PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Monitoring The Changes In The Earth

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edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright June 9 2004               

 

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Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of June 9 2004

You have heard of the Weather Report?  Here exclusively is this week’s  "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

 

I AM NOT RESPONDING TO EMAIL OF ANY KIND AT THE MOMENT UNTIL MY COMPUTER IS “FIXED”.  DETAILS BELOW.

 

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this  URL

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_June_9_04.htm

 

On the geophysical front, for the moment all vortex forces in the Cosmos and on Earth are lulling, even if the weather dynamics will take another week or two to wring out the excess energy in the Earth’s atmosphere.  Solar activity is declining with sunspots  sinking, now at 74 and the Solar Index sinking steadily, now at 83. Though the  Earth is still directly connected to the magnetic field of Venus, forming one of most powerful circuits of ionic flow in the solar system, the energy transference came early, nearly two weeks before the much heralded “transit” of Venus.   The greater part of the energy came during the last week of May.  On the Earth itself, the Full Moon Syzygy at Perigee last week produced very little seismic activity. Both frequency and magnitude were diminished from the preceding week.  Volcanic activity continued at about the rate of the prior week, perhaps even with a slight increase. 

 
On the geopolitical front, the strange year continues to unfold.  At the moment, economic and political conditions are in theoretical stalemate and any outcome, good or ill, is within the possible.  On a practical level, the Bush “Imperial Faction” regime has the active edge at the moment and “appears” to be succeeding once again at reshaping events to its advantage.   Yet even so, deep and bitter polarizations have been created in the world and many reactions from many vectors will become increasingly active to dislodge the Imperial Faction.  How these will play out, especially in Al Qaeda’s hand, are impossible to forecast.  But expect for certain that these reactions will hit when and where the Republicrats least expect.  Though many expect major upheavals tending to violence during the next six months, conditions under the influence of many foreign hands in Europe and Asia may turn more and more to peaceful change to set the stage for peaceful resolutions in the Middle East during 2005.  Meanwhile, the time of letting go the river banks of Century 20 have come to the lives of tens of millions in North America…..

 

Go to detailed synopsis…

 

 

 

NOTES

Grayed items are not yet operational

 

PREVIOUS
WEEKLY

UPDATES


June 2, 2004

May 26, 2004

May 19, 2004

May 12, 2004

 

 

Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well.  They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth.  Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects  The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors.  Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together.  This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead.  The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences.  The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

 

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/

 

 

 

 

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007.  Download from

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/collapse2006

 

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008:  This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent.  If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. 

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE june 9, 2004 – no change since this note of  MAY 12, 2004:   As discussed this week and herein, the Collapse 2006 schedule, MORE LIKELY THAN NOT, IS CURRENTLY ACCELERATING AS A RESULT OF WORLDWIDE LOSS OF CONFIDENCE IN THE ELEMENTARY COMPETENCE OF THE UNITED STATES GOVERNMENT AT THE HIGHEST LEVELS.

 

 

 

 

HOUSEKEEPING:

 

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time).   Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin.  To find Iway archives and stations, see http://www.millenniumradionetwork.com/

 

WORMS, DATA PIRATES, AND SNOWFLAKE CONFUSION:

After learning how to ditch the spoofers to keep the Earth Changes Bulletin clean, I came up to Snowflake to build up computer systems for Dain, Isabelle, and Gabriel, the children of Annette and Joey Hardman as well as solve chronic computer issues for Annette.  This is nearly accomplished, quite easily as a matter of fact.  But when I set up my computer to access Annette’s broadband ISP, I forgot to reset my FIREWALL. I had deactivated it to test out the Firewall capabilities of my ISP, which is Earthlink.  Earthlink works quite well but not in Snowflake and thus I have to use Frontiernet.  But Frontiernet offers no firewalls.  Oh oh.

 

Some of the pirates must know this. My computer was highjacked within about three days, immediately after Isabelle tried to use the games at ABCKIDS.COM. Actually it was my first partition operating system which was highjacked.  As soon as the system goes on line now, data is pumped out of my system, which you can watch go by observing the XP connection window, which logs the data bytes going in both directions.

 

A very cool little feature.  I almost immediately figured out what was happening, first by noticing that the email transmission was extremely slow and then by watching the data flow monitor. 

 

I have not figured out yet what has highjacked it.  Ad-aware, a powerful and wonderful program, was installed and killed a bunch of spies in the form of cookies and two registry entries from Dateminer and Alexa, and Spyware Nuker.

 

That was probably picked up from ABCKIDS.COM and or KILLFROG.COM which I would strongly advise you not to use unless you are firewalled and have ad-aware installed to kill what may be their predatory habits.

 

The problem of figuring it out is made complex by the simple fact that I suspect that it is a worm and thus I dare not use the main operating system on my computer on the net.  Also by the fact that the download speed on the Snowflake modem is very slow, at 24,000.  Also by the fact that I have almost no software installed ion the other operating system partitions. Also frankly by the fact that I am balking and this is NOT my main priority.

 

Also, most especially by the poisoning I received from a chlorinated swimming pool in Show Low Arizona.  I consume no chlorine at all as I drink only filtered water.  The pool was so chlorinated Isabelle got a huge rash, her father got a rash and I got to feeling really crummy.  I ended up taking aspirin for several days, and even despite a lot of meditation, didn’t work out the crummies for at least four days.

 

Despite the crummies, I have been indirectly downloading patches and dewormers and trying them out manually. So far, we have not found the highjack mechanism.

 

All this to explain why I am not responding to email of any kind at moment and probably will not until I can get rid of the highjacker.

 

 

Begin Synopsis

 

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time.  Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year. 

 

As is now plain to see, the “Great Purification” has clearly commenced, pretty much right on the schedule suggested by the Q’ero, the Maya, and the Hopi. For additional discussion, see especially the commentary of May 19, 2004.

 

Let go the assembled conspiracies, the asteroids, the Naval Fleets, Alqaeda, the terrorist threat, the baloney war, and all the other bogusities and illusions of this Comic Book era. 

 

Let go the assembled Naval Fleets,  they are going to do whatever they are going to do and most likely it is just a game to make the American Imperial Faction look Great and Wonderfully Dominant over the world.  Let go of them, stand or sit back, and P%## on them.

 

Let go the fleets of asteroids and comets and huge marauding but somehow invisible planets. Hey Chicken Little, the sky is not falling….

 

Let go of Megastorms and the Day After Tomorrow, and the planet prophets which play on Art Bell and Whitley Strieber.  Ain’t gonna happen.  It never happens that way….

 

Let go of McCanney, Icke, and all those in that genre.  They don’t know what they are talking about.  They build speculation on top of  conjecture on top of paranoia and mislead many into wasting prodigious amounts of time

 

You simply don’t need them.

 

Let go of having to think only positively and the idea that love will solve all problems.  Never has fixed the world and it won’t.  What is to come is genuine tragedy.  Sadness, hard times, confusion, betrayal, absurdity, and pain.  None of that will go away….until you let go the bank of the river which fixates you on the Century 20 and Century 21 illusions.  Love may help YOU transform these things in self and family, but it will not prevent the collective tragedy. 

 

Realize the depth of the tragedy, that the human species is too crazy and too irrational to solve its problems…

 

…and let go of the river banks of what you once thought was stability.

 

Let go of Nesara and the heralds of white knights.  There are none.  The benign forces have caught a raft and floating down the river to another time, calling upon you to do the same.

 

Let go of America The Greatness Uber Alles, the U.S. government, the U.S. constitution, the “Free Enterprise” Economy, the Plutocracy, economic security, the so-called “Christian” evangelism, and Catholicism.  Let go all these tired illusions which failed a long time ago.

 

Let go, Bush, Kerry, and all the would-be leaders of the Most Amazingly Stupid Oligarchy ever created. None of them will save a soul, let alone a continent of souls.

 

Simply let go of the river banks of Century 20. Let it recede in the distance of your memory.

 

Let go and have so quality time with kids this Summer.

 

ALL IS IN TRANSISTION

 

FLOW WITH IT AS YOU LET GO OF OLD PATTERNS

 

WORK DILIGENTLY AROUND THE DISRUPTIONS TO BRING USEFUL CONCLUSIONS.

 

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

 

 

 

 

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#polarmotion

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

To see the current graph of polar motion, see

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

 

After a strangely deviant "jog" in the Y dimension, Polar Motion on the X Wave is once again more or less appearing normal.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration.  This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

 

 

 

 

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of the changes in the magnetic field GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/
statusreports.htm#earthfield

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

 

No real change during the past year:  a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

 

 

 

 

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted)

For background and the current information on planetary alignments GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/
statusreports.htm#planets

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

See Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for additional details

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2004/

The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.

 

We are now beginning to decouple from the Venus | Earth alignment and the strong electrical circuit which these two inner planets formed between them.  Though the alignment will disappear over the next week as Venus pulls ahead of the Earth in their mutual race around the Sun, the coupling between their atmospheres via the long electromagnetic tail of Venus will continue to influence the Earth.

 

There are no other significant planetary alignments during June.

 

The Moon this day is now near dead on but slightly South of the Equator (its South Node) 22 days past the last New Moon and several days past the last Full Moon, and it is now approximately 381,700 KM from the Earth. It is 49% of the Full Moon (visibility).  The next New Moon is June 17 2004 at 20:38 UTC and the New Moon will be in Apogee while 406574 km from the Earth only four hours before the moment of perfect New Moon alignment.

 

This New Moon in Apogee should be one of the weakest seismic periods of the year.

 

The Summer Solstice, the longest day of the year, will be June 21 at 00 57 UTC

 

The next Full Moon will by July 2, 2004 at 11 09 UTC.

 

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit).   (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.)  For details see http://www.syzygyjob.com/

 

 

 

 

PLANET WATCHING  

For background and the current information on observable planets and planetary alignments GO TO:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#planets

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

NASA INVITES:

NASA REPORTS:  VENUS TRANSIT:  When Venus crossed the Sun on June 8th cameras around the world were clicking. Some of the pictures are unlike anything ever recorded in the history of astronomy. Here's one (THE URL BELOW)  from Frans Snik at the Dutch Open Telescope on La Palma (Canary Islands). Note the sunlit atmosphere of Venus, completely ringing the planet's jet-black silhouette: IT IS THE FIRST IMAGE IN THE PANAL ON THIS PAGE:

http://science.nasa.gov/spaceweather/venustransit/gallery_08jun04_page6.htm

 

 

 

 

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead.  For background information, CLICK HERE:

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm#sunspots

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

To follow the numbers below, view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart at

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

Or, get the data in a table from

http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/latest/DSD.txt

 

SUNSPOT COUNT AT 74 on June 8, 2004 AND SINKING.

 

After bobbing up to 128 on May 23, sunspot count bobbed up and down four times between 52 and 83 through to June 7.

 

That is probably it for June.  Sunspots will likely decline to below 50 and remain there, bobbing up and down between 10 and 50.

 

Apparently, the sunspot peak for the Venus | Earth alignment came early, its influence averaged into the gradients formed by the late May alignments of Mercury with the outer planets of Neptune and Uranus.

 

The Solar Flux partially determines the sunspot count and strongly suggests a low average month in the sunspot count.  The last peak in the Solar Flux was at 118 on May 23.  Since then it has been slowly and steadily declining to the Index of 87 as of June 8.

 

It is likely the sunspots will continue to decline along with the Flux Index. As well, the peaks caused by planetary alignments for the remainder of the year will most likely, on the average, continue to get smaller and smaller.

 

 

 

 

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated

 

With the clear waning of the sunspot peaks, it would appear that solar activity will diminish for the most part (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during sunspot minima periods).

 

With this general diminishment in the output of sunspots, flares, and solar storms, the SUN, as an explanation of global warming trends, will become weaker and weaker.  The push will be on to find other causal factors. Greenhouse gases and human activity, by themselves, are much too weak to explain the global warming trend, though many will try to pin the main blame there. As you continue to search for what is going on,  Remember the VORTEX of the Earth, namely tectonic activity and volcanism.  Keep looking there for data which ties in with global warming..

 

As of today,

 

The Solar Wind was robust at 466.5 km/s this day but it was pushing a frisky density of 2.2  protons/cm3”. 

 

The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) showed some major disturbances in the Earth’s magnetic field during the past 16 hours (atmospheric) (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, go to http://137.229.36.30/cgi-bin/magnetometer/plotstations.cgi?

 

NASA PREDICTS: Probabilities for an M-class or X-class solar flare during the next 24/48 hours: about 1-5%, perhaps 2% to 30% probability for geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours. 

 

Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled on June 8. Solar wind speed ranged between 375 and 450 km/sec…At midnight there were 3 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was very low. No C class events were recorded during the day….June 6 and 8: No fully or partly Earth directed CMEs observed. June 7: At least a partial halo CME was associated with a long duration C2 event in region 10621 early in the day. This CME could reach Earth on June 10.”

 

Jan Alvestad predicts: “A recurrent coronal hole (CH101) in the southern hemisphere will likely rotate into a geoeffective position on June 13...The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on June 9-12 with the possibility of a few active intervals on June 10 if the CME noted above reaches Earth.“  Alvestad also predicts for the next 24 hours, 0% probability of coronal holes, 20%-60% probability of CME's, 0% probability of M and X Class Flares

 

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23: (These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad) Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004  was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9  April’s count was radically lower at 39.3.  The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April.  This was about 9% higher than predicted. 

 

Solar Cycle 23 appears to be waning now in its influence.

 

 

 

 

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark.  Accordingly, our “sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.

 

CONFIRMED - AS PREDICTED:  it is apparent that we will now see that A LOT OF FREAK EXTREMES IN THE WEATHER WILL BLOW IN DURING THE NEXT TWO WEEKS.”

 

STAND PAT:  Plan for practically anything. 

 

PLAN ESPECIALLY FOR AROUND JUNE 10 – 14, ANOTHER RECORD BREAKING CROP OF TORNADOES AND THUNDERHEADS.

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

June 10-14 or so will see another major storm front roll in to greet the official opening of Summer on June 21.

 

Indeed, as of today June 9, huge wind flows and moisture flows are pouring in across the Western and Gulf states.  Daily winds averaging well above 20 mph are sandblasting portions of the Southwest and June in the Pacific Northwest is nearly covered from horizon to horizon with overcast.  The amount of energy rolling into the Great Plains and Midwestern states is virtually unreal and major flooding with violent storms during the next two weeks is inevitable.  Inevitably these storm fronts will roll right over New England, beginning in about a week, before expiring.

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR SUMMER SEASON

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

Too much chaos to get clear.  Wait and see until the current extremes settle out, then we can hazard an interpretation of the dynamics.

 

SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS

for background or more details see

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/statusreports.htm/#weather

(watch the word wrap on the URL)

 

Hot alternating with wind!!!.  Very little moisture is apparent, the dry wind is sucking plants dry.  Great time for drying anything…Bad time for farms.

 

 

 

 

EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH
The watch is now open again; Pacific water activity appears mostly normal, we are between the extremes of the ENSO; but all Auguries point to next year for the next onset.

 

The patch of cool water off the coast of Peru continues to break up

and decrease in size.  It would seem that no Nino or Nina is indicated as of the moment and conditions seem to be verging away from either condition.

 

ADDITIONAL NOTE:  The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS.   Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El Nino year.  So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005.

 

 

 

 

 

GLOBAL WARMING

It is becoming obvious that we have a long term real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the latitudes.  This climate shift is creating a growing environmental disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the Pacific Southwest.

 

KEEP WATCHING ESPECIALLY THE ARCTIC AND ANTARCTIC. Those areas are the most objective front line observatories of the climate shift.

 

For the latest short review, see

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004

 

 

 

 

IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR

 

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  The ionic flux and the human contradictions of denial have focused people into thinking and plotting intensely their next round of moves within a highly polarized mental and emotional atmosphere.  Expect heavy choppiness in all things human.  Sudden shifts, both good and ill, everywhere.

 

 

 

 

 

EARTHQUAKES

Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger.  I prepared this section by pulling out the Earth Changes 2003 Calendar which has everything plotted on it.  You should too.  Check out the Almanac as well, it discusses all of the windows for the year and even spotlights the two most dangerous windows. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I do.  See http://syzygyjob.com

 

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ACTION OF THE WEEK OCCURRED with two 5.9 quakes, one in the channel to the North of Java Island (Indonesia), another to the North of  Honduras at the Northeastern edge of the Yucatan Peninsula).  Two other quakes struck the Western edge of the Carib Tectonic Plate, a 4.4 in El Salvador and a 4.8 in Nicaragua.

 

Over all quake activity above 2.5 was quite diminished, far below typical perigee syzygy window levels. Below 2.5, quake activity was up slightly in North America. In short, this was a pitiful PILLOW (opposite of bust) of a week for seismic activity.  The largest daily total for quakes above mag 2.5 was only 16 quakes on June 3.  The daily average for the remainder of the last six days was way down, in the range of 6-10 per day.  Yesterday, June 8, there were only three quakes, and the day before, there were only four quakes.

 

Last week I advised that a major increase in quake activity should be expected in North America to mirror the concentration of activity in the South Pacific around Australia.  The “mirror” failed and thus also the advisory obviously failed. 

 

Quake activity, such as it was the past seven days, appears to have been randomly distributed.  There were four shapeshifting quakes during the past seven days in the Great Rift which winds around the Earth across the bottom of the oceans.  Three of the quakes (in the range of 4 to 5 in magnitude) were in the Northern Mid-Atlantic to the South of Iceland in what is called the Reykjanes Ridge.  Another quake of 4.8 struck the Mid Atlantic Ridge well to the South of the Equator.

{The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around the world increases}’’

 

On the other side of Greenland, in what is called Baffin Bay, a sizable  quake stuck in what is most likely a fault zone (not a part of the Great Rift).  Baffin Bay divides Greenland from Canada but in appearances only. Most likely Greenland is a fragment of North America which largely moves tectonically along with the rest of North America. But in geologic ages past, Greenland “cracked” off North America and its Western edge sank enough to create Baffin Bay.  This sinking was most likely possible by the major fault zone between Greenland and North America and this fault zone was most probably created when the center of the ice cap of the North Spin Axis was over that portion of North America.

 

There were two clusters of quakes which are of some interest.  Two were off the California coast, not far out to sea near Paso Robles.  The Paso Robles area has been a focus of activity for the past few months and continues to be.  The emergence of fracturing in the crust off the coast off Paso Robles demonstrates how much the shape of the crust is actually changing as result of movement in the San Andreas fault which runs inland parallel to the coastline near Paso Robles.

 

Another cluster struck in Nevada on the Northern side of Lake Tahoe.  At least nine quakes, including one 4.5, demonstrates that the complex faulting and folding in the Eastern side of the Sierra Nevadas in a continuing saga.  These quakes are probably more related to deformation in the North American Tectonic Plate than to the collision of different plates, such as occurs along the California coast.

 

NORTH AMERICAN WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude.

 

Despite the no-show of quakes larger than 2.5 for the perigee syzygy, seismic activity in North America for quakes in the range of 1.0 and was up in frequency, as should be, though not by much, for the last seven days:

 

527 quakes in U.S./Alaska as a whole, up from 518 last week, mostly widely scattered, which a large number in the Kodiak Peninsula and Central Alaska

 

340 in California and Nevada, down from 397 last week, widely scattered in all the usual places.

 

32 in the Pacific Northwest, up from 18 reported last week (two week period) – these were mostly scattered along the spine of the Cascade Mountains in Washington State, four related to St. Helens,

 

22 - in Utah, scatted throughout, down 25 from last week

 

10 in the Mammoth Lakes, Long Valley Volcanic Field, down from 22 last week,  all small microtremors only weakly focused.

 

The main increase in activity in North America was in Alaska.

 

YELLOWSTONE WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude.

 

10 in Yellowstone, down from 8 last week, most of these were  about 40 miles to the Northwest of Old Faithful. For Yellowstone activity, see

http://www.seis.utah.edu/recenteqs/Maps/111-45.html

 

WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES

 

 

 

 

VOLCANOES

Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre at:

http://www.swvrc.org/cerupt.htm

or see “Breaking Volcano Eruption News” at

http://www.volcanolive.com/volcanolive.html

(For the past couple of years I have been counting volcanoes in the classifications used by the Southwest Volcano Centre.  But the Centre cleaned house this first week and dropped all volcanoes off its list which it could not confirm to be in one of the three categories as of the beginning of the year. This means that a lot of volcanoes dropped off the lists, making the stats from this moment on un-comparable with last year’s numbers.)

 

OVERALL WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY NOW SEEMS TO BE PLATEAUING AT A LEVEL WHICH IS LOWER THAN PRECEDING MONTHS.  There appears to be very little change from last week’s numbers and activities – at most perhaps a 5% uptick in small scale activity such as occasional small ash emissions.

(This is a fairly subjective guestimate based on the numbers and data reported by the SWVC, quake data, and other reports)

 

Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of June 9, 2004

 

5 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment) (same as last week)

 

43 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may begin) one up from last week)

 

23 on active list (seismic, gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (one up from last week)

 

Popo gave an 18 puff day yesterday.  Centrapred reports for June 9 (17:00 GMT) that “In the last 24 hours the acitivity of Popocatepetl volcano remained stable. There were only 18 small exhalations accompanied by steam and gas. The other monitored parameters remain without important changes. At the moment of this report the volcano cannot be seen due to clouds.”

 

MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK

from Volcano Breaking News by Volcanologist John Seach

at http://www.volcanolive.com/volcanolive.html

Volcano Travel:  john@volcanolive.com

Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian Time (UT + 10 hr)

 

Mt Bromo Volcano (Indonesia)

7.94 S, 112.95 E, summit elevation  2329 m, stratovolcanoes

Wednesday 9th June 2004

Mt Bromo erupted on Tuesday killing two people and injuring five others. The volcano ejected hot rocks the size of footballs from the crater at 3:30pm local time. Search and rescue teams have been advised to stay away from the volcano until it is declared safe to approach, and Bromo has been closed to the public until further notice. Many buildings in the nearby towns of Malang and Probolinggo were covered by a light coating of ash two hours after the eruption. The neighbouring towns of Lumajang and Pasuruan were also affected by the eruption. Mt Bromo is a popular tourist destination, and many visitors climb to the crater's edge. The volcano has erupted more than 60 times since 1767.

More on Mt Bromo volcano...

http://www.volcanolive.com/bromo.html

 

Kilauea Volcano (Hawaii)

19.425 N, 155.292 W, summit elevation 1222 m, Shield volcano

Wednesday 9th June 2004

Lava entering the ocean at Kilauea volcano has formed a 130m long delta parallel to the shore, and reaching 10-15m seaward. There is a smaller lava delta almost joining the first, and it is 50m wide, and stretches 6-10m into the sea. Both lava deltas are active and are being fed by lava cascades and tube flows.

More on Kilauea Volcano...

Volcanoes of Hawaii...

http://www.volcanolive.com/kilauea.html

 

Mt Bromo Volcano (Indonesia)

7.94 S, 112.95 E, summit elevation  2329 m, stratovolcanoes

Tuesday 8th June 2004

A report has been received about an eruption at Tengger Caldera in East Java on Tuesday 8th June at 0830 UT. An ash plume was emitted to a height of 3km above the summit. The exact location of the eruption has not been confirmed, but is possibly Mt Bromo, a popular tourist destination on the northern end of the caldera. Pilots report ash to 3000 ft.

http://www.volcanolive.com/bromo.html

 

Awu Volcano Indonesia

3.67 N, 125.50 E, summit elevation 1320 m, Stratovolcano

Tuesday 8th June 2004

About 20,000 people have been evacuated from the slopes of a volcano in northern Indonesia, which is showing signs it is about to erupt.

http://www.volcanolive.com/awu.html

 

 

 

 

ECONOMY WATCH 

For background information, use password to go to:

 (watch the word wrap on the URL)

 

AS REPORTED FOR WEEKS: The bubble is still barely being maintained. But the Bulls appear to be gathering cohesion for a serious attempt to jawbone the illusions of growth and greatness under the Bush Regime uber alles.  The Bears “appear” to be less dominant.

 

All factors and dynamics are in a chaotic flux with no clear trendlines.  But most economic actors now appear to believe that the Federal Reserve will raise the interest rates and this belief is rapidly polarizing all expectations and behaviors.

 

Small tiny interest rate hikes most likely will appear during the next 30 days.  This expectation is being discussed as the primary reason for the slight firming of the value of the dollar vis a vis the euro.  International sources are said to be stockpiling dollars in expectation of higher U.S. interest rates.

 

This of course does nothing for the production economy for real people.  It will merely increase the cost of everything for working people.

 

The next 90 days is likely to be full of contradictory news, with a lot of chops (up and down) in the stocks and equities, with a constant jawboning of illusions of economic recovery.  A good part of the “good” economic news will be politically motivated.  Pay it little heed except for news of price increase.  Those are real and those are permanent, a definite lowering of the average standard of living. 

 

FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION FOR THIS YEAR,

 

 See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004

 

LONG TERM PREDICTION:  As the loss of value of the dollar accelerates, job creation in all the main old line pursuits will become nearly impossible in the U.S.  New production of new goods which solve real problems, along with companies which directly export American-produced goods, are the keys to the economic future.   But in the meantime, things will get funkier and funkier.  You have 2.5 years at max to the transition point at bottom.

 

GENERAL PREDICTION DJI AVERAGES

 

The DJI lifted about another 100 points from 10,262 last Wednesday to about 10,368  this Wednesday (closing numbers).

 

Most likely the next bubble in the DJI is now forming up and it will work to raise stock prices all the way to the November elections, UNLESS, Al Qaeda and Iraqi insurgents muster out another major round of psychological shocks. 

 

IF YOU HAVEN’T ALREADY, LIQUIDATE ALL STOCK POSITIONS.   Given the massive loss of confidence in the U.S. and the Bush Administration, which is being discounted and undercut by many of the world’s wealthiest people, it is very doubtful that the boomer bubble is going to go much higher.  As I predicted more or less in the Coming Economic Collapse of 2006, 10,500 is about as high as it is going to get.

 

FORMING UP NOW:  As I predicted last week, there may be one small rise left between now and the final slide, but don’t count on it. The small rise, IF IT COMES, is likely to come this Summer/Fall as a result of the decision of the House of Saud to support the Bush Imperial Faction with a major expansion in the production of oil to force a drop in the retail price.  This will be even more effective than a tax cut.  It will suddenly stimulate people to do things with the cheaper fuel prices.  Lowered fuel prices will thus increase activity, confidence, sales, gross revenues, and equity values, most esp. stock prices.

 

So a “timely” boomlet may form up by October 2004, based on draconian manipulation and outright sorcery by the Imperial forces that be.  This of course will allow Bush and Company to say, “see, we told you so, there there everything is all right after all.” 

 

But do not expect that even this scenario will proceed smoothly.  There is too much instability and too much mass attitude change underway, with Al Qaeda also able to jitter the market on any given week with several hundred points of pure terror.

 

For additional discussion, see the:

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004

 

EURO WATCH 

 

The dollar firmed a bit this week, up slightly more than a penny to 0.8304 from 0.8189 per euro last Wednesday. 

 

As oil prices continue to drop, the value of the dollar will probably fall into a more stable, slow slide and it may even rebound slightly for a short while. 

 

But the overall erosion is likely to slowly continue through the year and may bottom at $0.65 to $0.70 per euro by the end of 2004.

 

MUST READ:  “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, which lays out the dynamics of what is happening. 

see http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006.htm

 

 

 

 

SURVIVAL WATCH

 

FOOD WATCH

 

All prices are going up substantially this year.

 

JOB WATCH

 

Government stats at the national level have become just another “Big Brother” lie.  We are adrift without real information.  This is not likely to change until the Orwellian Regime under the Imperial Faction is liquidated.

 

 

 

 

POLITICAL WATCH

How are the sunspots likely to most effect human affairs during the weeks and months ahead?

 

SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free and has never even been indicted. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME).  At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration.  ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES:  The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services.  This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah.  I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM. 

 

 

 

 

THE STRATEGIC SITUATIONFinal Synopsis
For predictions related to the mess in Palestine, the Middle East, and the Bush political era, check out

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/
ecbulletins/statusreports_political.htm#strategic

(watch the word wrap on the URL)


AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  Stand pat observations

 

Al Qaeda has the U.S. just exactly where they want it, its military extended and exposed to the grenades of  an endless Arab "snipe hunt" across a vast unfriendly territory.  They use their random attacks like the lances of bullfighters, to weaken and confuse the American Bull.  Their strategy is winning, mainly because Bush, Rumsfeld and his Imperial Faction are incompetent buffoons and continue to step into the traps Al Qaeda lays as well as hand delivering on a silver platter an oafish continuation of the killing fields of Iraq.  An astute leader could turn the entire situation around in 120 days but none has arisen among the Americans..

 

But even so, this time of transition has brought glimmers of hope.

 

PERHAPS BUSH HAS BEEN CAJOLED INTO HANDING OFF THE LEADERSHIP IN REAL TERMS TO THOSE WHO ARE MORE ASTUTE THAN RUMSFELD’S IMPERIAL FACTION.

 

In other words, all conditions now seem fluid, in transition, and others may be entering the situation in Iraq in a way which will arrest the free fall into tragedy.

 

Many a doubting Thomas, for entirely good reasons, will suppose that is too optimistic.  Many will argue that not all is as it seems and that Iraq is now merely a puppet show run by the CIA.   There is doubtless a great measure of truth to such notions.

 

But not even the CIA is in real control. The point is, as can be seen in Iraq, nobody is really in control.  The best the CIA can hope to do is “shape” events.  As the U.N. vector begins to shape decisions, the hand-off of sovereignty may surprise everyone…and provide the Americans with an avenue of escape from perpetuating the Imperial travesty in Iraq.

 

Michael Wells Mandeville,
The Hills of Arizona USA at mwman@earthlink.net
Master Website Index is at: http://www.michaelmandeville.com

Author of  several books, including: "Return of the Phoenix" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/phoenix/phoenix.htm
and "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006.htm
_________________________________________________
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