North Atlantic Quakes 2+ Annual Daily Average 1991-2007
portrait chart by MWM;
model source: ANSS Catalog; ATLAN-NORTH_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
atlan-north_quakes2+_annual_avedaily_1991-2007.gif

We saw that we could not establish any consistent clear connections between earthquakes and  the cosmic frame by looking at All Quakes 4+.  But in this small regional zone we find a very clear correlation.  As we can see since 1968, when the Wobble is its MIN phase (smallest size), quake activity rises over the previous levels.  Sudden increases and even huge spikes of seismic activity clearly are phased consistently to certain moments in the seven year wobble cycle (when the wobble has nearly reached its minimum size).

The expanded scroll chart preceding this chart shows the timing of these huge surges in activity with considerable precision.

(repeat note about the 1980 gap)

There is a less clear connection with Lunar Declination within this framework of observation.  The degree of Lunar Declination varies yearly though an 18.5 year "Saros Cycle" which governs how the Moon's orbit intersects the Earth's.  The Declination is the measure of how "tilted" the Moon's Orbit has become, which ranges from 18 to 28 degrees.  Each month during any given year, the Moon rotates above and below the Equator by nearly the same amount, which slowly changes during the 18 year cycle from 18 to 28.   This chart measures this changing declination in the blue line.

One can see that there is very nearly repeating phasing between the Declination and the Wobble Cycle.  There appears in this chart two Saros cycles (37 months) for every six Wobble cycles (6.9 X 6 = 41  months)

count this on the big charts and define the math of this better.

But this phasing breaks down through time and comes out of phase???

This may have something to do with the apparent times of increased seismic activity as can be seen in the chart.  But this connection is fairly sloppy in this chart.  A much more sophisticated modeling effort would need to be made to establish confidence in this point.

A clear trend of increase during the 20th century

trend arising, activity coming in fits and starts at various times as predicted by edgar cayce

trend gradually emerging after 1958 as predicted by Edgar Cayce

the trend clearly apparent by 1998, as predicted by Edgar Cayce

activity level, though fallen off of previous highs, is maintaining at levels many time over the levels of 1958, as predicted by Edgar Cayce.

By comparing with the connection of activity spikes to the "phasing" of the Wobble MIN, it is quite obvious that a major spike of activity was or could be due very shortly.

If, however, we look at the expanded scroll chart to see the variables on a monthly basis, we could easily argue that the "major spike", based on past connections, should have occurred sometime during 2006 during which the Wobble was in its clear MIN phase, which is nearly always betrayed by considerable instablity in the shape of the waveform. 

So what are the qualifiers on this?  If this is a continuing trend which has resulted from long term tectonic acticvity, and if nothing has altered that trend, it is fair to predict that a major spike in seismic activity, including more likely than not a 6+ quake, should have occurred during 2006.  For all we know, it could possibly still occur during 2007.  Global charts suggest that the trend continues and we also have  Edgar Cayce who  predicts that we now are entering into a time period of a greater acceleration in tectonic activity.

From this, can we get more precise?  It is very difficult to do on on statistical ground. But it would appear that the weight of the evidence suggests that the next major spike in California seismic activity, including at least one quake 6+, will come in about seven years after the Wobble MIN of 2006, which will be in about 2013.  That does not preclude an occasional large quake occurring in the range of 5 to 6 between now and then.

Accordingly, Vortex Tectonics, looking only backwards at the past trends, could issue at least one scientifically validated prediction for the Southern California Area:  a major increase in earthquake activity will occur in approximately 2013, depending upon the timing of the current seven year wobble cycle (which can vary by several months).  When the Wobble (Chandler) Amplitude is at nearly its next lowest point in approximately 2013, quake activity will suddenly and dramatically increase.  This will include at least one destructive 6+ quake.

The problem with this is that the Change In The Earth is accelerating.  The Global Trend is changing everything and as the acceleration continues, the response in local tectonic zones, such as Southern California, is likely to shift as well.

This leaves us with the future as an open book of blank pages...

In this next chart, let's examine the future trend, at least so far as Excel's mathematics can show us.

North Atlantic Quakes 2+ Average Daily Frequency Linear Growth Plot 1991-2023
portrait chart by MWM;
model source: ANSS Catalog; ATLAN-NORTH_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
atlan-north_quakes2+_annual_lingrowth_1991-2023.gif

The mathematics behind this linear projection is elementary Microsoft. 

Our current daily frequency is about 4 per day.  This chart suggests that on average the activity is depressed by nearly 50% as of July 2007.  Sometime in 2009, daily frequency should increase to about 10.  By about 2021, the average frequency will be about 11.  This is not a rapid up-escalator, but the activity will overall be five times greater than it averaged 80 years prior.  Between 2007 and 2021, we should see at least two major spikes of tectonic activity, possibly three, each with at least one major destructive earthquake at 6+. 

Since all the active areas on the western coast of North America is likely to respond to cosmic vectors and the Global Trend in much the same way, it is conceivable that the some forecast could and should be issued for The Bay Area and the Puget Sound region.

North Atlantic Quakes 2+ Average Daily Frequency Fast Linear Growth Plot 1991-2017
portrait chart by MWM;
model source: ANSS Catalog; ATLAN-NORTH_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
atlan-north_quakes2+_annual_lingrowth_1991-2017.gif

North Atlantic Quakes 2+ Daily With Wobble & Lunar Cycles 1991-2007
expanded scroll chart by MWM
model source: ANSS Catalog; ATLAN-NORTH_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
atlan-north_quakes2+_wobble_moon_expanded_1991-2007.gif

Now...

Notes:

1.  The "gap" in 1979 is a "hole" in the database, not a dearth of quakes

2.  The vertical scale of the X Axis waveform is generally not important.  What matters is the relative "phase (up or down) and the timing with the lunar cycles.

Now...

North Atlantic Quakes 2+ Size Comparatives & Cosmic Parallels With Average Daily Frequency 1991-2007
portrait chart by MWM
model source: ANSS Catalog; ATLAN-NORTH_2+_1991-2007.xls by MWM
atlan-north_quakes2+_annual_comparatives_parallels_1991-2007.gif

Now...

Now...