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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright December Day 8 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE | QUEST GROUP |
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of December 8 2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the
Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest
prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or
use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Dec_8_04.htm FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR On the geophysical front, SOLAR activity continued to slowly abate this past
seven days and yesterday’s Sunspot Count fell steeply
to 26 while the Solar Flux is sinking through 90 despite the coming Mercury |
Earth alignment on December 10. THIS MEANS DECEMBER’S WEATHER (AND HUMAN EMOTIONS) ARE
MAINLY GOING TO BE GEOPHYSICAL, NOT SUNSPOT PERTURBED INTO EXTREMES. El Nino REMAINS currently NOT on the way and
the North Pacific is STILL returning to normal, which will permit the jet
stream to return to normal – time now to get your weather forecasts strictly
from your weathermen. From below during the past seven days, the Earth
suddenly became sedate (finally conforming to a non-syzygy window) except for
another 6.8 quake in LATE
BREAKING NEWS EVE. DEC 8: Sunspots climbed again to 38 while the Flux
sank to 82 on December 8. Probably the
sunspots are not going to continue to increase by much and then will quickly
decline to practically nothing. On the geopolitical
front,
The truly bad news remains, the Bush Imperial Faction is currently well on
the road to having seized complete control over the U.S. government while
reducing most of the major Democrats in Congress (those who belong to the
Democratic National Leadership Council) to the status of completely neutered House
Pets. While conning Congresswoman Nancy
Polosi (California, Democrat –Ranking Minority Leader) to aiding and abetting
the seizure of all government intelligence assets by Bush and his appointee, Porter
Goss, a Skull and Bones Yale Classmate of George Herbert Walker Bush, who of
course is the man to whom all the webs of intrigue and international scandal
during the past 45 years eventually lead, beginning with Zapata Oil and the
assassination of JFK. The main failure
in their seizures and sacking of potential opponents likely will be Kofi
Annan, U.N. Secretary General, who by default is being strongly supported by
many other countries as a way of staring back down into Bush’s face. His
penchant for cutting comments critical of |
This
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to
prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth
Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ The Bulletin is written in Arizona (UTC +8
hours) so any relative references, such as “Today”, or “Tomorrow”, or
“Yesterday” should generally to taken to refer to the day spans as
experienced in Western North America. |
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PREVIOUS UPDATES Nov 24
not available as of this date |
SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since May 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF DECEMBER 8, 2004: The dollar has firmed up for the
short term. Oil prices are definitely
down, perhaps through this month, but the price could rise again fairly soon
in January. Meanwhile, Christmas is
proving out to be a flat performance – not sour but not anything to write
home about . This will keep stock
values at current prices with a sag due in January. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF DECEMBER 1, 2004: As stated November 17, no change except to add that
the erosion of the dollar is now accelerating and there is a nearly universal
feeling among the watchers and managers that the euro is going up as the
dollar sinks yet more to adjust for the terrible imbalances in the American
economy created by its profligate, highly spoiled scions who lust after
Empire. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 17,
2004: As per stated below, the bubble is re-inflating for
a few more weeks or even months if Al Qaeda does not attack. Oil prices are dropping as stocks and
equities firm up and the economy continues expansion with the expectation
that American Imperialism will continue (unfortunately)
to drive international events during 2005. BEWARE SUDDEN REVERSALS WHEN
ALQAEDA STRIKES. BEWARE THE EMERGING SUPER-COALITION IN LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 3,
2004: On all economic fronts, hang tuff. The bubble will
hang in there for a little while longer even if it is currently sagging under
the high oil prices. Oil prices will
come down this Winter and the rebuilding boom in the SE section of the
country will keep the economy firm.
Stocks will go back up with the decline in oil prices and so will the
value of the dollar. All long term projection for the collapse in 2006 is
still right on target. The main proviso in all things
is Al Qaeda. The re-election of Bush
will, more probable than not, bring Osama Bin Laden to order another major
round of terrorist attacks against the |
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HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. ALL DATES AND TIMES USED IN THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN ARE
NOW UTC = Universal Time Constant, previously known as Greenwich Mean Time. |
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As stated in the “Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire
Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to
making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. NO CHANGE THIS WEEK FOR THE REMAINDER: UNDERTAKE A RESOLUTE FOCUS WALK AWAY
FROM THE COMING WARS AND THE LEADERS WHO ARE PUSHING US INTO THE WARS OR INTO
THEIR INDIRECT SUPPORT. UTTERLY REFUSE
THEM IN EVERY WAY THAT YOU CAN. A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts
and minds of a great mass of humanity, REGRETFULLY, A LARGE PROPORTION OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE
STILL SOUND ASLEEP UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UGLY EMOTIONS AND A THOUSAND
NIGHTMARES OF SELF-DOUBT AND ACUTE DENIAL OF SELF-WORTH. IT APPEARS THAT AT LEAST A THIRD OF THE
POPULATION IS BARELY ABOVE AN EMOTIONAL AGE-LEVEL OF 8 AND CAN OFFER LITTLE
MORE THAN SERVING AS FASCIST FODDER. Accordingly, But even as they initiate to undertake a great
militarization of North America for an ambitious expansion of empire-building
over the Arab oil producing states, a consciousness is gathering greater
focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism and
militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse
towards peaceful solutions. The gathering
movement did not wax strong enough to end the Bush Presidency, but
perhaps the movement will never function successfully with the corrupted,
archaic forms of the old Perhaps the movement has a greater destiny. Look for it. Greet it.
Nourish it with love. BREATH
FREE. Let go of everything which is
disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced,
contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the
rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.
The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new
relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and
straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown,
embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater
understanding and relationship with the all. EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN
PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
SO. In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great
energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was
upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will
have greater meaning by the end of the year. Don’t react, go to center, get clear, release, and
grieve…the Fourth Age is dying rapidly now… much more rapidly than we
thought, its institutions and identities are beyond saving… let it go, let
go, get to center…flow into God, let God flow into you…don’t speculate, don’t
analyze, don’t react to the shtuff…clear…clean out the past four years…we are
now free to grieve the death of everything we detested…let it go…let it
go…let it die. As you re-center in
God, find the realization that this is the final moment you have been waiting
for to end your connections and involvements with the illusions and delusions
of all that which has betrayed the divine within each and brought greed, war,
and destruction over the Earth. The destroyers belong to each other, this is now the final
time of their fatal embrace. Let them
love their wars…they have greatly desired the bitter wines of their hatreds
and violence, they have lusted greatly for their Armageddon, and they shall
have it. The die has been cast with a thousand artifices and
illusions. With the excellence of its
manner of casting, God has delivered
to you your own freedom from the delusions and spells of the Mass Sorcerers,
indeed, from the entire age, if you will but realize it. Clear yourself and your life to find now
the sense of movement and direction to separate your life from the dying
culture which is putrefying all around you. There is no saving it…as
Buckminster Fuller observed many decades ago, the old order is never saved, the
new order merely grows up around it to eventually takes its place. So it will come to pass now in an intense
period of vast change during the next twenty years. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these
ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us
that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. THIS WEEK AS LAST WEEK – NO CHANGE THE PANCAKING OF THE X MAX PEAK WHICH WE OBSERVED LAST
WEEK SEEMS TO BE DISSOLVING SLOWLY (See the URL’s below for the xplot). I
EXPECT A STRONG, SHARP REBOUND, quite possibly in connection with the New
Moon Perigee of December 12. NOTE DEC 8
– The rebound has begun and shows sharp on the graph. I expect this
rebound will produce AN EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG SEISMIC PERIOD. (The sharper turning of the spiral wobble
will produce more sudden shifts in the stress vectors of the Tectonic Plates
and this is more likely to cause more sudden releases in the fault zones) THE X WAVE
MAX, which we are in for the current 14 month spiral track, HAS BEEN showing some
pancaking (see the xplot links below). Rather than a smooth bell-shaped curve, the
X plot HAS BEEN currently plateauing.
The Earth is showing some hesitancy to continue the spiraling wobble
and is favoring slightly a motion at a vector which is keeping the Atlantic
Hemisphere pushing towards the North.
This is now apparently going to rebound during the next two
weeks. KEEP IN
MIND THAT THIS
WATCH HAS BEEN SET TO LOOK EXACTLY FOR THIS TYPE OF DEPARTURE OF THE EARTH
FROM ITS PREVIOUS SPIRALING WOBBLE TRACKS.
Seeing the slight tendency of the Atlantic Hemisphere to continue
pushing to the North CONFIRMS THE DEDUCTION FOR THE PROJECTED AVALANCHE OF
THE CRUST WHICH WAS CALCULATED IN THE “RETURN
OF THE PHOENIX”. In general, the Wobble Track is showing continued
tightening of the Chandler’s Wobble Spiral, as should be at this time in its
7 year Wobble Cycle, and the track seems to be conforming with a continued
acceleration in the rate of drift, but this can be by no means certain until
this 7 year cycle is over. In about
two years we will be able to locate the minimum spiral of motion and then
look for the average 7 year "location" of this past seven years for
comparison with previous cycles. http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. Currently, there is little of note. Despite many
claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical
analysis of many different regions of the Earth. |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a collision
course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF 2004
Distance Apogee 30-Nov 11:26 405951
km F+3d15h Perigee 12-Dec 21:31 357985 km N+
20h New
12-Dec 1:29 Full 26-Dec 15:07 Apogee 27-Dec 19:16 406487
km F+1d 4h For 2005, see the August
25 EC Update TODAY’S MOON We are in Lunation #1013 and we are now 25 days past the New Moon of November 12 at 14:27 UTC. As of December
Day 8, the Moon this day is now deep into its South
Node (orbiting South of the Equator). It
is now approximately 376,000 KM from the Earth. It is 13% of the Full Moon
(visibility or phase) now waning rapidly into the New Moon of December 12. SEISMIC
SYZYGY WINDOWS QUALIFER:
As we have seen at least three times this past year, most dramatically
with the recent outbreak (Oct 23-26 2004) of large Earthquakes on the West
side of Honsho Island (Japan), the Syzygy Window and Perigee principles DO
NOT WORK CONSISTENTLY TO FORECAST AN INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE NOR FREQUENCY OF
EARTHQUAKES. Using strictly an
intuitive view of the past 12 months, the rate of accuracy is definitely
larger than random but probably not larger than about 70% for any given area. The next strong seismic syzygy remaining for 2004 will be
the New Moon of December 12 which will include Perigee within 20 hours. For describing the peak danger period for the most
damaging earthquakes. this Perigee syzygy I will define arbitrarily as December
10 – December 15 – This syzygy should produce more seismic energy release
(earthquakes) than during most of the other syzygies of the preceding year. HOWEVER,
AS WE HAVE OBSERVED DURING THE PAST 60 DAYS, the syzygy window concept has
not worked very well to “contain” the major quakes. THIS MAY BE BECAUSE OF THE “PANCAKE
ANOMALY” we have observed during the past 60 days in the motion of the North
Spin Axis (on the IERS Xplot). This
anomaly may be generating unusual stress on the Earth’s crust. If so, the next 30 days could look like one
extended syzygy window in terms of major earthquakes occurring in higher
frequency than normal. I DO NOT
EXPECT Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the
most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for
computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater
precision. For details see the Syzygy website
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the
planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page,
you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you
do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the
Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is
7, LIST OF
ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO DECEMBER 21, 2004 At the current time the outer planets are widely
distributed and no new alignments are forming up between them. But now many new alignments will be forming
up during the next two months mainly as a result of Mercury’s rapid rotation
around the Sun, which enables it to catching up and pass by the planets about
every three months. Here are the three alignments during December 2004: December 3 Venus |
Jupiter - NO December 10 Mercury
| Earth – NO December
30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter BUSTED: So, consider December 1-15 the next
sunspot peak prediction, with the next round of major ocean stormfronts rolling
onto land from about December 10-20. DID NOT HAPPEN
AND SO THE SOLAR INFLUENCE ON DECEMBER’S WEATHER IS BECOMING MINIMAL. ALSO
BUSTED: An
alignment of Venus | Jupiter on December 3 should prove productive of a new
round of solar flares and sunspots.
But the December 10 alignment of Mercury | Earth should be even more
potent. A peak should have begun this
last week of November for Venus and Jupiter and as of November 30, the
sunspot count has begun to climb again, clearly in response to these
planets. These two alignments may
result in one major large fat peak which should form up pretty much by
December 5-10. IT DIDN’T
HAPPEN. THE SUNSPOT COUNTS WOBBLED
BETWEEN ABOUT 40 - 60 THE ENTIRE TIME – DEFINITELY A MINOR SET OF PEAKS. IT LOOKS
LIKE SOLAR CYCLE 23 IS DEFINITELY DEFLATING RAPIDLY AND IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF
THE PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS WILL NOW BE PRODUCING ONLY SMALL FLUCTUATIONS IN THE
COUNTS, PROBABLY IN THE RANGE OF 10 – 60 FOR THE MOST PART DURING 2005. This probably means that marine storm
fronts will be driven less by solar induced atmospheric shifts and more by
Earth’s geophysics and atmospherics. CAUTIONARY
NOTE: MAJOR SUNSPOT PEAKS, BIG FLARES,
CORONAL HOLES, AND POWERFUL CME’S WILL STILL OCCUR ONCE IN A WHILE, AS THE
GRAPHS OF PREVIOUS SUNSPOT CYCLES DEFINITELY SHOW, BUT IT LOOKS TO ME THAT
THESE WILL BE A LOT LESS PREDICTABLE THAN DURING THE PAST FOUR YEARS. PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR LATE DECEMBER 2004 – JUNE 2005 For late December through to June 2005, four particular periods stand out for their
potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge
ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather. The Aphelion At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY
STORMY WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June
7, 2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. DON’T MISS IT! NASA'S
DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU.
None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time.” On 1 Dec 2004
there were 653 known
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (two more than
last month). For December
2004, NASA has listed two Earth-asteroid encounters ranging from 1.5 million
to 2 million miles away (5 to 7 average Lunar distances).
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon.
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The Sunspot Count has steadily dropped (with several small
ups and downs) from 72 on November 24 down to 26 as of December 7 AND IS
CURRENTLY HEADED DOWN. The Flux has
gradually DROPPED from about 110 down to 90 as of December 7 and it is still
on a downward slope. Date Flux
Sunspots Area 2004 12 01 111
52 450 2004 12 02 106
62 470 2004 12 03 101
58 450 2004 12 04 97
43 280 2004 12 05 96
46 230 2004 12 06 93
47 230 2004 12 07 90
26 100 THE FAILURE OF THE
PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS DURING THE FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER SUGGESTS THAT THE
AVERAGE COUNT FOR DECEMBER WILL BE THE LOWEST FOR ALL YEAR. THIS WILL BRING SOLAR CYCLE 23 DURING 2005
VERY CLOSE TO ITS MINIMA WITH SUBSTANTIALLY LESS SOLAR ACTIVITY THAN DURING
2004. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23 Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March
2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s
count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5
was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an
average count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of
51. August’s count dropped the average
to 40, which returns us to the point on the general curve which we reached during
April 2004. The law of averages finally caught with the Sun during
September. For the first time all
year, sunspot activity fell below the 32.8 predicted average monthly count
and was only 27.7 October became a major
anomaly. The “smoothed” average count for
October was predicted to be 32.5 but at 48.4 it was dramatically higher, 21 points above
September’s average. November continued the anomaly, but showed a decline to
43.7 December should continue
this decline and may very well be the lowest count for 2004, bringing the
curve back to the average. Once
again we are reminded that the Sun and its cycles are really not very
“average” and not very “cyclical” or “regular”. Nowhere can we find any evidence of an
exact regularity, only constant variations.
The Sun is and probably always has been a vast cauldron of chaotic
storms, electro-magnetic upwellings, and enormous explosions and sudden
flares (or CME’s) which can extend out as far as even the outer planets,
producing somewhat chaotic impacts on the planets. All
this makes exact predictions of solar activity far beyond the pale of human
science, even with first class models of the electromagnetic gradients
created by the planets and their orbital relationships. From this it is easy to infer with considerable
experience and conviction, that nothing on Earth can be foreseen,
EXACTLY. Just as some order is
inevitable, so is some chaos built directly into the cosmos. But
even so the average count should drop during the next 12 months to a monthly
low in the range of 10. More and more,
now and for the next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s
atmosphere and weather less and less.
Global Warming and El Nino type of phenomena will be more and more
influential compared to the solar input.
The geo-data we gather during the next three years about weather,
climate, the Arctic, Antarctic, Drought Regions, etc. will be extremely
valuable in telling us what the true long-term geo-trends really are. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Solar Wind was strong at: 459.1 km/s this hour while pushing a weak
density of 0.8 protons/cm3”. Solar
activity is on a descending curve. For
the last seven days, despite the planetary alignments of the first week in December,
the Sun produced only small increases in sunspot counts, not much more than
25 spots or so over what was computed to be the ISSN monthly average for
November. THE
OUTLOOK IS FOR VERY LITTLE ACTIVITY OVER THE RELATIVELY LOW LEVELS OF THE
PAST SEVERAL DAYS. Fluxgate Magnetometer: The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) is showing today five small magnetic disturbances each of an hour or two in duration DURING the past 36 hours.(as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE. NASA NASA There are no large
coronal holes on the Earth-facing side of the sun today. NASA REPORTS: “There are no large coronal holes on the Earth-facing side
of the sun today.” NASA PREDICTS: 5-20% probability of geomagnetic storms, 1% probability on
coronal holes, CME’s, and M and/or X Class Flares Jan
Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was quiet to minor storm on December 7.
Solar wind speed ranged between 423 and 553 km/sec under the influence of a
coronal hole flow. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 89.7. The
planetary A index was 15 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval
ap indices: 14.8)...The background x-ray flux is at the class B1 level...At
midnight there were 2 spotted regions on the visible solar disk. The solar
flare activity level was very low. No C class events were recorded during the
day...December 5-7: No obviously Earth directed CMEs observed...” Jan
Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active on
December 8-9 due to coronal hole effects and quiet on December 10-12.”
Alvestad also predicts for the next 24 hours a 0-20% probability of coronal
holes, a 0-20% probability of CME’s, and a
0-20% probability of M and/or X Class Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. IT CONTINUES: For
the U.S. West Coast and now the Rocky Mountains Plateau, extremely wet
generally with lots of snow in the Mountains, much more on the way for a few
days. The same can be said for
Northern Europe as the WITH THE DECLINE IN SUNSPOT ACTIVITY, WEATHER IS NOW MORE
GOVERNED BY EARTH’S GEOPHYSICS. SINCE
I CANNOT FORECAST CONVENTIONAL WEATHER PATTERNS ANY BETTER THAN YAHOO
WEATHER, OR THE WEATHER CHANNEL, I SUGGEST YOU GO THERE. AM I RESIGNING FROM WEATHER FORECASTS? ALMOST. THIS SECTION WILL ONLY ADD
COMMENTARY ON POSSIBLE EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. Use the search engine at Yahoo Weather for your area. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR FALL SEASON
(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. The next major solar sunspot induced storm fronts should appear
just after the New Year in 2005. The unusually warm water in the North Pacific ( KEEP
WATCHING FOR THIS PATTERN: Global Warming
could easily intensify the seasons, making a short bitterly cold Winter,
longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and shorter but very hot
and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at work in the Northern
Hemisphere? SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This “sloppycast” is based on six years of
living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary
alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar. LAST WEEK’S BAD CALL:
Continued lulling into mild, clear, mostly dry weather typical for
this time of year for the next 7 to 10 days. Nearly three inches of marine rain soaked much of the
Southwest during the past week, snowing of course in the Mountains. It usually does not get this wet in the
Pacific Southwest until January. The past 60 days has clearly broken the drought pattern of
the past four years. You can see it in
the plants and the atmosphere everywhere.
It “feels” wet here now even on a sunny day, which it rarely has
during the past six years (that I have been here). Some climatologists are arguing that this
is an anomalous wet year for the Pacific Southwest and that the drought will
reassert itself next year or the year after.
I am inclined to think that the drought in the Southwest is a product
of both the Sunspot Cycle 23 and the Global Warming syndrome. From this, I suppose that the drought pattern
may be somewhat reduced during the next four years during the Sunspot Minima,
submerged completely by a lot of rain during El Nino, if it appears, but
slowly the drought will reappear during the next climb of sunspot counts
during Solar Sunspot Cycle 24. |
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EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif IT MAY NOT
OCCUR. NO PREDICTION As of November
25, conditions for El Nino are still about the same as last week – very weak
with no trend no active. A large expanse of the Pacific Equator WAS warming up
faster than normal and two nodes of considerably hotter than normal water could
be seen forming up at about Long. East 170 and at about Long. West 90 (this
near the AS
REPORTED PREVIOUSLY – THE CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know
whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005.
Purely in accordance with the
X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model, AN
EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN 2005.
But, the El Nino is not like an astrophysical cycle. There are some “missing” El Nino’s in the
record of the 20th century and we may have a missing one. HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN UNTIL ABOUT
APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in which the syndrome has
formed up during previous El Nino’s. ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance
with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble,
COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to
show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of
an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005. |
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KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC, ANTARCTIC, and
the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories
of the climate shift. |
GLOBAL WARMING It is becoming obvious that we have a long term
real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the latitudes.
This climate shift is creating a growing environmental disaster in the polar
zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the Pacific Southwest. For
the latest short review, see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004 NO CHANGE THIS WEEK More or less, the Pacific Southwest will probably begin to face
the bitter but essential facts of life on a “Global Warming Earth”. More probable than not, global warming is
inducing this current drought condition, which is about the worst drought in
at least 400 years (which is estimated from the general life of the “old
growth’ Ponderosa Pine which the drought continues to kill). As the water tables continue to
drop and especially as the Colorado River reservoirs continue to dry up,
engineers and technical people are already discussing the huge impact a
‘water freeze” will have on the economics of the southwest. It will mean no more permits for
construction, for one thing, in the Sonoran desert, or in the Mojave, More probable than not, the
economics and politics of the Pacific Southwest will transition during 2005
into the new politics and economics of extreme water scarcity. But, an El Nino next year, which
is still very much a possibility, would most likely delay the transition for
about 18 months. When this transition begins, it
will form up a terrible political war between the owners of the last
significant unused aquifers of North America (the Hopi, Navaho, and Apache)
and the crazy white man world of plutocratic real estate development
corporations which dominate the political order in AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED ABOUT THE LIKELY IMPACT OF GLOBAL
WARMING ON HURRICANES– For others comments on Global Warming, Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25, 2004 For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how
to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and
tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004 |
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IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR As the
sunspot counts decline and fail to peak for the planetary alignments, the
impact on humans and the biosphere is declining progressively. Relatively more human activity will tend to
be more driven by mental activity and spiritual connectivity than emotional
impulses. This does
not favor the Imperial Faction and the Sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast
Smokescreen Industry. The strength of
the emotional associations which they rely upon to program mass behavior will
have less and less power during the next four years. This is
going to be especially true with the four year jag of emotional associations
around “patriotism”. During 2005,
patriotism and martial ardor will become increasingly “old” among the young and the marginal. More and more soldiers will wake up and
realize they have been on a “bender” which left them in a literal hellhole. |
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EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and
potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of
danger. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake
activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above. Unfortunately there are many
lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of
quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.
Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON
INCOMPLETE INFORMATION. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS,
Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication
than I do. See
Syzygy.com Seismic activity declined in overall frequency and
magnitude of earthquakes during the past seven days, after a large number of
quakes (36 above 3.0 in mag) on Thursday, December 2. All other days saw no more than about 10
and only one quake above 6.0 struck, a 6.8 in Continuing the strong trends of November, a goodly portion
of the world’s seismic energy above 3.0 for the last seven days, was
expressed along the Western edge of the Pacific Ocean Tectonic Plate and
along the edge of the Australian Tectonic Plate. But quake activity was more widely
scattered, striking Shape-shifting produced only four modest quakes in the
Great Rift of the Earth in the 4.0-5.0 magnitude. Only one struck along the
Antarctic Plate this week, one struck the Northeastern end of Greenland, one
struck the Mid-Atlantic Ridge near the All in all, a sedate Earth was shared by most, no clear
patterns and no major activity, except the continued strong shaking of COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR AS PREVIOUSLY
OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a
major destructive quake could now strike at any time in SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH No reports to add this week SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of
the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the
Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy
vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around
the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which
list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the
quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.) For
additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the
Earth, go to Plate
Tectonics Map Four mild shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great Rift in
widely separated locations. Unlike the
last few weeks, no particular pattern seems evident. Magnitude 4.9 Thursday, December 02, 2004 at 13:38:31 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_rndp.html Location 57.13S
25.93W Depth 92.5
kilometers Region Reference 95 km
(60 miles) ESE of Visokoi Island, 210 km (130 miles) N of 3510 km (2180 miles) SE of Magnitude 4.6 Monday, December 06, 2004 at 09:17:24 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_rsak.html Location 26.83S
114.44W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region Reference 500 km
(310 miles) W of Hanga Roa, 4245 km (2640 miles) W of Location Quality Error
estimate: horizontal +/- 21.5 km; depth fixed by location program Magnitude 5.1 AZORES Thursday, December 02, 2004 at 03:30:02 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_rnah.html Location 36.98N
33.20W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region AZORES
Reference 330 km
(205 miles) SW of Santa Cruz das Flores, 435 km (270 miles) WSW of Horta, 670 km (415 miles) W of 2115 km (1320 miles) W of Magnitude 4.4 NORTH OF Thursday, December 02, 2004 at 06:29:19 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_rndj.html Location 82.79N
7.63W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region NORTH
OF Reference 195 km
(120 miles) NE of Nord, 755 km (470 miles) ENE of Alert, 1590 km (990 miles) NNW of 2370 km (1470 miles) NNE of NUUK ( Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity
which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables
which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of
the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in
magnitude.
Any numbers
used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect
what will eventually appear in scientific databases. Seismic activity in NOTE: Most volcano monitoring sites appear to
be screening out microquakes. A study needs to be done to establish how to
reconcile various lists and databases because of this practice. The numbers below cannot be considered to
be definitive totals and subtotals. We
use them merely to observe relative fluctuations from week to week. US & ALASKA & down from 583 the prior week BIG ISLAND down from 13 during the prior week - these do not include
the microquakes under down from 371 last week, widely scattered in up from 24 last week. PNW --- 170 down from 250 last week, several widely scattered in NE Cal - East of up from 14 last week; these are almost certainly volcanic
related, quakes have broken out here off and on during the past two years. down from 14 last week. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude. For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE. down from 11 last week WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES Magnitude 6.8 - 2004 December 6 14:15:11 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2004/usrsas/ Location 42.907°N,
145.200°E Depth 35
km (21.7 miles) set by location program Distances 65 km (40 miles) E of 250 km (155 miles) ESE of 930 km (580 miles) NNE of 7140 km (4440 miles) NE of Location Uncertainty horizontal
+/- 4.1 km (2.5 miles); depth fixed by location program Felt Reports At
least 4 people injured and power outages occurred in the |
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VOLCANOES Around the world with the most interesting and
relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage
of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre. Or
see “Breaking Volcano
Eruption News”. AS
REPORTED LAST WEEK, OBSERVABLE WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY HAS DECLINED SOMEWHAT
DURING THE PAST 21 DAYS, BUT A VIGOROUS ERUPTION ON MANAM A FEW MILES
OFF-SHORE OF PAPUA NEW This
eruption follows the vigorous seismic activity and obvious tectonic plate
motion of A FEW
OTHER VOLCANOES SCATTERED AROUND THE WORLD ARE STILL SIMMERING IN ERUPTIVE OR
PRE-ERUPTIVE PHASES OF Volcano
Belinda WATCH THIS ONE CAREFULLY. The continued occurrence of
shape-shifter quakes in the vicinity of the REPEATED FROM PREVIOUS UPDATES: One new eruption was reported for a volcano
on the edge of the Antarctic Tectonic Plate where it forms the South Sandwich
Islands below The
South Sandwich Islands are situated approximately between the southern tip of
South America and mainland SAINT
HELENS VOLCANO UPDATES Text in this section is a condensation of direct
quotes from online source: CURRENT
UPDATE supplied by the U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University
of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington;
U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of Washington,
Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington December
8, 2004 10:05 a.m. PST (1805 UTC) MOUNT Current
status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level 2); aviation color code Growth
of the new lava dome inside the crater of Although
considered less likely, the current activity could evolve into a more
explosive phase that affects areas farther away and sends significant ash
thousands of feet above the crater where it could be a hazard to aircraft and
to downwind communities. Wind
forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
coupled with eruption models, show that ash clouds that rise above the crater
rim today would drift northeastward early in the day, and eastward later in
the day. The
current seismicity is consistent with a continuing rise of magma driving
uplift of the crater floor and building of the lava dome. The low rates of
seismicity and gas emission suggest that the lava reaching the surface is gas
poor, thereby reducing the probability of highly explosive eruptions in the
near term. Recent
observations:
High wind, rain, and snow from a large storm are wreaking havoc with
field-sensor telemetry. Some seismic stations show considerable noise, and
some signals are temporarily dropping out. The ongoing sequence of small
(mostly less than M1.5) earthquakes continues, and no new large (>M2.5)
quakes have been recorded within the past 24 hours. A single GPS station high
on the outer southeast flank of the volcano (~7300 feet) shows about 2 cm (1
inch) of progressive southeastward movement over the past 3 weeks. This
minimal movement, apparently in response to new lava impinging on the southeast
crater wall, is an expected consequence of the nature of the dome growth
occurring in the crater. Additional station installations are planned for the
outer south flank to determine the extent of the area responding to the
lateral load. Poor weather has prevented recent observations and field work,
and no field work is planned for today. When weather permits, field crews
will conduct visual and hydrological observations, replace and maintain
seismic equipment, attempt gas and thermal-imaging measurements, and install
additional GPS stations. For
additional information, background, images, and other graphics:
http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html USGS
Cascades Volcano Observatory, the Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network at
the For
additional information, background, images, and other graphics:
http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html For
seismic information: http://www.pnsn.org/HELENS/welcome.html For a
definition of alert levels: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html Telephone
recordings with the latest update on OTHER CASCADE VOLCANOES
as of December Day 8 2004 All
other volcanoes in the LATEST FORECAST FOR
SAINT HELENS BY EC BULLETIN: Look to mid-month
in December for increases in activity (see the syzygy periods defined above). At
least three of the active volcanoes on AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY: Colima may be the closest “model”
for how More probable than not during the next 90 days, perhaps
with some fits and starts related to Lunar Motion. Most probable is (a) the New Moon Perigee Syzygy of December. Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of December
Day 8 2004: 6 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment)
(up one from last week) 46 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may
begin) (up one from last week) 20 on active list (seismic,
gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (same
as last week) Popo gave a 8 puff day yesterday, down from 14 last
Tuesday. Centrapred reports for December Day 8 (17:00 GMT) that “In the last 24
hours the monitoring system of HIGHLY
INTERESTING NEW PLATE TECTONICS RESOURCE: Digital
World Tectonic Activity Map (DTAM) - visualization tool that
presents an actual representational view of global tectonics; created using
current global datasets of seismicity, volcanism, and plate motions. MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK from Volcano Breaking News by
Volcanologist John Seach Volcano Travel:
john@volcanolive.com Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian
Time (UT + 10 hr) Manam Volcano
(Papua New Guinea)
Manam Volcano
(Papua New Guinea)
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Standing Assessment: Likely, it is
fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to
the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to
mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical,
moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. |
STAY TUNED. We are just on the
front edge of “the outing”…. THE FIRST MAJOR OUTING IS GOING TO BE
VOTESCAM 2004…. or is it going to be the prisoner abuse
scandal? The auguries are not clear to me this week on how any of
the this is going in any direction, or even if any of this IS going anywhere. If none of this goes anywhere, take it as a given, take it
as a fact, that all is lost on the Republic and we have passed into in the
deep twilight zone of a Fascist nightmare for which they may not be any
electoral remedy. |
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ECONOMY WATCH Already the growth factors in the Based on
the sudden drop in the price of oil, engineered of course by the Imperial
Faction and their Saudi cousins, the value of the dollar stabilized
temporarily. BUT EVEN SO COMMODITY
PRICES WILL CLIMB RAPIDLY DURING 2005 TO CATCH UP WITH THE HUGE INCREASE IN
ENERGY COSTS (UP SOME 30% THIS YEAR).
This will generate a pernicious inflation in FOR THE LAST UPDATED
DISCUSSION: click here for the EC
Bulletin Update as of October 27, 2004 With the re-election of George Bush a completely new
scenario for the next two years is needed. It is this: the main driving force of the economy will
transition fully into an Imperial economy.
It will be based on major militarization of the A massive empire building drive to export “Order” over the
greater portion of the world’s petroleum reserves will shore up the value of
the petro dollar quite nicely and preserve its hegemony well through the
“peak oil” period. Huge expenditures
on armaments should provide a continuing stimulus of the North American
economy, enough to at least keep it gimping along while the Empire is
consolidated. The eventual eclipse of well oil poses no long term
problem. Only naïve analysts are
worried. Once oil supply is seriously
declining and oil prices can be maintained above $80/barrel, some people in
the oil industry, including David Rockefeller, understand the means of
“growing” your own. They have held the
secrets of this for some 23 years. THE ONLY BUMP ON THE ROAD TO THE IMPERIAL ECONOMY is
“global warming”. This is bringing
people into other solutions than the use of oil. Is this not a course of development the
cabals of great wealth in FOR THE LASTEST DETAILED DISCUSSION See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004 FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION FOR
THIS YEAR, See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004 GENERAL PREDICTION DJI
AVERAGES The bubble is rising
steadily. The DJI finished December
Day 8 at 10,494.23
down about $100 from December 1 at 10,590.22. DON’T
EXPECT ANYTHING HIGHER THIS YEAR. It
will hover here and then fall for a while in January until the market absorbs
the psychological shock of the somewhat depressed Christmas Season which is
already quite evident. You can
now buy from some companies on ultra low payments but will not charge you any
interest for two years. That is a sign
of retail desperation.
Oil prices are soft and may drop some more and allow the
bubble to inflate some more. But
WATCH THIS VERY CAREFULLY – WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR
DRIVING OIL UP IN PRICE AND ACCELERATING THE DECLINE IN THE DOLLAR. The dollar of course is a major factor. As the dollar drops AND the stock values
remain constant, DIDN’T
THIS HAPPEN THIS PAST FIRST WEEK OF DECEMBER? The dollar firmed up and rose in value
slightly while the price of oil sagged slightly. Stocks dropped slightly in value as well,
but that is probably based on the already evident poor showing of Christmas
retail sales. Profits in the major
corporations will be tighter than hoped, reducing the speculative value of
the stocks. This is all a complex equation which could go sideways at
any moment. THE MAIN PROVISO IS AL
QAEDA. When they strike in the THE OTHER
MAIN PROVISO: The main weakness in the
international economy is that THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION IS SO INCOMPETENT THAT
NO INTERNATIONAL ACTOR KNOWS HOW TO BE RATIONAL AND MAKE REAL DECISIONS. EVERYTHING IS HEDGED AND HIDDEN. All news on the war fronts is terrible. EURO WATCH - THE DOLLAR ROSE AFTER
A MONTH OF DECLINE AS
PREDICTED: The dollar closed today at 0.7504 up almost a fifth of a penny from
0.7486 per euro a week ago. The dollar lost about six cents during the
past 60 days but with the rise in interest rates and the decrease in oil
prices, it is clear that the value of the dollar is being stabilized. Don’t expect much drop for the remainder of
the year. The dollar may actually gain
a bit for a brief time. “As oil goes up, the dollar will tend also to go
down against the Euro.” OIL STABILIZED IN THE RANGE OF $42. This allowed euro/dollar values to firm up a bit DURING THE LAST TWO WEEKS. It also
appears that retail energy prices are stabilizing at the current retail
prices. But, as the article below strongly hints, the price of oil
is likely to climb again during the next couple of months. Thus the dollar will weaken some more but
this time probably without any rise in stock values. And thus in general, expect a steady if slow creep of
prices upward all through 2005, with faster relative increases for some basic
commodities and imports to reflect rapidly rising international costs, which
will still accelerate in response to the rise in energy costs this past six
months. MUST READ: “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”,
which lays out the dynamics of what is happening LATEST OVERVIEW ON OIL: Oil Prices Rise on Concerns About
Supplies Wednesday December 8, 6:24 pm ET By Brad Foss, AP Business Writer Crude Prices Rise on Concerns About
Heating Oil Supplies, Fears OPEC Could Rein in Output http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/041208/oil_prices_17.html Crude oil futures prices rose
Wednesday amid concerns about tight heating oil supplies and fears that OPEC
could rein in output when it meets later this week. Light sweet crude for January
delivery was up 48 cents to $41.94 per barrel on the New York Mercantile
Exchange. In ADVERTISEMENT While the Energy Department
reported rising Heating oil futures jumped 3.63
cents to $1.2599 per gallon on Nymex, where they are trading roughly 40
percent above year ago levels. Aaron Kildow, a broker with
Prudential Financial Inc. in "We were looking for much
bigger builds," Kildow said. The Energy Department reported that
the nation's commercial inventory of crude oil increased last week by 600,000
barrels to 293.3 million barrels, or 5 percent higher than a year ago. The agency said the supply of
distillate fuel, which includes heating oil and diesel, grew by 1.4 million
barrels to 119.3 million barrels. There was more than 136 million barrels of
distillate fuel at the same time a year ago. Still, concerns about tight heating
oil supplies ahead of winter have eased somewhat in recent weeks due to mild
fall weather in the Northern Hemisphere and gradually growing inventories. But with oil prices down sharply
from their late October peak above $55 a barrel, the Organization of
Petroleum Exporting Countries meets in Cairo on Friday to outline its plans
for the first quarter of 2005, and hawks like No. 2 producer Iran have
managed to garner support from Venezuela, Libya, Kuwait and Qatar in urging
compliance with OPEC's official quota in a bid to stem the decline in prices. Staking out a conflicting position
ahead of the upcoming meeting, the oil minister of production giant OPEC president Purnomo Yusgiantoro,
meantime, said Wednesday a production cut could occur only in the second
quarter of 2005. BNP Paribas Commodity Futures
broker Tom Bentz speculated on how the market would react, depending on what
OPEC decides: -- If the cartel keeps output at
current levels, the downward price momentum would likely stick, Bentz said. -- If the cartel adheres more
strictly to its official quota, that would keep markets tense and maybe push
prices higher. -- And if OPEC agrees to cut its
output quota, "that would be a big surprise," Bentz said, sending
the strongest signal possible to traders that the cartel intends to defend
today's high prices. OPEC members, excluding "While much attention is
focused on possible production cuts ... the key to the near-term supply
picture lies largely with one member -- OPEC kingpin The world's largest crude producer
pumped 9.5 million barrels a day in November, or 700,000 barrels above its
quota. Petroleum prices have been high due
to strong global demand, a tight supply cushion and fears of output
disruptions in In other Nymex trading, gasoline
futures were up less than a penny at $1.0875 per gallon and natural gas
futures rose 6.2 cents to $6.683 per 1,000 cubic feet. Associated Press Writers Jane
Wardell and Yeoh En-Lai in |
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SURVIVAL WATCH For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin
Update as of July
7, 2004 Any aspect of the construction and home
products industry is hot. |
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SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME). But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted. Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year. ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES: The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services. This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah. I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM. |
POLITICAL WATCH For general overview on the Tragedy in For general background: see
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 7 2004 NO CHANGE THIS WEEK WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IS
ANYONE’S GUESS. American politics has never been so unpredictable but maybe
it has all been foreseen….even 400 years ago by Nostradamus. Many who would will a great change are depressing
in deep pessimism. Despite a year of exposing the grave crimes of the
Imperial Faction and the incompetence of their President, a majority of
Americans WHO VOTE refuse to believe that conditions have become so
corrupt. They insist on drawing their
blinders more tightly around their favorite illusions. In this they are so well aided
and abetted by a crony Mass Broadcast Media which has chosen to abjectly
shill the fantasies and delusions of a upper class bubble of “attitude”. For a time yet, important truths
must remain an orphan in the street.
Currently the orphan is WANDERING THE STREETS OF OHIO AND FLORIDA, AND
OCCASSIONALLY IN A DOZEN OTHER LOCALES, with VOTESCAM 2004 written across its
blazer. The vote scams were done so
brazenly and so amateurishly, they STINK, OBVIOUSLY. THIS IS CRUCIAL. In a multitude of places and ways, the
essential immaturity and incompetent greed of the Imperial Faction and its
allies break above the surface of Illusion to demonstrate extensive crookery
in the election process. Dozens of stories and professionally attested
documentation now floods the iway, providing circulation to tens of millions
of people around the world in a direct, honest, unfiltered way which was
IMPOSSIBLE TO EVEN CONCEIVE TEN YEARS AGO.
We are very lucky the cohorts of
the Imperial Faction have been so brazen.
They have alerted the world and half the Americans to the existence of
a malevolent class of somewhat amateurish crooks within the heart of the
current ruling political cliques. THIS MAY MAKE ALL THE DIFFERENCE IN THE WORLD. WHAT A FABULOUS TEST OF THE NEW IWAY
MEDIA. The people assembled, so to
speak, get to directly assay the evidence.
FOR GOD’S SAKE GO FOR IT.
HISTORY IS TWISTING IN THE BREEZE, GO GIVE IT A TURN IN THE DIRECTION
OF HONESTY AND INTEGRITY. If you push it, eventually this will break into
the Courts and eventually Grand Jury proceedings will be undertaken. Nixon’s thieving trickery and lies were
ultimately broken by Congress, when finally leading Republicans realized that
they couldn’t hide away his crookedness and obvious abuse of power. Bush may well be broken by the much
larger VOTESCAM scandal, but it will not be through the Congress at first. It is now too corrupted and unresponsive to
people and media pressures. Like small
children, today’s vastly over-privileged political class in power believes
that all you have to do is believe in your exalted status and all the
problems will go away to hang out with the homeless. THE COURTS AND GRAND JURY PROSECUTIONS IN
LOCAL GOVERNMENT JURISDICTIONS OFFER THE MOST DYNAMIC MECHANISM FOR BREAKING
VOTESCAM 2004. As this unfolds, which
may take the greater part of 2005, the Republican Party may eventually
disintegrate with old conservatives and neocom factions coming out into open
warfare with each other. Finally in a
convulsive political month, if this comes to pass, the old-fashioned Conservatives will bolt
the Republican party as it is currently constituted and align with Democrats
to oust the most hated and crooked administration in U.S. History by invoking
impeachment proceedings. AT ALL COSTS THE PEOPLE MUST NOT ALLOW
THEMSELVES TO BE PERSUADED THAT FEDERAL COURTS PREVAIL. UNDER THE TRADITIONAL FEDERALISM STRUCTURE,
THERE IS NO COMPELLING RIGHT OF FEDERAL COURTS TO DICTATE OUTCOMES IN THIS
MATTER. ONLY LOCAL COURTS AND
LEGISLATURES RULE THE VOTING ISSUE, EXCEPT IN REGARD TO CIVIL RIGHTS OF
MINORITIES. BUT THIS IS TRUMPED BY THE
BLACKS, WHO WILL BE THE PRIMARY LITIGANTS FOR FORCING RECOUNTS AND NEW
ELECTIONS IN GO FOR IT REVEREND JESSE JACKSON. THIS IS YOUR MOMENT IS HISTORY. SEIZE
IT. SHOVE THE IMPERIAL JUNTA’S SNOOTY
GARBAGE BACK INTO ITS FILTHY FACE. Though it is important to try to block
the certification of the electors in the crooked states of But in the meantime, as previously
observed, Ralph Nader, many of Kerry’s lawyers and agents, Jesse
Jackson, and other public interest groups are aggressively seeking to block
the certification of the elections.
They are attempting to prove many different cases of the Diebold
VOTESCAM as well as other forms of election cheating. During the second week of December the
electoral college meets to formally cast their votes for President. Those who want to prove that at least some
elections were “crooked” have to be able to convince a court before then to
block the certification of the elections in their state. Only by court order at this point will
anyone be able to prevent fraudulently-elected
electors from being seated for the final tabulation. Proven fraud, for example, may
be able to block the certification of Unless there is a new election
conducted in And if they did act
independently, they might still split right down the middle. Or if they come
up with a winner with a clear absolute majority, it is likely the nation’s
legal system and the House of Representatives would be at war with each
other, all seeking to change the outcome in January by refusing to accept the
electoral college, or seeking to overturn it in some New York lawyer way. This could keep the uncertainty
going for several months, a crisis of complete stalemate. Is such likely? Don’t ask me,
but many would prefer such a situation. It is possible, and the fraud
involved would entirely justify stalemating the electoral process as a
prelude to shaking the crap out to make it right. The Under such conditions, honest
men eventually must end up becoming criminals to protect themselves from the
incursions of crooked government and crooked lawyers. Far better to have no such government which
can function to persecute honest people. Interestingly enough, a psychic
predicted this stalemate some fifteen years ago….a time of complete electoral
stalemate which was only resolved with agreement to elect an entirely
different person. Nominally based on a
Nostradamus quatrain, the psychic reader claimed to talk directly with
Nostradamus to receive an authoritative translation and interpretation of
many of Nostradamus’s predictions which refer to our time. I have previously shied away from
Nostradamus, but this psychic’s work with Nostradamus has some very credible
components to it, not least of which is that the conditions and revelations
of fact during the past five years were eerily predicted 15 years ago through
this person. Some key notes to the predicted stalemate: an embattled President facing “Watergate”
type suspicions of subterfuge, an election so blockaded by manipulations,
intense ideological stalemate, and lawyers, that the Congress would have to
meet to try to resolve the deadlock, ultimately selecting a compromise
“third” individual…. …sound familiar to anyone? Was 2000 just the prolegomena to
the coming deadlock? (I will post much more info
about this psychic in a short while). PROJECTED POLITICAL
FUTURES: Uncertainty for two more
weeks, possibly for several more months amidst rapidly deteriorating
conditions. The highest possible outcome –
stalemating the Imperial Faction with a Kerry amidst a tragic ending to the
horrible blunders in The lowest possible outcome - more probable than
not....another four years of political struggle, bitterness, the
loss of more political and individual rights, continued declassing and
economic deterioration, and a growing general civil upheaval which takes many
forms…in the midst of a nation which is virtually ostracized from most of the
remainder of the world…and the forces of Jihad reaching greater ascendancy in
the Middle-East. |
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A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and
with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven
so much of the past 50 years…. From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly
collapses. All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty! |
THE STRATEGIC SITUATION – Final
Synopsis CONDITIONS IN ARE IN EXTREME CRISIS The entire world continues to witness the American impasse
in The damage is done, the strategic condition is fatal, Despite the looming loss and
collapse, we can already see at work
the aggressive moves of the Imperial Faction to ready the A major consolidation of power
is now underway. The new CIA director, who is assuming de facto control of
all Porter Goss is George Herbert Walker Bush’s old Skull and
Bones Yale frat buddy from way back in the days when the CIA WAS Skull and
Bones…who do you think is now in fact running the CIA once again? People who believe in extreme secrecy in
very discrete service to the inner circles of a small aristocracy of entitled
people. If you think we are shut out
now, you t’aint seen nuttin yet. Thus in certain ways, “Poppy” is back in the saddle again…the Bush Crime
Family, its plutocratic allies, and the Imperial Faction is closer than ever
with dominance over the CIA, NSA, the Pentagon, the FBI. What is government, what is corporate, and
what is Bush Crime Family is no longer discernible. And still invisible are the great fortunes
who sponsor many of the institutions and political/ media foot soldiers who
are advancing the cause of fascist plutocracy everywhere. A major turnover in the CIA will soon stuff it with Yassha
Men. And the same fate is in store for
the State Department under the diktat of Condeleeza Rice. The international competence of the Meanwhile the semi-tragic Powell
falls by the wayside and all of the powers of the State Department are
brought directly into the control of the Imperial Faction through the
appointment of Condeleeza Rice as Secretary Of State. The one true act of service Powell could
give the country and the world would be to reveal the truth of the past 40
years, beginning with his conduct in Vietnam while white-washing My Lai. If the fool could find it in himself to fall
on his sword he could find a true grace in history’s remembrance. But I suspect that the man is too
conflicted in bogus cants to get anything right. He will leave the stage of history as a
thoroughly discredited liar and fool, even if he retains a good enough
schtick to fleece right wing evangelical and business groups for tens of
thousands per “motivational” speech. The departure of Ashcroft is
extremely bad news. Ashcroft was crazy
but his replacement is insane, a deep core sociopath who finds nothing to
dislike in Nazi-like rationales for hidden torture chambers and Soviet style
gulags in which people disappear forever.
Shades of the Gestapo and Heinrich Himmler,
now Bush gives us for Attorney General the man who wrote the legal doctrines
for Al Ghraib, Gitmo, and other sociopath hidey holes for nouveau torture. The As these prime players and
others are moved into position, the Imperial Faction consolidates its control
with or without the understanding of George Bush. With only slight luck, they will be able
to appoint “made men” into the Supreme Court and complete a generational
seizure of all aspects of the U.S. Government. Working with their key allies in
the Black Arts Nation and the hidden cabal of plutocratic families on the
East Coast which predominately controls it, inner groups will be able to
employ even more aggressively their gangs of right wing street enforcers to
intimidate independent media and naive people at various non-violent
demonstrations while creating bogus “violence” to bad rap the demonstrators. As well, they will have even greater
ability to shut off the political careers of upstarts who promote the wrong
issues and agendas. And if they get away with the
theft of the current elections by hacking the voting machines and the
electronic process of tabulating the totals together, it is doubtful that
most crucial elections in the country will ever be “won” by the majority of
people again. All in all, the year 2004/05 is
parallel with approx. 1934/35. The fascist nightmare in As previously observed, as a consequence of the widely
unexpected Bush reelection, several massive reaction waves have been set in
motion. One of the most important
reaction waves is among political state policymakers throughout …Not since the production of technology was
outsourced. (You dumb clucks)… Another reaction wave is at a more fundamental human
level. The increasing violence in Falluja, which the Sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast Media
tout as a great victory, provides little sense of confidence. There cannot be said to be a victory when
one successfully slaughters all the fish in a barrel with a machine gun. One
speaks in terms of butchery, not victory. Scenes from Falluja appear to reveal that
the U.S. military still confuses saving a city with destroying it…more and
more glimpses of MyLai can be seen as hyped up, drugged up, hair-trigger
soldiers shoot at anything that moves…more and more the ceaseless propaganda
phrases of surgical strikes, precision targeting, highly disciplined, highly
skilled operations can be seen largely for what it is, wishful thinking by
incompetent pipe-dreamers in Washington DC which ends up as unmitigated
horseshit in operation. And every soldier past and present knows and understands….sadly
some of them are so confused they think they like it. It most certainly seems fair to conclude that a discredited
Army engagement doctrine pounds away at densely settled urban zones with
exceptional violence. The results please no one and simply increase the
polarization of world dynamic forces into greater opposition. The time is quickly coming when the
American military simply is not going to be welcome anywhere at any level in
most of the world. And the answer for all this is at least partly obvious, an
extremely self-centered piker too cheap to do real war…using high explosives
and extreme fear (instead of skill and people) to pacify and occupy a country
without a clue to how real men have successfully conducted pacification
operations in peace among many peoples in many places and times. But the damage is done… THE MAIN OBSTACLE TO PEACE IN IRAQ AND THE MIDDLE EAST ARE
THE AMERICANS AND THEIR STUPID AND INEFFECTUAL INTERFERENCES which are about
as successful as Bottom line: All the King’s Men got mugged by
a swindling crook named Chalabi, who sold the New World Order Emperor the
equivalent of the To claim this prize, the Mass
Broadcast Media began beating the war drums and the “Good German” Americans
goose-stepped to war. One thousand three
hundred and counting Americans died in vain, along with some 100,000 Iraqis, and
some 10,000 As things stand now, sometime in 2005, Americans will beat
a hasty retreat, under the pretext of some contrived imaginary political fig
leaf, and we will see the last helicopter evacuation from Iraq...finishing
the historical parallel of this Tragedy with the Tragedy of Vietnam. If so, it will be the beginning of the end of both the
American Century and the U.S. Constitution. A generation of upheaval and grievous
conflict will ensue before the Americans can repose themselves and their
society on a sounder basis. For the Iraqis, likely FOR THE
LASTEST SUMMARY BRIEFING ON THE SITUATION AND THE WAY OUT OF IT, GO TO “A
Letter To The Generals: Saving Iraq
and Saving The U.S.” FOR
A PDF VERSION, CLICK HERE. PLEASE NOTE: IT IS FAR TOO LATE FOR AMERICANS TO SOLVE
THE IMPASSE IN HERE IS
THE AN AUTHENTIC ISLAMIC MORAL AUTHORITY IS ARISING AND IS
BEGINNING TO FORGE A COALITION TO UNIFY THE ARRANGEMENTS WILL BE FORGED BY JANUARY. MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT, THE MULLAHS WILL
ARRANGE THE ELECTION OF A GOVERNMENT WHICH ASSERTS ITS SOVEREIGNTY AND ASKS
THE PASS THE
WORD: THIS IS HOW IT WILL END IN Michael Wells Mandeville, |
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