EarthMonitor

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of February 19, 2003

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of February 19 2003
You have heard of the Weather Report? Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

This update is keyed to the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. The framework for understanding these updates and much of the current status information is maintained in capsule form in the Almanac at the locations cited in the text of this Update.

The good news for the geophysical vortex continues. Solar Cycle 23 is waning rapidly with sunspot counts down to 15 or so on Monday. The last remaining small patch of El Nino water in the Pacific continues to cool off. This may gradually return us to nearly normal weather patterns in March. Earthquake and volcanic activity is about the same as last Full Moon, there is little progression which is evident.

For the geopolitical front….everything remains unsettled. The Imperial Faction has been becalmed, they will need at least another week to recoup their staggering loss of support which was evident in last week’s rising tide of opposition. Is it the sunspots? The Imperial Faction’s war stalled out exactly dead on a drop in sunspot counts from 190 to 15, the lowest count in several years. But, many psychic sensitives report that the tendency seems to be towards an invasion of Iraq while some insist that the die is not cast, that a massive display of opposition would create enough pause to enable European leadership to assert itself. Is more opposition needed?

KEEP PRAYING AS COPIOUSLY AS THE STARS IN THE HEAVENS. Our best hope lies in encouraging the French to vigorously take over international leadership on the issue of Iraq’s weapons. For the time being, our fate still hangs on the precipice of these fundamental choices as we stare bleakly into the unknown abyss of the next few weeks. The choices of the next few weeks may bring the easy restoration of harmony with Hussein contained in his cage for the foreseeable future, or chaos may erupt and fragment all peoples and nations in a long process of radical re-alignment of the nations. Let us hope that Bush can find himself happy to follow the lead of Feinstein and France to stand on unified ground.

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Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead.

The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial.

For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

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HOUSE-KEEPING NOTE:

Take a look at the Earth Monitor front page
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor

That is pretty much the front page we will use. I have barely gotten started with menu tree structure, so that will evolve quite a bit more. I am attempting to turn the Earth Monitor title page into almost nothing but an integrated menu tree, which will summarize menus which are more richly developed on separate topic pages. This process will be going on for awhile. In the meanwhile, you may occasionally notice some strange duplications or weird disappearances. If anyone has any suggestions about evolving these pages, now is a good time as I devote a few minutes each day to revising menus and adding new links.

POLAR MOTION
What is happening to the motion of the Earth.

At the current time the X Wave in Chandler’s Wobble IS AT its annual MIN. It will now head toward the last annual MAX in this current 6.5 year cycle of Chandler’s Wobble. This annual MAX should be achieved in about October of this year and it also will define the MAX for this entire current cycle.

AS REPORTED LAST SEVERAL WEEKS: Steady as she goes. As reported for the past few months, the current track of Chandler’s Wobble (the observed locations of the spin axis at the North Pole) continues to show an acceleration in the shifting of the average location of the spin axis. The recent acceleration may be in the approximate range of 6.5%. FOR A DESCRIPTION OF THIS DISPLACEMENT, SEE THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN OF NOVEMBER 13, 2002.

For additional current details: see http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003/currentconditions.htm#polarmotion

FOR NEWBIES: The vortex tectonics paradigm of the earth holds that polar motion in the 6.5 year wobble cycle (Chandler’s) creates the major stress in the Earth’s crust which is released by lunar tidal forces each month in the form of earthquakes and volcanism. The acceleration in the motion of the drift of the poles and its relocation forces an increasing tempo in the shape shifting of the Equatorial zone, where 70% of tectonic activity occurs. Accordingly, earthquakes and volcanic activity should increase in frequency and magnitude.

PLANETS

The Moon this day is near dead over the Equator and is at Perigee, just three days past the Full Moon. The syzygy window is still active through tomorrow.

The next planetary alignment will be on February 24 between Venus | Mars. Expect solar weather and sunspots now to remain low through to about February 21, then expect a sharp rise.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: Venus is so bright that you can see it now and for another month or so in broad daylight well after dawn. Venus is steadily moving away from the Earth so it will gradually fade until it can only be seen before dawn. To find it just look to the East. You cannot miss it but because it is so bright you might mistake it for a UFO or an airliner with landing lights on.

See Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for additional details
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003/
The Almanac lays out the entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather.

SUNSPOTS
The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead.

The high sunspot count of 195 on Feb 9th plunged sharply down to about 15 on Feb 17, which is the lowest it has been in several years.

That is extraordinarily good news because it truly reveals that Sunspot Cycle 23 is collapsing rapidly. Accordingly, the weather should be less extreme during March through July than originally projected and we are close to being able to affirm that the drought patterns of the last few years will finally break up this year.

Yesterday the sunspot count was beginning to rebound to about 48. The count will probably continue to drift upward and rise above 100 again for the Venus | Mars alignment on Feb 24th.

CONFIRMED PREDICTION: (a pretty doggoned good call) Sunspot number for February 11 was 135, falling rapidly. It will probably plunge to at least 60 and remain in that range until about February 18, whence it will begin to climb for the February 24 Venus | Mars. Numbers for that alignment should shoot up well past 100 and induce another major but short-lived impetus for stormy activity in the Earth’s atmosphere.

Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active with occasional minor storm intervals until February 21. Long distance medium wave (AM) band propagation along east-west paths over high and upper middle latitudes is very poor, propagation along north-south paths is fair.”
See http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

Alvestad also confirmed that “ A trans equatorial coronal hole and a southern polar coronal hole extension was in a geoeffective position on February 12-18.” What this means is that the solar flux was pretty high this week, which followed the February 9 peak in the sunspot count. This high flux, which added a lot of ionic energy into the Earth’s atmosphere, most likely helped to produce the tremendous snowstorms on the Eastern Seaboard.

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: However, the planetary alignments in mid August, the Mars | Earth alignment in late August, and the flyby of this alignment by Mercury on September 10 will probably bring a succession of curtain calls. Even when the average monthly sunspot count is below 50 during a quiescent phase of the Sunspot Cycles, planetary alignments sometimes send daily counts up into the range of 200. This is sure to happen in August and September of this year. This peaks will cut of the normal summer monsoon pattern for those areas which are in dire need of a wet summer.

At the moment the Fluxgate Monitor at the U of Alaska shows some very modest magnetic disturbances during the past 24 hours in the Earth’s Atmosphere. Today’s Solar Wind Speed is a modestly brisk 543.0 km/s pushing a high density of : 8.7 protons/cm. NASA reports a very low probability of Solar storms, explosions, and new flares.

NASA failed on its aurora prediction. Here is mine, wait for Feb 22.

PARTIALLY CONFIRMED FOR FEBRUARY - AS PREDICTED PREVIOUSLY: Continue to expect anything with this Solar Cycle 23, but, despite the current escalations in sunspot counts, I think that the peak is nearly done. By mid February I expect sunspot counts to stay in the under 80 range most of the time, except for the Earth | Mars alignment in August and September, and slowly fade away throughout the remainder of the year. Peaks above 100 will occur during each of the planetary alignments and they may well soar very high once again during August and September.

To follow these numbers, view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart at

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/topten_monitor.htm

GLOBAL DROUGHT AND FLOOD WATCH
Stories and assessments about drought and flood conditions around the world; global information which provides the ability to assess the impacts to agriculture and the natural environment.

CONFIRMED PREDICTION FROM LAST WEEK: Our weather patterns are beginning to normalize here and there and indeed a tremendous rainstorm is now flowing into the Southwestern U.S. over the Gulf of California. Rain has begun and typical winter rainstorms, which has been awfully scarce the past two years, are scattered through a broad expanse.

We in fact had 5.25 inches of rain along the Mogollon Rim, one fourth of our annual rainfall within 72 hours. It was wonderful, this was more rain than we got for the past 14 months combined. It was a long slow soaker which left the ground deeply penetrated. It finally felt as if the drought is over. (Pinching myself hoping it is true).

There was still a lot of rain in those clouds as they scudded slowly to the East, where they took up residence over first the Great Lakes region and then over the New England area, where they dropped the jaw-dropping record snowfalls. The last alignment, Mercury | Mars, was Feb 4th, the sunspots peaked on Feb 9th for this alignment, a full five days “late”. (Generally the last several sunspot counts peaked one to three days prior to a planetary alignment).

It began to rain in the Southwest on Feb 12th, just three days after the sunspot peak, and it began to snow in New England on Feb 16th. Our weather warning band was a full week off kilter because of the delayed sunspot peak, but other than that, February predictions (a heavy winter) was correct even if the timing was fickle.

At the end of February, the atmosphere is likely to be pushed into extremes once again by solar activity which comes out of the Venus | Mars alignment on Feb. 24. The first week of March could be pretty stormy.

INCORRECT ASSESSMENT OF PRIOR WEEKS: for the American Southwest, the winter rain has already been lost for the most part. The drought will likely continue on through to July.

More rain is now likely in the Southwest during the next few days.

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED (REVISED AGAIN THIS WEEK): Summer monsoons may be late and will be ended sooner than normal by the planetary alignments which begin in mid-August, most especially by the Mars | Earth alignment at the end of August.

For additional details, see
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/calendar2003

EL NINO WATCH:

The decline continues, I THINK. NOAA HAS NOT UPDATED ITS TEMP CHART THIS WEEK.

AS PREDICTED HERE AND NO WHERE ELSE, the El Nino syndrome along the equator is almost gone. The upsurge in warm water (above average in the range of 8 degrees F.) along a very wide expanse of the Equator in the Pacific peaked in early November and now is only a small of fraction of what it was. As of 20 days ago, the El Nino “patch” on the Equator is about the size of the Island of Borneo and is centered at Longitude West 170. During the last three weeks, the warm water patch declined slightly more size in size and in overall temperature. The El Nino Weather Syndrome is probably irreversibly gone for this year.

To view the latest water temperatures in the Pacific, go to the animated graph at NOAA’s weather center. It runs through the changing temperature of the surface of the ocean every two weeks for the past year. You can watch the late developing El Nino water (shown in red and orange) quickly break up and shrivel into the Borneo-sized patch.
http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif

CHEMTRAILS
See http://www.deepspace4.com/pages/main/pagemain.htm

EARTHQUAKES
Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger.

I prepared this section by pulling out the Earth Changes 2003 Calendar which has everything plotted on it. You should too. Check out the Almanac as well, it discusses all of the windows for the year and even spotlights the two most dangerous windows. This current syzygy period began on the 14th and ends tomorrow. Perigee is today (Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%).

At the moment quake activity is normal for a Full Moon – Perigee Syzygy Window. Frequency was definitely up, in widely scatted locations around the globe, but magnitude of the quakes was generally muted, overwhelmingly in the 2.9 to 5.0 range.

The main event of note for this window occurred just a few hours ago this Perigee day. There was a huge 6.5 quake in the Aleutians, followed by a smaller quake a few hours later. These were preceded by at least two quakes above 2.5 during this syzygy window. Here are the specs for this latest Alaska quake:

The following Magnitude 6.5 UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA February 19, 2003 is a release by the United States Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center: A strong earthquake occurred IN THE UNIMAK ISLAND REGION, ALASKA about 105 km (65 miles) southeast of Akutan or 1230 km (760 miles) southwest of Anchorage at 8:32 PM MST, Feb 18, 2003 (6:32 PM AST in Alaska). The magnitude and location may be revised when additional data and further analysis results are available. The earthquake was felt at False Pass and Dutch Harbor. No damage is expected. It is the largest earthquake in this general area since another magnitude 6.5 event on November 19, 1993. The location for this earthquake was furnished by the Alaska Earthquake Information Center, Fairbanks.

There is no obvious pattern at play currently. For quakes above 3.0, there were several more quakes in Central Alaska, several in Japan, several in California, but this is typical. It still seems that the North Arc of the Pacific Rim is more seismically active right now than other areas, but the Mid and South Pacific seems to have picked up and the activity is probably equalizing out.

In North America, much of the seismic activity was contrarian for this Full Moon.
The USGS chart (such charts show all quakes 1.0 and above) for the U.S. and Alaska show 484 quakes for the past seven days (which is down 67 from last week’s 551) with the USGS chart for California showing 233 of these in California during the past seven days (down from last week’s 294), which is not at all right for a syzygy window. The USGS Chart of Yellowstone Cauldera Area shows 23 small quakes during the last week (sharply down from the prior week) and 13 quakes scattered throughout Utah (down from 31 during the prior week).

But to keep things confused, the USGS Chart for the Pacific Northwest reveals 42 quakes (two week sum, up from 32 micro quakes last week) a large number of them appearing along the backbone of the Cascade Mountain chain in Washington State. Hood was completely silent but the USGS chart for Long Valley Cauldera (Area) shows a running total of 30 for the past week (up from running total last week), typically in the range of 1.0 in magnitude,


FULL MOON WATCH ON COLIMA – POPO – COOS BAY – SAN ANDREAS
REMEMBER THE COSTA NOSTRA DAMUS PREDICTION: We will watch Coos Bay, San Andreas, Colima, Popo, very carefully. Let us watch as well for a pattern of increase during the succeeding Full Moon Perigee Syzygies. Centered near the middle of the month for February, March, April, and May, the Full Moon and Perigee draw tighter together to be virtually dead on in April, then start to draw apart. Their mutual influence should combine exponentially, not linearly. Along about the middle of April, we can expect the worst quake season which has been felt in many months. See the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar for timing details.

VOLCANOES
Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity.

Hood is sound asleep but El Popo was yesterday up to a 31 puff day. Centrapred reports for February 19 (16:00 GMT) that “During the last 24 hours the monitoring system recorded 31 small to moderate exhalations, accompanied by steam and gas emissions and sometimes small amounts of ash. The most important exhalation occurred yesterday at 19:02 h (local), and was accompanied by a an ash and steam column about 2 km height (see image). Also, isolated episodes of low amplitude harmonic tremor, and high frequency tremor were recorded, accumulating about 2 hours. At this moment the overall activity level is stable, but we can not see the volcano due to clouds. The explosive event occurred on February 14, at 05:34 hs, is related with the partial destruction of the lava dome inside the crater previously reported (see image). As long as there are remains of the dome, explosive activity is possible implying ash emissions and incandescent material ejections around the crater.”

The Southwest Volcano Centre reports 40 volcanoes on the alert status list (UP two from last week), 5 volcanoes on the restless list (same as last week), and 22 on the active eruption list (down three from last week). It would seem that volcanic activity overall is down slightly this week.

Check out the photos are on the web which shows the most recent upsurge of lava flows for Etna, Kilauea, and Stromboli. Check them out at http://www.swvrc.org/cerupt.htm

CONTRARY TO MY EXPECTATIONS, volcanic activity during this Full Moon is definitely down.

AG INDUSTRY WATCH
Because of the high load of stress which the current peak in the sunspots have placed on the Ag industry, we alert on the changing scene in agriculture and how these are likely to effect the broader economy.

AS PREDICTED LAST FEW WEEKS: I believe that the drought is now ending and that this ending will be apparent by March. BUT, drought conditions are likely to return in August during the Mars | Earth alignment and persist for perhaps several weeks, perhaps late into September. This will not provide crop relief for farmers in the Southern Hemisphere. The drought will not end for them until the growing season is over.

ECONOMIC WATCH

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: It is doubtful that any economic recovery will begin to be felt until much later in the year, probably not until Fall of 2003.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED The recent 400 to 500 point dip in the DJI was directly a result of the current uncertainties over war jitters and the lack of any concord in the U.S. about how to end the recession. War jitters cause international sources to continue to draw down their U.S. inventories of cash and securities in favor of Euros. Consider this a tax on international confidence imposed by the stubbornness of the Imperial Party which continues to perpetuate our position at the edge of the precipice. So long as these huge uncertainties continue, there will be no sign of economic recovery.

My prediction for the DJI was off by 108 points on the low side. AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: Stocks will close this week in the range of 7700-7900.

PREDICTION CLOSE FOR THIS WEEK: flat plus or minus 200 at 8000

The upsurge this last couple of days may be directly related to a perceived “stall” in the Bush war plan. It is likely that the market will stay in the doldrums this next few weeks in the 8000-8500 range. The more controversy over the plan, the lower the DJI will sink. If a sudden strike occurs in IRAQ, which may occur in the later part of March, the market will suddenly sink 500 points and then quickly rebound in a few days up towards 8900.

But don’t get fooled. This rebound will be too fast and the DJI will spend many more months swamping around in the low to mid 8000’s. A fundamental shift in the economy has to be felt before stocks begin to ride the next Bull.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: I am going to watch how close the arbitrager for Ditech.com calls it. I am placing a bet on their interest rate calculations, which are so finely chiseled, they have to be running pretty sophisticated indicator stats. When they clearly go up at least two pegs within a month, even if they are just very small increments, you will know there is wind in the sails of the economy. For mid-February, their rates were 5.5 and 5.804

GEO-POLITICAL WATCH
How the sunspots are likely to most effect human affairs during the weeks and months ahead?

SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, just a good ole boy Texan, the Presiding Officer of the rape of California Consumers, otherwise known as Enron, is still scott free with his crooked billions…But the Enron Wicked Web of greed and gross and egregious “taking advantage of everyone” is beginning to unravel. Enron is now suing Ken Lay directly for the return of some money, 2003 should be a great year for a continuing soap opera of scandalous corporate news. Or maybe not. Maybe America’s hot adventure news show, “The Empire Strikes Back”, will keep the corporate scandals under the rug.

AS PREVIOUSLY ENCOURAGED, if you have never read 1984, now is the time. AND HOW. All the strategies and techniques of Hitler’s and Herman Goering’s agitprop and disinformation technology is currently being employed everyday in massive doses against YOU. You had best wake up to how the mantras work. Check out the Media Lens organization. They are providing some really good wake up antidote. http://www.medialens.org

PS: In previous Bulletins and essays, I have been mistaking Goebbels, the Gestapo Chief, with Goering, the propaganda minister.

Whatever you do, ignore the polls. They are consciously designed and used to lead you into concluding that YOU need to change your opinion or feelings and conform to someone else’s. THEY DO NOT EXIST FOR ANY OTHER REASON, THOSE WHO PAY FOR THEM ARE STRUCTURING AND RELEASING THEM IN WAYS TO MANIPULATE YOU, NOT TO INFORM YOU.

For the moment, it would seem that Bush’s problem is both with the tradition of Texas Tall-Tale Telling and in his Imperial Faction, which is determined with more hubris than has ever been seen in American government to have its own way, even to the point of childishly insulting heads of states and the reputed personal characteristics of entire groups of people. (Most college sophomores have a higher level of intelligence and skill than can be seen in some of the media elements of the Imperial Faction).

Yet, without doubt the last seven days has stalled the Faction. Bush has been scored, flunked, and the greater portion of Europe, as well as the American public, DOES NOT WANT TO FOLLOW HIS LEADERSHIP. The more the Imperial Faction rants and raves through right wingnut channels, the more the Europeans draw back from American statements.

Turkey is pulling away, demanding such a huge bribe for allowing its territory to be used as a staging area, that even the Imperial Faction is choking on the bill.

More ominously, groups supported by Iran began today to push into Northern Iraq. Some 5000 Shiite Iraqi militiamen just invaded nominally Kurdish territory, no doubt to be in a position to grab both territory and oil fields. The circumstances are deteriorating rapidly.

It will be very hard to recover from this fatal position of worldwide opposition and hostile manipulation swirling around everywhere.. This week, even Bush is looking strained and appears to be shifting his rhetoric towards the idea of working out a program of action within the U.N. He is beginning TO SEEM to be adapting the Blair rhetoric.

Reading between the lines this is what I sense: there is no exact plan for how to proceed at the moment in the fact of such opposition. The Imperial Faction is now winging things day by day. I suspect it will take at least another week to sort their issues out and then it will take about another month to implement the final plan, which will bring their action into final manifestation about the beginning of April.

If there is a time, it is the New Moon (dark nites) on April 1. The weather should be good throughout the first week of April.

Accordingly, there may be a grave risk of a sudden, sneaky, preemptive attack during the early part of April or the end of March. Osama Bin Laden may set the trap he has been preparing for the last decade by encouraging the Bush Faction to take this unilateral step. He may provide the U.S. with a “Maine”, with an incident which has an ambiguous Iraqi signature.

Or, the dirty tricks department of the CIA may simply invent an attack on U.S soldiers by Iraqi soldiers. In the spirit of self-defense, U.S. troops quickly find themselves in Baghdad. It will be in the grand tradition of what the CIA does.

Or, sensing that Hussein is mortally wounded and cannot mobilize his troops effectively to fight an invasion from the East, several hundred thousand Iranese Shiites may storm the borders to rapidly consolidate a fait accompli over as much oil territory as they can. This may be the most seriously difficult joker in the deck. Iran could claim to be “protecting’ devout Muslims from the infidel forces of both Saddam and the U.S. and it will be difficult for Arab governments to oppose the action.

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: Here is the possible picture. Consultations with the spirit realms through a number of people I respect leads to the pessimistic report that a war is likely. This war is expected to achieve its result in a short period of time, as advertised. But thereafter, things go to hell. Huge riots are foreseen in major cities (probably Middle Eastern countries), civil disobedience in European and American cities, scores of terrorist attacks, and Iraq becomes over the months a huge international quagmire of factions, claims of independence of several groups and territories, and tens of billions of dollars become necessary to bail out a defunct Iraq economy. Naturally the Texas Swindler plans to use the Iraqi oil fields to pay the entire bill, but, surprise, Iran may grab it before the Imperial Faction does.

Spirit sources advise that only massive demonstration of support for the French proposal will stop this juggernaut. A massive email campaign could help trigger support for the French proposal.

It is a rare opportunity and a simple proposition, to make world democracy work. The French have stood up in the U.N. and have taken the idea of a world democratic order seriously. They have made a serious proposal and wish the world to democratically decide how the world should collectively deal with the problems created by Saddam Hussein, without resort to violence. How could any sane mind sneer at such an effort and refuse to consider it? Let us insist that it be taken up and examined.

As peacemakers, and restorers of American credibility, we can individually urge everyone to take up the French proposals. In every way possible. More on this in a separate post. For moment, I conclude with the basic logic of this approach below.

AS STATED LAST WEEK, a reasonably centrist Democrat, Diane Feinstein from California, seems to have boiled down the entire international debate in a few pithy lines which are good enough and reasonable enough to carry the day forward on a reasonable basis. She observes that Saddam Hussein is a “WORLD PROBLEM” and she notes that virtually the entire world (outside of the hawks in the Bush Administration and the Republican ranks) wants Saddam and his disarmament dealt with as a WORLD SOLUTION, imposed by and through the U.N. – NOT the U.S

With what the French are proposing, NO WAR IS NECESSARY TO DISARM IRAQ. IF WEAPONS OF MASS DESTRUCTION ARE FOUND IN IRAQ, THEY ARE EASILY DESTROYED. The French propose more searching, more constant surveillance on the ground and in the air, more active total intrusion with a greatly expanded number of people on the ground in Iraq. Eventually, more of those evils goods probably will get caught and certainly the atomic threat will be impossible to implement.

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