Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright July
28 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES
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here for how to access these in the complete weekly update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is
conceived as a System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend
to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet
Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is
underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 28 2004 You have heard of the Weather
Report? Here exclusively is this weeks "Earth Report" - a
short review of the big picture about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and
the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest
prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and
every man. You may click here for the full text of the
Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use
this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_July_28_04.htm EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG, RARE GEOMAGNETIC STORMS
DRIVEN BY HUGE SUNSPOTS CONTINUE TO WALLOP THE SURFACE OF THE EARTH, CHAOS REIGNS IN THE
ATMOSPHERE, WEATHER, AND THE MIND OF HUMANITY WHILE POLITICAL HOT AIR BALLONS RISE TO NEW
RECORDS. On
the geophysical front, MORE THAN EVER, solar vortex
forces in the Cosmos are UNPREDICTABLE. Amazing everyone, sunspots peaked
again as high as 130 on July 21. Major sunspot and solar storm activity continues to
be likely during the next several days. Weather forces continue to accelerate in
response and the Earths atmosphere is spinning in chaotic extremes. A third of
Bangledesh is under flood water, strange snows appear in some
mountainous areas, and finally even the Southwest got some rain this week. New major
planetary alignments in August and September will keep everyone guessing for the next
couple of Months. But despite the turmoil from above, relative peace reigns below.
Volcanic activity is about the same as last week, mostly muting, and earthquake activity
this week is insignificant except for a 6.4 quake in On
the geopolitical front, the strange year is now marching rapidly to a
conclusion in the |
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NOTES Grayed
items are not yet operational PREVIOUS UPDATES |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with
the Earth Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle
technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth.
Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes,
volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded,
poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the
treatment entertaining and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific
principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities
of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a
perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and
weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture",
long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead. The result is
sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and
can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions
which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac
Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/ |
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SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will bottom in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL
COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis is
far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on
this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent. If you have not
purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly
changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY
21, 2004 Several important economic factors and/or indicators are now
declining IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS, IT
WILL BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED PROGRESSIVELY
DOWN. ACCORDINGLY, SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE 25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE
HAS FINALLY HIT. IF THE MESSAGE IS YES, the Kerry-Edwards ticket most
likely will win decisively and the Republican control of Congress most likely will be
cracked. But there is room for considerable movement in all positions
among large numbers of people and it is clear that many events in this fast-paced,
unpredictable year could deflect ALL expectations. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JUNE 30, 2004
Conditions appear to be
settling down and stabilizing, which is about the only thing which can happen in the dog
days of High Summer, especially in hot arid desert regions with little to poor air
conditioning. As people vacation escape or stay in place to survive, all the
contradictions, struggles, and violence will appear to abate and this will give
Bushs Imperial Faction the appearance of being on a roll with some momentum, but
people will be too busy elsewhere to notice. Things will cook on the
back burner until September. Until then, all markets and equities will flat line
after a little spurt of minor adjustments from the sorcery of Greenspans interest
rate increase. During the Fall, to make up for lost time, many pots will boil over
in all directions on all topics. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JUNE 16, 2004
The loss of confidence
in the LATEST UPDATE NOTE
june 9, 2004 no change since this note of MAY 12, 2004: As discussed this week and herein, the Collapse
2006 schedule, more likely than not, is currently accelerating as a result of worldwide
loss of confidence in the elementary competence of the |
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HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona
Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular Weekly Update For The
Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network. |
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As stated in the
Coming Economic Collapse of 2006, the nature of human politics reflects the
communication abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth. Making the
way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not
that that is all that there is to it. Not by a long shot
but IT IS one of the
essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the
spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is
the praxis of the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. TRANSISTION CONTINUES
EVERYTHING IS
WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. KEEP FLOWING WITH THE RISING TIDE OF
SPIRITUAL ENERGIES WHICH ARE FILLING MANY THIRSTY SOULS. THE OLD PATTERNS ARE
FALLING AWAY. In a short while, some will come forth
giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the
hand of God was upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words
will have greater meaning by the end of the year. Did you notice the number of Black
Ministers preaching social justice at the Democratic National Convention? God has
become socially acceptable in Democratic politics and the door for a spiritual
transformation of American politics HAS NEVER BEEN MORE OPEN. I believe I see that secular materialism is
on the way out and impersonal 20th century academic sociopsych-quack
is on the way out. Meaning and purpose within a higher being are on the way in. |
The Great
Purification predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Qero, and many others
continues. How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year
and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional
discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS
GESTATING
. THE time to link the spiritual
communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP. |
FOR THE MOST PART:
Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for
perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of
acceleration. This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs. AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK: We have passed
the Y Max last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin
Axis when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is
maintained by the IERS agency in http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES SHIFTING What is happening to the magnetic
fields of the Earth. No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole
shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least. THE TWO HUGE GEOMAGNETIC STORMS THIS WEEK
MAKES ONE A BELIEVER IN THE AWSOME POWER OF THE MAGNETISM AND ELECTRICITY IN THE SOLAR SEA
TO PROFOUNDLY EFFECT ALL LIFE. As waves on the magnetic sea break upon
the shore of the Earth, the forces can shift everything around, including our cellular
activities, bringing disorientation to humans as well as birds
Rarely do we notice the magnetic
sea but the huge breakers this week, equivalent to 100 foot waves or 8.0 earth
quakes, have given us some important experiences. Many people reported exceptional
difficulties or oddities at all levels. For me it took the form of incomplete
meditations and immense weariness, a virtual spiritual impotence. For the APS Electricity
Utility in |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASAS ESTIMATE: Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come
closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet,
although astronomers are finding new ones all the time. |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS A new almanac is being constructed.
It will be up very soon and I will post url in a day or
so. THE MOON We are in Lunation #1010. The Moon
this day is now South of the Equator (in its South Node)
11 days past the last New Moon. It is now approximately 363,306 KM from the Earth.
It is already 88% of the Full Moon (visibility). The next Full Moon is July 31 at
18:06 UTC. The next New Moon is August 16 2004 at 1:24 UTC. THIS FULL MOON SYZYGY SHOULD
BE A POWERFUL ONE SINCE THE MOON IS STILL SO CLOSE TO THE EARTH. (Perigee = the Moons
closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational
influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moons greatest distance from
the Earth during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula for
syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS We are in the throes of an unusual set of
planetary alignments. Venus is in close alignment with Uranus, Earth is forming up an
alignment with AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: The next alignment
season for the planets is during the last week of July. Beginning about July 24, a
progression of three different alignments involving different pairs of planets will occur
within a few days of earth other. The following chart from the Home Planet Software
displays these alignments, beginning with Venus | Uranus, then Earth | Heliocentric View of Solar System as of July 27,
2004
PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS A list of planetary alignments follows
below. These will all be listed on the Calendar in a few weeks. For the next
10 months, four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions
in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major
effects on the Earths weather. The Summer Knot July 27 through September 8 Major ups and downs in the sunspot counts, at least three major storm fronts betwixt now and
September 15 or so. The Triple Whammy September
Surprise September 28,
2004 - October
1, 2004 Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple
alignment Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and
Weather turns into chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme
Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places. The Apogee At or near the Earths Apogee (closest
approach to the Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY STORMY
WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major
peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front
should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June 7, 2005
Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving
up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with
Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and Heliocentric View of Solar System as of August
3, 2004
LIST OF ALL ALIGNMENTS FROM AUGUST 2004
THROUGH MAY 2005 Earth | Mercury | Mercury | Earth | Uranus ( Mercury | Venus ***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as
Mercury catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5 degrees,
with all other planets widely dispersed ***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected Venus | Neptune and all others widely
dispersed Mercury | Pluto Mercury | Neptune Mercury | Uranus Venus | Jupiter Mercury | Earth Venus | Mars Mercury | Jupiter Mercury & Mars close couple to Mercury | Venus with Pluto close couple Mercury | Mercury | Uranus Venus | Venus Neptune Mercury | Saturn ***Mars | Pluto ***Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Mercury | Pluto Pluto | Mars with a continual dispersal of
the planets. A few minor alignments form through to June 7. ***Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment June 10 , 2005 Mercury forms triplet with Venus and Saturn
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current
information on observable planets. |
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. AS PREDICTED, HIGH COUNTS ALL
WEEK. As predicted, higher counts came and peaked at 130 on July 25. EVEN
BIGGER COUNTS ARE COMING, PROBABLY, IN AUGUST. As of July 27, the SUNSPOT
count dropped to 66 with a falling Solar Flux of 123. The count could begin to rise at any
time for the Mercury alignment with Earth in August NO RELIEF IN SIGHT FROM THIS AMAZINGLY STRANGE
AND INTENSE SUMMER The Sun is still on a loooong tangent on its very slow way to the next Solar MInima. Date
Flux Sunspots Area 2004 07 21 172
162 2420 2004 07 22 173
117 2070 2004 07 23
165 86
2050 2004 07 24 147
109 1730 2004 07 25 145
130 1440 2004 07 26 128
113 1230 2004 07 27 118
66 1130 Area: total aggregate size of the
sunspots AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK AND AS SHOULD BE
WATCHED ESPECIALLY THROUGH THIS AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER: It is probably the huge
variation of size which is currently driving the tremendous influx of x
dimension energy, possibly scalar wave energy, which is effecting psychics and living
creatures. If so, we have a new variable to consider. Up to now I have ignored
size to keep the task of correlation easy and also within the same pattern as the
correlations with the count in previous centuries. But most likely, serious students
need to examine the area variable and look for correlates. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless
otherwise stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during
sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into). The Solar Wind was modest at 578.7 km/s
this day while pushing a modest density of 0.2 protons/cm3. There are no big coronal holes on the
Earth-facing side of the sun today, but even so solar activity is still quite volatile as
of today and likely to remain so DURING THE NEXT TWO WEEKS. At the moment, sunspots
appear to be declining in numbers again but probably not for long and the decline will
probably not be very deep. One huge sunspot area will rotate out of view in two or three
days but shortly after that another huge area will rotate into view from the other side of
the Sun. This coming area is known to produce huge flares and CMEs.
Overall potential for extreme solar storms driving extreme Earth weather is very
high for at least the next two to three weeks. The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earths atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) has been pegged beyond the edges of the chart for much of the week. These extreme fluctuations of course record the severe magnetic storms which have hit the Earth in two tremendous waves during the past 48 hours. (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE. NASA PREDICTS: A coronal mass
ejection hit Earth's magnetic field on July 26th and sparked a severe geomagnetic
storm. During the next 24/48 hours, probability for an M-class solar flare is at 40%
and for an X-class solar flare is at 10%, with a generally 5% to 45% probability for minor
to severe geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude
(higher the latitude, higher the probability). Jan Alvestad reports: The geomagnetic field was minor to
extremely severe storm on July 27. Solar wind speed ranged between 729 and 1005 km/sec
under the influence of a CME. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 118.1
(somewhat high due to a long duration M1 event). The
planetary A index was 162 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of
three hour interval ap indices: 164.0), making July 27 one of the stormiest days during solar cycle
23
At midnight there were 3 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar
flare activity level was moderate. A total of 8 C and 2 M class events were recorded
during the day. Region 10652 decayed further, however, M class flares are still
possible (and will be until the region has rotated behind the northwest limb)
July
26-27: No obvious Earth directed CMEs observed. Coronal
holes
The northernmost extensions of a coronal hole (CH106) in the southern
hemisphere were in a geoeffective position on July 25, however, no noticeable geomagnetic
effects are likely due to the extreme CME related geomagnetic storm which began late on
July 26. Jan Alvestad predicts: The geomagnetic field is expected
to be unsettled to active on July 28 and quiet to unsettled on July 29-31.
Alvestad also predicts a 20% to 60% probability of M or X class flares during the next 24
hours but no probability of new CMEs or coronal holes MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE
23: (These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad) Over all, the sunspot average count
(ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average
count at 48.9 Aprils count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004
average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still
with an average count of 43.2. Despite the high
count for June, the average solar flux was progressively down for the year so far. Quite obviously Julys
average sunspot count will be higher than during preceding months. Because of the
next round of planetary alignments, August could also be higher than the predicted average
sunspot curves (based on computer modeling of the Solar Sunspot Cycles). |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following
the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes
very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our sloppycasts (approximate
continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. STAND PAT ON LAST WEEK: weather
patterns are tweaked out into chaotic extremes which fit no averages or
generalities. Forget predictions, expect anything. THIS CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
SUMMER, CHAOS ALTERNATING WITH PERIODS OF CALMING. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE
NEXT SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This
sloppycast is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data
shown on satellite and radar. STAND PAT: IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE
NORMAL? Nope. I cant keep up with and therefore wont.
MORE OF THE SAME. Expect only chaotic conditions in the atmosphere this next two
weeks. No predictions will call the tune for any area. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR
SUMMER SEASON (Northern Hemisphere) This
sloppycast is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data
shown on satellite and radar. STANDING PREDCTION FOR THIS SUMMER:
The output of the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable. Accordingly,
expect 50% probability of anything. This is my last prediction related to general weather
patterns for this summer. SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This sloppycast is
based on six years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary
alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar. Luckily, some monsoonal thunderstorms came
into Still, in general, Arizona will probably
have a lousy monsoon in most areas except for the Southern margin near The rain this week is likely the result of
the collapse of atmospheric conditions after the collapse of the sunspot peak of July 21.
There may well be clear skies now until after the next sunspot peak begins to
collapse. This is likely to take a week of so to develop. | ||