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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright July 21 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE | QUEST GROUP |
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July
21 2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short review
of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth
are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest
prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week,
or use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_July_21_04.htm SOLAR ACTIVITY IS TURNING ALL WEATHER INTO CHAOTIC PATTERNS WHILE
HUMAN AFFAIRS BECOME INCREASINGLY UNPREDICTABLE. MASS CHANGES ARE AGGREGATING
RAPIDLY IN THE COLLECTIVE CONSCIOUSNESS AND NOTHING IS PREDICTABLE. KEEP
CLEAR, LATE BREAKING
NEWS: The sunspot predictions made
today in the Bulletin for this week have already been confirmed by the
posting of the latest daily sunspot count. The count has risen dramatically
from 146 as of July 21 to 162 as of today.
The Solar Flux was 172, which represents a leveling of the high peak
we have been on for the last few days.
The sunspot count may moderate tomorrow. On the geophysical
front, MORE THAN EVER, solar vortex forces in the Cosmos are UNPREDICTABLE AND
WAY UP. Amazing everyone, sunspots peaked as high as 176 on July
19 for the next alignment of planets during this last seven days of
July. A CME (solar explosion) is hurling ions directly to the Earth and X-class
and M-class flares are predicted to occur at any moment. Major sunspot and solar storm activity is
likely during the next several days. Weather forces continue to
accelerate in response and the Earth’s atmosphere is spinning in chaotic
extremes. Drought in the Southwest will largely continue, while
outsized Thunderstorms and tornadoes will bowl through the |
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational PREVIOUS UPDATES |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes
Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/ |
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SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY 21, 2004 –
Several important economic factors and/or indicators are now declining
– IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS, IT WILL
BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED
PROGRESSIVELY DOWN. ACCORDINGLY, SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE
25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE HAS FINALLY HIT. IF THE MESSAGE IS “YES”, the
Kerry-Edwards ticket most likely will win decisively and the Republican control
of Congress most likely will be “cracked”. But there is room for
considerable movement in all positions among large numbers of people and it
is clear that many events in this fast-paced, unpredictable year could
deflect ALL expectations. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JUNE 30, 2004 – Conditions appear to be settling
down and stabilizing, which is about the only thing which can happen in the
dog days of High Summer, especially in hot arid desert regions with little to
poor air conditioning. As people vacation escape or stay in place to
survive, all the contradictions, struggles, and violence will appear to abate
and this will give Bush’s Imperial Faction the appearance of being on a roll
with some momentum, but people will be too busy elsewhere to notice.
Things will “cook” on the back burner until September. Until then, all
markets and equities will flat line after a little spurt of minor adjustments
from the sorcery of Greenspan’s interest rate increase. During the
Fall, to make up for lost time, many pots will boil over in all directions on
all topics. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JUNE 16, 2004 – The loss of confidence in the LATEST UPDATE NOTE june 9, 2004 –
no change since this note of MAY 12, 2004: As discussed this week and herein,
the Collapse 2006 schedule, more likely than not, is currently accelerating
as a result of worldwide loss of confidence in the elementary competence of
the |
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HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. |
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As stated in the “Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire
Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to
making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve
the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. ALL IS IN TRANSISTION. EVERYTHING WILL WORK OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE
CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. AT ALL LEVELS. FLOW WITH THE TIDE AS YOU LET GO OF OLD PATTERNS. In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a
great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of
God was upon them. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these
ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us
that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs. We are most likely at “Y Max” this very week, possibly
this very day. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis
when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is
maintained by the IERS agency in The motion towards “Y Max” may have caused the increased
movement of the North American Tectonic Plate to produce the interesting
quake activity of the past two weeks. If so, more probably than not we will
see a similar pattern re-emerge at some point during the next two weeks,
probably during the next Full Moon on July 31. As the Spin Axis begins its return towards
the X Axis, the seismic activity may mirror what happened as it was moving
outwards. If so, I will show this on a
graph to explain it greater detail. http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole
shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at
least. |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a
collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding
new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar. The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc. The Almanac IS OUT OF DATE AS OF THIS MOMENT. It will be updated in the following weeks. The next alignment season for the planets is during the
last week of July. Beginning about July 24, a progression of three different
alignments involving different pairs of planets will occur within a few days
of earth other. The following chart from the Home Planet Software
displays these alignments, beginning with Venus | Uranus, then Earth | (DOES ANY READER KNOW A URL FOR A CHART OF THE PLANET SIGNS WHICH I CAN INSERT HERE TO HELP PEOPLE READ THIS CHART – I AM ALSO LOOKING FOR SOFTWARE WHICH WILL CREATE A HIGHER RESOLUTION IMAGE OF THE SOLAR SYSTEM AS OF ANY PARTICULAR DATE WE SELECT)
We are in Lunation #1009.
The Moon this day is now North of the Equator (in its North Node) 4days past the last New Moon.
It is now approximately 386,905 KM from the Earth. It is already 19% of the
Full Moon (visibility). The next Full Moon is July 31 at 18:06
UTC. The next New Moon is August 16
2004 at 1:24 UTC. (Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NASA REPORTS – “Awake at sunrise? Be sure to step outside
and look east. Venus, the "morning star," is absolutely brilliant.
On Thursday morning, July 15th, it reaches maximum brightness for the rest of
2004. The planet is a pretty sight through a telescope: it's crescent-shaped,
like a tiny crescent Moon.” |
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. BIG SUNSPOTS AND HIGH COUNTS ALL WEEK MORE HIGH COUNTS ARE ON THE WAY!!! NO RELIEF IN SIGHT FROM THIS AMAZINGLY STRANGE AND
INTENSE SUMMER We may be headed for the next Solar Minima but somebody
had better clue in the Sun. It’s on a loooong tangent. Now I see why I never got the Almanac finished for Summer
2004. It would have been ALL WRONG and
the spirits were saving me the embarrassment.
What a great time to be a solar scientist. Wish I was one. As of July 20, the Sunspot Count was 147,
having dropped suddenly from 176 on July 19.
BUT THE COUNT IS LIKELY MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT ABOUT TO RISE AGAIN
because the Solar Flux is climbing briskly.
The Solar Flux Index was at 170 on July 19, over twice the strength of
July 4, and it climbed yet again yesterday July 20. Since the graphs we usually use are not being updated this
month, here is a table of what the sun has been doing since the last LOWS in
the count. Date
FLux Sunspots Area
New Regions 2004 07 04 79 37
50 1 2004 07 05 78 26
50 0 2004 07 06 79 39
30 0 2004 07 07 79 31
50 1 2004 07 08 82 17
50 0 2004 07 09 87 32
90 1 2004 07 10 93 58
230 2 2004 07 11 104 98
320 2 2004 07 12 125 118
440 2 2004 07 13 127 129
970 0
2004 07 14 138 149
830 2 2004 07 15 146 146
630 0 2004 07 16 147 142
1080 1 2004 07 17 149 165
1570 1 2004 07 18 155 169
2300 0 2004 07 19 170 176
2325 0
2004 07 20 175 147
2190 0 Area: total
aggregate size of the sunspots It is probably the huge variation of size which is
currently driving the tremendous influx of “x” dimension energy, possibly
scalar wave energy, which is effecting psychics and living creatures. IF SO, WE HAVE A NEW VARIABLE TO CONSIDER. UP TO NOW I HAVE IGNORED SIZE TO KEEP THE
TASK OF CORRELATION EASY AND ALSO WITHIN THE SAME PATTERN AS THE CORRELATIONS
WITH THE COUNT IN PREVIOUS CENTURIES.
But most likely, serious students need to examine the “area” variable
and look for correlates. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into). The Solar Wind was modest at 394.9 km/s this day while
pushing a modest density of 2.2 protons/cm3”. There are no big coronal holes on the Earth-facing side of
the sun today, which is probably why the Flux Index and ionic density
readings are fairly low. Yet even so, solar activity is still quite volatile
as of today and likely to remain so DURING THE NEXT TWO WEEKS. At the moment, sunspots appear to be
declining in numbers again but probably not for long and the decline will
probably not be very deep. Overall
potential for extreme solar storms driving extreme Earth weather is very high
for at least the next week. The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) was nearly flat, LIKE LAST WEEK, showing many small, brief fluctuations during the past 24 hours (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE. NASA PREDICTS NASA rarely makes STRONG predictions for major solar
storms but today they put one out: NASA
PREDICTS: “The incoming CME was hurled into space on July 20th by an
M8-class explosion above giant sunspot 652. The active region has a twisted
magnetic field that harbors energy for even more powerful X-class flares in
the days ahead. Stay tuned for solar activity!” During the next 24/48 hours,
probability for an M-class solar flare is at 75% and for an X-class solar
flare is at 30%, with a generally 5% to 15% probability for minor to severe
geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude
(higher the latitude, higher the probability). AS
REPORTED LAST WEEK: Jan Alvestad is on vacation during July so we will have
to do without those very fine summaries.…Alvestad’s predictions are generally
more aggressive and closer to what actually occurs. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23: (These numbers are reported
by Jan Alvestad) Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004
was 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at
48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3. The
May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June
2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2. Despite the high count for June, the average
solar flux was progressively down for the year so far. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. STAND PAT ON LAST WEEK:
I predicted a few weeks ago that a normal monsoon would settle in IF a
another major spike of sunspot activity did not occur. Another major
spike did occur and weather patterns are tweaked out into chaotic extremes
which fit no averages or generalities. Forget predictions, expect
anything. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE NORMAL? There are so many reports of freaky
weather, snow in the wrong places, warmth in the wrong places, tornadoes
where they never occur, I could believe reports of rabbits falling from
orbit. I can’t keep up
with and therefore won’t. MORE OF THE
SAME Expect only chaotic conditions in the atmosphere this next
two weeks. No predictions will call the tune for any area. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR SUMMER SEASON (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. STANDING PREDCTION FOR THIS SUMMER: The output of
the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable. Accordingly,
expect 50% probability of anything. This is my last prediction related to
general weather patterns for this summer. SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This “sloppycast” is based on six years of
living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary
alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar. THE DROUGHT PATTERN IS STILL MUCH STRONGER THAN WE CAN
BELIEVE. Given the strong blasts from the Sun, conditions are not very
predictable. But in general, Arizona will probably have a lousy monsoon in
most areas except for the Southern margin near ON YOU CANNOT STAY OUTDOORS IN THE DIRECT SUN FOR MORE THAN
30 MINUTES AT A TIME WITHOUT EXHAUSTING YOUR BODY AND SETTING UP SEVERE
DEHYDRATION. STAY AWAY FROM THE VALLEY THIS SUMMER. |
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EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH As of the charts of July 11, no Nino or Nina is indicated
as of the moment and conditions seem to be verging away from either
condition. ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance
with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s
Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods
seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as
April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early
Spring 2005. |
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KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC, ANTARCTIC,
and the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line
observatories of the climate shift. |
GLOBAL WARMING It is becoming obvious that we have a long term
real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the
latitudes. This climate shift is creating a growing environmental
disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the
Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 NO LONGER TRUE: “Despite
some extreme events, weather activity of Summer 2004 remains less extreme
than in previous years in most places, suggesting a continued dampening of
the solar influence during the current weeks.” For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how
to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of
the oceans), see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004 |
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IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR THE
HEAVY INFLUX OF THE PAST WEEK, COMBINED WITH AN EXPECTED HEAVY INFLUX DURING
THE NEXT TWO WEEKS, WILL ENERGIZE AND TEND TO HIGHLY CHARGE EMOTIONAL
REACTIONS, ESPECIALLY WHERE THERE IS THE DRAMA OF CONFRONTATION. EXPECT BOMBINGS, CRIME AND VIOLENCE OF ALL
KINDS, SHOOTINGS IN EXPECT
AS WELL THAT CONFRONTATIONS IN NOT
LEAST, EXPECT NEW REVELATIONS ABOUT TORTURE AND ABUSE IN CONFIRMED: AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The ionic
flux and the human contradictions of denial have focused people into thinking
and plotting intensely their next round of moves within a highly polarized
mental and emotional atmosphere. Expect heavy choppiness in all things
human. Sudden shifts, both good and ill, everywhere. Recently there has been a strong chop in the polls against
Bush. But as the year progresses, the polls could begin to chop the
other way for a spell (by a spell) as the mass mind focuses on other things. It will take at least another six months for these factors
to smooth out….Since the emotional damage inflicted this past four years has
been so severe, psychological conditions may not smooth out until the
beginning of the next solar cycle sometime in 2006/07. |
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EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and
potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of
danger. I prepared this section by pulling out the Earth Changes 2003
Calendar which has everything plotted on it. You should too.
Check out the Almanac as well, it discusses all of the windows for the year
and even spotlights the two most dangerous windows. Unless otherwise
specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS
database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 2.0 mag.
and above. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim Berkland
calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I
do. See Syzygy.com After the “Tectonic Event” during the preceding week in
the Pacific Ocean, and the large numbers of shape shifters in the Great World
Rift in the ocean bottoms, quake activity in the world (for all quakes 3.0
and greater in magnitude) generally became randomized and were muted down in frequency for the past
seven days, despite a New Moon and a Perigee. Major quake activity which was widely expected in Only four shape shifter quakes occurred during the past
seven days, a major come down from the
ten shape shifters during the preceding week.
One stuck in the middle of the Though down in frequency, magnitude of seismic events was
relatively high. The week began with a
7.1 compression quake in the For the most part, earthquake activity elsewhere was
random through all the usual places. However, COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR ACCORDING TO THE COSA NOSTRA DAMUS PROPHECY, A MAJOR DESTRUCTIVE QUAKE COULD NOW STRIKE AT ANY TIME IN SANTA BARBARA, SANTA MONICA, HOLLYWOOD, THE VAN NUYS VALLEY REGION, BAKERSFIELD, AND ANYWHERE ALONG THE ESCARPMENT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO MOUNTAINS. TH | |
