EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN Weekly Update

Cosmic Watch

Monitoring The Changes In The Earth

April 7, 2008

Galaxy - Solar Activity - Solar Cycle 24  Magnetic Field - Auroras
Planets - Moon Orbital Cycles - Asteroids -
Meteors & Comets

Lunar Ephemeris Chart

.

 

COSMIC WATCH

The Changes In
Our Sacred Body
Without these things we die, thus these things compose our true body.

Galaxy - Solar Activity - Planets - Moon - Asteroids - Meteors & Comets

 
 

 

GALACTIC PHENOMENON: Coming soon

Links to:  ALMANAC | GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR

Have not started this watch yet....probably not until this summer

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar Storms, Sunspots, Ionic Wind, Magnetic Disturbances

Links to:  ALMANAC | SOLAR GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR


STANDING PREDICTION FOR SOLAR CYCLE 24:  Solar Cycle 24 has begun (as of January 2008) and may produce the most active sun of recorded history.  Its activity will peak during 2011-2014.  As solar activity gradually increases, both environmental dynamics and human behavior and emotionalism will shift into a more rapid flux of activity and reactivity.  Solar Cycle 23 engendered deep, bitter polarizations in the world, especially in Palestine, the Middle East, and vis a vis the United States, both internationally and domestically.  Rather than resolve divisions and conflict, humans accentuated them during this last Solar Cycle.  Accordingly, during the coming cycle human reactivity and tendency to fear and violence will become greater and could easily match the "historical record-breaking" which the Sun's activity is likely to produce with Sunspots, Storms, Flares, and Ionic Wind Gusts. 

 

Under this growing pressure, both the terrestrial environment and human societies will be subject to immense dynamic flux which will alter both the greater expanse of the Earth as well as the nations and the affairs of humans. Global Warming will accelerate more rapidly, mass migrations will become more frequent, more agriculture and oceanic food sources will fail, more nations will collapse (as in Africa), and the general level of violence will increase in many areas.

 

The exceptionally strong internal polarization in the U.S. against the Cabal of banksters and their oil-soaked Junta, and as well the antagonistic international polarization against the U.S., likely will be resolved by  acceleration of a chronic "half-collapse" of the current economic and political system in the U.S. This period will be marked by paralysis of politics and a chaotic period of increased repression and rebellion which gradually destroys the power of Federal agencies which have usurped far too much illegal (unconstitutional) power.

 

Likely the period will also spawn many concerted efforts to change major aspects of the constitution of the U.S. and the structure of its government.  In the short term, increased international militarism may be attempted by the intellectually and morally bankrupt Zionazi puppetmasters who manipulate and strongly influence nearly all institutions in the U.S. East Coast.  These attempts may be and probably will be made in various guises regardless of which political party "wins" the November 08 national U.S. elections. 

 

For additional information on the influence of Sunspots and Solar Activity Cycles, go to the Earth Changes Solar Gallery.  (this link not active yet).

 

Visible Sun Of April 7, 2008:  Credit: SOHO/MDI

[4-7-08 ECB]  The Sunspot Count fell to zero about four days ago after a week-long surge which peaked at 63 preceded a few days prior with a Flux of 89.  On April 6 the Flux was still falling at 71 with no Sunspots. The Sun is somewhat spritzy, however, with a coronal hole sending an intensified solar wind and magnetic storms into the Earth's atmosphere.  The Planetary A Magnetic Index (upper atmosphere field strength) rose a few days ago to 21 and then fell back to its low average below 5 yesterday.  More stormy solar weather is possible at any time.  Since the planetary alignments of Mercury , Venus, and Uranus are now still very strong, sudden activity on the Sun could emerge for another week or so. But after next week, April's solar activity should remain low until just after the beginning of May to great the planetary alignments on May 11..  See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast. 

 

[4-7-08 ECB]  NASA reports at least one probable Sunspot on the far side of the Sun.
[Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI] 

 

[4-7-08 ECB]  Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments:   In general during the first half of the year, sunspot peaks should be about on par with most of 2007.  Solar Cycle 24 has begun, but its initial birthing activity will look like the dying days of Solar Cycle 23.  Thus activity for the most part will not be very consequential.  But during the second half of the year, Solar Activity should noticeably accelerate as a result of planetary stimulation.  Watch out in June.  We may get heavy rains and floods during the last three weeks of June with a major surge of Solar Activity brought by a meeting of Jupiter and Mercury with Earth captive in their train.   IMPORTANT NOTE AS OF APRIL 2008 - The increase in the average monthly ISSN in March from 2.1 Sunspots to 9.3 was a pretty vigorous upsurge from the Solar MIN.  Appearances at the moment are consistent with a more energetic Sunspot MAX during Solar Cycle 24.  However, the next round of planetary alignments in May will not be as strong as the current one.  Accordingly, is likely that the next several weeks will see a less energetic Sun and conditions will coast moderately into June to produce a more much normal  late Spring.  Watch for June 6, when Mercury | Earth with Mars still closely aligned with Saturn.  This double header likely will spritz up considerable Solar Activity about the beginning of June and this activity may be on par or even more energetic than this most recent surge of 67 Sunspots.  The middle of June should easily exceed March in overall storminess and the weather may not "normalize" until July.

 

A VERY SUCCESSFUL PREDICTION: (THIS ONE WAS MADE DURING LATE FEBRUARY/EARLY MARCH):  As predicted last few weeks, Sunspot Activity has increased for the rapidly forming Mercury | Jupiter alignment.  This peak may fall again until about March 28 when the Count is likely to rise again for the April 3-5 alignment of Mercury and Venus.  [3-24-2008 ADDENDUM] Originally predicted:  By far the strongest peak should be for Mercury | Venus, which means that stormy weather on Earth should once again pick up energy from the ionic input.  A rise in activity has already begun for this coupling between the two inner planets.  It now looks like this will produce an energetic peak in Sunspots, they could rise into the count range of 30-50 and if so they will probably have a dramatic impact on the weather during the following week.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE WHICH MOST PEOPLE STILL ARE NOT GETTING:

The Sun is at minimum levels of activity.  Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes.

 

graph courtesy Jan Alvestad http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Latest Graph: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/images/solar.gif
Daily Sunspot Numbers Are ISSN: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt

Sunspot Count Chart:  In this chart above the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).

Click here for NOAA Sunspot Table For Past 30 Days

Pix of coronal holes[4-7-08 ECB] NASA reports that the Earth is being buffeted by solar wind currents flowing from the the indicated coronal holes in the Sun's atmosphere.  This condition should persist for about ten days.  NASA predicts a 1%  probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours. NASA  predicts there is a 5% to 40% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours. Pix Credit: NOAA

 

[2-4-08 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:    Solar Cycle 23 never gave us a  a full 30 days of 0 Sunspots but the data compiled below by Alvestad makes it fairly clear that October was the MIN month and Solar Cycle 24 began, as we pointed out here, more or less in November 2007.  (This would be according to a traditional statistical method of determining the transition point.  A newer magnetic polarity model is now being used as well and this method points toward January 2008 as the first month of Cycle 24).

Month Average solar
flux at Earth
International
sunspot number
Smoothed sunspot number
2007.09 67.1 2.4 (6.7 predicted, +0.0)
2007.10 67.4 0.9 (7.2 predicted, +0.5)
2007.11 69.6 1.7 (7.8 predicted, +0.6)
2007.12 78.5 10.1 (8.1 predicted, +0.3)
2008.01 74.3 3.4 (7.6 predicted, +0.5)
2008.02 71.1 2.1 (7.9 predicted, +0.5)
2008.03 72.9 9.3 (9.4 predicted, +0.5)
       

source: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

 

For current, critical information about the past few cycles and Sunspot Cycle 24, click here.  NASA MORE OR LESS AGREES THAT SOLAR CYCLE 24 HAS BEGUN:   For more details, go to Almanac:  Cycles of the Sun

MAGNETIC DISTURBANCES
(
As Shown By Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska )

[4-7-08 ECB]  Fluxgate Monitor shows  many minor fluctuations which have increased the potential for auroras somewhat.  This is likely to upsurge again off and on but gradually diminishing through the next three weeks. (Always keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur and produce intense magnetic storms in the atmosphere.)

CLICK ON GRAPH FOR EXPANDED VIEW

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Planets of the Horos Sun
(in the Fourth Age of Human Memory)

 

PLANETARY ACTIVITY: Skywatching, Planet Alignments, Moon, Asteroids

 The Inner Four Planets set inside the ring of the asteroid belt and the orbit of Jupiter. Each point of light is an actual representation of a planet, asteroid, or comet (plus the Sun of course), set within a true scale of distance as of April 1.   The positions of all numbered asteroids and all numbered comets in JPL's small-body database are shown (as of April 1, 2007 ).  Asteroids are yellow dots, comets are the pale blurry smudges.  We are looking down on the Solar System, overlooking the "North Pole" of the Earth.  As can be seen, our Solar System is a pretty busy place.

 

Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
Inner Solar System Orbit Diagrams
http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/?ss_inner

 

NIGHT SKY FOR April 7, 2008 from Hopiland:  Click for full screen sky map

 

 

IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory

 

If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this.  It is centered for 4 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings- 9 pm Monday evening) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land.  This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL).  It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it.  With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world).  Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay).  Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart.  Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.

 

PLANET WATCH: 

[4-7-2008] Catch the New Moon at Sunset near the Pleiades and Orion (the belt which forms the Three Kings of Orient Are and forms the heavenly version of the Th ree Great Pyramids in the Horizon of the Benu in the land of Kempt, more anciently known as Osiris.  Then see if you can tell which star is Sirius.  (Hint: being very close to Re (our Sun) Sirius is one of the brightest objects in the sky and overshadows almost all others, thus it is pretty easy to figure out).  Since Sirius (more anciently known as the Star of Isis or the Star of the East) closely chases Osiris as he passes into the West).

 

PLANET ALIGNMENTS:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

SOLAR SYSTEM FORECAST:

For a listing of all planetary alignments and charts for 2008, click onto the 2008 Alignment  Almanac.  Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment.

 

April 4-10, 2008 - Mercury |  Venus | Neptune | Uranus

Watch out for Mercury | Venus, with a split tail between Neptune and Uranus.  This long sequence of alignments may be the most potent yet so far for 2008.

 

May 11, 2008 - Mercury |  Mars | Saturn

The next significant alignment of planets in 2008 is Mercury | Mars, assisted by Saturn on or about May 11.  This alignment is on the same side of the Sun as Earth and should bring in another Sunspot Peak but this surge probably will not be as strong as the surge of early April.  (Mercury | Venus trump nearly all because the close connection of their orbits generally effects the Sun electromagnetically more than the other planets, the major exceptions seem to appear only when Earth and Jupiter are in prominent play in the alignments).

 

June 6, 2008 - Mercury |  Earth
(accompanied by Mars | Saturn)

This alignment should give give us quite an upsurge in stormy weather from the Sun's atmosphere to the Earth's atmosphere. Expect then that massive oceanic storm surges will begin to roll in about this time and persist for a least a week until perhaps the Summer Solstice. This may be just the beginning of the ride.  On June 17, mighty Jupiter confers with Mercury.

 

June 17, 2008 - Mercury |  Earth | Jupiter

Wow.  Expect the massive oceanic storm surges which began to roll in at the end of the first week in June to persist through most of June.  RAIN AND FLOODS IN ALL THE USUAL PLACES for this time of year.  Oh well, this should keep the grass green until late in July.

 

LUNAR SCHEDULE:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs below by clicking on their titles. Use these graphs which are drawn by MWM from JPL Ephemeris table data to find PERIGEE, DECLINATION, AND PHASE (NEW OR FULL MOON).  Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words.  Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.

 

The Giant Plot allows you to see the exact dates (UTC). 

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

For a more traditional text table of the Lunar Schedule, go to the Almanac

Declination (Dragon Cycle) and Distance (Perigee Cycle) define the strongest and most extreme moments of Lunar influence on the Earth. Distances of less than 365,000 KM indicate Perigees with the Lunar gravity field considerably stronger than average.  Declinations of 27 or 28 indicate an extreme position of the Moon over the Northern (+) or Southern Hemisphere (-). A high declination with a low distance for Perigee exerts significantly greater torque on the Earth in zones which do not usually receive so much. The "timing" of these "moments" creates "windows" of exceptional syzygy.  These relationships are best viewed in graph form.

 

[4-7-08 ECB]   The Moon is now emerging from its New Moon phase and is approaching its Perigee (this one is very modest).  It will take up its Extreme Northern Declination on April 10/11.  Since the Lunar Cycles are "out of phase" with each other during the next couple of months, the Moon influence on quake activity is somewhat diminished.

 

[2-4-08 ECB]  STANDING SYZYGY ANALYSIS FOR THE YEAR.  We are currently in a period with lunar cycles becoming less and less synchronized and this disconnection will continue for several months.  After this Syzygy Window, peak seismic activity levels should continue to decline for a few months while the Lunar and Earth Orbital Cycles come out of phase with each other.  There will be a weak synchronization in May and June of 2008, then strong dis-synchronization until November 2008. November will begin a new round of synchronized Lunar cycles, with December producing the strongest synchronization of the year in a near perfect alignment with the Earth's Perihelion, during both the New Moon (Dec. 27/28) and Full Moon (Dec. 13). These then are likely months of the greatest quake events and for the most part 2008 is likely to be a "middling year" for seismic activity, perhaps even slightly diminished from 2006/2007 levels.

 

True Equator and Equinox of Date For 2008
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/cgi-bin/aa_geocentric.pl


 

ASTEROID DATA QUOTED DIRECTLY FROM NASA 

Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.  See http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/neo/groups.html

 

On April 7, 2008 there were 946 potentially hazardous asteroids.
April 2008 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2008 FH5
Apr. 2
7.6 LD
20
17 m
2001 QO142
Apr. 6
34 LD
17
685 m
2008 GF1
Apr. 7
0.8 LD
18
10 m
2005 BE2
Apr. 10
62 LD
18
1.0 km
2005 NB7
Apr. 17
16 LD
16
705 m
2008 FU6
Apr. 22
62 LD
16
1.4 km
2005 TB
Apr. 28
47 LD
18
1.3 km
2001 DQ8
Apr. 30
74 LD
17
1.1 km
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

 

 

METEOR & COMET ANNOUNCEMENTS FROM NASA