PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Monitoring The Changes In The Earth

edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright August 25 2004

                                                                                                             

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Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly update which is posted on the WEB.

 

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DATA

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HEADLINES

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Please Note:  This Bulletin is conceived as a System.  It is still in an early stage of evolution.  We intend to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is underway.

 

 

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25 2004

You have heard of the Weather Report?  Here exclusively is this week’s  "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

 

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this  URL

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_August_25_04.htm

 

 

THE COSMIC FORCES ARE MUTING BRIEFLY, PROVIDING A RESPITE AND A MOMENT OF CLARITY.  HISTORY HAS TURNED, AND IT TURNS TO PEACE AND TO PROFOUND CHANGE IN THE ORDER OF THINGS.  OUT OF THE SUFFERING OF THOSE IN IRAQ COMES THE LEADERSHIP OF PEACE-MAKING AND OUT OF THE SUFFERING OF AMERICA’S VETERANS COMES A POWERFUL CALL AND MORAL FORCE TO RESTORE TRUTH AND INTEGRITY IN AMERICAN POLITICS AND NATIONAL MEDIA – THE YEAR AS PREDICTED IS ENDING AS NONE COULD FORSEE BUT ONLY AS COULD BE CREATED BY THOSE EARNESTLY SEEKING A HIGHER STATE OF BEING.  PRAY AND TELL. IT WORKS.

 

On the geophysical front,  FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING SUMMER, the weather is muting out for this week.  But not for long, the next major peak of sunspots will probably hit 180 plus right around September 1-3 to produce VERY WET LATE SUMMER STORMS .  Earth’s tectonics remain calm, volcanism is nearly completely muted, but five Earth shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great Rifts of the ocean bottoms, presaging a new round of tectonic activity, which will intensify during the coming Full Moon Syzygy August 26 through to September 2.  El Nino was shaping up in the trends for the Winter of 2005 but the trend weakened in the charts of August 8-16.  An El Nino may still be in the works, it is more probable than not for next year, but it will take at least a few weeks, perhaps a few months, to be certain.

 

On the geopolitical front, everywhere it can be seen and sensed that the Bush years are falling away through great efforts on the part of all those whom the Imperial Faction has polarized so bitterly into mass opposition. As economic, political, and military events swirl around him and reveal his narcissism and incompetency, even portions of  traditional elites are beginning to swing resources against the Faction.  Profound change is likely to come.     

 

Go to detailed synopsis…

 

This hidden column on the right  is available for links, banners, and icons of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual donation.  Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update.  YOU MUST HAVE BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous subscriber).. 

 

NOTES

Grayed items are not yet operational

 

PREVIOUS
WEEKLY

UPDATES

 

 

August 25, 2004

August 18, 2004

August 11, 2004

July 28, 2004

July 21, 2004

July 14, 2004

July 7, 2004

June 30, 2004

June 23, 2004

June 16, 2004

June 9, 2004

June 2, 2004

May 26, 2004

May 19, 2004

May 12, 2004

 

 

Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well.  They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth.  Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects  The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors.  Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together.  This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead.  The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences.  The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

 

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/

 

 

 

 

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007.  Click here to download

 

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008:  This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent.  If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. 

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF AUGUST 11, 2004:  Once again, the Collapse 2006 book TRACKS the unfolding real dynamics, except that the forecasted events are tending to manifest three to fours months earlier.  All economic indicators for this July 2004 are DOWN except of course the BIG ONE is UUUUUP (you know what it is, don’t you?).  Yes of course, OIL is climbing rapidly, partly based on a 34% increase this year in world demand created largely in ASIA.  The progressive devaluation of the PETRO DOLLAR is now unfolding rapidly, despite the best expressed intentions of the House of Saud to hold dollar price stability for their partners, the Bush Crime Syndicate.

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY 21, 2004 – Several important  economic factors and/or indicators are now declining – IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS,  IT WILL BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED PROGRESSIVELY DOWN.  ACCORDINGLY, SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE 25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE HAS FINALLY HIT.  IF THE MESSAGE IS “YES”, the Kerry-Edwards ticket most likely will win decisively and the Republican control of Congress most likely will be “cracked”.  But there is room for considerable movement in all positions among large numbers of people and it is clear that many events in this fast-paced, unpredictable year could deflect ALL expectations.

 

 

 

 

 

 

HOUSEKEEPING

 

Some portions of this week’s update was prepared one day early on Tuesday, August 17, others one day later than usual, on August 19.

 

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time).   Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin.  To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network

 

 

 

Begin Synopsis

 

 As stated in the “Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities of the human species.  As we transform the media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth.  Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it.  Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies.

 

 

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time.  Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.  The old patterns are falling away.  Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all.

 

BREATH FREE. Let go of everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird.  Let go of everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive.

 

THIS WEEK, MAX CLELAND DID AND MULLAH SISTANI DID. AND THEY JUST CHANGED THE WORLD.

 

EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING.  IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO.  In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them.  This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater meaning by the end of the year.

 

 

 

The “Great Purification” predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues.  How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving

The Great Purification

of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004.

 

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….

THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

 

 

FOR THE MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration.  This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

 

 

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE.  To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

 

The Y Max point, reported three weeks ago, has been passed and the North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally after giving us a bumpy peak.

 

AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS:  We have passed the “Y Max” last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is maintained by the IERS agency in France.  “Y Max” is where the North Spin Axis is titled as far as it can go towards North America down Longitude West 90.   The motion towards “Y Max” may have caused the increased movement of the North American Tectonic Plate to produce the interesting quake activity of the previous weeks.

 

As the Spin Axis begins its return towards the X Axis, the seismic activity may mirror what happened as it was moving outwards.  This may occur during the next Full Moon or New Moon in September.

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif

 

 

 

 

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth.  No real change during the past year:  a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

 

Currently, there is little of note.  Despite many claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis of many different regions of the Earth.

 

 

 

 

Asteroids

As of June 04,

NASA’S

ESTIMATE:

“Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs  (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

 

 

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted, dates for planetary alignments are derived from Home Planet Software using PC graphics, due to limitations of software and graphics display, actual timing may be off as much as three days, for scientific work, use a professional ephemeris for exact dates).  For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar.  The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.  

 

Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure

Every day John Walker’s  (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of  hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows.  Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way.  http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html

 

Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data  - click here to be always up to date

Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html


Daily Solar System – click here to view Planet Alignments

The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets.  Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake.  You can set any date and time.  You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar

 

AS REPORTED LAST WEEK:  A new almanac is being constructed.  The links above are the main sources I use.  I am now going to incorporate them directly into the Bulletin Updates.  It still is not complete.  August is a bad time to get real work accomplished.  August is for people to relate to each other and the REALLY real world.

 

LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR 2004

 

2004

 

                                             Distance

Full               30-Aug 2:23      378,000 km       (rounded)

Perigee         27-Aug 5:38      365105 km        F-2d20h

Apogee         8-Sep   2:43      404462 km        N-6d11h

New              14-Sep 14:29               

Perigee         22-Sep 21:13    369599 km        F-5d15h

Full               28-Sep 13:09               

Apogee         5-Oct    22:11    404326 km        F+7d 9h

New              14-Oct  2:48                 

Perigee         18-Oct  0:04      367757 km        N+3d21h

Full               28-Oct  3:08                 

Apogee         2-Nov    18:10    404998 km        F+5d15h

New              12-Nov  14:27               

Perigee         14-Nov  13:55    362312 km        N+1d23h

Full               26-Nov  20:08               

Apogee         30-Nov  11:26    405951 km        F+3d15h

Perigee         12-Dec 21:31    357985 km        N+  20h

New              12-Dec 1:29                 

Full               26-Dec 15:07               

Apogee         27-Dec 19:16    406487 km        F+1d 4h

 

2005

New              10-Jan  12:04

 

TODAY’S MOON

 

We are in Lunation #1010 with the next Full Moon on August 30 at 2:22 UTC.  As of August 25, the Moon this day is South of the Equator (in its South Node) 10 days past the New Moon.  It is now approximately 364,000 KM from the Earth. It is already 77% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase).  The next Perigee is August 27, about 3 full days before the Full Moon. 

 

The next Seismic Syzygy is best conceived to begin about August 26 and should run through about September 2.  This is a fairly close Perigee close on the Full Moon.  Accordingly this Perigee Full Moon should produce the strongest Full Moon influence of the remainder of the year.

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit).   (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.)  For details see the Syzygy website.

 

THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS

For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is 7, Neptune is 8, Pluto is 9, and both Planet X and Nibiru are bogus.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  We are now entering the final throes of an unusual set of planetary alignments.  From August 3 to September 8, the three closest inner planets will be in very close angles to each other. 

 

Two dates stand out:  Mercury will align with Earth on August 23 and with Venus on September 8 to finish up a probably tempestuous season of exceptional solar activity.  

 

LIST OF ALIGNMENTS FROM AUGUST 2004 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004

 

August 19, 2004  

Mercury | Neptune Literal
with Earth and Uranus coupled
August 23, 2004 

Mercury | Earth | Uranus (Neptune Couple)

 

Earth’s weather still is just beginning to respond to this influx of energy.  These alignments brought a small peak in the sunspot count of 103 on August 22, with the Solar Flux Index at 114.  The full response should be felt in about one week and it will most likely be relatively mild compared to the previous storm fronts this summer.


September 8, 2004

Mercury | Venus
Most of the planets in general now begin breaking apart widely, the "Summer Knot" become  untied. From About September 10 onwards,  Mars and Jupiter will be in a slow forming virtual alignment

***September 28, 2004

***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5 degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed
***October 1, 2004

***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected

 

PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS

For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.

 

The Summer Knot  July 27 through September 8

 

Major ups and downs in the sunspot counts, at least three major storm fronts betwixt now and September 15 or so.

 

The Triple Whammy September Surprise September 28, 2004 - October 1, 2004

 

Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment

Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places.

 

The Apogee Six Way Cluster Bomb

 

At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets during a 30 day period.  Expect an INTENSELY STORMY WINTER.

December 30, 2004  Mercury | Jupiter
Venus and Mars still close and Earth near Saturn alignment
January 13, 2005  Mercury & Mars close couple to
Venus | Pluto and Earth | Saturn
January 27, 2005  Mercury | Venus with Pluto close couple

 

The Spring Grand Alignment

Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus

 

Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.  The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment

 

March 14, 2005  Mercury | Saturn
Spring Alignments begin in three main spirals
March 21,2005  Mars | Pluto with a spiral forming in
Mercury | Earth | Jupiter and another in Venus | Uranus
March 30, 2005 Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus
form a virtual straight line through the solar system with Mars and Pluto still closely coupled. Observers on Earth will only be able to physically see Jupiter rising on the Eastern horizon just after sunset and Saturn close to the Mid-heavens in the Western half of the sky. In the very early morning Mars and Uranus visible

 

Summer Ping Pong

 

June 7, 2005  Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and
Mars | Neptune.  The timing of these alignments between these planets is not exact, the electromagnetic balances of the solar system will shift in a complex way, probably producing a number of ups and downs.

 

 

 

 

 

 

PLANET WATCHING  

For background and the current information on observable planets.

 

NASA REPORTS ON URANUS:  “This week Uranus and Earth are having a close encounter. Uranus will be "at opposition" on August 27th, which means it's opposite the sun in the sky and as near to Earth as it gets: about 1.7 billion miles.  Because close encounters with Uranus are, in fact, so distant, the planet is not easy to see. Shining like a 6th magnitude star, Uranus is barely--barely!--visible to the unaided eye from the darkest observing sites. You can try to find it in the constellation Aquarius an hour or so after sunset.”

 

MWM:  Because it is in near perfect alignment with the Earth, it will rise as the Sun sets.  At midnight it should be close to the middle of the sky along the Zodiac belt.

 

 

 

 

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information.  

To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table.

 

The Sunspot Count on August 24 was 55 and falling sharply along with the Solar Flux Index, which was 104 and fading South.  After the sunspot count peaked at 103 on August 22, with the Solar Flux Index at 114 and falling, the sunspot count also began to fall rapidly.

 

We have no doubt had the peak for the August 23, 2004  alignment of

Mercury | Neptune.  It was a relatively minor one…meaning that the storm fronts at the beginning of September should be relatively minor.

 

PREDICTION CONFIRMED FOR THIS PEAK:  “if there is another peak, it will be small, possibly not even grazing 100.”

 

That was one of the best calls of the year.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:  the alignment on September 8, 2004 between Mercury | Venus should bring another high spike in the Sunspot Count, at least as high as 160.  This peak should form up about September one and bring late Summer storms no later than September 10.

 

 

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23
These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad

JULY’S AVERAGE DAILY COUNT IN THE ISSN SERIES WAS UP BY NEARLY 10 FROM 43.2 TO 51.  Somewhere the Sun took a wrong turn.  This rise in the count is in the opposite direction to where it should be going.  August’s average, which is predicted by computers to drop to 34, may also hover near 50..

Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004  was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9  April’s count was radically lower at 39.3.  The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April.  June 2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2.  Despite the high count for June, the average solar flux was progressively down for the year so far.

Because of the next round of planetary alignments, August could also be higher than the predicted average sunspot curves (based on computer modeling of the Solar Sunspot Cycles).

 

 

 

 

 

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated.  (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into).  Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM Arizona Mountain Time (which does not have daylight savings time).

 

The Solar Wind was mild at 344.0 km/s this day while pushing a density at 1.1 protons/cm3”.   

 

GENERAL CONSENSUS:  Not much solar activity of note, not much is likely during the next 48 hours, very little probability of disturbances felt on Earth.

 

The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) WAS OFF LINE TODAY. (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE.

 

NASA REPORTS: “VANISHING SUNSPOT: Long-lived sunspot 652 is about to vanish. It's being carried over the west limb of the sun by our star's 27-day rotation.”

 

NASA PREDICTS AS OF AUGUST 25:  “SOLAR FORECAST: Solar activity is low and should remain so for the rest of the week. Auroras tonight are unlikely. ”During the next 24/48 hours, probability for an M-class solar flare is at 5% and for an X-class solar flare is at 1%, with a generally 1% to 15% probability for minor to severe geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude (higher the latitude, higher the probability). 

 

Jan Alvestad reports:  “The geomagnetic field was quiet on August 24. Solar wind speed ranged between 300 and 462 km/sec.  Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 104.9…At midnight there were 3 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was very low. No C class events were recorded during the day…August 22-24: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed…The northernmost extension of a coronal hole (CH110) in the southern hemisphere was likely in a geoeffective position on August 21.”

 

Jan Alvestad predicts:  “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on August 25-28. There is still a chance of a weak coronal hole flow arriving on August 25.“  Alvestad also predicts a 20%-60% probability of coronal holes, a 0% probability of CME’s, and a 0% probability of M and/or X Class Flares.

 

 

 

 

 

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark.  Accordingly, our “sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.

 

 

FOLLOWING THE SUNSPOTS, CURRENTLY ALL CONDITIONS ARE CALMING OR MUTING DOWN.  THE HUGE CYCLONE IN THE EAST PACIFIC WILL PROBABLY SLOWLY FADE RATHER THAN INTENSIFY.

 

The influx of “Fall weather” is probably partly related to the calming of the atmosphere and the early movement of the jet stream down over the Pacific Northwest which is bringing in massive quantities of wet marine air into Canada and the Great Plains states. The jet stream should be over Alaska but it is far South far earlier than normal. MOST LIKELY THERE IS ANOTHER COMPLICATION CAUSED BY THE GLOBAL WARMING SYNDOME, DISCUSSED BELOW.

 

AS OBSERVED LAST MONTH:  weather patterns are tweaked out into chaotic extremes which fit no averages or generalities.  Forget predictions, expect anything.  THIS CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SUMMER, CHAOS ALTERNATING WITH PERIODS OF CALMING.

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

STAND PAT:  IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE NORMAL?  Nope.   I can’t keep up with it and therefore won’t.  MORE OF THE SAME.   No predictions will call the tune for any area.  More extremes during the next 30 days will be quite “normal”.

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR
SUMMER/FALL SEASON

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

STANDING PREDCTION FOR THIS SUMMER:  The output of the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable.  Accordingly, expect 50% probability of anything. This is my last prediction related to general weather patterns for this summer.

 

HAS “FALL” COME?

 

People all over North America are reporting that it feels like “Fall” has come.  In some respects it has and this may be a function of Global Warming.  As the Arctic warms up, it accelerates the expansion of relatively cool air at a faster rate further to the southern fringes of the Arctic zone.  This forces cool air to flow towards the tropics across all the continents.  This is a simple “refrigeration effect” from adding energy (compressing the gas) to the cycle of moving the cooling gas to the heat transfer loop (cooling coils).  The Northern Hemisphere between the Arctic circle and approximately Latitude 45 degrees are the heat transfer coils.  The heat pump is working faster (because the warming up of the Arctic ocean sends more cool air south), thus cooling you down faster, bringing you towards the Winter State at an earlier date.

 

Will this create an ice age?  NO.  Ice ages are mirages in the mist of time.  They never have happened. There are too many limit factors at work in various heat transfer mechanisms of the Earth.  Almost no geophysicists and astrophysicists support ice age theories because they cannot make sense out of the physics.   ALL ice age evidence is no more and no less than evidence of shifting locations of the polar ice cap, which shift locations every 2000 to 25,000 years, ranging from a degree or two to as much as 30 degrees.

 

But Global Warming could easily intensify the seasons, making a short bitterly cold Winter, longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and shorter but very hot and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at work in the Northern Hemisphere?

 

SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS

This “sloppycast” is based on six years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

 

AS REPORTED LAST WEEK:  The Summer Monsoon has definitely arrived, somewhat late, for most of the higher elevations.  Some areas have had a normal rainfall but many areas, especially the lower elevations, have not.  In the Sonoran Plain it is quite normal these days to see the thunderstorms generate huge dust storms, lightening, lots of clouds, but no rain or what is called dry rain, where precipitation from high clouds dries up and evaporates before it hits the ground.  In our area at the 2200 foot elevation, the rainfall so far this year is only one third normal levels.  Thus for us and a large part of the Southwest,  the general drought in the Western U.S. in still holding sway. Strangely though, this week has been remarkably overcast and relatively cool a great portion of the time. 

 

I now suspect that the Summer Monsoon period in North America is OVER, at least for everything below 3000 feet in elevation.  The early Fall Syndrome which is being pushed through the Pacific Northwest is keeping wet marine air from entering the Southwestern Plains.

 

Apparently, for drought-hit areas, no relief is in sight.  Only the Winter of 2005 remains a hope at this point.  At this point, everyone in the Southwest should begin to pray in earnest for a HUGE El Nino effect.  During the last El Nino, the Southwest received substantial water. 

 

On this score, Fortune may shine. See below.

 

 

 

 

EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH
The watch is now open again; Pacific water activity appears mostly normal, we are between the extremes of the ENSO; but all Auguries point to next year for the next onset.

 

PREDICTED LAST WEEK:  El Nino on the way, more probable than not

 

OR MAYBE NOT!!!!

 

Conditions have been warming up quite rapidly along the central portion of the Pacific Equator, midway between South America and the Fiji Islands. A dramatic warming trend appeared as of August 8.  But as of August 16, this trend appeared to weaken slightly.

 

If the trend strengthens and persists into January 2005, an El Nino effect will definitely alter the weather of North America for at least a few months late in 2004 and early in 2005.

 

BUT IF IT CONTINUES TO WEAKEN DURING AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER, THEN ONE SHOULD CONCLUDE THAT NO EL NINO IS ON THE WAY FOR THE WINTER OF 2005.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:  Purely in accordance with the X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model,  I PREDICT AN EL NINO IN 2005. In accordance with the trend in Global Warming, I PREDICT A VERY STRONG EL NINO, which should produce a very wet, warm winter for the Pacific coast and the Southwest.  Hopefully this will finally break the drought in the Western U.S.

 

ADDITIONAL NOTE:  The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS.   Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El Nino year.  So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005.

 

 

 

KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC,  ANTARCTIC, and the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories of the climate shift.

 

 

GLOBAL WARMING

It is becoming obvious that we have a long term real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the latitudes.  This climate shift is creating a growing environmental disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004

 

 

Many more reports keep coming in about major changes in the Arctic, from Canada and Siberia.  Reports keep surfacing everywhere about animal behavior changes, weather pattern changes, ocean current and upwelling changes, new dead zones in the ocean, etc.

 

As well, many new findings about the Sun, the record of climate in the ice, and from other sources, are circulating in greater variety than ever, all seeming to parallel with the idea of an accelerating warm up. We are no doubt seeing a rising tide of change data coming at us and it will get heavier still.

 

It is apparent from these many reports that “global warming” is accelerating climate shifts and ecological changes around the world.  These changes are so varied in such great quantity, it is difficult to summarize the shifts which are going on but it is impossible to ignore them.

 

The great debate is growing sharper over what is the cause of these massive changes.  The old theory that the climate shift is being caused by  human activity is being supplanted now more and more because the theory cannot explain nor predict the sudden escalation of change during the past ten years, most especially since the beginning of this solar peak maxima, which more or less can be marked as commencing with 1999.

 

This points directly to a Solar cause of our current round of global warming but the issue is not easily resolved by simply pointing there.  The problem is that solar output during 2004 is less than the comparable periods of 2000/01/02/03.  If global warming is a linear response to the Sun, the global warming signs should have slowed down this year.

 

I BELIEVE THE COLLECTIVE “CALL” IS THAT THEY HAVE ACCELERATED.  This must find another factor to explain it.

 

I believe that factor is beneath your feet.  The reason I feel that way is that Edgar Cayce, whose influence led to the creation of this site, predicted that a major escalation in the tempo of “changes in the earth” would be finally noticed by humans in the “period 1998”.  He predicted that there would be slow major changes in basic geological trends from 1958 through to 1998 (which occurred – a fourfold acceleration in annual tectonic motion by 1998 ) and then the manifestation of major changes would become more and more dominant after 1998.

 

In my book, “The Prophecies”, I interpreted this to be primarily tectonic changes.  But let us suppose that the first major changes to be created are “upheavals” of heat in the Arctic through the Great Rift which runs through the Arctic ocean almost dead across the North Spin Axis.  Let us suppose then that the Earth Changes are accelerating but the first major impact is the warming of the Artic Ocean and the beginning of “Global Warming”.

 

I believe that this solution neatly and economically explains all the observables.  We are noticing major changes in the North.  But not much on Antarctica except along the shelf where weather patterns and seismic activity and tidal factors are at play, the influences there could be mainly solar. The focus of change appears to be in the North.  The currents of the ocean are changing primarily in the North. We are seeing the increase in global warming independent of the Sun. And, we are seeing a definite acceleration which fits the general pattern of acceleration in the motions of the crust since 1960.

 

This thesis is given considerable additional credibility by the fact that we can directly correlate El Nino with the tectonic motions which accompany the seven year spiral cycle of the Spin Axis.

 

Bottom line:  Chandler’s Wobble.  The wobble is accelerating the drift in its location and this is cracking open the Great Heat Vents in the ocean rifts.  I now believe pretty much that changes in the Wobble are the major engine for the greater portion of geophysical, geological, and climate change throughout all geological time..

 

Indirect proof:  database arctic seismic activity for the past 50 years.  It should show a marked increase throughout the Great Rift which runs through it..  Most of the motion of the crust occurs deep and shows as .5 to 1.5 sized microtremors.  Problem.  The data will be incomplete and an accurate comparable timeline is not likely to be better than about  25 years. And most likely NO one has been concerned about building a good profile of the Artic Rift.  Much of the activity may have been ignored or screened out.

 

Direct proof, temperature probes in the Arctic Rift, but unfortunately we will have no trend data and as far as I know, the Arctic is not wired on the ocean floor.  It would take a major investment, even with a wireless approach and we still wouldn’t know for several years if there was a trend apparent.

 

Analytic proof:  Compare hemispheres.  See if the main global warming symptoms are primarily connected with the Arctic. 

 

For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004

 

 

 

 

 

IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR

 

All  conditions will tend to moderate in mass behavior this next several days.  Events will play out as determined people with will power crowd them out.  Sistani will reclaim control of Najaf without violence and boot out both Al Sadr and the U.S.  In the U.S. those determined to act on the basis of their decisions will act them out in logical, powerful ways.  In most cases violence will be avoided and emotional shysterism, which is typical of Bush’s Rambo crowd, will take the short end of the stick.

 

The Republican convention is not likely to provide Bush with a boost.

 

Emotional reactions should begin to turn hot again just after September 2.

 

CONFIRMED:  AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  The ionic flux and the human contradictions of denial have focused people into thinking and plotting intensely their next round of moves within a highly polarized mental and emotional atmosphere.  Expect heavy choppiness in all things human.  Sudden shifts, both good and ill, everywhere.  Recently there has been a strong chop in the polls against Bush.  But as the year progresses, the polls could begin to chop the other way for a spell (by a spell) as the mass mind focuses on other things.  It will take at least another six months for these factors to smooth out….Since the emotional damage inflicted this past four years has been so severe, psychological conditions may not smooth out until the beginning of the next solar cycle sometime in 2006/07.

 

 

 

 

 

EARTHQUAKES

Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger.  Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above.  Unfortunately there are many lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.  Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON INCOMPLETE INFORMATION.  FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I do.  See Syzygy.com

Quake activity in the world (for all quakes 3.0 and greater in magnitude) generally became randomized and  was about average in frequency and magnitude for the past seven days.  There were no obvious patterns, no hot spots, and there was no quake larger than 5.9

.

The most moving place was Japan, more than a quake a day over 4.7 kept the islands moving nicely to their inevitable destination, at the bottom of the Pacific once upon an age.

 

Five shape-shifter quakes occurred during the past seven days, two in the Mid-Atlantic Rift just East of the Carib Plate and the remainder were scattered widely around the margin of the Antarctica Plate.

 

COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR SOUTH CAL.

 

Another sizable quake struck just 10 miles off the coast of Oregon, but this 4.7 quake struck a  just West of Newport, far to the North of Coos Bay.  At least four other small quakes struck the same area.

 

It remains imperative to continue the watch as the West Coast from Vancouver to San Diego remains especially active.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a major destructive quake could now strike at any time in Santa Barbara, Santa Monica, Hollywood, the Van Nuys Valley region, Bakersfield, and anywhere along the escarpment of the San Bernardino Mountains. This will be a follow up to the 4.9 quake which was felt in Coos Bay Oregon during July 2004.  If a quake occurs near Santa Barbara, warnings will need to be given to Mexico City about the possibility of a major explosive event in Popo.

 

SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH

 

No reports to add this week

 

SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH

The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.)  For additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the Earth, go to Plate Tectonics Map

 

Five, two in the Mid-Atlantic, three along the margin of Antarctica Plate.

 

Magnitude 5.4 PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE

2004 August 24 20:07:47 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_mnaz.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        55.03S 129.02W

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          PACIFIC-ANTARCTIC RIDGE

Reference     4515 km (2800 miles) SSE of PAPEETE, Tahiti, French Polynesia

 

Magnitude 4.6 NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

2004 August 24 04:39:37 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_mnap.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        12.67N 44.33W

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          NORTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

Reference     1230 km (760 miles) NE of CAYENNE, French Guiana

1620 km (1010 miles) NNE of Belem, Para, Brazil

 

Magnitude 5.5 SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

2004 August 23 00:57:13 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_mmak.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        24.82S 13.59W

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          SOUTHERN MID-ATLANTIC RIDGE

Reference     1275 km (790 miles) SW of Saint Helena

3015 km (1880 miles) E of Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

 

Magnitude 4.6 SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE

2004 August 22 23:31:30 UTC

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_mlai.html

Preliminary Earthquake Report

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        50.45S 112.62E

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE

Reference     2070 km (1290 miles) S of PERTH, Western Australia, Australia

 

Magnitude 4.9 SOUTH GEORGIA ISLAND REGION

2004 August 21 06:02:53 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_mkad.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        54.94S 33.40W

Depth            25.0 kilometers

Region          SOUTH GEORGIA ISLAND REGION

Reference     215 km (135 miles) ESE of Grytviken, South Georgia

435 km (270 miles) WNW of Visokoi Island, South Sandwich Islands

615 km (385 miles) NW of Bristol Island, South Sandwich Islands

2985 km (1860 miles) SSE of BUENOS AIRES, Argentina

 

NORTH AMERICAN WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitudeAny numbers used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect what will eventually appear in scientific databases.

 

Seismic activity in North America overall for quakes in the range of 1.0 and over was down this past week for the past seven days as of Tuesday, August 17.  All is as it should be.

 

463 quakes in U.S./Alaska as a whole, down from 514 last week.

 

297 in California and Nevada, down from 362 last week, widely scattered in California and Nevada.

 

60 small microtremors in the PNW, up from 51 last week, scattered in the Puget Sound Basin with quakes in Oregon and Northern California; five of these were off the coast of Newport, Oregon.

 

22  in Utah, up from 10 last week.

 

20 in the Mammoth Lakes, Long Valley Volcanic Cauldera area,  down a little from the 25 last week, 

YELLOWSTONE WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude.  For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE.

 

Activity this past seven days continued to pick up with 17  quakes in Yellowstone, up from 8 last week.  These were widely scattered.

 

WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES

 

Yawn.

 

 

 

 

VOLCANOES

Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre.  Or see “Breaking Volcano Eruption News”.

 

WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY IS AT A MINIMAL LEVEL AND has been stable during the past seven days,.  (This is a fairly subjective guestimate based on the numbers and data reported by the SWVC, quake data, and other reports)

 

NO REAL CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK:  Only a handful of volcanoes are emitting small occasional puffs of steam and ash and there are few recent reports about most of those which are still listed on the active list. For the most  part, world volcanism is like a fire which has just burnt itself out, leaving only a few coals and wisps of smoke.  Even Etna is silent.

 

But lava flowed from Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion) this week to create the greatest activity.  And Lava flow at Kilauea continues as do ash emissions from Popo.  These latter two are most likely the most continuously active volcanoes at the current time.

 

Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of August 25 2004

 

7 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment) (same as last week)

 

48 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may begin) (same as last week)

 

23 on active list (seismic, gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (same last week)

 

Popo gave a 16 puff day yesterday.  Centrapred reports for August 25 (17:00 GMT) that “In the last 24 hours the monitoring system of Popocatepetl volcano recorded only 16 low intensity exhalations accompanied by steam and gas emissions. The other monitored parameters remain without important changes.  Early in the morning the volcano was observed with low fumarolic activity.”

 

 

MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK

from Volcano Breaking News by Volcanologist John Seach

Volcano Travel:  john@volcanolive.com

Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian Time (UT + 10 hr)

Mt Elgon Volcano (Kenya)
1.13 N, 34.55 E, summit elevation 4321 m, Stratovolcano
Tuesday 24th August 2004
Residents of Mt Elgon District in Western Kenya have been advised to avoid drinking rainwater as volcanic emissions increase at Mt Elgon. Experts have taken three samples of ash which has been settling around a cave since the emission of gases started two weeks ago. The emission of gases, which have a pungent smell, had intensified over recent days. A Kenyan geologist developed a sore throat after entering the cave which contained the emissions. The temperature in the active area was 170 deg C.  Mt Elgon is located in western Kenya, and was formerly considered extinct.
More on Mt Elgon Volcano...

Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion)
21.22 S, 55.71 E, summit elevation 2631 m, shield volcano
Monday 23rd August, 2004
Lava flowed across the national road number 2 yesterday, at Piton de la Fournaise volcano in Reunion. Despite rainy weather, a crowd gathered to see the event at a safe distance behind barriers set up by the French police. A second flow, about a hundreds metres away is heading in the same direction. The lava flows are not far from entering the Indian Ocean. The current eruption of Piton de la Fournaise volcano began 10 days ago.
More on Piton de la Fournaise volcano...

Ulawun Volcano (Papua New Guinea)
5.04 S, 151.34 E, summit elevation 2334 m, stratovolcano
Monday 23rd August, 2004
A thin plume to 3km height was observed extending 110km SW of Ulawun volcano on 23rd August. Ulawun volcano is the highest in New Britain, and one of the most active in Papua New Guinea. The last large eruption of Ulawun volcano was in April 2001, when an ash cloud reached a height of 13.7 km.
More on Ulawun Volcano...

 

e

 

Standing Assessment:  Likely, it is fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical, moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. 

 

 

BLACK ARTS NATION

 

STAY TUNED.  We are just on the front edge of “the outing”….

 

 

 

 

 

ECONOMY WATCH 

 

 

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED

CONFIRMED CONFIRMED CONFIRMED

 

-----AS PREDICTED IN PREVIOUS WEEKS: “Conditions are clearly tilting SOUTH, as in a decline down hill.  The Bush League Boom is over before it started.”

 

All economic indicators for July are clearly down

 

FOR THE LASTEST DETAILED DISCUSSION

 

See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004

 

FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION FOR THIS YEAR,

 

 See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004

 

GENERAL PREDICTION DJI AVERAGES

 

The DJI finished August 17 at 10,181.74 some $200 higher than the close of 9,972.83 last Wednesday.   This choppiness will continue with 100 point mood swings for the next few weeks unless a major disruption is created by terrorists.

 

I DO NOT SEE A FINAL BREAK AT THIS TIME BUT WE ARE ON THE CUSP.  But before then, pay attention.

 

ANOTHER MINI BUBBLE IS DEFINITELY ON FOR SEPTEMBER AND MOST OF OCTOBER

 

All the King’s Sorcerers and All the King’s Bagmen will conspire earnestly after the Republican convention this next week to lift the markets.

 

The market will rebound in September and October for at least a few hundred points.  THEN, it will break again.  Don’t wait for Christmas Retail Sales…they will be disappointing, depress the stock values, and lead into the final economic collapse.  When the DJI is above 10,000, liquidate anything you have in all such equities anywhere.  The DJI MAY HIT 10,500 AGAIN during late September but DON’T COUNT ON IT.  And if it does, it will be only a signal spike which will break the market for many months, if not many years.

 

FOR THE LAST CURRENT DETAILED DISCUSSIONS SEE:

See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004

 

EURO WATCH 

 

The softening of the dollar continues.  The dollar closed today at 0.8281

up about two pennies from the 0.8093 per euro a week ago. The softening  probably will continue.  The overall erosion is likely to slowly continue through the year and may bottom at $0.70 per euro by the end of 2004.

 

WHEN PETRO PER BARREL GOES DOWN FOR MORE THAN A COUPLE OF  WEEKS IN A ROW, WATCH THE DOLLAR SLIDE.

 

MUST READ:  “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, which lays out the dynamics of what is happening

 

 

 

 

 

SURVIVAL WATCH

 

FOOD WATCH

 

For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

 

JOB WATCH

 

For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

 

 

 

SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME).  But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted.  Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year.  ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES:  The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services.  This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah.  I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM.

 

POLITICAL WATCH

For general overview on the Tragedy in Iraq and the Bureau-Political Civil War in Washington DC, I highly recommend Tom Dispatch.

 

STAND PAT – See Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 7 2004

 

THE WORLD AWAITS THE DEPARTURE OF THE BUSH REGIME.  Kerry looks like the “General” the Democrats have needed for 40 years.  Unlike Clinton, he knows he has to fight a corrupt Mafioso tooth and nail, and unlike 30 years of Democratic candidates, he knows when to fight.  And large numbers of Democrats know they are in the fight of a generation, so the outpouring of support is total.

 

Wasn’t Senator Max Cleland in Crawford Texas ABSOLUTELY GRAND?  Didn’t he pin the tail on the Ass?.  Legless, missing one arm, sitting in his wheel chair, this combat veteran wheeled up to the President’s front door and asked the Commander In Chief of the Armed Forces to hear a petition from wounded veterans who have given major parts of their bodies defending the Republic.  He wanted to ask the Commander In Chief to denounce people who smear the honorable service record of veterans.

 

Pure and simple.  Support the men who gave you a major portion of their lives by standing up for their honor.

 

The Cowardly Ass of Crawford refused to see him. 

 

That just cost the Cowardly Ass of Crawford the election.  Max Cleland stripped away the illusions and showed the world just who George W. Bush really is.

 

Symbolism?  Nope.  This is real.  Karl Rove and his sorcerers spend their time dealing with symbolism, trying to shape events by manipulating the symbolism and appearances.  But not all events are symbolic. Not everything is mere image. Some things are really real.  Max Cleland is real. 

 

Karl Rove just got blindsided by Reality. Like Humpty-Dumpty, his candidate fell and broke into pieces.  But all the King’s sorcerers and all the King’s symbols will not be able to fix the Cowardly Ass of Crawford..

 

Large numbers are finally getting it.   Fortunately Bush is too stupid to get it.

 

BEYOND THIS AND ASIDE FROM IT,

 

IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY THAT THE MOST DECISIVE AMMUNITION AGAINST THE IMPERIAL FACTION IS YET TO BE LOBBED….

 

THE SENSE OF MORAL OUTRAGE IS STILL BUILDING

 

…PEOPLE ARE WAITING FOR THE RIGHT TIMING…

 

…I HAVE THIS FEELING THAT FIREWORKS WILL EMERGE IN OCTOBER. 

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Bush remains in every way an “untouchable” international pariah such as has not been seen since the days of Stalin. The problem is the lying. To touch this tar baby, one risks becoming befouled with the lies from even the barest minimum of association.  WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IS ANYONE’S GUESS. American politics has never been so unpredictable. Doubtless the Bush Administration and virtually the entire Imperial Faction is or will be caught up in legal issues and press controversies which will pile higher and higher.  To counter the attacks and legal moves against them, the Bush-iters will use every sorcery they can contrive to conceal everything which is not nailed down in plain site in front of the New York Times.  They will even chip away at that late at night.   They will use Saddam Hussein in every way possible to rationalize their existence, deeds, and legitimacy to be re-elected.  Every lie and form of bigotry they have ever used will be retred to denigrate Kerry, Edwards, Nader, and every other candidate for lower office.  The meltdown of U.S. politics into a world-class cesspool manipulated by a sordid class of third rate sorcerers will be nearly complete. 

 

BUT PERHAPS THIS IS JUST AN ANNEALING PROCESS, THE TIME OF THE EXPOSIING AND BURNING AWAY OF THE CRAP.  PERHAPS WE ARE NOW FINALLY FIGHTING IN ONE OF THE LAST CHAPTERS IN THE STRUGGLE FOR THE SOUL OF  AMERICA WHICH BEGAN ON THE STREETS OF BERKELEY WITH THE FREE SPEECH MOVEMENT AND THE REALIZATION THAT THE VIETNAM WAR WAS A HIDDEOUS MISTAKE.

 

 

 

 

A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven so much of the past 50 years….

 

From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly collapses.

 

All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty!

 

 

THE STRATEGIC SITUATIONFinal Synopsis
For predictions related to the mess in Palestine, the Middle East, and the Bush political era.

 

Cry America, you have lost your soul, your constitution, your Republic, your purpose, your righteousness before God and thus your destiny.  It will take a terrible struggle to win it back.

 

AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS:  The strategic impasse which has paralyzed the American military machine continues while time erodes the viability of the American position in Iraq, throughout the world, and indeed, within North America.  Once again, the initiative is likely to be taken up in the Mid-east by the growing legions of radical jihadists in Gaza, the West Bank, in Iraq, in Saudi Arabia, and in many other venues. 

 

THE ENTIRE WORLD IS WITNESSING THE AMERICAN IMPASSE, which has left the U.S. Military adrift without a rudder, AS AN ISLAMIC MULLAH WITH REAL ISLAMIC AUTHORITY TAKES UP A MARCH AND A CALL TO THE ISLAMIC COMMUNITY TO BREAK THE IMPASSE PEACEFULLY AND REMOVE THE AMERICANS FROM NAJAF.

 

We are all extremely fortunate that enough intelligence prevailed in the U.S. Military to avoid a total shoot-out and are allowing this outcome.  Thank you. PEACE IS BEGINNING TO WORK. HERE IS THE ENDING OF THE MARCH OF EMPIRE.  MARK THESE WORDS. 

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  some of that which American arrogance and brutality under the spoiled and incompetent sons of the Plutocracy have sown in the world is ready for reaping. Violence and hatred grows…and those Arabs who would work with Western powers are being attacked in growing numbers.  In the U.S., the ruling political class,  under its Nouveau Reich doctrines of proactive aggression dominance, struggles to suppress and manage the news of child abuse in Iraq at the hands of its own soldiers…but in the end neither time nor history will be kind to the people who manage America in this age. In character, mind, and mood, a great many of these people in the ruling circles of politics and wealth are as ugly as ugly has ever been.

 

God bless you Max Cleland. You have just helped in a big way to bring down the corrupt circles who have perverted America.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: The U.S. Ship of State sails through extremely dangerous historical waters.  Major tragedies which change the course of history can occur at any moment.  Al Qaeda has the U.S. just exactly where they want it, its military extended and exposed to the grenades of  an endless Arab "snipe hunt" across a vast unfriendly territory which ranges from Palestine to Pakistan.  Al Qaeda uses random attacks like the lances of bullfighters, to weaken and confuse the American Bull.  Their strategy is winning, mainly because Bush, Rumsfeld and his Imperial Faction are incompetent buffoons and continue to step into the traps Al Qaeda lays as well as hand-delivering on a silver platter an oafish continuation of the killing fields of Iraq.  An astute leader could turn the entire situation around in 120 days but none has arisen among the Americans. 

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  For a great many, the next few months seem to be a time of consolidating enough opinion and votes around basic truths and aspirations to oust the most hated American political regime of the past 100 years.  But for some, the next few months blows ominously in the wind, with many portents of great danger and catastrophe from Al Qaeda, and even the possibility of a divided three way vote giving the Presidency back to Bush and the Imperial Faction for another four years. Confusing everyone will be the Nader campaign, will he or won’t he take enough votes to defeat (a) Bush (b) Kerry?  Overlying the entire period will be a continuous feed of scandals and controversies about abuse, torture, money, mega-scams, and who is who in the zoo of evil-doers.  Underlying the entire period will be the huge contradiction of the expansion of low-paying jobs  promising economic growth even as many other economic indicators continue to sag and suggest the coming of another recession. Even before the elections, by the Ides Of September, the flow of the economy should become clear. Meanwhile, the U.S. strategic condition in Iraq will continue to deteriorate amidst a constant stream of destruction and violence and the progressive consolidation of a dictatorial Junta  controlled by a CIA-trained terrorist, a scenario strangely reminiscent of the rise of….Saddam Hussein.  As they say, what goes around, comes around and this is certainly the strange year for it. The Democrats will promise to fix it…but who among them is competent to do it, indeed who among any of the Americans in the political class has the vision to “fix” this hideous tragedy created by the Imperial Faction?

 

 

STAND PAT ON  the latest dossier, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

Michael Wells Mandeville,
The Hills of Arizona USA at mwman@earthlink.net
Master Website Index is at: http://www.michaelmandeville.com

Author of  several books, including: "Return of the Phoenix" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/phoenix/phoenix.htm
and "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006.htm
_________________________________________________
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