EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN Weekly Update

 


As of January 08 we are still obviously gravely threatened by the Cheney/Bush cabal.

A great many elements of the Anglo-American establishment are still clearly warning the American people that the Cheney/Bush Junta is still out-of-control and is a clear and present danger to the world.  More and more people are more frightened than ever and they are coming in greater numbers into the movement to impeach the criminals which occupy the White House.

The 911 Deception, an article by MW Mandeville, appears in the December-January 07 copy of Nexus Magazine.

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This is great: YouTube - Clan Dyken - No More Silence

 

CRITICAL ALERTS

(January 28, 2008 ECB; MWM) 

 

COSMIC FACTORS:   Solar Cycle 24 may have begun but the Sun is still getting some Solar MIN shut eye.  Currently (January 28) , the Sunspot Count is zero on a Flux of 72 which more or less flat line.   Currently there is no apparent solar wind turbulence but it may grow stronger about January 31 from a large coronal hole in the solar atmosphere. The Sunspot Count should rise by then as well for Mercury's alignment fly-bys of Mars, Earth, and Saturn February 1-5.  For the next 48 hours, NASA predicts a 1%  or less probability of major explosive or flare events on the Sun with a 1% to 15% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the Earth's atmosphere in the higher latitudes.  A solar wind gust and major auroras are always possible from the coronal holes aimed at Earth which now can be seen in the Sun's atmosphere.  Solar activity failed to rise, as expected, during the past week thus it is very likely to rise in two or three short spikes during the next seven days. For more details on current sun go here.  See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast.  Sunspot Activity is likely to rise after January 21  and fall several times to produce a stormy February on Earth, then a respite during early March, and then a very stormy early Spring just before the Spring Equinox on March 21.

 

ATMOSPHERICS  La Nina once again is dragging its heels and may linger on through February and perhaps into March.  It hardly matters, it has not sustained any drought period. The dry Winter for the PSW made a brief appearance and then the heavenly dams broke 48 hours ago to deliver three inches of rain in many areas of the Sonoran Desert.  That's a fifth the annual rainfall in two days.  It is still raining.  Thus the weather continues in its current somewhat chaotic and exceptionally cool pattern which is very often very wet.  All predictions for North America are a salad bowl of a little of everything.  Have fun children, this is nature's way of dealing with know-it-alls.  The North Atlantic Oscillation is slowly dissolving again and thus the mild winter in Europe is up for grabs.  The North Pacific Gyre Hot Spot is also weakening and moving to the West.  Bye Bye.  A South Pacific Gyre Hot Spot has formed up solidly and will impact climate patterns for the Southern Hemisphere Summer season - this is now the warmest anomaly on the oceans.  Eastern Pacific is on the chilly side of average but this has not stopped California from becoming the primary channel for marine air onto North America.  WHAT A BLAST OF RECORD RAIN AND SNOW.  Huge snowfalls in the mountains. The dry La Nina is disguised currently as a shower.  The east coast - what a cold winter!  Continue to expect a cooler winter than the weathermen once predicted for this Winter.  BELIEVE IT OR NOT, THIS IS ALL A SYMPTOM OF A WARMER PLANET. 

GEOPHYSICAL FACTORS:    The Earth's Wobble is still receiving a boost of energy from the Earth's Perihelion moment with the Sun but this influence will begin to diminish during February. Since the Earth is closer to the Sun at this moment, solar gravity is tugging in phase slightly more strongly on the heavy side of the Earth (the Southern Hemisphere).  As a result the track of Polar Motion is still clearly showing a marked acceleration in the outward, expansionary movement of its spiral track.  This is all normal.  BUT, likely this has just pivoted.  The sudden disappearance of seismic activity for 36 hours above 4+ may have betrayed the moment of  the spiral precession of the axis to commence the next round of changes in the seasons (orientation of the continents to the Sun).  The changing numbers in the polar coordinates for this week will reveal this swing and these will be posted in the next update.   See Polar Motion for additional information. The Moon is moving rapidly out of Full to New Moon on February 7/8.  At this moment the Moon is at a middling distance headed to Apogee (furthest distance to the Earth) in a middling South Declination (South Node) on its way to its Extreme South Declination on February 3/4.   We are currently in a period with lunar cycles becoming less and less synchronized and this disconnection will continue for several months.  After this Syzygy Window, peak seismic activity levels should continue to decline for a few months while the Lunar and Earth Orbital Cycles come out of phase with each other.  There will be a weak synchronization in May and June of 2008, then strong dis-synchronization until November 2008. November will begin a new round of synchronized Lunar cycles, with December producing the strongest synchronization of the year in a near perfect alignment with the Earth's Perihelion, during both the New Moon (Dec. 27/28) and Full Moon (Dec. 13). These then are likely months of the greatest quake events and for the most part 2008 is likely to be a "middling year" for seismic activity, perhaps even slightly diminished from 2006/2007 levels.  See Lunar Schedule for more details.  As with seismic activity so also volcanic activity.  Currently the volcano season is surging, growing at 10% per month.   Meanwhile volcanism was active in 24 volcanoes, up from 20 two weeks ago.  Doubtless this Perihelion Surge is making for a great start to an active Volcano Season (first half of the year) during 2008. The Alert List now stands now at 69 with 3 on the Restless List. A worldwide resurgence  most likely will continue through to the end of January and then begin to plateau for a spell.  Watch Etna's summit, it will telegraph soon if the 2008 surge will be on par with 2006/2007.  Watch also Kilauea.  Its increase or decrease is almost certainly a major "barometer" (and not so metaphorical as one might think) of likely world volcanism.

 

SPIRITUAL FLUX  -  

Continue to look for the Blue Star Kachina. Look for a small blue diamond in the inner most recesses of your mind's eye.  Reach deeply inside your experience of the now.  Seek for the "feeling" of an energy or vibration within your head.   Now is truly the time to build an internal link to consciousness of this energy.  As this link strengthens, the internal power of lucid peace will grow, hopefully strongly enough to surmount the highly charged emotional astral chaos of the next Solar MAX, which most likely will be the most chaotic period of human existence in several decades, quite possibly for several centuries.

 

GEO-ECONOMIC FLUX:   ABOVE ALL REMEMBER ROOSEVELT'S ADVICE:  THE MAIN THING WE HAVE TO FEAR IS FEAR ITSELF.  Once again THE PLUNGE PROTECTION TEAM of the Central Bankers will be working over time this week.  So far they have done well and appear to found a zone between 12,100 and 12,400 in the DJI in which they can stabilize stocks.   But  don't expect this to hold well.  THE PANIC is now in full force and a substantial sag yet will be seen during the following days and weeks in the U.S.  The initial reaction by the power elite is to give trifling vanity checks to taxpayers as an economic stimulus.  Speaker Pelosi began to advance some stimulous (money for college students and those on unemployment)  that made humanitarian sense and which would have given retailers a major boost, but the Republicons quickly vetoed the plan revealed how well they are able to wrap the national Democrats around their crooked little finger.  Pelosi's fast cave-in to the worst circles of craven corruption in American history also reveals the vast extent to which George Carlin is right....they (TPTB) really do not give a s*&t about anybody who really needs help.  The rest you already know the essence.  Cayce gave the formula for predicting what is happening some 70 years ago and once again is RIGHT ON THE MONEY.  As the forces contend between the factions, cliques, and money houses of the international "families", numbers will gyrate, here advancing, there declining, but over all thinning down to much lower levels.  The year 2008 will be the year of the Free Fall.  This free fall is about one year later than predicted in the "Economic Collapse of 2006", but all is on track as discussed.  The free fall should not be feared.  It will be extremely useful in sobering the Americans up from their drunken Globalism bender.  The agenda will suddenly change and a new continental industrial agenda can come to the fore.  There are many new generational initiatives in the energy field which can be undertaken to drive another decade long wave of rapidly growing prosperity.  Oil and computers will become increasingly secondary to alternative energy, robotics, and health enhancement industries.

 

GEOPOLITICAL FLUX:   

The returns are about in.  Clearly McCain is almost certain to be the GOP Presidential candidate.  Not that it much matters. He is not likely to win but even if he does the Republican party will be decimated in both houses of the legislature.  Bush has ruined the party and this ruin is likely terminal for at least a generation.  The Democrats are almost certain to have solid absolute majorities in both houses, possibly even 2/3 majorities.  Accordingly, McCain would have to be President who cooperates with a substantial Democratic majority.    It is not quite certain who will be the Democratic candidate but the odds are rapidly shifting to Obama.  The ringing endorsements of Obama by the Kennedy's today was an historical event, they fully wrapped him in the mantle of the JFK legacy with every rhetorical flourish they could imagine.  They made an important point which Ted Kennedy, in perhaps his finest political speech to date, fully connected in ways which no one else has, that Obama is fully the real signal of a profoundly real change in the ideas, methods, political circles, and cliques which govern America.  Obama is the change and the signal.  If elected, this signal will be well received around the world and will have a huge impact in restoring some credibility for the U.S.  Kennedy also made clear what has been emerging during the past two weeks....that it is now clear to all that the Clinton's, with their vast baggage train, simply are not wanted on the stage.  With their endorsement of Obama, the Kennedy's are clearly trying to help the progressive wings in the U.S. dump the opportunistic Clinton career globalists.

THERE IS STILL A RISK OF FALSE-FLAG TERRORIST OPERATIONS INSTIGATED BY RIGHT-WING THUG ELEMENTS IN THE CIA, MOSSAD, MK5, AND ALLIED MOBS WORKING AS AGENTS FOR AN INTERNATIONAL CABAL composed of Anglo-American-Jewish elements through to Spring, possibly October 2008.

 

 HOUSEKEEPING ANNOUNCEMENT:  You may have noticed that the structure and links of the EC Bulletin are evolving week by week. This process will continue for awhile.  Each week I shift things around to work toward a completely different alignment of the material and presentations.  I am evolving it to press it into a completely different server software environment as well as have major components which serve more as integrated documents which are structured so that a print version of some material can be generated on an annual basis.  We will know I have gotten close when ALL links work and the Weekly Update is sectioned into four or five web pages and the front one (this one) is far lighter in bytes than it has been.

 

The Changes In The Earth - Global Summary

A RECENT CHART DEFINES "THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH". Click to see the threefold trend in world quake activity 4+ for 1973-2007. This increase in seismic energy is signaling all the other Changes In The Earth, including Global Warming.  Daily average frequency of 4+ quakes has risen from 11 in 1973 to about 35 in 2007.  The average rose dramatically during 2005/06 and is currently lower.  The daily average for 2007 will probably rise a little by the end of the year and may rise more slowly during the next few years.  Statistics are tricky master illusionists so be careful with this following thought:  an exponential growth curve can be drawn through earthquake data 4+ to project another DOUBLING of the current frequency by about 2020.

CHECK OUT THE World Clock for the latest earth-scale human statistics.

 

http://michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges

 

 

 

WAR THREATS ARE STILL VERY GREAT.

THE ZIONAZIS WAR PLAN to do Iran has failed but the Cheney/Bush Cabal now seems determined to exert greater control over Pakistan.  This is almost certainly doomed to destabilize Pakistan and provide radicals with the opportunity to steal some or all of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal.  Meanwhile Israel will full press court the Cheney/Bush Junta  to allow Israel to bomb Iran's uranium separation plants sometime later this year.  The potential for horrible mischief by this international thugocracy is very great.


 

 

 
 
Our Sacred Body
Without these things we die, thus these things compose our true body.

GEOPHYSICAL WATCH

The Changes In The Earth

Solar Activity  |  Planets  |  Moon  |  Asteroids  |  Meteors & Comets  |

Earth's Wobble  |

World Weather  |  Earthquakes  |  Volcanism  |

 

 
 

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar Storms, Sunspots, Ionic Wind, Magnetic Disturbances

Links to:  ALMANAC | SOLAR GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR
 

Solar Cycle 24 has begun and may produce the most active sun of recorded history.  Its activity will peak during 2011-2014.  As solar activity gradually increases, both environmental dynamics and human behavior and emotionalism will shift into a more rapid flux of activity and reactivity.  Solar Cycle 23 engendered deep, bitter polarizations in the world, especially in Palestine, the Middle East, and vis a vis the United States, both internationally and domestically.  Rather than resolve divisions and conflict, humans accentuated them during this last Solar Cycle.  Accordingly, during the coming cycle human reactivity and tendency to fear and violence will become greater and could easily match the "historical record-breaking" which the Sun's activity is likely to produce with Sunspots, Storms, Flares, and Ionic Wind Gusts.  Under this growing pressure, both the terrestrial environment and human societies will be subject to immense dynamic flux which will alter both the greater expanse of the Earth as well as the nations and the affairs of humans. Global Warming will accelerate more rapidly, mass migrations will become more frequent, more agriculture and oceanic food sources will fail, more nations will collapse (as in Africa), and the general level of violence will increase in many areas.  The exceptionally strong internal polarization in the U.S. against the Cabal of banksters and their oil-soaked Junta, and as well the antagonistic international polarization against the U.S., likely will be resolved by  acceleration of a chronic "half-collapse" of the current economic and political system in the U.S. This period will be marked by paralysis of politics and a chaotic period of increased repression and rebellion which gradually destroys the power of Federal agencies which have usurped far too much illegal (unconstitutional) power.  Likely the period will also spawn many concerted efforts to change major aspects of the constitution of the U.S. and the structure of its government.  In the short term, increased international militarism may be attempted by the intellectually and morally bankrupt Zionazis puppetmasters who manipulate and strongly influence nearly all institutions in the U.S. East Coast.  These attempts may be and probably will be made in various guises regardless of which political party "wins" the November 08 national U.S. elections. 

Visible Sun Of January 28, 2008:  Credit: SOHO/MDI

[1-28-08 ECB]  The Sunspot Count remains at zero, where it has been since January 10, currently with a more or less flat line Flux at 72  Currently there is almost no apparent solar wind turbulence, no magnetic storms in the Earth's atmosphere which the Fluxgate monitor graph dutifully records with a near flat line.  The Sun's quiescence will not last long,  activity will begin now at any time this coming week for Mercury's alignments in early February with Mars, Earth, and Saturn.  The Earth will begin sailing through a solar wind stream about January 31 and that could be the timing of a brief surge in Sunspot numbers. See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast. 

 

[1-28-08 ECB]  NASA reports no sunspots on the farside.
[Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI] 

[1-21-08 ECB]  Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments:    This is probably not the Sun's season for large peaks in Solar Activity as a result of Planetary Alignments.  During the first half of the year, sunspot peaks should be about on par with most of 2007.  Solar Cycle 24 has begun, but its initial birthing activity will look like the dying days of Solar Cycle 23.  During the second half of the year, Solar Activity should noticably accelerate as a result of planetary stimulation. Sunspot Activity is likely to rise after January 21  and fall several times to produce a stormy February on Earth, then a respite during early March, and then a very stormy early Spring just before the Spring Equinox on March 21.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE WHICH MOST PEOPLE STILL ARE NOT GETTING:

The Sun is at minimum levels of activity.  Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes.

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/solar_1-27-08.gif

graph courtesy Jan Alvestad http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Latest Graph: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/images/solar.gif
Daily Sunspot Numbers Are ISSN: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt

Sunspot Count Chart:  In this chart above the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).  

 

Date       Flux Spots Area

Click here for NOAA Sunspot Table For Past 30 Days

Pix of coronal holes[1-28-08 ECB] NASA reports that the Earth will re-enter another solar wind stream about January 31 from a coronal hole (as shown in the image) in the Sun's atmosphere.  NASA predicts a 1%  probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours. NASA  predicts there is a 1% to 15% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours    Pix Credit: NOAA  

[1-7-08 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:    Solar Cycle 23 never gave us a  a full 30 days of 0 Sunspots but the data compiled below by Alvestad makes it fairly clear that October was the MIN month and Solar Cycle 24 began, as we pointed out here, more or less in November 2007.

Month Average solar
flux at Earth
International sunspot number Smoothed sunspot number
2007.09 67.1 2.4 (6.7 predicted, +0.0)
2007.10 67.4 0.9 (7.2 predicted, +0.5)
2007.11 69.6 1.7 (7.8 predicted, +0.6)
2007.12 78.5 10.1 (8.1 predicted, +0.3)
2008.01     (8.7 predicted, +0.6)

source: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

For current, critical information about the past few cycles and Sunspot Cycle 24, click here.

 

NASA MORE OR LESS AGREES THAT SOLAR CYCLE 24 HAS BEGUN: 

For more details, go to Almanac:  Cycles of the Sun

Magnetic Disturbances: (As Shown By Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska )

[1-28-08 ECB]  Fluxgate Monitor shows almost no disturbance.  Activity will pick up dramatically this coming week and during early February, which will be extremely active with alignments and spikes in the Sunspot Count. (Always keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur and produce intense magnetic storms in the atmosphere.)

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/fluxgate_1-28-08.gif

 

 
 

 

 

 

PLANETARY ACTIVITY: Skywatching, Planet Alignments, Moon, Asteroids

 The Inner Four Planets set inside the ring of the asteroid belt and the orbit of Jupiter. Each point of light is an actual representation of a planet, asteroid, or comet (plus the Sun of course), set within a true scale of distance as of April 1.   The positions of all numbered asteroids and all numbered comets in JPL's small-body database are shown (as of April 1, 2007 ).  Asteroids are yellow dots, comets are the pale blurry smudges.  We are looking down on the Solar System, overlooking the "North Pole" of the Earth.  As can be seen, our Solar System is a pretty busy place.

Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
Inner Solar System Orbit Diagrams
http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/?ss_inner

 

NIGHT SKY FOR January 28, 2008 from Hopiland:  Click for full screen sky map

 

 

IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory

If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this.  It is centered for 4 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings- 9 pm Monday evening) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land.  This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL).  It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it.  With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world).  Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay).  Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart.  Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.

 

PLANET WATCH: 

Mars directly overhead at Latitude of Hopi Land, Arizona at 9 PM Hopi Land time. 


PLANET ALIGNMENTS:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

SOLAR SYSTEM FORECAST:

For a listing of all planetary alignments and charts for 2008, click onto the 2008 Alignment  Almanac.  Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment.

February 1 to 5, 2008 - Mercury | Mars and then Mercury | Earth

Mercury will move rapidly through a series of alignments, beginning with an alignment on February 1 and then swing past Earth on February 5 on its way to Saturn a few days later. This should call forth a lot of vigor from the Sun.  A major Sunspot Peak is likely to appear during the last week of January (from about Jan. 21) and persist, with two or three peaks, for a couple of weeks. This should make for a very stormy beginning to the month of February.

February 5-23, 2008 - An Heliocentric Projection from Home Planet Software

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2008/planets/planets_equal_2-5-08.gif

 

 

LUNAR SCHEDULE:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs. Use these graphs which are drawn by MWM from the table data to find PERIGEE, DECLINATION, AND PHASE (NEW OR FULL MOON).  Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words.  Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.

 

The Giant Plot allows you to see the exact dates (UTC). 

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

For a more traditional text table of the Lunar Schedule, go to the Almanac

Declination (Dragon Cycle) and Distance (Perigee Cycle) define the strongest and most extreme moments of Lunar influence on the Earth. Distances of less than 365,000 KM indicate Perigees with the Lunar gravity field considerably stronger than average.  Declinations of 27 or 28 indicate an extreme position of the Moon over the Northern (+) or Southern Hemisphere (-). A high declination with a low distance for Perigee exerts significantly greater torque on the Earth in zones which do not usually receive so much. The "timing" of these "moments" creates "windows" of exceptional syzygy.  These relationships are best viewed in graph form.

 

[1-28-08 ECB]   The Moon is moving rapidly out of Full to New Moon on February 7/8.  At this moment the Moon is at a middling distance headed to Apogee (furthest distance to the Earth) in a middling South Declination (South Node) on its way to its Extreme South Declination on February 3/4.   We are currently in a period with lunar cycles becoming less and less synchronized and this disconnection will continue for several months.  After this Syzygy Window, peak seismic activity levels should continue to decline for a few months while the Lunar and Earth Orbital Cycles come out of phase with each other.  There will be a weak synchronization in May and June of 2008, then strong dis-synchronization until November 2008. November will begin a new round of synchronized Lunar cycles, with December producing the strongest synchronization of the year in a near perfect alignment with the Earth's Perihelion, during both the New Moon (Dec. 27/28) and Full Moon (Dec. 13). These then are likely months of the greatest quake events and for the most part 2008 is likely to be a "middling year" for seismic activity, perhaps even slightly diminished from 2006/2007 levels.

 


 

 

 

 

 


True Equator and Equinox of Date For 2007
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/cgi-bin/aa_geocentric.pl


ASTEROID DATA QUOTED DIRECTLY FROM NASA 

Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.  See http://www.spaceweather.com/

On January 21,  2008 there were 921 potentially hazardous asteroids (as tabulated by NASA - no one knows how many will be tabulated but so far the total has been going up by at least one a week for the past couple of years).

Upcoming 2008 Earth-asteroid encounters:

Jan. 2008 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2005 WJ56
Jan. 10
10.9 LD
11
1.2 km
2008 AF3
Jan. 13
1.0 LD
14
27 m
1685 Toro
Jan. 24
76 LD
13
6.2 km
2007 TU24
Jan. 29
1.4 LD
10
400 m
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

METEOR & COMET ANNOUNCEMENTS FROM NASA 

 

 
     
 

EARTH POLAR MOTION: Spin Axis, Magnetic Poles

 Links to:  ALMANAC  |  WOBBLE GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

[1-28-08 ECB]  POLAR MOTION:  As reported January 27 in the "Pivot Point" Bulletin (see Yahoo Archives), the Earth was apparently at tectonic standstill on Saturday/Sunday (almost 0 seismic activity 4+, ultra-low activity in the range of 2.5-4)) while the Earth's tilted axis orientation (fixed on Polaris) began to recede from the orbital Perihelion point and thus begin the shift of the orientations of the Northern and Southern Hemispheres toward the Sun.  Otherwise, no significant change from previous reports.  The Spiral Track of Earth's Wobble continues to expand outward in a stable pattern. As can be expected (by looking at the history of the Wobble Track), the Earth's Wobble is currently receiving a boost of energy from the Earth's Perihelion moment with the Sun. Since the Earth is closer to the Sun at this moment, solar gravity is tugging in phase slightly more strongly on the heavy side of the Earth (the Southern Hemisphere).  As a result the track of Polar Motion is now clearly showing a marked acceleration in the outward, expansionary movement of its spiral track.  This is all normal. The Spin Axis is currently located in the longitude quadrant of the Russian Far East moving rapidly towards Alaska..

[11-12-07 ECB] WOBBLETRACKER SOFTWARE IMPROVED.  Davis Chapman graciously upgraded the WobbleTracker Software in a way which makes it easier to use and more analytically powerful for plotting exact date sequences.  Anyone who has previously purchased WobbleTracker is eligible for an upgrade which I will email as a zip file.

 

 

Mouse arrow cursor points toward the latest location of Spin Axis

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2008/wobble/wobbletrac_1-28-2008.gif

Image is from WobbleTracker software, drawn by MWM

Graph Scale is set to 1.0 arcseconds, Grid Size = 0.05 arcseconds
Time Domain as shown in upper right hand corner
.
All movement is counter-clockwise.
 

 

This chart shows the location of the North Spin Axis relative to the “map coordinates” which were established at the end of the 19th century.  A drift of over 50 feet since 1900 in the circular track of Chandler’s Wobble is shown in this chart.  This drift is the primary cause of the acceleration in Earth’s tectonic activity. In order to “parallel” the way in which geophysicists create and record the Earth’s polar location geo-reference system, this graph shows the negative numbers opposite to the manner which they are typically drawn in school books.  –X is shown on the top half, and this corresponds to the direction of the Pacific Hemisphere.  –Y is shown on the right side and this corresponds to the Eurasian Land Mass.  X= Longitude 0, which is the Greenwich Meridian which bisects through England; +Y= Longitude West 90,  which bisects through the Great Lakes (North America).

 

NEW CHART RELEASE WHICH PROVES THAT POLAR MOTION PHASES REGULATE EL NINO (and probably the other climate oscillations in the Northern Atlantic and the Indian Oceans): To see the chart Click Here! Composed fresh for the revised edition of the Return of the Phoenix, a new expanded chart shows the track of Earth's Wobble up and down the Greenwich Meridian (called the X Axis of polar motion by geophysicists) for the period 1890-2006.  For additional details go to Wobble Almanac.

 

 
 

WORLD & REGIONAL WEATHER: Storm Fronts, Hurricanes, El Nino & La Nina, Drought & Fire, Global Warming

 Links to:  ALMANAC  |  CLIMATE  GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

SUMMARY ASSESSMENT

[1-28-08 ECB]  In North America chaos still rules and like December and January so far, is likely to sucker punch the land masses of the Northern Hemisphere repeatedly in the weeks ahead from both oceanic sides.  But a cooler Pacific along the coastal area of North America DID NOT wall off the PSW as projected last week.   In fact, portions of the Sonoran Desert Plain received 3 inches of rain during the past 48 hours and it is still raining in many areas off and on.  This is sure to cause some floods in the PSW during the next few days as well as support a prolific wild flower bloom in late February and early March.  No drought here, that's for sure. Apparently this condition will continue.  As projected here the past two weeks, Central California through to Oregon become the highway express for marine air brought in by a low latitude Jet Stream.  Large rainstorms and snowfalls throughout the Western U.S., especially in the coastal zones.  Be ready for anything. Remember these key words to get the syndrome memory in your head:  this is classic La Nina Mild Winter in the Global Warming Syndrome.  In this condition winters are colder, summers warmer, transition seasons are  longer, and average oceanic temperature is rising, especially in the Arctic, melting more and more ice.  Simple.

The Ocean Climate Regimes (relative to averages)

Pacific zones are polarizing with cooler surfaces in the Eastern half, warmer surfaces in the western half, North Atlantic is still diverging with greater heat.  Along the Pacific Equator, La Nina refuses to dissolve.

LA NINA

[1-28-08 ECB]  Persisting well, though mild.  This must now be the longest La Nina of record.

NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION

[1-28-08 ECB]  Slightly warm conditions in the surface water are breaking apart again and show an overall cooling trend.  The current Winter regime, which was generally milder than normal, will become increasing normal..

NORTH PACIFIC GYRE HOTSPOT

[1-28-08 ECB] The North Pacific Gyre Hotspot is now holding stable with slightly warmer water than average. The weather pattern for Winter 2008 will likely be classical La Nina Syndrome, but weather averages will be pushed slightly to the higher latitudes to reflect the Global Warming effect.

EL NINO (not currently active)

I am loosing confidence in this prediction, I will probably revise it very soon. [10-1-07 ECB] PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT EL NINO:  It will onset quickly directly out of the La Nina and it will be one of the strongest of record.  It also probably will be a longer than normal El Nino. This is based purely on the higher than ever tempo of earthquake and volcanic activity around the world during 2006 and 2007, plus the greater number of major quakes (6+) in the Great Rift this year. The increased heat flux from the East Pacific Rift will eventually make its way to the surface and produce the typical El Nino hot Equator.

 

For More Information On Dynamics and Predictions Of  The Ocean Climate Regimes & El Nino / La Nina

GO TO THE WEATHER/CLIMATE ALMANAC

GLOBAL WARMING SYNDROME:  Far more probable than not, the first half of 2007 has brought a serious surge of heat through the Great Rifts in the bottom of the oceans.   It is likely that this is still continuing and it may continue throughout 2008.  The telling sign is the spurt of Great Rift quakes which come and go in waves.  These all indicate movements which marine geologists are nearly certain indicate extensive magma dikes and lava flows in or very close to the Great Rift Valleys.  This activity during the first half of 2007 likely will feed a new round of heat into the oceanic climate system during the next 36 months and thus over-all Global Warming will continue to surge upwards.  This pattern, as of January 08, may still be underway.

The increased heat energy in the climate system along the broad middle of the Earth ( from the tropics which supplies the juice which powers the air conditioner of your weather) is causing the flow of air more rapidly in greater volumes into the north and south out of the Equatorial zone.  Warm air travels further to the North (or South) and pushes increased cold air to flow out of the polar zones (your cooling coils).  The more Global Warming, the more intense and stormy will be both Winter and Summer, the Winter cooler, the Summer hotter, with more power in all storms.  The primary consistent barometer of all of this:  the melting of the Arctic Ice.

 

 

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/sst/gsstanim_1-28-08.gif

The key to dynamic change is the bottom graph which displays the "out of average" readings.  This allows us to quickly spot the extremes which are forming up in the various oceanic climate regimes.  It is a lot cheaper and easier than using supercomputers.

 

Seasonal Color Map Graphs - Predict Rain and Temperatures For North America For The Year Ahead – Science Is Finally Catching Up With Farmer’s Almanac.  Go here to get updated on the likely rain and temperature forecast.  This one currently on the web is essentially based on a La Nina forecast. 

 

HURRICANES

VERDICT IS IN:  I think that we are we seeing that it is hard to get up a decent hurricane without some sunspot stimulation. With the virtual death of the hurricane season at more or less Solar Minima during 2007, I think we have the verdict now in.  This is a very interesting development. 

NOAA EAST PACIFIC  Latest Facts & Forecast Updated every 12 hours

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

NOAA WEST ATLANTIC  Latest Facts & Forecast Updated every 12 hours

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

 

 

 

 

GEOTECTONIC ACTIVITY: Volcanoes, Shape Shifting, Earthquakes

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  GEOTECTONIC  GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

Al, you there?  Here is the primary signal of the tectonic motion which is creating Global Warming.

 

EARTHQUAKE TRENDS & THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  QUAKE GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

Click here to see the latest graphs of the Global Quake Trend
(fourfold increase during the past 30 years)

 

EARTHQUAKES CURRENT:

[1-28-08 ECB]   Earthquake activity Class 4+ has return to average after a null point during the last 48 hours. Currently quake activity is too minor to characterize except to say that most activity is in the Western Pacific

CLICK ON IMAGES FOR EXPANDED VIEW; red indicates quakes 4+ during the previous 24 hours, orange during previous day, yellow during the previous two weeks, violet during the past 15 years

SEISMIC MONITOR BY IRIS
 
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2006/quakes/worldquakes_IRIS_1-28-08.gif

 

Best to go here below and click for the latest dynamic page with explanations of the symbols and large displays of regions of the Earth (these are "at the moment" charts):  http://www.iris.edu/seismon/

Last Seven Days - for earthquakes worldwide magnitude 4.0 plus and U.S. territorial magnitude 2.5 plus; for source list see http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php

 

CONCERNING DATABASE FILES OF QUAKE CATALOGS:
The EC Bulletins is now using  ONLY THE "ANSS COMPOSITE QUAKE CATALOG" for stats - The ANSS is the evolved transformation of the CSSC system based at Berkeley California where the geophysicists have been collecting data since the beginning of the seismograph technology.  The USGS databases are derived from the ANSS catalogs and the IRIS group above is attempting to provide a scientific display network for access to current information about current earthquakes (for the last 30 days).

 

SHAPESHIFTING:  ACTIVITY LAST YEAR WAS VERY HIGH.

Shape-shifter quakes indicate the spreading of the Rift Valley, the creation of new crust through magma dikes which fills in the cracks of the Great Rift, and hence the inevitable forcing of the Earth’s crust to change its shape to adjust for the new crust.  Most subduction zone quakes (such as in the Pacific Rim of Fire) probably occur as a consequence of the shape-shifting of the Earth. The outlines of the tectonic plates and the Great Rift can be be seen in the violet color in this chart above.  For a chart of Earth’s Tectonic Plates, go to: http://www.iris.edu/seismon/html/plates.html

 

M 5+ earthquakes, past 7 days RSS 2.0 CAP
The USGS RSS Feed, which is constantly changing its content, can be accessed at:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/catalogs/eqs7day-M5.xml

 

Other Datafeeds On Quakes:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/catalogs/

 

TECTONIC MOTION QUAKE FORECAST:
Forecasts are based on Syzygy Windows which can be seen in the Lunar Ephemeris Charts.  Go to the Moon section to select your chart.

Occasionally the chart information is supplemented with data from Earth Sensitives, who include some humans and animals. For Earth Sensitive information, go to PamWiseman.com  For other Syzygy-type forecasts and a portal to other valuable approaches, see Syzygyjob.com

 

[1-21-2008]  The Perihelion Moment is dwindling rapidly and so are the strength of Lunar Syzygies.  Accordingly, the next 90 days is likely to see less and less liklihood of m