PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Monitoring The Changes In The Earth

edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright August 18 2004

                                                                                                             

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Please Note:  This Bulletin is conceived as a System.  It is still in an early stage of evolution.  We intend to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is underway.

 

 

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18 2004

You have heard of the Weather Report?  Here exclusively is this week’s  "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

 

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this  URL

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_August_18_04.htm

 

 

CHAOS CONTINUES TO REIGN IN THE ATMOSPHERE AND THE ETHERS UP AND DOWN THROUGH TO MID SEPTEMBER, WHILE THE AMERICAN EMPIRE STANDS AT THE BRINK OF IGNITING MASS VIOLENCE IN THE MIDDLE EAST – THE IMPERIAL FACTION PRESSES FOR HUMILIATION OF THE IMAM AND HIS FOLLOWERS IN NAJAF WHILE EVERYBODY ELSE PRESSES FOR PEACE AND A REASONABLE ACCOMODATION.  EVEN THE GREAT AND POWERFUL SEE THAT A TURNING POINT IS AT HAND,

TWISTING TO AND FRO,

TWISTING,

TWISTING SLOWLY IN THE BREEZE TO POINT TO MANY DIFFERENT FATES ON THE WHEEL OF DESTINY.

 

On the geophysical front,  FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING SUMMER, chaos continues to reign in the atmosphere but the weather is muting out gradually.  But not for long, the next major peak of sunspots will probably hit 180 plus right around September 1-3 to produce VERY WET LATE SUMMER STORMS .  Meanwhile, the weather is still trying to shake off the ionic stimulation of August 13 when the Sunspot Count peaked at 160; storms and flooding is extensive in many areas.  Earth’s tectonics remain calm despite the new moon syzygy but quake activity will probably MILDLY respond in a few days to the approaching lunar perigee.  Meanwhile, volcanism is nearly completely muted.  This muting of the Earth below is likely to continue through August and deep into September, all the action will be in the airs of the weather and the ethers of the human mind.  El Nino is already shaping up in the trends for the Winter of 2005 (which is more probable than not in the period of 2005/2006 according to Mandeville’s X Wave Vortex Model of El Nino).  Let us hope this El Nino kills the Western Drought (in North America)  

 

On the geopolitical front, all is confused and our best hope is that it remains that way for a few more months.  Pray that it occurs to Bush and everyone in the Pentagon that the easiest course of action is to do exactly nothing and appoint Al-Sadr and his followers to whatever committee occur to them.  Here finally is the Zen moment of Wisdom for the Bush family…let it be…

 

But you no doubt suspect, as do I, that this is not likely to be how this strange year reaches its conclusion.

 

 

Go to detailed synopsis…

 

This hidden column on the right  is available for links, banners, and icons of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual donation.  Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update.  YOU MUST HAVE BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous subscriber).. 

 

NOTES

Grayed items are not yet operational

 

PREVIOUS
WEEKLY

UPDATES

 

August 18, 2004

August 11, 2004

July 28, 2004

July 21, 2004

July 14, 2004

July 7, 2004

June 30, 2004

June 23, 2004

June 16, 2004

June 9, 2004

June 2, 2004

May 26, 2004

May 19, 2004

May 12, 2004

 

 

Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well.  They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth.  Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects  The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors.  Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together.  This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead.  The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences.  The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

 

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/

 

 

 

 

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007.  Click here to download

 

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008:  This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent.  If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. 

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF AUGUST 11, 2004:  Once again, the Collapse 2006 book TRACKS the unfolding real dynamics, except that the forecasted events are tending to manifest three to fours months earlier.  All economic indicators for this July 2004 are DOWN except of course the BIG ONE is UUUUUP (you know what it is, don’t you?).  Yes of course, OIL is climbing rapidly, partly based on a 34% increase this year in world demand created largely in ASIA.  The progressive devaluation of the PETRO DOLLAR is now unfolding rapidly, despite the best expressed intentions of the House of Saud to hold dollar price stability for their partners, the Bush Crime Syndicate.

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY 21, 2004 – Several important  economic factors and/or indicators are now declining – IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS,  IT WILL BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED PROGRESSIVELY DOWN.  ACCORDINGLY, SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE 25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE HAS FINALLY HIT.  IF THE MESSAGE IS “YES”, the Kerry-Edwards ticket most likely will win decisively and the Republican control of Congress most likely will be “cracked”.  But there is room for considerable movement in all positions among large numbers of people and it is clear that many events in this fast-paced, unpredictable year could deflect ALL expectations.

 

 

 

 

 

 

HOUSEKEEPING

 

Some portions of this week’s update was prepared one day early on Tuesday, August 17, others one day later than usual, on August 19.

 

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time).   Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin.  To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network

 

 

 

Begin Synopsis

 

 As stated in the “Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities of the human species.  As we transform the media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth.  Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it.  Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies.

 

 

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time.  Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.  The old patterns are falling away.  Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all.

 

Let go of everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird.  Let go of everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive.

 

BREATH FREE.

 

EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING.  IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO.  In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them.  This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater meaning by the end of the year.

 

 

 

The “Great Purification” predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues.  How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving

The Great Purification

of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004.

 

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….

THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

 

 

FOR THE MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration.  This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

 

 

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE.  To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

 

Once again, no change this week.  The Y Max point, reported three weeks ago, has hardly been passed, the North Pole Axis seems to be moving away from the Y Max point slightly more slowly than at other times.

 

AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK:  We have passed the “Y Max” last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is maintained by the IERS agency in France.  “Y Max” is where the North Spin Axis is titled as far as it can go towards North America down Longitude West 90.   The motion towards “Y Max” may have caused the increased movement of the North American Tectonic Plate to produce the interesting quake activity of the previous weeks.

 

As the Spin Axis begins its return towards the X Axis, the seismic activity may mirror what happened as it was moving outwards.  This may occur during the next Full Moon or New Moon in September.

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif

 

 

 

 

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth.  No real change during the past year:  a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

 

Currently, there is little of note.  Despite many claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis of many different regions of the Earth.

 

 

 

 

Asteroids

As of June 04,

NASA’S

ESTIMATE:

“Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs  (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

 

 

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted, dates for planetary alignments are derived from Home Planet Software using PC graphics, due to limitations of software and graphics display, actual timing may be off as much as three days, for scientific work, use a professional ephemeris for exact dates).  For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar.  The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.  

 

A new almanac is being constructed.  It still is not complete.  August is a bad time to get real work accomplished.  August is for people to relate to each other and the REALLY real world.

 

THE MOON

 

We are in Lunation #1010 with the New Moon on August 16.  As of August 17, the Moon this day is North of the Equator (in its North Node) 3 days past the New Moon.  It is now approximately 382,000 KM from the Earth. It is already 9% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase).  The next Full Moon is August 30 at 2:22 UTC. 

 

We are still in the NEW MOON SYZYGY (we entered it about August 14 and will leave it August 19). 

 

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit).   (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.)  For details see the Syzygy website.

 

THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS

For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is 7, Neptune is 8, Pluto is 9, and both Planet X and Nibiru is bogus.

 

We are now entering the final throes of an unusual set of planetary alignments.  From August 3 to September 8, the three closest inner planets will be in very close angles to each other. 

 

Two dates stand out:  Mercury will align with Earth on August 23 and with Venus on September 8 to finish up a probably tempestuous season of exceptional solar activity.  

 

PREDICTION FULFILLED NOT QUITE:  “A large peak in the sunspot count is most likely to form up from about August 18 through to August 20.  It is MOST LIKELY GOING TO BE A HUGE, WIDE PEAK IN THE RANGE OF 180-200.”  Actually it formed up August 13, only reached 160, and fell off rapidly.  Is more or in store.  More probable than not:  NO.

 

LIST OF ALIGNMENTS FROM AUGUST 2004 THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004

 

August 19, 2004  

Mercury | Neptune Literal
with Earth and Uranus coupled
August 23, 2004 

Mercury | Earth | Uranus (Neptune Couple)
September 8, 2004

Mercury | Venus
Most of the planets in general now begin breaking apart widely, the "Summer Knot" become  untied. From About September 10 onwards,  Mars and Jupiter will be in a slow forming virtual alignment

***September 28, 2004

***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5 degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed
***October 1, 2004

***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected

PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS

 

These will all be listed on the Calendar in a few weeks.  For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.

 

The Summer Knot  July 27 through September 8

 

Major ups and downs in the sunspot counts, at least three major storm fronts betwixt now and September 15 or so.

 

The Triple Whammy September Surprise September 28, 2004 - October 1, 2004

 

Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment

Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places.

 

The Apogee Six Way Cluster Bomb

 

At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets during a 30 day period.  Expect an INTENSELY STORMY WINTER.

December 30, 2004  Mercury | Jupiter
Venus and Mars still close and Earth near Saturn alignment
January 13, 2005  Mercury & Mars close couple to
Venus | Pluto and Earth | Saturn
January 27, 2005  Mercury | Venus with Pluto close couple

 

The Spring Grand Alignment

Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus

 

Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.  The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment

 

March 14, 2005  Mercury | Saturn
Spring Alignments begin in three main spirals
March 21,2005  Mars | Pluto with a spiral forming in
Mercury | Earth | Jupiter and another in Venus | Uranus
March 30, 2005 Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus
form a virtual straight line through the solar system with Mars and Pluto still closely coupled. Observers on Earth will only be able to physically see Jupiter rising on the Eastern horizon just after sunset and Saturn close to the Mid-heavens in the Western half of the sky. In the very early morning Mars and Uranus visible

 

Summer Ping Pong

 

June 7, 2005  Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and
Mars | Neptune.  The timing of these alignments between these planets is not exact, the electromagnetic balances of the solar system will shift in a complex way, probably producing a number of ups and downs.

 

 

 

 

 

 

PLANET WATCHING  

For background and the current information on observable planets.

 

 

 

 

 

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information.  

To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table.

 

The Sunspot Count on August 19 was 60 and falling. 

After the sunspot count peaked at 160 on August 13, with the Solar Flux Index peaked at 155, both counts began to fall. As of August 19, the Flux was at 121 and sliding downwards while the sunspot count was 60 and showing signs of hanging at that point or so..

 

Here are the numbers from the few days since the last peak:

 

2004 08 13  149    160     1800      
2004 08 14  149    111     1690      
2004 08 15  139     98     1730      
2004 08 16  134     68     1810      
2004 08 17  135     63     1410

2004 08 18  140     53      750     

2004 08 19  121     60      660     

 

We have no doubt had the peak for the August 19, 2004  alignment of

Mercury | Neptune.  But are we due for another huge spike in the Flux and Sunspots in a day or two or three for the August 23, 2004 

Mercury | Earth | Uranus (Neptune Couple) alignment?

 

Last week I predicted:  “both counts are likely going to climb much higher quite rapidly during August 18 through to August 23, with probably an up and down jiggle or two in the counts between 100 and 200.  The high peak is MOST LIKELY GOING TO BE A HUGE, WIDE PEAK IN THE RANGE OF 180-200, right about August 15-20.”

 

Is this prediction still valid?  Could be.  They could rise the next day or so to high numbers.  High numbers of sunspots can appear literally out of “nowhere” in the Sun’s poor understood atmosphere.

 

BUT NOT PROBABLY.  Or if there is another peak, it will be small, possibly not even grazing 100.

 

Only Mercury and Sol The Father know for sure.  BUT THIS MAY BE UNLIKELY AT THIS LATE POINT BECAUSE GIANT SUNSPOT 649 (CLUSTER) IS ROTATING OUT OF VIEW.  It would “appear” that the counts are more likely to continue to decline.

 

Place your bet on the cosmic wheel and watch it all unfold.

 

Regardless, the alignment on September 8, 2004 between Mercury | Venus should bring another high spike in the Sunspot Count, at least as high as the 160 of five days ago, probably close to 160.  This peak should form up about September one and bring late Summer storms no later than September 10.

 

AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK AND AS SHOULD BE WATCHED ESPECIALLY THROUGH THIS AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER:  It is probably the huge variation of size which is currently driving the tremendous influx of “x” dimension energy, possibly scalar wave energy, which is effecting psychics and living creatures.  If so, we have a new variable to consider.  Up to now I have ignored size to keep the task of correlation easy and also within the same pattern as the correlations with the count in previous centuries.  But most likely, serious students need to examine the “area” variable and look for correlates.

 

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23
These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad

JULY’S AVERAGE DAILY COUNT IN THE ISSN SERIES WAS UP BY NEARLY 10 FROM 43.2 TO 51.  Somewhere the Sun took a wrong turn.  This rise in the count is in the opposite direction to where it should be going.  August’s average, which is predicted by computers to drop to 34, may also hover near 50..

Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004  was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9  April’s count was radically lower at 39.3.  The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April.  June 2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2.  Despite the high count for June, the average solar flux was progressively down for the year so far.

Because of the next round of planetary alignments, August could also be higher than the predicted average sunspot curves (based on computer modeling of the Solar Sunspot Cycles).

 

 

 

 

 

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated.  (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into).  Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM Arizona Mountain Time (which does not have daylight savings time).

 

 

The Solar Wind was quite mild at :  348.1 km/s this day while pushing a density at . 2.6 protons/cm3”.   

 

The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) was showing very little disturbance today (August 17). (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE.

 

BUT NASA REPORTS:  “Giant sunspot 649 unleashed an X2-class solar flare on August 18th at 1740 UT. The powerful explosion hurled a coronal mass ejection (movie) into space, but not toward Earth; the blast won't likely spark terrestrial auroras.  Solar observers should pay attention to the sun's western limb this week. Sunspot 649 is there, and for the next few days glowing-hot prominences will jut into space from the vicinity of the 'spot--a lovely show.”

 

NASA PREDICTS AS OF AUGUST 17:  During the next 24/48 hours, probability for an M-class solar flare is at 30% and for an X-class solar flare is at 5%, with a generally 1% to 30% probability for minor to severe geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude (higher the latitude, higher the probability). 

 

Jan Alvestad reports:  “The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled on August 18. Solar wind speed ranged between 315 and 364 km/sec…At midnight there were 3 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was high. A total of 18 C and 1 X class events was recorded during the day.  Region 10656 rotated out of view at the southwest limb and was very active during the day. Another major flare is possible today while the region is just behind the limb...August 18: A CME was observed after the X1 flare in the afternoon. Most of the ejected material was observed over the southwest limb, however, there were nearly simultaneous emissions over the east limb, and there is a slight chance that this was a (faint) full halo CME.”

 

Jan Alvestad predicts:  “A coronal hole (CH110) in the southern hemisphere will likely rotate to a geoeffective position on August 22.  The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled most of August 19. Late on August 19 or early on August 20 there is a possibility of a CME impact with unsettled to minor storm conditions.“  Alvestad also predicts a 0% probability of coronal holes, a 20%-60% probability of CME’s, and a 60%-100% probability of M and/or X Class Flares.

 

 

 

 

 

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark.  Accordingly, our “sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.

 

AS OBSERVED LAST MONTH:  weather patterns are tweaked out into chaotic extremes which fit no averages or generalities.  Forget predictions, expect anything.  THIS CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE SUMMER, CHAOS ALTERNATING WITH PERIODS OF CALMING.

 

Unfortunately the drought problem in the Western U.S. is severe.  Expect the drought to continue unabated and expect that another round of huge flooding for South Africa, Asia, and other areas prone to floods during this time of year should come during the last week of August and the first week of September.

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

STAND PAT:  IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE NORMAL?  Nope.   I can’t keep up with it and therefore won’t.  MORE OF THE SAME.   No predictions will call the tune for any area.  More extremes during the next 30 days will be quite “normal”.

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR SUMMER SEASON

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

STANDING PREDCTION FOR THIS SUMMER:  The output of the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable.  Accordingly, expect 50% probability of anything. This is my last prediction related to general weather patterns for this summer.

 

SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS

This “sloppycast” is based on six years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

 

The Summer Monsoon has definitely arrived, somewhat late, for most of the higher elevations.  Some areas have had a normal rainfall but many areas, especially the lower elevations, have not.  In the Sonoran Plain it is quite normal these days to see the thunderstorms generate huge dust storms, lightening, lots of clouds, but no rain or what is called dry rain, where precipitation from high clouds dries up and evaporates before it hits the ground.

 

The dust of the Dry Thunderstorms obscured vision and caused a huge pile up of trucks and autos on Highway I-10 last week.  A large number of trucks and cars were incinerated in the resulting fires and there were several deaths and a multitude of injuries.

 

In our area at the 2200 foot elevation, the rainfall so far this year is only one third normal levels.  Thus for us and a large part of the Southwest,  

THE GENERAL DROUGHT IN THE WESTERN U.S. IN STILL HOLDING SWAY. 

 

STRANGELY THOUGH, THIS WEEK HAS BEEN REMARKABLY OVERCAST AND RELATIVELY COOL A GREAT PORTION OF THE TIME. 

 

As reported last week, we need at least 8 inches of rain during the next 27 days and so far we simply are not getting it.  Since ionic disturbance of the Earth’s Atmosphere (due to high peaks in the Sunspot Count) will continue through this monsoon period, sending all the moisture to the North and into the high elevations, it is doubtful we are going to break the drought this year. 

 

Only the Winter of 2005 remains a hope at this point.  At this point, everyone in the Southwest should begin to pray in earnest for a HUGE El Nino effect.  During the last El Nino, the Southwest received substantial water. 

 

On this score, Fortune may shine. See below.

 

 

 

 

EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH
The watch is now open again; Pacific water activity appears mostly normal, we are between the extremes of the ENSO; but all Auguries point to next year for the next onset.

 

EL NINO ON THE WAY, MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT.

 

CONTINUING THIS WEEK:  Conditions are warming up quite rapidly along the central portion of the Pacific Equator, midway between South America and the Fiji Islands.  Even more so this week, a dramatic trend of warming is now clear as of August 8 and if this warm up continues and spreads towards South America and persists into January 2005, an El Nino effect will definitely alter the weather of North America for at least a few months late in 2004 and early in 2005.

 

MORE DEFINITELY THIS WEEK:  Purely in accordance with the X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model,  I PREDICT AN EL NINO IN 2005. In accordance with the trend in Global Warming, I PREDICT A VERY STRONG EL NINO, which should produce a very wet, warm winter for the Pacific coast and the Southwest.  Hopefully this will finally break the drought in the Western U.S.

 

ADDITIONAL NOTE:  The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS.   Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El Nino year.  So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005.

 

 

 

KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC,  ANTARCTIC, and the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories of the climate shift.

 

 

GLOBAL WARMING

It is becoming obvious that we have a long term real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the latitudes.  This climate shift is creating a growing environmental disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004

 

 

It is apparent from many reports that “global warming” is accelerating climate shifts and ecological changes around the world.  These changes are so varied in such great quantity, it is difficult to summarize the shifts which are going on..

 

MAJOR SHIFTS ARE WIDELY REPORTED IN THE ARTIC. Changes have been reported now for several years but they continue to accelerate.  This year has seen a MUCH larger warming of the ice than ever before.  The Northwest Passage is now real. You can sail from Norway to Alaska without ice breakers.

 

Large numbers of bird species and mammals are suddenly altering their ancestral patterns.  Major areas of the oceans are becoming increasingly anomalous with the shifting of both current and upwelling patterns.

 

The old fishing hole just is not what it used to be and there is a lot more at play than simple over-fishing.

 

Sadly, environmentalists are going to have to come to terms with the fact that:  no eco-system is stable.  Very few of them can be kept pristine in a state of preservation.  Everything requires a new stewardship mandate and NOT intervening has no moral nor technical highground.  So the world itself has turned the tables upside down, so to speak.

 

This is far less true, of course, in the tropical and marine zones, which change very little except in response to human intrusions.  But the higher latitudes and inland continental zones are changing significantly and will continue to do so.  In many areas it is now desirable to induce change rather than do nothing in hopes of preserving something..

 

This is especially true right now in Alaska.  With nearly 5 million acres of burnt forests this year, a huge shift in the eco system there has occurred and more will occur when the burned trees are cut down (as a great many of them should be). 

 

Some thing is true of the Pacific Southwest.

 

For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004

 

 

 

 

 

IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR

 

The expected heavy influx of ionic energy during the next 2.5 weeks will energize and tend to highly charge emotional reactions, especially where there is the drama of confrontation.  Expect bombings, crime and violence of all kinds, shootings in Iraq, killings of soldiers, killings by soldiers, to be at a high level during the next three weeks.

 

CONFIRMED:  AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  The ionic flux and the human contradictions of denial have focused people into thinking and plotting intensely their next round of moves within a highly polarized mental and emotional atmosphere.  Expect heavy choppiness in all things human.  Sudden shifts, both good and ill, everywhere.  Recently there has been a strong chop in the polls against Bush.  But as the year progresses, the polls could begin to chop the other way for a spell (by a spell) as the mass mind focuses on other things.  It will take at least another six months for these factors to smooth out….Since the emotional damage inflicted this past four years has been so severe, psychological conditions may not smooth out until the beginning of the next solar cycle sometime in 2006/07.

 

 

 

 

 

EARTHQUAKES

Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger.  Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above.  Unfortunately there are many lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.  Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON INCOMPLETE INFORMATION.  FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I do.  See Syzygy.com

Quake activity in the world (for all quakes 3.0 and greater in magnitude) generally became randomized and  was definitely below average in frequency and magnitude for the past seven days.  There were no obvious patterns, no hot spots, and the largest was a 5.7 South of the Fiji Islands.

 

Three shape-shifter quakes occurred during the past seven days a 4.5 magnitude quake in the East Pacific Rise and two in the South Sandwich Islands, a 4.8 and a 4.5.

 

COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR SOUTH CAL.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED

 

ACCORDING TO THE COSA NOSTRA DAMUS PROPHECY, A MAJOR DESTRUCTIVE QUAKE COULD NOW STRIKE AT ANY TIME IN SANTA BARBARA, SANTA MONICA, HOLLYWOOD, THE VAN NUYS VALLEY REGION, BAKERSFIELD, AND ANYWHERE ALONG THE ESCARPMENT OF THE SAN BERNARDINO MOUNTAINS. THIS WILL BE A FOLLOW UP TO THE 4.9 QUAKE WHICH WAS FELT IN COOS BAY OREGON during July 2004.

 

IF A QUAKE OCCURS NEAR SANTA BARBARA, WARNINGS WILL NEED TO BE GIVEN TO MEXICO CITY ABOUT THE POSSIBILITY OF A MAJOR EXPLOSIVE EVENT IN POPO.

 

SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH

 

No reports to add this week

 

SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH

The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.)  For additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the Earth, go to Plate Tectonics Map

 

Three shape-shifter quakes were reported in the Great Rifts in the Earth (in the ocean bottoms) during the past six days. See above.

 

 

NORTH AMERICAN WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitudeAny numbers used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect what will eventually appear in scientific databases.

 

Seismic activity in North America overall for quakes in the range of 1.0 and over was down this past week for the past seven days as of Tuesday, August 17.

 

Here is the count in North America for the past seven days.

 

514 quakes in U.S./Alaska as a whole, down from 589 last week.

 

362 in California and Nevada, down from 425 last week, widely scattered in California and Nevada.

 

51 small microtremors in the PNW, mostly scattered in the Puget Sound Basin, with one 4.0 mag very close to Rainier, just a little to the South (near my most favorite old growth Cedar grove), plus a follow on 1.0 mag in the same spot. 

 

10 in Utah and Western Montana, down from 24 last week.

 

25 in the Mammoth Lakes, Long Valley Volcanic Cauldera area,  up a little from the 22 last week,  MOST OF THESE MICROTREMORS WERE FOCUSED ABOUT 15 MILES SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN

RIM OF THE CAULDARA.

YELLOWSTONE WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude.  For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE.

 

Activity this past seven days did pick up a little with 8 quakes in Yellowstone, up from 3 last week.  These were apparently widely scattered and very small (so small and scattered they mostly did not show up on the chart)

 

WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES

 

Yawn.

 

 

 

 

VOLCANOES

Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre.  Or see “Breaking Volcano Eruption News”.

 

WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY has been stable during the past seven days, still trending slightly downward.  (This is a fairly subjective guestimate based on the numbers and data reported by the SWVC, quake data, and other reports)

 

Only a handful of volcanoes are emitting small occasional puffs of steam and ash and there are few recent reports about most of those which are still listed on the active list. For the most  part, world volcanism is like a fire which has just burnt itself out, leaving only a few coals and wisps of smoke.  Even Etna is silent and lava flow at Kilauea is virtually invisible.

 

Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of August 18 2004

 

7 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment) (down 1 from last week)

 

48 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may begin) (same as last week)

 

23 on active list (seismic, gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (same last week)

 

Popo gave a 12 puff day yesterday.  Centrapred reports for August 18 (17:00 GMT) that “In the last 24 hours the monitoring system of Popocatepetl volcano recorded only 14 low intensity exhalations accompanied by steam and gas emissions. The other monitored parameters remain without important changes.  At the moment of this report it is possible to distinguish a small steam and gas emission…Due to the low levels of activity shown in the past days, the scenarios consisting of explosions and ash emission are less probable.”

 

 

MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK

from Volcano Breaking News by Volcanologist John Seach

Volcano Travel:  john@volcanolive.com

Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian Time (UT + 10 hr)

Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion)
21.22 S, 55.71 E, summit elevation 2631 m, shield volcano
Sunday 15th August 2004
Commencing on 4th August, there was an increase in volcanic seismicity at piton de la Fournaise volcano. Hundreds of small earthquakes were detected under the volcano every day. At 2:40 hr (local time) on Friday 13th August, the volcano erupted. Two fissures opened up, one inside Dolomieu crater, and the other on the flank of the same crater. Lava fountains were visible in the crater, and there was a 2 km long lava flow. The volcano has been closed to the public. This is the third eruption of Piton de la Fournaise volcano this year. The eruption is not large and the volcano observatory reports the situation is stable.
More on Piton de la Fournaise volcano...

Semeru Volcano (Indonesia)
8.10 S, 112.92 E, summit elevation 3676 m, Stratovolcano
Saturday 14th August 2004
Climbers have been temporarily banned from Climbing Mt Semeru volcano, after a larger than normal eruption on Wednesday, which ejected rocks over a radius of 700 m from the crater. No climbers were injured, but there is a possibility of further large events. In July 2000 there were two fatalities and several injuries when climbers were caught in an eruption at the summit of Mt Semeru. Semeru is the highest volcano in Java, and has been in almost continual eruption since 1967.
More on Semeru Volcano...

Mt Spurr Volcano (Alaska)
61.30 N, 152.25 W, summit elevation 3374 m, stratovolcano
Friday 13th August 2004
A pilot reported possible ash emissions from Mt Spurr volcano at 1600 hr (UT) on Thursday 12th August. Ash was reported to cover an aircraft on the ground, and ash was possibly detected on satellite images, 20 nm wide and 60 nm long in a NNW direction. At 1800 hr (UT) another pilot observed the area and only saw steam emissions from the volcano. Alaska Volcano Observatory stated on Thursday, August 12, 2004 11:40 AM ADT (1940 UTC) "At this time we have no evidence that an eruption has occurred or is in progress."
More on Mt Spurr volcano...

 

e

 

Standing Assessment:  Likely, it is fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical, moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. 

 

 

BLACK ARTS NATION

 

STAY TUNED.  We are just on the front edge of “the outing”….

 

 

 

 

 

ECONOMY WATCH 

 

 

AS REPORTED LAST WEEK

CONFIRMED CONFIRMED CONFIRMED

 

-----AS PREDICTED IN PREVIOUS WEEKS: “Conditions are clearly tilting SOUTH, as in a decline down hill.  The Bush League Boom is over before it started.”

 

All economic indicators for July are clearly down EXCEPT FOR OIL PRICES AND INFLATION.  Those are clearly up.

 

FOR THE LASTEST DETAILED DISCUSSION

 

See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004

 

FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION FOR THIS YEAR,

 

 See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004

 

GENERAL PREDICTION DJI AVERAGES

 

The DJI finished August 17 at 9,972.83 some $30 higher than the close of 9,938.32 last Wednesday.   This choppiness will continue with 100 point mood swings for the next few weeks unless a major disruption is created by terrorists.

 

I DO NOT SEE A FINAL BREAK AT THIS TIME BUT WE ARE ON THE CUSP.  But before then, pay attention.

 

ANOTHER MINI BUBBLE IS DEFINITELY ON FOR SEPTEMBER AND MOST OF OCTOBER

 

All the King’s Sorcerers and All the King’s Bagmen will conspire earnestly after the Republican convention this next week to lift the markets.

 

The market will rebound in September and October for at least a few hundred points.  THEN, it will break again.  Don’t wait for Christmas Retail Sales…they will be disappointing, depress the stock values, and lead into the final economic collapse.  When the DJI is above 10,000, liquidate anything you have in all such equities anywhere.  The DJI MAY HIT 10,500 AGAIN during late September but DON’T COUNT ON IT.  And if it does, it will be only a signal spike which will break the market for many months, if not many years.

 

FOR THE LAST CURRENT DETAILED DISCUSSIONS SEE:

See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004

 

EURO WATCH 

 

The softening of the dollar continues.  The dollar closed today at 0.8093

down about another penny from the 0.8179 per euro two weeks ago. The softening  probably will continue.  The overall erosion is likely to slowly continue through the year and may bottom at $0.70 per euro by the end of 2004.

 

WHEN PETRO PER BARREL GOES DOWN FOR MORE THAN A COUPLE OF  WEEKS IN A ROW, WATCH THE DOLLAR SLIDE EVEN MORE RAPIDLY.

 

MUST READ:  “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, which lays out the dynamics of what is happening

 

 

 

 

 

SURVIVAL WATCH

 

FOOD WATCH

 

For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

 

JOB WATCH

 

For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

 

 

 

SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME).  But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted.  Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year.  ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES:  The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services.  This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah.  I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM.

 

POLITICAL WATCH

For general overview on the Tragedy in Iraq and the Bureau-Political Civil War in Washington DC, I highly recommend Tom Dispatch.

 

STAND PAT – See Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 7 2004

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Bush remains in every way an “untouchable” international pariah such as has not been seen since the days of Stalin. The problem is the lying. To touch this tar baby, one risks becoming befouled with the lies from even the barest minimum of association.  WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IS ANYONE’S GUESS. American politics has never been so unpredictable. Doubtless the Bush Administration and virtually the entire Imperial Faction is or will be caught up in legal issues and press controversies which will pile higher and higher.  To counter the attacks and legal moves against them, the Bush-iters will use every sorcery they can contrive to conceal everything which is not nailed down in plain site in front of the New York Times.  They will even chip away at that late at night.   They will use Saddam Hussein in every way possible to rationalize their existence, deeds, and legitimacy to be re-elected.  Every lie and form of bigotry they have ever used will be retred to denigrate Kerry, Edwards, Nader, and every other candidate for lower office.  The meltdown of U.S. politics into a world-class cesspool manipulated by a sordid class of third rate sorcerers will be nearly complete. 

 

WHY DO AMERICANS CONTINUE TO WEAR THE KICK-ME SIGNS WHICH MAKES THIS BEHAVIOR INEVITABLE?  WHAT CONGENITAL DISEASE AFFLICTS THEIR BRAINS AND WILL POWER THAT KEEPS THEM IN THIS BIZARRE MORAL TORPER?  IS IT THE KARMA FROM THEIR ANCESTORS STEALING THE CONTINENT FROM THE ORIGINAL INHABITANTS, OR IS IT THE PAST 100 YEARS OF IMPERIAL POLICIES AND INTERMINABLE BRUTAL MEDDLING IN THE LIVES OF THIRD WORLD PEOPLES,  AND NOW THE HEIRS ARE CONDEMMED TO LIVE OUT THE THEFT OF THEIR OWN LIVES WHILE EATING SHIT FROM SHADOWY CIRCLES OF SOCIOPATHS?

 

 

 

 

 

A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven so much of the past 50 years….

 

From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly collapses.

 

All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty!

 

 

THE STRATEGIC SITUATIONFinal Synopsis
For predictions related to the mess in Palestine, the Middle East, and the Bush political era.

 

Cry America, you have lost your soul, your constitution, your Republic, your purpose, your righteousness before God and thus your destiny.  It will take a terrible struggle to win it back.

 

AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK:  The strategic impasse which has paralyzed the American military machine continues while time erodes the viability of the American position in Iraq, throughout the world, and indeed, within North America.  Once again, the initiative is likely to be taken up in the Mid-east by the growing legions of radical jihadists in Gaza, the West Bank, in Iraq, in Saudi Arabia, and in many other venues. 

 

NEW THIS WEEK:  Indeed, once again this week the Jihadists have taken the initiative and control the flow of events.  In Iraq, Shiite rebels under Muqtada al-Sadr in Najaf are waving the red flag of rejection boldly before the nose and eyes of the American Bull.

 

The U.S. Military, in accordance with its authorization from the American Imperial CIA Junta Front in Iraq, firmed up a legion of Iraqi militia men to mount a bloody and destructive offensive against a couple of thousand lightly armed rebels within the streets of a densely inhabited old-world style city which happens to be the center of a major religious movement for hundreds of millions of believers.  It is as if the U.S. Military were advising Italian paratroopers about how to take down the Vatican Guard in Rome.

 

U.S. soldiers have successfully shot up a lot of buildings as they play out this “Lebanon  Shoot-out” which appears to be leading to a complete devastation of Iraq.  Some reports suggest that 100 Iraqi’s per day are dying throughout the country. 

 

One senses a profound lack of intelligence at play.

 

And a deliberate concealment of the truth from Western audiences. 

 

Once again the U.S. Military is poised on the cusp of a crucial decision.  They can use the “Lebanon Shoot-Out” tactic of urban clearing. They can forcefully depose the radicals, along with imposing great collateral damage to civilians while shooting up a lot of buildings. Or they can realize that such a destructive result will accomplish very little except kill a lot of people and make millions even angrier as they pony up more resources to lance the American Bull.

 

If the Military continues the “Lebanon Shoot-Out” strategy (which is just another name for “Proactive Agression Dominance”), Al Qaeda will be well served, the continuing excellence of its strategy confirmed, Osama Bin Laden will have another martyr to extol, and the Tragedy will deepen for the Americans.  Down this road lies a totally battered people, an entire nation reduced to a state of total destruction similar to that in Beirut Lebanon during the 1970’s and early 1980’s.

 

This MOMENT could be the turning point of the struggle, the beginning of the collapse of the American Empire, this even though the American legions will no doubt win the battle in Najaf if they choose to shoot it out.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  some of that which American arrogance and brutality under the spoiled and incompetent sons of the Plutocracy have sown in the world is ready for reaping. Violence and hatred grows…and those Arabs who would work with Western powers are being attacked in growing numbers.  In the U.S., the ruling political class,  under its Nouveau Reich doctrines of proactive aggression dominance, struggles to suppress and manage the news of child abuse in Iraq at the hands of its own soldiers…but in the end neither time nor history will be kind to the people who manage America in this age. In character, mind, and mood, a great many of these people in the ruling circles of politics and wealth are as ugly as ugly has ever been.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED

 

The U.S. Ship of State sails through extremely dangerous historical waters.  Major tragedies which change the course of history can occur at any moment.  Al Qaeda has the U.S. just exactly where they want it, its military extended and exposed to the grenades of  an endless Arab "snipe hunt" across a vast unfriendly territory which ranges from Palestine to Pakistan.  Al Qaeda uses random attacks like the lances of bullfighters, to weaken and confuse the American Bull.  Their strategy is winning, mainly because Bush, Rumsfeld and his Imperial Faction are incompetent buffoons and continue to step into the traps Al Qaeda lays as well as hand-delivering on a silver platter an oafish continuation of the killing fields of Iraq.  An astute leader could turn the entire situation around in 120 days but none has arisen among the Americans. 

 

For a great many, the next few months seem to be a time of consolidating enough opinion and votes around basic truths and aspirations to oust the most hated American political regime of the past 100 years.  But for some, the next few months blows ominously in the wind, with many portents of great danger and catastrophe from Al Qaeda, and even the possibility of a divided three way vote giving the Presidency back to Bush and the Imperial Faction for another four years. Confusing everyone will be the Nader campaign, will he or won’t he take enough votes to defeat (a) Bush (b) Kerry?  Overlying the entire period will be a continuous feed of scandals and controversies about abuse, torture, money, mega-scams, and who is who in the zoo of evil-doers.  Underlying the entire period will be the huge contradiction of the expansion of low-paying jobs  promising economic growth even as many other economic indicators continue to sag and suggest the coming of another recession. Even before the elections, by the Ides Of September, the flow of the economy should become clear. Meanwhile, the U.S. strategic condition in Iraq will continue to deteriorate amidst a constant stream of destruction and violence and the progressive consolidation of a dictatorial Junta  controlled by a CIA-trained terrorist, a scenario strangely reminiscent of the rise of….Saddam Hussein.  As they say, what goes around, comes around and this is certainly the strange year for it. The Democrats will promise to fix it…but who among them is competent to do it, indeed who among any of the Americans in the political class has the vision to “fix” this hideous tragedy created by the Imperial Faction?

 

 

STAND PAT ON  the latest dossier, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

Michael Wells Mandeville,
The Hills of Arizona USA at mwman@earthlink.net
Master Website Index is at: http://www.michaelmandeville.com

Author of  several books, including: "Return of the Phoenix" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/phoenix/phoenix.htm
and "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006.htm
_________________________________________________
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