Earth Changes Bulletin Update

You have heard of the Weather Report? Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this URL

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_May_19_04.htm

On the geophysical front, solar activity has taken a greatly surprising turn with a major spike of sunspots up to 148 for the Mercury | Neptune alignment. Though the number plunged on May 18 to 90 or so, they may rise suddenly again for the Mercury | Uranus alignment on May 28. They definitely will rise at the end of the month for the Venus | Earth alignment on June 8, when the Earth will be directly connected to the magnetic field of Venus, forming one of most powerful circuits of ionic flow in the solar system. All this solar activity negates earlier predictions and will energize the Earth’s atmosphere to make a normal Spring and early Summer nearly impossible. Chaos in weather, rain, storms, tornadoes, and human emotions and affairs will rule the next 45 days. But so far this New Moon Syzygy has produced very little in the way of Earthquakes, though a 6.2 quake struck in Taiwan today and five shape-shifting quakes struck in the Great Rift of the ocean bottoms during the past seven days. Even so, volcanic activity is waning and most likely tectonic activity will not be a significant factor for the next 120 days.

On the geopolitical front, the strange year continues to unfold in ever more unbelievable and unpredictable patterns. The Imperial Faction continues to take more hits over the prisoner abuse scandals and its pretensions and machinations are now about as stripped naked as the Iraqi prisoners. That they are some of the biggest prevaricators in human history is perfectly clear to the greater portion of humanity. There is such heavy loss of confidence in these people it is hard to pretend that they can remain in power, but somehow they manage. At the moment, though Isolated and alone, there may be a glimmer of hope for avoiding a deepening of the tragedy in the Middle East and so the challenge is on to find it. But Israeli bombs and American military operations, which deliver too much force too quickly (without the self-proclaimed precision) to produce too many brutal side affects, is apparent to all and this is not making a march to peace readily apparent. At the moment, conditions are in stalemate and any outcome, good or ill, is within the possible. Once again the economic bubble took heavy hits. Inflation of basic commodities, and food, loss of the value of the dollar, surging oil prices, continued sounds of the Giant Sucking Sound, surging Chinese demand for oil, all made it clear that the economy is not going to anywhere decent ANYTIME SOON. And so turns the world.

Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Download from

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/collapse2006

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF MAY 12, 2004: As discussed this week and herein, the Collapse 2006 schedule, MORE LIKELY THAN NOT, IS CURRENTLY ACCELERATING AS A RESULT OF WORLDWIDE LOSS OF CONFIDENCE IN THE ELEMENTARY COMPETENCE OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AT THE HIGHEST LEVELS.

HOUSEKEEPING:

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and stations, see http://www.millenniumradionetwork.com/

FOR FIRST WEEK IN JUNE: FRIDAY, JUNE 4

Mandeville is rescheduling an interview on the

THE LOU GENTILE PARANORMAL RADIO NETWORK

10 PM to Midnight EASTERN

9 PM to 11 PM CENTRAL

8 PM to 10 PM MOUNTAIN Time.

7 PM to 9 PM PACIFIC

http://www.lougentile.com or IBC Radio Network at http://www.ibcradio.com/

MY EMAIL BOX: Is fixed. But, please use the new email addresses I provided in yesterday’s message which I cannot use on web pages in order to prevent spoof attacks.

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

As is now plain to see, the “Great Purification” has clearly commenced, pretty much right on the schedule suggested by the Q’ero, the Maya, and the Hopi.

As I began in my conversation last week and continue herein, it is TIME to give recognition to this simple truth and to begin to bring it forth into the mind of humans. The age of prophecy is at its end, the Phoenix is on the tarmac waiting only its final cues from the cosmic forces, and the final struggles of humanity now surge all around us.

All quite within the timing of all the prophetic traditions.

With the destruction of the Twin Towers in New York, which coincidentally(?) is also a potent symbol in the Tarot of a catastrophic overturning in the existing state of affairs, the era of the “Great Purification” has brought the world into deep polarization, tension, and profound revelation on the real nature of the human world.

Not exactly a pretty picture, this newly emerging vision. The latest round of viewing the nakedness of Bush, Cheny, Powell, Rumsfeld, the Army, the Generals, and the Soldiers in Iraq, as they conduct what they call war and much of the rest of the world calls Imperial Dominion with the usual soufflé of nuts, abuses, torture, crony corruption, colonial presumption and arrogance, and staggering war profiteering, has reduced at least half of North America into embittered witnesses of one of the most colossal “overturnings” of human hopes, dreams, efforts, and lifetime work under belief of a better world to come.

It looks gone forever….spent by wastrels at a carnie show of freaks and rigged games.

One of the big ironies of all of this, perhaps given emphasis by Central Casting’s sense of humor, is that one half of America is living out the attitudes and mentality of King George’s 18^th Century England, while the other half is living out life as seen from the boondocks of pre-revolutionary war America whist they watch the “indianization” of the Arabs in the name of civilization and King George’s Empire.

Many are still in denial…and thus give the illusion that things will continue as they are….but the bitter polarization, which will increase even more than at the moment, is unavoidable and is the source of the “energy” which will mobilize mass shifts, truly mass shifts, in consciousness and activity.

Many have had many of these thoughts during the past two and a half years, but it is good now to draw back a little and see the larger dimensions of the dynamics which have caught us up in a worldwide struggle.

It is good to recognize that there is and always has been a source and a connection to spiritual consciousness and wisdom which has seen throught the miserating maya of a endless and utterly useless parade of pretender nobles and pretender kings and pretender plutarchs in their pretend world of material vanity and worthless achievements of conquests and victories in competition.

Clearly those who carry forth the ancient oral spiritual traditions of this hemisphere were (then) and still are (now) more connected to the real realities than the crazy white men who have looted the planet on their ego-drunken orgy of power-seeking.

They see the polarization and see it now as the cleansing “squeeze” which will push the pollutions of thought and deed out from the world.

Some spiritual apprentices would seek to defuse the current wave of polarization by denying it or ignoring it. Though the motive to substitute love for hate is admirable and always desirable, it is better in this moment to recognize the absurdity of our conditions and the deep hostility which it engenders. Successful “anger management” begins by recognizing the anger, not denying. Once recognized, and even expressed in communicative ways, the anger can be released and healed.

An enormous number of people need to be assisted in expressing their anger. The entire conflict in Palestine is exactly THIS issue. The West and Israel have sought for 50 years to “deny” Palestinian anger in countless ways. It has not worked. It will not work. And you cannot blow it up or “indianize it” as Sharon seeks to do. The anger must be understood and healing brought in on its terms, not the terms and conditions of outsiders.

It is good, then, and high time (tide) for us to push away from the banks of the river and continue our journey into the unknown dealing honestly and with trustworthyness with those whom are honest and trustworthy. By letting go of the bank, consider well that the old saws of American greatness and power are little better than ”the walking dead”. Within the old framework of country, constitution, and political party, we find only those who would jerk our chains back into slavery to hoary old legends which were never true. There is nothing there to save.

Let them go, realize that an entirely new human condition with new institutions must be found “down the river” aways.

A major part of the new human condition is in your heart and soul. Put some major focus here to let go the river banks of the cranky world. It works wonders and here is the positive side of the sunspots. They help the ardent quester.

The latest peak of 148 in the sunspot count two days ago sent meditative spiritual energies all the way to Arcturus. Wispy sensitivities on etheric levels became crispy and full-bodied, the difference between a light zinfandel and a rich, full-bodied 100 year very rare dark red wine.

Meditation with energies from the Neptune, Uranus, and Mercury planetary alignments has brought greater revelation and more inner freedom to those who work with these energies at all levels. Suddenly, chakras have begun to stay in an expanded state of energization for many hours on end, extending the normal result of meditation from an hour or two to all day and night.

Those who work with these energies will be greatly benefited, perhaps even more so, during the coming alignment of Venus with Earth. The peak for this energy should hit a few days after the time of the next Update, next Wednesday on May 26.

This upcoming alignment is definitely the time to consider special personal alignment and celebration with the spiritual realities. Here is one idea: take your normal meditation practices and do something special to orient with the Earth Medicine Wheel alignments which North American shamans are trying to re-energize. Just avoid getting hung up on space and time. It is inner connection to the All Pervading All In All which is “the deal”. Time and space are irrelevant. But the Earth Medicine Wheel concept provides a “concept” of connection and unity with the world and Divinity which is beautifully outside the crazy worlds of crazy white man and crazy semitic religious warfare and heavy hands of doctrinal absolutism. The Buddhist and Hindu traditions have lovely variations of the Earth Medicine Wheel, so those within those lineages can easily join in with some understanding of the ideas.

The Earth Medicine Wheel has no baggage, only great opportunity for discovery of the interconnection of all things. It is also a great place to hang one’s “hat” during the Great Purification which is now underway at all levels It is a way of stepping out of the failed world and into a survivor world of basic truths.

God, or the Great Spirit, that is to say, the appeal to consciousness of higher purpose and meaning, is inevitable. That is the only ground there is on which we can come together and make our stand. This is the fundamental equation. The secular equations of professorial econometrix and bureaucratic absolution lead nowhere.

AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK: Before it is done, this “Great Purification”, the liberating truths of revelation of what has been hidden will roll out during the next 48 months and dissolve away the last Empire. For God’s sake, realize that appeals to hold onto the Empire for order, power, civilization, security, and prosperity are all misleading ploys by vain sychophants, the maya which holds so many in this absurd world of polluted poverty and manipulation by plutarchs. Pray and hope that it may be dissolved relatively peacefully. It is within the heart of the Americans to let it go, if the berserk side of their militaristic, ideological (fascist leaning) leadership can be neutralized enough.

It is time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF LEADERSHIP.

Only exceptional effort and intense heart action which liberates absolute honesty in the West can overcome and heal the immense damage which ALL parties to the violence in the world have created with their emotionally-driven reactions and messianic pretensions, whether the flavor is Muslim, Jewish, or Christian (Zoroastrian Evangelism).

NON VIOLENCE IS THE PARMOUNT WAY. NON COOPERATION WITH THE CORRUPTION IS THE PRAXIS.

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins
/statusreports.htm#polarmotion

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

To see the current graph of polar motion, see

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

The spin axis appears to be more or less normal. This is the least of our problems.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of the changes in the magnetic field GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#earthfield

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted)

For background and the current information on planetary alignments GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#planets

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

See Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for additional details

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003/

The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.

We have two upcoming planetary alignments in May. These involve Mercury aligning with the most distant “real” planets of Neptune and Uranus:

May 22: Mercury | Neptune

May 28: Mercury | Uranus

I advised you that both of which should be weak in their influence on producing sunspots.

HOOBOY WAS I WRONG. We had a strong peak of 148 sunspots on May 16 and 17.

Was that just for Neptune? If so, the wave for Uranus should be even larger and we should begin to see that wave form up within the next couple of days.

The next alignment after Uranus is on June 7. Venus catches up with the Earth and aligns with it just two weeks before the Summer solstice. This alignment should begin to be felt as increased solar activity during about the last week of May and the sunspot peak for it should be broad and early, perhaps as much as 10 days early.

The Moon this day is North of the Equator (its North Node) 0 days past the New Moon approximately 404,700 KM from the Earth. It is 0% of the last Full Moon (visibility). The Moon is now waxing to the next Full Moon of June 3 at 04:30 UTC. The next New Moon is June 17 2004 at 20:38 UTC.

The next Lunar Apogee is May 21, 12:03 UTC, at 406261 KM from the Earth. Perigee is close on two weeks later. (Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see http://www.syzygyjob.com/

PLANET WATCHING

For background and the current information on observable planets and planetary alignments GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#planets

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

Venus is now loosing brightness as it slims down into a disappearing crescent whilst approaching a station precisely between the Sun and the Earth for its transit alignment of June 8 2004. It can still be seen in small amateur telescopes as a thin silvery crescent about your time window is disappearing nightly.

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. For background information, go to:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#sunspots

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

To follow the numbers below, view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart at

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

Or, get the data in a table from

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/DSD.txt

HOLY COW, MY NUMBERS PREDICTIONS WERE TOASTED AND BLOWN OUT OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM BY A HUGE SUNSPOT SPIKE OF

148 on May 16 and 17 2004.

The sunspot count kept rising from about 47 as of May 11 all the way up to 148 where it hovered for two days and then began to sink again to 90 or so on May 18 and probably down even more for today.

This peak may have been induced by the combination of Mercury's alignments with Neptune and Uranus between May 22 and May 28.

Or not. Maybe Uranus’s peak will be forming up separately during the next few days.

The overall Solar Flux (which is a measurement of the magnetic strength of the "solar wind" remains high at 108, even though headed down. In other words, the general solar output of Solar Cycle 23 Peak is still, on the average, quite high.

This is the crux of what is happening with the long, high output of Solar Cycle 23 and the huge spikes of solar activity which on the average are probably inducing some of the global warming phenomenon. Why? THAT is the question.

Is the Sun's overall output on an upward trend or we are just now seeing it more noticeably? Or is this Solar Cycle 23 merely somewhat unique? There is a lot to be said for each of these questions and the answers are many. I frankly cannot sort it out, mainly because I am uncomfortable with the very limited depth of the time series we have on the outputs of the sun. We need a few thousand years to really answer serious questions like these above. But all we have is around 10 years of data of multidimensional data and only a few decades of "thin" slices of data. The sunspot counts of the last 300 years are not nearly enough of a data profile of solar output in and of themselves to allow us deal with climate and weather issues.

Damn tough row to hoe in the field of science. Most likely something as complex as the solar system requires a lot more data sorting than we are capable of doing.

The irritating part of all this is that there is nothing we can do to fix it except deal with whatever comes along and record what happens faithfully for a few decades, at minimum, more probably for a few hundred years.

Not even that is enough to but scratch the surface. This is one big reason why all science and discussion about what is happening on the Earth in terms of global warming should be kept on a humble basis. Fixed, "cause" oriented approaches about the causes of global warming are not useful.

For the next week, is the sunspot count going up or down?

Good question. Got any answers? My prediction today, a fairly safe one based solely on the sinking Solar Flux, is that the count will go down for at least another day, maybe two. Then it is anybody’s guess.

DART BOARD FAILED PREDICTION FOR MAY 2004

(print and cut this prediction for mounting on the wall, then chuck pencils or spitwads or whatever suits your mood at it.

“We should now have the lowest levels of solar influence on our bodies, minds, and souls since the beginning of Solar Cycle 23 Peak during the last half of 1999.”

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated

The Solar Wind was mild at 379.7 km/s this hour (about 10:00 UTC) and it was pushing a weak density of 0.8 protons/cm3”.

The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) recorded mostly a flat line for most of the past 48 hours but a modest disturbance several hours ago provide a small indication that the monitor was still working.

(as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, go to http://137.229.36.30/cgi-bin/magnetometer/plotstations.cgi?

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

NASA PREDICTS: “Solar wind gusts from the indicated coronal hole could buffet Earth magnetic field between May 20th and 24th.”

Nothing much for Auroras or solar storms for today. Solar Flares:

Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours: about 30%, perhaps 5 to 30% probability for geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours.

Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was quiet on May 18. Solar wind speed ranged between 284 and 343 km/sec. At midnight there were 6 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was low. A total of 3 C class events was recorded during the day…May 16-18: No fully or partly Earth directed CME observed….A small, recurrent coronal hole (CH96) in the southern hemisphere was in a geoeffective position on May 17. A recurrent, poorly defined coronal hole (CH97) in the northern hemisphere will be in a geoeffective position on May 19-20.”

Jan Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on May 19 and 21. Quiet to active is likely on May 20 due to effects from a weak coronal hole stream. Another weak coronal hole flow could arrive on May 22 and cause some unsettled to active intervals that and the next day.” Alvestad also predicts for the next 24 hours, 60-100% probability of coronal holes, 0% probability of CME's, 0% probability of M and X Class Flares

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23: (These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad) Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2003 was 46.4 and for March it rose to 61.5. The number for April 2003 was 60, June saw 77.4. After falling to an average under 50 in September 2003, a huge surge in sunspot activity drove the November 2003 average number to 67.2. December demonstrated a definite downturn: 47.0 average sunspot count. This downward trend was confirmed with the ISSN monthly average at 37.2 for January 2004. BUT, February’s average count rose once again, along with the amount of record breaking February weather, to 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3.

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our “sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.

So far since May began, a good part of my solar activity and weather predictions here have been wrong.

Rather than small numbers for solar activity and mild weather on Earth, it is apparent that we will now see that A LOT OF FREAK EXTREMES IN THE WEATHER WILL BLOW IN DURING THE NEXT TWO WEEKS.

And then the Venus | Earth alignment will keep the ball bouncing during the first half of June right up and through the Summer Solstice. The alignment of Venus | Earth on June 6-8 should make for a wet early Summer. This weather disturbance may get pretty intense.

Plan accordingly for practically anything.

SORRY, BUT IT SHOULD BE GREAT FOR TORNADOS, AND MAYBE AN EARLY NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM OR TWO DURING JUNE.

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS:

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

For this next week, chaos and unpredictable patterns will rule. The Jet Stream over North America is sliding around with sharp dips like a drunken sailor.

Nothing indicates a normalization in the pattern now for the next seven days. Radar maps show lots of action over North America with enough wet marine air coming in off the coasts to drive a lot of storm fronts.

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR SPRING SEASON:

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

June 7 or so will see another major storm front roll in to greet the official opening of Summer on June 21.

SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS:

for background or more details see

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm/#weather

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

Best bloom of cactus in four years. The nights remain quite cool but the days are now warm. This will probably remain for about a month and then begin the all too typical hot summer. Weather will now normalize into close alignment with statistical averages.

EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH
watch is now open again; Pacific water activity appears mostly normal, we are between the extremes of the ENSO; but all Auguries point to next year for the next onset.

A fairly large cool patch of ocean water has set up and consolidated along the Pacific Equator from the coast of Peru out some 35 degrees of Longitude. It is about half the size as last year’s cool patch at this time of the year. It has increased in size and temperature deviation up through to May 2, the latest date which is posted. It would seem that no Nino or Nina is indicated as of the moment, but this sudden cooling of the Equatorial belt bears watching carefully. It could build towards a surprise La Nina, but that is not very probable.

ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005.

GLOBAL WARMING IS A BEEG, FAT, DISTURBING REALITY

ARCTIC TEMPERATURES WARMING RAPIDLY: POLAR EXPLORER

Posted By: GlobalExodus <Send E-Mail>

Date: Wednesday, 19 May 2004, 6:48 a.m.

ABC NEWS Online (May 19, 2004)

Summer temperatures in the Arctic have risen at an incredible rate over the past three years and large patches of what should be ice are now open water, a British polar explorer said.

Ben Saunders, forced by the warm weather to abandon an attempt to ski solo from northern Russia across the North Pole to Canada, said he had been amazed at how much of the ice had melted.

"It's obvious to me that things are changing a lot and changing very quickly," a sunburnt Saunders told Reuters less than two days after being rescued from the thinning ice sheet close to the North Pole.

"I do know it's happening because that was my third time in the Arctic (in the last three years)," said Saunders, who explored the region in 2001 and 2003.

An international study last year said global warming would melt most of the Arctic icecap in summertime by the end of the century.

Many scientists blame the rising temperatures on human emissions of greenhouse gases while others point to what they say are longer-term natural warming and cooling cycles.

"The temperatures were incredibly warm ... I had days when I could ski with no gloves and no hat at all, just in bare hands, because I was too hot," said Saunders.

Logs from an expedition in 2001 showed the average Arctic temperature at this time of year was minus 15 to minus 20 degrees Celsius.

Saunders said the average temperature this time was just minus 5 to minus 7 degrees Celsius.

"I saw open water every single day of the expedition, which is not what I was expecting," said Saunders, who had to don a special thermal suit and drag his sled across open patches of water nine times during the 71 days he spent alone.

He covered a total of 965 km before giving up.

"I think a ski crossing from land to land (Russia to Canada) if conditions stay the same -- let alone get any worse -- is impossible," he said.

Saunders had planned to set off from Russia's northernmost Arctic islands in March but instead of ice, he discovered a 70 km open stretch of water. He had to be flown to the closest pack ice.

"The ice was terrible, right from the word go; very smashed up, very few flat areas," he said, adding that the usually impermeable multiyear ice was thinning.

"(It) is becoming less stable and it's breaking up more easily. There are enormous pressure ridges, and enormous areas of what I'd describe as rubble."

Saunders said he had also been struck by the almost complete absence of polar bears on the Russian side.

"That surprised me a lot ... that's historically been a very concentrated area for bears," he said.

"Whereas in 2001 we were attacked by a bear on day two (of the trek) and saw bear tracks nearly every day for the first three weeks, this year I saw four sets of tracks during the entire expedition."

Polar bears hunt out on the ice during summer months and are forced to retreat back to land when the ice is too thin.

Saunders said the weather had been poor for much of the trip with much more cloud cover and fog than he had expected.

The fresh snow he encountered was soft and bulky, unlike the typical hard, fine-grained snow found in the Arctic.

http://www.abc.net.au/news/newsitems/s1111109.htm

EARTHQUAKES

Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger. I prepared this section by pulling out the Earth Changes 2003 Calendar which has everything plotted on it. You should too. Check out the Almanac as well, it discusses all of the windows for the year and even spotlights the two most dangerous windows. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I do. See http://syzygyjob.com

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACTION OF THE WEEK OCCURRED ALONG THE WEST PACIFIC LIMB OF THE RING OF FIRE, FROM INDONESIA UP THROUGH JAPAN.

This zone hosted a 6.3 in Papua New Guinea and a 6.2 quake near Taiwan, the only two quakes greater than 6.0 for the last seven days.

Three small quakes in the Pacific Northwest ranging from Vancouver Island to the Southern end of the Olympic Peninsula made this week’s world quake list. Most other major activity was generally diminished in frequency and widely scattered, but there were a few quakes with encores in Spain, Italy, Taiwan, New Zealand, and the Philippines.

The largest daily total for quakes above mag 2.0 was 22 quakes on May 13, which was a long way out of the syzygy windows. Six occurred yesterday and TODAY, A NEW MOON DAY, SO FAR ONLY THREE QUAKES HAVE STRUCK. BUT ONE OF THESE WAS A 6.2 QUAKE IN TAIWAN.

Five quakes, three more than the prior week, continued “shapeshifting” the Earth by striking in the Great Rift which winds around the Earth at the bottoms of the oceans.

{The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around the world increases}’’

One struck in the Mid Atlantic Ridge near Iceland/Jan Mayan, perhaps two if we count the one in the Norway Sea but that was probably not technically part of the Great Rift.

Four struck in the South Mid Atlantic Rise, three of which hit the South Sandwich Islands area along the edge of the Antarctic Tectonic Plate.

Magnitude 4.7 SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

2004 May 14 06:48:50 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ilav.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location 22.60S 12.66W

Depth 10.0 kilometers

Region SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

Reference 1035 km (640 miles) SW of Saint Helena

3135 km (1950 miles) E of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Location Quality Error estimate: horizontal +/- 12.5 km; depth fixed by location program

Magnitude 4.5 JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION

2004 May 14 08:28:59 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ilal.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location 71.89N 1.65W

Depth 10.0 kilometers

Region JAN MAYEN ISLAND REGION

Reference 745 km (465 miles) ENE of Ittoqqortoormiit (Scoresbysund), Greenld

795 km (495 miles) WNW of Tromso, Norway

810 km (500 miles) NW of Bodo, Norway

2190 km (1360 miles) NE of NUUK (GODTHAB), Greenland

Magnitude 5.2 SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

2004 May 13 20:17:48 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ikdm.htmlU.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location 36.56S 20.90W

Depth 10.0 kilometers

Region SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

Reference 770 km (475 miles) W of Tristan da Cunha

3405 km (2120 miles) ESE of BUENOS AIRES, Argentina

Location Quality Error estimate: horizontal +/- 13.7 km; depth fixed by location program

Location Quality

Parameters Nst=37, Nph=37, Dmin=3614.7 km, Rmss=1.28 sec, Erho=13.7 km, Erzz=0 km, Gp=73.0 degrees

Magnitude 5.1 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

2004 May 13 07:14:39 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ikbp.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location 55.49S 27.70W

Depth 25.0 kilometers

Region SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

Reference 140 km (85 miles) NNW of Visokoi Island, South Sandwich Islands

400 km (245 miles) N of Bristol Island, South Sandwich Islands

580 km (360 miles) ESE of Grytviken, South Georgia

3315 km (2060 miles) SE of BUENOS AIRES, Argentina

Magnitude 4.5 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

2004 May 13 09:46:02 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ikbu.htmlU.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location 58.87S 30.15W

Depth 35.0 kilometers

Region SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

Reference 210 km (130 miles) W of Bristol Island, South Sandwich Islands

295 km (185 miles) SW of Visokoi Island, South Sandwich Islands

645 km (400 miles) SE of Grytviken, South Georgia

3420 km (2120 miles) SSE of BUENOS AIRES, Argentina

NORTH AMERICAN WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude.

Seismic activity in North America for quakes in the range of 1.0 to 3.0 were down for the last seven days, making this New Moon near Apogee very tepid indeed.

523 in U.S./Alaska as a whole, down from 575 last week, widely scattered.

376 in California and Nevada, up from 353 last week, in all the usual places

24 in the Pacific Northwest, up from 21 reported last week (two week period) – these were mostly scattered, with ONE NEW quake near St Helens.

42 in Utah, widely scattered in Northern half of the State, up from 33 last week

10 in Long Lakes (Mammoth Lake), down from 24 last week. widely scattered around the area.

YELLOWSTONE WATCH

16 in Yellowstone, up a little from last week’s 13. These were widely scattered around the huge Yellowstone National Park. Most of them were in the range of 1.0 in magnitude. For Yellowstone activity, see

http://www.seis.utah.edu/recenteqs/Maps/111-45.html

WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES

Here are two more of the week’s most significant quakes, including a 6.2 quake (second on the list) which struck Taiwan a few hours ago. This quake most likely was widely felt on the Island.

Magnitude 6.3 NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.

2004 May 13 09:58:43 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ikal.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location 3.56S 150.69E

Depth 10.4 kilometers

Region NEW IRELAND REGION, P.N.G.

Reference 110 km (70 miles) S of Kavieng, New Ireland, PNG

180 km (115 miles) WNW of Rabaul, New Britain, PNG

760 km (470 miles) NNE of PORT MORESBY, Papua New Guinea

2655 km (1650 miles) N of BRISBANE, Queensland, Australia

Magnitude 6.2 TAIWAN REGION

2004 May 19 07:04:14 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_irai.htmlU.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location 22.66N 121.43E

Depth 39.9 kilometers

Region TAIWAN REGION

Reference 30 km (15 miles) ESE of T'ai-tung, Taiwan

120 km (75 miles) E of Kao-hsiung, Taiwan

130 km (80 miles) ESE of T'ai-nan, Taiwan

270 km (165 miles) S of T'AI-PEI, Taiwan

VOLCANOES

Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre at:

http://www.swvrc.org/cerupt.htm

or see “Breaking Volcano Eruption News” at

http://www.volcanolive.com/volcanolive.html

(For the past couple of years I have been counting volcanoes in the classifications used by the Southwest Volcano Centre. But the Centre cleaned house this first week and dropped all volcanoes off its list which it could not confirm to be in one of the three categories as of the beginning of the year. This means that a lot of volcanoes dropped off the lists, making the stats from this moment on un-comparable with last year’s numbers.)

OVERALL WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY SEEMS TO HAVE PEAKED AND IS NOW SLOWLY DECLINING. Few activity reports have been updated since last report, suggesting that the volcanism is muting down. This is probably a part of the annual cycle of volcanic activity, which waxes during the first four to five months of the year and then wanes until late Fall.

(This is a fairly subjective guestimate based on the numbers and data reported by the SWVC, quake data, and other reports)

Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of May 12, 2004:

5 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment) (same as last week)

46 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may begin) same as last week)

27 on active list (seismic, gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (same as last week)

Popo was half of last week. Popo gave a 7 puff day yesterday. Centrapred reports for May 12 (17:00 GMT) that “In the last 24 hours the activity of Popocatepetl volcano remained stable. There were only 7 small exhalations accompanied by steam and gas emissions. The other monitored parameters remain without important changes. At the moment of this report, we can observe the volcano with a partial cloudiness and small steam and gas emission.”

MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK:

from Volcano Breaking News by Volcanologist John Seach

at http://www.volcanolive.com/volcanolive.html

Volcano Travel: john@volcanolive.com

Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian Time (UT + 10 hr)

John Seach was gone most of the week and did not post reports except for this one today:

Nyamuragira Volcano (Democratic Republic of Congo)
1.408 S, 29.20 E, summit elevation 3058 m, shield volcano
Thursday 20th May 2004
An eruption of Nyamuragira volcano was reported on 8th May. The eruption was preceded by an earthquake, felt in the Virunga area at 23h44 (UT) on May 7, 2004. Eruptive features noted from a May 9th overflight included:
1) An active lava lake in the N-NE of the caldera, with an approximate diameter of 300m.
2) An eruptive fracture, approximately 2km long, on the N-NW flank of the volcano.
3) Ash falls have been observed in several villages on the western and the northern sides of the volcano.
Nyamuragira is located north of Lake Kivu in Virunga National Park, home to endangered mountain gorillas. Although the eruption is not expected to directly threaten the health and habitat of the mountain gorillas, destruction of human settlements and agricultural areas will increase pressure on the gorillas' forest homes as local people turn to the park for food, water, and shelter materials.
More on Nyamuragira Volcano...

ECONOMY WATCH

For background information, use password to go to:

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

AS REPORTED FOR WEEKS: The bubble is still barely being maintained, THE BULLS ARE STILL COMPLETELY STALLED IN THE SOUTH PASTURE, MILLING IN TOTAL CONFUSION.

No wonder, the Bush administration is talking about well over a million jobs they have created but no one can find near that many, prompting our question: jobs, jobs, anybody gotta a job. The only thing we know for certain is that the factories at which Bush appears for his photo-ops to show his economic “vigor” keep loosing jobs after his visits…

If you know what is good for you, it may be advisable to pass on any visits Bush wants to make to your hometown.

CURRENTLY: The incompetence of the top levels of management in the American Government and its tragic over-extension in the illegal invasion and occupation of Iraq will keep sowing the seeds of military, political, and economic confusion.

THERE ARE MANY PEOPLE IN THE WORLD WHO ARE CONCLUDING THAT THE U.S. IS CAUGHT IN A CLASSIC MILITARY “STALEMATE”, WHICH ANY CHESS PLAYER CAN UNDERSTAND AS A CONDITION IN WHICH NEITHER SIDE CAN WIN.

ACTUALLY ONE SIDE WILL WIN THIS STALEMATE, THE SIDE WHICH GIVES UP FIRST. GIVEN THE DEPTH OF THE SCANDALS OF PRISONER ABUSE WHICH IS NOW BEING OPENED BEFORE THE WORLD, IT IS NOT LIKELY THAT THE AMERICAN POLITICAL SUPPORT WILL LAST LONG ENOUGH TO USE “FORCE” TO IMPOSE A SOLUTION.

BUT THIS HAS ALL BEEN OBVIOUS FOR WEEKS. THE REAL NEWS IS CHINA. Its continued expansion, which is strongly driven by American Debt Spending On Chinese Imports, is increasing Asian demand for oil, which is driving up world prices for oil. This in turn is stimulating a spiraling round of inflation. The other news is the oil cartel itself, which has probably come to the conclusion, right alongside the advice and consent of the Rockefeller Oil Plutocracy, that the best way to save the dollar and the U.S. bacon in Iraq is to reduce demand and increase the price of oil. Too much phony play dollars? No problem, discount them. This will drain dollars from China and tax the American people to pay for the Imperial expansion in Iraq.

OF COURSE ITS RELATED!!!

AND YOU THOUGHT MAYBE THAT THIS IS ALL FREE MARKET SCARCITY? LOOK, I HAVE HALF DOZEN TERRORIST FREE BRIDGES IN SCOTLAND FOR SALE ON A SUPER SALE.

AS STATED LAST FEW WEEKS: I HAVE BEEN HARPING ON THIS FOR THE LAST FEW MONTHS, HAVE NOT THE PAST THREE WEEKS PROVEN THIS OUT IN SPADES?: Doubts about the soundness of the American position in the world are troubling all major economic forces and groups, which are more afflicted by pessimism than at any time in the past 25 years, perhaps the past 50 years. Added to these doubts are the huge uncertainties which Al Qaeda has created for all financial circles. Osama Bin Laden, without exploding a single bomb, is still capable of sending a crudely made video or audio tape for play in the Arab world which has the power to cause the government to incur billions of dollars in bills for extraordinary security measures as well as causing sudden panic in financial markets. A sudden bombing strike in the U.S by a small team of terrorists, or some other form of terrorism, is fully capable to causing a significant drop in the values of the stock market and other equities overnight. All major investors know this, those who control the great volume of stock, which makes them cautious.

FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION FOR THIS YEAR,

See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004

LONG TERM PREDICTION: As the loss of value of the dollar accelerates, job creation in all the main old line pursuits will become nearly impossible in the U.S. New production of new goods which solve real problems, along with companies which directly export American-produced goods, are the keys to the economic future. But in the meantime, things will get funkier and funkier. You have 2.5 years at max to the transition point at bottom.

GENERAL PREDICTION DJI AVERAGES

for detailed predictions, use password to go to:

http://michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/statusreports/statusreports.htm#stocks

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

The DJI SLOWED its descent this week, moving down another 100 point to 9,937 this Wednesday from 10,045 last Wednesday. Most likely the worst drop in the DJI is over for the moment. Investors are licking the wounds over the steep loss of confidence in American positions in the world.

So despite the net gain of well over a million ghost jobs which are being widely tooted by the Bush Administration, the investor class remains skeptical.

IF YOU HAVEN’T ALREADY, LIQUIDATE ALL STOCK POSITIONS.

Given the massive loss of confidence in the U.S. and the Bush Administration, which is being discounted and undercut by many of the world’s wealthiest people, it is very doubtful that the boomer bubble is going to go much higher. As I predicted more or less in the Coming Economic Collapse of 2006, 10,500 is about as high as it is going to get and it would appear that we have already passed that point. There may be one small rise left between now and the final slide, but don’t count on it. The market is likely to stagnate here at this point around 10,000, seesawing back and forth for the remainder of the year, perhaps with chops in the range of as much as 1%, just enough to make you a nervous wreck. Get out now if you are still there. The most you have to gain is another 1 to 2 % and it is not worth trying to capture.

The only exception to this rule is equity in fresh small companies with real technology which offer a decided advantage over something, especially in the energy field. Or a real cure for cancer, etc. Buy this stock only for a five year scenario, not for quick turns, because most likely you will not be permitted to buy stock which offers sudden overnight wealth.

AND DON’T BUY BOOMER BUBBLE REAL ESTATE IN THE OVERPRICED URBAN MEGAPLEX MARKETS.

AND TAKE NOTE THAT, DESPITE HUGE PROVOCATION TO RISE, GOLD IS DOING THE OPPOSITE OF ALL THE PROMISES OF THE TOOTERS THROUGH THE PAST 30 YEARS, MAINLY IT IS MOVING DOWNWARD OR MERELY HOVERING WHERE IT HAS BEEN FOR 25 YEARS. There seems to be about zero correlation between the price of gold and all of the bull toot theorems about how it must rise. For the reason why, see “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”. You gotta pay for this secret.

EURO WATCH

for detailed predictions, use password to go to:

http://michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/statusreports/statusreports.htm#euro

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

The dollar is more or less at stand pat this week, down slightly to 0.8331 from 0.8389 per euro last Wednesday. But the this dollar will not tarry here very long. By summer international sources will be beating it down to make the tourist dollar exchange rates as expensive as banks can drive it – in fact it is already happening. Air travel is up, gas is up, commodities are up, food is up, and some foreign currencies will be going up as well.

Saudi Arabia, as promised (as publicly revealed by mass media sources), will cheapen (as they have just announced this past week) the price of oil to help their long time old-timey Family partners, the Bush Family, win the fall Presidential election by creating the illusion that things are “all right” on the economic front.

This will be just a temporary interlude. Everything else will still be up or going up.

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: The next big erosion is likely to appear in late Spring. (witching hour for expansion of the euro zone into an number of Eastern European countries, this will create a surge of pressure against the dollar). This erosion is likely to slowly continue through the year and may bottom at $0.65 to $0.70 per euro by the end of 2004.

Has it begun? We will watch very carefully.

MUST READ: “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, which lays out the dynamics of what is happening.

see http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006.htm

FOOD WATCH

All prices are going up substantially this year.

JOB WATCH

Government stats at the national level have become just another “Big Brother” lie. We are adrift without real information. This is not likely to change until the Orwellian Regime under the Imperial Faction is liquidated.

POLITICAL WATCH

How are the sunspots likely to most effect human affairs during the weeks and months ahead?

SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free and has never even been indicted. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME). At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration. ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES: The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services. This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah. I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM.

“IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY” & MASS BEHAVIOR

I predicted last month that mass emotionalism should now begin to recede as the sunspot numbers declined. I somewhat sarcastically predicted that “Humanity should show a slight tendency to return to its senses and try reasoning with its cortex”.

But Central Casting played a trick. Sunspots soared once again and mad man Sharon was right on schedule with bombings and forced dislocations of several hundred Palestinians seasoned with the murder of many children.

It is a war zone, the Israeli propagandists intone for the thousandth time, pretending to presume we should believe such blatent Orwellian horseshit.. No it isn’t, it is an occupied refugee camp under your self-proclaimed jurisdiction and your bombing is sadistic murder which signals mainly your desperate incompetence to create a peace worth living for anyone.

And so it goes, the ionic flux and the human contradictions of denial have focused people into thinking and plotting intensely their next round of moves within a highly polarized mental and emotional atmosphere.

Expect heavy choppiness in all things human. Sudden shifts, both good and ill, everywhere.

One of the amazing chops was the sudden announcement by the Army Command in Iraq that all forms of prisoner duress were now illegal and that the terms and spirit of the Geneva Conventions would be honored.

The next chop I can already see coming out of Washington DC. They are pretending that the court martials will take care of things and clean up the mess. What THEY don’t see is that this is just the beginning of the revelations and reports.

A generation of men in uniform under solemn oaths were lied to in the most abusive and crooked of ways. AND NOW LARGER AND LARGE NUMBERS KNOW IT AND ARE COMING TO TERMS WITH IT. The exceptional polarization in the world is calling them out in far more direct ways than the Vietnam War vets. The stories they will tell will ruin a great number of this generation of American politicians and bureaucrats – in both of the parties of the plutocrats.

THE STRATEGIC SITUATION
For predictions related to the mess in Palestine, the Middle East, and the Bush political era, check out

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/
ecbulletins/statusreports_political.htm#strategic

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: With baited breath a good portion of the world waits to see if an Iraqi government can be cobbled together to find enough international supports to allow the U.S. military to withdraw from Iraq. The ever present fear is that the “bull in the teashop” will break enough in Iraq to animate an even larger uprising against the U.S. to force a stunning strategic withdrawal. The fear is that this may stampede the U.S. to even greater depths of stupidity with “old Wartime” George at the helm.

There is a glimmer of hope to rescue the Army and the U.S. from the quicksand in Iraq. For a small window of time, IT MAY BE POSSIBLE FOR ENOUGH CONVERGENCE OF INTERESTS TO COME TOGETHER THROUGH ARMY FIELD EFFORTS, THE UNITED NATIONS, IRAQI SPIRITUAL LEADERS. AND IRAQI MODERNISTS TO UNITE ON THE COMMON GOAL OF EXTRICATING THE U.S. FROM OUT OF IRAQ AS SOON AS POSSIBLE. It may be possible to bring this together during the next six to nine months.

THIS IS THE ONLY HOPE I SEE AT THE MOMENT. IF THIS DOES NOT COME TO PASS, THE POLITICIANS MAY VERY WELL BE FORCED TO CHOOSE BETWEEN DRAFTING MEN AND WOMEN INTO THE MILITARY OR PERMITTING THE U.S. ARMY TO WITHDRAW UNDER SEVERE THREAT.

About this, the people, by design and mutual agreement of the national level Republicrat and Demopublican parties, will have nothing to say.

The Republicrats of course have been totally had by the Imperial Faction. They have been reduced to mindless sycophants of pomp and circumstance as the Empire incompetently lurches from one crisis to another.

Nader has not a chance but is the canniest player on the scene. He may block Bush’s re-election and cause the Imperial Faction to lose its grip. But if I were him, I would watch my back and all others sides very carefully. We know that Cheney and Bush and their cronies play as crooked a game as crooked ever plays.

At the moment the Demopublicans have lost their momentum. Their drive to internationalize the nation building in Iraq and make it a cooperative venture with Europe is totally mooted or made irrelevant by the simple fact that WE ARE ALL RADIOACTIVE AS FAR AS THE WORLD IS CONCERNED. The tarbaby in Iraq is who we are. Nobody but nobody is going to help us or get involved in anything related to the U.S. intervention in Iraq. This was already true before the prison abuse scandal. Those revelations merely seal the deal.

In short the Demopublicans under Kerry have not yet adjusted to circumstances. As they have been throughout this past three years,. they have been at least a year behind events. Whilst the betrayal of the Republic smolders across the continent through the sacking of the constitution, the utter devastation of government agencies and corporate bureaucracies by corrupt cliques of cronies, and in sadomasochistic CIA games in hundreds of hidden facilities in Dr. Strangelove’s spook factories around the world, the most the Demopublicans can undertake at the moment is the expression of outrage over being taxed by the progeny of the Rockefellers to pay more for gas to maintain the monopoly rackets.

I do not know personally whether to wail loudly to God, or to stand on a hill and curse them mightily with a great curse, something along the lines of God Damn Them To Hell, only more emphatically and with more modern connotations.

Or should I merely laugh hysterically at the folly of the Americans?

THE DRIFT: The American Empire is rapidly disintegrating and economic and political vectors are accelerating as the timing of the next crash draws closer. As the CIA Little Shop Of Horrors begins to be OUTED, the Mideast enemies of Israel and the U.S. now fully understand that the U.S. is even more vulnerable than it was three years ago, does not have enough brains in political command to make decisive, creative political moves to build support and loyalty, and is so over-extended in Palestine-Iraq-Afghanistan that major losses can be inflicted on its men and equipment. Thus, the insurgency in the Middle East, now here now there, is likely to break out again, seeking to deliver greater and greater tragedy to the Americans. With the “jaw-dropping” public destruction of the leadership of Hamas by Sharon, which he has liberally followed up with reckless bombings and demolitions which kill children in the fashion of Waco, tens of thousands of operatives are now inevitably available to “the network”. Meanwhile, Osama is hidden, biding his time…

Best Wishes, Michael Wells Mandeville,
The Hills of Arizona USA at mwman@earthlink.net
Master Website Index is at: http://www.michaelmandeville.com

Author of several books, including: "Return of the Phoenix" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/phoenix/phoenix.htm
and "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006.htm
_________________________________________________
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