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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright November Day 10 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE | QUEST GROUP |
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of November 10
2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the
Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest
prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or
use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Nov_10_04.htm ALL DATES
AND TIMES USED IN THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN ARE NOW UTC = Universal Time
Constant, previously known as Greenwich Mean Time. The Bulletin is written in Arizona (UTC +8
hours) so any relative references, such as “Today”, or “Tomorrow”, or
“Yesterday” should generally to taken to refer to the day spans as
experienced in Western North America. ARAFAT IS DEAD FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR On the geophysical front, Jan Alvestad reports that 3 CME’s will arrive to buffet the Earth November 10-12. SEVERE MAGNETIC DISTURBANCES LIKELY TO
CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS with yesterday’s
Sunspot Count of 90 likely to climb higher during the next week. From above, a variety of CME’s, X-Class
Flares, coronal holes, raging solar winds, and sunspots. From below, large quakes, sudden
shape-shifting of the Earth, and quakes flurries of renewed seismic activity
in Tahoma while a 3.7 is recorded in the throat of On the geopolitical
front,
The truly bad news remains. The
Imperial Faction is already advertising its coming invasions, even though as
things stand it is obvious that the U.S. is losing the struggle in Iraq and
helicopter evacuations will probably end this tragedy near the summer of
2005. The latest debacle in Fallujah
only confirms what we already knew, that guerillas fade away from massed
infantry so that they can fight another day, and that the |
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hidden column on the right is available for links, banners, and icons
of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially
climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the
"big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and
even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information
which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and
appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global,
seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ |
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PREVIOUS UPDATES |
SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since May 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 3,
2004: On all economic fronts, hang tuff. The bubble will
hang in there for a little while longer even if it is currently sagging under
the high oil prices. Oil prices will
come down this Winter and the rebuilding boom in the SE section of the country
will keep the economy firm. Stocks
will go back up with the decline in oil prices and so will the value of the
dollar. All long term projection for the collapse in 2006 is still right on
target. The main proviso in all things is Al
Qaeda. The re-election of Bush will,
more probable than not, bring Osama Bin Laden to order another major round of
terrorist attacks against the |
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HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. ALL DATES AND TIMES USED IN THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN ARE
NOW UTC = Universal Time Constant, previously known as Greenwich Mean Time. |
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As stated in the “Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire
Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to
making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. UNDERTAKE A RESOLUTE FOCUS WALK AWAY
FROM THE COMING WARS AND THE LEADERS WHO ARE PUSHING US INTO THE WARS OR INTO
THEIR INDIRECT SUPPORT. UTTERLY
REFUSE THEM IN EVERY WAY THAT YOU CAN. A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts and
minds of a great mass of humanity, REGRETFULLY, A LARGE PROPORTION OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE
STILL SOUND ASLEEP UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UGLY EMOTIONS AND A THOUSAND
NIGHTMARES OF SELF-DOUBT AND ACUTE DENIAL OF SELF-WORTH. IT APPEARS THAT AT LEAST A THIRD OF THE
POPULATION IS BARELY ABOVE AN EMOTIONAL AGE-LEVEL OF 8 AND CAN OFFER LITTLE
MORE THAN SERVING AS FASCIST FODDER. Accordingly, But even as they initiate to undertake a great
militarization of North America for an ambitious expansion of empire-building
over the Arab oil producing states, a consciousness is gathering greater
focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism and
militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse
towards peaceful solutions. The gathering
movement did not wax strong enough to end the Bush Presidency, but
perhaps the movement will never function successfully with the corrupted,
archaic forms of the old Perhaps the movement has a greater destiny. Look for it. Greet it.
Nourish it with love. BREATH
FREE. Let go of everything which is
disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced,
contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the
rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.
The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new
relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and
straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown,
embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater
understanding and relationship with the all. EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN
PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
SO. In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great
energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was
upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will
have greater meaning by the end of the year. Don’t react, go to center, get clear, release, and
grieve…the Fourth Age is dying rapidly now… much more rapidly than we
thought, its institutions and identities are beyond saving… let it go, let
go, get to center…flow into God, let God flow into you…don’t speculate, don’t
analyze, don’t react to the shtuff…clear…clean out the past four years…we are
now free to grieve the death of everything we detested…let it go…let it
go…let it die. As you re-center in
God, find the realization that this is the final moment you have been waiting
for to end your connections and involvements with the illusions and delusions
of all that which has betrayed the divine within each and brought greed, war,
and destruction over the Earth. The destroyers belong to each other, this is now the final
time of their fatal embrace. Let them
love their wars…they have greatly desired the bitter wines of their hatreds
and violence, they have lusted greatly for their Armageddon, and they shall
have it. The die has been cast with a thousand artifices and
illusions. With the excellence of its
manner of casting, God has delivered
to you your own freedom from the delusions and spells of the Mass Sorcerers,
indeed, from the entire age, if you will but realize it. Clear yourself and your life to find now
the sense of movement and direction to separate your life from the dying
culture which is putrefying all around you. There is no saving it…as
Buckminster Fuller observed many decades ago, the old order is never saved,
the new order merely grows up around it to eventually takes its place. So it will come to pass now in an intense
period of vast change during the next twenty years. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these
ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us
that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities of
the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. No major change as of November Day 10, 2004: North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly
normally with one slight anomaly beginning to appear during the past 14 days.
For the most part, spiral wobble track is currently
tightening up rapidly as it heads into its minima phase which will begin in
2006. HOWEVER,
THE X WAVE MAX, which we are in for the current 14 month spiral track, is
showing some pancaking (see the xplot links below). Rather than a smooth bell-shaped curve, the
X plot is currently plateauing. The
Earth is showing some hesitancy to continue the spiraling wobble and is favoring
slightly a motion at a vector which is keeping the Atlantic Hemisphere
pushing towards the North. THIS WATCH
HAS BEEN SET TO LOOK EXACTLY FOR THIS TYPE OF DEPARTURE OF THE EARTH FROM ITS
PREVIOUS SPIRALING WOBBLE TRACKS. Seeing
the slight tendency of the Atlantic Hemisphere to continue pushing to the
North CONFIRMS THE DEDUCTION FOR THE PROJECTED AVALANCHE OF THE CRUST WHICH
WAS CALCULATED IN THE “RETURN
OF THE PHOENIX”. In general, the Wobble Track is showing continued
tightening of the Chandler’s Wobble Spiral, as should be at this time in its
7 year Wobble Cycle, and the track seems to be conforming with a continued
acceleration in the rate of drift, but this can be by no means certain until
this 7 year cycle is over. In about
two years we will be able to locate the minimum spiral of motion and then
look for the average 7 year "location" of this past seven years for
comparison with previous cycles. http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. Currently, there is little of note. Despite many
claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis
of many different regions of the Earth. |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a collision
course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF 2004 Distance Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326
km F+7d 9h New 14-Oct 2:48 Perigee 18-Oct 0:04 367757
km N+3d21h Full 28-Oct 3:08 Apogee 2-Nov 18:10 404998
km F+5d15h New
12-Nov 14:27 Perigee 14-Nov 13:55 362312 km N+1d23h Full 26-Nov 20:08 Apogee 30-Nov 11:26 405951
km F+3d15h Perigee 12-Dec 21:31 357985
km N+ 20h New 12-Dec 1:29 Full 26-Dec 15:07 Apogee 27-Dec 19:16 406487
km F+1d 4h For 2005, see the August
25 EC Update 378,000 km 27 days 4% TODAY’S MOON We are in Lunation #1012 for a few more hours (as of
November 10 20:00 UTC) and we are now 27 days past the New Moon of October 14 at 02:47 UTC. As of November Day 10, the Moon this day is now slightly
into its South Node (orbiting South of the Equator). It is now approximately
378,000 KM from the Earth. It is 4% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase)
now waning rapidly into the New Moon of November 12 UTC. SEISMIC
SYZYGY WINDOWS QUALIFER:
As we have seen at least three times this past year, most dramatically
with the recent outbreak (Oct 23-26 2004) of large Earthquakes on the West
side of Honsho Island (Japan), the Syzygy Window and Perigee principles DO
NOT WORK CONSISTENTLY TO FORECAST AN INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE NOR FREQUENCY OF
EARTHQUAKES. Using strictly an
intuitive view of the past 12 months, the rate of accuracy is definitely
larger than random but probably not larger than about 70% for any given area. We are this day entering into a New Moon - Perigee Syzygy The Next Perigee is November 14, just 2 days past the New
Moon. This combined Syzygy should be
more potent than the ones we have gone through during the prior three
months.. The two strongest seismic syzygies remaining for 2004 will
be the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days) and
December 12 (Perigee within 20 hours). For describing the peak danger periods for the most
damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as November 10 – November 16 December
10 – December 15 – This syzygy should produce more seismic energy release
(earthquakes) than during most of the other syzygies of the preceding year. Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the
most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for
computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater
precision. For details see the Syzygy website
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the
planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page,
you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you
do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the
Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is
7, LIST OF
ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO DECEMBER 21, 2004 The outer planets are widely distributed and no new
alignments are forming up between them.
But many new alignments will be forming up during the next two months
mainly as a result of Mercury’s rapid rotation around the Sun, which enables
it to catching up and pass by the planets about every three months. Here are the next three: November 20 Mercury | Uranus December 3 Venus |
Jupiter December 10 Mercury
| Earth Given the
recent large build up of Sunspots during the An alignment of Venus | Jupiter on December 3 should prove
productive of a new round of solar flares and sunspots beginning during the
last week of November This activity
will introduce an even greater flare-up during the first week in December for
the Mercury | Earth alignment on December 10 PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR LATE DECEMBER 2004 – JUNE 2005 For late December through to June 2005, four particular periods stand out for their
potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge
ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather. The Aphelion At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY
STORMY WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June
7, 2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NASA'S
DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU.
None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time.” On 10 November 2004 there were 639 known Potentially Hazardous Asteroids.
For November
2004, NASA has not listed any Earth-asteroid encounters.
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The Sunspot Count more or less has plateaued at a high level
since the count of 110 on November 2.
Today the count was at 90 AND IT IS LIKELY GOING UP VERY SOON. Similarly, the Solar Flux Index has plateaued at very near
its high of 135 on November 2. It rose
to 141 but sank slowly to 124 two days ago.
It rose again November 9 to 127. Date Flux
Sunspots Area 2004 11 03 136
123 1240 2004 11 04 136
135 1300 2004 11 05 141
83 1400 2004 11 06 129
106 1370 2004 11 07 130
94 980 2004 11 08 124
93 870 2004 11 09 127 90
980 FORECAST: Both the Flux and the
Sunspot Count are likely to push higher to peak about November 15-18, just
prior to the Mercury | Uranus Alignment on November 20. The current volatility of the sun is likely to continue,
even at higher levels, possibly for as much as another week. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23 Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004
was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s count was
radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was
SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an
average count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of
51. August’s count dropped the average
to 40, which returns us to the point on the general curve which we reached
during April 2004. The law of averages finally caught with the Sun during
September. For the first time all year,
sunspot activity fell below the 32.8 predicted average monthly count and was
only 27.7 October became a major
anomaly. The “smoothed” average count for
October was predicted to be 32.5 but at 48.4 it was dramatically higher, 21 points above
September’s average. IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY NOW
THAT THIS ANOMALY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOVEMBER. THE CURRENT HIGH SUNSPOT
COUNTS HAVE PROVIDED A LONG, HIGH, RELATIVELY WIDE PEAK ON THE NUMBERS WHICH Once
again we are reminded that the Sun and its cycles are really not very
“average” and not very “cyclical” or “regular”. Nowhere can we find any evidence of an
exact regularity, only constant variations.
The Sun is and probably always has been a vast cauldron of chaotic
storms, electro-magnetic upwellings, and enormous explosions and sudden
flares (or CME’s) which can extend out as far as even the outer planets,
producing somewhat chaotic impacts on the planets. All
this makes exact predictions of solar activity far beyond the pale of human
science, even with first class models of the electromagnetic gradients
created by the planets and their orbital relationships. From this it is easy to infer with
considerable experience and conviction, that nothing on Earth can be
foreseen, EXACTLY. Just as some order
is inevitable, so is some chaos built directly into the cosmos. But
even so the average count should drop during the next 12 months to a monthly
low in the range of 10. More and more,
now and for the next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s
atmosphere and weather less and less.
Global Warming and El Nino type of phenomena will be more and more
influential compared to the solar input.
The geo-data we gather during the next three years about weather,
climate, the Arctic, Antarctic, Drought Regions, etc. will be extremely
valuable in telling us what the true long-term geo-trends really are. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Solar Wind was strong at: 604.0 km/s this hour while
pushing a thick density of 7.3 protons/cm3”. Along with the high sunspot
count this past several days, solar storm activity has been VERY HIGH with M
and X Class Flares AND A HUGE MAGNETIC STORM WHICH PEGGED ALL REGULAR CHARTS
ON NOVEMBER 8-9. The
magnetic storm was measured by the Planetary A Index at 120 a high peak on
November 9. This reading is about ten
times its normal reading. Solar activity is likely to
remain high for several days. Fluxgate
Magnetometer: The Fluxgate
Chart at the NASA REPORTS “MORE EXPLOSIONS: Sunspot 696 has produced two more big
explosions: an M8-flare at 1715 UT on Nov. 9th and an X2-flare at 0300 UT on
Nov. 10th. Each of these blasts hurled lopsided coronal mass ejections into
space: #1, #2. Forecasters expect the clouds to deliver glancing blows to
Earth's magnetic field during the next 36 hours…NASA reported today that these
intense magnetic disturbances induced spectacular auroras.” The “red” auroras could be seen as far
South as NASA PREDICTS AURORA WATCH AS
OF NOVEMBER DAY 10: “An intense geomagnetic storm,
which began on Nov. 9th when a coronal mass ejection hit Earth's magnetic
field, is now subsiding. Did you miss the auroras? You might get a second
chance tonight or tomorrow if, as expected, another CME arrives.” The
overly conservative NASA reported a 20% probability of X-Class Flares, a 75%
probability of M-Class Flares, and a 30%-40% probability of geomagnetic
disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere over the high latitudes (higher the
latitude higher the probability). Jan
Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was at minor to very severe storm levels
on November 9. Solar wind speed ranged between 505 and 961 km/sec. Two solar
wind shocks were observed during the day at Jan
Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be active to very severe
storm on November 10-12 due to the arrival of 3 CMEs.” Alvestad also predicts for the next 24
hours a 60%-100% probability of coronal holes, a 60%-100% probability of
CME’s, and a 60%-100% probability of M
and/or X Class Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. For the U.S. West Coast and now the Rocky Mountains
Plateau, we are definitely in early Winter onset, extremely wet generally
with lots of snow in the Mountains. The large, fat peak in the Sunspot Count this past week is
going to drive in a lot of additional weather of this type. Expect major, highly energetic, larger than
normal storm fronts to continue to
sweep in across the Pacific Northwest and down all the way into the Pacific
Southwest to slide across the mountains as they usually do into the Great
Plains and This syndrome will abate for a little during the next few
days but then another major sunspot peak will drive another exceptionally wet
and energetic storm front onto Same for EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. Variable, perhaps a bit of rain and snow, but generally clearing
for a few days. Then perhaps another
minor storm front with a few days lull preceding the really big one for the
last week in November. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR FALL SEASON
(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. Several major storms of long duration for the remainder of
the year. Next major storm fronts
should appear about November 20. TWILL BE A
WHITE THANKSGIVING IN MANY HIGHER PARTS OF THE WESTERN U.S. Quite wet in
lower elevations, from KEEP
WATCHING FOR THIS PATTERN: Global Warming
could easily intensify the seasons, making a short bitterly cold Winter,
longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and shorter but very hot
and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at work in the Northern
Hemisphere? SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This “sloppycast” is based on six years of
living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary alignments,
and visual data shown on satellite and radar. WE HAD RAIN – 2 inches in Continued highly variable, highly unpredictable for the
next 21 days but rain in the Sonoran Desert Plain is likely during the last
week in November. Rain possible off
and on during much of November, though this goes against the grain of the
“average” “normal” climate pattern. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:
For a large part of the elevations below 4000 feet in the
Southwest, the general drought in the For higher elevations, 5000 feet
and above, much rain and snow has already come in many areas, much more on
the way. More and more, it is looking like the Winter
of 2005 may bring in an El Nino during the first half of the year. At this point, everyone in the Southwest
should begin to pray in earnest for a HUGE El Nino effect. During the
last El Nino, the Southwest received substantial water. |
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EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif EL NINO COMING FOR 2005??? OCEAN
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG THE PACIFIC EQUATOR ARE NOW TRENDING RAPIDLY INTO
THE CLASSIC EL NINO CONDITION. A LARGE
EXPANSE OF THE PACIFIC EQUATOR IS NOW WARMER THAN NORMAL AND TWO NODES OF
CONSIDERABLY HOTTER THAN Could be
El Nino. It definitely smells like
one. Now we need to see if it walks
like one during the next couple of weeks. AS REPORTED
PREVIOUSLY – THE CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know
whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005.
Purely in accordance with the
X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model, AN
EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN 2005.
But, the El Nino is not like an astrophysical cycle. There are some “missing” El Nino’s in the
record of the 20th century and we may have a missing one. HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN UNTIL ABOUT
APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in which the syndrome has
formed up during previous El Nino’s. ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance
with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s
Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods
seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as
April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early
Spring 2005. |
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KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC, ANTARCTIC, and
the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories
of the climate shift. |
GLOBAL WARMING It is becoming obvious that we have a long term
real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the
latitudes. This climate shift is creating a growing environmental
disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the
Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004 NO CHANGE THIS WEEK More or less, the Pacific Southwest will probably begin to face
the bitter but essential facts of life on a “Global Warming Earth”. More probable than not, global warming is
inducing this current drought condition, which is about the worst drought in
at least 400 years (which is estimated from the general life of the “old
growth’ Ponderosa Pine which the drought continues to kill). As the water tables continue to
drop and especially as the Colorado River reservoirs continue to dry up,
engineers and technical people are already discussing the huge impact a
‘water freeze” will have on the economics of the southwest. It will mean no more permits for
construction, for one thing, in the Sonoran desert, or in the Mojave, More probable than not, the
economics and politics of the Pacific Southwest will transition during 2005
into the new politics and economics of extreme water scarcity. But, an El Nino next year, which
is still very much a possibility, would most likely delay the transition for
about 18 months. When this transition begins, it
will form up a terrible political war between the owners of the last
significant unused aquifers of North America (the Hopi, Navaho, and Apache)
and the crazy white man world of plutocratic real estate development
corporations which dominate the political order in AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED ABOUT THE LIKELY IMPACT OF GLOBAL
WARMING ON HURRICANES– For others comments on Global Warming, Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25, 2004 For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how
to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and
tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004 |
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IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR STIRRING THE POT WITH VOTESCAM 2004? ANOTHER PERIOD OF CHAOS AND BLIND EMOTIONALISM IS ENVELOPING
US RAPIDLY. EVEN THE EVER-DRY NADER HAS JOINED THE FRY WITH A HUGE FIRE IN
HIS BELLY AND HE IS NOW RIDING THE CIRCUITS LIKE THE HALLOWEEN HEADLESS
HORSEMAN HELL-BENT TO OVERTURN THE ELECTIONS WITH CHARGES OF VOTER FRAUD. INTERESTING IS IT NOT THAT MERCURY, THE GOD’S MESSENGER IS
COMING INTO AN ALIGNMENT ON NOVEMBER 20 WITH THE PLANET WHICH IS SAID TO
SYMBOLIZE MASS CHANGE – URANUS. Watch
that correlation and see if it makes any sense to you. Will Ralph Nader single-handedly (with thousands of
activist supporters) do for the Democratic Party what its leadership, AS
EVER, is too timid to do. Reaction upon reaction upon reaction. So much of it in Count on very little stability, let things go, let things
melt, let things find their own way.
They will anyway…and traveling with the flow is always a lot easier. But I don’t mean float into oblivion…keep focusing on
where you really need to be, what you really ought to be doing proactively…And
in the meanwhile, DON’T IGNORE THE VOTESCAM ISSUES AND DATA. I HAVE THIS FEELING THAT IT IS VERY VERY
IMPORTANT. |
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EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and
potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of
danger. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake
activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above. Unfortunately there are many
lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of
quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.
Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON
INCOMPLETE INFORMATION. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS,
Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication
than I do. See
Syzygy.com This Seismic Syzygy already looks to be far busier than
the last one. A 6.9 quake during the last 24 hours, which struck in the
ocean bottom along the Northern edge of the Australian Tectonic Plate near
the South Pacific Sea Solomon Islands, announced the advent of our entry
today into the New Moon – Perigee Syzygy Window which will last through to
November 16. So far seismic activity remains depressed in most of the
world but shapeshifting activity was up to at least five quakes with stronger
intensity than during the preceding week.
For the past seven days, most of the world’s seismic energy above 3.0,
was expressed along the Western edge of the Pacific Ocean Tectonic Plate and
along the edge of the Australian Tectonic Plate. Some 24 quakes struck from the Most other seismic activity was fairly widely distributed,
though some activity continued in Shapeshifting produced another five mild quakes in the
Great Rift of the Earth, mostly focused in the Atlantic Hemisphere. Of particular interest for our volcano watch, both COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR AS PREVIOUSLY
OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a
major destructive quake could now strike at any time in SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH No reports to add this week SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of
the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the
Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy
vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around
the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list
quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes
which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.) For additional
information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the Earth, go
to Plate
Tectonics Map Five shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great Rift, ranging
in size from 4.5 to 5.8, one in the Northern Mid Atlantic Ridge, two in the Magnitude 4.8 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE Thursday, November 04, 2004 at 19:30:20 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_qkbn.html Location 52.30N
31.47W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region NORTHERN
MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE Reference 1290 km
(800 miles) SE of Qaqortoq (Julianehab), 1425 km (890 miles) SSW of 1770 km (1100 miles) SE of NUUK ( Magnitude 4.4 Thursday, November 04, 2004 at 19:06:49 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_qkbp.html Location 55.25S
28.48W Depth 94.2
kilometers Region Reference 180 km
(115 miles) NNW of Visokoi Island, 435 km (270 miles) NNW of 525 km (330 miles) ESE of Grytviken, South Georgia 3270 km (2030 miles) SE of Location Quality Error
estimate: horizontal +/- 29.8 km; depth +/- 64.6 km Magnitude 5.8 Sunday, November 07, 2004 at 02:41:41 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_qnbu.html Location 55.52S
29.10W Depth 39.8
kilometers Region Reference 175 km
(110 miles) NW of Visokoi Island, 420 km (260 miles) NNW of 495 km (305 miles) ESE of Grytviken, South Georgia 3255 km (2020 miles) SE of Magnitude 4.5 SOUTHEAST OF Thursday, November 04, 2004 at 23:37:08 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_qkbk.html Location 35.75S
104.37W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region SOUTHEAST
OF Reference 1065 km
(660 miles) SSE of Hanga Roa, 3090 km (1920 miles) WSW of Magnitude 4.8 Saturday, November 06, 2004 at 15:28:48 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_qmdi.html Location 41.33S
85.65W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region Reference 990 km
(620 miles) W of 1050 km (650 miles) SSW of 1065 km (660 miles) WSW of 1590 km (980 miles) SW of Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity
which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables
which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of
the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in
magnitude.
Any numbers
used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect
what will eventually appear in scientific databases. Seismic activity in North America overall for quakes in
the range of 1.0 and over was generally down this last week in most areas yet
the total for the past seven days was up slightly, mainly due to increased
activity in Alaska. For the sixth week running, except for the sudden
awakening of St. Helens, the greatest activity was tightly clustered near
Paso Robles and Parkfield in Central Coastal California along the The microquake swarm in the area East of Mono Lake (nearly
on the NOTE: Most volcano monitoring sites appear to
be screening out microquakes. A study needs to be done to establish how to
reconcile various lists and databases because of this practice. The numbers below cannot be considered to
be definitive totals and subtotals. We
use them merely to observe relative fluctuations from week to week. US & ALASKA & up from 567 the prior week BIG ISLAND down from 11 during the prior week - these do not include
the microquakes under down from 424 last week, widely scattered in PASO ROBLES PARKFIELD AREA --- 97 down from 104 the previous week LONG VALLEY & EAST OF about half and half in each area, down from last week. PNW --- 44 up from 37 last week, widely scattered throughout the PNW,
apparently the USGS in the PNW is now screening out all KNOWN volcano related
quakes from the main quake database. BUT AT LEAST TWO MINOR QUAKES WERE LOCATED ON ST. HELENS
AND A 3.2 WAS LOCATED ON THE THROAT OF TAHOMA ( COAST OF HOOD --- unknown SAINT HELENS (not including microswarms) --- at least two down from 12 last week. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude. For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE. up from 12 last week; widely scattered WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES Magnitude 6.9 - 2004 November 9 23:58:26 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2004/usqqcg/ Location 11.101°S,
163.664°E Depth 26.2
km (16.3 miles) set by location program Region SOLOMON
Distances 200 km (125 miles) ESE of Kira Kira, 240 km (150 miles) W of Lata, 445 km (275 miles) ESE of 2130 km (1320 miles) NNE of Magnitude 3.7 ISLAND OF Monday, November 08, 2004 at 21:04:22 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_qpbf.html Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones Location 19.31N
155.76W Depth 10.7
kilometers Region ISLAND
OF Reference 50 km
(30 miles) SSE of 85 km (50 miles) WSW of Hilo, Hawai`i, 160 km (100 miles) S of Hana, 310 km (195 miles) SE of TAHOMA Magnitude 3.2 MOUNT RAINIER AREA, Sunday, November 07, 2004 at 19:23:59 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_qnbv.htmlU.S.
Geological Survey, Location 46.84N
121.76W Depth 1.6
kilometers Region MOUNT
RAINIER AREA, Reference 25 km
(15 miles) NNW of 45 km (25 miles) SSE of 90 km (55 miles) ESE of 95 km (60 miles) SSE of Seattle, Location Quality Error
estimate not available, held by USGS NEIC to another agency's solution Magnitude 6.2 SEA OF Sunday, November 07, 2004 at 02:02:25 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_qnab.html Location 47.94N
144.43E Depth 472.5
kilometers Region Reference 170 km
(105 miles) NE of 175 km (110 miles) SE of 1410 km (880 miles) NNE of 6660 km (4140 miles) NE of Magnitude 6.3 - 2004 November 8 15:55:01 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2004/usqpat/ Location 24.059°N,
122.548°E Depth 29
km (18.0 miles) set by location program Region Distances 95 km (60 miles) SE of 100 km (60 miles) E of 155 km (95 miles) SE of T'AI- 170 km (105 miles) WSW of Ishigaki-jima, |
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VOLCANOES Around the world with the most interesting and
relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage
of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre. Or
see “Breaking Volcano
Eruption News”. OBSERVABLE
WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY IS ABOUT THE
SAME AS LAST WEEK. HOWEVER,
THOSE VOLCANOES WHICH ARE ACTIVE ARE STILL QUITE ACTIVE AND DANGEROUS. Saint Helens is building a dome relatively rapidly and
steam emissions are increasing, Colima is still oozing lava, as is Kilauea
and Etna, while Grimsvotn on Volcano
Belinda One new eruption was reported for a volcano on the edge of
the Antarctic Tectonic Plate where it forms the South Sandwich Islands below As of
the 4th of November, the Global Volcanism Network (GVN) has reported that
according to NASA's Earth Observatory News website, the IKONOS satellite
acquired an image of Montagu Island (Mount Belinda) on 1 October that showed
a steaming vent, and dark basaltic tephra covering ice surfaces N of the lava
that erupted down the volcano's N flank. A steam plume drifted N, and light
coloured clouds surrounded the S side of the crater. The
South Sandwich Islands are situated approximately between the southern tip of
South America and mainland SAINT
HELENS VOLCANO UPDATES Text in this section is a condensation of direct
quotes from online source: CURRENT
UPDATE supplied by the U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University
of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington;
U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of Washington,
Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington November
10, 2004 08:30 am PST (16:30 UTC) Current
status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level 2); aviation color code Growth
of the new lava dome inside the crater of Although
considered less likely at this time, the current eruptive activity could
evolve into a more explosive phase that affects areas farther from the
volcano and sends significant ash thousands of feet above the crater where it
could be a hazard to aircraft and to downwind communities. Wind
forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
coupled with eruption models, show that ash clouds that rise high above the
crater rim today would drift northwestward. This
morning’s images on the VolcanoCam show that a steam plume is rising
passively and drifting southwestward out of the crater (distinct from the
high-altitude wind conditions mentioned previously). The plume occasionally
contains minor ash, which falls out in the crater and on the flank of the
volcano, darkening the snow. Seismicity
remains at a low level compared to that observed early in this unrest. The
current seismicity is consistent with a continuing, slow rise of magma
driving uplift of the crater floor and feeding a surface extrusion of lava.
The overall low rates of seismicity and gas emission suggest that the lava
reaching the surface is gas poor, thereby reducing the probability of highly
explosive eruptions in the near term. The
latest estimate of the volume of the uplifted area and new lava dome from
detailed analysis of aerial photographs taken on 4 November is about 20
million cubic meters (26 million cubic yards). This compares with volumes of
about 5 million cubic meters on 4 October and 12 million cubic meters on 13
October. The apparent decrease in rate of volume change (7 million cubic
meters in the earlier 9-day period versus 8 million cubic meters in the later
22-day period) doesn’t take into account millions of cubic meters of glacier
ice that have been removed from a large part of the area of uplift. Work is
underway to assess this effect. The 20-million-cubic-meter volume of the new
uplift and lava dome is now more than 25% of the volume of the lava dome that
grew in the crater between 1980 and 1986. Today’s
field work includes retrieval of GPS instruments from drive-to sites on the
south flank of the volcano. Flights for gas monitoring and crater
observations, including infrared imaging, are also planned but are weather
dependent. The current weather, high clouds, provides workable conditions. The
U.S. Geological Survey and the For
additional information, background, images, and other graphics:
http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html For seismic
information: http://www.pnsn.org/HELENS/welcome.html For a
definition of alert levels: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html Telephone
recordings with the latest update on OTHER CASCADE VOLCANOES
as of November Day 10 2004 “All other volcanoes in the FORECAST FOR SAINT
HELENS BY EC BULLETIN: Look to mid-month in November
or mid-month in December for increases in activity (see the syzygy periods
defined above). AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY: Colima may be the closest “model”
for how More probable than not during the next 90 days, perhaps
with some fits and starts related to Lunar Motion. Most probable is (a) the New Moon Perigee Syzygy of
November, or (b) the New Moon Perigee Syzygy of December. Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of November
Day 10 2004: 5 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment)
(same as last week) 49 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may
begin) (up one from last week) 21 on active list (seismic,
gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (same
as last week) Popo gave a 14 puff day yesterday, down from 19 last
Tuesday. Centrapred reports for November Day 10 (17:00 GMT) that “In the last 24
hours the monitoring system of Popocatepetl volcano recorded only 14 low
intensity exhalations accompanied by steam and gas emissions. The other
monitored parameters remain without important changes. Since this morning we
can observe the volcano without fumarolic activity. In an aerial photograph
taken on July 8th by SCT, subsidence is observed in the inner crater; an
external lava dome at the bottom of the crater cannot be distinguished…Due to
the low levels of activity shown in the past days, the scenarios consisting
of explosions and ash emission are less probable…The traffic light of
volcanic alert is in YELLOW-1. Access is restricted in a radius of 12 km from
the crater. The road between Santiago Xalitzintla ( HIGHLY
INTERESTING NEW PLATE TECTONICS RESOURCE: Digital
World Tectonic Activity Map (DTAM) - visualization tool that
presents an actual representational view of global tectonics; created using
current global datasets of seismicity, volcanism, and plate motions. MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK from Volcano Breaking News by
Volcanologist John Seach Volcano Travel:
john@volcanolive.com Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian
Time (UT + 10 hr) Mt Etna (Italy) Sheveluch
Volcano (Russia) Mt St Helens
Volcano (USA) Kilauea
Volcano (Hawaii) Grimsvotn Volcano
(Iceland) |
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Standing Assessment: Likely, it is
fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to
the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to
mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical,
moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. |
STAY TUNED. We are just on the
front edge of “the outing”…. What is truly bazaar about mass opinion at this current
time in the |
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ECONOMY WATCH LITTLE CHANGE THIS WEEK The FOR THE LAST UPDATED
DISCUSSION: click here for the EC
Bulletin Update as of October 27, 2004 With the re-election of George Bush a completely new
scenario for the next two years is needed. We need an AHA experience to see the larger picture..
Perhaps it is this. Perhaps the AHA is
that all the contradictions which thousands of analysts have been reporting
for the past 20 years mean NOTHING to the Power Elite for they have a
solution. If so, the solution is this: the main driving force of the economy will
transition fully into an Imperial economy.
It will be based on major militarization of the A massive empire building drive to export “Order” over the
greater portion of the world’s petroleum reserves will shore up the value of
the petro dollar quite nicely and preserve its hegemony well through the
“peak oil” period. Huge expenditures
on armaments should provide a continuing stimulus of the North American
economy, enough to at least keep it gimping along while the Empire is
consolidated. The eventual eclipse of well oil poses no long term
problem. Only naïve analysts are
worried. Once oil supply is seriously
declining and oil prices can be maintained above $80/barrel, some people in
the oil industry, including David Rockefeller, understand the means of
“growing” your own. They have held the
secrets of this for some 23 years. FOR THE LASTEST DETAILED DISCUSSION See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004 FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION FOR
THIS YEAR, See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004 GENERAL PREDICTION DJI
AVERAGES The DJI finished November Day 10
at 10,385.48 , up about $245 from last Wednesday at 10,137.05
WATCH THIS VERY CAREFULLY – SO FAR OIL COULD STILL RISE
RATHER THAN FALL – WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR DRIVING OIL
UP IN PRICE AND ACCELERATING THE DECLINE IN THE DOLLAR. WHAT SHOULD HAPPEN:
Eventually oil prices should drop and allow the bubble to inflate some
more. Another factor is the weakening dollar. As the dollar drops AND the stock values
remain constant, So it is all a complex equation which could go sideways at
any moment. THE MAIN PROVISO IS AL
QAEDA. When they strike in the The main
weakness in the international economy is that that THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION IS
SO INCOMPETENT THAT NO INTERNATIONAL ACTOR KNOWS HOW TO BE RATIONAL AND MAKE
REAL DECISIONS. EVERYTHING IS HEDGED
AND HIDDEN. All news on the war fronts
is terrible. AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:
Don’t wait for Christmas Retail Sales…they will be disappointing,
depress the stock values, and lead into the final economic collapse.
When the DJI is above 10,000, liquidate anything you have in all such
equities anywhere. The DJI MAY HIT 10,500 AGAIN but DON’T COUNT ON
IT. And if it does, it will be only a signal spike which will break the
market for many months, if not many years. The dollar closed today at 0.7762 down only a third of a penny from 0.7797 per
euro a week ago. During the last three
weeks, the dollar has lost about three cents. But with the rise in interest
rates and the decrease in oil prices, it is clear that the value of the
dollar is being stabilized. Don’t
expect much drop for the remainder of the year. “As oil goes up, the dollar will tend also to go
down against the Euro.” OIL HAS FALLEN A BIT THIS PAST SEVERAL DAYS TO AROUND $48. This will allow the euro/dollar values to remain
fairly steady, and perhaps the dollar will firm up a bit. – always contingent
of course on Al Qaeda activities. HOWEVER, some analysts are predicting that Big Oil is delaying
retail price increases, thus keeping retail prices below their normal pump
profit margins. IF THIS IS TRUE, pump prices will suddenly escalate during
November, regardless of who wins the elections. MUST READ: “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”,
which lays out the dynamics of what is happening |
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SURVIVAL WATCH For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin
Update as of July
7, 2004 Any aspect of the construction and home
products industry is hot. |
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SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME). But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted. Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year. ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES: The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services. This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah. I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM. |
POLITICAL WATCH For general overview on the Tragedy in For general background: see
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 7 2004 AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IS ANYONE’S GUESS.
American politics has never been so unpredictable. Many who would will a great change are now
depressing into deep pessimism. Despite a year of exposing the grave crimes
of the Imperial Faction and the incompetence of their President, a majority
of Americans WHO VOTE refuse to believe that conditions have become so
corrupt. They insist on drawing their
blinders more tightly around their favorite illusions. For a time yet, the truth must remain an
orphan in the street. If Bush and his Imperial cohorts
have their way, THERE WILL BE A DRAFT, THERE WILL BE A WIDER EXPANSION OF
PERPETUAL WAR, AND THE U.S. WILL END UP ATTEMPTING BY OCCUPATION TO CONTROL
ALL THE OIL IN THE MIDDLE EAST TO PAY FOR THE COSTS OF THE WORLD MILITARY
ESTABLISHMENT WHICH IS CONTROLLED BY THE PRO-CONSUL PRESIDENT AND THE
PLUTARCHS WHO CONTROL HIS ACCESS TO OFFICE AND WEALTH. These people have clearly laid
out their plans and there is really no surprise in what they want to do and
will do if they have the chance. It is all laid on the Internet, through such
documents as the “Plan For New American Century”. A wider war and vast expansion
of National Fascism is the inevitable outcome of the Bush Crime Family's continued control of Don't think for a moment that
they will not impose a draft. As we have all noticed, Bush has no problem
lying at the drop of a hat, in fact cannot open his mouth with his chronic
lying resurfacing, thus his promise not to impose the draft is as credible as
the Weapons of Mass Deception:
000000000000000000000 PREDICTION COMING SOON FROM DR.
STRANGELOVE: HOW THE IMPERIAL FACTION IS
LIKELY TO DISPENSE WITH THE NEED FOR A MAJOR DRAFT: I SUSPECT THAT THEY WILL USE THE TIME
TESTED METHOD WHICH EARLIER GENERATION OF ELITES HAVE USED. THEY WILL HIRE THIRD WORLD MERCENARIES
CHEAP WITH FEW BENNIFITS, SAVE FOR THE STANDARD COME-ON WHICH THE ROMANS USED
SO EFFECTIVELY – CITIZENSHIP AT THE END OF A TOUR OF DUTY. I BELIEVE THE ROMAN STANDARD WAS 10 YEARS. THE
AMERICAN STANDARD APPEARS TO BE 8 YEARS. The basis in law and practice is
already in the system, has been for several generations. They will need to hire in a
couple million men in various ways to hold onto the So there you have it – more
probable than not....another four years of political struggle, bitterness,
the loss of more political and individual rights, continued declassing and
economic deterioration, and a growing general civil upheaval which takes many
forms…in the midst of a nation which is virtually ostracized from most of the
remainder of the world. Unless Ralph Nader and the
Votescam people can prove a serious enough case to block the electors in |
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A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and
with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven
so much of the past 50 years…. From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly
collapses. All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty! |
THE STRATEGIC SITUATION – Final
Synopsis CONDITIONS IN ARE IN EXTREME CRISIS The entire world continues to witness the American impasse
in As reported in prior months: Since May 2004 it has been obvious that the
U.S. Military was adrift without a rudder AND MISSING ITS PADDLES whilst
attempting a turn-around far up the creek named Iraq. A discredited Army engagement doctrine pounds away at
densely settled urban zones with exceptional violence. The results please no
one and simply increase the polarization of world dynamic forces into greater
opposition. Bottom line: All the King’s Men got mugged by
a swindling crook named Chalabi, who sold the New World Order Emperor the
equivalent of the To claim this prize, the Mass
Broadcast Media began beating the war drums and the “Good German” Americans
goose-stepped to war. One thousand and
counting Americans died in vain, along with some 30,000 Iraqis, and some 8000
As things stand now, sometime in 2005, Americans will beat
a hasty retreat, under the pretext of some contrived imaginary political fig
leaf, and we will see the last helicopter evacuation from Iraq...finishing
the historical parallel of this Tragedy with the Tragedy of Vietnam. If so, it will be the beginning of the end of both the
American Century and the U.S. Constitution. A generation of upheaval and grievous
conflict will ensue before the Americans can repose themselves and their
society on a sounder basis. FOR THE
LASTEST SUMMARY BRIEFING ON THE SITUATION AND THE WAY OUT OF IT, GO TO “A
Letter To The Generals: Saving Iraq
and Saving The U.S.” FOR
A PDF VERSION, CLICK HERE. HERE IS
THE AN AUTHENTIC ISLAMIC MORAL AUTHORITY IS ARISING AND IS
BEGINNING TO FORGE A COALITION TO UNIFY THE ARRANGEMENTS WILL BE FORGED BY JANUARY. MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT, THE MULLAHS WILL
ARRANGE THE ELECTION OF A GOVERNMENT WHICH ASSERTS ITS SOVEREIGNTY AND ASKS
THE PASS THE
WORD: THIS IS HOW IT WILL END IN Michael Wells Mandeville, |
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