Cosmic Watch

Monitoring The Changes In The Earth

May 12, 2008

Galaxy - Solar Activity - Solar Cycle 24  Magnetic Field - Auroras
Planets - Moon Orbital Cycles - Asteroids -
Meteors & Comets

Lunar Ephemeris Chart




The Changes In
Our Sacred Body
Without these things we die, thus these things compose our true body.

Galaxy - Solar Activity - Planets - Moon - Asteroids - Meteors & Comets





Have not started this watch yet....probably not until this summer

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar Storms, Sunspots, Ionic Wind, Magnetic Disturbances


STANDING PREDICTION FOR SOLAR CYCLE 24:  Solar Cycle 24 has begun (as of January 2008) and may produce the most active sun of recorded history.  Its activity will peak during 2011-2014.  As solar activity gradually increases, both environmental dynamics and human behavior and emotionalism will shift into a more rapid flux of activity and reactivity.  Solar Cycle 23 engendered deep, bitter polarizations in the world, especially in Palestine, the Middle East, and vis a vis the United States, both internationally and domestically.  Rather than resolve divisions and conflict, humans accentuated them during this last Solar Cycle.  Accordingly, during the coming cycle human reactivity and tendency to fear and violence will become greater and could easily match the "historical record-breaking" which the Sun's activity is likely to produce with Sunspots, Storms, Flares, and Ionic Wind Gusts. 


Under this growing pressure, both the terrestrial environment and human societies will be subject to immense dynamic flux which will alter both the greater expanse of the Earth as well as the nations and the affairs of humans. Global Warming will accelerate more rapidly, mass migrations will become more frequent, more agriculture and oceanic food sources will fail, more nations will collapse (as in Africa), and the general level of violence will increase in many areas.


The exceptionally strong internal polarization in the U.S. against the Cabal of banksters and their oil-soaked Junta, and as well the antagonistic international polarization against the U.S., likely will be resolved by  acceleration of a chronic "half-collapse" of the current economic and political system in the U.S. This period will be marked by paralysis of politics and a chaotic period of increased repression and rebellion which gradually destroys the power of Federal agencies which have usurped far too much illegal (unconstitutional) power.


Likely the period will also spawn many concerted efforts to change major aspects of the constitution of the U.S. and the structure of its government.  In the short term, increased international militarism may be attempted by the intellectually and morally bankrupt Zionazi puppetmasters who manipulate and strongly influence nearly all institutions in the U.S. East Coast.  These attempts may be and probably will be made in various guises regardless of which political party "wins" the November 08 national U.S. elections. 


For additional information on the influence of Sunspots and Solar Activity Cycles, go to the Earth Changes Solar Gallery.  (this link not active yet).


Visible Sun Of May 12, 2008:  Credit: SOHO/MDI

[5-12-08 ECB]  The Sunspot Count was zip all week and the Flux was 67 until rising to 68 on May 11, which is about as low as it ever gets.  There are no coronal holes, no solar wind, and no disturbances in the atmosphere.  Despite the torpor, another major prominence was seen. The Planetary A Magnetic Index (upper atmosphere field strength) is stable at about 5. Any disturbances in the next week are likely to be at  at low levels.  The planetary alignments of May 11 have already lost their influence (they lost it a week ago) and it will take at least another two to three weeks to build Solar Flux for the next alignment of Mercury and Earth on June 6 or so.  See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast. 


[5-12-08 ECB]  NASA reports no Sunspot on the far side of the Sun.   Not that this pix indicates they are right up to date....
[Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI] 


[4-7-08 ECB]  Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments:   In general during the first half of the year, sunspot peaks should be about on par with most of 2007.  Solar Cycle 24 has begun, but its initial birthing activity will look like the dying days of Solar Cycle 23.  Thus activity for the most part will not be very consequential.  But during the second half of the year, Solar Activity should noticeably accelerate as a result of planetary stimulation.  Watch out in June.  We may get heavy rains and floods during the last three weeks of June with a major surge of Solar Activity brought by a meeting of Jupiter and Mercury with Earth captive in their train. [5-12-08 ECB]  Accordingly, is likely that the next several weeks will see a less energetic Sun than in March and conditions will coast moderately into June to produce a more much normal  late Spring.  Watch for June 6, when Mercury | Earth with Mars still closely aligned with Saturn.  This double header likely will spritz up considerable Solar Activity about the beginning of June and this activity may be on par or even more energetic than March's surge of 67 Sunspots.  The middle of June should easily exceed March in overall storminess and the weather may not "normalize" until July.


A VERY SUCCESSFUL PREDICTION: (THIS ONE WAS MADE DURING LATE FEBRUARY/EARLY MARCH):  As predicted during the last few weeks, Sunspot Activity has increased for the rapidly forming Mercury | Jupiter alignment.  This peak may fall again until about March 28 when the Count is likely to rise again for the April 3-5 alignment of Mercury and Venus.  [3-24-2008 ADDENDUM] Originally predicted:  By far the strongest peak should be for Mercury | Venus, which means that stormy weather on Earth should once again pick up energy from the ionic input.  A rise in activity has already begun for this coupling between the two inner planets.  It now looks like this will produce an energetic peak in Sunspots, they could rise into the count range of 30-50 and if so they will probably have a dramatic impact on the weather during the following week.



The Sun is at minimum levels of activity - it is at its lowest ebb since 1997.  Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes.


MAY'S EXTREMES IN CYCLONES (Myanmar) AND TORNADOES (N.A. Midwest & Plains) PLAINLY AND ABSOLUTELY IS NOT A RESULT OF STIMULUS FROM THE SUN NOR NATURAL NOR HUMAN-CAUSED CONDITIONS IN THE ATMOSPHERE.  This can only by Global Warming Syndrome, showing us what the new weather "normal" is becoming as the Earth's oceans continue to gradually warm.


Alvestad Solar Activity  Graph As Of May 11, 2008

click on this graph to view it in full size

graph courtesy Jan Alvestad
Latest Graph:
Daily Sunspot Numbers Are ISSN:

Sunspot Count Chart:  In this chart above the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).

Click here for NOAA Sunspot Table For Past 30 Days

Pix of coronal holes[5-12-08 ECB] NASA reports no coronal holes in the Sun's atmosphere.  NASA predicts a 1%  probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours. NASA  predicts there is a 5% to 250% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours. Pix Credit: NOAA


[2-4-08 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:    Solar Cycle 23 never gave us a  a full 30 days of 0 Sunspots but the data compiled below by Alvestad makes it fairly clear that October was the MIN month and Solar Cycle 24 began, as we pointed out here, more or less in November 2007.  (This would be according to a traditional statistical method of determining the transition point.  A newer magnetic polarity model is now being used as well and this method points toward January 2008 as the first month of Cycle 24).

Month Average solar
flux at Earth
sunspot number
Smoothed sunspot number
2007.09 67.1 2.4 (6.7 predicted, +0.0)
2007.10 67.4 0.9 (7.2 predicted, +0.5)
2007.11 69.6 1.7 (7.8 predicted, +0.6)
2007.12 78.5 10.1 (8.1 predicted, +0.3)
2008.01 74.3 3.4 (7.6 predicted, +0.5)
2008.02 71.1 2.1 (7.9 predicted, +0.5)
2008.03 72.9 9.3 (9.4 predicted, +0.5)
2008.04 70.2  2.9

(7.8 predicted, +1.4)



[5-5-08 ECB] Take a good look at the last three lines in this chart. You will notice that in March solar activity began to surge up (from 2.1 to 9.3 average Sunspot Number).  Then is April the surge dropped the Sunspot Number way down.  It fell far below the predicted number and suggests a much slower start to Sunspot Cycle 24 NASA scientists are predicting. What makes the difference in these three lines.  Planetary Alignments were more numerous and involved more of the inner planets during March.  So it will be in May and June. 


For current, critical information about the past few cycles and Sunspot Cycle 24, click here.  NASA MORE OR LESS AGREES THAT SOLAR CYCLE 24 HAS BEGUN:   For more details, go to Almanac:  Cycles of the Sun

As Shown By Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska )

[5-12-08 ECB]  Fluxgate Monitor shows very little disturbance and conditions most likely will remain quite mild for another few weeks.  Expect to see much more disturbance about the beginning of June than has been seen so far in this graph for the past five months.  (Always keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur and produce intense magnetic storms in the atmosphere.)








The Planets of the Horos Sun
(in the Fourth Age of Human Memory)


PLANETARY ACTIVITY: Skywatching, Planet Alignments, Moon, Asteroids

 The Inner Four Planets set inside the ring of the asteroid belt and the orbit of Jupiter. Each point of light is an actual representation of a planet, asteroid, or comet (plus the Sun of course), set within a true scale of distance as of April 1.   The positions of all numbered asteroids and all numbered comets in JPL's small-body database are shown (as of April 1, 2007 ).  Asteroids are yellow dots, comets are the pale blurry smudges.  We are looking down on the Solar System, overlooking the "North Pole" of the Earth.  As can be seen, our Solar System is a pretty busy place.


Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
Inner Solar System Orbit Diagrams


NIGHT SKY FOR May 12, 2008 from Hopiland:  Click for full screen sky map



IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory


If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this.  It is centered for 4 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings- 9 pm Monday evening) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land.  This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL).  It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it.  With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world).  Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay).  Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart.  Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.




[5-12-2008] Arcturus, the Sun of our Sun, is now coming into view in the eastern half of the sky, nearly to the ascendent (directly overhead) in approximately the zodiac belt.  See if you can find it using the sky chart above.  It is a vividly bright star.  You can also easily identity Saturn tonight.  The waxing Moon will be nearly dead on it. Just look for the brightest point of light near the Moon and that will probably be it.


[5-5-2008] At Sunset, catch a view of Mercury.  It is a tiny but bright point of light in the western sky at sunset.  NASA claims:  "the innermost planet is  putting on its best show of 2008".  Here is a spectacular pix from Tenerife. 






For a listing of all planetary alignments and charts for 2008, click onto the 2008 Alignment  Almanac.  Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment.



May 11, 2008 - Mercury |  Mars | Saturn

The last significant alignment of planets in 2008 was Mercury | Mars, assisted by Saturn on or about May 11. Already Mercury is moving rapidly out of alignment with these planets, moving rapidly towards Earth.   This alignment was on the same side of the Sun as Earth and brought in a minor Sunspot Peak of about a dozen sunspots on about May 3/4. 


June 6, 2008 - Mercury |  Earth
(accompanied by Mars | Saturn)

This alignment should give give us quite an upsurge in stormy weather from the Sun's atmosphere to the Earth's atmosphere. Expect then that massive oceanic storm surges will begin to roll in about this time and persist for a least a week until perhaps the Summer Solstice. This may be just the beginning of the ride.  On June 17, mighty Jupiter confers with Mercury.


June 17, 2008 - Mercury |  Earth | Jupiter

Wow.  Expect the massive oceanic storm surges which began to roll in at the end of the first week in June to persist through most of June.  RAIN AND FLOODS IN ALL THE USUAL PLACES for this time of year.  Oh well, this should keep the grass green until late in July.




To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs below by clicking on their titles. Use these graphs which are drawn by MWM from JPL Ephemeris table data to find PERIGEE, DECLINATION, AND PHASE (NEW OR FULL MOON).  Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words.  Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.


The Giant Plot allows you to see the exact dates (UTC). 

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)

For a more traditional text table of the Lunar Schedule, go to the Almanac

Declination (Dragon Cycle) and Distance (Perigee Cycle) define the strongest and most extreme moments of Lunar influence on the Earth. Distances of less than 365,000 KM indicate Perigees with the Lunar gravity field considerably stronger than average.  Declinations of 27 or 28 indicate an extreme position of the Moon over the Northern (+) or Southern Hemisphere (-). A high declination with a low distance for Perigee exerts significantly greater torque on the Earth in zones which do not usually receive so much. The "timing" of these "moments" creates "windows" of exceptional syzygy.  These relationships are best viewed in graph form.


THIS PREDICTION CAME TRUE IN SPADES: [5-5-08 ECB]  The lunar cycles are now moving into closer synchronicity for May and June. Accordingly, lunar influence on the tectonic plates should now begin to increase quake and volcanic activity and produce larger spikes in frequency and magnitude, beginning approximately next week. 


[5-12-08 ECB] The Moon is  waxing rapidly and is already nearly halfway to Full which it will reach on May 20.  Its orbit is at close to the average distance but it is still fairly far to the North, in the range of 25 degrees north of the Equator.  It will approach its Extreme Southern Declination on May 21,  just one day after Full.   Expect a stronger surge in tectonic motion for a few days between May 18 and May 24 but keep in mind that the Moon will be in Apogee during this time, its furthest point from the Earth.  Thus its influence should be slightly less than during the previous Full Moon phase.  There will be another similar weak synchronization in June of 2008, then strong dis-synchronization until November 2008. November will begin a new round of synchronized Lunar cycles, with December producing the strongest synchronization of the year in a near perfect alignment with the Earth's Perihelion, during both the New Moon (Dec. 27/28) and Full Moon (Dec. 13). These then are likely months of the greatest quake events and these are likely to exceed the tectonic activity of April/ May/June.  


[4-28-08 ECB]  STANDING SYZYGY ANALYSIS FOR THE YEAR.  There will be a weak synchronization in May and June of 2008, then strong dis-synchronization until November 2008. November will begin a new round of synchronized Lunar cycles, with December producing the strongest synchronization of the year in a near perfect alignment with the Earth's Perihelion, during both the New Moon (Dec. 27/28) and Full Moon (Dec. 13). These then are likely months of the greatest quake events.


[5-12-08 ECB] THIS PREDICTION MADE IN PREVIOUS WEEKS IS LIKELY NOW WRONG INSOFAR AS MAJOR AND GREAT QUAKES GO: "for the most part 2008 is likely to be a "middling year" for seismic activity, perhaps even slightly diminished from 2006/2007 levels." This may be still true for the total number of Class 4 and Class 5 quakes. 


True Equator and Equinox of Date For 2008



Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time. See


On May 12, 2008 there were 952 potentially hazardous asteroids.

April-May 2008 Earth-asteroid encounters:

Miss Distance
2008 FH5
Apr. 2
7.6 LD
17 m
2001 QO142
Apr. 6
34 LD
685 m
2008 GF1
Apr. 7
0.8 LD
10 m
2005 BE2
Apr. 10
62 LD
1.0 km
2005 NB7
Apr. 17
16 LD
705 m
2008 FU6
Apr. 22
62 LD
1.4 km
2005 TB
Apr. 28
47 LD
1.3 km
2008 HJ
Apr. 29
2.8 LD
34 m
2001 DQ8
Apr. 30
74 LD
1.1 km
2008 HG
May 12
17 LD
90 m
2008 DE
May 9
17 LD
550 m
2008 HR3
May 11
3.1 LD
50 m
2008 HW1

May 14

72 LD
1.4 km

Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.


NASA REPORTS: "ETA AQUARID METEORS: If you see a meteor flit across the sky tonight, it's probably a piece of Halley's Comet. Earth is crossing through a stream of dusty debris from Halley and this is causing the annual eta Aquarid meteor shower. Sky watchers in the tropics and southern hemisphere (where the shower is most intense) could see as many as 70 meteors per hour during the dark hours before dawn on Monday, May 12th, and Tuesday, May 6th. Sky maps: north, south"