EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN Weekly Update

Cosmic Watch

Monitoring The Changes In The Earth

June 16, 2008

Galaxy - Solar Activity - Solar Cycle 24  Magnetic Field - Auroras
Planets - Moon Orbital Cycles - Asteroids -
Meteors & Comets

Lunar Ephemeris Chart

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COSMIC WATCH

The Changes In
Our Sacred Body
Without these things we die, thus these things compose our true body.

Galaxy - Solar Activity - Planets - Moon - Asteroids - Meteors & Comets

 
 

 

GALACTIC PHENOMENON: Coming soon

Links to:  ALMANAC | GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR

Have not started this watch yet....probably not until this summer

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar Storms, Sunspots, Ionic Wind, Magnetic Disturbances

Links to:  ALMANAC | SOLAR GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR


STANDING PREDICTION FOR SOLAR CYCLE 24:  Solar Cycle 24 has begun (as of January 2008) and may produce the most active sun of recorded history.  Its activity will peak during 2011-2014.  As solar activity gradually increases, both environmental dynamics and human behavior and emotionalism will shift into a more rapid flux of activity and reactivity.  Solar Cycle 23 engendered deep, bitter polarizations in the world, especially in Palestine, the Middle East, and vis a vis the United States, both internationally and domestically.  Rather than resolve divisions and conflict, humans accentuated them during this last Solar Cycle.  Accordingly, during the coming cycle human reactivity and tendency to fear and violence will become greater and could easily match the "historical record-breaking" which the Sun's activity is likely to produce with Sunspots, Storms, Flares, and Ionic Wind Gusts. 

 

Under this growing pressure, both the terrestrial environment and human societies will be subject to immense dynamic flux which will alter both the greater expanse of the Earth as well as the nations and the affairs of humans. Global Warming will accelerate more rapidly, mass migrations will become more frequent, more agriculture and oceanic food sources will fail, more nations will collapse (as in Africa), and the general level of violence will increase in many areas.

 

The exceptionally strong internal polarization in the U.S. against the Cabal of banksters and their oil-soaked Junta, and as well the antagonistic international polarization against the U.S., likely will be resolved by  acceleration of a chronic "half-collapse" of the current economic and political system in the U.S. This period will be marked by paralysis of politics and a chaotic period of increased repression and rebellion which gradually destroys the power of Federal agencies which have usurped far too much illegal (unconstitutional) power.

 

Likely the period will also spawn many concerted efforts to change major aspects of the constitution of the U.S. and the structure of its government.  In the short term, increased international militarism may be attempted by the intellectually and morally bankrupt Zionazi puppetmasters who manipulate and strongly influence nearly all institutions in the U.S. East Coast.  These attempts may be and probably will be made in various guises regardless of which political party "wins" the November 08 national U.S. elections. 

 

For additional information on the influence of Sunspots and Solar Activity Cycles, go to the Earth Changes Solar Gallery.  (this link not active yet).

 

Visible Sun Of June 16, 2008:  Credit: SOHO/MDI

[6-16-08 ECB]  A small spike of about 13 appeared last week and persisted on a Flux of 68 for fours days. This was no doubt for the Mercury | Alignment, as predicted, but it was surprisingly tepid. Solar Activity has been zip for the past three days but a magnetic storm in the Solar Wind has produced some atmospheric disturbances during the past 36 hours and this may persist for a few days.   The Earth is in one coronal hole and NASA and NASA has elevated its advisories.  The Planetary A Magnetic Index (upper atmosphere field strength) is spiking rapidly, currently at about 30.  Such disturbances are likely to persist in the next few weeks for the Mercury flyby of both Earth and Jupiter while Earth aligns with Jupiter.  The planetary alignments during the next three weeks are likely to build surges in the Solar Flux and a surge in Sunspots.  In early June we forecast a likelihood that these surges could be  greater than have been seen for at least a year but the tepid response of the Sun to the Earth | Mercury alignment on June 17 may indicate that the Sun is not really very ready for major activity in the nascent Solar Cycle 24.  See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast. 

 

[6-16-08 ECB]  NASA reports no Sunspots on the far side of the Sun.   [Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI] 

 

[4-7-08 ECB]  Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments:   In general during the first half of the year, sunspot peaks should be about on par with most of 2007.  Solar Cycle 24 has begun, but its initial birthing activity will look like the dying days of Solar Cycle 23.  Thus activity for the most part will not be very consequential.  But during the second half of the year, Solar Activity should noticeably accelerate as a result of planetary stimulation.  Watch out in June.  We may get heavy rains and floods during the last three weeks of June with a major surge of Solar Activity brought by a meeting of Jupiter and Mercury with Earth captive in their train. SEE JUNE 16 CORRECTION BELOW

 

[6-16-08 ECB]  WE GOT THE RAIN AND FLOODS, DESPITE THE MUTED LEVEL OF SOLAR ACTIVITY.  WE ARE CLEARLY STILL VERY MUCH IN SOLAR MIN AND ACCORDINGLY YOU MUST ASCRIBE THE EXTREMES IN WEATHER AND CLIMATE PATTERNS AT THIS TIME TO THE EMERGING GLOBAL WARMING SYNDROME.

 

 

IMPORTANT NOTE WHICH MOST PEOPLE STILL ARE NOT GETTING:

The Sun is at minimum levels of activity - it is at its lowest ebb since 1997.  Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes.

 

MAY'S EXTREMES IN CYCLONES (Myanmar) AND TORNADOES (N.A. Midwest & Plains) PLAINLY AND ABSOLUTELY IS NOT A RESULT OF STIMULUS FROM THE SUN NOR NATURAL NOR HUMAN-CAUSED CONDITIONS IN THE ATMOSPHERE.  This can only by Global Warming Syndrome, showing us what the new weather "normal" is becoming as the Earth's oceans continue to gradually warm.

 

With this in mind, we can watch what happens during the remainder of 2008 after surges in  Solar Activity bring higher Sunspot Counts, increased solar wind streams, and increased atmospheric disturbances.

 

Alvestad Solar Activity  Graph As Of June 15, 2008

click on this graph to view it in full size

graph courtesy Jan Alvestad http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Latest Graph: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/images/solar.gif
Daily Sunspot Numbers Are ISSN: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt

Sunspot Count Chart:  In this chart above the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).

Click here for NOAA Sunspot Table For Past 30 Days

Pix of coronal holes[6-16-08 ECB] NASA reports two small coronal holes in the Sun's atmosphere.  NASA predicts a 1%  probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours. NASA  predicts there is a 10% to 35% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours. Pix Credit: NOAA

 

 

[2-4-08 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:    Solar Cycle 23 never gave us a  a full 30 days of 0 Sunspots but the data compiled below by Alvestad makes it fairly clear that October was the MIN month and Solar Cycle 24 began, as we pointed out here, more or less in November 2007.  (This would be according to a traditional statistical method of determining the transition point.  A newer magnetic polarity model is now being used as well and this method points toward January 2008 as the first month of Cycle 24).

Month Average solar
flux at Earth
International
sunspot number
Smoothed sunspot number
2007.09 67.1 2.4 (6.7 predicted, +0.0)
2007.10 67.4 0.9 (7.2 predicted, +0.5)
2007.11 69.6 1.7 (7.8 predicted, +0.6)
2007.12 78.5 10.1 (8.1 predicted, +0.3)
2008.01 74.3 3.4 (7.6 predicted, +0.5)
2008.02 71.1 2.1 (7.9 predicted, +0.5)
2008.03 72.9 9.3 (9.4 predicted, +0.5)
2008.04 70.2  2.9

(7.8 predicted, +1.4)

 2008.05

68.4 2.9

(7.9 predicted, +1.4)

source: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

 

[6-2-08 ECB] Take a good look at the last three lines in this chart. You will notice that in March solar activity began to surge up (from 2.1 to 9.3 average Sunspot Number).  Then is April the surge dropped the Sunspot Number way down.  It fell far below the predicted numbers for both April and May, which suggests a much slower start to Sunspot Cycle 24 than NASA scientists are predicting. What makes the difference in these three lines?  Planetary Alignments were more numerous and involved more of the inner planets during March.  May's planetary alignments did not draw out much of an increase in the average count.  June's alignments should draw out an increase.

 

For current, critical information about the past few cycles and Sunspot Cycle 24, click here.  NASA MORE OR LESS AGREES THAT SOLAR CYCLE 24 HAS BEGUN:   For more details, go to Almanac:  Cycles of the Sun

MAGNETIC DISTURBANCES
(
As Shown By Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska )

[6-16-08 ECB]  Fluxgate Monitor shows substantially greater disturbance at present then have seen for much of the past two months.  Conditions most likely will remain unstable and perturbed for another few weeks. (Always keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur and produce intense magnetic storms in the atmosphere.)

CLICK ON GRAPH FOR EXPANDED VIEW

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Planets of the Horos Sun
(in the Fourth Age of Human Memory)

 

PLANETARY ACTIVITY: Skywatching, Planet Alignments, Moon, Asteroids

 The Inner Four Planets set inside the ring of the asteroid belt and the orbit of Jupiter. Each point of light is an actual representation of a planet, asteroid, or comet (plus the Sun of course), set within a true scale of distance as of April 1.   The positions of all numbered asteroids and all numbered comets in JPL's small-body database are shown (as of April 1, 2007 ).  Asteroids are yellow dots, comets are the pale blurry smudges.  We are looking down on the Solar System, overlooking the "North Pole" of the Earth.  As can be seen, our Solar System is a pretty busy place.

 

Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
Inner Solar System Orbit Diagrams
http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/?ss_inner

 

NIGHT SKY FOR June 16, 2008 from Hopiland:  Click for full screen sky map

 

 

IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory

 

If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this.  It is centered for 4 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings- 9 pm Monday evening) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land.  This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL).  It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it.  With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world).  Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay).  Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart.  Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.

 

PLANET WATCH: 

 

[6-16-2008] Arcturus, the Sun of our Sun, is now coming into view just after Sunset very nearly at the ascendant (directly overhead) in approximately the zodiac belt - seen just to the South of the Mid Heavens during this time of year from the Northern Hemisphere.  See if you can find it using the sky chart above.  It is a vividly bright star.  On the Western Horizon, to the southwest just after Sunset, you will see Mars and Saturn very close together.  Since they are planets are brighter than most of the stars and they should thus be the first bright lights you see in that direction.  Mars still appears slightly orangish.

 

 

 

PLANET ALIGNMENTS:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

SOLAR SYSTEM FORECAST:

For a listing of all planetary alignments and charts for 2008, click onto the 2008 Alignment  Almanac.  Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment.

 

June 17, 2008 - Mercury |  Earth | Jupiter

This alignment failed to create more than 13 Sunspots, which hung around only for 4 days of slightly enhanced Solar Activity.  Even though the Sunspot Activity remained muted during May and June, the RAIN AND FLOODS did occur IN ALL THE USUAL PLACES for this time of year and with a vengeance.  This round of flooding you can blame on the Global Warming Syndrome, definitely not so much the Sun.  I don't even wonder what the next Sunspot MAX will bring.  In combination with Global Warming Syndrome, the period of 2010 to 2014 will bring flooding which will make this June's floods in Iowa and China look rather routine.

 

July 7, 2008 - Earth | Jupiter

 Ready for a mini repeat of June's Midwestern flooding during July this year?  The next focused Sunspot Peak will begin in about the first week of July for the July 7 alignment of Earth and Jupiter.  Mercury will be aligning with Uranus and this pull vector should reinforce Sunspot Emergence on the Earth's side of the Sun. But given the tepid response of the Sun so far during 2008 to most of these planetary alignments, perhaps the most we can expect is about as much as this past week's peak of about 13.  Beyond that it is very difficult to see during this stage of Solar Cycle 24.

 

 

LUNAR SCHEDULE:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs below by clicking on their titles. Use these graphs which are drawn by MWM from JPL Ephemeris table data to find PERIGEE, DECLINATION, AND PHASE (NEW OR FULL MOON).  Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words.  Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.

 

The Giant Plot allows you to see the exact dates (UTC). 

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

For a more traditional text table of the Lunar Schedule, go to the Almanac

Declination (Dragon Cycle) and Distance (Perigee Cycle) define the strongest and most extreme moments of Lunar influence on the Earth. Distances of less than 365,000 KM indicate Perigees with the Lunar gravity field considerably stronger than average.  Declinations of 27 or 28 indicate an extreme position of the Moon over the Northern (+) or Southern Hemisphere (-). A high declination with a low distance for Perigee exerts significantly greater torque on the Earth in zones which do not usually receive so much. The "timing" of these "moments" creates "windows" of exceptional syzygy.  These relationships are best viewed in graph form.

 

THIS PREDICTION CAME TRUE IN SPADES: [5-5-08 ECB]  The lunar cycles are now moving into closer synchronicity for May and June. Accordingly, lunar influence on the tectonic plates should now begin to increase quake and volcanic activity and produce larger spikes in frequency and magnitude, beginning approximately next week.  [6-2-08 ECB] Major surges during the last and current lunar syzygies have amply demonstrated the reality of this vortex prediction.

 

[6-16-08 ECB] 

 

We have entered into the Full Moon Syzygy of Mid June.  The Moon is once again nearly FULL (June 17/18) while just past its monthly orbital Apogee (furthest distance from the Earth).  It will approach its Extreme Southern Declination also on June 17/18, giving us a double whammy of torque pulling the Northern and Southern Hemispheres apart even as the Great Rift expands in the Atlantic, Arctic, and Pacific while the Sun and Moon pull the Earth apart from opposite sides.  Notice how closely this alignment of vectors occurs with the orbital Aphelion of the Earth (furthest distance away from the Sun).  This kind of synchronicity continually recurs through the millennia in a complex series of variations which are virtually the same.   Expect a renewed surge in tectonic motion, which has already began in the Great Rifts, to continue until possibly as late as June 22/23. 

 

There will be another similar synchronization in July of 2008, then strong dis-synchronization until November 2008. November will begin a new round of synchronized Lunar cycles, with December producing the strongest synchronization of the year in a near perfect alignment with the Earth's Perihelion, during both the New Moon (Dec. 27/28) and Full Moon (Dec. 13. These then are likely months of the greatest quake events and these are likely to exceed the tectonic activity of April/ May/June.  

 

 

[4-28-08 ECB]  STANDING SYZYGY ANALYSIS FOR THE YEAR.  There will be a weak synchronization in May and June of 2008, then strong dis-synchronization until November 2008. November will begin a new round of synchronized Lunar cycles, with December producing the strongest synchronization of the year in a near perfect alignment with the Earth's Perihelion, during both the New Moon (Dec. 27/28) and Full Moon (Dec. 13). These then are likely months of the greatest quake events.

 

True Equator and Equinox of Date For 2008
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/cgi-bin/aa_geocentric.pl

 

ASTEROID DATA QUOTED DIRECTLY FROM NASA 

Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.  See http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/neo/groups.html

 

On June 16, 2008 there were 957 potentially hazardous asteroids
- no new finds  in almost a month..
June-July 2008 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2008 KO
June 1
4.4 LD
18
60 m
2008 KT
June 3
3.3 LD
20
9 m
2008 LB
June 9
3.3 LD
17
26 m
2008 LG2
June 13
9.2 LD
19
36 m
2008 LC
June 17
9.8 LD
18
55 m
2008 KN11
June 22
9.0 LD
18
110 m
2000 AD205
June 26
54 LD
17
800 m
1999 VU
June 29
65 LD
16
1.6 km
2008 BT18
July 14
5.9 LD
13
1.0 km

Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

METEOR & COMET ANNOUNCEMENTS FROM NASA 

No current announcements of importance.