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South America
Compression Zone Earthquakes

not much text in this sample page

Outline
(The expanded scroll charts do not display very well in miniature here below)

South America Quakes 2+ Daily With Wobble 1991-2007
expanded scroll chart by MWM; model source: ANSS Catalog; SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_wobble_expanded_1991-2007.gif

 

South America Quakes 2+ Annual Daily Average 1991-2007
portrait chart by MWM; model source: ANSS Catalog; SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_annual_avedaily_1991-2007.gif


South America Quakes 4+ Annual Daily Average 1973-2007
portrait by MWM 2007; World_Quake_Summary.xls by MWM
quakes4+_southam_1973-2007.gif
 

 

South America Quakes 2+ Average Daily Frequency Linear Growth Plot 1991-2023
portrait chart by MWM; model source: ANSS Catalog; SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_annual_lingrowth_1991-2007.gif

South America Quakes 2+ Size Comparatives & Cosmic Parallels With Average Daily Frequency 1991-2007
portrait chart by MWM; model source: ANSS Catalog; SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_annual_comparatives_parallels_1991-2007.gif

 

South America Quakes 2+ Daily With Wobble & Lunar Cycles 1991-2007
expanded scroll chart by MWM; model source: ANSS Catalog;
SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_wobble_moon_expanded_1991-2007.gif

South America Quakes 2+ Daily With Wobble 1991-2007
expanded scroll chart by MWM;
model source: ANSS Catalog; SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_wobble_expanded_1991-2007.gif

South America Tectonic Zone:  ... 

 

This plot was taken down to all quakes of Class 2+.  A careful examination of the frequency of seismic events in Class 2 and over since 1991 will suggest to any observer that there is little to NO report inflation in this series.  The rise and fall of quake frequency, REPEATEDLY,  in all magnitude classes since the early 1990's, as can be plainly seen on this continents and most others (see other sections of the Earthchanges Gallery), suggests that the counts have been made consistently by the creators of the ANSS Composite Catalog at UC Berkeley for all quakes of Class 2 and above  for at least since 1991 and in many cases since the early 1970's.

Accordingly, these charts from January 1991 to approximately the end of May 2007, gives us an objective vision about the tectonic activity of South America, encompassing the zone .  

Many geophysicists will tell you that there is no apparent trend of increase in earthquake activity.  Look at this data series.  What do YOU think?

 

 

 

 

notes:

3.  The Wobble X and Y Axis plots are offset vertically by intent to ease the eye and give the mind an easier time at grasping the phasing connections with quakes.  One is not bigger than the other and in fact, literal "size" exactness on the vertical is not important.  All the importance is on the horizontal scale and the connection with the up or down phases of the waveforms.

 

South America Quakes 2+ Annual Daily Average 1991-2007
portrait chart by MWM;
model source: ANSS Catalog; SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_annual_avedaily_1991-2007.gif

The following chart gives South American quake activity to you in one small compressed chart of average annual figures.  This chart and the remaining charts in this portion of the storyboard on earthquakes frankly destroy some of the  illusions under which many geophysicists mis-think and mis-speak.

 

 

South America Quakes 4+ Annual Daily Average 1973-2007
portrait by MWM 2007
model source: ANSS Composite Catalog; World_Quake_Summary.xls by MWM
quakes4+_southam_1973-2007.gif

If we look at only the larger quakes of Class 4+ and plot the series back nearly 18 years earlier, this is what we see:

 

Whatever is happening with the free-wheeling South American Tectonic Plate is obviously substantially different than with North America.  A definite growth curve seems evident and the average biannual deviation is much greater than North America's.  The correlation with the Wobble size is much more complex.  The syncopation of activity is not readily paralleled with anything, but the last two anomalous Wobble MIN phases have both drawn out substantial peaks in activity as can also be seen in Eurasia and the Western Pacific.

 

 

 

South America Quakes 2+ Average Daily Frequency Linear Growth Plot 1991-2023
portrait chart by MWM;
model source: ANSS Catalog; SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_annual_lingrowth_1991-2023.gif

In this next chart we can examine the future trend, at least so far as Excel's mathematics can show us.

The mathematics behind this linear projection is elementary Microsoft. 

Our current long-term average daily frequency is about 7 per day, rising each year since 1991 from about 3 per day.  Sometime in 2009, daily average frequency should increase to about 8.  By about 2021, the average frequency will be about 15.  This is not a rapid up-escalator, but the activity will overall be five times greater than it averaged in 1991 ((a fivefold increase in 30 years). 

 

South America Quakes 2+ Daily With Wobble & Lunar Cycles 1991-2007
expanded scroll chart by MWM
model source: ANSS Catalog; SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_wobble_moon_expanded_1991-2007.gif

 

Now...

Notes:

2.  The vertical scale of the X Axis waveform is generally not important.  What matters is the relative "phase (up or down) and the timing with the lunar cycles.

 

 

 

 

 

Now...

 

 

 

South America Quakes 2+ Size Comparatives & Cosmic Parallels With Average Daily Frequency 1991-2007
portrait chart by MWM
model source: ANSS Catalog; SOUTHAM_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
southam_quakes2+_annual_comparatives_parallels_1991-2007.gif

Now...

 

Some seeming positive correlation with 18 year Saros cycle but this generalization really needs the past 36 years to frame it.  Can a valid data series be constructed? No current answer to this.

Strong correlation (180 degree or negative) with wobble seven year.

Strong parallel with the planetary trend

Parallels North Atlantic, Eurasia, Carib, Western Pacific, not North American nor South Atlantic (this last ??? due to a reporting deficiency).

 

Now...

 

 

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