PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is underway.

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25 2004

You have heard of the Weather Report? Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this URL

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_August_25_04.htm

THE COSMIC FORCES ARE MUTING BRIEFLY, PROVIDING A RESPITE AND A MOMENT OF CLARITY. HISTORY HAS TURNED, AND IT TURNS TO PEACE AND TO PROFOUND CHANGE IN THE ORDER OF THINGS. OUT OF THE SUFFERING OF THOSE IN IRAQ COMES THE LEADERSHIP OF PEACE-MAKING AND OUT OF THE SUFFERING OF AMERICA’S VETERANS COMES A POWERFUL CALL AND MORAL FORCE TO RESTORE TRUTH AND INTEGRITY IN AMERICAN POLITICS AND NATIONAL MEDIA – THE YEAR AS PREDICTED IS ENDING AS NONE COULD FORSEE BUT ONLY AS COULD BE CREATED BY THOSE EARNESTLY SEEKING A HIGHER STATE OF BEING. PRAY AND TELL. IT WORKS.

On the geophysical front, FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING SUMMER, the weather is muting out for this week. But not for long, the next major peak of sunspots will probably hit 180 plus right around September 1-3 to produce VERY WET LATE SUMMER STORMS . Earth’s tectonics remain calm, volcanism is nearly completely muted, but five Earth shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great Rifts of the ocean bottoms, presaging a new round of tectonic activity, which will intensify during the coming Full Moon Syzygy August 26 through to September 2. El Nino was shaping up in the trends for the Winter of 2005 but the trend weakened in the charts of August 8-16. An El Nino may still be in the works, it is more probable than not for next year, but it will take at least a few weeks, perhaps a few months, to be certain.

On the geopolitical front, everywhere it can be seen and sensed that the Bush years are falling away through great efforts on the part of all those whom the Imperial Faction has polarized so bitterly into mass opposition. As economic, political, and military events swirl around him and reveal his narcissism and incompetency, even portions of traditional elites are beginning to swing resources against the Faction. Profound change is likely to come.

Go to detailed synopsis…

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Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF AUGUST 11, 2004: Once again, the Collapse 2006 book TRACKS the unfolding real dynamics, except that the forecasted events are tending to manifest three to fours months earlier. All economic indicators for this July 2004 are DOWN except of course the BIG ONE is UUUUUP (you know what it is, don’t you?). Yes of course, OIL is climbing rapidly, partly based on a 34% increase this year in world demand created largely in ASIA. The progressive devaluation of the PETRO DOLLAR is now unfolding rapidly, despite the best expressed intentions of the House of Saud to hold dollar price stability for their partners, the Bush Crime Syndicate.

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY 21, 2004 – Several important economic factors and/or indicators are now declining – IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS, IT WILL BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED PROGRESSIVELY DOWN. ACCORDINGLY, SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE 25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE HAS FINALLY HIT. IF THE MESSAGE IS “YES”, the Kerry-Edwards ticket most likely will win decisively and the Republican control of Congress most likely will be “cracked”. But there is room for considerable movement in all positions among large numbers of people and it is clear that many events in this fast-paced, unpredictable year could deflect ALL expectations.

HOUSEKEEPING

Some portions of this week’s update was prepared one day early on Tuesday, August 17, others one day later than usual, on August 19.

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network.

Begin Synopsis

As stated in the “Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies.

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls. The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all.

BREATH FREE. Let go of everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive.

THIS WEEK, MAX CLELAND DID AND MULLAH SISTANI DID. AND THEY JUST CHANGED THE WORLD.

EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater meaning by the end of the year.

The “Great Purification” predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving

The Great Purification

of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004.

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….

THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

FOR THE MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

The Y Max point, reported three weeks ago, has been passed and the North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally after giving us a bumpy peak.

AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS: We have passed the “Y Max” last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is maintained by the IERS agency in France. “Y Max” is where the North Spin Axis is titled as far as it can go towards North America down Longitude West 90. The motion towards “Y Max” may have caused the increased movement of the North American Tectonic Plate to produce the interesting quake activity of the previous weeks.

As the Spin Axis begins its return towards the X Axis, the seismic activity may mirror what happened as it was moving outwards. This may occur during the next Full Moon or New Moon in September.

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

Currently, there is little of note. Despite many claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis of many different regions of the Earth.

Asteroids

As of June 04,

NASA’S

ESTIMATE:

“Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted, dates for planetary alignments are derived from Home Planet Software using PC graphics, due to limitations of software and graphics display, actual timing may be off as much as three days, for scientific work, use a professional ephemeris for exact dates). For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar. The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.

Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure

Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html

Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date

Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html

Daily Solar System – click here to view Planet Alignments

The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar

AS REPORTED LAST WEEK: A new almanac is being constructed. The links above are the main sources I use. I am now going to incorporate them directly into the Bulletin Updates. It still is not complete. August is a bad time to get real work accomplished. August is for people to relate to each other and the REALLY real world.

LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR 2004

2004

Distance

Full 30-Aug 2:23 378,000 km (rounded)

Perigee 27-Aug 5:38 365105 km F-2d20h

Apogee 8-Sep 2:43 404462 km N-6d11h

New 14-Sep 14:29

Perigee 22-Sep 21:13 369599 km F-5d15h

Full 28-Sep 13:09

Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326 km F+7d 9h

New 14-Oct 2:48

Perigee 18-Oct 0:04 367757 km N+3d21h

Full 28-Oct 3:08

Apogee 2-Nov 18:10 404998 km F+5d15h

New 12-Nov 14:27

Perigee 14-Nov 13:55 362312 km N+1d23h

Full 26-Nov 20:08

Apogee 30-Nov 11:26 405951 km F+3d15h

Perigee 12-Dec 21:31 357985 km N+ 20h

New 12-Dec 1:29

Full 26-Dec 15:07

Apogee 27-Dec 19:16 406487 km F+1d 4h

2005

New 10-Jan 12:04

TODAY’S MOON

We are in Lunation #1010 with the next Full Moon on August 30 at 2:22 UTC. As of August 25, the Moon this day is South of the Equator (in its South Node) 10 days past the New Moon. It is now approximately 364,000 KM from the Earth. It is already 77% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase). The next Perigee is August 27, about 3 full days before the Full Moon.

The next Seismic Syzygy is best conceived to begin about August 26 and should run through about September 2. This is a fairly close Perigee close on the Full Moon. Accordingly this Perigee Full Moon should produce the strongest Full Moon influence of the remainder of the year.

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website.

THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS

For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is 7, Neptune is 8, Pluto is 9, and both Planet X and Nibiru are bogus.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: We are now entering the final throes of an unusual set of planetary alignments. From August 3 to September 8, the three closest inner planets will be in very close angles to each other.

Two dates stand out: Mercury will align with Earth on August 23 and with Venus on September 8 to finish up a probably tempestuous season of exceptional solar activity.

LIST OF ALIGNMENTS FROM AUGUST 2004 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004

August 19, 2004

Mercury | Neptune Literal
with Earth and Uranus coupled
August 23, 2004

Mercury | Earth | Uranus (Neptune Couple)

Earth’s weather still is just beginning to respond to this influx of energy. These alignments brought a small peak in the sunspot count of 103 on August 22, with the Solar Flux Index at 114. The full response should be felt in about one week and it will most likely be relatively mild compared to the previous storm fronts this summer.

September 8, 2004

Mercury | Venus
Most of the planets in general now begin breaking apart widely, the "Summer Knot" become untied. From About September 10 onwards, Mars and Jupiter will be in a slow forming virtual alignment

***September 28, 2004

***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5 degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed
***October 1, 2004

***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected

PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS

For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.

The Summer Knot July 27 through September 8

Major ups and downs in the sunspot counts, at least three major storm fronts betwixt now and September 15 or so.

The Triple Whammy September Surprise September 28, 2004 - October 1, 2004

Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment

Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places.

The Apogee Six Way Cluster Bomb

At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY STORMY WINTER.

December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter
Venus and Mars still close and Earth near Saturn alignment
January 13, 2005 Mercury & Mars close couple to
Venus | Pluto and Earth | Saturn
January 27, 2005 Mercury | Venus with Pluto close couple

The Spring Grand Alignment

Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus

Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts. The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment

March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn
Spring Alignments begin in three main spirals
March 21,2005 Mars | Pluto with a spiral forming in
Mercury | Earth | Jupiter and another in Venus | Uranus
March 30, 2005 Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus
form a virtual straight line through the solar system with Mars and Pluto still closely coupled. Observers on Earth will only be able to physically see Jupiter rising on the Eastern horizon just after sunset and Saturn close to the Mid-heavens in the Western half of the sky. In the very early morning Mars and Uranus visible

Summer Ping Pong

June 7, 2005 Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and
Mars | Neptune. The timing of these alignments between these planets is not exact, the electromagnetic balances of the solar system will shift in a complex way, probably producing a number of ups and downs.

PLANET WATCHING

For background and the current information on observable planets.

NASA REPORTS ON URANUS: “This week Uranus and Earth are having a close encounter. Uranus will be "at opposition" on August 27th, which means it's opposite the sun in the sky and as near to Earth as it gets: about 1.7 billion miles. Because close encounters with Uranus are, in fact, so distant, the planet is not easy to see. Shining like a 6th magnitude star, Uranus is barely--barely!--visible to the unaided eye from the darkest observing sites. You can try to find it in the constellation Aquarius an hour or so after sunset.”

MWM: Because it is in near perfect alignment with the Earth, it will rise as the Sun sets. At midnight it should be close to the middle of the sky along the Zodiac belt.

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information.

To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table.

The Sunspot Count on August 24 was 55 and falling sharply along with the Solar Flux Index, which was 104 and fading South. After the sunspot count peaked at 103 on August 22, with the Solar Flux Index at 114 and falling, the sunspot count also began to fall rapidly.

We have no doubt had the peak for the August 23, 2004 alignment of

Mercury | Neptune. It was a relatively minor one…meaning that the storm fronts at the beginning of September should be relatively minor.

PREDICTION CONFIRMED FOR THIS PEAK: “if there is another peak, it will be small, possibly not even grazing 100.”

That was one of the best calls of the year.

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: the alignment on September 8, 2004 between Mercury | Venus should bring another high spike in the Sunspot Count, at least as high as 160. This peak should form up about September one and bring late Summer storms no later than September 10.

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23
These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad

JULY’S AVERAGE DAILY COUNT IN THE ISSN SERIES WAS UP BY NEARLY 10 FROM 43.2 TO 51. Somewhere the Sun took a wrong turn. This rise in the count is in the opposite direction to where it should be going. August’s average, which is predicted by computers to drop to 34, may also hover near 50..

Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2. Despite the high count for June, the average solar flux was progressively down for the year so far.

Because of the next round of planetary alignments, August could also be higher than the predicted average sunspot curves (based on computer modeling of the Solar Sunspot Cycles).

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM Arizona Mountain Time (which does not have daylight savings time).

The Solar Wind was mild at 344.0 km/s this day while pushing a density at 1.1 protons/cm3”.

GENERAL CONSENSUS: Not much solar activity of note, not much is likely during the next 48 hours, very little probability of disturbances felt on Earth.

The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) WAS OFF LINE TODAY. (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE.

NASA REPORTS: “VANISHING SUNSPOT: Long-lived sunspot 652 is about to vanish. It's being carried over the west limb of the sun by our star's 27-day rotation.”

NASA PREDICTS AS OF AUGUST 25: “SOLAR FORECAST: Solar activity is low and should remain so for the rest of the week. Auroras tonight are unlikely. ”During the next 24/48 hours, probability for an M-class solar flare is at 5% and for an X-class solar flare is at 1%, with a generally 1% to 15% probability for minor to severe geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude (higher the latitude, higher the probability).

Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was quiet on August 24. Solar wind speed ranged between 300 and 462 km/sec. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 104.9…At midnight there were 3 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was very low. No C class events were recorded during the day…August 22-24: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed…The northernmost extension of a coronal hole (CH110) in the southern hemisphere was likely in a geoeffective position on August 21.”

Jan Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on August 25-28. There is still a chance of a weak coronal hole flow arriving on August 25.“ Alvestad also predicts a 20%-60% probability of coronal holes, a 0% probability of CME’s, and a 0% probability of M and/or X Class Flares.

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our “sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.

FOLLOWING THE SUNSPOTS, CURRENTLY ALL CONDITIONS ARE CALMING OR MUTING DOWN. THE HUGE CYCLONE IN THE EAST PACIFIC WILL PROBABLY SLOWLY FADE RATHER THAN INTENSIFY.

The influx of “Fall weather” is probably partly related to the calming of the atmosphere and the early movement of the jet stream down over the Pacific Northwest which is bringing in massive quantities of wet marine air into Canada and the Great Plains states. The jet stream should be over Alaska but it is far South far earlier than normal. MOST LIKELY THERE IS ANOTHER COMPLICATION CAUSED BY THE GLOBAL WARMING SYNDOME, DISCUSSED BELOW.

AS OBSERVED LAST MONTH: weather patterns are tweaked out into chaotic extremes which fit no averages or generalities. Forget predictions, expect anything. THIS CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SUMMER, CHAOS ALTERNATING WITH PERIODS OF CALMING.

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

STAND PAT: IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE NORMAL? Nope. I can’t keep up with it and therefore won’t. MORE OF THE SAME. No predictions will call the tune for any area. More extremes during the next 30 days will be quite “normal”.

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR
SUMMER/FALL SEASON

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

STANDING PREDCTION FOR THIS SUMMER: The output of the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable. Accordingly, expect 50% probability of anything. This is my last prediction related to general weather patterns for this summer.

HAS “FALL” COME?

People all over North America are reporting that it feels like “Fall” has come. In some respects it has and this may be a function of Global Warming. As the Arctic warms up, it accelerates the expansion of relatively cool air at a faster rate further to the southern fringes of the Arctic zone. This forces cool air to flow towards the tropics across all the continents. This is a simple “refrigeration effect” from adding energy (compressing the gas) to the cycle of moving the cooling gas to the heat transfer loop (cooling coils). The Northern Hemisphere between the Arctic circle and approximately Latitude 45 degrees are the heat transfer coils. The heat pump is working faster (because the warming up of the Arctic ocean sends more cool air south), thus cooling you down faster, bringing you towards the Winter State at an earlier date.

Will this create an ice age? NO. Ice ages are mirages in the mist of time. They never have happened. There are too many limit factors at work in various heat transfer mechanisms of the Earth. Almost no geophysicists and astrophysicists support ice age theories because they cannot make sense out of the physics. ALL ice age evidence is no more and no less than evidence of shifting locations of the polar ice cap, which shift locations every 2000 to 25,000 years, ranging from a degree or two to as much as 30 degrees.