EarthMonitor

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of June 18, 2003

FOR NEWBIES: The vortex tectonics paradigm of the earth holds that polar motion in the 6.5 year wobble cycle (Chandler’s) creates the major stress in the Earth’s crust which is released by lunar tidal forces each month in the form of earthquakes and volcanism. The acceleration in the motion of the drift of the poles and its relocation forces an increasing tempo in the shape shifting of the Equatorial zone, where 70% of tectonic activity occurs. Accordingly, earthquakes and volcanic activity should increase in frequency and magnitude.

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING
See
http://www.geolab.nrcan.gc.ca/geomag/northpole_e.shtml
(watch the word wrap)

Krsanna (timestar.com): According to the Canadian government's numbers, magnetic north is now moving approximately 40 kilometers, about 25 miles, per year. This is an
increase from an average of 6 kilometers, or 3.7 miles, per year prior to the 1990's. The large increase in speed occurred after 1994. The North Magnetic Pole is slowly drifting across the Canadian Arctic. The Geological Survey of Canada keeps track of this motion by periodically carrying out magnetic surveys to redetermine the Pole's location. The most recent survey, completed in May, 2001, determined an updated position for the Pole and established that it is moving approximately northwest at 40 km per year. The observed position for 2001and estimated positions for 2002 to 2005 are given in the table.
Year Latitude ( °N) Longitude ( °W)
2001 81.3 110.8
2002 81.6 111.6
2003 82.0 112.4
2004 82.3 113.4
2005 82.7 114.4

OBSERVATION: The rate of change in the shifting of the magnetic poles has doubled since I wrote “The Prophecies” in 1999, when it was calculated that the rate of shift in the magnetic poles was about double what it had been during the first half of the 20th century. There may be a geometric increase in the magnetic shift, but on the other hand, this may be a temporary bubble caused by the stronger magnetic influences of the Sun during this Solar Cycle 23 peak.

PLANETS (all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted)

The Moon this day is still in its South Node (South of the Earth’s Equator) and we are between syzygy periods. The next New Moon will be June 29 at 18:39 UTC, one day before the Mercury | Venus alignment. The next Lunar Apogee will be on June 26.
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit).

The next planetary alignment is on June 30 between and Mercury | Venus. This should be a triple X sunspot window, which should start to peak above 100 on the Summer Solstice or a few days thereafter.

Speaking of the Summer Solstice, it’s June 22 19:10 UTC Earth Summer Solstice

The Earth orbit Apogee is July 4, which is when the Earth is as far from the Sun as it can get.

The Earth | Mars alignment is August 27. At 5:51 a.m. EDT on Aug. 27, 2003, Mars will be within 34,646,418 miles (55,758,006 kilometers) of Earth. This will be the closest that Mars has come to our planet in nearly 60,000 years. The Almanac Calendar was corrected to reflect this date which was calculated by NASA. For general background info on Mars and the approaching alignment, see
http://www.space.com/spacewatch/mars_preview_021108.html
(watch the word wrap on this url)

ALIGNMENTS IN GENERAL. I still cannot find a table of heliocentric planetary alignments, ANYWHERE so far (there are a lot of astronomy leads and I am slowly working my way through them) so I am now asking astronomers if they know of any. Most astronomy is tropically calculated for observing from the Earth. SO FAR, nobody knows of such a table so I am still stuck with the estimates I made using Home Planet Software. I am trying to talk with John Walker, the programmer and astronomy buff of the software, but so far I have been unable to find a working email address for him. If anybody has any connections along these lines, let me know.

The fact that I cannot find such heliocentric tables tells me that nobody is looking at sunspots, alignments, and the weather the way we are here.

See Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for additional details
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003/
The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.

PLANET WATCHING:
For general background information on the solar system, go to
http://sse.jpl.nasa.gov/planets/index.cfm
For a general almanac/ephemeris for watching the planets, go to:
http://stardate.org/nightsky/almanac/
This is offered by the U of Texas, MacDonald Observatory
It is a very high quality easy to follow summary for lay people

Jupiter: Step outside immediately after sunset--even if the sky is still glowing. Bright Jupiter will be the very first heavenly body you see. NASA: “A small telescope trained on Jupiter will reveal the planet's cloud belts and its largest satellites.” Jupiter is hard to miss. It will be the first star which is visible at sunset while looking to the Southwest (if you live in the Northern Hemisphere).

Mars: It rises now at just about midnight. It is red, bright, and very easy to spot in the Lunar zodiac belt. It will get redder and brighter as the Summer progresses. It will progressively rise earlier and earlier in the evening until it rises, at Earth Alignment at the end of August, just at Sunset.

NASA ON MARS: “Mars is now so close to Earth that amateur astronomers can see the planet's polar ice cap through backyard telescopes. Read the full story from Science@NASA. Also, don't miss the June 19th close encounter between Mars and the moon. Wake up at 4 a.m. Thursday morning and look for the moon. Red Mars will be pleasingly nearby. Sky maps: northern hemisphere; southern hemisphere.”

On August 27, Mars will be closer than it has been in some 60,000 years (the figure has recently been corrected by orbital calculations), so say some astronomy sources. This is one of the reasons why the Europeans and the Americans popped off missions to Mars this month. The space craft will get there a whole lot faster than otherwise.

ALIGNMENT STUDIES
Go to this site for a technical description of planetary alignments
http://www.sunspot.noao.edu/PR/alignment.html
This paper is quite technical and it shows in graph forms a way to treat the relationships between the planets (such as distance) as waveforms. This approach could be used as a basis of establishing correlations with sunspot peaks.

SUNSPOTS
The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. To follow the numbers below, view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

Sunspots climbed to 207 on June 10 and plunged through the week back to 80 as of yesterday (June 17). That was for the Mercury | Uranus alignment. The coming June 30 alignment between the two inner planets of Mercury and Venus should be a doozy, substantially higher counts, greater storms, flares, CME's, you name it.

Solar flux 192 on June 11 and has dropped to 122 as of yesterday (June 17). The graph shows a leveling (bottoming) as if the index is about to climb again. If the graph stays level or does begin to climb within the next two or so days, expect the sunspots to begin to climb again for in a steady climb to meet the next Planetary Alignment on June 30. In other words, there is a good possibility that the sunspot count and solar storm activity will not drop much further below today’s levels.

AS COMMENTED LAST WEEK: Mercury, messenger of the Gods, and Uranus, God of Change, apparently have a strong connection. In light of the on-going scene in the Mid-East, I will leave the obvious interpretation of this to your own meditation.

CONFIRMATION OF LAST WEEK: “FRANKLY, expect more violence than ever.” Frankly, that is just exactly what we got. The city of Phoenix AZ alone sprouted a number of weird murder scenes by the weekend, mostly related to SEX. Even the Catholic Bishop for Arizona, who was involved in a lifetime of denial and cover-up of homosexual children-abusing priests, was arrested for his role in a fatal hit and run accident over the weekend. The others involved extreme sadism and even a butchering. Never mind. And then of course there was/is the rioting which broke out in Michigan.

AS REPORTED: Over all, the sunspot average count for February was 46.4 and for March it rose to 61.5. The number for April was 60. May’s average is 55 (as reported by Jan Alvestad).

As of this moment, the Solar Wind Speed is robust at 608.5 km/s but at this hour (about 2 PM, AZ time) it is pushing a high density of 7.0 protons/cm3. These momentary fluctuations continue to mean little during these times. Currently the Fluxgate Charts at the University of Alaska ( which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere) are all over the landscape. The solar wind is highly gusty and unpredictable, as well as highly choppy.

NASA REPORTS: “An interplanetary shock wave swept past Earth at approximately 0500 UT on June 18th. It was probably the outskirts of a lopsided CME (coronal mass ejection) hurled into space on June 15th by an X-class explosion near sunspot 365. The CME's arrival triggered strong geomagnetic activity. Sky watchers as far south as Wisconsin and Michigan in the United States should have seen auroras.”

NASA PREDICTS: “Earth will enter a solar wind stream flowing from a coronal hole on June 19th or 20th. Gusts could trigger more auroras. The best observing sites will be at high latitudes--e.g., southern parts of Australia and New Zealand, Canada, and northern-tier US states such as Minnesota and Maine.

NASA’s storm and magnetic disturbance predictions continue to be too tepid.

Jan Alvestad predicts: “June 17: A fast partial halo CME was observed in LASCO C3 images after the major M class flare in region 10386 late in the day. The CME could become a full halo CME as it expands further and could reach Earth on June 19. A recurrent and well defined trans equatorial coronal hole (CH44) was in a geoeffective position on June 16-17. A new coronal hole (CH45) in the southern hemisphere is developing and will be in a geoeffective position on June 18-19. The geomagnetic field is expected to be active to major storm on June 18 due to CME effects. A high speed stream from coronal hole CH44 should dominate the solar wind from late on June 18 until June 21 and cause unsettled to minor storm conditions. Another CME could arrive late on June 19 and increase geomagnetic disturbance levels to major storm. – 60% to 100% of any type of solar output, including X class flares.”
See http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

NEWBIES: for a discussion of what has been learned with the planetary alignments producing high sunspot counts and solar storms and these in turn creating major storm activity in the Earth’s atmosphere, tune into this Sunspot Section in the last Earth Changes Bulletin Update:
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/
ecbulletin_April30_2003.htm
watch the possible wrap of URLs onto a second line - any segment which dangles on a second line must be copied manually into the browser after clicking on the first line.

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS:

The weather this past week performed pretty much as expected and continue to
EXPECT THE WEATHER TO GO TO HELL
HELLO EXTREME TORNADOES
HELLO DROUGHT & HEAT CONDITIONS IN THE USUAL PLACES
FLOODS IN HIGH LATITUDES
DELAYED MONSOON

After July 5, Normal Monsoon patterns WILL NOT DEVELOP ON TIME, drought conditions will return and are not likely to disappear until October or November of this year.

The approaching Earth | Mars alignment may keep the solar flux index high, magnetic index high, sunspot counts high, and thus the Earth’s atmosphere expanded with the jet streams tending to flow through the high latitudes. This will tend to drive the monsoon moisture into higher latitudes, where summer floods will occasionally form up.

GLOBAL DROUGHT AND FLOOD WATCH
Stories and assessments about drought and flood conditions around the world; global information which provides the ability to assess the impacts to agriculture and the natural environment. For additional details, see http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003

Ethiopia, East Africa, and Northern India are in dire straits. Severe damage is destroying the eco-system and the human cultures. Nothing here is likely to improve during the next four months.

LA NINA WATCH:

A small La Nina syndrome has been developing since the beginning of April. It appears to already be at maximum and it may disappear as quickly as it appeared. Over all the Pacific is relatively COOL, in total it appears cooler than it has been for a couple of years. This is probably moderating the effects of the Sunspot counts and other solar activity on the Earth’s atmosphere. If the La Nina “cool water” along the Equator persists to some degree, it will probably tend to keep the jet stream out of the higher latitudes in the North. If it disappears, the long slow alignment with Mars will no doubt “cook our goose” to rather well done conditions by the end of August.

The next El Nino is likely to appear in 2005 or 2006, but an appearance as early as 2004 is possible.

CHEMTRAILS
See http://www.deepspace4.com/pages/main/pagemain.htm
See also http://www.willthomas.net/
Chemtrails Update – A Major New Overview
http://www.rense.com/general38/update.htm

EARTHQUAKES
Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger. I prepared this section by pulling out the Earth Changes 2003 Calendar which has everything plotted on it. You should too. Check out the Almanac as well, it discusses all of the windows for the year and even spotlights the two most dangerous windows.

Magnitudes during this past week were all over the place, mostly moderate but with two big quakes out of “school” during the past 72 hours, a 6.9 quake on Kamchatka Peninsula and a 6.5 quake in the Aleutian Islands. Both of these megaquakes caused extensive ringing in the Earth’s crust and are particularly alarming because both of these areas are highly active volcano zones. Increased volcanism in these zones from the flexing of the Earth’s crust is now more likely than before.

Frequencies were about normal for this period. The highest count for 2.5 plus quakes was on the Full Moon Syzygy of June 12 at 30 quakes, almost all other days had counts under 15.

Many smaller quakes in the range of 4 to 5 stuck along the major rift zones of the oceans, including one in the Arctic, one along the margin of the Antarctic plate, and many around the Pacific Tectonic Plate at junctions where quakes are rarely seen. Doubtless the Pacific Plate continues to experience the most motion relative to all of the other continental and oceanic plates.

RECENT EVENTS OF INTEREST THIS PAST FEW DAYS

Quake activity was widely scattered throughout all continents and margins but the greater activity was on the Western Pacific Rim. The week began with the greater activity in Europe and Mediterranean but seismic activity during the past several days has been heavily connected with the Western and Northern Pacific Rim of Fire.

Magnitude 6.9 KAMCHATKA PENINSULA, RUSSIA
2003 June 16 22:08:01 UTC
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_vccg.html
Preliminary Earthquake Report
U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Magnitude 6.9
Date-Time Monday, June 16, 2003 at 22:08:01 (UTC) - Coordinated Universal Time
Tuesday, June 17, 2003 at 11:08:01 AM local time at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 55.54N 159.90E
Depth 172.8 kilometers
Region KAMCHATKA PENINSULA, RUSSIA
Reference 290 km (180 miles) NNE of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia
390 km (240 miles) W of Nikol'skoye, Komandorskiye Ostrova, Rus.
555 km (345 miles) SSW of Il'pyrskiy, Russia
6615 km (4110 miles) NE of MOSCOW, Russia
The following is a release by the United States Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center: A strong earthquake occurred about 290 km (180 miles) north-northeast of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia at 4:08 PM MDT, Jun 16, 2003 (Jun 17 at 11:08 AM local time in Russia). The magnitude and location may be revised when additional data and further analysis results are available. No reports of damage or casualties have been received at this time.


http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_vbbn.html
Magnitude 6.5 RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
2003 June 15 19:24:34 UTC
Preliminary Earthquake Report
U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Magnitude 6.5
Date-Time Sunday, June 15, 2003 at 19:24:34 (UTC) - Coordinated Universal Time
Sunday, June 15, 2003 at 10:24:34 AM local time at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 51.65N 176.84E
Depth 33.0 kilometers
Region RAT ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN ISLANDS
Reference 75 km (45 miles) SW of Kiska Volcano, Alaska
100 km (60 miles) SE of Buldir Island, Alaska
2280 km (1420 miles) WSW of Anchorage, Alaska
3135 km (1950 miles) W of JUNEAU, Alaska

Magnitude 5.8 CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC RISE
2003 June 13 18:24:04 UTC
http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_uzbs.html
Preliminary Earthquake Report
U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center
World Data Center for Seismology, Denver
Magnitude 5.8
Date-Time Friday, June 13, 2003 at 18:24:04 (UTC) - Coordinated Universal Time
Friday, June 13, 2003 at 11:24:04 AM local time at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 4.53S 104.89W
Depth 10.0 kilometers
Region CENTRAL EAST PACIFIC RISE
Reference 2790 km (1730 miles) W of Guayaquil, Ecuador

Overall North American activity was in the groove of the Syzygy Window Principle.
The USGS charts (such charts show all quakes 1.0 and above) for the U.S. and Alaska show 327 quakes for the past seven days (which is up from last week’s 272) with the USGS chart for California/Nevada showing 253 quakes in California/Nevada during the past seven days (which is up from last week’s 209).

Activity in California in proportion to activity in the remainder of North America remains disproportionately high.

The trends for most of North America were in the groove as well:
The USGS Chart of Yellowstone Cauldera Area shows 10 microquakes during the last week (samo last week’s 10) and 25 quakes scattered throughout Utah (up from 9 last week). Hood had no microquakes and the USGS chart for Long Valley Cauldera (Area) showed a running total of 36 (up from 7 last week).

But the Pacific Northwest was slightly contrarian.
The USGS Chart for the Pacific Northwest reveals 23 quakes (two week sum, down from 32 microquakes last week) scattered throughout Washington State, generally not associated with the Cascades or the volcanoes in the zone.

FOR JUNE 19:
Jim Berkland, who calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I do, estimates that “his” window runs through Thursday June 19 and could still see more major activity in California. See http://syzygyjob.com

VOLCANOES
Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity.

El Popo offered a 17 puff day yesterday, down slightly from last Wednesday. Centrapred officials still contend that the current eruption episode which began in April is now over. Centrapred reports for June 18 (16:00 GMT) that “In the last 24 hours the monitoring system of the Popocatepetl volcano recorded 17 low intensity exhalations, mainly accompanied by steam, gas and sometimes small ammounts of ash. Also low amplitude isolated episodes of harmonic tremor were detected accumulating less than 1 hour. Additionally 3 volcanotectonic events were located about 4 km below the crater, with magnitudes 1.9, 2.3 and 2.5. The other monitored parameters remain without important changes. Derived from the analysis of the activity of the last three weeks, it is considered that the process that started last April, has stopped and the volcano is in a stationary condition.”

Activity this past seven days has increased once again for the second straight week. The Southwest Volcano Centre reports 39 volcanoes on the alert status list (up 2 from 37 from last week), 5 volcanoes on the restless list (up one from 4 from last week), and 23 on the active eruption list (up 2 from 21 from last week).

CAYCE VOLCANISM WATCH: The pattern is beginning to appear. Is this the upsurge in tropical volcanism to mirror the quakes along the margin of the Antarctic Tectonic Plate? The connection is still weak but growing.

ECONOMIC WATCH - Within one or two seeks, this section will mostly disappear into special pages behind the passwords into the paid ebooks section.

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: It is doubtful that any economic recovery will begin to be felt until later in the year, probably not until Fall of 2003.

AS LAST WEEK: Mass media “recovery noises” are, uh, still coming out the wrong end of the Bulls. There are more Bulls in the pasture though, and it seems like they are trying to talk each other up into a stampede kinda move.

The key thing at work here seems to be the tax cut. The hustlers of the financial markets have decided that it is time to sell again because the tax cut has, uh, “primed” the economy. Don’t believe a word of it. Confidence will erode rapidly this next few weeks, financial markets are far too unpredictable.

DITECH.COM ARBITRAGER:
Ditech is responding to the 6% increase in new housing starts last month and all the Bull “snorts” of the past few weeks. Their TV ad rates were up this week: from 4.875 and 5.168 to 5.125 and 5.240 as of today for short and long term rates respectively.

Nevertheless, the economy remains with no apparent wind in its sails.

Expect the stock market to keep reaching for larger numbers but expect a lot of sudden mood swings. There are a lot of factors out there which can suddenly spook the Bulls”.

FOR NEWBIES: I strongly advise not following the lead of the stock bulls. Too many people are going to over-react. The coming stock bubble is probably going to be irrational by all lights. Part of the problem is the same as in 1929. Money is sooooooooo cheap, it is toooooo easy to speculate on irrational margins. Don’t put money in this bubble on a blind flyer from the New York tipsters. Avoid as well most of the internet tipsters. There are a lot of market makers out there with newsletters who talk up a small volume stock. Why? For newsletter subscription fees? Hahahah. Just to double their money at your expense. I suspect the problem is rampant. Stock tipstering is the ultimate pyramid scam. Know what you are doing.

EURO WATCH -
Here is the two year chart for the value of the dollar vis a vis the Euro
http://finance.yahoo.com/m5?s=USD&t=EUR&a=1&c=2
In Mid November 2001, the dollar could purchase about Euro 1.18
In May 2002, the dollar could purchase about Euro 1.10.
During the past two months, the dollar could purchase about Euro .91 to.93
Six weeks ago, the dollar could purchase about Euro .8946
Five weeks ago the dollar could purchase about Euro .8745
Four weeks ago the dollar could purchase about Euro .859
Three weeks ago the dollar could purchase about Euro 0.8507
Two weeks ago the dollar could purchase about Euro 0.859
Two weeks ago the dollar could purchase about Euro 0.8505
Today the dollar can purchase about Euro 0.8569

In other words, the dollar on average appears to have stabilized this past three weeks. This comes after Bush told the G8 that he supports a strong dollar policy, which apparently was a signal he put out to over-ride rumors and comments from other U.S. government officials that the U.S. was shifting to a weak dollar policy.

BUT AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: Nonetheless, the international talk is abuzz about the weakening of the dollar. Most analysts expect the dollar to end up in the range of .70 sometime in the latter part of this year or early next year. So for the moment a finger in the dike is holding back the flooding of cheap dollars, but don’t expect this pause this week to last very long. MORE LIKELY THAN NOT, THE GIANT SUCKING SOUND OF VALUE BEING REMOVED FROM THE AMERICAN ECONOMY WILL CONTINUE. I STILL believe that it is well worth buying euros now.

The job situation still looks bleak and it will probably remain bleak throughout this year unless you have a clean background and are willing to work for less than $10/hr. in the burgeoning security industry.

GENERAL PREDICTION DJI AVERAGES:

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The Bulls are making a lot of noises but expect that conditions will remain unstable. American strategy and tactics in the Middle East have clearly failed and everything there is turning into a nightmare. The markets will go south a little bit for at least a month.

The DJI gained 500 points during April with many 200 point mood swings to close April 30 at 8,502. The DJI gained another 350 points or so in May with many of the same kind of mood swings to close the month on May 29 at 8,850.26.

We can probably expect to see an acceleration of growth during June. By the time the Dog Days set in the DJI may be up in the range of 9500, plus or minus 300, BUT this is proviso because of the fragility of both the economy and international politics. Strong negatives in the news could depress these numbers and keep the DJI under 9000. Eventually this number will flatten during July and August and will then continue to inch up during the Fall. By the end of the year, the DJI may be pushing 10,000, but only if jobs are being created and retailers are reporting a decent year end sales season.

Today, June 18, the DJI was at 9,293 up about 100 points from last Wednesday
Last week closed at 9,117.12 on June 13.

LAST WEEK’S PREDICTION: Expect sudden mood swings downward in the range of as much as 300. The market will probably close under 9100 this week.     I WAS AT LEAST 17 POINTS TOO HIGH.

Expect about 9200-9300 for the close this week. Expect 200 mood swings, expect gradual inching up. Expect early July to come in at 9500. Expect a softening later in the summer as political conditions come under greater stress. In the Fall this little Bull boomlet will settle back close to 9000 for awhile.

I AM IN A POSITION, BASED ON MY OWN LOGIC AND BASED ALSO ON CONFIRMATION FROM PSYCHIC CONNECTIONS WHICH I HAVE VALIDATED, TO PEG THE MARKETS EVEN MORE SHARPLY FOR JULY 2003 AND FOR JANUARY 2004. THIS INFORMATION WILL BE PROVIDED CONNECTED ON THE EBOOKS ACCESS PAGE:

http://www.michaelmandeville.com//ebooks/ebooksaccess.htm

It will not be posted until Friday this week.

AS REPORTED LAST WEEK: If you are buying stock, buy only fundamentals. Anything else is stupid, unless you have detailed insider knowledge of a company and its prospects. You have to know personally the CEO. Failing this, you are merely sucker bait for a pathologically dishonest generation of vipers and scamsters. There are many rabidly desperate tipster tooters out there with really well written slick extremely convincing newsletters about how they are making 10,000 percent profit margins on trades of under a year in duration. These newsletters are now pouring into my email boxes. The only way they can achieve those results is to pyramid scheme you into pushing up the value for the initial insiders. You will be left holding the bag.

Just say no.

MAJOR ADVERSE CONTINGENCIES:

SARS – Is rapidly disappearing, as predicted by Ruth Ryden.

Conditions in Iraq - INCREASINGLY CHAOTIC
Saddam – this old troll is going to create more problems
U.S. Diplomacy - distracted, unfocused, and self-contradicted
Price of Oil - improving
Osama Bin Laden and Al Qaeda – the threat is growing
Palestinian Peace Process – What peace process? The entire program has been defeated by Al Qaeda
U.S. Credibility – the weapons of mass destruction Big Lie is coming home to roost, this may undermine the stock markets with jitters about the survival of the Bush administration.
International Affairs – MAJOR DISASTER IN THE WORKS FROM INCOMPETENT GOVERNANCE BY BUSH AND THE IMPERIAL FACTION

HEALTH WATCH – No new status-changing alerts

GEO-POLITICAL WATCH
How are the sunspots likely to most effect human affairs during the weeks and months ahead?

SIGN OF THE TIMES: it looks like, America’s hot adventure “reality” show, “The Empire Strikes Back” HAS successfully keep much of the corporate scandals under the rug. Ken Lay, just a good ole boy Texan, the Presiding Officer of the rape of California Consumers, otherwise known as Enron, is still scott free with his crooked billions…LOU DOBBS’ scoreboard: After nearly two years, 57 indicted crooks, 16 of them from Enron, 1 indicted crook is in jail, none of them is Ken Lay.

SIGN OF THE TIMES III: We still have ABSOLUTELY NO EVIDENCE THAT SADDAM HUSSEIN HAD WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION. Are you holding your breath?

As conditions, stand, the West in general and Bush’s Imperial Faction in particular are,
AS A MATTER OF FACT, CURRENTLY LOOSING WORLD WAR IV to master plotter Osama Bin Laden, who shows once again that he is at least two moves ahead on the chess board.

The Peace Process in Palestine and the so-called Palestinian Authority are complete fabrications and illusions perpetrated by incompetent Western politicians, aided and abetted by the Mass Media which ought to know better.

The radical Islamics have correctly perceived the profound weakness of Western culture. Western corporatized elites have no concept of how to connect people together into a functional society. Accordingly, they cannot successfully occupy, hold, or transform the Middle-Eastern cultures. Accordingly, they cannot hope to successfully occupy any part of the Middle East, not in the long run of years.

Conditions in Iraq are a tragic farce beyond all description and understanding. The U.S. presumes at the moment to occupy and govern Iraq with an organization manned by some 600 people. This group is so incoherent it cannot even conceive of how to pay Iraqi workers, most of whom are unpaid and are getting increasingly disgusted. Meanwhile that old Troll, Saddam, is busy hiding under his bridges, offering pay to those who kill Americans. I think you can get the picture.

Bush ordered the invasion of Iraq to get Saddam and confiscate the weapons of mass destruction. It is now almost completely certain that there never were the weapons of mass destruction in Iraq which were claimed by the Imperial Faction. It also appears that the U.S. may fail in getting rid of the old Troll.

Do you remember the body counts in Vietnam? Oh, you will. They will start reminding you. We realized it was serious when the daily count was in the range of 10 per day. Well, the direct U.S. military body count in the Middle East is now nearly 1.5 per day. I hate to tell you this but this count is probably just the beginning of the curve unless American policies take some sudden turns. Under Bush and the Imperial Faction it appears that it is going to get much worse.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: Currently, as conditions stand, Al Qaeda has succeeded in engaging the U.S. directly across a broad swath of diverse territory, much too big for it to understand and digest, and has begun a daily casualty count of U.S. fatalities from Palestine through to Pakistan. The U.S. has incompetently entered itself into this condition under an historically ignorant President with strategic advisors who are equally incompetent to the task. It has no effective tactics nor strategic plan for winning the vast guerilla war which is now unfolding and accelerating. Present American leadership is clueless about turning its weak, thin occupations into solutions. It is conceptually unable to even conceive of how to engage Muslims and many other Middle Eastern peoples in creating the foundations for just, stable, and enduring civil societies which are at peace.

It is going to be a long, hot summer, all conditions will continue to deteriorate as more and more people abandon the Bush administration. Sunspots will climb again at least twice into high numbers, more violence will break-out, and most elite circles in the U.S. will begin furtively to look for ways to get past Bush. The Imperial Faction will fractionate and more “inside” stories will further undermine the credibility of the U.S.

The keys to a workable path out of this horrible swamp may lie in the hands of the generals. They know the truth on the ground. And they know that Bush and his cronies are both liars and incompetent fools. Something has to give…. the generals have command of enough resources to formulate workable plans, along the lines of the Marshall Plan which rebuilt Europe after World War II, and present them to the nation and the world, FAST…but first they must finally conclude that Bush’s current cronies MUST be sidelined from commanding American foreign and military policy. The generals must learn to talk with real political scientists and sociologists to devise ways to solve the problems.

Failing a palace “insider’s revolt”, completely legal of course, it will take a major, year-long political convulsion to get rid of Bush while violence in the Middle East continues to escalate.

EarthMonitor