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Background On Chandler's Wobble

Monitoring & Observing The Parallels & Synchronicities in Seismic, Volcanic, & El Nino Phenomenon With The Wave Forms in Chandler's Wobble.


1.  The Motion of the Earth's Crust

Chandler's Wobble is not precisely stable, never repeats exactly, and often takes 6 years from peak to peak (on the X Max) and sometimes 7 years peak to peak.  It is also highly sensitive to   gusting solar storms.  It will suddenly jiggle in response to the solar winds.  This makes it impossible to predict exactly what the wobble is up to and where the pole will be next, even with all of the King's Horses in cyber-computing at one's disposal.  No mathematical prediction from all of the past data has been shown to be of much value beyond a two or three month period. 

We are left then with a lot of fuzziness about just what the constantly varying position of the pole implies for the future.

Nonetheless, there is a general pattern and there is a trend in those patterns. We can  graph the X and Y motion of the pole by using the absolute figures of polar position which are recorded each day by the IERS Bureau (International Earth Rotation Service Bureau, an international consortium coordinated in France).

By plotting these positions to see the motion of the pole during the past decades, we can cognize what are the standard patterns and look for the appearance of what might be the beginning of a major deviance in the weeks  and months ahead.

For background on these charts and the discussion which continues on this page, consult the "Return of the Phoenix Book Three:  The Prophecies".   See especially chapters

See also Chapter 48, "The Phoenix Paradigm" for the best overall summary of how  polar motion works and what creates periodic avalanches of the crust (pole shift phenomenon).



1.   The Spin Axis

2.   Polar Motion On The X Axis (Chart Graph 314 in Chapter 39 of "The Prophecies")

This chart shows the repeating pattern of Chandler's Wobble for the past 110 years. The pattern is both regular and variable, showing just enough variation to make the exact behavior of the pole unpredictable even with massive supercomputers.  The basic pattern keeps repeating but the details of timing and magnitude and the exact length of the wave pattern always vary enough to keep us guessing.  The only pattern in the chart which comes close to the truncated wave peak of 2000 was the X Min in 1927-29.  During those years there were two years of extremely small peaks on the X Wave, so small it is if the Wave was on vacation.   Within seven years of that moment, the X Wave went through another transition in 1936, forecasted by Edgar Cayce in 1932, and thereafter the X Wave always has shown more energy going into the upper half of the X wave (movement of the pole or the crust into the Pacific Hemisphere) than into the bottom half (motion of the pole or crust into the Atlantic Hemisphere).  Literally,  very closely to how Cacye described it, the equilibrium of the earth in space shifted and is still shifting into the Pacific.

Polar X Motion 1890-1998.gif (54931 bytes)

In the X Motion we have both positive and negative numbers. The X Motion is slowly migrating towards the Pacific Hemisphere but it has moved so little in that direction since the grid system was created that the average zero line of the X Wave is still within several feet of the absolute postion of the zero line which was etablished at the beginning of the 20th century.  In the relative size and weight of the shaded waveforms, one can easily see that the positive numbers in the graph above from 1936 have more total energy in their waveform than the total energy in the negative numbers below the 0 line. This simple fact means that there is currently more total tectonic energy released in the form of earthquakes and volcanoes in the Pacific Hemisphere than in the Atlantic Hemisphere.  Since the Pacific Hemisphere is being pushed more and more out into extreme deviant positions, forced to expand and contract more and more, this portion of the crust is cracking and deforming more to create greater numbers of earthquakes and greater volumes of volcanic activity.

2.  Polar Motion On The Y Axis

The X Wave only shows one direction or axis of movement, up and down the Greenwich Meridian. But in actuality the Earth's crust is wobbling in a small circle with a diameter of about 50 feet at its largest. It is constantly spiraling into a 50 foot circle and then down into about 20 feet, sometimes even less, and then back up into a 50 foot circle.

To fully describe the motion of the crust, we need to plot its position on the Y Axis, which is at a 90 degree angle from the X Axis.   The X Axis is Greenwich Meridian or Longitude "0", thus the Y Axis is Longitude 90.  If this sounds like a simple algebra graph set-up from your high school days, you have it exactly right.

The Y Motion of the Crust (its motion back and forth or up and down Longitude West 90 degrees) shows a slow but definite migration of the position of the pole into higher and higher numbers.  The higher numbers show the distance down Longitude West 90.  Literally, to say the same thing in different words, North America appears to be migrating very slowly towards the North. The Y Motion has migrated so far down Longitude West 90 during the past 100 years that it cannot swing into the other side of the Greenwich Meridian, thus its numbers are all positive. 

Other than this migration of the waves into higher numbers, the Y Motion Wave is very boring.  It is seems even more regular than the X Wave and thus possibly it is a bit more predictable than the X Motion.

ywave77_2001.gif (22820 bytes)

This energy in the X and Y Motions is driving plate tectonics. Volcanic, Seismic,  Earth's warming patterns and El Nino are all  directly correlated with these motions of the Earth's crust in Chandler's Wobble.  Almost any attempt to find correlations finds strong parallels and synchronous patterns of activity.  Because of this simple fact, Vortex Tectonics will rapidly become the dominant successor to Plate Tectonics for the study of the Earth. Plate Tectonics describes the physical features, vortex tectonics describes the cosmic energy patterns which create the major features.

3.  Focusing On The X Motion

Because of the greater variation and tectonic action along the X Axis, charts of the X Wave are the best tool for finding tectonic correlations with the cosmically-inspired motions of the Earth (the Earth-Moon-Sun orbital system).  Chart 398 shows the overall pattern of X Motion since 1977.  What we are looking for is a major deviance from the standard pattern, a change of motion so deviant that something different than the standard variations has obviously begun.

Chart 390:  X Motion of Earth's Spin Axis 1977-2000

xwave77_2001.gif (23193 bytes)

We can spot immediately that the waveform since about 1/1/1999 to about 6/28/2000 is "off".  Something strange is happening to the X Motion, the last rising wave looks more like a shark's tooth than it does the normal  peaks in the X Wave.  The last wave is drawn out rather than rising and falling symmetrically.   On this chart (July 20, 2000), the motion from 6/20/2000 is entirely projected by IERS computers and from about this point it looks quite normal.  Unfortunately that is not much reason for confidence in the predictions since every time new numbers are pasted in from actual observations, the new numbers are different than the predicted numbers, sometimes by quite a bit...

The chart shows what appears to be a fairly strong departure from the general upswing from the X Min. It  seems to suggest that the normal motion in the X direction is diminished, possibly skidding somewhat sideways, possibly into the Y Motion. Perhaps there has been another major jiggle in the phase and amplitude of the X Wave similar to the one in 1936. Perhaps this new jiggle has thrown the motion of the mean position of the pole into a somewhat different direction which is not well described by either Greenwich or West 90.  

But so far nothing shows strongly enough to make a conclusion.  The X Wave has been "off" before in 1927-29 and the spin axis did a major jiggle about 1936.  But neither heralded a pole shift.  So for the time being, all we can do is watch the X Motion, circling ever around it like an Eagle.

If we take just the years since 1995, which includes the highest previous peak of the X Wave in the X Motion,  we have an easier chart to watch.  Thus I make this my standard monitoring chart and I will keep adding data every two weeks as new data is made available by the IERS Bureau.

4.  Correlating the Synchronicity of the X Wave With Volcanism

It is easy to do.  Some degree of synchronicity well above randomness is easily spotted if the focus is kept on a specific area of the world.  See Chapters 39, 40, and 41 of "The Prophecies" for some of such correlations.  On a global basis it is impossible to find a specific correlation between rises of activity and rises in the X Wave because the increase and decrease in activity cancels out on a global basis (each half of the globe is doing the opposite of the other).  But what can easily be seen is that the frequency or rhythm of spurts in volcanic activity marches to the same tempo as the X Wave. In Chart 391, below, one can see that World Volcanism from 1875 through to 1993 reflected the X Wave tempo of 6-7 year highs.

More ominously, the fourfold increase in volcanism since the middle of the 20th century precisely fulfilled Edgar Cayce's long range Changes In The Earth prophecy which forecast a gradual acceleration in earth's activity from 1958 through to 1998.

Chart 391

chbw World Volcanism 1875-1992.gif (40281 bytes)

Chart 391A

xwave_corworldvolc.gif (11967 bytes)

The peaks of these two phenomena do not match precisely but their beat, the tempo of action, certainly matches very well.  It is impossible to suppose that these are unrelated.

5.  Correlating the Synchronicity of the X Wave With  Earthquakes

The same escalation of worldwide tectonic activity can also be seen in Chart 392, below, which demonstrates a fourfold increase in earthquake activity since 1973. See "The Prophecies" for a proof that this increase in both volcanic and earthquake activity is real and is not a creation of better reporting and recording of data.

Chart 392

ch World Earthquake Activity 73-98 25plus bw.gif (26669 bytes)

As with Chart Graph 400 which is directly monitoring and correlating the X Wave Motion with seismic activity in Japan, earthquake activity shows a direct linear correlation with the movement of the Earth's crust.  Southern California earthquakes sprout at the bottom of the X Wave trough just like Japan's do, as can be seen in Chart 393.  To demonstrate that the relationship is not a spurious one, Chart 394 shows the exact same relationship between the motion of the crust and the outbreak of increased seismic activity in 1999.  In both charts, the X Wave goes into the bottom half of the wave (the low portion below the "0" line) by moving downwards from the left hand side of the chart.  It slowly bottoms out, where sudden spikes of  seismic occur, then it begins to rise again, shutting off the seismic activity.  With the X Wave in negative numbers, the North Pacific portion of the crust is moving slightly North, forcing the crust in this portion to contract.  Obviously we can see that Japanese and California danger periods for Earthquakes comes with the contraction of the crust during the X Min, and out of this simple correlation, the entire practice of seismology and the study of earthquakes in both areas of the world will change fundamentally.

Chart 393

chbw Reflection Xwave In SouthCal 92 Spring.jpg (36037 bytes)

Chart 394

xwave_corscquake99.gif (11426 bytes)


5.  Correlating the Synchronicity of the X Wave With El Nino .

To spot it, one first must find the 7 year X Wave and isolate it from the annual X Motion.  This is done easily in Chart 395.  By finding the highest and lowest points of the X Motion during each year and then drawing a line separately through both the  highs and lows, we can draw a picture in which we can see the overall "energy" in each X Wave.  We can see roughly how the Earth is moving in an overall pattern and we can see more clearly the highs of the X Wave.   Chart 395 even shows us how uneven the energy really is in each 7 year cycle of the X Wave. (Some of the jerkiness is this chart, however, is a function of  using only one point per year from which to draw the lines - the real Earth is much smoother!)

Chart 395

xwave62_99.gif (10721 bytes)

Now we can correlate this pattern with other phenomenon such as El Nino and Volcanoes and see if there is a connection.  Chart 396 reveals rather decisively that there is more than a passing connection between El Nino and the motions of the Earth's crust.

Chart 396

xwave_wel62_99.gif (16376 bytes)

As we can see in Chart 396, El Nino almost always happens on the flanks of the rising or falling peak of the X Wave. Only once in 30 years did it occur at the peak, and that anomaly was truly unusual.  The El Nino was classified as lasting for two years during 1976-77 while all the others were one year events.  Equally important, they almost never occur during an X Min, in the trough of the wave.  The one time it did in 1983, the X Wave Min was unusually LARGE, so large there really wasn't a typical Min.

To summarize Chart 396, we can observe that the El Nino year usually occurs just one to two years off the peak of the X Wave on both sides of it. If there is a serious alteration or variation in the X Wave, with the normal X Wave Min unusually high, the El Nino may be early, strange, or unusually long.

This is a profoundly interesting and important generalization.  It is the first time that the principle of how to predict the occurrence of the El Nino years has been stated as a generalization from empirical facts, namely by correlating it with the celestial motions of the Earth-Moon-Sun system. The climatologists will hate throwing away those research grants and thus they will spend a lot of money trying to disprove this simple generalization but it will stand anyone's test.

The correlations in the vortex can be taken much further.  See "The Prophecies" for a demonstration of how variations in volcanic activity, probably most likely from volcanism connected with the great rifts under the bottoms of the oceans near the Fiji -Tonga Tectonic Arc,  directly correlates with this rhythm in the motions of the Earth and the tempo of El Nino.  Because of the seasonal swings and the inherent delays in the heating and cooling of the water, the year by year method of correlation appears to be sometimes fairly sloppy.  But still, one can find a clear association in the tempo and in the occurrences of peak volcanic activity with El Nino years. Supercomputers capable of modeling the real world on a day by day basis far beyond my spreadsheet numbers will probably be able to isolate the patterns of correlation quite precisely.

Chart 397

xwave_corfujivolc.gif (14322 bytes)

This all has rather interesting implications for concerns about the "global warming" phenomenon.  Most climatologists are trying to prove that global warming is human-caused.  Vortex tectonics demonstrates that the current trends of global warming should be correlated directly with the general increase in volcanic activity which is underway. Since the El Nino/La Nina pattern has gotten directly worse with the sudden increase in volcanism during the 1990's, most likely the cause of both global warming and El Nino is at the bottom of the South Pacific in the world's most actively spreading rift zone near the Fiji-Papua Tectonic Arc.

Edgar Cayce claimed in the early 1930's that when upheavels were apparant in the South Pacific area around 1936, we would know that the equilibrium in the earth had shifted and that the Change in the Earth had commenced. Most strangely, the statement seems as true today for this era's earth changes as it was true then.

6.  Chart In Color.


The Xwave 1962-1999 with elnino.jpg (64349 bytes)