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COSMIC | GEOPHYSICAL | GEOPOLITICAL | SPIRITUAL | TRANSFORMATIONS Geophysical Watch
Monitoring The Changes In The Earth May 12, 2008 Topic keywords: Earth's Wobble - Polar Motion - True Polar Wander - La Nina - El Nino - Ocean Climate Regimes - North Atlantic Oscillation - North Pacific Gyre - Pacific Equator - World Weather - Earthquakes - Volcanism - Hurricanes - Global Warming Syndrome Earthquakes Volcanoes Drought Fire Tectonic Shape-shifting Syzygy Predictions ARCHIVE | HOME | SEARCH | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBSCRIBE --- HOW TO USE THIS SITE |
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The Changes
In | Earth's Wobble | World Weather | Earthquakes | Volcanism | |
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EARTH'S WOBBLE - POLAR MOTION: Spin Axis, Magnetic Poles
Image is from WobbleTracker software, drawn by MWM Graph Scale is set to 1.0 arcseconds, Grid Size =
0.05 arcseconds This chart shows the location of the North Spin
Axis relative to the “map coordinates” which were established at the end of
the 19th century. A drift
of over 50 feet since 1900 in the circular track of
[5-12-08 ECB] POLAR MOTION: No new news.
[4-7-08 ECB] POLAR MOTION: Again, no change from prior weeks. There remains some apparent tendency to truncation of the spiral track on the Y Axis. Movement up and down the X Axis appears slightly easier for the Earth's crust than than movement on the Y Axis. This pattern we have been observing since the wobble "freeze" of January 2005.
[2-18-08 ECB] POLAR MOTION: The track now shows some outward expansion as one would expect.
[2-11-08 ECB] POLAR MOTION: Polar Motion apparently is now deviating once again from a normal track. What has been a smooth outward expansion since March 2006 is now apparently too truncated to be called an expansionary spiral. It is "retarded" and parallels far too closely the spiral track of 14 months ago. It should be showing progressive enlargement, but this is no longer evident. There are two possible explanations. One is that this Seven Year Wobble Cycle will be smaller than normal (which happens frequently). Another possible explanation is that the Wobble is merely showing us that significant drift in the average location of the center of the wobble has been and is still underway, such that the spiral center is now drifting towards the left bottom of the chart (down towards about Longitude West 70-80). This the Wobble has also done before. A third possibility is that both factors are in play. Stay tuned, the Wobble continues to be more dynamic than anyone previously imagined.
[1-28-08 ECB] POLAR MOTION: As reported January 27 in the "Pivot Point" Bulletin (see Yahoo Archives), the Earth was apparently at tectonic standstill on Saturday/Sunday (almost 0 seismic activity 4+, ultra-low activity in the range of 2.5-4)) while the Earth's tilted axis orientation (fixed on Polaris) began to recede from the orbital Perihelion point and thus begin the shift of the orientations of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres toward the Sun. Otherwise, no significant change from previous reports. The Spiral Track of Earth's Wobble continues to expand outward in a stable pattern. As can be expected (by looking at the history of the Wobble Track), the Earth's Wobble is currently receiving a boost of energy from the Earth's Perihelion moment with the Sun. Since the Earth is closer to the Sun at this moment, solar gravity is tugging in phase slightly more strongly on the heavy side of the Earth (the Southern Hemisphere). As a result the track of Polar Motion is now clearly showing a marked acceleration in the outward, expansionary movement of its spiral track. This is all normal. The Spin Axis is currently located in the longitude quadrant of the Russian Far East moving rapidly towards Alaska..
[11-12-07 ECB] WOBBLE TRACKER SOFTWARE IMPROVED. Davis Chapman graciously upgraded the WobbleTracker Software in a way which makes it easier to use and more analytically powerful for plotting exact date sequences. Anyone who has previously purchased WobbleTracker is eligible for an upgrade which I will email as a zip file.
NEW CHART RELEASE WHICH PROVES THAT POLAR MOTION PHASES REGULATE EL NINO (and probably the other climate oscillations in the Northern Atlantic and the Indian Oceans): To see the chart Click Here! Composed fresh for the revised edition of the Return of the Phoenix, a new expanded chart shows the track of Earth's Wobble up and down the Greenwich Meridian (called the X Axis of polar motion by geophysicists) for the period 1890-2006. For additional details go to Wobble Almanac. WORLD & REGIONAL WEATHER: Storm Fronts, Hurricanes, El Nino & La Nina, Drought & Fire, Global Warming
TEMPERATURE FORECAST - NORTH AMERICA
source: NOAA National
Weather Service Climate Prediction Center
SUMMARY ASSESSMENT
MAY'S EXTREMES IN CYCLONES (Myanmar) AND TORNADOES (N.A. Midwest & Plains) PLAINLY AND ABSOLUTELY ARE NOT A RESULT OF STIMULUS FROM THE SUN NOR NATURAL NOR HUMAN-CAUSED CONDITIONS IN THE ATMOSPHERE. This can only by Global Warming Syndrome, showing us what the new weather "normal" is becoming as the Earth's oceans continue to gradually warm.
[5-5-08 ECB] The killer, very early cyclone or hurricane in Myanmar is truly a shocking emergence of the Global Warming super-storm syndrome. More important than its category speed was its immense size, which showered Myanmar, Thailand, and South China with immense quantities of water. This tells us that the water is warmer than statistical usual in the North Indian Ocean and/or that the atmosphere flowing out of Eurasia is cooler than normal. Most likely both conditions are true, though NOAA's SST charts do not seem to show any anomalous warmth of significance in the Indian Ocean. This does not auger well for hurricane season in the Atlantic. Solar connection? Apparently not much. Solar activity was very slow at nearly its lowest MIN phase. There as a brief magnetic A Index surge to about 30 on April 24, but that probably was not very influential. So it was with the amazingly destructive tornadoes on North America the past week. Considering both on opposite sides of the Earth, there may be no clear mathematical definition of the causation but we are probably wisest to call this a part of the emerging Global Warming syndrome. Super storms are clearly on the way and this is already looking like a good year for a good crop of them. Neither La Nina, El Nino, nor other ocean oscillations are going to interfere with ocean climate regimes this year, insofar as it looks at the moment, neither is the Sun, which is still in a MIN phase of activity. Thus the result will be pretty much pure "Global Warming" syndrome. The 4-28-08 prediction below is still good.
[4-28-08 ECB] STILL ACTIVE AS OF MAY 12 AND ON TRACK: Conditions will become less predictable and probably somewhat more chaotic during the next several weeks, driven increasingly by a more active Sun.. Weather averages will be pushed slightly to the higher latitudes to reflect the Global Warming effect. The next stormy period should peak about May 10 or so and persist for about a week. This will be far surpassed by a major storm surge which will effect all continents during most of June, which will bring major rain storms and flooding in the areas which typically see floods during this time of year.
The Ocean Climate Regimes (relative to averages)
Overall, temperatures as of in the world ocean are more at parity with statistical average than almost ever seen.
LA NINA [5-12-08 ECB] La Nina is now virtually gone. Or, the cooler than normal Pacific surface temperature has drifted to the north and now crowds the coastal zone of North America from Baja to Alaska. This sets up North America for weather the next eight months similar to the previous two years.
NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION [5-12-08 ECB] Gone. . NORTH PACIFIC GYRE HOTSPOT [5-12-08 ECB] Building again and shifting location to spread from the western Pacific to the Gulf of Alaska. This will likely have a major impact on the Jet Stream.
EL NINO: Unclear status
[5-12-08 ECB] The Equatorial Pacific is not showing any consistent pattern or trend of overall anomalous warming (above average).
[5-5-08 ECB] PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT EL NINO: It will onset during the latter part of 2008 and MAY become one of the strongest of record during the Winter of 2009.. It also probably will be a longer than normal El Nino. This is based purely on the higher than ever tempo of earthquake and volcanic activity around the world during 2006 and 2007 and now most especially during April and May of 2008. The increased heat flux from the East Pacific Rift will eventually make its way to the surface and produce the typical El Nino hot Equator.
For More Information On Dynamics and Predictions Of The Ocean Climate Regimes & El Nino / La Nina: GO TO THE WEATHER/CLIMATE ALMANAC
GLOBAL WARMING SYNDROME: Far more probable than not, the first half of 2007 has brought a serious surge of heat through the Great Rifts in the bottom of the oceans. It is likely that this is still continuing and it may continue throughout 2008. The telling sign is the spurt of Great Rift quakes which come and go in waves. These all indicate movements which marine geologists are nearly certain indicate extensive magma dikes and lava flows in or very close to the Great Rift Valleys. This activity during the first half of 2007 likely will feed a new round of heat into the oceanic climate system during the next 36 months and thus over-all Global Warming will continue to surge upwards. This pattern, as of January 08, may still be underway. As of May 12, 2008, it is evident that this activity has accelerated during the first several months of 2008.
IMPORTANT NOTE AS OF MAY 5 2008: It is now apparent that the American continents, especially North America, has been moving the past few months more than it has for any similar length of time during many years. Related to this is probably the acceleration of activity at the two antipodes of the East Pacific portion of the Great Rift. On nearly mirror opposite sides of the main directions of spread from the East Pacific Rift, namely the Aleutians and the southern tip of South America (which collide head on with the moving ocean bottom plates), tectonic activity also has been elevated the past few months. This has taken the form of both earthquakes (subduction thrusts) and volcanism (squeeze on the mantle). This has been most recently shown by the major eruption of a long dormant volcano in southern Chile This doubtless is an indicator of increased spreading in the East Pacific Rift and thus increased magma rise and heat flow into the bottom of the ocean. Similar increases in Class 4 quake activity during recent months in the Arctic along the Siberian portion of the Great Rift and most recently along the northern edge of Canada, suggest increased rifting of the Arctic portion of the Great Rift . As in the East Pacific, this will probably result in increased heat flow into the Arctic Ocean. Both increases with accelerate the trend lines of Global Warming and result in the greatest melt of Arctic Ice yet recorded this Summer. The heat flow in the East Pacific may also produce a record-breaking El Nino.
The increased heat energy in the climate system along the broad middle of the Earth ( from the tropics which supplies the juice which powers the air conditioner of your weather) is causing the flow of air more rapidly in greater volumes into the north and south out of the Equatorial zone. Warm air travels further to the North (or South) and pushes increased cold air to flow out of the polar zones (your cooling coils). The more Global Warming, the more intense and stormy will be both Winter and Summer, the Winter cooler, the Summer hotter, with more power in all storms. The primary consistent barometer of all of this: the melting of the Arctic Ice.
SOURCE: NOAA The key to dynamic change is the bottom graph which displays the "out of average" readings. This allows us to quickly spot the extremes which are forming up in the various oceanic climate regimes. It is a lot cheaper and easier than using supercomputers.
Seasonal Color Map Graphs - Predict Rain and Temperatures For North America For The Year Ahead – Science Is Finally Catching Up With Farmer’s Almanac. Go here to get updated on the likely rain and temperature forecast. This one currently on the web is essentially based on a La Nina forecast.
HURRICANES
[4-7-08] NEW HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2008 BY WILLIAM GRAY. Gray's predictions call for an increase over 2007, 13 named storms in the Atlantic up from 9 in 2007. It might be a little early in the Solar Cycle for this many storms. Definitely, however, magnitudes will be higher for some of the storms. I will supplement Gray's predictions after I study the planetary alignments for the remainder of 2008.
FORT COLLINS, Colo. (AP) -
Hurricane forecaster William Gray called Friday for seven Atlantic
hurricanes, three of them major, during the 2008 season.
GEOTECTONIC ACTIVITY: Volcanoes, Shape Shifting, Earthquakes Links to: ALMANAC | GEOTECTONIC GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR
EARTHQUAKE TRENDS & THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH Links to: ALMANAC | QUAKE GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR
Click here to
see the
latest graphs of the
Global Quake Trend
EARTHQUAKES CURRENT:
KNOCK YOUR SOCKS OFF INTERESTING PATTERNS OF SEISMIC ACTIVITY. I AM VERY SORRY TO SEE SO MANY PEOPLE IN CHINA BEAR THE BRUNT OF IT.
BE SURE TO CLICK UP TO THE FULL SIZE OF THE CHARTS TO SEE THE PATTERNS DISCUSSED BELOW.
[5-12-08 ECB] Earthquake activity Class 4+ at the current time is running berserkly above average in frequency and magnitude. Two Major Quakes stuck in Japanese water last week, attended by a swarm of Class 4+ precursor and aftershocks. Yesterday at least one Class 6 quake and a guestimated 7.9 quake have struck in China's high plateau province of Sichuan, accompanied by dozens of Class 4 and Class 5 quakes. At this moment, as is often the case when the Earth ruptures in a Great Quake, nearly the entire world's seismic events in Class 4+ are occurring in China. There are two exceptions, both of real interest.
One is a Class 4 quake at or near Kodiak Island in Alaska, which is also receiving exceptional stress from the same northwest trending Pacific Ocean plate which is stressing East Asia.
The other exception is a Class 4 quake in the North Atlantic Great Rift. This may be an important signal of more stress and tectonic motion building shape-shifting waves for another round of Major or Great Quakes in the Pacific Rim. During late April and early May, many Class 4 quakes struck in the Atlantic Rifts. These were followed by an increase in subduction quakes in North America and a build up of Class 4+ frequency in the Western Pacific subduction zones, especially around Australia. Then suddenly Class 4 quakes struck widely through the east-west belt of lower Eurasia from the Aegean Sea through the Himalayas through China to Taiwan. Then suddenly, the high plateau faults in Sichuan suddenly gave way in a long continental shape adjustment which was felt as far away as Pakistan and Peking.
Is another round of rifting now commencing? If so, more Class 4 quakes will be recorded in the Atlantic and East Pacific Rise during the coming two weeks or so. Will these be followed by another round of Eurasian/Japan/Alaskan quakes? If so, we will confirm a profound pattern of whole Earth shape-shifting and the nature of geophysics will suddenly pivot to enter new intellectual water. Timing? Doubtless the Full Moon coming or the following New Moon (plus or minus a few days each). Stay tuned. This may make scientific history.
TEXT OF ARTICLE MAY 12 FROM THE ECB:
BULLETIN ITEM: Eurasia Cracking
At Sichuan China - 7.8 Quake followed by strong Class 5+ Aftershocks Every
30 Minutes Or Less This may change at any moment because of the New Moon Perigee we are now in and the rapid movement of the Moon to its extreme northern declination which will be at about 27 degrees on May 7/8. If North America is due for a real popper, the time frame is between then and now.
May 12, 2008, IRIS Chart Class 4+
CLICK ON IMAGES FOR EXPANDED VIEW; red indicates quakes 4+ during the previous 24 hours, orange during previous day, yellow during the previous two weeks, violet during the past 15 years
Best to go here below and click for the latest dynamic page with explanations of the symbols and large displays of regions of the Earth (these are "at the moment" charts): http://www.iris.edu/seismon/ Last
Seven Days - for earthquakes worldwide magnitude 4.0 plus and
May 5, 2008, IRIS Chart Class 4+
CLICK ON IMAGES FOR EXPANDED VIEW; red indicates quakes 4+ during the previous 24 hours, orange during previous day, yellow during the previous two weeks, violet during the past 15 years
TEXT FOR MAY 5, 2008 Keep in mind that the red rings show the last 24 hours of quake activity Class 4+. You can obviously quickly observe that most quake activity has shifted during the past 24 hours to Asia and the Western Pacific. You can also notice in this chart that during the past 14 days there have been several Class 4+ quakes in the centers of Eurasia and North America, which are almost certainly compression fault zone quakes, and a string of quakes through the Mid Atlantic ranging from the south end (Sandwich Islands) up to Greenland and the Canadian Arctic North. If you allow your eye to follow the magenta/purple dots along the top left side, you can see also the Mid Atlantic Rift continue into the Arctic. The magenta dots represent world quake activity for the past five years but some of those in the Arctic cutting vertically through the East Pacific and intersecting with the heavy quake zone of southern Mexico.
The East Pacific Rift is known to be separating at a faster rate than any other zone but generally the rifting produces only small quakes, under Class 3. Thus they do not show up on anyone's charts because no one is paying any attention to such small quakes. The same is true of all of the Great Rift, but the Atlantic portion also produces many more Class 4+ quakes during the course of any given year than the other zones. No one seems to know why.
As analyzed in a separate archive post, the high numbers of Class 5+ quakes in the southern tip of South America and in the Aleutians/Alaska tectonic collision zones suggests that the Pacific Ocean Bottom plates are rifting apart at a more rapid rate to the northwest and to the southeast at a higher rate, causing shape-shifting compression waves to break the subduction fault zones in the Aleutians and at the tip of South America. Since the Atlantic Great Rift has been and is fairly active as well, I think perhaps more active than previously (this is difficult to determine exactly without a lot of additional statistical work), it may be that these quakes demonstrate an acceleration of the motion of North America, the Carib Plate, South America, and Eurasia all pushing into the Pacific from three sides, along with Australia, while the Pacific Plate itself is also rifting apart and thrusting against these continental plates at a faster clip. Only Africa and Antarctica seem to be left at about the same level of activity.
Keep in mind that Kilauea , which is probably THE most important important harbinger of world tectonic activity, commenced oozing lava at record-breaking rates several weeks ago along with a substantial flare of volcanic gases. This lava flow and eruptive activity has recently increased from a nearly continuous eruption that is now nearly 30 years old. THIS IS NOW A GEOLOGICAL "CLASSIC" AND IT IS PHENOMENON WORTH SERIOUS RESEARCH. I should also mention that the activity of this volcano, like no other, mirrors the earth changes prophecy of Edgar Cayce like nothing else on Earth. Underline this statement in your mind. Kilauea may be our single most important herald of the changes in the Earth.
Consider also here the eruption this past several days of Chaiten, dormant for 2000 years in southern Chile, in a major explosive eruption which sent ash debris up 20 kilometers. It also spawned many tremors through southern Chile.
This followed a major eruption of Llaima in January/February this year (it is still on the active list). It is also in southern Chile. Chile, it should be known as some 500 volcanic cones and craters and all could be active at any time. Only Indonesia has more.
We can see from these points of intersection what we can clearly discern from the flow of events that an acceleration of tectonic events in the Earth is underway. We also can see that we can directly connect "the dots" in accordance with basic "knowns" in geology and see that we are looking at a unified field of actions and reactions, not random events.
All this activity may herald larger quakes and volcanic eruptions to come in many areas.
Accordingly, let me augment the warnings which have been made during the past few weeks by academic and government scientists. Academic Earth Scientists rarely put their necks out on the table but they can see that Earth activity does in fact rise and fall in major spurts. They are simply warning that it may rise some more. The question is always, is this it or will the spike rise higher. This is a very difficult question to answer, impossible without recognition of the Cosmic Frame and the correlations with the lunar cycles. But even with the Cosmic Frame in mind, the question is still very hard to answer on a consistent basis. Probably only signals read directly out of the ground will provide the basis for making really good predictions.
Having said this as my disclaimer, let me go out on the lunar synchronicity limb. The syzygies of the lunar cycles are most in phase during November and December of this year. This current surge of activity will increase off and on for the next 45 days, then fall off until October and then begin to surge again during the end of the year. This current surge is a part of a broader wobble-connected surge and it will be most intense during the ending months of 2008.
To get this better in mind, take a look at this giant IRIS full screen chart. Pretty impressive I would say!
The Nodes of Turn For The Avalanche Of The Crust
In the giant chat, focus on three points. One is Kilauea, the magenta dot in the middle of the North Pacific. I believe it is nearly dead on the Line of Fall of the predicted avalanche of the crust. How to explain it? Does this work: the hydraulic pressure in mounting in the mantle.
Look at the spiraling arms of quake activity in the West Pacific to the north of Australia. I believe that close to the point of their intersection is one of the nodes of turn of the slowly emerging avalanche. Visualize the crust of the Earth turning and rolling in a circle centered on this axis point.
Go 180 degrees along the equator to find the other node of turn and we find the intersection of the Carib, Pacific, and Latin Plates, with a couple of other plate fragments as well. Doubtless, the crust of the Earth is breaking up most rapidly in these two zones with the exception of the area around Japan .
I believe that the spiral arms of activity to the north of Australia are by far the most important tip to the nodes of turn. Already this Western Pacific node is producing a counter-clockwise twist in the stress vectors of the Earth, which makes all known tectonic motion vectors in the South Pacific and Western Pacific harmonize together. Many geologic mysteries can be resolved but this is not the place to attempt it.
I am greatly thankful to the IRIS charting project. They put together enough data in a visual form to allow one to see the obvious dynamic of motion in the crust. It is the beginning of what can become a very powerful tool.
As it is they have given me an ability to see how the parallels of current activity confirm the main aspects of my original avalanche scenario which was made in 1999. We can see that the acceleration of Earth's activity is falling fairly close to the vectors of the original projection. Accordingly, much of the predictions in the scenario about the areas of damage are still very good guestimates, now buttressed by the vectors of motion we can actually see in the Earth.
FROM LAST WEEK
This "snapshot" may be important for many reasons, not the least of which it may demonstrate the basic effects of axis-shifting which Cayce described some 70 years ago. Paraphrasing fairly closely, Cayce said that "upheavals in the frigid zones make for volcanic eruptions in the torrid zones" (find source by googling the key terms). On the basis of this snapshot in time, let us now test the statement during the next 30 days (a full lunar cycle) and see if volcanic activity does indeed increase.
Ah hem...well, Chaiten in Chile could be counted at a literal upheaval in the southern frigid zone. But still no torrid zone eruptions worth talking about.
For further discussion, see last week's Update
CONCERNING DATABASE FILES
OF QUAKE CATALOGS:
SHAPESHIFTING: ACTIVITY LAST YEAR WAS VERY HIGH. Shape-shifter
quakes indicate the spreading of the Rift Valley, the creation of new crust
through magma dikes which fills in the cracks of the Great Rift, and hence
the inevitable forcing of the Earth’s crust to change its shape to adjust for
the new crust. Most subduction zone
quakes (such as in the Pacific Rim of Fire) probably occur as a consequence of
the shape-shifting of the Earth.
M 5+ earthquakes, past 7 days
RSS 2.0
CAP
Other Datafeeds On Quakes: http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/catalogs/
TECTONIC MOTION QUAKE FORECAST: Occasionally the chart information is supplemented with data from Earth Sensitives, who include some humans and animals. For Earth Sensitive information, go to PamWiseman.com For other Syzygy-type forecasts and a portal to other valuable approaches, see Syzygyjob.com
THIS PREDICTION HAS BEEN FULFILLED AND IS STILL VALIDLY ON TRACK [5-5-08] The next 45 days is likely to a greater likelihood of major quakes. Danger zones will reappear in May and June Full or New Moon periods, and again in November and December. The other months of the year will not be highly stressful syzygies and they are less likely to produce large and/or numerous quakes.
[5-12-08] Given the fact that there has been a clear acceleration in tectonic activity this past 45 days, it is very difficult to predict what is going to happen with this latest round of tectonic flux. According to syzygy principles, activity should now be declining and continue to abate during the next several days, only to climb again in a new surge during the Full Moon on May 20, plus or minus two or three days.
Links to: ALMANAC | VOLCANO GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR
Krakatau In
Vigorous Eruption November, 2007
Did volcanism correlate with the sudden surge of activity in Eurasia on Sunday? While Class 4+ quakes were sprouting all through the long Himalayan compression belt, two "heralds" or signals of increased tectonic motion in Eursia sang loudly on Saturday. One was mighty Etna, who is with Kilauea virtually unparalled as a signal flare of activity in the Earth's crust. Another was Karymsky on Kamchatka Peninsula north of Japan, where Eurasia collides head on with the vast Pacific ocean plate. You can ccess their records from John Seach's material below.
For Some New Volcano Reports
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