Phoenix Five Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 12 2004

You have heard of the Weather Report? Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

With this week’s update, we begin a shift in the style, methods, and organization of the Earth Changes Bulletin. Stay tuned…many more changes will come rapidly.

On the geophysical front, solar activity continues to be mild and most other factors are benign. The Sunspot Count dropped to 30 on May 5, rose again mysteriously to 57 on May 9, and dipped again to 47 on May 11. This small peak may be an early “rise” for the Mercury | Neptune alignment on May 22. The falling drop in the Solar Flux Index which was underway once again yesterday signals that the sunspot count will continue dropping during the next few days. The atmosphere is still settling down, more slowly than expected and a mild Spring is gradually emerging but not as quickly as predicted. Volcanic activity is up slightly more this week and worldwide seismic activity is about the same as the previous week despite the Full Moon Syzygy we have just passed through. Only two quakes struck in the Great Rift in the Mid Atlantic and along the Antarctic Tectonic Plate, thus perhaps signaling another decline in the Earth’s shape shifting. Overall, all cosmic factors are lulling and this lull may extend through most of the year, with only the alignments of Venus and Mercury during succeeding months to disturb the Earth.

On the geopolitical front, the strange year continues to unfold in ever more unbelievable and unpredictable patterns. AND ENOUGH WITH OGA euphemisms. SPELL “OTHER GOVERNMENT AGENCIES” AS CIA CIA CIA CIA CIA CIA CIA.

Who would have predicted the shock of horror and/or shame and massive loss of confidence which has settled over a goodly (Godly) portion of the world as deepsocketed machinations of the Century 21 Defense Intelligence and CIA spook factories begin to be revealed to the world. Yet even as Rumsfeld's Pentagon house of cards begins to collapse, the Army’s star may be rising. Army commands have begun now to negotiate directly with the Iraqi’s to keep the peace despite the pressure of the Pentagon to use too much force with too few men. An Army General, Taguba, clearly blew the whistle and pointed to the spook factories which Rumsfeld, Wolfowitz (you gotta love that name) and Richard “Prince of Darkness Grima Warmtongue” Perle established secretly, With these new spook factories for info and psyop wars, they infected the U.S. Military and induced it to use illegal methods to subject prisoners of the “War On Terror” with the maximum conceivable abuse without leaving a physical trail. As the world began to perceive this internal “Evil Empire”, America and Americans have become so “radioactive” there is no chance of anyone partnering with America, which leaves the faux-centrist Demopublicans under Kerry about no place to go and nothing to do. Once again the economic bubble took heavy hits and reeled against the ropes, making it clearer than ever that the economy is going NOWHERE ANYTIME SOON. BUT with the virtual collapse of all leadership in Washington DC, the U.S. Army Command is suddenly emerging as a real player offering real leadership to out the spooks and the incompetency of the Imperial Faction. It now may be possible for the Army command and the U.N. to cobble together an actual transfer of sovereignty to a new Iraqi government and keep enough of a lid on to enable a gradual transfer of the U.S. presence OUT OF IRAQ.

It is obvious that Bush is an international pariah and no powerful statesman in the world will directly assist him. But it may be possible for the U.N. Secretary General to work directly with the Army Command and the new government of Iraq to bring in additional support into Iraq to displace greater and great portions of the American military regime.

AM I SUGGESTING THAT THE U.S. ARMY SHOULD SIDELINE THE BOZO’S IN WASHINGTON D.C. BY IGNORING THE CIRCUS AND DOING WHAT MAKES SENSE? YES. CONFIDENCE IN WASHINGTON D.C. IS LOWER THAN IT HAS EVER BEEN SINCE THE 1920’S. DO WHAT MAKES SENSE AGAINST THE HIGHEST STANDARDS OF TRUTH.

WHAT THE WORLD WANTS TO SEE IS ALL THE PIX AND THEY WANT TO HEAR EVERYTHING WHICH CORPORAL ENGLISH HAS TO SAY. GIVE IT TO THE WORLD, THE PATH TO PEACE AND RESOLUTION IN IRAQ IS DOWN THAT TRUTH.

And so turns the world. At the moment, for a second week in a row, a retreat from increased violence seems possible. Though Isolated and alone, there may be a glimmer of hope for avoiding a deepening of the war and so the challenge is on.

Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Download from

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF MAY 12, 2004:

As discussed this week and herein,

the Collapse 2006 schedule,

MORE LIKELY THAN NOT,

IS CURRENTLY ACCELERATING AS A RESULT OF WORLDWIDE LOSS OF CONFIDENCE IN THE ELEMENTARY COMPETENCE OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AT THE HIGHEST LEVELS.

HOUSEKEEPING:

This version of the Update is one step along the way in converting the Earth Changes Bulletin and the Phoenix Quest sites. This intensive graphics approach will be used to eliminate any confusion with spam and worms and virus. Most of the Bulletins will be accessible only through the web.

I will continue to send out a summary to the email subscriber list, but the body will be in html format only on a webpage which you read through your browser. In effect, the Bulletins will become a web “blog”.

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and stations, see http://www.millenniumradionetwork.com/

FOR FIRST WEEK IN JUNE:

Mandeville is rescheduling an interview on the

THE LOU GENTILE PARANORMAL RADIO NETWORK

10 PM to Midnight EASTERN

9 PM to 11 PM CENTRAL

8 PM to 10 PM MOUNTAIN Time.

7 PM to 9 PM PACIFIC

http://www.lougentile.com or IBC Radio Network at http://www.ibcradio.com/

Date will be announced separately

EMAIL CORRESPONDENCE BACKLOG:

Slowly progress is being made. My main focus right now is to shift the formatting and organization of the Bulletins and Phoenix Quest lists to eliminate all threats of spam and worms and virus.

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

Despite all the noise and wailing, things seem clearer, calmer, and more upbeat.

Common sense and a new level of sensitivity are beginning to prevail. Some Americans are learning how to think and lead again. There are many positive signs in the Mideast and in government. Truth is upwelling, oh what a liberating force, dissolving the illusions an delusions which have held sway for so long.

Before it is done, as the liberating truths roll out during the next 48 months, the last Empire will be dissolved and it may be done relatively peacefully.

The secular world is spent. It is done, exhausted, the party of materialism is over. This last Boomer Bender has sickened everyone and left us retching emotionally over the sands of Iraq. Time to go home and find an honest job doing real things for real people..

Here is a real job. It is time to link the spiritual communities. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF LEADERSHIP. The spiritual forces are immensely strong. In all matters, follow the lead of the spirit, whose voice you find within is urging you to the highest and best for all. Breakthroughs are going to be made this year and next. The spiritualizing energy seems to have intensified in our bodies and souls, transforming the mind and the emotions at a far more rapid rate.

The May 8Medicine Wheel ceremonies were a good way to begin. The energy has been intense, focused, and highly communicative.

I do not know if it is our prayers. I do not know if it is direct action from that which is God. I do not know if it is simple intelligence.

But the energy is building.

Two days ago I had a dream, an intense 3D, color, talking out loud dream, one of those few (for me) really vivid ones you remember. Or was it a dream?

In the wee early morning hours I was talking to myself telling myself that I could break through the last remnants of the veil and push myself at will through and into the other plane, that all the neurons in the crown chakra were ready. And to prove it to myself, I proceeded to do it.

I awoke at about four a.m. and realized that I had just dreamed I could wake myself up from the other side by the use of will and focusing through a portion of my head chakra. The transistion between states was nearly instantaneous. It was like pushing through and into a sack.

I was even more impressed when I realized I was neither thirsty nor needed to drain my bladder, which are the main reasons, other than loud coyotes, I wake up at night.

And then I realized it was not a dream at all. It was myself coming back down through the soul stem or spiral of white light to give myself a vivid demonstration of awakening, that I was graduating into a new condition of volitional movement or awakening between the realms of spirit and flesh.

Indeed I find it so, and I know that this is the same for many others, which is why I mention it. I think Spirit wants us to bring this forth and into active manifestation through heart action. I get the message everyday.

Meditation builds this but it is really heart action that energizes it and prepares the way by leading us into the circumstances of growth. Keep dissolving away the mental boxes and the assumptions of yesteryear. Focus on the heart action seeking greater unity. The one thing which is certain is that yesteryear is gone forever. It is the assumptions of yesteryear which are the deadly ones, the blinders which keep you so focused you cannot perceive the wider horizons of greater opportunities.

Only exceptional effort and intense heart action which liberates absolute honesty in the West can overcome and heal the immense damage which ALL parties to the violence in the world have created with their emotionally-driven reactions and messianic pretensions, whether the flavor is Muslim, Jewish, or Christian (Zoroastrian Evangelism).

Keep in mind that Mayan Elders in Guatamala invited us to attend spiritual connection and alignment meditations in September of 2003. It was focused on the awakening of the people of the South. The meditation was designed to put heart action into manifestation in the activity of the peoples in the Southern Hemisphere, esp. in Latin America.

Since then, a mass movement in Argentina has ignited, literally in mass candlelight vigil marches, a mass unification which has resulted in a huge wave of reform measures which have thrown out hundreds of corrupt officials and ended the practice of right wing “kidnappings”. And one of our own close associates and really old friends was pulled down to Argentina. His posts about what is happening there, under the Cornplanter name, you have seen and I hope you see a lot more of.

As well, the Bolivians threw out the CIA crony government and many other changes are advancing throughout Latin America.

At that time, in September 2003, the Mayan Elders predicted that major changes would begin in May 2004, especially in the economic realm, and that conditions would continue to deteriorate slowly from that point onwards, reaching another major crisis point in the last couple months of 2004, perhaps in the form of major disruption and major demonstrations in the U.S.

I have been hoping they would be wrong, that they were really describing minor things which would not really heat up until 2006.

On May 8 many of us in North America responded in an unorganized way to suggestions for continental meditation by Medicine Wheel Shamans from some traditional tribes. Our focus was the joining of the medicine wheels into a continental medicine wheel to achieve a rebalancing of the land and people.

The stock market bubble immediately broke and lost 400 points and a number of sources began to tell us about how widespread the CIA’s torture chamber really is…

I don’t know that is in synch with what but I can sure see that this is in synch.

I rather suspect that I am going to be listening to the Mayan Elders when ever they wish to communicate.

Do you get the feeling that major lateral moves are coming your way? Perhaps it is time to begin thinking about your choices more energetically. Keep in mind that the secular age, which began roughly with the steam engine and the ending of the “commons” has come to an end point. Dr. Faustus Strangelove is in control of practically everything and it has all gone to hell.

God, that is to say, the appeal to consciousness of higher purpose and meaning, is inevitable. There is the only ground there is on which we can come together and make our stand.

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins
/statusreports.htm#polarmotion

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

To see the current graph of polar motion, see

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

AS REPORTED LAST WEEK: There is an interesting pattern which can now be seen in the XY plots of the world data system for the location of the North Spin Axis. Go to the plots by scrolling down the following web page until you find the black and white graphs:

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

Look at the Y graph, the bottom one. You can see that the “waves” look pretty smooth and regular, very nearly your classic sinusoidal wave form of energy flow.

Now look at the X graph, the top one. You can see that the bottoms and tops of the waves are a bit on the “dented” side.

What this means is that the Earth’s axis has no problem smoothly flowing in the Y dimension, either to it or away from it, which is up and down Longitudes East 90 and West 90. But the Earth’s wobbling motion encounters resistance from something out of balance near the X dimension, which is Longitudes 0 and 180. When the motion data is plotted into a spiral graph, the source of the disturbance appears to be in the bands of Long East 0-45 or Long West 180 to West 145.

Some sort of imbalance in the mass of the Earth appears to lie in these bands and this imbalance is no doubt causing the current progressive shifting of the Spin axis. Some serious four dimensional supercomputing could analyze polar location data for the past 100 years and probably come much closer to locating the imbalance. It would probably also define the current average rate of drift in the location as well as defining the impact of the Sun-Moon-Earth gravitational fields in causing variations in the drift. These variations probably can be correlated with quake and volcanic activity..

AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY: The motion of the spin axis appears to be more or less normal. This is the least of our problems.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of the changes in the magnetic field GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#earthfield

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

THERE IS NO EVIDENCE, ZIP ZILCH NADA ZERO OF AN OVERALL TREND IN THE DECLINE OF THE EARTH’S MAGNETIC FIELD.

The only CLEAR and DEMONSTRABLE trend is as reported in “Return of the Phoenix Book Three: The Prophecies”. The magnetic North Pole is shifting by about 20 KM per year in a beeline headed for the North Spin Axis. In other words, the spin axis and the magnetic North Pole have not been the same through all of recorded human history but currently it appears that these two are in the process of lining up and merging.

No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted)

For background and the current information on planetary alignments GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#planets

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

See Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for additional details

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003/

The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.

AS REPORTED PAST WEEKS: Now that Solar Cycle 23 is finally dissolving into a “minima” phase, and also especially now during May, both planetary alignments and sunspot peaks will be scarce. The Sunspot Cycle should begin to act more and more like a minima period, with average ISSN monthly counts under 20 most of the time and with NASA counts under 40 most of the time.

We have two upcoming planetary alignments in May, both of which should be weak in their influence. Both involve Mercury aligning with the most distant “real” planets of Neptune and Uranus:

May 22: Mercury | Neptune

May 28: Mercury | Uranus

AS PREDICTED LAST WEEK: The solar seas should remain calm for several weeks as neither of these alignments should do much more than cause a 20 point increase in sunspots, IF THAT. The one to be wary about, if you are traveling or planning outdoor events, is the next Venus | Earth. Venus catches up with the Earth and aligns with it June 7 2004 just before the Summer solstice. (THE ALMANAC CALENDAR MISTAKENLY SHOWS THIS ALIGNMENT AS A MERCURY|EARTH|PLUTO ALIGNMENT). This alignment should begin to be felt as increased solar activity during about the last week of May and the sunspot peak for it should be broad and early, perhaps as much as 10 days early.

The Moon this day is South of the Equator (its South Node) 23 days past the New Moon approximately 380,000 KM from the Earth. It is 34% of the last Full Moon (visibility). The Moon is now waning to the next New Moon of May 19 at 04:54 UTC.

We are a few days past Perigee and the next Lunar Apogee is May 21, 12:03 UTC, at 406261 KM from the Earth. All tectonic activity should decrease until about May 17. The next New Moon is on May 19 2004. (Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see http://www.syzygyjob.com/

PLANET WATCHING

For background and the current information on observable planets and planetary alignments GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#planets

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

Venus is still very bright and can be spotted as soon as the Sun begins to dip under the horizon. Venus, of course, is slowly catching up the Earth and will align with the Earth in June. So it will get brighter yet (and even lower to the horizon at Sunset. Right now it can be seen in small amateur telescopes as a thin silvery crescent.

NASA INVITES US: “SPACE STATION ECLIPSE: On May 13th, sky watchers can see a total eclipse of the planet Jupiter by the International Space Station (ISS). The narrow path of totality runs up and down the US east coast. If you miss the eclipse, you can still see the ISS during one of its many bright evening apparitions this week.” Get the full story from http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2004/12may_issjupiter.htm

NASA ALSO SUGGESTS: “COMET NEAT: Comet NEAT (C/2001 Q4) is fading, but it's still an easy target for binoculars and backyard telescopes. Look for it tonight after sunset; it's not far above the bright star Procyon in the southwestern sky.”

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. For background information, go to:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#sunspots

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

To follow the numbers below, view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart at

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

Or, get the data in a table from

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/DSD.txt

AS PREDICTED, THE SUNSPOT COUNT WAS MAINLY DOWN FOR THE PAST SEVEN DAYS

BUT,

NOT NEARLY AS MUCH AS I PROJECTED.

The sunspot count dropped to 30 on May 5 and then enigmatically rose again to 57 on May 9. Then it slowly sank again to about 47 as of yesterday May 11.

The count is most likely going down....the Solar Flux mysteriously rose to 95 from a low of 85 but is now headed downward again, which will bring us lower sunspot numbers during the next couple of days, at least.

Was this mini-peak in the sunspot count brought by the upcoming Mercury | Neptune alignment? Could be. It is a little early, some 10 days early, but we have seen similar early peaks in the past.

Let us see how this unfolds. Solar activity should be dropping rapidly but will perhaps another mini-peak in about a week for the Mercury | Uranus alignment on May 28. This one will most likely be higher than 60 but should not be much larger than that.

These higher numbers (than expected) are making for a more energized May than I projected very strongly during the past few months.....

Is anything special going on? I don't know. Everything in this strange year seems more polarized, more energetic, more pressing the extremes….perhaps it is in the cosmic winds of vaster cycles than we are able to monitor here.

Even so, we are recovering sunspot “drunks”. STAND PAT PREDICTION FOR MAY 2004: We should now have the lowest levels of solar influence on our bodies, minds, and souls since the beginning of Solar Cycle 23 Peak during the last half of 1999.

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated

The Solar Wind was mild at 393.1 km/s this hour (about 10:00 UTC) but it was pushing a robust density of 5.1 protons/cm3”.

The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) recorded a modest disturbance a half day ago.

(as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, go to http://137.229.36.30/cgi-bin/magnetometer/plotstations.cgi?

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

NASA PREDICTS: Nothing much for Auroras or solar storms. Solar Flares: Probabilities for a medium-sized (M-class) or a major (X-class) solar flare during the next 24/48 hours: less than 10%, perhaps up to 30% for geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours.

Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was quiet to slightly active on May 11. Solar wind speed ranged between 378 and 435 km/sec. The interplanetary magnetic field has since about 20h UTC been moderately southwards and this has caused an increase in geomagnetic activity to unsettled to active. At midnight there were 4 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was very low. No C class events were recorded during the day. May 9 and 11: No fully or partly Earth directed CME observed. May 10: A slow partial halo CME was observed in LASCO C3 following a filament eruption in the southwest quadrant. This eruption began at 03:36 UTC as observed in EIT images. The CME could reach Earth on May 13 and cause unsettled to active conditions.”

Jan Alvestad predicts: “A large coronal hole in the northern hemisphere is probably located too far to the north to become geoeffective..” Alvestad also predicts for the next 24 hours, 0% probability of coronal holes, 20-60% probability of CME's, 0% probability of M and X Class Flares

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23: (These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad) Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2003 was 46.4 and for March it rose to 61.5. The number for April 2003 was 60, June saw 77.4. After falling to an average under 50 in September 2003, a huge surge in sunspot activity drove the November 2003 average number to 67.2. December demonstrated a definite downturn: 47.0 average sunspot count. This downward trend was confirmed with the ISSN monthly average at 37.2 for January 2004. BUT, February’s average count rose once again, along with the amount of record breaking February weather, to 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3.

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our “sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.

AS PREDICTED (but not as completely delivered):

easier and milder as she goes until the first week of June.

A LOT OF PEOPLE WHO ARE FINALLY CLUEING INTO THE HARD EXTREMES IN THE WEATHER PATTERNS OF THE PAST FEW YEARS ARE GEARING UP PSYCHOLOGICALLY FOR MORE OF THE SAMO THIS YEAR. But the herd is always a year late. I AM CERTAIN THAT THE WEATHER IS IN THE PROCESS OF MODERATING DOWNWARDS AND THAT PATTERNS WILL NORMALIZE.

BUT, there is one more major storm cloud before the beginning of Summer. An alignment of Venus | Earth on June 6 should make for a wet early Summer. This weather disturbance may get pretty intense.

There will be two more periods of Mercury’s alignments with the inner planets this year, but the planets will not be grouped as close together and the waning of the Sunspot cycle should drastically reduce the solar input. This year 2004 should become increasingly a good weather year compared to the past several.

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS:

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED (BUT NOT AS WELL DELIVERED AS I WAS HOPING). Even now West Coast weather is moderating and the weather should begin to moderate even more than today. Look for weather everywhere to move close to the statistical averages which are typical in any given area.

BUT

The Jet Stream over North America has not straightened out nearly as much as expected. Until it does, we are not going to get as close to normal as I was predicting.

When the succeeding dips in the Jet Stream flow over the continent during the following weeks, they should move more slowly and with considerably less “dip”. THAT’S THE “NORMAL” FOR WHICH WE ARE LOOKING.

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR SPRING SEASON:

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

May is a lot more variable and unpredictable than I predicted, though the extremes seem to no longer be present.

I sill hold out for a “beautiful period” in most places.

June 7 or so will see another major storm front roll in to greet the official opening of Summer on June 21.

FOR NASA/NOAA: Can your forecast beat my forecast? You blew March and April and I correctly got the main drift fairly well for North America:

“May should be exceptionally wonderful, a normal Spring more normal than in five years. Two minor stormy periods will strike the end of the month, but the weather will not see major storms again until about June 7, when a another round of exceptionally stormy weather will plough across the continents for about a week.”

SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS:

for background or more details see

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm/#weather

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

AS REPORTED LAST TWO WEEKS: Tremendous growth in all plants. Best bloom of cactus in four years. The nights remain quite cool but the days are now warm. This will probably remain for about a month and then begin the all too typical hot summer. As the rest of North America normalizes, Arizona will begin its typical mid year bake.

Weather will now normalize into close alignment with statistical averages.

EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH
watch is now open again; Pacific water activity appears mostly normal, we are between the extremes of the ENSO; but all Auguries point to next year for the next onset.

A fairly large cool patch of ocean water has set up and consolidated along the Pacific Equator from the coast of Peru out some 35 degrees of Longitude. It is about half the size as last year’s cool patch at this time of the year.

It would seem that no Nino or Nina is indicated as of the moment, but this sudden cooling of the Equatorial belt bears watching carefully. It could build towards a surprise La Nina, but that is not very probable.

The huge warm patch in the Southern Hemisphere, which no doubt made Australia/New Zealand weather patterns more extreme the past six months, has virtually disappeared. The weather patterns South of the Equator should now normalize.

ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005.

EARTHQUAKES

Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger. I prepared this section by pulling out the Earth Changes 2003 Calendar which has everything plotted on it. You should too. Check out the Almanac as well, it discusses all of the windows for the year and even spo