EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN Weekly Update

 


As of January 08 we are still obviously gravely threatened by the Cheney/Bush cabal.

A great many elements of the Anglo-American establishment are still clearly warning the American people that the Cheney/Bush Junta is still out-of-control and is a clear and present danger to the world.  More and more people are more frightened than ever and they are coming in greater numbers into the movement to impeach the criminals which occupy the White House.

The 911 Deception, an article by MW Mandeville, appears in the December-January 07 copy of Nexus Magazine.

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This is great: YouTube - Clan Dyken - No More Silence

 

CRITICAL ALERTS

(January 21, 2008 ECB; MWM) 

 

COSMIC FACTORS:   Solar Cycle 24 may have begun but the Sun has fallen back to sleep for a bit more shut eye.  Currently (January 21) , the Sunspot Count is zero on a Flux of 72 which has risen by two today from a low of 70.  A rise in the Flux is usually a herald of increasing numbers of Sunspots during the following day, which are due to appear now at nearly any moment for Mercury's alignment fly-bys of Mars, Earth, and Saturn February 1-5.  Currently there is no apparent solar wind turbulence but it may grow stronger tomorrow from large coronal holes in the solar atmosphere and the likely rise in the Sunspot Count.  For the next 48 hours, NASA predicts a 1%  or less probability of major explosive or flare events on the Sun with a 1% to 10% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the Earth's atmosphere in the higher latitudes.  A solar wind gust and major auroras are always possible from the coronal holes aimed at Earth which now can be seen in the Sun's atmosphere.  Over all, Solar activity is likely to rise in two or three short spikes during the next seven days. For more details on current sun go here.  See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast.  Sunspot Activity is likely to rise after January 21  and fall several times to produce a stormy February on Earth, then a respite during early March, and then a very stormy early Spring just before the Spring Equinox on March 21.

 

ATMOSPHERICS  La Nina is still declining  but it may linger on through February and perhaps into March.  The dry Winter for the PSW has finally appeared as expected from t he La Nina condition but the weather continues in its current somewhat chaotic and exceptionally cool pattern.  The North Atlantic Oscillation has stabilized and may be growing warmer again, which will most likely continue to produce a mild winter in portions of Europe.  The North Pacific Gyre Hot Spot is also stablizing in a pattern which is certain to twist the Jet Stream to the North and to the South in extreme bends.  A South Pacific Gyre Hot Spot has formed up solidly and will impact climate patterns for the Southern Hemisphere Summer season. Mid Pacific coast zone off California and the Pacific Northwest is now warmer but Southern California is walled from the oceanic air by cool offshore ocean surface.  Northern California is thus likely to become a primary channel for marine air onto North America.  Through to at least very late February, a "typical" La Nina winter throughout most of  North America.     Huge snowfalls in the mountains.  The east coast likely will freeze like last winter.  Continue to expect a cooler winter than the weathermen once predicted for this Winter.  BELIEVE IT OR NOT, THIS IS A SYMPTOM OF A WARMER PLANET. 

GEOPHYSICAL FACTORS:    The Earth's Wobble is still receiving a boost of energy from the Earth's Perihelion moment with the Sun but this influence will begin to diminish during February. Since the Earth is closer to the Sun at this moment, solar gravity is tugging in phase slightly more strongly on the heavy side of the Earth (the Southern Hemisphere).  As a result the track of Polar Motion is still clearly showing a marked acceleration in the outward, expansionary movement of its spiral track.  This is all normal.  See Polar Motion for additional information.  The Moon is nearly in a Full Moon as of January 22/23. See Lunar Schedule for more details. The Moon will be in a middling Perigee distance from the Earth on January 20/21 while in its  Extreme South  Declination (North Node) virtually at the same moment.  This Syzygy will not exact exceptional stress on the Earth's surface, tectonic quake and volcanic activity is likely to be close to average for a Syzygy Window but elevated a little for the increased influence of the Sun's gravity during this near Perihelion Moment of the Earth's orbit.   But the Perihelion Moment is dwindling rapidly and so thus are the influence of Lunar Syzygies.  Accordingly, the next 90 days is likely to see less and less likelihood of major quakes and major volcanic eruptions.  Danger zones will reappear in May and June during Full or New Moon periods, and again in November and December Syzygy Moons.  The other months of the year will not be highly stressful syzygies and they are less likely to produce large and/or numerous quakes.  Seismic activity is now below average in frequency for Class 4+ quakes, with a focal point currently in the southern portion of the East Pacific Rise.  Meanwhile volcanism was active in 22 volcanoes, up 10% from 20 the prior week.   Doubtless this Perihelion Surge is making for an active Volcano Season (first half of the year) during 2008.The Alert List now stands now at 67 with 3 on the Restless List. Most reports are fresh within the past seven days, which is a strong indication of an upsurge in a variety of activity.  The levels of activity appear to have become more vigorous, mostly in ash emissions and pyroclastic explosions  Kilauea remains incredibly productive of lava flowing into the ocean.  Etna, an important herald, is still silent, not even on the active list, but Popo is exhaling at much higher levels (typically 20+ ash/steam emissions per day) than it has for many months.  A worldwide resurgence  most likely will continue through to the end of January and then begin to plateau for a spell.  Watch Etna's summit, it will telegraph soon if the 2008 surge will be on par with 2006/2007.

 

SPIRITUAL FLUX  -  

Look for the Blue Star Kachina. Look for a small blue diamond in the inner most recesses of your mind's eye.  Now is truly the time to build an internal link to consciousness of this energy.  As this link strengthens, the internal power of lucid peace will grow, hopefully strongly enough to surmount the highly charged emotional astral chaos of the next Solar MAX, which most likely will be the most chaotic period of human existence in several decades, quite possibly for several centuries.

 

GEO-ECONOMIC FLUX:   THE PLUNGE PROTECTION TEAM of the Central Bankers will be working over time this week.  This Blue Monday, financial markets sagged radically all around the world. Likely THE PANIC is now in full force and a substantial drop will be seen during the following days and weeks in the U.S.. ABOVE ALL REMEMBER ROOSEVELT'S ADVICE:  THE MAIN THING WE HAVE TO FEAR IS FEAR ITSELF.  Cayce gave the formula for predicting what is happening some 70 years ago and once again is RIGHT ON THE MONEY.  As the forces contend between the factions, cliques, and money houses of the international "families", numbers will gyrate, here advancing, there declining, but over all thinning down to much lower levels.  The year 2008 will be the year of the Free Fall.  This free fall is about one year later than predicted in the "Economic Collapse of 2006", but all is on track as discussed.  The free fall should not be feared.  It will be extremely useful in sobering the Americans up from their drunken Globalism bender.  The agenda will suddenly change and a new continental industrial agenda can come to the fore.  There are many new generational initiatives in the energy field which can be undertaken to drive another decade long wave of rapidly growing prosperity.  Oil and computers will become increasingly secondary to alternative energy, robotics, and health enhancement industries.

 

GEOPOLITICAL FLUX:   

As we can see, the herding of the sheeple continues.  The Americans are greatly  distracted by the Presidential debates, which are being conducted far earlier than they should be.  Partly this has been arranged by an establishment which refuses to undertake the impeachment of the Cheney/Bush Junta.  The debates dissipate the focus of attention on Bush as well as pushing away from the news media the stories about Iraq. For what it is worth, the line up Republicon candidates continues to repulse all sensibility with the grotesque bigotries, presumptions, and the macabre manipulations of language and ideas into senselessness.  It is evident in their personalities that these men are the biggest posing fools of many generations, fully capable of leading Custer's Charge straight over the nearest cliff.  The exception, the exceptionally honest Ron Paul, is already completely sidelined by the Republicon Warcast Machine as a kooky non-entity.  The Demoquack candidates continue to confound all sensibility with thickets of rhetoric which never find enough bottom to enjoy even a lingering status as real reality in a would-be voter's mind.  "Change, change, change", the mantra is now the advertising mantra of 2008, leading us exactly to the same state of our current confusion, only squared as our confusion collides with our new expectations surrounding the Demoquack pretenders. 

 

THERE IS STILL A RISK OF FALSE-FLAG TERRORIST OPERATIONS INSTIGATED BY RIGHT-WING THUG ELEMENTS IN THE CIA, MOSSAD, MK5, AND ALLIED MOBS WORKING AS AGENTS FOR AN INTERNATIONAL CABAL composed of Anglo-American-Jewish elements through to Spring, possibly October 2008.

 

The Changes In The Earth - Global Summary

A RECENT CHART DEFINES "THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH". Click to see the threefold trend in world quake activity 4+ for 1973-2007. This increase in seismic energy is signaling all the other Changes In The Earth, including Global Warming.  Daily average frequency of 4+ quakes has risen from 11 in 1973 to about 35 in 2007.  The average rose dramatically during 2005/06 and is currently lower.  The daily average for 2007 will probably rise a little by the end of the year and may rise more slowly during the next few years.  Statistics are tricky master illusionists so be careful with this following thought:  an exponential growth curve can be drawn through earthquake data 4+ to project another DOUBLING of the current frequency by about 2020.

CHECK OUT THE World Clock for the latest earth-scale human statistics.

 

http://michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin

 

 

WAR THREATS ARE STILL VERY GREAT.

THE ZIONAZIS WAR PLAN to do Iran has failed but the Cheney/Bush Cabal now seems determined to exert greater control over Pakistan.  This is almost certainly doomed to destabilize Pakistan and provide radicals with the opportunity to steal some or all of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal.  Meanwhile Israel will full press court the Cheney/Bush Junta  to allow Israel to bomb Iran's uranium separation plants sometime later this year.  The potential for horrible mischief by this international thugocracy is very great.


 

 

 
 
Our Sacred Body
Without these things we die, thus these things compose our true body.

GEOPHYSICAL WATCH

The Changes In The Earth

Solar Activity  |  Planets  |  Moon  |  Asteroids  |  Meteors & Comets  |

Earth's Wobble  |

World Weather  |  Earthquakes  |  Volcanism  |

 

 
 

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar Storms, Sunspots, Ionic Wind, Magnetic Disturbances

Links to:  ALMANAC | SOLAR GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR
 

Solar Cycle 24 has begun and may produce the most active sun of recorded history.  Its activity will peak during 2011-2014.  As solar activity gradually increases, both environmental dynamics and human behavior and emotionalism will shift into a more rapid flux of activity and reactivity.  Solar Cycle 23 engendered deep, bitter polarizations in the world, especially in Palestine, the Middle East, and vis a vis the United States, both internationally and domestically.  Rather than resolve divisions and conflict, humans accentuated them during this last Solar Cycle.  Accordingly, during the coming cycle human reactivity and tendency to fear and violence will become greater and could easily match the "historical record-breaking" which the Sun's activity is likely to produce with Sunspots, Storms, Flares, and Ionic Wind Gusts.  Under this growing pressure, both the terrestrial environment and human societies will be subject to immense dynamic flux which will alter both the greater expanse of the Earth as well as the nations and the affairs of humans. Global Warming will accelerate more rapidly, mass migrations will become more frequent, more agriculture and oceanic food sources will fail, more nations will collapse (as in Africa), and the general level of violence will increase in many areas.  The exceptionally strong internal polarization in the U.S. against the Cabal of banksters and their oil-soaked Junta, and as well the antagonistic international polarization against the U.S., likely will be resolved by  acceleration of a chronic "half-collapse" of the current economic and political system in the U.S. This period will be marked by paralysis of politics and a chaotic period of increased repression and rebellion which gradually destroys the power of Federal agencies which have usurped far too much illegal (unconstitutional) power.  Likely the period will also spawn many concerted efforts to change major aspects of the constitution of the U.S. and the structure of its government.  In the short term, increased international militarism may be attempted by the intellectually and morally bankrupt Zionazis puppetmasters who manipulate and strongly influence nearly all institutions in the U.S. East Coast.  These attempts may be and probably will be made in various guises regardless of which political party "wins" the November 08 national U.S. elections. 

Visible Sun Of January 21, 2008:  Credit: SOHO/MDI

[1-21-08 ECB]  The Sunspot Count remains at zero, where it has been since January 10, with a now rising Flux which was 70 on January 20 but is now 72.  A rise in the Flux is usually a herald of risiong Solar Activity and Sunspt numbers during the following day and so it is likely to be.   Currently there is almost no apparent solar wind turbulence despite Earth sailing through a  solar wind stream from a major coronal hole.  Turbulence may grow stronger at any time but then again the Sun is at rest and may not produce any new magnetic storms after the batch which flowed through during the previous week. The current calm, however will not last long. Solar activity is likely to increase during the next two weeks. The Sun is quiescent but activity could begin at any time this coming week for Mercury's alignments in early February with Mars, Earth, and Saturn.  See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast. 

[1-21-08 ECB]  NASA reports no sunspots on the farside.
[Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI] 

[1-21-08 ECB]  Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments:    This is probably not the Sun's season for large peaks in Solar Activity as a result of Planetary Alignments.  During the first half of the year, sunspot peaks should be about on par with most of 2007.  Solar Cycle 24 has begun, but its initial birthing activity will look like the dying days of Solar Cycle 23.  During the second half of the year, Solar Activity should noticably accelerate as a result of planetary stimulation. Sunspot Activity is likely to rise after January 21  and fall several times to produce a stormy February on Earth, then a respite during early March, and then a very stormy early Spring just before the Spring Equinox on March 21.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE WHICH MOST PEOPLE STILL ARE NOT GETTING:

The Sun is at minimum levels of activity.  Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes.

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/solar_1-20-08.gif

graph courtesy Jan Alvestad http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Latest Graph: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/images/solar.gif
Daily Sunspot Numbers Are ISSN: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt

Sunspot Count Chart:  In this chart above the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).  

 

Date       Flux Spots Area

Click here for NOAA Sunspot Table For Past 30 Days

Pix of coronal holes[1-21-08 ECB] NASA reports a large coronal hole in the Sun's atmosphere and that the Earth is inside the resulting solar wind stream.  Apparently, however, this wind stream has exhausted its magnetic storms.  NASA predicts a 1%  probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours. NASA  predicts there is a 1% to 10% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours    Pix Credit: NOAA  

[1-7-08 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:    Solar Cycle 23 never gave us a  a full 30 days of 0 Sunspots but the data compiled below by Alvestad makes it fairly clear that October was the MIN month and Solar Cycle 24 began, as we pointed out here, more or less in November 2007.

Month Average solar
flux at Earth
International sunspot number Smoothed sunspot number
2007.09 67.1 2.4 (6.7 predicted, +0.0)
2007.10 67.4 0.9 (7.2 predicted, +0.5)
2007.11 69.6 1.7 (7.8 predicted, +0.6)
2007.12 78.5 10.1 (8.1 predicted, +0.3)
2008.01     (8.7 predicted, +0.6)

source: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

For current, critical information about the past few cycles and Sunspot Cycle 24, click here.

 

NASA MORE OR LESS AGREES THAT SOLAR CYCLE 24 HAS BEGUN: 

For more details, go to Almanac:  Cycles of the Sun

Magnetic Disturbances: (As Shown By Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska )

[1-21-08 ECB]  Fluxgate Monitor shows almost no disturbance.  Solar Activity in the wind stream may be fairly unstable but at the moment it is generally mild (this range or smaller).  Activity will pick up dramatically this coming week and during early February, which will be extremely active with alignments and spikes in the Sunspot Count. (Always keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur and produce intense magnetic storms in the atmosphere.)

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/fluxgate_1-21-08.gif

 

 
 

 

 

 

PLANETARY ACTIVITY: Skywatching, Planet Alignments, Moon, Asteroids

 The Inner Four Planets set inside the ring of the asteroid belt and the orbit of Jupiter. Each point of light is an actual representation of a planet, asteroid, or comet (plus the Sun of course), set within a true scale of distance as of April 1.   The positions of all numbered asteroids and all numbered comets in JPL's small-body database are shown (as of April 1, 2007 ).  Asteroids are yellow dots, comets are the pale blurry smudges.  We are looking down on the Solar System, overlooking the "North Pole" of the Earth.  As can be seen, our Solar System is a pretty busy place.

Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
Inner Solar System Orbit Diagrams
http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/?ss_inner

 

NIGHT SKY FOR January 21, 2008 from Hopiland:  Click for full screen sky map

 

 

IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory

If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this.  It is centered for 5 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings- 10 pm Monday evening) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land.  This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL).  It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it.  With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world).  Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay).  Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart.  Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.

 

PLANET WATCH: 

Mars directly overhead at Latitude of Hopi Land, Arizona at 10 PM Hopi Land time.  Moon will be to the East of Mars a fairly small distance.


PLANET ALIGNMENTS:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

SOLAR SYSTEM FORECAST:

For a listing of all planetary alignments and charts for 2008, click onto the 2008 Alignment  Almanac.  Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment.

February 1 to 5, 2008 - Mercury | Mars and then Mercury | Earth

Mercury will move rapidly through a series of alignments, beginning with an alignment on February 1 and then swing past Earth on February 5 on its way to Saturn a few days later. This should call forth a lot of vigor from the Sun.  A major Sunspot Peak is likely to appear during the last week of January (from about Jan. 21) and persist, with two or three peaks, for a couple of weeks. This should make for a very stormy beginning to the month of February.

February 5-23, 2008 - An Heliocentric Projection from Home Planet Software

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2008/planets/planets_equal_2-5-08.gif

 

 

LUNAR SCHEDULE:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs. Use these graphs which are drawn by MWM from the table data to find PERIGEE, DECLINATION, AND PHASE (NEW OR FULL MOON).  Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words.  Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.

 

The Giant Plot allows you to see the exact dates (UTC). 

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

For a more traditional text table of the Lunar Schedule, go to the Almanac

Declination (Dragon Cycle) and Distance (Perigee Cycle) define the strongest and most extreme moments of Lunar influence on the Earth. Distances of less than 365,000 KM indicate Perigees with the Lunar gravity field considerably stronger than average.  Declinations of 27 or 28 indicate an extreme position of the Moon over the Northern (+) or Southern Hemisphere (-). A high declination with a low distance for Perigee exerts significantly greater torque on the Earth in zones which do not usually receive so much. The "timing" of these "moments" creates "windows" of exceptional syzygy.  These relationships are best viewed in graph form.

 

[1-21-08 ECB]   The Moon is moving rapidly from New to Full on January 22/23.  At this moment the Moon is in a middling Perigee in its  Extreme North  Declination (North Node).   We are currently in a lunar moment with all lunar cycles coming into a close synchronization.   We are still quite close to Perihelion and accordingly the potential is still higher than normal for major tectonic events, quakes, and eruptions.  After this Syzygy Window, peak seismic activity levels should continue to decline for a few months while the Lunar and Earth Orbital Cycles come out of phase with each other.  There will be a weak synchronization in May and June of 2008, then strong dis-synchronization until November 2008. November will begin a new round of synchronized Lunar cycles, with December producing the strongest synchronization of the year in a near perfect alignment with the Earth's Perihelion, during both the New Moon (Dec. 27/28) and Full Moon (Dec. 13)of December. These then are likely months of the greatest quake events and for the most part 2008 is likely to be a "middling year" for seismic activity, perhaps even slightly diminished from 2006/2007 levels.

 


 

 

 

 

 


True Equator and Equinox of Date For 2007
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/cgi-bin/aa_geocentric.pl


ASTEROID DATA QUOTED DIRECTLY FROM NASA 

Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.  See http://www.spaceweather.com/

On January 21,  2008 there were 921 potentially hazardous asteroids (as tabulated by NASA - no one knows how many will be tabulated but so far the total has been going up by at least one a week for the past couple of years).

Upcoming 2008 Earth-asteroid encounters:

Jan. 2008 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2005 WJ56
Jan. 10
10.9 LD
11
1.2 km
2008 AF3
Jan. 13
1.0 LD
14
27 m
1685 Toro
Jan. 24
76 LD
13
6.2 km
2007 TU24
Jan. 29
1.4 LD
10
400 m
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

METEOR & COMET ANNOUNCEMENTS FROM NASA 

 

 
     
 

EARTH POLAR MOTION: Spin Axis, Magnetic Poles

 Links to:  ALMANAC  |  WOBBLE GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

[1-21-08 ECB]  POLAR MOTION:  No significant change from previous reports.  The Spiral Track of Earth's Wobble continues to expand outward in a stable pattern. As can be expected (by looking at the history of the Wobble Track), the Earth's Wobble is currently receiving a boost of energy from the Earth's Perihelion moment with the Sun. Since the Earth is closer to the Sun at this moment, solar gravity is tugging in phase slightly more strongly on the heavy side of the Earth (the Southern Hemisphere).  As a result the track of Polar Motion is now clearly showing a marked acceleration in the outward, expansionary movement of its spiral track.  This is all normal. The Spin Axis is currently located in the longitude quadrant of the Russian Far East moving rapidly towards Alaska..

[11-12-07 ECB] WOBBLETRACKER SOFTWARE IMPROVED.  Davis Chapman graciously upgraded the WobbleTracker Software in a way which makes it easier to use and more analytically powerful for plotting exact date sequences.  Anyone who has previously purchased WobbleTracker is eligible for an upgrade which I will email as a zip file.

 

 

Mouse arrow cursor points toward the latest location of Spin Axis

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2008/wobble/wobbletrac_1-21-2008.gif

Image is from WobbleTracker software, drawn by MWM

Graph Scale is set to 1.0 arcseconds, Grid Size = 0.05 arcseconds
Time Domain as shown in upper right hand corner
.
All movement is counter-clockwise.
 

 

This chart shows the location of the North Spin Axis relative to the “map coordinates” which were established at the end of the 19th century.  A drift of over 50 feet since 1900 in the circular track of Chandler’s Wobble is shown in this chart.  This drift is the primary cause of the acceleration in Earth’s tectonic activity. In order to “parallel” the way in which geophysicists create and record the Earth’s polar location geo-reference system, this graph shows the negative numbers opposite to the manner which they are typically drawn in school books.  –X is shown on the top half, and this corresponds to the direction of the Pacific Hemisphere.  –Y is shown on the right side and this corresponds to the Eurasian Land Mass.  X= Longitude 0, which is the Greenwich Meridian which bisects through England; +Y= Longitude West 90,  which bisects through the Great Lakes (North America).

 

NEW CHART RELEASE WHICH PROVES THAT POLAR MOTION PHASES REGULATE EL NINO (and probably the other climate oscillations in the Northern Atlantic and the Indian Oceans): To see the chart Click Here! Composed fresh for the revised edition of the Return of the Phoenix, a new expanded chart shows the track of Earth's Wobble up and down the Greenwich Meridian (called the X Axis of polar motion by geophysicists) for the period 1890-2006.  For additional details go to Wobble Almanac.

 

 
 

WORLD & REGIONAL WEATHER: Storm Fronts, Hurricanes, El Nino & La Nina, Drought & Fire, Global Warming

 Links to:  ALMANAC  |  CLIMATE  GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

SUMMARY ASSESSMENT

[1-21-08 ECB]  In North America chaos rules and is likely to sucker punch the land masses of the Northern Hemisphere repeatedly in the weeks ahead from both oceanic sides.  PSW is now walled off from rain by cooler than normal Pacific surface temperatures but Central California through to Oregon is likely to become the highway express for marine air brought in by a low latitude Jet Stream.  Be ready for anything. Remember these key words to get the syndrome memory in your head:  this is classic La Nina Mild Winter in the Global Warming Syndrome.  In this condition winters are colder, summers warmer, transition seasons are  longer, and average oceanic temperature is rising, especially in the Arctic, melting more and more ice.  Simple.

The Ocean Climate Regimes (relative to averages)

Pacific zones are very slowly normalizing in the Northern Hemisphere, North Atlantic is diverging again with greater heat.

LA NINA

[1-21-08 ECB]  Persisting well, though mild.  Slightly warmer Pacific Equator this week. This must now be the longest La Nina of record.

NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION

[1-21-08 ECB]  Slightly warm conditions in the surface water are spreading again in area and heat content.  This is likely to continue the current Winter regime, which is generally milder than normal.

NORTH PACIFIC GYRE HOTSPOT

[1-21-08 ECB] The North Pacific Gyre Hotspot is now holding stable with slightly warmer water than average. The weather pattern for Winter 2008 will likely be classical La Nina Syndrome, but weather averages will be pushed slightly to the higher latitudes to reflect the Global Warming effect.

EL NINO (not currently active)

[10-1-07 ECB] PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT EL NINO:  It will onset quickly directly out of the La Nina and it will be one of the strongest of record.  It also probably will be a longer than normal El Nino. This is based purely on the higher than ever tempo of earthquake and volcanic activity around the world during 2006 and 2007, plus the greater number of major quakes (6+) in the Great Rift this year. The increased heat flux from the East Pacific Rift will eventually make its way to the surface and produce the typical El Nino hot Equator.

 

For More Information On Dynamics and Predictions Of  The Ocean Climate Regimes & El Nino / La Nina

GO TO THE WEATHER/CLIMATE ALMANAC

GLOBAL WARMING SYNDROME:  Far more probable than not, the first half of 2007 has brought a serious surge of heat through the Great Rifts in the bottom of the oceans.   It is likely that this is still continuing and it may continue throughout 2008.  The telling sign is the spurt of Great Rift quakes which come and go in waves.  These all indicate movements which marine geologists are nearly certain indicate extensive magma dikes and lava flows in or very close to the Great Rift Valleys.  This activity during the first half of 2007 likely will feed a new round of heat into the oceanic climate system during the next 36 months and thus over-all Global Warming will continue to surge upwards.  This pattern, as of January 08, may still be underway.

The increased heat energy in the climate system along the broad middle of the Earth ( from the tropics which supplies the juice which powers the air conditioner of your weather) is causing the flow of air more rapidly in greater volumes into the north and south out of the Equatorial zone.  Warm air travels further to the North (or South) and pushes increased cold air to flow out of the polar zones (your cooling coils).  The more Global Warming, the more intense and stormy will be both Winter and Summer, the Winter cooler, the Summer hotter, with more power in all storms.  The primary consistent barometer of all of this:  the melting of the Arctic Ice.

 

 

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/sst/gsstanim_1-21-08.gif

The key to dynamic change is the bottom graph which displays the "out of average" readings.  This allows us to quickly spot the extremes which are forming up in the various oceanic climate regimes.  It is a lot cheaper and easier than using supercomputers.

 

Seasonal Color Map Graphs - Predict Rain and Temperatures For North America For The Year Ahead – Science Is Finally Catching Up With Farmer’s Almanac.  Go here to get updated on the likely rain and temperature forecast.  This one currently on the web is essentially based on a La Nina forecast. 

 

HURRICANES

VERDICT IS IN:  I think that we are we seeing that it is hard to get up a decent hurricane without some sunspot stimulation. With the virtual death of the hurricane season at more or less Solar Minima during 2007, I think we have the verdict now in.  This is a very interesting development. 

NOAA EAST PACIFIC  Latest Facts & Forecast Updated every 12 hours

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

NOAA WEST ATLANTIC  Latest Facts & Forecast Updated every 12 hours

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

 

 

 

 

GEOTECTONIC ACTIVITY: Volcanoes, Shape Shifting, Earthquakes

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  GEOTECTONIC  GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

Al, you there?  Here is the primary signal of the tectonic motion which is creating Global Warming.

 

EARTHQUAKE TRENDS & THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  QUAKE GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

Click here to see the latest graphs of the Global Quake Trend
(fourfold increase during the past 30 years)

 

EARTHQUAKES CURRENT:

[1-21-08 ECB]   Earthquake activity Class 4+ is about average .  Currently quake activity is too minor to characterize except to say that the East Pacific Rise is currently (past 72 hours a definite focus.  This may auger increased activity coming in the Carib Plate and the slide of the Baja to the North against Southern California.

CLICK ON IMAGES FOR EXPANDED VIEW; red indicates quakes 4+ during the previous 24 hours, orange during previous day, yellow during the previous two weeks, violet during the past 15 years

SEISMIC MONITOR BY IRIS
 
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2006/quakes/worldquakes_IRIS_1-21-08.gif

 

Best to go here below and click for the latest dynamic page with explanations of the symbols and large displays of regions of the Earth (these are "at the moment" charts):  http://www.iris.edu/seismon/

Last Seven Days - for earthquakes worldwide magnitude 4.0 plus and U.S. territorial magnitude 2.5 plus; for source list see http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php

 

CONCERNING DATABASE FILES OF QUAKE CATALOGS:
The EC Bulletins is now using  ONLY THE "ANSS COMPOSITE QUAKE CATALOG" for stats - The ANSS is the evolved transformation of the CSSC system based at Berkeley California where the geophysicists have been collecting data since the beginning of the seismograph technology.  The USGS databases are derived from the ANSS catalogs and the IRIS group above is attempting to provide a scientific display network for access to current information about current earthquakes (for the last 30 days).

 

SHAPESHIFTING:  ACTIVITY LAST YEAR WAS VERY HIGH.

Shape-shifter quakes indicate the spreading of the Rift Valley, the creation of new crust through magma dikes which fills in the cracks of the Great Rift, and hence the inevitable forcing of the Earth’s crust to change its shape to adjust for the new crust.  Most subduction zone quakes (such as in the Pacific Rim of Fire) probably occur as a consequence of the shape-shifting of the Earth. The outlines of the tectonic plates and the Great Rift can be be seen in the violet color in this chart above.  For a chart of Earth’s Tectonic Plates, go to: http://www.iris.edu/seismon/html/plates.html

 

[1-21-2008]  Shape-shifters fell off in frequency during most of the last half of 2007 and have recently begun to increase again during the Earth's Perihelion moment.

 

M 5+ earthquakes, past 7 days RSS 2.0 CAP
The USGS RSS Feed, which is constantly changing its content, can be accessed at:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/catalogs/eqs7day-M5.xml

 

Other Datafeeds On Quakes:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/catalogs/

 

TECTONIC MOTION QUAKE FORECAST:
Forecasts are based on Syzygy Windows which can be seen in the Lunar Ephemeris Charts.  Go to the Moon section to select your chart.

Occasionally the chart information is supplemented with data from Earth Sensitives, who include some humans and animals. For Earth Sensitive information, go to PamWiseman.com  For other Syzygy-type forecasts and a portal to other valuable approaches, see Syzygyjob.com

 

[1-21-2008]  The Perihelion Moment is dwindling rapidly and so are the strength of Lunar Syzygies.  Accordingly, the next 90 days is likely to see less and less liklihood of major quakes.  Danger zones will reappear in May and June Full or New Moon periods, and again in November and December.  The other months of the year will not be highly stressful syzygies and they are less likely to produce large and/or numerous quakes.

 

VOLCANISM

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  VOLCANO  GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

Krakatau In Vigorous Eruption November, 2007
(also popularly known as Krakatoa)