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Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of March 12, 2003
This update is keyed to the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. The framework for understanding these updates and much of the current status information is maintained in capsule form in the Almanac at the locations cited in the text of this Update. Solar Cycle 23 continues to wane rapidly though the sunspot count as of Tuesday was at at 145 for the Mercury | Uranus alignment. Weather is milding out into normality at the moment but expect another period of stormy weather during the last two weeks of March with plentiful rain and snowfall along the Pacific Coast. Much of April should be wet and Spring floods will be large in some areas. For the geopolitical front….everything remains unsettled but extremely polarized and all dates and timelines up in the air. Who is going to blink? Little change from last week seems apparent except that more rifles are dropping in the Empire even as great promises are being made all around the globe to buy more U.N. votes and enlist more members into the “coalition of the bribed”. To keep everything in confusion, George Bush Senior may be counseling an abrupt change in strategy even as spiritual leaders around the world are getting more demanding about having a voice in the affairs of war and peace. Spiritual sources inform me that the world is very much as it feels right now – everything is STILL in flux, despite the bellicosely stated “inevitables” in the Mass Broadcast War Hysteria Media. The socio-world totters and could fall along many different lines of motion. Prayer, ideas, thought, and intent matter more than ever and can have great power in altering the course of things. KEEP PRAYING AS COPIOUSLY AS THE STARS IN THE HEAVENS. Our best hope at the moment lies in encouraging the French, Germans, and Russians to vigorously take over international leadership on the issue of Iraq’s weapons. _____________________________________________________________________ Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. ________________________________________________________________________ HOUSE-KEEPING NOTE: Take a look at the Earth Monitor front page http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor If anyone has any suggestions about evolving these pages, now is a good time as I devote a few minutes each day to revising menus and adding new links. INTERNET WATCH: no change this week AS REPORTED LAST WEEK: There seems to be a lull in attacks at the moment. The system the last day and today is working efficiently with no bottlenecks. POLAR MOTION What is happening to the motion of the Earth. Steady as she goes. NO CHANGE FROM LAST WEEK: The X Wave in Chandler’s Wobble has passed its annual MIN. It will now head toward the last annual MAX in this current 6.5 year cycle of Chandler’s Wobble. This annual MAX should be achieved about the beginning of October of this year. This MAX will define the MAX for this entire current cycle. When this 6.5 year MAX point is achieved, the average location of the North Spin Axis can be computed and thus the current rate of shifting in the location of the wobbling pole can also be computed by comparison with the previous cycles. PRELIMINARY FIGURE FOR RECENT DISPLACEMENT: This is a preliminary indication which needs more work: the average location of the pole appears to have shifted possibly as much as 91.1 inches or 231.5 centimeters since the beginning of 1996. That implies an average rate of shifting of the poles since 1996 of 13 inches/yr or 33 centimeters/year. This rate is substantially higher than it has been during most of the 20th century. What the rate of acceleration may be I cannot determine at the current time. Is the crust of the Earth currently slipping over the molten mantle at a faster rate? Probably yes. To see the current graph of polar motion, see http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs. For additional current details: see http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003/currentconditions.htm#polarmotion FOR NEWBIES: The vortex tectonics paradigm of the earth holds that polar motion in the 6.5 year wobble cycle (Chandler’s) creates the major stress in the Earth’s crust which is released by lunar tidal forces each month in the form of earthquakes and volcanism. The acceleration in the motion of the drift of the poles and its relocation forces an increasing tempo in the shape shifting of the Equatorial zone, where 70% of tectonic activity occurs. Accordingly, earthquakes and volcanic activity should increase in frequency and magnitude. PLANETS The Moon this day is still in its North Node and will be Full on March 18 and in Perigee on the 19th. (Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit). The next planetary alignment will be on March 13 between Mercury | Uranus. This will be followed on April 6 with Mercury | Saturn. Venus is steadily moving away from the Earth so it will gradually fade. To find it, look to the East just before dawn. See Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for additional details http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003/ The Almanac lays out the entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather. COMET NEAT WATCH: NO NEW DATA FROM LAST WEEK This will be the last repeat on this watch. I will drop it next week. View the recent Perihelion rounding of the Sun by Comet Neat on this latest video clip. This one is much smoother and complete than the earlier versions. http://lasco-www.nrl.navy.mil/mpg/current_c3_13d.mpg For a catalog of known facts and observations about this comet, go to http://cometography.com/lcomets/2002v1.html The size of the comet is not reported (in mass) but it is not a large comet and astronomers report that it IS NOT on any sort of collision course with the Earth. Apparently the comet’s main hard body is about 5 to 10 kilometers across. SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. On March 3 the sunspot numbers began to rise sharply from a low of 65. They peaked perfectly at 145 on March 4th (6 days early) for the Mercury | Neptune alignment on March 10. The numbers quickly sank slightly to about 131 and then peaked again on March 9th at 225 for the Mercury | Uranus alignment on March 13th (four days early). As of yesterday, the sunspot count was 142, plunging nearly straight downward. They slide will probably continue and stand end up around 20-60 in the next few days. The numbers will probably hover and bob up and down around 50 for the next few weeks until the next Mercury | Saturn alignment on April 6. This will probably produce another 200 plus sunspot peak and again it should be 3-6 days in advance of the alignment. Again, the recent rises have been robust and these will push a major round of storm activity through the Earth’s atmosphere. Despite moderating weather at the moment, expect one last final wintry blast in about four days. The weather disturbance for this peak, which will follow in about a week, should be much larger than the weather patterns of the past week. CORRECTED PROJECTION: the weather should be highly petulant during mid-March through to nearly the end of the Month. More major storms will dump large amounts of rain and snow. Solar-induced magnetic fields and flux are stable, nearly flatline today. The Fluxgate Monitor at the U of Alaska shows virtually no magnetic disturbance during the past 24 hours in the Earth’s Atmosphere. This day’s Solar Wind Speed is 453.6 km/s and at this hour it is pushing a modest density of 3.4 protons/cm. NASA confirmed that auroras were of good quality over the past weekend (connected no doubt with the coronal hole which was following Mercury’s alignment with Neptune on March 10th. NASA reports that another large coronal hole in the Sun’s atmosphere will align with the Earth on about March 15, which will be just one day past the Mercury | Uranus alignment. NASA expects another major solar stream from this coronal hole to buffet the Earth, bringing magnetic disturbances, great auroras, and possible Solar Storms and explosions. Jan Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active on March 12 becoming unsettled to minor storm on March 13 as a high speed coronal hole stream begins to dominate the solar wind. Unsettled to active conditions will then be likely until March 20. Long distance medium wave (AM) band propagation along east-west paths over high and upper middle latitudes is poor, propagation along north-south paths is fair. [Trans Atlantic propagation conditions are currently monitored every night on 1470 kHz. Dominant station tonight: Radio Cristal del Uruguay with a stronger than usual signal].” See http://www.dxlc.com/solar/ This means that the Sun is currently steady in activity but will become increasingly unstable in the flux which is sent to the Earth through a major new (very large) coronal hole (magnetic hole in the Sun’s atmosphere though which massive quantities of ions and gasses can escape). As this new hole rotates to squarely face the Earth, the magnetic field and atmosphere of the Earth is impacted directly with a sudden flux of energy. Auroras could be seen virtually any night, magnetic readings will be unstable, and major storm fronts could form suddenly in the high latitudes in response to the increased energization. March will go out like a Lion. AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: Continue to expect anything with this Solar Cycle 23, even though THE HIGH PEAK IN SUNSPOT CYCLE 23 IS GONE. During most of March, the sunspot counts should remain well below 100, probably in the 30-80 range. . Peaks above 100 MAY occur during each of the planetary alignments, but not necessarily, and they may well soar very high once again during August and September for the planetary alignments in mid August, the Mars | Earth alignment in late August, and the flyby of this alignment by Mercury on September 10. Temporary peaks in sunspot numbers into the 200 range are possible during this period. To follow these numbers, view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart at http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm GLOBAL DROUGHT AND FLOOD WATCH Stories and assessments about drought and flood conditions around the world; global information which provides the ability to assess the impacts to agriculture and the natural environment. AS REPORTED LAST WEEK: I believe that we can now affirm and confirm that the drought patterns of the last few years are breaking up. After three weeks of lots of rain everywhere, the weather has turned balmy and sunny in the Southwest and much more moderate weather is breaking out in many places. But More rain and perhaps snow in high latitudes is probably on the way. For the Southwest, this may make a wonderfully wet Spring and a very colorful early Spring rally among the wildflowers. April may be a wonderful time, one of the best of times, to visit the Southwest. For the more Northerly latitudes, the weather will be highly stormy and no doubt cold for another spell during this last half of March. Then expect things to be mild and relatively normal during the first week to tens days of April, followed by another wave of wet spring storms during the middle of April. The third week of April should be even more petulant following a dual set of planetary alignments. Expect a lot of flooding from heavy wet storms which lay down large quantities of water. AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: Summer monsoons may be late and will be ended sooner than normal by the planetary alignments which begin in mid-August, most especially by the Mars | Earth alignment at the end of August. For additional details, see http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003 EL NINO WATCH: AS REPORTED LAST WEEK, there probably is no El Nino warm water along the Pacific Equator. However, NASA has failed since February this year to update its animated chart of ocean water temperatures. So I cannot give an update on this at the moment. I will have to find another means to keep tabs on the situation. OLD METHOD WHICH I WILL PROBABLY REPLACE: To view the latest water temperatures in the Pacific, go to the animated graph at NOAA’s weather center. It runs through the changing temperature of the surface of the ocean every two weeks for the past year. You can watch the late developing El Nino water (shown in red and orange) quickly break up and shrivel into the Borneo-sized patch. http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif CHEMTRAILS See http://www.deepspace4.com/pages/main/pagemain.htm EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger. I prepared this section by pulling out the Earth Changes 2003 Calendar which has everything plotted on it. You should too. Check out the Almanac as well, it discusses all of the windows for the year and even spotlights the two most dangerous windows. NEXT SYZYGY WINDOW FOR THE FULL PERIGEE MOON: Starts about March 16 and runs through about March 21. The Full Moon on the 18 and the Perigee Moon on the 19th will probably lens the seismic energy into a shorter, but perhaps more intense period of seismic activity. Expect a sudden flood of quakes for two or three days with several big ones 5.5 plus. TWO EVENTS OF INTEREST THIS PAST FEW DAYS Magnitude 6.8 PAPUA NEW GUINEA Date-Time Tuesday, March 11, 2003 at 07:27:32 (UTC) - Coordinated Universal Time Tuesday, March 11, 2003 at 05:27:32 PM local time at epicenter Location 4.70S 153.13E Depth 33.0 kilometers Region NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA The following is a release by the United States Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center: A strong earthquake occurred IN THE NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA, about 120 km (75 miles) east-southeast of Rabaul, New Britain, or 840 km (520 miles) northeast of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea at 12:27 AM MST, Mar 11, 2003 (5:27 PM local time in Papua New Guinea). The magnitude and location may be revised when additional data and further analysis results are available. There have been no reports of damage. additional details http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_rfar.html Magnitude 4.6 BAJA CAL PLATE MARGIN, 29 PALMS, CA AREA Time Tuesday, March 11, 2003 at 19:28:17 (UTC) Tuesday, March 11, 2003 at 11:28:17 AM (PST) Distance from 14 km (9 miles) NNW (346 degrees) of Twentynine Palms Base, CA 26 km (16 miles) N (349 degrees) of Twentynine Palms, CA 32 km (20 miles) NNE (33 degrees) of Joshua Tree, CA 110 km (69 miles) ENE (76 degrees) of San Bernardino, CA Coordinates 34 deg. 22.3 min. N (34.371N) 116 deg. 7.7 min. W (116.129W) Depth 1.9 km (1.2 miles) Quality Good for additional details http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/ci13945908/index.html At the moment quake activity above 2.5 is about normal. During this past week, one 6.8 quake struck near Papua New Guinea, along the same Plate Margin which has given several other 6.0 plus quakes during the past several months. Several sizable afterquakes struck this same area. This quake may be an equatorial “echo” of the recent large quake on the edge of the Antarctic Plate Margin between South America and Africa. Another 4.5 quake struck in California near the Palms Springs area, along with a substantial amount of other quake activity (in the range of 2.5 to 3.5 mag) in Southern California during the past several days. For quakes above 2.5, activity was predominant in California, Alaska, China, Philippines, and the South Pacific. To see the world quake chart by the USGS, click on http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/current/ For the most part quake activity was down this last week, as it should be during a non syzygy window. The USGS chart (such charts show all quakes 1.0 and above) for the U.S. and Alaska show 633 quakes for the past seven days (which is down slightly from last week’s NMSW 650) with the USGS chart for California showing 488 of these in California during the past seven days (up from last week’s 433). The USGS Chart for the Pacific Northwest reveals 27 quakes (two week sum, down from 29 micro quakes last week) most of them scattered through the Puget Sound Basis. (NWSW = New Moon Syzygy Window) The USGS Chart of Yellowstone Cauldera Area shows 8 small quakes during the last week (down from 16 the prior week) and 28 quakes scattered throughout Utah (down from 38 during the prior week). Hood was completely silent BUT the USGS chart for Long Valley Cauldera (Area) showed a running total of 102 for the past week WHICH IS WAY UP. FULL MOON WATCH ON COLIMA – POPO – COOS BAY – SAN ANDREAS REMEMBER THE COSTA NOSTRA DAMUS PREDICTION: We will watch Coos Bay, San Andreas, Colima, Popo, very carefully. Let us watch as well for a pattern of increase during the succeeding Full Moon Perigee Syzygies. Centered near the middle of the month for March, April, and May, the Full Moon and Perigee draw tighter together to be virtually dead on in April, then start to draw apart. Their mutual influence should combine exponentially, not linearly. Along about the middle of April, we can expect the worst quake season which has been felt in many months. See the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for timing details. VOLCANOES Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity. REPEAT FROM LAST WEEK: Krsanna, whose predictions I do not understand, predicts the potential of an upsurge in volcanism through the Equatorial Belt during March 11-23. Since her prediction corresponds to the Full Moon Perigee Syzygy during the Ides of March, as well as the violent geopolitical dynamics which are present in this late winter period, I quote it herein: Volcanic eruptions could begin anew in the Caribbean, Mediterranean and Africa as well as an increase of earthquakes in the South Atlantic. Electrical and magnetic storms are probable along with surprise asteroids. As its name, Earth, implies this window located near the Sandwich Islands is key to conditions of the planet. Conditions associated with Atlantis are closely linked to this window. These include volcanoes and earthquakes in the Caribbean and Mediterranean as well as electrical and magnetic storms. The full moon on the 18th days before the spring equinox is a critical period when the lunar count for Easter begins. This will be a politically and geophysically active period when war-like elements could become explosive with renewed terrorist activity. These conditions will continue through Easter in April. From TimeStar Earth, timestar@timestar.org, http://www.timestar.org Hood is sound asleep and El Popo woke up slightly along with Yellowstone, offering a 15 puff day yesterday. Centrapred reports for March 12 (16:00 GMT) that “In the last 24 hours the overall activity of the Popocatépetl volcano remained in a steady level. Only 15 low intensity exhalations were detected, accompanied by steam, gas and sometimes small amounts of ash. The other monitored parameters remain without important changes. At this moment we can not see the volcano due to the clouds (see image). The explosive events recorded in the past weeks were related with the destruction of the lava dome inside the crater previously reported. As long as there are remains of the dome, which was confirmed recently (see image), explosive activity is possible implying ash emissions and incandescent material ejections around the crater.” Volcanic activity this past seven days is about the same as last week. The Southwest Volcano Centre reports 34 volcanoes on the alert status list (same as last week), 5 volcanoes on the restless list (same as last week), and 20 on the active eruption list (down one from last week). AG INDUSTRY WATCH Because of the high load of stress which the current peak in the sunspots have placed on the Ag industry, we alert on the changing scene in agriculture and how these are likely to effect the broader economy. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The drought damage to Central and Northern Arizona was truly huge, the largest eco-catastrophe I have ever witnessed at first hand. Well over a million acres of forest land, at least, just in Arizona, are now populated by large numbers of dead trees. In some ranges, all the trees of a certain type are dead, in other ranges, the percentages can vary from 10% to 90%. Pinions were the hardest hit, followed by Ponderosa. The incredibly hardy Juniper has also succumbed in some areas. ECONOMIC WATCH AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: It is doubtful that any economic recovery will begin to be felt until much later in the year, probably not until Fall of 2003. DITECH.COM ARBITRAGER: DOWN THIS WEEK FROM 5.377 to 5.25 (short) and from 5.677 to 5.550 (long) (I am going to watch how close the arbitrager for Ditech.com calls it. I am placing a bet on their interest rate calculations, which are so finely chiseled, they have to be running pretty sophisticated indicator stats. When they clearly go up at least two pegs within a month, even if they are just very small increments, you will know there is wind in the sails of the economy. When the numbers go down you know the economy is still trying to find bottom.) AS STATED LAST WEEK: Clearly, this arbitrager has determined that, despite the increase in fuel prices, which will push some inflation through the system, the overall trend in the economy is STILL DIRE. Has the recession ended? Not according to these money managers. LAST WEEK’S DJI PREDICTION: “Stocks will close this week in the range of flat plus or minus 200 at 8000.” – Well, actually we were 60 points high at the extreme. The DJI closed last Friday at 7740. War Jitters are STILL causing 200 point mood swings in the DJI nearly everyday AND THE SUDDEN PLUNGE we predicted for the start period of the Iraqi Tragedy has occurred. DJI Stocks closed today at 7551. Apparently it did “finally dawn on Wall Street that the Imperial Faction is stalled in the water rowing aimlessly around in the circle.” PREDICTION CLOSE FOR THIS WEEK: Not good, conditions too unstable to call. No rally, may close below 7500 but if so stocks will rally on Monday or Tuesday. REPEAT FROM LAST WEEK: If a sudden strike occurs in IRAQ, which may occur in the later part of March, the market will suddenly sink 500 points and then quickly rebound in a few days up towards 8900. But don’t get fooled. This rebound will be too fast and the DJI will spend many more months swamping around in the low to mid 8000’s. A fundamental shift in the economy has to be felt before stocks begin to ride the next Bull. GEO-POLITICAL WATCH How are the sunspots likely to most effect human affairs during the weeks and months ahead? SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, just a good ole boy Texan, the Presiding Officer of the rape of California Consumers, otherwise known as Enron, is still scott free with his crooked billions…But the Enron Wicked Web of greed and gross and egregious “taking advantage of everyone” is beginning to unravel. Enron is now suing Ken Lay directly for the return of some money, 2003 should be a great year for a continuing soap opera of scandalous corporate news. Or maybe not. Maybe America’s hot adventure news show, “The Empire Strikes Back”, will keep the corporate scandals under the rug. Did you hear that Halliburton, Vice President Cheney’s old “employer” has just landed a contract worth nearly $1 billion to oversee (consult on) restoration of Iraq’s oil fields? Oink, this Great War of Iraqi Liberation is plainly going to liberate mountains of cash for well connected insiders. Oink, oink, wink, isn’t the opportunity for advancement in America a wonder to behold?! AS PREVIOUSLY ENCOURAGED, if you have never read 1984, now is the time. AND HOW. All the strategies and techniques of Hitler’s and Goebbels agitprop and disinformation technology is currently being employed everyday in massive doses against YOU. You had best wake up to how the mantras work. Check out the Media Lens organization. They are providing some really good wake up antidote. http://www.medialens.org AS OBSERVED LAST WEEK: it seems, or it is made to seem as if the Imperial Faction is pushing ahead, that Bush and Blair will squeeze the trigger within a couple of weeks. This is the line which is being pumped out in a variety of ways. But, in the face of so much opposition, it seems too surreal to be true…..how is the U.S. going to get the U.N. Inspections Team out of Iraq if they don’t want to go? What is the Pope shows up or he sends teams of cardinals to Baghdad? What happens if the U.N. Secretary General decides to camp out in Baghdad for a couple of weeks of consultations. What about the strong currents in the Catholic Church which are underway to intervene directly… AND WHAT ABOUT THE REPORT IN THE “TIMES ONLINE” IN ENGLAND THAT GEORGE BUSH SENIOR IS TELLING HIS SON TO MAINTAIN SOLIDARITY WITH EUROPE? Whatever is true, expect the unexpected. Don’t expect the March 17 date to mean much. If they use the New Moon protocol for launching an attack, they will wait for around March 30. The weather will be much better by then as well. VOTE IN THE WORLD PARLIAMENT FORUM AS SOON AS POSSIBLE AND PRAY LIKE THE HEAVENS. I am pretty sad that so few people have chosen to use that as a vehicle of protest against what is going on. I hope everyone finds an appropriate vehicle of expression to change the mind set in America which is permissive of the mindless violence which the Generals are planning. I BELIEVE IT IS REALLY IMPORTANT THAT YOU NOT HAVE THE BLOOD OF IRAQ ON YOUR HANDS BY REASON OF IMPLICIT CONSENT by doing nothing. What is planned there is illegal and will probably turn into a horrible crime against humanity.
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