought in the |
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EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif NO
SIGNIFICANT CHANGE THIS WEEK – CONDITIONS ALONG THE EQUATOR ARE NEAR AVERAGE
AND NO DYNAMIC TREND OF CHANGE IS APPARENT. AS
REPORTED PREVIOUSLY – THE CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know
whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005.
There are no specific signs of it along the Equator in the
Pacific. Purely in accordance with the X Wave correlation which I discovered in
the Vortex Tectonics Model, AN EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN
2005. But, the El Nino is not like an
astrophysical cycle. There are some
“missing” El Nino’s in the record of the 20th century and we may
have a missing one. HOWEVER, WE CAN’T
BE CERTAIN UNTIL ABOUT APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in
which the syndrome has formed up during previous El Nino’s. ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance
with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s
Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods
seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as
April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early
Spring 2005. |
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KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC, ANTARCTIC, and
the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories
of the climate shift. |
GLOBAL WARMING It is becoming obvious that we have a long term
real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the
latitudes. This climate shift is creating a growing environmental
disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the
Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004 More or less, the Pacific Southwest will probably begin to face
the bitter but essential facts of life on a “Global Warming Earth”. More probable than not, global warming is
inducing this current drought condition, which is about the worst drought in
at least 400 years (which is estimated from the general life of the “old
growth’ Ponderosa Pine which the drought continues to kill). As the water tables continue to
drop and especially as the Colorado River reservoirs continue to dry up,
engineers and technical people are already discussing the huge impact a
‘water freeze” will have on the economics of the southwest. It will mean no more permits for
construction, for one thing, in the Sonoran desert, or in the Mojave, More probable than not, the
economics and politics of the Pacific Southwest will transition during 2005
into the new politics and economics of extreme water scarcity. But, an El Nino next year, which
is still very much a possibility, would most likely delay the transition for
about 18 months. When this transition begins, it
will form up a terrible political war between the owners of the last
significant unused aquifers of North America (the Hopi, Navaho, and Apache)
and the crazy white man world of plutocratic real estate development
corporations which dominate the political order in AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED ABOUT THE LIKELY IMPACT OF GLOBAL WARMING ON HURRICANES– For others comments on Global Warming, Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25, 2004 For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how
to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and
tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004 |
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IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR STAND PAT
THIS WEEK ON LAST WEEK’S COMMENTS The mental and emotional reaction bubbles have indeed
formed up and have most likely already crystallized. In the Not much more shift is possible. But this has no relevance to the polls. Most of the polls
are BAAAAD. The pollsters do not
understand how the sand is shifting beneath the establishment’s feet. Accordingly, they do not ask the right
questions of the right kind of folks and thus do not get an accurate
picture. It is that simple. There is a significantly large momentum of new voter
registrations and likely voting. The
numbers of people attempting to vote (and being denied the ballot) will break
all records. NONE OF THE POLLS MEASURE
THIS DYNAMIC. As well, the Army will
be voting absentee in record numbers and all indications show that these will
be largely Kerry votes. If you will
recall, it was the absentee The voting this Fall will likely be record-breaking. Such voting has always previously favored
Democrats and third parties. THIS IS BECOMING MORE AND MORE CLEAR AND THIS CLARITY
WILL PRODUCE INTENSE STRESS AND INSTABILITY IN AMERICAN POLITICS. REPUBLICANS WILL BECOME MORE AND MORE
DESPERATE AND DARING IN THEIR VISCIOUS SORCERIES. MEANWHILE A GREAT MANY OF THE ELECTORATE IS
WIDELY EXPECTING MAJOR ELECTION IRREGULARITIES. THERE WILL BE A VERY HIGH TENDENCY TO SEE
“FRAUD” EVERYWHERE, EVEN IN THE This is likely to grow larger in volume unless
the Democrats win with a decisive edge which cannot be cheated away. Can you
imagine the elections tied up in the courts with everybody suing everybody
while millions of people hit the streets?
Maybe that’s what the Americans need to come to the truth. This could of course make the election
results as inscrutable as the last round, and for even longer. In the If this continues, the multiplication of the killing
fields will become exponential. The
reaction is no longer emotional, the reaction is hardcore mental, a final,
decisive generational shift of attitude of the Arab and Muslim world against AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: After October 5, conditions should settle out and
crystallize slowly through October and November and December. There are no planetary alignments until
December 30. Whatever crystallizes out
during October is likely to remain a constant until the alignments of January
5, 2005. Given world conditions, the
crystallization between humans is likely to be highly polarized and highly
charged with emotional energy. WATCH THIS, IS THIS TRUE?:
It is likely then, that whatever “surprises” and sudden changes may be
coming our way are likely to right around the first week in October 2004 and
the events of that period will tend to dominate the remainder of the year. |
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EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and
potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of
danger. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake
activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above. Unfortunately there are many
lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of
quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate. Real
time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON
INCOMPLETE INFORMATION. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS,
Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication
than I do. See Syzygy.com WE ARE NOW
IN THE SYZYGY FOR THE NEW MOON AND WE ARE FAST APPROACHING A PERIGEE ON
OCTOBER 18. EXPECT HEIGHTENED SEISMIC
ACTIVITY DURING THE NEXT SIX DAYS During the previous seven days, Seismic activity has been
low in frequency, as is typical for a non-syzygy period, but not in
magnitude. Three 6.0 plus quakes stuck, a 6.9 in The greater portion of the world’s seismic energy above
3.0, was expressed in the South Pacific and West Pacific region through to COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR AS PREVIOUSLY
OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a
major destructive quake could now strike at any time in SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH No reports to add this week SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of
the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the
Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy
vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around
the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which
list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the
quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.) For
additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the
Earth, go to Plate
Tectonics Map At least four shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great
Rift, one hitting the North Greenland Sea,
two striking along the Antarctica/Pacific Ridge and one in the South
Mid-Atlantic. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity
which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables
which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of
the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in
magnitude.
Any numbers used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may
not reflect what will eventually appear in scientific databases. Seismic activity in North America overall for quakes in
the range of 1.0 and over was generally down this last week for the past
seven days. For the third week running, except for the sudden
awakening of St. Helens, the greatest activity was tightly clustered near
Paso Robles and Parkfield in Central Coastal California along the As we have observed for most of the past month, another
tight cluster of microquakes struck due East of Mono Lake nearly dead on the Even thought the quantity was down, there were several
quakes in the area above 3.0. Since NOTE: Most volcano monitoring sites appear to be screening
out microquakes. A study needs to be done to establish how to reconcile
various lists and databases because of this practice. The numbers below cannot be considered to
be definitive totals and subtotals. We
use them merely to observe relative fluctuations from week to week. US & ALASKA & down from over 1000 the prior week BIG ISLAND down from 7 during the prior week - these do not include
the microquakes swarming below down from 973 last week, widely scattered in PASO ROBLES PARKFIELD AREA --- 208 down from the 600 of the previous week down from 16 last week. EAST OF up substantially from the 48 quakes for the prior week PNW --- 110 About 9 were widely scattered throughout the PNW, mainly
along the Cascades, the balance were at St. Helens, generally reflecting
quakes above 1.0 and not at all including thousands of microswarm quakes. COAST OF HOOD --- SAINT HELENS (not including microswarms) --- 101 down from 43 last week. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude. For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE. Activity this past seven days remained low at just 17
widely scattered microquakes in WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES |
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VOLCANOES Around the world with the most interesting and
relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage
of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre. Or
see “Breaking Volcano
Eruption News”. OBSERVABLE
WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY IS NOW ABOUT
THE SAME AS OF THIS WEEK. ABOUT 10
QUAKES ARE IN A SIMILAR STATE OF SLOW ERUPTION BEHAVIORS, MOSTLY EMITTING
STEAM, GAS, SOME ASH. Etna,
Kilauea, and Colima are the main lava producers yesterday and today, and Colima may
be the closest “model” for how AS STATED LAST WEEK: The focus on PREDICTION: The press will quickly tire of (a) the
next New Moon – Perigee syzygy Mid-October, or (b) the
New Moon Perigee syzygy of November or December. Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of October
Day 14 2004: 6 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment)
(same as last week) 48 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may
begin) (same as last week) 23 on active list (seismic, gas, steam, lava, ash, or
explosive activity) (same as last week) Popo gave a 15 puff day yesterday. Centrapred reports for October Day 14 (17:00 GMT) that “In the last 24
hours the monitoring system of Popocatepetl volcano recorded only 15 low
intensity exhalations accompanied by steam and gas emissions. The other
monitored parameters remain without important changes. At the moment of this
report we can not see the volcano, however, this morning we could see the
volcano with low fumarolic activity...In an aerial photograph taken on July
8th by SCT, subsidence is observed in the inner crater; an external lava dome
at the bottom of the crater cannot be distinguished...Due to the low levels
of activity shown in the past days, the scenarios consisting of explosions
and ash emision are less probable." MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK from Volcano Breaking News by
Volcanologist John Seach Volcano Travel:
john@volcanolive.com Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian
Time (UT + 10 hr) Mt St Helens
Volcano (USA) Colima Volcano
(Mexico) |
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Standing Assessment: Likely, it is
fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to
the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to
mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical,
moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. |
STAY TUNED. We are just on the
front edge of “the outing”…. What is truly bazaar about mass opinion at this current
time in the |
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ECONOMY WATCH NO CHANGE THIS WEEK The Many of the authorized expenditures of the Bush War
Machine for the Iraqi Expedition have yet to be spent. Money which should have been spent in the
range of tens of billions has yet to be spent. NOW WITH THE INCREASING LOSS OF CONTROL IN
IRAQ, the U.S. Military and occupation commands are going to have to suddenly
shift operations and enormous sums are likely to be spent in the beginning of
an expansion of military operations.
This is likely to produce some stimulation of the economy during the
months ahead. BUT EVEN MORE SIGNIFICANT:
The Quadruple Whammy of Charles, Francis, Ivan, and Jeanne has caused
ENORMOUS DAMAGE. The damage is bad
news, of course, for those who lost.
But it is good news for those who build things. There is going to be
more demand for new construction in the Southeastern portion of the U.S.,
something in the range of $30 billion, all financed by Insurance Claims and
Government Assurance Programs. This will provide a substantial stimulation of the The demand for construction and repair will be so great
that a great many people will have to wait a year or more to rebuild. People and companies all over the Ironically, the tax give away to the wealthy did not work
very well to expand jobs, but the Hurricanes will… All this of course does little to save the economy from
the 25 year depression cycle. It just
gives the current cycle a little more life.
Accordingly, the final decline will come a bit more precipitously when
it comes. It may not come until 2006. FOR THE LASTEST DETAILED DISCUSSION See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004 FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION FOR
THIS YEAR, See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004 GENERAL PREDICTION DJI
AVERAGES Wuff The DJI finished October Day 14
at 9,894.45, down about $440 from last Wednesday at 10,239.92. Is this the top of the bubble? WATCH THIS VERY CAREFULLY – SO FAR OIL IS STILL RISING
RATHER THAN FALLING – WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR DRIVING
OIL UP IN PRICE AND ACCELERATING THE DECLINE IN THE DOLLAR. WHAT SHOULD HAPPEN:
Eventually oil prices should drop and allow the bubble to inflate some
more. The market will get over its
“interest rate increase” adjustment in a couple of weeks or less. So these things will firm up the bubble. EXCEPT THAT THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION IS SO INCOMPETENT THAT
NO INTERNATIONAL ACTOR KNOWS HOW TO BE RATIONAL AND MAKE REAL DECISIONS. EVERYTHING IS HEDGED AND HIDDEN. All news on the war fronts is terrible. SO THIS MAY BE IT. EVERYTHING MAY JUST ONLY GET CRAZIER FROM
HERE. AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:
Don’t wait for Christmas Retail Sales…they will be disappointing,
depress the stock values, and lead into the final economic collapse.
When the DJI is above 10,000, liquidate anything you have in all such
equities anywhere. The DJI MAY HIT 10,500 AGAIN but DON’T COUNT ON
IT. And if it does, it will be only a signal spike which will break the
market for many months, if not many years. FOR THE LAST CURRENT DETAILED DISCUSSIONS SEE: See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004 The dollar closed today at 0.8065 down from 0.8138 per
euro a week ago. “As oil goes up, the dollar will tend also to go
down against the Euro.” OIL IS SHARPLY UP TODAY TO $55. The dollar is bound to
lose some additional Euro value during the next week. REVISION OF PREDICTION ONCE AGAIN: “The overall erosion is likely to slowly
continue through the year. It may
bottom at $0.70 per euro by the end of 2004.”
The international inflation of the dollar, which is being forced by
international dynamics, is being made by revaluing the dollar against the
barrel of oil and other basic major commodities. At the moment, and so far this year, there
is very little relative movement vis a vis the Euro. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: Major efforts are being made right
now to reduce the price of oil below $40/barrel. Production is being expanded
everywhere it can be. So far, the Saudi’s have not been very successful. The price of oil is high because supply is
constrained by weather, politics, the Tragedy in MUST READ: “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”,
which lays out the dynamics of what is happening |
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SURVIVAL WATCH For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin
Update as of July
7, 2004 Any aspect of the construction and home
products industry is hot. |
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SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME). But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted. Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year. ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES: The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services. This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah. I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM. |
POLITICAL WATCH For general overview on the Tragedy in THE WORLD AWAITS THE DEPARTURE
OF THE BUSH REGIME. For general background: see Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July
7 2004 For latest discussions on the
debates, see the Update as of October
6 2004 It is doubtful that Bush can
re-coop from the debates. The debates
allowed for side by side comparison between two men, one who thinks on his
feet and renders spontaneous action and one who sloganeers with canned quips
but who cannot meaningfully connect real thoughts together, except at the
most personal level of life. The
comparison destroyed the illusion of Bush as a leader even as it elevated him
as a Sunday School Bible teacher. With
each of the next two debates, more likely than not Kerry will continue to
gain ground from the mutual exposure. Thankfully, Rove does not get
it. He obviously believes he can spin
more sorcery but I think time has finally caught up with them and that the
more he does fabricate his mantras for deceit, the more he will expose his
game. It is true that you can lie to some people all the time. Rove has
proven this more remarkably than anyone since the Nazi’s. But for most
people, you can’t lie to them all the time, and Rove is now working on
proving this venerable truth, much to his coming surprise. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: It is highly likely that the most decisive
ammunition against the Imperial Faction is yet to be lobbed….The sense of
moral outrage is still building……people are waiting for the right timing……I
have this feeling that fireworks will emerge in October. Bremer. One of the main Generals
of the new Imperialism of Upper Class Freedom Uber Alles. He’s ratting on the Imperial Faction. Not
enough troops, he says, the looting created a terrible set-back from which we
never recovered, we did it wrong, he admits
Who would have guessed? The CIA’s final report this
week: Saddam Hussein was the only
political leader telling the truth….there have been no WMD since 1991 and no
programs since 1996. WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IS
ANYONE’S GUESS. American politics has never been so unpredictable. Doubtless
the Bush Administration and virtually the entire Imperial Faction is or will
be caught up in legal issues and press controversies which will pile higher
and higher. To counter the attacks and
legal moves against them, the Bush-iters will use every sorcery they can
contrive to conceal everything which is not nailed down in plain site in
front of the New York Times. They will
even chip away at that late at night.
They will use Saddam Hussein in every way possible to rationalize
their existence, deeds, and legitimacy to be re-elected. Every lie and form of bigotry they have
ever used will be retread to denigrate Kerry, Edwards, Nader, and every other
candidate for lower office. The
meltdown of BUT PERHAPS THIS IS
JUST AN ANNEALING PROCESS, THE TIME OF THE EXPOSIING AND BURNING AWAY OF THE
CRAP. PERHAPS WE ARE NOW FINALLY
FIGHTING IN ONE OF THE LAST CHAPTERS IN THE STRUGGLE FOR THE SOUL OF The only question now
is, will enough wake by November 2, or will it take another four years of
economic, social, and political devastation in the Many who will the
change are now pessimistic. Despite a year of exposing the grave crimes of
the Imperial Faction and the incompetence of their President, a near majority
of Americans refuse to believe that conditions have become so corrupt. They insist on drawing their blinders more
tightly around their favorite illusions. For a time yet, the
truth may remain an orphan in the street. BUT EVEN SO, NOW, IN THE OCTOBER AIR, CONDITIONS SEEM MORE
OPTIMISTIC FOR AN AMERICAN REGIME CHANGE. |
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A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and
with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven
so much of the past 50 years…. From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly
collapses. All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty! |
THE STRATEGIC SITUATION – Final Synopsis CONDITIONS IN ARE IN EXTREME CRISIS The entire world continues to witness the American impasse
in As reported in prior months: Since May 2004 it has been obvious that the
U.S. Military was adrift without a rudder AND MISSING ITS PADDLES whilst
attempting a turn-around far up the creek named Iraq. Today and in the following days, a discredited Army
engagement doctrine will pound away at a densely settled urban zone with
exceptional violence. The result will please no one and simple increase the
polarization of world dynamic forces into greater opposition. Bottom line: All the King’s Men got mugged by
a swindling crook named Chalabi, who sold the New World Order Emperor the
equivalent of the To claim this prize, the Mass
Broadcast Media began beating the war drums and the “Good German” Americans
goose-stepped to war. One thousand and
counting Americans and 30,000 Iraqis die in vain, and some 8000 soldiers got
maimed for life, and only God knows who many tens of thousands of people are
getting poisoned for life by the depleted uranium. As we listen carefully to the
Presidential campaign in the U.S. during the Fall of 2004, we can see that
neither Kerry nor Bush has anything BUT talking points…quite clearly the
American political system is bankrupt and drawing a blank on vision and
respect for the opinion of humankind. Vote for Bush, to stay the
course. Just remember, stubborn people
at the gambling hall craps table of history simply eventually loose it all,
big time. Or vote for the earnest but
ambiguously anti-war, idealistic Kerry.
God only knows what pig is in the poke of the Democrats. As things stand now, sometime in 2005, Americans will beat
a hasty retreat, under the pretext of some contrived imaginary political fig
leaf, and we will see the last helicopter evacuation from Iraq...finishing
the historical parallel of this Tragedy with the Tragedy of Vietnam. If so, it will be the beginning of the end of both the
American Century and the U.S. Constitution. A generation of upheaval and grievous
conflict will ensue before the Americans can repose themselves and their
society on a sounder basis. FOR THE
LASTEST SUMMARY BRIEFING ON THE SITUATION AND THE WAY OUT OF IT, GO TO “A
Letter To The Generals: Saving Iraq
and Saving The U.S.” FOR
A PDF VERSION, CLICK HERE. HERE IS
THE AN AUTHENTIC ISLAMIC MORAL AUTHORITY IS ARISING AND IS
BEGINNING TO FORGE A COALITION TO UNIFY THE ARRANGEMENTS WILL BE FORGED BY JANUARY. MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT, THE MULLAHS WILL
ARRANGE THE ELECTION OF A GOVERNMENT WHICH ASSERTS ITS SOVEREIGNTY AND ASKS
THE PASS THE
WORD: THIS IS HOW IT WILL END IN Michael Wells Mandeville, |
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COPYRIGHT 2004 BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE | QUEST
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