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Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 28, 2003



You have heard of the Weather Report? Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

This update is keyed to the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. The framework for understanding these updates and much of the current status information is maintained in capsule form in the Almanac at the locations cited in the text of this Update.

On the geophysical front, it’s a ROCKEM AND SOCKEM kinda day. Actually the whole week has been anything but steady. Several huge quakes blow the odds and blow the syzygy windows, giving us a rare, clear display of “whole plate” motion. Seismic activity may continue during the next few weeks to be exceptionally high. Meanwhile a fritzy sun on steroids emits huge M class flares and even an X 3.9 flare straight at the Earth, a succession of CME’s, a highly energetic solar wind, and HIGH LIKELIHOOD OF MORE EXPLOSIONS, FLARES, HIGH SUNSPOT COUNTS AND EXTREME DISTURBANCES APPEARING IN THE EARTH’S WEATHER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. Expect the weather to get weirder and more extreme by the middle of next week.

For the geopolitical front, U.S. economy continues to soften rather than firm while U.S. political duplicity and Big Lies continue to turn into Mass Broadcast Media Big Lines, which is flooding North America with a high spring flood of horse manure, despite the best efforts this week of Old Man Byrd to keep his finger in the dikes to hold back the flood. It’s gotta be the rising sunspots. The Imperial Faction can now be seen to be implementing the first stages of its plan to destabilize and eventually overturn the democratically elected government of Iran. In support of its agit-prop campaign, the U.S. government claims that it “has the proof” that the bombs set off in Saudia Arabia are being coordinated by an Al Qaeda leader who is currently hiding out in Iran, which is somehow obviously the fault of the government and people of Iran. We can only wonder how it is that Iran can somehow be blamed for actions inside Saudia Arabia by an organization which is primarily manned by Saudi Arabians, definitely controlled by Saudi Arabians, primarily funded by Saudi “charities”, psychologically supported by a Mullah climate of opinion in Saudi Arabia, and actually conducted by people who live inside Saudi Arabia. Ah well, anything is believable in Washington D.C., the people there have so taken leave of their senses. It must be the 50 years of duplicitous lies about foreign affairs, chemtrails, UFO’s, HAARP, and what all catching up with them. Despite having about ZERO credibility for its statements with about 90% of the world, the Imperial Faction continues to have immense faith in its ability to dupe the American people with unproven assertions which rationalize more unilateral aggressive actions against other nations and governments. But even this latest series of Iran whoppers look too big for easy swallowing by the American sheeple.
_____________________________________________________________________
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead.

The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial.

For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor
If anyone has any suggestions about evolving these pages, now is a good time as I devote a few minutes each day to revising menus and adding new links.


HOUSEKEEPING:

We are back on the air with Alex Merklinger, 30 minutes on Wednesday nights for a quick review of major events, 6 PM Arizona Time, or 9 PM EDT

Go to http://www.mysteriesofthemind.com/

Regarding email format query, I learned that at least several of you have learned how to set your email program to filter out html formatted email. My near neighbor here in Arizona observes that most email spam now uses html, what an easy way to kill it, just don’t accept any of it.

That’s not a bad idea!!! Goodness knows, it IS a problem. Well the changeover will be slow (I don’t even know how to make html email) and we will probably create a set up for it at a new server which will allow you to specify whether you want straight up ascii or will accept html with its embeds. The server will dish it either way, they say. So sometime in the next few months we may begin a switchover, which will include abandoning Yahoo.

MORE:

I have not yet updated the dates for planetary alignments with a more accurate source. I have been immensely busy completing a special report which has turn into a small book titled:

THE COMING COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. More announcements about this are imminent. I WANT YOUR HELP TO FINISH IT.

POLAR MOTION
What is happening to the motion of the Earth.

Steady as she goes even if a bit eccentric. Motion seems to be smooth. not jerky, not erratic. Polar motion is similar as it has been but it continues to be substantially outside the proper "groove". This is probably a strong signal of major displacement in the average location of the spin axis during the past several years.

Currently the Earth’s axis, as it always is during and near the Summer Solstice, is parallel with the Sun. It is neither pointing towards the Sun nor away from the Sun. The location of the Northern end of the Spin axis, relative to the surface of the earth, is now beginning to move away from Long. West 90 towards Greenwich Meridian. If someone had the time, it would be a very interesting project to build a database of just large quakes for the entire world and see if increased activity parallels with every time the North Spin Axis is near its 14 month “Y Wave” cycle maximum (every time the North Spin Axis is as close as it can get to the Great Lakes Region). One would especially look for parallel in activity with when the Spin Axis is oriented as it is during the Solstices.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: Despite many alarm bells being passed by psychics, there is not even a hint at the moment in the actual motion of the pole to suggest that there is going to be a sudden shifting in the poles next month (May) or some time later in this year.

But, the recent outbreak of quakes shows a rare pattern of whole plate motion which may be the type of precursor signal for an avalanche of the crust which is discussed in the “Return Of The Phoenix: Book Three – The Prophecies”. IF SO, THIS IS PROBABLY A VERY EARLY STAGE, MINIMALLY AT LEAST A COUPLE YEARS AWAY.

FOR NEWBIES: for the basic forecast, logic, and precursor signals of the next avalanche of the crust (pole shift), should check out:

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/
ecbulletin_April30_2003.htm
watch the wrap of URLs onto a second line - any segment which dangles on a second line must be copied manually into the browser after clicking on the first line.

REPEATED: PRELIMINARY FIGURE FOR RECENT DISPLACEMENT: This is a preliminary indication which needs more work: the average location of the pole appears to have shifted possibly as much as 91.1 inches or 231.5 centimeters since the beginning of 1996. That implies an average rate of shifting of the poles since 1996 of 13 inches/yr. or 33 centimeters/year. This rate is substantially higher than it has been during most of the 20th century. What the rate of acceleration may be I cannot determine at the current time. Is the crust of the Earth currently slipping over the molten mantle at a faster rate? Probably yes.

To see the current graph of polar motion, see
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm
Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

For additional current details: see

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/
calendar2003/currentconditions.htm#polarmotion

FOR NEWBIES: The vortex tectonics paradigm of the earth holds that polar motion in the 6.5 year wobble cycle (Chandler’s) creates the major stress in the Earth’s crust which is released by lunar tidal forces each month in the form of earthquakes and volcanism. The acceleration in the motion of the drift of the poles and its relocation forces an increasing tempo in the shape shifting of the Equatorial zone, where 70% of tectonic activity occurs. Accordingly, earthquakes and volcanic activity should increase in frequency and magnitude.

PLANETS (all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted)

The Moon this day is in its North Node (North of the Earth’s Equator) and will enter the New Moon Syzygy Window on May 28. The New Moon will be on May 31 with Apogee preceding it on May 28. (Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit).

Great spot for lunar phases

http://www.himpi.demon.co.uk/Fullmoon.html

We just left a planetary alignments with Mercury | Mars on May 24 which produced a peak sunspot count on May 22 at 110. The next planetary alignments are Mercury | Neptune on June 4 and Mercury | Uranus on June 10. The June 4 alignment is already pulling up the sunspot counts and it should be a pretty high peak.

See Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for additional details
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003/
The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.



PLANET WATCHING:

Nibiru is nowhere in sight. All predictions of Planet X and Nibiru have failed
Full Article:

http://www.earthchangestv.com/
breaking/July2002/28sunspots.htm
(watch the word wrap of this and other URLs, you may have to paste part of it into your browser manually)

Here is some great fun with the Sun:

FIRST, to see a highly fritzy spritzy Sun with huge holes in its magnetic envelope (out of which huge currents of solarwind are flowing towards the Earth, catch the following image. (Processed SOHO EIT 284 image at 19:06 UTC on May 27. Any black areas on the solar disk are likely coronal holes.)

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/
cosmos/solarwind/sun_eit_284_May27_2003_1906utc

NASA: “KAMIKAZE COMETS: A pair of comets swung perilously close to the sun on May 24th; neither survived intact. In a SOHO coronagraph movie of the encounter, the ghostly tail of one comet continues past the sun after its icy nucleus was likely destroyed by the sun's intense heat. A smaller trailing comet vanishes entirely.”
To see a quick version of this event, go to
http://www.spaceweather.com/
To see a lot, go to
http://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/pickoftheweek/

And more fun!

NASA: “BIG SUNSPOT: Sunspot 365, which spans an area wider than six Earth-diameters, has been an active source of M-class and now X-class solar flares since it first appeared on May 24th.”

A 4-day animation of fast-growing sunspot 365 can be see at http://www.spaceweather.com/
just page down till you see the orange pix of the Sun.

SUNSPOTS
The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead.

Sunspots peaked at 110 on May 22 for the Mercury | Mars Alignment (nominally two days early, but this date may be in error by a couple of days). The count then crashed down to 52 on May 25 and rose up again to 115 yesterday (May 27) on a very steep ascent.

Hooboy: it would appear that last week’s prediction is already wrong: “Neither of these alignments should be productive of high sunspot counts but minor spikes of perhaps 50 or so may be observed.”

Solar Flux has increased from 120 last week to almost 130 today on an obviously upward trend. That means sunspots are headed UUUP for the Mercury | Neptune alignment on June 4. Prediction: will probably rise closer to 200 than 100. Why this peak will be higher than the Mars peak I cannot explain. All I can do is observe that Mercury will be in a close double-peak alignment with two outer planets. The next new low may go perhaps all the way down to 10-20 about June 10.

NEWBIES: for a discussion of what has been learned with the planetary alignments producing high sunspot counts and solar storms and these in turn creating major storm activity in the Earth’s atmosphere, tune into this Sunspot Section in the last Earth Changes Bulletin Update:
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/
ecbulletin_April30_2003.htm
watch the possible wrap of URLs onto a second line - any segment which dangles on a second line must be copied manually into the browser after clicking on the first line.

Over all, the sunspot average count for February was 46.4 and for March it rose to 61.5. The number for April was 60.

As of this moment, the Solar Wind Speed is quite robust at 656.5 km/s but at this hour (about 2 PM, AZ time) it is pushing only a modest density of 3.1 protons/cm3. These momentary fluctuations mean little during times such as this week. Currently the Fluxgate Charts at the University of Alaska shows EXTREME disturbances this past 12 hours (as of this Arizona afternoon writing) with a couple of spikes clear off the charts. The chart shows pretty energetic mood swings on nearly an hourly basis, demonstrating that the solar wind is highly gusty and unpredictable.

THIS IS AN EXCELLENT TIME TO FORGET ABOUT SPACE VOYAGING, LAUNCHING SATELLITES, ETC.

NASA REPORTS: “SOLAR BLAST: A series of X-class solar flares erupted near sunspot 365 (THIS SUNSPOT IS HUGE, SEVERAL TIMES THE SIZE OF THE EARTH) on May 27th and 28th, the explosions hurling at least one coronal mass ejection (CME) toward Earth. Geomagnetic activity could intensify on May 29th or 30th when the cloud sweeps past our planet. Sunspot 365 remains a threat for Earth-directed explosions in the days ahead.”

NASA SOLAR STORM PREDICTIONS:
“Earth is inside a solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole”. NASA today is tepidly predicting modest probabilities of solar storms and flares, modestly around 40% probabilities.

Jan Alvastad has a man’s prediction: 100 percent probability of huge M Class and strongly possible X Class flares will sock the Earth during the next 48 hours. We are going to rock and roll this weekend.

NASA’S AURORA OUTLOOK: Earth is feeling the effects of a solar wind stream flowing from a coronal hole on the sun. Sky watchers should be alert for possible auroras tonight. The best viewing sites will be at high latitudes: e.g., southern parts of New Zealand and Australia, northern Europe, Canada and northern US states like Wisconsin and Michigan. Geomagnetic activity could intensify further on May 29th or 30th when CMEs en route to Earth arrive.”

Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was unsettled to minor storm on May 27. Solar wind speed ranged between 452 and 646 km/sec under the influence of a high speed stream from coronal hole CH41. May 27: A full halo CME was observed in LASCO C3 images starting at 07:42 UTC. This was likely associated with a long duration M1.6 event (peaked at 06:26 UTC) in region S169. The CME could reach Earth on May 29 but may be overtaken by another (larger and faster) CME. Another full halo CME was observed in a LASCO C2 image near midnight. This CME was associated with an X1.3 flare in region S169 and appears to be a fast CME capable of reaching Earth during the first half of May 29. May 28: The X3.9 flare in region S169 early in the day was likely associated with a large and fast Earth directed CME. As I write there are no available LASCO images from the hours after this event, and a better evaluation of the potential of the probable CME will have to wait. An update will likely be posted during the day.”

Jan Alvestad predicts: “A recurrent coronal hole (CH41) in the southern hemisphere was in a geoeffective position on May 24-25. A large recurrent coronal hole (CH42) in the southern hemisphere will rotate into a geoeffective position on May 29-June 2.”
See http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

The geomagnetic field is expected to be unsettled to major storm on May 28 due to a high speed stream from coronal hole CH41. CME impacts on May 29 will likely cause severe geomagnetic storming that day and on May 30. Unsettled to minor storm is expected for May 31. A high speed stream from coronal hole CH42 will likely arrive on June 1 and cause unsettled to minor storm conditions lasting until June 6.

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS:

OH OH, here is another prediction from last week which needs heavy revision:
“As related to ionic influx from planetary alignment induced solar activity:
May 27 to June 2 will bring a renewed waves of storm fronts. This will be mild compared to the previous surges. The next one will come June 7 to June 18. This one should be minor. That should mean, in huge contrast to early may, that most of June’s weather should be mildly normal. Oh what a relief!”

Sorry, but the unexpectedly energetic sun, which as will be seen below, is bombarding the Earth with enough ionic influx to keep the atmosphere expanded and highly energized during the next couple of weeks. Extremes in normal weather, hot is really hot, muggy is really muggy, PNW and Northern Europe – that summer rain you all hate. As typical during these periods, chaos. Expect another wave of tornadoes late next week.

Unsettled and unpredictable weather through to the Summer Solstice.

To follow these numbers, view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

GLOBAL DROUGHT AND FLOOD WATCH
Stories and assessments about drought and flood conditions around the world; global information which provides the ability to assess the impacts to agriculture and the natural environment.

For additional details, see
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003

EL NINO WATCH:

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: There may be a La Nina during the later part of 2003 and through part of 2004, but it is likely that it will be barely noticeable because of the accumulated “Global Warming” and the relatively high levels of volcanic heat venting in the Earth. The next El Nino is likely to appear in 2005 or 2006.

CHEMTRAILS
See http://www.deepspace4.com/pages/main/pagemain.htm

EARTHQUAKES
Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger. I prepared this section by pulling out the Earth Changes 2003 Calendar which has everything plotted on it. You should too. Check out the Almanac as well, it discusses all of the windows for the year and even spotlights the two most dangerous windows.

Frequency and magnitudes were higher for this past non-window period than the preceding Full Moon Syzygy Window.

Go figure

Well, as we can see, it is a contrarian era we have entered. Even the planet is flaky.

RECENT EVENTS OF INTEREST THIS PAST FEW DAYS

The prior week had three, count em, 7.0 plus quakes (although the USGS does not agree yet), plus we had several other major quakes 5.8 to 6.9 in magnitude.

Quake activity was widely scattered but the bigger quakes tended NOT to be in the usual places. Where big quakes did strike, as in the middle of the Indian Ocean, in the Philippines, Japan, the West end of the Papua Tectonic Arc, Argentina, and Algiers, many smaller precursor and aftershock quakes struck. In Algiers the aftershocks added to the death and destruction tolls.

Magnitude 6.1 MAURITIUS - REUNION REGION
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_uibe.html
2003 May 28 16:15:16 UTC
Preliminary Earthquake Report
U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Magnitude 6.1
Date-Time Wednesday, May 28, 2003 at 16:15:16 (UTC) - Coordinated Universal Time
Wednesday, May 28, 2003 at 08:15:16 PM local time at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 17.81S 65.54E
Depth 10.0 kilometers
Region MAURITIUS - REUNION REGION
Reference 305 km (190 miles) NE of Rodrigues Island, Mauritius
885 km (550 miles) ENE of PORT LOUIS, Mauritius
3150 km (1960 miles) SSW of COLOMBO, Sri Lanka

Magnitude 7.0 HALMAHERA, INDONESIA
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ugbd.html
2003 May 26 19:23:28 UTC
Preliminary Earthquake Report
U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Magnitude 7.0
Date-Time Monday, May 26, 2003 at 19:23:28 (UTC) - Coordinated Universal Time
Tuesday, May 27, 2003 at 04:23:28 AM local time at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 2.40N 128.81E
Depth 33.0 kilometers
Region HALMAHERA, INDONESIA
Reference 240 km (150 miles) NE of Ternate, Moluccas, Indonesia
450 km (280 miles) NW of Sorong, Irian Jaya, Indonesia
1605 km (990 miles) SSE of MANILA, Philippines
2625 km (1630 miles) ENE of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia
Remarks One person killed, about 12 injured and damage at Berebere on Morotai. Also felt at Manado, Sulawesi.
The following is a release by the United States Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center: A major earthquake occurred NEAR HALMAHERA, INDONESIA about 240 km (150 miles) northeast of Ternate, Moluccas at 1:23 PM MDT, May 26, 2003 (May 27 at 4:23 AM local time in Indonesia). The magnitude and location may be revised when additional data and further analysis results are available. There have been no reports of damage.

Magnitude 7.0 NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ugah.html
2003 May 26 09:24:32 UTC
Preliminary Earthquake Report
U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Magnitude 7.0
Date-Time Monday, May 26, 2003 at 09:24:32 (UTC) - Coordinated Universal Time
Monday, May 26, 2003 at 06:24:32 PM local time at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 38.90N 141.45E
Depth 68.2 kilometers
Region NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Reference 85 km (55 miles) NE of Sendai, Honshu, Japan
95 km (60 miles) SSE of Morioka, Honshu, Japan
150 km (95 miles) SE of Akita, Honshu, Japan
390 km (240 miles) NNE of TOKYO, Japan
Remarks At least 104 people injured, some damage and landslides occurred in the Sendai area. Felt in much of northern Japan and as far south as Tokyo. Recorded (6L JMA) in Iwate and Miyagi; (5L JMA) in Aomori, Fukushima and Yamagata; (4 JMA) in Akita, Chiba, Ibaraki, Saitama and Tochigi; (3 JMA) in Gumma, Kanagawa, Nagano, Niigata, Shizuoka, Tokyo and Yamanashi Prefectures. Also recorded (4 JMA) in south- central Hokkaido and (3 JMA) throughout southern and central Hokkaido.
This thrust earthquake occurred near the north-east shore of the island of Honshu, Japan. In this region, the convergence of the Pacific plate and the Eurasian plate generates numerous earthquakes. The Pacific plate is moving west at a rate of about 9 cm per year relative to the Eurasian plate. The surface expression of the boundary between these plates is the north-south trending Japan trench which is about 220 km east of the epicenter. Given the earthquake's fault mechanism and depth, it likely resulted from the release of compressional stresses within the Pacific plate that continuously develop as it descends into the mantle.


Magnitude 6.8 MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ugbq.html
2003 May 26 23:13:31 UTC
Preliminary Earthquake Report
U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Magnitude 6.8
Date-Time Monday, May 26, 2003 at 23:13:31 (UTC) - Coordinated Universal Time
Tuesday, May 27, 2003 at 07:13:31 AM local time at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 6.80N 123.76E
Depth 584.5 kilometers
Region MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
Reference 70 km (45 miles) SW of Cotabato, Mindanao, Philippines
115 km (75 miles) SSE of Pagadian, Mindanao, Philippines
175 km (110 miles) WNW of General Santos, Mindanao, Philippines
915 km (570 miles) SSE of MANILA, Philippines

Magnitude 5.7 SAN JUAN PROVINCE, ARGENTINA
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_uhaj.html
2003 May 27 08:29:45 UTC
Preliminary Earthquake Report
U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Magnitude 5.7
Date-Time Tuesday, May 27, 2003 at 08:29:45 (UTC) - Coordinated Universal Time
Tuesday, May 27, 2003 at 05:29:45 AM local time at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 31.22S 68.18W
Depth 117.9 kilometers
Region SAN JUAN PROVINCE, ARGENTINA
Reference 50 km (30 miles) NE of San Juan, Argentina
195 km (120 miles) NNE of Mendoza, Argentina
235 km (145 miles) SSW of La Rioja, Argentina
975 km (610 miles) WNW of BUENOS AIRES, Argentina

Earthquakes Shake San Francisco Bay Area
Tue May 27, 2:39 PM ET Add Local - KCRA TheKCRAChannel.com to My Yahoo!

The San Francisco Bay area has been rocked by a series of earthquakes (news - web sites), with three major fault lines shaking in the past few days.

The latest earthquake (news - web sites) was Monday afternoon, when a 3.4 temblor hit north of Daly City on the San Andreas Fault. Early Monday morning, a 3.8 quake shook east of San Jose along the Calaveras Fault.

But the biggest quake hit Sunday at midnight. It registered at 4.3 in Santa Rosa along the Rogers Creek Fault.

Seismologists say they worry more about earthquakes that are quiet. They say that parts of the San Francisco Bay area faults haven't rumbled in decades, and that a 6.7 magnitude or greater could hit the Hayward Fault in the next 30 years.

U.S. National - AP

3 Earthquakes Shake Swaths of N. Calif.
Mon May 26, 9:03 PM ET Add U.S. National - AP to My Yahoo!

SAN JOSE, Calif. - Three minor earthquakes (news - web sites) hit Northern California on Monday, including one centered just west of the Golden Gate Bridge.

The San Francisco quake had a preliminary 3.4 magnitude, while temblors in San Jose and six miles outside Madera in the San Joaquin Valley had magnitudes of 3.8 and 3.7, respectively.

None of the quakes cause any damage or injuries.

A day earlier, a 4.3-magnitude quake spilled items from store shelves in Santa Rosa. The tremors also toppled a 19th-century headstone that had survived the 1906 earthquake (news - web sites).

"I thought something was going to crush in the house. The noise was deafening," said Rhita LaVine, a district manager for a liquor importer. "Everything fell off the wall and crashed. It was scary."

Santa Rosa fire crews responded to more than two dozen calls, but most were for fire alarms and suspected gas leaks, said Battalion Chief Mark Basque. No injuries were reported.


To see the world quake chart by the USGS, click on
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/current/

Almost all of this major quake activity was contrarian: exactly the opposite pattern you would expect with the syzygy windows concept.

The USGS charts (such charts show all quakes 1.0 and above) for the U.S. and Alaska show 511 quakes for the past seven days (which is up substantially from last week’s 325) with the USGS chart for California/Nevada showing that the greatest portion of this increase came from 448 quakes in California during the past seven days (which is way up from last week’s 254).

Activity in California was widely scattered throughout all primary fault zones including two 4.0-4.8 sized quakes, one in Santa Rosa area and one along the Baja Plate.

The USGS Chart of Yellowstone Cauldera Area shows 15 microquakes during the last week (down from last week’s 18) and 35 quakes scattered throughout Utah (up from 20 last week).

Hood had one new microquakes and the USGS chart for Long Valley Cauldera (Area) showed a running total of 24 (up sharply from 5 last week). The USGS Chart for the Pacific Northwest reveals 27 quakes (two week sum, up from 25 microquakes last week) most of them widely scattered through the Cascade mountains in Washington State.

VOLCANOES
Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity.

El Popo offered a 7 puff day yesterday, down from last Wednesday. Centrapred reports for May 28 (16:00 GMT) that “In the last 24 hours the monitoring system of the Popocatepetl volcano recorded 7 low intensity exhalations, accompanied mainly by steam and gas. Also there were detected some episodes of harmonic tremor for about 2 hours. The other monitored parameters remain without important changes. At the moment of this report we can not see the volcano.”

Following on last week’s slight uptick, volcanic activity worldwide this past seven days has held steady. The Southwest Volcano Centre reports 39 volcanoes on the alert status list (same as last week), 5 volcanoes on the restless list (up one as last week), and 25 on the active eruption list (same as last week).

CAYCE VOLCANISM WATCH: No pattern is currently evident

ECONOMIC WATCH

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: It is doubtful that any economic recovery will begin to be felt until later in the year, probably not until Fall of 2003.

DITECH.COM ARBITRAGER:
Their TV ad rates were the same as last week’s: 4.875 and 5.168 as of today for short and long term rates.

Economy remains with no apparent wind in its sails.

EURO WATCH
Here is the two year chart for the value of the dollar vis a vis the Euro
http://finance.yahoo.com/m5?s=USD&t=EUR&a=1&c=2
In Mid November 2001, the dollar could purchase about Euro 1.18
In May 2002, the dollar could purchase about Euro 1.10.
During the past two months, the dollar could purchase about Euro .91 to.93
Four weeks ago, the dollar could purchase about Euro .8946
Two weeks ago the dollar can purchase about Euro .8745
Last week ago the dollar can purchase about Euro .859
Today the dollar can purchase about Euro 0.8507

In other words, the Dollar on average appears to be continuing a 24 month slide although as of today the rate of slide seems to show a slowdown.

PUT YOUR EAR TO THE MONITOR. THIS IS THE GIANT SUCKING SOUND OF VALUE BEING REMOVED FROM THE AMERICAN ECONOMY. It is going to keep going and may end up in the range of .70 sometime this year.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: This now appears to be a deliberate policy of the U.S. military industrial complex to stimulate demand for American goods in Europe and Asia. This is one of the ways in which the Imperial Faction is going to tax Europe to inadvertently pay for a part of the invasion of Iraq.

I believe that it is well worth buying euros now.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: With control of Iraq’s oil, and no doubt the thirst of the Iraqi’s for some serious income, it will be easy for American institutions to cause a major surplus of oil production on the world market, forcing oil to be cheap in terms of dollars. By forcing the Euro to be expensive in terms of dollars, Europe will have dirt cheap energy but it will not be able to export nearly as much manufactured goods as they might want to export. But this will be a boon to American exporters because the cost of their goods will be cheaper and exports to Europe should boom. This should also be a boon to tourism. European tourism in North America should increase substantially during 2004. It gets really interesting if they force another 20 per cent differential in values between Europe and America. China will begin to become squeezed and a good portion of the balance of payments problem will begin to dry up. And Europeans will be in the Americas spending their money on everything in sight. This should also slow down China Walmart Inc. Chinese goods will get more expensive, but probably only marginally so for the next couple of years.

U.S. Congress continues its betrayal of the middle class: defense goods, for which there will be huge orders, can now be bought anywhere (under just passed legislation) rather than just from American Manufacturers. Corporate Globalism has just taken another giant leap and the giant sucking sound in the economy WILL MORE THAN LIKELY ACCELERATE. The current so-called economic recovery remains a shell game and it is likely to be “a jobless recovery” because of the continued rampant flight of American corporations overseas.

Ask yourself, why are the rats deserting the ship?

If you do not have a job the situation is looking pretty grim for the remainder of this year.

GENERAL PREDICTION DJI AVERAGES: Conditions remain unstable
Bad economic signals and the upsurge of terrorism this past two days suggest slowdown, Bulls are silently mulling. If Al Qaeda comes in with a stronger play, markets will go more deeply south for at least a month.

I am probably going to end up revising downward this next item. I will let it stand for another two weeks, say till the New Moon:
AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: The DJI gained 500 points during April with many 200 point mood swings to close April 30 at 8,502. We can probably expect similar growth during May and June. By the time the Dog Days set in the DJI may be up in the range of 9200, plus or minus 300, BUT this is proviso because of the fragility of both the economy and international politics. Strong negatives in the news could depress these numbers and keep the DJI under 9000. Eventually this number will flatten during July and August and will then continue to inch up during the Fall. By the end of the year, the DJI may be pushing 9500-10,000, but only if jobs are being created and retailers are reporting a decent year end sales season.

AS WITH THE LAST SEVERAL WEEKS, LAST WEEK’S CLOSING DJI PREDICTION HIT THE MARK: “Stocks will rally slowly upward and may close 8600, plus or minus 200. Expect to see a gradual inching up, not inching down. ” IN FACT, the market closed the week at 8,601.38 down 77 from the close of the previous week.

Today the DJI closed at 8,781.35. Expect this to sink back down closer to 8600 by the end of the week.

The main issue is the terrorism in the winds. I AM LETTING THESE PREDICTIONS RIDE AGAIN FOR NEXT WEEK WITH THE PROVISO THAT A TERRORIST HIT IN THE U.S. WILL BLOW THE MARKET SOUTH.

AS PREVIOUSLY STATED: Beyond 9000, the market cannot remain until a real turn around is evident in the U.S. economy. So far we are empty-handed in this department.

(TO BE REVISED) AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: The easy success in Iraq and the increasing acceptance of the Iraqi people, along with a huge $80 billion short term spending bill for the Pentagon and Homeland Defense, plus the likelihood of huge Iraq reconstruction bonds and contracts to be let out in the next few months, all auger for confidence in the coming of an expansion of the U.S. economy and an upsurge in stock values. By May there may be enough apparent buoyancy to consider a buying strategy for the next two to three years. I would wait, however, and let things firm up a bit during the summer. Then scoop up what you want to buy in late August, before Labor Day.

MAJOR ADVERSE CONTINGENCIES:

SARS - The SARS virus may disrupt even more air travel enough to cause another depressive wave to flow through the economy, which will send the stock market south by a long ways. If so, ALL BETS are off. This nasty downward economic spiral could continue and induce another huge depressionary wave.

Conditions in Iraq - getting worse
U.S. Diplomacy - distracted, unfocused, and self-contradicted
Price of Oil - improving
Osama Bin Laden and Al Qaeda – the threat is growing
Palestinian Peace Process – managed by the same incompetent approach as has been traditional

HEALTH WATCH

SARIS SITUATION dwindling. I think this is a strange case of a strange panic and we may not ever get to the real story..

GEO-POLITICAL WATCH
How are the sunspots likely to most effect human affairs during the weeks and months ahead?

The more events unfold in Iraq the more it is really clear that the entire escapade is primarily a jingoistic play for oil, big money, petrodollar backing, and empire.

AS REPORTED LAST WEEK: On the ground in Iraq, THERE IS NO ONE WITH AN OUNCE OF VISION ABOUT WHAT TO DO NOR HOW TO DO IT to reestablish a civilized society. The vaunted U.S. Military does not even know how to re-establish order and stop the looting, burning, and growing anarchy. They obviously are in the embarrassing condition of being able only to mainly occupy certain key places and spaces. Beyond that, they don’t know what they are doing.

THE SAVING GRACE REMAINS AS STATED IN PREVIOUS WEEKS: It appears that events in Iraq are stabilizing and will require such a large armed U.S. force to impose the “Pax” that it is unlikely that the U.S. Military can expand Imperial adventurism in the Middle East. It is probably unlikely that any military moves will be made against the “Axis of Evil” countries this year or next. (At the moment, the “power greed” of the Imperial Faction is working in our favor. They have bitten off as much as they can possibly chew and they will be busy for quite a spell.)

SIGN OF THE TIMES: it looks like, America’s hot adventure “reality” show, “The Empire Strikes Back” HAS successfully keep much of the corporate scandals under the rug. Ken Lay, just a good ole boy Texan, the Presiding Officer of the rape of California Consumers, otherwise known as Enron, is still scott free with his crooked billions…None of the indicted crooks are in jail. ARE YOU SURPRISED?

SIGN OF THE TIMES II: We still have ABSOLUTELY NO IDEA HOW MANY PEOPLE WERE KILLED AND INJURED IN IRAQ. Did you even notice?

SIGN OF THE TIMES III: We still have ABSOLUTELY NO EVIDENCE THAT SADDAM HUSSEIN HAD WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION. Are you holding your breath?

WHAT ARE WE RULED BY? INCOMPETENCE, WE ARE DROWNING IN INCOMPETENCE

Domestically he has stalemated the entire country by insisting on an economy recovery plan which almost no professional economist understands nor can back because it is essentially a snaky scheme to destroy a tax system which people are being pressured to regard as economic recovery. No one can figure out how to react rationally to this utterly goofy scene.

The U.S. military performed its job quite well to win its battles. But the wider war for the future of the Middle East has only begun. Currently, the leadership of the United States is completely outclassed intellectually. This situation will continue to worsen for all concerned until the conceited idiots in command of the U.S. government are replaced.


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