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Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 19 2004 You have
heard of the Weather Report? Here
exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report"
- a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in
the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely,
with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen,
farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of
the Earth Changes Bulletin Update
for this week, or use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_May_19_04.htm On the
geophysical front, solar activity has taken a greatly
surprising turn with a major spike of sunspots up to 148 for the
Mercury | Program
Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not
handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth
sciences very well. They don't understand
the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth.
Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how,
why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded,
poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and
genuinely educational. Based on new scientific
principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the
dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see
how a range of effects are linked together. This
makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which
explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and
weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big
picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months
ahead. The result is sophisticated
cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute,
relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom
parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions
which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet
resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the
Earth Monitor front page http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/ SPONSORING: THE COMING
ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006,
which puts today, tomorrow, and the
trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will
“bottom” in 2006/2007. Download from http://www.michaelmandeville.com/collapse2006 THIS BOOK
STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE
WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis is far
ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far
(since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for
2003-2008 is running 100 per cent. If you
have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main
dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST
UPDATE NOTE AS OF MAY 12, 2004: As
discussed this week and herein, the Collapse 2006 schedule, MORE LIKELY
THAN NOT, IS CURRENTLY ACCELERATING AS A RESULT OF WORLDWIDE LOSS OF
CONFIDENCE IN THE ELEMENTARY COMPETENCE OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT
AT THE HIGHEST LEVELS. MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO
EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at
6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular Weekly Update For The Earth
Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives
and stations, see http://www.millenniumradionetwork.com/ FOR FIRST WEEK IN JUNE:
FRIDAY,
JUNE 4 Mandeville is rescheduling an interview on
the THE LOU GENTILE
PARANORMAL RADIO NETWORK 10 PM to Midnight EASTERN 9 PM to 11 PM CENTRAL 8 PM to 10 PM MOUNTAIN Time. 7 PM to 9 PM PACIFIC http://www.lougentile.com
or IBC Radio Network at http://www.ibcradio.com/ MY EMAIL BOX: Is
fixed. But, please use the new email
addresses I provided in yesterday’s message which I cannot use on web
pages in order to prevent spoof attacks. |
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SPIRITUAL
WATCH How to converge and
express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to
be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time.
Examining this question, probing it, is the chief
trendline of this year. As
is now plain to see, the “Great Purification” has clearly commenced,
pretty much right on the schedule suggested by the Q’ero, the Maya, and
the Hopi. As
I began in my conversation last week and continue herein, it is TIME to
give recognition to this simple truth and to begin to bring it forth
into the mind of humans. The age of prophecy is at its end, the All
quite within the timing of all the prophetic traditions. With
the destruction of the Twin Towers in New York, which coincidentally(?)
is also a potent symbol in the Tarot of a catastrophic overturning in
the existing state of affairs, the era of the “Great Purification” has
brought the world into deep polarization, tension, and profound
revelation on the real nature of the human world. Not
exactly a pretty picture, this newly emerging vision.
The latest round of viewing the nakedness of Bush, Cheny,
Powell, Rumsfeld, the Army, the Generals, and the Soldiers in Iraq, as
they conduct what they call war and much of the rest of the world calls
Imperial Dominion with the usual soufflé of nuts, abuses, torture,
crony corruption, colonial presumption and arrogance, and staggering
war profiteering, has reduced at least half of North America into
embittered witnesses of one of the most colossal “overturnings” of
human hopes, dreams, efforts, and lifetime work under belief of a
better world to come. It
looks gone forever….spent by wastrels at a carnie show of freaks and
rigged games. One
of the big ironies of all of this, perhaps given emphasis by Central
Casting’s sense of humor, is that one half of America is living out the
attitudes and mentality of King George’s 18th Century
England, while the other half is living out life as seen from the
boondocks of pre-revolutionary war America whist they watch the
“indianization” of the Arabs in the name of civilization and King
George’s Empire. Many
are still in denial…and thus give the illusion that things will
continue as they are….but the bitter polarization, which will increase
even more than at the moment, is unavoidable and is the source of the
“energy” which will mobilize mass shifts, truly mass shifts, in
consciousness and activity. Many
have had many of these thoughts during the past two and a half years,
but it is good now to draw back a little and see the larger dimensions
of the dynamics which have caught us up in a worldwide struggle. It
is good to recognize that there is and always has been a source and a
connection to spiritual consciousness and wisdom which has seen
throught the miserating maya of a endless and utterly useless parade of
pretender nobles and pretender kings and pretender plutarchs in their
pretend world of material vanity and worthless achievements
of conquests and victories in competition. Clearly
those who carry forth the ancient oral spiritual traditions of this
hemisphere were (then) and still are (now)
more connected to the real realities than the crazy white men who have
looted the planet on their ego-drunken orgy of power-seeking.
Some
spiritual apprentices would seek to defuse the current wave of
polarization by denying it or ignoring it. Though
the motive to substitute love for hate is admirable and always
desirable, it is better in this moment to recognize the absurdity of
our conditions and the deep hostility which it engenders.
Successful “anger management” begins by recognizing the
anger, not denying. Once
recognized, and even expressed in communicative ways, the anger can be
released and healed. An enormous number of people need to be
assisted in expressing their anger. The
entire conflict in It is good, then, and high time (tide) for
us to push away from the banks of the river and continue our journey
into the unknown dealing honestly and with trustworthyness with those
whom are honest and trustworthy. By
letting go of the bank, consider well that the old saws of American
greatness and power are little better than ”the walking dead”. Within
the old framework of country, constitution, and political party, we
find only those who would jerk our chains back into slavery to hoary
old legends which were never true. There
is nothing there to save. Let them go, realize that an entirely new
human condition with new institutions must be found “down the river”
aways. A major part of the new human condition is
in your heart and soul. Put some major focus here to let go the river
banks of the cranky world. It works
wonders and here is the positive side of the sunspots.
They help the ardent quester. The latest peak of 148 in the sunspot
count two days ago sent meditative spiritual energies all the way to
Arcturus. Wispy sensitivities on etheric levels became crispy and
full-bodied, the difference between a light zinfandel and a rich,
full-bodied 100 year very rare dark red wine. Meditation with energies from the Those who work with these energies will be
greatly benefited, perhaps even more so, during the coming alignment of
Venus with Earth. The peak for this energy
should hit a few days after the time of the next Update, next Wednesday
on May 26. This upcoming alignment is definitely the
time to consider special personal alignment and celebration with the
spiritual realities. Here is one idea: take your normal meditation practices and do
something special to orient with the Earth Medicine Wheel alignments
which North American shamans are trying to re-energize.
Just avoid getting hung up on space and time. It is inner
connection to the All Pervading All In All which is “the deal”. Time and space are irrelevant. But the Earth
Medicine Wheel concept provides a “concept” of connection and unity
with the world and Divinity which is beautifully outside the crazy
worlds of crazy white man and crazy semitic religious warfare and heavy
hands of doctrinal absolutism. The
Buddhist and Hindu traditions have lovely variations of the Earth
Medicine Wheel, so those within those lineages can easily join in with
some understanding of the ideas. The Earth Medicine Wheel has no baggage,
only great opportunity for discovery of the interconnection of all
things. It is also a great place to hang
one’s “hat” during the Great Purification which is now underway at all
levels It is a way of stepping out of the failed world and into a
survivor world of basic truths. God, or the Great Spirit, that is to say,
the appeal to consciousness of higher purpose and meaning, is
inevitable. That is the only ground there is on which we can come
together and make our stand. This is the
fundamental equation. The secular
equations of professorial econometrix and bureaucratic absolution lead
nowhere. AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK:
Before it is done, this “Great Purification”, the
liberating truths of revelation of what has been hidden will roll out
during the next 48 months and dissolve away the last Empire. For God’s
sake, realize that appeals to hold onto the Empire for order, power,
civilization, security, and prosperity are all misleading ploys by vain
sychophants, the maya which holds so many in this absurd world of
polluted poverty and manipulation by plutarchs. Pray
and hope that it may be dissolved
relatively peacefully. It is within the
heart of the Americans to let it go, if the berserk side of their
militaristic, ideological (fascist leaning) leadership can be
neutralized enough. It
is time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole
Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A
BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF LEADERSHIP. Only exceptional effort and intense heart
action which liberates absolute honesty in the West can overcome and
heal the immense damage which ALL parties to the violence in the world
have created with their emotionally-driven reactions and messianic
pretensions, whether the flavor is Muslim, Jewish, or Christian
(Zoroastrian Evangelism). NON
VIOLENCE IS THE |
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POLAR MOTION
What is
happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the
status of polar motion GO TO: http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins (watch the
word wrap on the URL) To see the
current graph of polar motion, see http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm Scroll down
the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x
and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs. The spin axis appears to be more or less
normal. This is the least of our problems. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:
Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of
the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last
three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has appeared to accelerate even more
during the past decade. MAGNETIC
POLES – SHIFTING What is
happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth. For the overall summary
of the status of the changes in the magnetic field GO TO: http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#earthfield (watch the
word wrap on the URL) No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be
very concerned about within this decade at least. PLANETS
& ALIGNMENTS For
background and the current information on planetary alignments GO TO: http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#planets (watch the
word wrap on the URL) See Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for additional details http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003/ The Almanac
lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to
allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake
activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc. We have two upcoming planetary alignments
in May. These involve Mercury aligning with the most distant “real”
planets of Neptune and Uranus: May 22: Mercury
| May 28: Mercury
| Uranus I advised you that both of which should be
weak in their influence on producing sunspots. HOOBOY WAS I WRONG. We
had a strong peak of 148 sunspots on May 16 and 17. Was that just for The next alignment after Uranus is on June
7. Venus catches up with the Earth and
aligns with it just two weeks before the Summer solstice.
This alignment should begin to be felt as increased solar
activity during about the last week of May and the sunspot peak for it
should be broad and early, perhaps as much as 10 days early. The Moon this day is North of the Equator (its North Node) 0 days past
the New Moon approximately 404,700 KM from the Earth. It is 0% of the
last Full Moon (visibility). The Moon is
now waxing to the next Full Moon of June 3 at 04:30 UTC.
The next New Moon is June 17 2004 at 20:38 UTC. The next Lunar Apogee is May 21, 12:03 UTC, at 406261 KM from the Earth.
Perigee is close on two weeks later. (Perigee =
the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which
increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee
= the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula for
syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details
see http://www.syzygyjob.com/ For
background and the current information on observable planets and
planetary alignments GO TO: http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#planets (watch the
word wrap on the URL) Venus is now loosing brightness as it
slims down into a disappearing crescent whilst approaching a station
precisely between the Sun and the Earth for its transit alignment of
June 8 2004. It can still be seen in small
amateur telescopes as a thin silvery crescent about your time window is
disappearing nightly. |
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The events in the solar
atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic
field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year
ahead. For background information, go to: http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#sunspots (watch the word wrap on
the URL) To follow the numbers
below, view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart at http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm Or, get the data in a
table from http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/DSD.txt HOLY COW, MY NUMBERS
PREDICTIONS WERE TOASTED AND BLOWN OUT OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM BY A HUGE
SUNSPOT SPIKE OF 148 on May 16 and 17 2004. The sunspot count kept rising from about
47 as of May 11 all the way up to 148 where it hovered for two days and
then began to sink again to 90 or so on May 18 and probably down even
more for today. This peak may have
been induced by the combination of
Mercury's alignments with Neptune and Uranus between May 22 and May 28. Or not. Maybe Uranus’s peak will be
forming up separately during the next few days. The overall Solar Flux (which is a
measurement of the magnetic strength of the "solar
wind" remains high at 108, even though headed down.
In other words, the general solar output of Solar Cycle 23
Peak is still, on the average, quite high. This is the crux of what is happening with
the long, high output of Solar Cycle 23 and the huge spikes of solar
activity which on the average are probably inducing some of the global
warming phenomenon. Why? THAT is the
question. Is the Sun's overall output on an upward
trend or we are just now seeing it more noticeably?
Or is this Solar Cycle 23 merely somewhat unique? There is a lot to be said for each of these
questions and the answers are many. I frankly cannot sort it out,
mainly because I am uncomfortable with the very limited depth of the
time series we have on the outputs of the sun. We need a few thousand
years to really answer serious questions like these above. But all we
have is around 10 years of data of multidimensional data and only a few
decades of "thin" slices of data. The sunspot counts of the last 300
years are not nearly enough of a data profile of solar output in and of
themselves to allow us deal with climate and weather issues. Damn tough row to hoe in the field of
science. Most likely something as complex
as the solar system requires a lot more data sorting than we are
capable of doing. The irritating part of all this is that
there is nothing we can do to fix it except deal with whatever comes
along and record what happens faithfully for a few decades, at minimum,
more probably for a few hundred years. Not even that is enough to but scratch the
surface. This is one big reason why all
science and discussion about what is happening on the Earth in terms of
global warming should be kept on a humble basis. Fixed, "cause"
oriented approaches about the causes of global warming are not useful. For the next week, is the sunspot count
going up or down? Good question. Got
any answers? My prediction today, a fairly
safe one based solely on the sinking Solar Flux, is that the count will
go down for at least another day, maybe two. Then it is anybody’s guess. DART BOARD FAILED PREDICTION FOR MAY 2004 (print and cut this prediction for
mounting on the wall, then chuck pencils or spitwads or whatever suits
your mood at it. “We should now have the lowest levels of
solar influence on our bodies, minds, and souls since the beginning of
Solar Cycle 23 Peak during the last half of 1999.” As reported
by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated The Solar Wind was mild at 379.7 km/s this
hour (about 10:00 UTC) and it was pushing a weak density of 0.8 protons/cm3”. The Fluxgate Chart at the (as of this
time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the
Fluxgate moment to moment, go to http://137.229.36.30/cgi-bin/magnetometer/plotstations.cgi? (watch the
word wrap on the URL) NASA PREDICTS: “Solar wind gusts from the
indicated coronal hole could buffet Earth magnetic field between May
20th and 24th.” Nothing much for Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class)
solar flare during the next 24/48 hours: about 30%, perhaps 5 to 30%
probability for geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours. Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic
field was quiet on May 18. Solar wind speed ranged between 284 and 343
km/sec. At midnight there were 6 spotted
regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was low. A
total of 3 C class events was recorded during the day…May 16-18: No
fully or partly Earth directed CME observed….A small, recurrent coronal
hole (CH96) in the southern hemisphere was in a geoeffective position
on May 17. A recurrent, poorly defined coronal hole (CH97) in the
northern hemisphere will be in a geoeffective position on May 19-20.” Jan Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic
field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on May 19 and 21. Quiet to
active is likely on May 20 due to effects from a weak coronal hole
stream. Another weak coronal hole flow could arrive on May 22 and cause
some unsettled to active intervals that and the next day.”
Alvestad also predicts for the next 24 hours, 60-100%
probability of coronal holes, 0% probability of CME's, 0% probability
of M and X Class Flares MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23: (These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad) Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2003 was 46.4 and for March it rose to 61.5. The number for April 2003 was 60, June saw 77.4. After falling to an average under 50 in September 2003, a huge surge in sunspot activity drove the November 2003 average number to 67.2. December demonstrated a definite downturn: 47.0 average sunspot count. This downward trend was confirmed with the ISSN monthly average at 37.2 for January 2004. BUT, February’s average count rose once again, along with the amount of record breaking February weather, to 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3. |
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WORLD
WEATHER SUMMARY Those who
have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations
between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans
to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very
much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few
years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. So far since May began, a good part of my
solar activity and weather predictions here have been wrong. Rather than small numbers for solar
activity and mild weather on Earth, it is
apparent that we will now see that
A LOT OF FREAK EXTREMES IN THE WEATHER WILL BLOW IN DURING THE NEXT TWO
WEEKS. And then the Venus | Earth alignment will
keep the ball bouncing during the first half of June right up and
through the Summer Solstice. The alignment of Venus | Earth on June 6-8
should make for a wet early Summer. This
weather disturbance may get pretty intense. Plan accordingly for practically anything. SORRY, BUT IT SHOULD BE GREAT FOR
TORNADOS, AND MAYBE AN EARLY NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH TROPICAL STORM OR
TWO DURING JUNE. EARTH WEATHER
PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS: (Northern
Hemisphere) This
“sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and
visual data shown on satellite and radar. For this next week, chaos and
unpredictable patterns will rule. The Jet
Stream over Nothing indicates a normalization in the
pattern now for the next seven days. Radar
maps show lots of action over EARTH WEATHER
PREDICTION FOR SPRING SEASON: (Northern
Hemisphere) This
“sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and
visual data shown on satellite and radar. June 7 or so will see another major storm
front roll in to greet the official opening of Summer on June 21. SOUTHWEST
CONDITIONS: for
background or more details see http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm/#weather (watch the
word wrap on the URL) Best bloom of cactus in four years. The
nights remain quite cool but the days are now warm.
This will probably remain for about a month and then begin
the all too typical hot summer. Weather will now normalize into close
alignment with statistical averages. EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH A fairly large cool patch of ocean water
has set up and consolidated along the Pacific Equator from the coast of
ADDITIONAL
NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in
accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin
axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS.
Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the
beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El
Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable
until early Spring 2005. GLOBAL
WARMING IS A BEEG, FAT, DISTURBING REALITY ARCTIC TEMPERATURES WARMING RAPIDLY: POLAR
EXPLORER Posted By: GlobalExodus <Send E-Mail> Date: Wednesday, 19 May 2004, 6:48 a.m. ABC
NEWS Online (May 19, 2004) Summer
temperatures in the Ben
Saunders, forced by the warm weather to abandon an attempt to ski solo
from northern "It's
obvious to me that things are changing a lot and changing very
quickly," a sunburnt Saunders told Reuters less than two days after
being rescued from the thinning ice sheet close to the North Pole. "I
do know it's happening because that was my third time in the An
international study last year said global warming would melt most of
the Arctic icecap in summertime by the end of the century. Many
scientists blame the rising temperatures on human emissions of
greenhouse gases while others point to what they say are longer-term
natural warming and cooling cycles. "The
temperatures were incredibly warm ... I had days when I could ski with
no gloves and no hat at all, just in bare hands, because I was too
hot," said Saunders. Logs
from an expedition in 2001 showed the average Arctic temperature at
this time of year was minus 15 to minus 20 degrees Celsius. Saunders
said the average temperature this time was just minus 5 to minus 7
degrees Celsius. "I
saw open water every single day of the expedition, which is not what I
was expecting," said Saunders, who had to don a special thermal suit
and drag his sled across open patches of water nine times during the 71
days he spent alone. He
covered a total of 965 km before giving up. "I
think a ski crossing from land to land ( Saunders
had planned to set off from "The
ice was terrible, right from the word go; very smashed up, very few
flat areas," he said, adding that the usually impermeable multiyear ice
was thinning. "(It)
is becoming less stable and it's breaking up more easily. There are
enormous pressure ridges, and enormous areas of what I'd describe as
rubble." Saunders
said he had also been struck by the almost complete absence of polar
bears on the Russian side. |