EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN Weekly Update

 


As of January 08 we are still obviously gravely threatened by the Cheney/Bush cabal.

A great many elements of the Anglo-American establishment are still clearly warning the American people that the Cheney/Bush Junta is still out-of-control and is a clear and present danger to the world.  More and more people are more frightened than ever and they are coming in greater numbers into the movement to impeach the criminals which occupy the White House.

The 911 Deception, an article by MW Mandeville, appears in the December-January 07 copy of Nexus Magazine.

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This is great: YouTube - Clan Dyken - No More Silence

 

CRITICAL ALERTS

(January 14, 2008 ECB; MWM) 

 

COSMIC FACTORS:   Solar Cycle 24 has begun and may produce the most active sun of recorded history.  Its activity will peak during 2011-2014.  As solar activity gradually increases, both environmental dynamics and human behavior and emotionalism will shift into a more rapid flux of activity and reactivity.  Solar Cycle 23 engendered deep, bitter polarizations in the world, especially in Palestine, the Middle East, and vis a vis the United States, both internationally and domestically.  Rather than resolve divisions and conflict, humans accentuated them during this last Solar Cycle.  Accordingly, during the coming cycle human reactivity and tendency to fear and violence will become greater and could easily match the "historical record-breaking" which the Sun's activity is likely to produce with Sunspots, Storms, Flares, and Ionic Wind Gusts.  Under this growing pressure, both the terrestrial environment and human societies will be subject to immense dynamic flux which will alter both the greater expanse of the Earth as well as the nations and the affairs of humans. Global Warming will accelerate more rapidly, mass migrations will become more frequent, more agriculture and oceanic food sources will fail, more nations will collapse (as in Africa), and the general level of violence will increase in many areas.  The exceptionally strong internal polarization in the U.S. against the Cabal of banksters and their oil-soaked Junta, and as well the antagonistic international polarization against the U.S., likely will be resolved by  acceleration of a chronic "half-collapse" of the current economic and political system in the U.S. This period will be marked by paralysis of politics and a chaotic period of increased repression and rebellion which gradually destroys the power of Federal agencies which have usurped far too much illegal (unconstitutional) power.  Likely the period will also spawn many concerted efforts to change major aspects of the constitution of the U.S. and the structure of its government.  In the short term, increased international militarism may be attempted by an intellectually and morally bankrupt Zionazis puppetmasters who manipulate and strongly influence nearly all institutions in the U.S. East Coast.  These attempts may be and probably will be made in various guises regardless of which political party "wins" the November 08 national U.S. elections. 

 

Currently (January 13) , the Sunspot Count is zero on a Flux of 75 which has been gradually falling from a high on 80 on January 2.  A fall in the Flux is usually a herald of diminished Solar Activity during the following day. A small spike of activity with a Count of 26 during the first week of January demonstrated the current polarity reversals in the Sun's magnetic activity which reveals that Sunspot Cycle 24 has begun.    Currently there is some apparent solar wind turbulence, still minor, but it may grow stronger today and tomorrow from large coronal holes in the solar atmosphere.  For the next 48 hours, NASA predicts a 1%  or less probability of major explosive or flare events on the Sun with a 5% to 25% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the Earth's atmosphere in the higher latitudes.  A solar wind gust and major auroras are always possible from the coronal holes aimed at Earth which now can be seen in the Sun's atmosphere.  But over all, Solar activity is likely to continue to remain low for the next seven days. For more details on current sun go here.  See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast.  Sunspot Activity is likely to rise after January 21  and fall several times to produce a stormy February on Earth, then a respite during early March, and then a very stormy early Spring just before the Spring Equinox on March 21.

 

ATMOSPHERICS  La Nina is still declining  but it may linger on through February and perhaps into March.  So far the dry Winter has failed to appear as expected from t he La Nina condition and the weather may continue in its current somewhat chaotic and exceptionally cool AND wet pattern.  The North Atlantic Oscillation is still dissolving and now is probably becoming a minor factor in weather patterns.  The North Pacific Gyre Hot Spot is cooler overall, still osing influence.  A South Pacific Gyre Hot Spot has formed up solidly and will impact climate patterns for the Southern Hemisphere Summer season. Mid Pacific coast zone off California and the Pacific Northwest is still a little cooler than  normal.  Through to at least very late February, a "typical" La Nina winter throughout most of  North America.     Huge snowfalls in the mountains.  The east coast likely will freeze like last winter.  Continue to expect a cooler winter than the weathermen once predicted for this Winter. 

GEOPHYSICAL FACTORS:    As can be expected (by looking at the history of the Wobble Track), the Earth's Wobble is currently receiving a boost of energy from the Earth's Perihelion moment with the Sun. Since the Earth is closer to the Sun at this moment, solar gravity is tugging in phase slightly more strongly on the heavy side of the Earth (the Southern Hemisphere).  As a result the track of Polar Motion is now clearly showing a marked acceleration in the outward, expansionary movement of its spiral track.  This is all normal.  See Polar Motion for additional information.  The Moon is moving rapidly from New to Full on January 22/23. See Lunar Schedule for more details. At this moment the Moon is at nearly its average distance from the Earth moving towards a middling Perigee on January 20/21 in its  Extreme North  Declination (North Node) virtually at the same moment. We are currently in a lunar moment with all lunar cycles out of peak conditions and phase out of synch with Perigee and Declination.  We are still quite close to Perihelion and accordingly the potential is still higher than normal for major tectonic events, quakes, and eruptions.  After this Syzygy Window, seismic activity levels should continue to decline for several months while the Lunar and Earth Orbital Cycles come out of phase with each other. Seismic activity is now about average in frequency for Class 4+ quakes, primarily being expressed in the Western Pacific Rim of Fire.  Meanwhile volcanism was active in 20 volcanoes, nominally up from 13, but the "reset" of the active list during the first week was probably "too severe".  The Alert List now stands now at 66 with 5 on the Restless List..  The actual levels of activity appear to be fairly sedate, mostly ash emissions, though Kilauea remains incredibly productive of lava flowing into the ocean.  Etna, an important herald, is silent, not even on the active list.  A worldwide resurgence  most likely will not hit its stride until later in January and most likely Etna's summit will telegraph the surge with a crimson glow.

 

SPIRITUAL FLUX  -  

Blue Star Kachina initiations are being conducted at this moment of Solar MIN for a reason.  The Blue Astral vibration has much less competition from the Solar Flux, making it easier for meditation students to find it in the etheric ocean.  Now is truly the time to build an internal link to consciousness of this energy.  As this link strengthens, the internal power of lucid peace will grow, hopefully strongly enough to surmount the highly charged emotional astral chaos of the next Solar MAX, which most likely will be the most chaotic period of human existence in several decades, quite possibly for several centuries.

 

GEO-ECONOMIC FLUX:   ABOVE ALL REMEMBER ROOSEVELT'S ADVICE:  THE MAIN THING WE HAVE TO FEAR IS FEAR ITSELF.  Cayce gave the formula for predicting what is happening some 70 years ago and once again is RIGHT ON THE MONEY.  As the forces contend between the factions, cliques, and money houses of the international "families", numbers will gyrate, here advancing, there declining, but over all thinning down to much lower levels.  The year 2008 will be the year of the Free Fall.  This free fall is about one year later than predicted in the "Economic Collapse of 2006", but all is on track as discussed.  The free fall should not be feared.  It will be extremely useful in sobering the Americans up from their drunken Globalism bender.  The agenda will suddenly change and a new continental industrial agenda can come to the fore.  There are many new generational initiatives in the energy field which can be undertaken to drive another decade long wave of rapidly growing prosperity.  Oil and computers will become increasingly secondary to alternative energy, robotics, and health enhancement industries.

 

GEOPOLITICAL FLUX:   

As we can see, the herding of the sheeple continues.  The Americans are greatly  distracted by the Presidential debates, which are being conducted far earlier than they should be.  Partly this has been arranged by an establishment which refuses to undertake the impeachment of the Cheney/Bush Junta.  The debates dissipate the focus of attention on Bush as well as pushing away from the news media the stories about Iraq. For what it is worth, the line up Republicon candidates continues to repulse all sensibility with the grotesque bigotries, presumptions, and the macabre manipulations of language and ideas into senselessness.  It is evident in their personalities that these men are the biggest posing fools of many generations, fully capable of leading Custer's Charge straight over the nearest cliff.  The exception, the exceptionally honest Ron Paul, is already completely sidelined by the Republicon Warcast Machine as a kooky non-entity.  The Demoquack candidates continue to confound all sensibility with thickets of rhetoric which never find enough bottom to enjoy even a lingering status as real reality in a would-be voter's mind.  "Change, change, change", the mantra is now the advertising mantra of 2008, leading us exactly to the same state of our current confusion, only squared as our confusion collides with our new expectations surrounding the Demoquack pretenders. 

 

THERE IS STILL A RISK OF FALSE-FLAG TERRORIST OPERATIONS INSTIGATED BY RIGHT-WING THUG ELEMENTS IN THE CIA, MOSSAD, MK5, AND ALLIED MOBS WORKING AS AGENTS FOR AN INTERNATIONAL CABAL composed of Anglo-American-Jewish elements through to Spring, possibly October 2008.

 

The Changes In The Earth - Global Summary

A RECENT CHART DEFINES "THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH". Click to see the threefold trend in world quake activity 4+ for 1973-2007. This increase in seismic energy is signaling all the other Changes In The Earth, including Global Warming.  Daily average frequency of 4+ quakes has risen from 11 in 1973 to about 35 in 2007.  The average rose dramatically during 2005/06 and is currently lower.  The daily average for 2007 will probably rise a little by the end of the year and may rise more slowly during the next few years.  Statistics are tricky master illusionists so be careful with this following thought:  an exponential growth curve can be drawn through earthquake data 4+ to project another DOUBLING of the current frequency by about 2020.

CHECK OUT THE World Clock for the latest earth-scale human statistics.

 

http://michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin

 

 

WAR THREATS ARE STILL VERY GREAT.

THE ZIONAZIS WAR PLAN to do Iran has failed but the Cheney/Bush Cabal now seems determined to exert greater control over Pakistan.  This is almost certainly doomed to destabilize Pakistan and provide radicals with the opportunity to steal some or all of Pakistan's nuclear arsenal.  Meanwhile Israel will full press court the Cheney/Bush Junta  to allow Israel to bomb Iran's uranium separation plants sometime later this year.  The potential for horrible mischief by this international thugocracy is very great.


 

 

 
 
Our Sacred Body
Without these things we die, thus these things compose our true body.

GEOPHYSICAL WATCH

The Changes In The Earth

Solar Activity  |  Planets  |  Moon  |  Asteroids  |  Meteors & Comets  |

Earth's Wobble  |

World Weather  |  Earthquakes  |  Volcanism  |

 

 
 

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar Storms, Sunspots, Ionic Wind, Magnetic Disturbances

Links to:  ALMANAC | SOLAR GALLERY | EARTH MONITOR
 

 

Visible Sun Of January 14, 2008:  Credit: SOHO/MDI

[1-14-08 ECB]  Currently (January 13) , the Sunspot Count is zero on a Flux of 75 which has been gradually falling from a high on 80 on January 2.  A fall in the Flux is usually a herald of diminished Solar Activity during the following day. A small spike of activity with a Count of 26 during the first week of January demonstrated the current polarity reversals in the Sun's magnetic activity which reveals that Sunspot Cycle 24 has begun.    Currently there is some apparent solar wind turbulence, still minor, but it may grow stronger today and tomorrow from large coronal holes in the solar atmosphere.   But over all, Solar activity is likely to continue to remain low for the next seven days.  See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast. 

[1-14-08 ECB]  NASA reports no sunspots on the farside.
[Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI] 

[1-14-08 ECB]  Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments:    Sunspot Activity is likely to rise after January 21  and fall several times to produce a stormy February on Earth, then a respite during early March, and then a very stormy early Spring just before the Spring Equinox on March 21.

 

 

IMPORTANT NOTE WHICH MOST PEOPLE STILL ARE NOT GETTING:

The Sun is at minimum levels of activity.  Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes.

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/solar_1-14-08.gif

graph courtesy Jan Alvestad http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Latest Graph: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/images/solar.gif
Daily Sunspot Numbers Are ISSN: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt

Sunspot Count Chart:  In this chart above the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).  

 

Date       Flux Spots Area

Click here for NOAA Sunspot Table For Past 30 Days

Pix of coronal holes[1-14-08 ECB] NASA reports two large coronal holes in the Sun's atmosphere.  NASA predicts a 1%  probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours. NASA  predicts there is a 5% to 25% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours, partly as result of gusts expected in the Solar Wind from the coronal holes on January 14 and 15.    Pix Credit: NOAA  

[1-7-08 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:    Solar Cycle 23 never gave us a  a full 30 days of 0 Sunspots but the data compiled below by Alvestad makes it fairly clear that October was the MIN month and Solar Cycle 24 began, as we pointed out here, more or less in November 2007.

Month Average solar
flux at Earth
International sunspot number Smoothed sunspot number
2007.09 67.1 2.4 (6.7 predicted, +0.0)
2007.10 67.4 0.9 (7.2 predicted, +0.5)
2007.11 69.6 1.7 (7.8 predicted, +0.6)
2007.12 78.5 10.1 (8.1 predicted, +0.3)
2008.01     (8.7 predicted, +0.6)

source: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/

For current, critical information about the past few cycles and Sunspot Cycle 24, click here.

 

NASA MORE OR LESS AGREES THAT SOLAR CYCLE 24 HAS BEGUN: 

For more details, go to Almanac:  Cycles of the Sun

Magnetic Disturbances: (As Shown By Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska )

[1-14-08 ECB]  Fluxgate Monitor shows a couple of brief but energetic disturbances.  Solar Activity in the wind stream may be fairly unstable but generally mild (this range or smaller) for much of the remainder of January.  Activity will pick up dramatically in February, which will be extremely active with alignments and spikes in the Sunspot Count. (Always keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur and produce intense magnetic storms in the atmosphere.)

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/fluxgate_1-14-08.gif

 

 
 

 

 

 

PLANETARY ACTIVITY: Skywatching, Planet Alignments, Moon, Asteroids

 The Inner Four Planets set inside the ring of the asteroid belt and the orbit of Jupiter. Each point of light is an actual representation of a planet, asteroid, or comet (plus the Sun of course), set within a true scale of distance as of April 1.   The positions of all numbered asteroids and all numbered comets in JPL's small-body database are shown (as of April 1, 2007 ).  Asteroids are yellow dots, comets are the pale blurry smudges.  We are looking down on the Solar System, overlooking the "North Pole" of the Earth.  As can be seen, our Solar System is a pretty busy place.

Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
Inner Solar System Orbit Diagrams
http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/?ss_inner

 

NIGHT SKY FOR January 14, 2008 from Hopiland:  Click for full screen sky map

 

 

IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory

If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this.  It is centered for 5 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings- 8 pm Monday evening) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land.  This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL).  It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it.  With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world).  Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay).  Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart.  Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.

 

PLANET WATCH: 

Mars directly overhead at Latitude of Hopi Land, Arizona at 10 PM Hopi Land time.


PLANET ALIGNMENTS:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

[12-10-07 ECB] SPECIAL NOTE:

We are entering into a period of exceptional synchronicity of many orbital cycles, involving nearly all the planets and the orbital cycles of both the Earth and the Moon.  This is likely to produce a substantial rise in Solar Activity during the remainder of December through January.  It is also likely to produce a substantial rise in tectonic activity, both volcanic and seismic.  The year 2006 was a record-breaking year for significant events in both types of tectonic activities and 2007 has become a close match.  We may now see a temporary surge upwards into new levels.

December 22 is a middle focal point at which many cycles "click" synergistically.  It is of course, the Winter Solstice (shortest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere), but more importantly it is the approximate beginning of the moment of Perihelion, the time of the annual orbit during which the Earth is closest to the Sun.  This maximizes the Sun's influence on the Earth (especially in the Southern Hemisphere).  The Moon will be in Full Phase, in a fairly close Perigee, maximizing the "rifting" or expanding effect with a 180 degree pull of opposition to the gravity of the Sun.

At the same time, the Moon will be in Extreme Declination of about 27 Degrees in the Northern Hemisphere while the Sun will be in the lowest elevation in the Southern Hemisphere.  The total divergence is approximately 50 degrees. This suggests that the greatest torque impact on the Spinning Earth will be at a considerable angle to the Equator, most especially against  the north-south trending East Pacific Rise and the always hyperactive eastern and northern margins of the vast Australian Tectonic Plate, most notably through New Zealand, Fuji/Loyalty/Solomon Islands groups, Papua New Guinea, and the always dangerous tectonic margins alongside which sit the main Indonesian Islands.

In this vast tug of war, the Sun will be pulling the Equatorial bulge downwards and the Moon will be pulling the bulge upwards at about the same force of gravity, once every 24 hours of the Earth's Spin.  If we could hear all the earthquake signals, we would hear the Earth groaning and creaking in rising and falling patterns, like a ship tossed at sea, in response to this cosmic dance.  As the Earth spirals daily through this routine, like a ballerina  pirouetting multiple times across a long stage,  bowing first to the Sun and then to the Moon, all fault zones in the Earth will "work" and more than normal will break in greater ruptures than usual.  It is that simple

Spreading activity in the Great Rift of the Pacific should be higher than usual and the stress against the Western Pacific (Philippines, Taiwan, Japan) and Australia should thus also much higher than normal.  This is of course equally true for Central and South America.  This combination may also be favorable for greater lateral movement of the Pacific past the western coast of North America, though this is merely a speculation.  In any event, this combination is more likely to produce Great Quakes in the tropical and Pacific regions than during any other moment of 2007 and earlier years.  It will almost certainly produce a substantial increase in heat flux in the Great Rift, most especially in the East Pacific.  This heat flux likely will initiate the next round of El Nino during 2008 and noticeably accelerate Global Warming.

Overhead, the planets will play out a complex set of alignments which must be seen on the chart below for the best mental image.  Mars and Earth will align, which almost always has a major impact on the Earth's atmosphere by substantially increasing solar activity for a few weeks.  At the same time Venus aligns in a different quadrant with Saturn.  On the side of the Sun dead opposite to the Earth, in a remarkable symmetry of synergy, Mercury aligns with Jupiter and Pluto, thus creating a nearly straight line in the solar system between six bodies, with the Sun in the middle.  Mercury and Jupiter have coupled their influences quite easily during previous alignments, despite the far distance in their orbits, and have sometimes produced spectacular increases in Solar Activity.

This is probably not the Sun's season for a huge increase in Solar Activity.  But all this planetary stimulation should produce a fairly energetic response in the Sun.  Sunspots and wind streams should be pulled out of both sides of the Sun at the same time which will make for a few weeks of counts mostly above 10, with one or two or three peaks above 50.  This may be the beginning of a progressive upsurge in Solar Activity from month to month, a new cycle which scientists will number as Solar Cycle 24.

This increased solar activity will of course hit our Global Warming Syndrome Winter (in La Nina Phase which is "beating" with the North Atlantic Warm Oscillation).  Ionic power in the atmosphere will increase substantially, inducing larger flows of large air masses, especially flowing out of the polar zones over the land masses.  This will make for COLD WINTER gales in the high northern latitudes and in all mountain zones.  Continental coast zones will see a lot of stormy weather highly variable under an unstable Jet Stream.  Much snow and rain.   Latitudes below North 45 in the Northern Hemisphere will see a lot of unpredictable weather.  What would have been a La Nina winter drought period will be punctuated with sudden wet storm fronts.

SOLAR SYSTEM FORECAST:

For a listing of all planetary alignments and charts for 2008, click onto the 2008 Alignment  Almanac

[1-7-08 ECB]  Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment. This next six body alignment creates a very complex time line of coupling and refocusing of energy patterns in the solar system.  There may be several minor blips produced by this dynamic coupling scattered over two or three weeks.

January 7, 2008 - Mercury | Neptune

A relatively minor influence but this alignment induced a Sunspot Count of 26 from the floor of Solar MIN.  The Jupiter | Pluto alignment will persist for awhile but it is probably creates about a zero influence.  There is another minor alignment in a few days but there are no more alignments in January which will induce notable activity in the Sun.  The next three weeks should settle down significantly.

January 7, 2008 - An Heliocentric Projection from Home Planet Software

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2008/planets/planets_equal_1-7-08.gif

 

LUNAR SCHEDULE:

Links to:  ALMANAC  |  COSMIC GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs. Use these graphs which are drawn by MWM from the table data to find PERIGEE, DECLINATION, AND PHASE (NEW OR FULL MOON).  Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words.  Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.

The Giant Plot allows you to see the exact dates (UTC). 

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

Declination (Dragon Cycle) and Distance (Perigee Cycle) define the strongest and most extreme moments of Lunar influence on the Earth. Distances of less than 365,000 KM indicate Perigees with the Lunar gravity field considerably stronger than average.  Declinations of 27 or 28 indicate an extreme position of the Moon over the Northern (+) or Southern Hemisphere (-). A high declination with a low distance for Perigee exerts significantly greater torque on the Earth in zones which do not usually receive so much. The "timing" of these "moments" creates "windows" of exceptional syzygy.  These relationships are best viewed in graph form.

 

[1-14-08 ECB]   The Moon is moving rapidly from New to Full on January 22/23.  At this moment the Moon is at nearly its average distance from the Earth moving towards a middling Perigee on January 20/21 in its  Extreme North  Declination (North Node) virtually at the same moment.   We are currently in a lunar moment with all lunar cycles out of peak conditions and phase out of synch with Perigee and Declination.   We are still quite close to Perihelion and accordingly the potential is still higher than normal for major tectonic events, quakes, and eruptions.  After this Syzygy Window, seismic activity levels should continue to decline for several months while the Lunar and Earth Orbital Cycles come out of phase with each other.

 

 Lunar Schedule For 2007
computed from Home Planet Software (op. cit.)

These are not updated yet:  see the charts above, most especially the Giant Plot for 2008:

ALL TIMES AND DATES ARE UTC (Greenwich)

+ or - = synchronicity within 48 hours with Full or New Moon

Event Date Time Distance To Earth KM  + Time Spread
close influence          
peak influence          
  Perigee          
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
Perigee December 22, 2007 10:12 360816 km   F-1d15h
             
  Apogee          
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
Apogee December 6, 2007 16:55 406234 km - N-3d 0h
             
  New          
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
New January 8, 2008 11:38        
             
  Full          
             
             
             
             
             
             
             
Full December 24, 2007 1:17        

 

 

Integrated Lunar Schedule On Time Dimension

All dates and times are UTC

New May 16, 2007 19:29        
Apogee May 27, 2007 22:02 405456 km   F-4d 3h
Full June 1, 2007 1:05        
Perigee June 12, 2007 17:08 363777 km   N-2d10h
New June 15, 2007 3:15        
Apogee June 24, 2007 14:26 404538 km   F-5d23h
Full June 30, 2007 13:50        
Perigee July 9, 2007 21:39 368533 km   N-4d14h
New July 14, 2007 12:05        
Apogee July 22, 2007 8:44 404150 km   F-7d16h
Full July 30, 2007 0:50        
Perigee August 3, 2007 23:53 368891 km   F+4d23h
New August 12, 2007 23:04        
Apogee August 19, 2007 3:29 404620 km   N+6d 4h
Full August 28, 2007 10:37        
Perigee August 31, 2007 0:14 364173 km   F+2d13h
New September 11, 2007 12:45        
Apogee September 15, 2007 21:07 405644 km   N+4d 8h
Full September 26, 2007 19:47        
Perigee September 28, 2007 1:54 359419 km   F+1d 6h
New October 11, 2007 5:02        
Apogee October 13, 2007 9:54 406489 km - N+2d 4h
Perigee October 26, 2007 11:52 356754 km ++ F+   6h
Full October 26, 2007 4:53        
Apogee November 9, 2007 12:33 406670 km -- N-  10h
New November 9, 2007 23:04        
Perigee November 24, 2007 0:13 357195 km + F-  14h
Full November 24, 2007 14:31        
Apogee December 6, 2007 16:55 406234 km - N-3d 0h
New December 9, 2007 17:41        
Perigee December 22, 2007 10:12 360816 km   F-1d15h
Full December 24, 2007 1:17        
New January 8, 2008 11:38        

 

 

Apparent Geocentric Positions Of The Moon
from the U.S. Naval Observatory.

In this schedule above, you can see the Perigee/Apogee cycle in the right hand column and in the next set of numbers to the left you can see Declination.  For a more detailed ephemeris, go to: Lunar Emphemeris 2008-2030 (this is a truncated table from the US Navy Observatory CDROM).


 

 

 

 

 


True Equator and Equinox of Date For 2007
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/cgi-bin/aa_geocentric.pl


ASTEROID DATA QUOTED DIRECTLY FROM NASA 

Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.  See http://www.spaceweather.com/

On January 14,  2007 there were 918 potentially hazardous asteroids (as tabulated by NASA - no one knows how many will be tabulated but so far the total has been going up by at least one a week for the past couple of years).

Upcoming 2007 Earth-asteroid encounters:

Jan. 2008 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Mag.
Size
2005 WJ56
Jan. 10
10.9 LD
11
1.2 km
1685 Toro
Jan. 24
76 LD
13
6.2 km
2007 TU24
Jan. 29
1.4 LD
10
400 m
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

METEOR & COMET ANNOUNCEMENTS FROM NASA 

 

 
     
 

EARTH POLAR MOTION: Spin Axis, Magnetic Poles

 Links to:  ALMANAC  |  WOBBLE GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

[1-14-08 ECB]  POLAR MOTION:  The Spiral Track of Earth's Wobble continues to expand outward in a stable pattern. As can be expected (by looking at the history of the Wobble Track), the Earth's Wobble is currently receiving a boost of energy from the Earth's Perihelion moment with the Sun. Since the Earth is closer to the Sun at this moment, solar gravity is tugging in phase slightly more strongly on the heavy side of the Earth (the Southern Hemisphere).  As a result the track of Polar Motion is now clearly showing a marked acceleration in the outward, expansionary movement of its spiral track.  This is all normal. The Spin Axis is currently located in the longitude quadrant of the Russian Far East moving rapidly towards Alaska..

[11-12-07 ECB] WOBBLETRACKER SOFTWARE IMPROVED.  Davis Chapman graciously upgraded the WobbleTracker Software in a way which makes it easier to use and more analytically powerful for plotting exact date sequences.  Anyone who has previously purchased WobbleTracker is eligible for an upgrade which I will email as a zip file.

 

 

Mouse arrow cursor points toward the latest location of Spin Axis

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2008/wobble/wobbletrac_1-14-2008.gif

Image is from WobbleTracker software, drawn by MWM

Graph Scale is set to 1.0 arcseconds, Grid Size = 0.05 arcseconds
Time Domain as shown in upper right hand corner
.
All movement is counter-clockwise.
 

 

This chart shows the location of the North Spin Axis relative to the “map coordinates” which were established at the end of the 19th century.  A drift of over 50 feet since 1900 in the circular track of Chandler’s Wobble is shown in this chart.  This drift is the primary cause of the acceleration in Earth’s tectonic activity. In order to “parallel” the way in which geophysicists create and record the Earth’s polar location geo-reference system, this graph shows the negative numbers opposite to the manner which they are typically drawn in school books.  –X is shown on the top half, and this corresponds to the direction of the Pacific Hemisphere.  –Y is shown on the right side and this corresponds to the Eurasian Land Mass.  X= Longitude 0, which is the Greenwich Meridian which bisects through England; +Y= Longitude West 90,  which bisects through the Great Lakes (North America).

 

NEW CHART RELEASE WHICH PROVES THAT POLAR MOTION PHASES REGULATE EL NINO (and probably the other climate oscillations in the Northern Atlantic and the Indian Oceans): To see the chart Click Here! Composed fresh for the revised edition of the Return of the Phoenix, a new expanded chart shows the track of Earth's Wobble up and down the Greenwich Meridian (called the X Axis of polar motion by geophysicists) for the period 1890-2006.  For additional details go to Wobble Almanac.

 

 
 

WORLD & REGIONAL WEATHER: Storm Fronts, Hurricanes, El Nino & La Nina, Drought & Fire, Global Warming

 Links to:  ALMANAC  |  CLIMATE  GALLERY  |  EARTH MONITOR

 

SUMMARY ASSESSMENT

[1-14-08 ECB]  A quick assessment is not very easy at the current time. Chaos rules and is likely to sucker punch the land masses of the Northern Hemisphere repeatedly in the weeks ahead.  The storm moving through the PNW and Gulf of Alaska onto North America has mostly arrived but close on its heels is another much greater storm storm system in the North Pacific and behind it is another in the process of being born. PSW bands show both clockwise and counterclockwise motion making the weather for the next week NOT very foreseeable.  Be ready for anything. Remember these key words to get the syndrome memory in your head:  this is classic La Nina Mild Winter in the Global Warming Syndrome.  In this condition winters are colder, summers warmer, transistion seasons are  longer, and average oceanic temperature in rising, especially in the Arctic, melting more and more ice.  Simple.

The Ocean Climate Regimes (relative to averages)

all are very slowly normalizing in the Northern Hemisphere

LA NINA

[1-14-08 ECB]  Persisting well, though mild.  This must now be the longest La Nina of record.

NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION

[1-14-08 ECB]  Warm condition in the surface water is dissolving

NORTH PACIFIC GYRE HOTSPOT

[1-14-08 ECB] The North Pacific Gyre Hotspot is gradually  cooling  thus the weather pattern for Winter 2008 will likely be classical La Nina Syndrome, but weather averages will be pushed slightly to the higher latitudes to reflect the Global Warming effect.

EL NINO (not currently active)

[10-1-07 ECB] PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT EL NINO:  It will onset quickly directly out of the La Nina and it will be one of the strongest of record.  It also probably will be a longer than normal El Nino. This is based purely on the higher than ever tempo of earthquake and volcanic activity around the world during 2006 and 2007, plus the greater number of major quakes (6+) in the Great Rift this year. The increased heat flux from the East Pacific Rift will eventually make its way to the surface and produce the typical El Nino hot Equator.

 

For More Information On Dynamics and Predictions Of  The Ocean Climate Regimes & El Nino / La Nina

GO TO THE WEATHER/CLIMATE ALMANAC

GLOBAL WARMING SYNDROME:  Far more probable than not, the first half of 2007 has brought a serious surge of heat through the Great Rifts in the bottom of the oceans.   It is likely that this is still continuing and it may continue throughout the year.  The telling sign is the spurt of Great Rift quakes which come and go in waves.  These all indicate movements which marine geologists are nearly certain indicate extensive magma dikes and lava flows in or very close to the Great Rift Valleys.  This activity likely will feed a new round of heat into the oceanic climate system during the next 36 months and thus over-all Global Warming will continue to surge upwards. 

The increased heat energy in the climate system along the broad middle of the Earth ( from the tropics which supplies the juice which powers the air conditioner of your weather) is causing the flow of air more rapidly in greater volumes into the north and south out of the Equatorial zone.  Warm air travels further to the North and pushes increased cold air to flow out of the polar zones (your cooling coils).  The more Global Warming, the more intense and stormy will be both Winter and Summer, the Winter cooler, the Summer hotter, with more power in all storms.  The primary consistent barometer of all of this:  the melting of the Arctic Ice.

 

 

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/sst/gsstanim_1-14-08.gif

The key to dynamic change is the bottom graph which displays the "out of average" readings.  This allows us to quickly spot the extremes which are forming up in the various oceanic climate regimes.  It is a lot cheaper and easier than using supercomputers.

 

Seasonal Color Map Graphs - Predict Rain and Temperatures For North America For The Year Ahead – Science Is Finally Catching Up With Farmer’s Almanac.  Go here to get updated on the likely rain and temperature forecast.  This one currently on the web is essentially based on a La Nina forecast. 

 

HURRICANES

VERDICT IS IN:  I think that we are we seeing that it is hard to get up a decent hurricane without some sunspot stimulation. With the virtual death of the hurricane season at more or less Solar Minima during 2007, I think we have the verdict now in.  This is a very interesting development. 

NOAA EAST PACIFIC  Latest Facts & Forecast Updated every 12 hours

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_epac.shtml

NOAA WEST ATLANTIC  Latest Facts & Forecast Updated every 12 hours

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo_atl.shtml

 

 

 

 

GEOTECTONIC ACTIVITY: Volcanoes, Shape Shifting, Earthquakes

 

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LNKS  |  LATEST

Al, you there?  Here is the primary signal of the tectonic motion which is creating Global Warming.

EARTHQUAKE TRENDS & THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH

[10-9-2007] I downloaded the ANSS catalog and updated my World 4+ Quake Model and charts off line.  I was correct below in assuming that the average quake count would climb during 2007 to near 40.  The average as of October 1 is a little higher than shown in this chart below.  I will finally update this posting and the chart below in about February 2008.

[9-17-2007]  This chart was cut off at May 20, 2007.  I think the daily average for 2007 has increased since then, partly as a result of all the activity in the Western Pacific. So I suspect that the drop in the trend shown in the chart will be overcome by a higher average.

This first chart was developed for the Return of the Phoenix, Book Three.  The chart demonstrates that the Change In the Earth has accelerated about threefold since 1973.  This is a well qualified and objectively real trend.  The daily average frequency for 2007 is now running at about 35 per day for quakes 4+.  Since the online quake catalogs seldom show even half that many for each of the preceding seven days, it is also perfectly obvious that the online catalogs DO NOT PROVIDE ON THE FLY AN OBJECTIVE VIEW OF THE BEHAVIOR OF THE WHOLE EARTH.  It takes the catalog builders about 60 days to finalize the latest entries.  In other words, they are are bout two months behind.  What we get from the online services in the "current term" is a source of bulletins which provide information on the largest quakes or those closest to civilized areas.

Here is the signal which reveals the driving "wedge" where the "shaping of the Earth" begins to produce the "Change in the Earth".  Here is a roughly threefold acceleration in tectonic motion in the course of 23 years, mainly in the Great Rift which runs through the North Atlantic.  The greatest push is against Eurasia, which is subducting Japan and the Western Pacific at an accelerating pace.  Thus both zones now have geometric growth rates which will double their average seismic activity during the next 15 years while the North Atlantic continues to warm itself and the Arctic to produce a growing acceleration of Global Warming.  OBSERVE THE CLEAR RELATIONSHIP IN FREQUENCY AND PHASING WITH THE SIZE OF EARTH'S WOBBLE (TERMED HEREIN THE X MAX) AS MEASURED EACH YEAR ON THE X AXIS (very nearly the Greenwich Meridian).  Pss.  Pass this along.  I do not think anyone in the earth sciences other than you or I are aware of this fundamental geophysical dynamic.

EARTHQUAKES CURRENT:

[1-14-08 ECB]   Earthquake activity Class 4+ is about average .  Currently quake activity has shifted to the western side of Pacific.  A few shape-shifter quakes are evident.

CLICK ON IMAGES FOR EXPANDED VIEW; red indicates quakes 4+ during the previous 24 hours, orange during previous day, yellow during the previous two weeks, violet during the past 15 years

SEISMIC MONITOR BY IRIS
 
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2006/quakes/worldquakes_IRIS_1-7-08.gif

 

Best to go here below and click for the latest dynamic page with explanations of the symbols and large displays of regions of the Earth (these are "at the moment" charts):  http://www.iris.edu/seismon/

 

CONCERNING DATABASE FILES OF QUAKE CATALOGS:
The EC Bulletins is now using  ONLY THE "ANSS COMPOSITE QUAKE CATALOG" for stats - The ANSS is the evolved transformation of the CSSC system based at Berkeley California where the geophysicists have been collecting data since the beginning of the seismograph technology.  The USGS databases are derived from the ANSS catalogs and the IRIS group above is attempting to provide a scientific display network for access to current information about current earthquakes (for the last 30 days).

 

SHAPESHIFTING:  ACTIVITY THIS YEAR HAS BEEN VERY HIGH

Shape-shifter quakes indicate the spreading of the Rift Valley, the creation of new crust through magma dikes which fills in the cracks of the Great Rift, and hence the inevitable forcing of the Earth’s crust to change its shape to adjust for the new crust.  Most subduction zone quakes (such as in the Pacific Rim of Fire) probably occur as a consequence of the shape-shifting of the Earth. The outlines of the tectonic plates and the Great Rift can be be seen in the violet color in this chart above.  For a chart of Earth’s Tectonic Plates, go to: http://www.iris.edu/seismon/html/plates.html

 

M 5+ earthquakes, past 7 days RSS 2.0 CAP
The USGS RSS Feed, which is constantly changing its content, can be accessed at:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/catalogs/eqs7day-M5.xml

 

Other Datafeeds On Quakes:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/catalogs/

 

TECTONIC MOTION QUAKE FORECAST:
Forecasts are based on Syzygy Windows which can be seen in these charts:
(you may have to click on the images to tell your browser to expand the images to their full size).

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

Occasionally the chart information is supplemented with data from Earth Sensitives, who include some humans and animals. For Earth Sensitive information, go to PamWiseman.com  For other Syzygy-type forecasts and a portal to other valuable approaches, see Syzygyjob.com

 

Last Seven Days - for earthquakes worldwide magnitude 4.0 plus and U.S. territorial magnitude 2.5 plus; for source list see http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php

 

VOLCANISM:

Krakatau In Vigorous Eruption November, 2007
(also popularly known as Krakatoa)

 

 

1-14-08 ECB]  The Active List Count, which is reset every January by the INTLVR center in Arizona, was reset in one week from 13 on January 7 to 20 on January 14, with 66 on the Alert List, and 5 on the Restless List.  Most likely the Active List was reset too low during the first week of the year because the iway reports do not appear to demonstrate such a large surge in activity during the past seven days. The main increase in activity during the week appears to be ash and minor explosions.  Thus, the year began probably began at about the same level as did 2007.  Kilauea is still flowing, quite profusely compared to all other volcanoes combined, and Erebus, Stromboli, Yasur, and Arenal continue their long ever-lasting eruptions.  (These typically produce lava lakes, lava fountains, and strombolian explosions except that Kilauea's eruption mainly produces long lava flows into the Pacific Ocean). Etna is still off the Active List again but Popo erupted with a very high ash plume on January 6, its greatest "puff" in seven years, and emissions remain highly frequent compared too much of 2007. Seven years, hmmm.  Llaima remains active in Chile.

Forecast 1-7-08 ECB] In accordance with past wobble cycles and the general average trend of increase in volcanic activity, I expect that volcanic activity during 2008 will be about the same as 2007 or abate by a small percentage.

 

BAROMETER ERUPTERS:
About 20 to 30 volcanoes each year are very nearly in a continuous state of eruption.  The active volcanoes which are continuously erupting change their names only very slowly.  This means there is some turnover in the list, but it is generally at a low rate.  I have not computed it for yearly averages but it is likely in the range of about 15%.  

Most Active Zones:

Australian Tectonic Plate (northern edge)

Hawaii

Italy  - another vigorous round began April 30

Japan - Kamchatka Peninsula & Northern Arc of Rim of Fire (Aleutians-Alaska)

Western Americas - Mexico to Peru
 

Most Active Volcanoes:

Continuous Erupters:  activity continues in all

Kilauea, Hawaii: long lava flows into the Pacific Ocean - slowing now

Erebus, Ross Bay, Antarctica: lava lake, strombolian explosions

Stromboli, north of Etna: lava fountains, strombolian explosions

Yasur (Lighthouse of the Pacific, Vanuatu Island: lava lake, fountains, strombolian explosions

Arenal, Costa Rica: lava fountains and strombolian explosions
 

Nearly Continuous Erupter:

Etna, Sicily:  sleeping at the moment

A few on the Carib Plate are upsurging.

SUMMARY DATA FROM THE INTERNATIONAL VOLCANO RESEARCH CENTER: 

General Note:   INTLVRC reached a 100% rate of accuracy in predicting eruptions, the first time in their history since 1989.  They also documented 69 eruptions during 2005 and 2006, which most likely defines a peak plateau.  I expect to see even higher in 2007 (based on Wobble parallels) and then another plateauing for a couple years.  The year 2007 began with higher than normal numbers for "alert list" volcanoes.  The list generally begins the year in the range of 60 but it began the year at 71 for 2007, a record, and was at 73 just eight days into the year.  Activity going into 2008 is apparently about 10% lower.

Conclusions Independently Reached From Data At The International Volcano Research Center (INTLVRC)

http://www.intlvrc.org/

 

In early January the INTLVRC resets their counts.  They carried forward into 2007 16 volcanoes on the active list . Only 13 are being carried forward into 2008  These are the volcanoes  which more or less are continuously erupting. 

[1-7-08]   Alert List = 67

[1-7-08]   Restless List = 5

[1-7-08]   Active List = 13

 

PREDICTING ERUPTIONS:

Side Note on INTLVRC's eruption prediction program.  They had a 100% rate of accuracy last year (2006) but they have already failed by one so far this year.   The volcano Huila in Columbia was NOT successfully forecasted by SWVRC's programme ERUPTION Pro 10.6 to erupt in 2007 as it had only a 18.51% probability of an event.

 

[9-10-07 ECB]  Below are some report summaries and links as prepared by John Seach at http://www.volcanolive.com/volcanolive.html

 

Summary of Yellowstone Uplift


From the INTLVRC: http://www.intlvrc.org/restless.htm

As of the 9th of November, the Yellowstone Volcano Observatory (YVO), reported that the November 9, 2007 issue of Science Magazine features an article, Accelerated uplift and magmatic intrusion of the Yellowstone Caldera, 2004 to 2006, by YVO scientists from the University of Utah and USGS. The lead author, Wu-Lung Chang is a Post-doctoral associate with Dr. Robert B. Smith, YVO Coordinating Scientist at the University of Utah. Chang specialises in use of the Global Positioning System (GPS) to measure very small movements of the Earth's crust. Using GPS and another satellite-based technique (InSAR), the authors find that parts of the Yellowstone Caldera rose as much as 7 cm (~3") per year during the period 2004-2006. The uplift is most noticeable at the White Lake GPS station, as has been discussed in YVO's monthly YVO updates during the past year. As of late October 2007, the total uplift since 2004 at that location is about 17 cm (~7"). Chang and his colleagues credit the relatively rapid rise to recharge of magma into the giant magma chamber that underlies the Yellowstone Caldera. They also used numerical modeling to infer that the magma intruded about 10 km (6 miles) beneath the surface.

North of this region of uplift, another area at Yellowstone has moved downward over the past three years. This north rim uplift anomaly (NUA) had risen during the period 1996-2003, when the rest of the caldera had subsided. The activity was featured in a 2006 article in Nature Magazine with lead author Charles Wicks, one of the co-authors on the new article in Science Magazine. Chang and others hypothesise that magma input after 2004 caused fracturing of the crust that resulted in release of hydrothermal fluids from the north rim area. The loss of fluid pressure then resulted in deflation, or subsidence of the ground surface.

Interestingly, the Yellowstone caldera has remained seismically quiet during the past three years of uplift. An earlier article on the YVO website, Satellite Technologies Detect Uplift in the Yellowstone Caldera, provides context on the techniques used to study these movements. The new activity, though more rapid than those previously measured at Yellowstone, is not unprecedented at large calderas around the globe. Given the absence of large earthquakes, earthquake swarms and anomalous behaviour of Yellowstone's hydrothermal system (its geysers, mud pots and fumaroles), all of us find little indication that the volcano is moving towards an eruption. At this time, volcanic eruptions and hydrothermal explosions remain an unlikely possibility. Given the geologic history of the area, it is likely that the current period of uplift will cease, to be followed by another cycle of subsidence. When this might happen, though, is unknown.

During the month of October 2007, 34 earthquakes were located in the Yellowstone Region. The largest of these shocks was a magnitude 2.1 on October 17, 2007 at 0639hrs MDT, located about 26 miles southeast of West Thumb, WY. There were no swarms and no earthquakes were reported felt during October. Earthquake activity in the Yellowstone region is at low background levels.

Ground Deformation Summary: Through October 2007, continuous GPS data show that most of the Yellowstone caldera continued moving upward at similar to slightly lower rates as the past year. The maximum measured ground uplift over the past 36 months is ~17 cm at the White Lake GPS station. An example can be found at: http://pboweb.unavco.org/shared/scripts/stations/?checkkey=WLWY&sec=timeseries_plots&timeseries=raw .

 The general uplift of the Yellowstone caldera is scientifically interesting and will continue to be monitored closely by YVO staff.

The colour code at Yellowstone is currently at GREEN.

Ancient "Supervolcano" Rocked Washington State

Richard A. Lovett
for National Geographic News
February 6, 2007

Tahoma (Rainier so-called by crazy white men) could easily become the same kind of event.

 
 

Vortex Tectonics: How earth's spin axis creates earthquakes, volcanoes & global warming.

Subscribers can now download a draft review of a few chapters of  "The Nine Trends Changing The World - 1875-2025" - How Global Warming Is Caused By Underwater Volcanism and Why Greenhouse Gas Is Just Hot Air"

 THE RISING PHOENIX

[11-06-06]  I can now provide numbers and graphs which demonstrate that the current Global Warming trends CAN ONLY be produced by underwater volcanism.  The rising CO2 in the atmosphere is also likely produced by underwater volcanism, which is occurring at a rate underwater which is at least 10,000 times greater than surface volcanism.  With these numbers I am finalizing the proofs of Edgar Cayce’s Earth Change prophecies.  Global Warming is the “fire” of the Phoenix. 

 

Mean Annual Heat Flux Into The Oceans:  109 Terawatt

This is the amount of mean steady-state heat flux required to cause the warming of the World Ocean from 1957 to 1998.  This amount is three times greater than old theories.

 

Mean Minimum Annual Heat Flux Into The Oceans:  ~33 Terawatt

(although this is the widely-quoted number in the scientific literature, this is based purely on old-timey speculations which have little basis in actual fact; modern observations provide the basis to reasonably infer much higher numbers)

 

Mean Maximum Observed Peak Flairs Of Heat Flux:  ~1000 Terawatt
(from observed underwater volcanic eruptions of  a few weeks in duration)

 

Likely Range Of Annual Volcanic Heat Flux Into The Bottom Of The Oceans:  33 to 150 Terawatt. (This estimate is based on an extensive review of the literature of marine geology and oceanography for the past 25 years.  Numbers were compiled by many authors for various types of underwater volcanism and their numbers are added together to define this range).  They are being added together for the first time here in the Earth Changes Bulletin.  Much more to come.

 

The last item provides plenty of energy to sustain an empirically-based speculation that Global Warming is caused by underwater volcanism. This is a far more realistic source than the theorized small amount of "reflected heat" from a minute amount of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere.

 

The implications of this "discovery" are profound.  On the one hand "Greenhouse Gases" are not a direct threat to the climate and spending money on eradication of CO2 emissions in order to stop Global Warming is misguided.  On the other hand, the oceans are slowly warming and climate is changing radically and there is not much we can do about either one.  Furthermore, we have no clear empirical way to estimate what this trend will do in the future.  We can however look back into the past and observe that both short term and long term fluctuations do occur and the amount of change has often swung much further into higher temperatures, higher acidification of the oceans, and wider climate extremes.  In other words, we have no idea what is going to happen next, on empirical grounds, but it can change profoundly more than we know how to describe and can anticipate.

 

The long and short of it is that Global Warming is a serious threat to all human cultures and it must be assiduously dealt with on every level to avoid profound tragedy.

 

 

 

 

Mind

GEOPOLITICAL WATCH:  Strategic Assessments

( Mass Behavior, War & Peace, Politics, Black Arts Nation )

 

 
 

Mass Behavior:

CHECK OUT MOOD ALERT:  -----

Check out the Mood Alert occasionally at http://www.moodalert.com/
It is astrologically oriented but incorporates solar and geophysical indexes as well.  Cautionary note:  they confuse planetary conjunctions (an astrological term which describes relative positions with the Earth in the center reference point) by calling them planetary alignments, which is an ASTRONOMICAL term which denotes relative positions with the Sun as the center reference point.  We wish they wouldn't do that.  The EC Bulletins uses only a Solar-oriented frame of reference to track planetary alignments.


 

THE SPIRITUAL FLUX:

 

WILL GHANDI PLEASE STAND UP?

 

Central Casting is calling. This job opportunity is awesome.  The Mob which has corrupted the U.S. and runs the Boogieman Media and supplies the voting machines must be "bankrupted" and "dissolved" out of power.   The American people are going to have to assemble and duly set forth both an uncorrupted law and a new government to administer it.

 

KEEP ON Meditation - IT IS PAYING huge dividends AND THOSE WHO MEDITATE ALREADY KNOW IT!!!

 

The energetic influx is stupendous. Tune into the cosmic scene, drop out of the lunatic asylum known as Earth, and regroup your energy. The Spirit Dimension is up-scaling radically.  Know it, join hands, a huge wave of energy and consciousness change is coming rapidly to help lift North Americans out of the talons of the awful Incubus which has seized control of New York and Washington DC.

 

THIS MESSAGE IS STILL THE CRUX OF MATTER:  The flux is moving simultaneously in both a positive and a negative direction, completing the polarization of North America and birthing the division of Americans into one of two societies.  On one hand is the same old Jingo Party, originally led by Andrew Jackson, who started the  Indian Wars to make the world safe for his kind and his fellow slavers, whose Jingoism and Wars have continued unabated fashioning the New World Order Empire. On the other hand is the same old Peace Party, composed of  the same old prairie populists, spiritual idealists, and Sitting Bull conservatives who are resisting the same old assertions of nationalism and wars with foreign powers to expand the powers of the plutocrats.  The battleground between these societies is the Mass Media industry, as it has always been.  It is in the media that the soul of America will finally be found or discovered to be finally lost under a mountain of lies for the people who inhabit the continent.  Even as the spirit stirs to create powerful political conditions to block the Jingoes  and move the U.S. towards peace policies, the Jingoes have begun a massive counter-attack to poison the mind and emotions of Americans with another round of Boogiemen.  Be afraid, America, be very afraid, the Jingoes exclaim in every media, the Boogiemen of Iran are out to get you!  And if it is not them, there are other boogiemen under every other third rock.  Look Dick, said Jane, there is one over there in the college.  Oh no, now there is another one in the Fuel Tank of the Airport.  Oh Dick, said Jane, I am very frightened.  The only thing real about the Boogiemen is the War OF Terror which is being waged upon the American people by the demented Incubus in the Warcast Media which insists in following Andrew Jackson's jingo bigot footsteps.

[2-27-07 ECB] The spirit is now moving decisively and is  rising with determination to gain the upper hand.  The American public now sees through the Punch and Judy show of entrenched plutocrat politics, the worthlessness of the Warcast Media, and the lying deceptions on which lunatics are attempting to engineer a New World Empire.  More, the public now also knows that a majority truly knows.  As this consciousness of a new shared majority consensus reality blooms into greater certainty, positive political, legal, and economic change will begin to flow. Bush has become a sort of historical toxic pill which has caused the body politic to begin a  long process of rejecting the poisons of many decades which had nearly overcome it.  Like the King of the Rohirrim, whose mind and will had become numbed by the cleverly lying tongue of the ambitious Warmtongue, Americans are awakening to the realization of the truth about the parasitical pirates who infect its political and economic institutions and who have led a once successful Republic into a wholly corrupt and increasingly evil empire.  Even as all seems nearly lost under the assault of the Rings of Power, the Will to the Good is rising.  A deep, profound psychological moment has come to North America, the mind of its people are changing rapidly in many fundamental ways.  This rising tide will lift all useful institutions, and flood out the rotten ones.

 

 
 

Economy:

 

Date: Wed, 2 Jan 2008 07:36:26 -0700
X-Mailer: IncrediMail (4001888)
From: "inspirit" <inlighthardman@frontiernet.net>
To: "Michael Mandeville" <michael8@michaelmandeville.com>
Subject: PDF notes George Ure


This is George Ure's notes for the coast to coast show done last night on the web bots and what they are picking up for the year broken down by months.
Thought you might like this better to just watch.

Love, you
Annette
http://www.urbansurvival.com/c2csnotes20080102.pdf
 

 

AS YOU CAN SEE MORE CLEARLY EVERY WEEK, THE PACE OF COLLAPSE IS QUICKENING AND THE DANGER OF A VERY DEEP DEPRESSION IS VERY HIGH.  More and more extreme bears are showing up.   A long depression in the U.S. is slowly settling in and likely will bottom in 2008/2009.  It will likely take a full seven years to pull out of this nose dive.  Figures by moderate bears are now ranging between 20 to 30%.  Figures by skeptical bears are in the 40%-60% range LONG TERM.  With the collapse of the housing industry, unemployment is rolling heavily throughout the continent, worsening throughout the remainder of this year and well into 2008.  Meanwhile a vicious inflation cycle has commenced with the escalating price of oil.  This is HOW YOU AND I WILL PAY FOR THE CABAL'S MILITARY CAMPAIGN OF TERROR IN THE MIDDLE EAST.  All real commodity goods will increase by another 50% in the next few years, AT LEAST.  The value of the dollar is being rapidly adjusted downward to compensate for the high levels of unpayable dollar debts and reduce the ability of Americans to purchase international goods.  Real producers, such as China,  will get the oil and the value of their labor will rise rapidly against the value of American labor.   In all cases, regardless of short term fluctuations, Eurasia up, Latin America  up. Buy Euros.  Asia, still so tied to American consumers, is risky for the next few years until they re-orient to serving primarily Eurasian markets.

 

MUST READING:  For the latest economic profiling on the now rapidly accelerating crash SEE Charles Hugh Smith. This site is succinctly laying out what  I have been talking about the past few years. Smith is very bright, very astute, and offers great graphs and history lessons.   Read especially his "Empire of Debt I: The Great Unraveling Begins".  It's here and its bad.  We are in the melt down and according to him the unraveling of the past several years of speculation and asset  increases will occur during the next several weeks.  Funny thing that, the Web-bots and Half Past Human are saying the same things.

For extensive update dossier on the banking panic and economic crash, see

http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/earthchange-bulletins/message/4136

 

 

 

A VERY GOOD SYNOPSIS to the current scene:  Brasscheck TV On The Bubble

Watch these and you will understand what has been happening and what is about to happen: US Bubble Deflation:  20 to 30%.  Currency depreciation in this range. Gold is not the hedge the gold-bugs tout.  ALL ANALYSTS AGREE THAT 2008 WILL BE EVEN WORSE.  THIS "CORRECTION' WILL DOG ALL OF THIS YEAR AND PROBABLY ALL OF NEXT YEAR. Eurasian economy is going gangbusters. China's engine of production has replaced the U.S. economy.  Nobody needs the U.S. economy and a good portion of the world will do fine during 2008.

BUT NOTE:  VERY IMPORTANT NOTE:  The Rockefeller/Rothschild plunge protection racket has already bailed out the major U.S. brokerages and banks.  The seedy bonds are being snapped by the offshore Fed accounts to maintain liquidity. They will push strongly to maintain the symbolic levels of the DJI to preserve certain illusions. New definition for the Dow Jones Industrials:  The Dumbshitz Jabberwocky Index.  DON'T BE SUCKERED PUNCHED BY THE NEW RISING OF THE Jabberwock.

 

MASSIVELY MASSIVE COLLAPSE OF THE HOUSING INDUSTRY CONTINUES. Both white collar and blue collar unemployment will become unreal during the next twelve months.  Some of the illegal immigration will finally disappear.  No jobs and no prospects for jobs.

 

NO OTHER NEW NEWS.  YOU ALREADY GOT ALL YOU NEED.

As predicted here during the last few years, the Global System is now rapidly readjusting all basic American economic values to pay for the tragedy in Iraq and the outsourcing of economic production abroad.   The slide continues.  You want more stats?  You don't need them.  All Bears are warning everywhere of a further slide in the value of the dollar relative to Euro and Gold.  Act accordingly.   Euro economic expansion is accelerating.  Eurasian economic links are displacing North American dynamics.  The world economy, by intelligent choice of Eurasians, is bifurcating and will pull a good portion of Latin America with it.  North American economy can tank out in bankruptcy while Eurasia continues to expand.  The illegal aliens in the U.S. have traveled the wrong direction.  In a few years, a good portion will be going South.  All this will be evident in spades during the next 36 months.

 

For more details, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of

July 23, 2007

 
 

War & Peace:

 

WAR RISK IS STILL HIGH BUT MAY BE DECLINING.  We have come a long way during the past 12 months.

 

for more discussion see,

Geo-Politics Almanac

 

THEY, the sold and bought self-styled national political  elite, has consolidated itself as an Imperial Class sitting in the first class cabins of the S.S. Titanic.  THEY WILL NOT END OUR NATIONAL DISGRACE.  There is something terribly wrong here, it is clear that our Republic no longer functions, that the Mass Media is merely a propaganda shill machine which abandoned real news gathering many years ago, and that the electorate, as an electorate, has lost its ability to elect people who will enact an overwhelmingly national collective desire to stop the tragedy in Iraq.

 

IT HAS COME TO US FINALLY AT THIS TIME

THAT IF WE WISH TO END

THE NATIONAL TRAGEDY INTO WHICH WE HAVE FALLEN,

WE MUST MAINTAIN

A RELENTLESS FOCUS OF WILL TO OVERCOME.

 

A RELENTLESS FOCUS OF WILL

ON

ONE ISSUE,

ONE TOPIC,

ONE AGENDA,

ONE DECISION,

ONE ACTION

BY CONGRESS & THE AMERICAN PEOPLE:

 

IMMEDIATELY IMPEACH BUSH/CHENEY/RICE.

 

WITH THE HARDEST POSSIBLE WILL OF IRON,

MUST THE AMERICAN PEOPLE

COME TO RELENTLESSLY COMMUNICATE

 THIS ONE DECISION

EVERY DAY

IN EVERY WAY POSSIBLE.

 

IF IT TAKES A YEAR

TO BRING THE AMERICAN NATION

BEFORE THE JUDGMENT OF GOD AND HISTORY

THAT THIS HORRIBLE TRAGEDY MAY  END,

SO BE IT.

 

BE RESOLUTE, NOTHING ELSE
ON THE PUBLIC STAGE MATTERS.

 

BE RELENTLESS.

 

NO CANDIDATE, NO MARCH, NO ORGANIZATION,

NO CONGRESSIONAL RESOLUTION

CAN END THE NIGHTMARE.

ONLY THE RELENTLESS,

 IRON WILL OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE,

 COMMUNICATED FIRMLY EACH AND EVERY DAY,

 WILL CREATE THE FORCE OF PRESENCE

BY WHICH RIGHT WILL BE DONE.

 

Everyone must put their finger in the dike. I began in late 2002 with a severely radical critique of the jingoism and mass-media programming which was driving Americans into an imperial expansion which would fail.  At that time many of my subscribers grumbled and complained about my politics and questioned my judgment. They don't anymore. Now they see the truth of the matter in their own terms.


Put your finger in the dike. Do something personal, anything you think appropriate, EVERY DAY, to communicate the overwhelming need to IMPEACH BUSH/CHENEY.  Finally, when the mass media fully realizes that it is a dodo out to lunch and cannot persuade a carrot of the legitimacy of the powers that be, they will relent and rush to the head of the pack to continue their pretense of leadership.  Congress then will throw in the towel and commence impeachment.

It may take a full year of maintaining this relentless focus of will.  Do it.

You might want to check out http://www.pdamerica.org

 

 

 

     
 

Politics:

 

The Democrats have failed to deliver on their words and promises and are wasting our time with one phony pose after another.  About 80% of congressional Democrats are now as much as incompetently responsible as the Republicons for the Tragedy in Iraq.

 

We can already see that the Zionazi money, which funds both parties, is already destroying the Democratic Party as well as the Republican Party.  Both are currently on a rapid trajectory of extreme factionalization over rejection of the wars, globalism, and economic mismanagement.  Conditions HAVE NEVER BEEN MORE RIPE for third parties or "independent" candidates.

Beware a new false terror gambit, another episode of synthetic "false-flag" terror, instigated by Dr. Demento "the dick" Cheney and his  Zionazi Mossad terrorist allies.  All signs, all moves on the Grand Chessboard, demonstrate the movement of primary "assets" into placement for a blitzkrieg air assault on Iran.  Money, ships, surging force levels in the Middle East, appointment of lick-spittle bureaucrats into supreme positions of power, and many other signs suggest the obvious.   Given the full press court of New York Zionazi Money to support the idea of broadening and greatly deepening U.S. militarism in the Middle East and other areas, as witnessed by the huge sums of money which are being thrown into support of McCain's and Giuliani's candidacies, we should be greatly concerned about Dr. Demento's Gambit. 

Meanwhile, Gaza has been reduced to a ghetto which will now become a closed off prison for any Palestinian in the west bank or Lebanon who does not agree to be ruled by CIA clients. THIS IS THE REAL TERRORISM, VISITED DAILY ON MILLIONS OF PEOPLE.  Apparently the Palestinians are to be completely bitch-slapped out of Gaza for the good of Greater Zionazi.  The Abbas and Fatah puppet show will play one last engagement in the West Bank, then gradually disappear on dark and stormy nights.  The complete and abject failure of the western peoples to abide by the democratic criteria they imposed on Palestine is the final betrayal, and Jimmy Carter is the only American statesman who is speaking the truth, though the man is so cautious much of his real message is veiled in moralized abstractions.   A final war between Israel and the rest of the world may now be inevitable.  The Zionazis obviously hoped to reap the kinds of rewards of Andrew Jackson's heirs in stealing a continent, but, like Custer, Israel simply cannot prevail in the long run. 

Meanwhile in the U.S., political fractionalization is increasing and an exceptional breakdown of the two party electoral system is already well underway.   The Imperial Faction will drive the degeneration, inadvertently, by forcing increased synthetic terror in various forms and by playing out a serious covert campaign to incite a war with Iran.  It is the last strategic piece which extreme Zionazi's want to suck out of the of the dying Bush regime.  It is not likely they can do so without creating extreme controversy and agitation in the U.S., BUT IT IS NOW OVERWHELMINGLY OBVIOUS THAT THEY INTEND TO TRY.  A very sick core of manipulators fully intend to trash out the remaining vestiges of constitutional rule in the U.S. by using international violence and Zionazi "emergencies" to diktat the rise of a Globalist Aristocracy, cloaked in "corporatism", to rule over much of the world.  Iran is now the emerging foil by which they intend to induce the "emergencies" to complete the militarization of the U.S.

 

The painting of this fabric is a conscious, deliberate, knowing act of mass manipulation.  They continue to get caught at it and not even a sigh is even heard anymore.  The Warcasters continue in lockstep working assiduously at shilling the expansion of militarism in the Middle East for their clients in the Cabal. Now they are painting the propaganda line that it is going to take another two years of murderous destruction in Iraq to stamp out the Boogiemen there.  Despite the fact that nearly EVERY KNOWLEDGEABLE historian, social analyst, and political source has expertly informed the world that al Qaeda and terrorism has very little or nothing to do with what is happening in Iraq, the American Warcasters en masse are still playing the Bush'iter al Qaeda line, casting the American role in Iraq as a struggle against al Qaeda which the American people dare not lose.  This is just another massive heap of dishonest crap which continues to bury what was once rumored as the greatest nation on the world.  Humbug Rules.  These lies are a stench over the entire Earth, yeah even unto the Heavens, the prophets of old are saying as they role over in their graves.  Ghandi, please stand up.  The people need to drive these lunatics out of power and out of the corporations before they kill again.  But you have not seen anything yet.  THE BIG TIME PSY-OPS CAMPAIGN HAS ONLY BARELY BEGUN.  There will be the attempt made later this year to incite bombing attacks on Iran - in the FALL AFTER SOME SYNTHETIC TERROR OPERATION IN THE U.S.   It's name is Dick Cheney.  This is clearly in the works and one can see more and more of the story lines being planted each week by the Warcast Media to huff up a growing psychological fear/hate bubble. 

 

THE LAST MAJOR PLAYER FOR THE GAME:  It may be so-called immigration reform.   With Bush's corporate immigration policies, the Imperial Faction will have a full suite of sticks and carrots to induce millions of Hispanics to take a fully paid vacation in the Middle East, or even Iraqis for that matter.

 

 

 
 

IMPEACHMENT WATCH

 

[7-30-2007 ECB]

From Previous Weeks:

PUBLIC WARNING:  For your safety and mental health,
TURN OFF THE NEW YORK WARCAST MEDIA
U.S. Public Is Being Subjected To An Intensive Propaganda Campaign To Build Support For Expanding U.S. Military Operations In The Middle East in Iraq, Iran, & Pakistan

NO ANGLO-AMERICAN TERROR ALERT HAS CREDIBILITY
NONE CAN BE DISTINGUISHED FROM SYNTHETIC TERROR
Reporters, Editors, & Anchors In The N.Y. Mass Media Warcasters Are Caught Up In And Are Often Lost  In Paranoid Delusions, Sheer Fantasy, & War Hysteria Driven By  24/7 by Lunatics With No Ability To Detect Reality.

August 11, 2007 to August 22, 2007 may be the time frame for the next wave of SYNTHESIZED 911-like terror attacks.  Some extend this period until the end of September.  More probable than not, it will not come much later.  Read Webster Tarpley's PUBLIC WARNING.

Cheney Determined To Strike
http://www.rense.com/general77/chens.htm
In US With WMD This Summer
Only Impeachment, Removal or General
Strike Can Stop Him
By Webster G. Tarpley
7-21-7

Tarpley is a professional student of history, is highly knowledgeable, is not pushing any ideological agenda (accept that TRUTH should rule), and has become the anti-establishment intelligence operative for free humanity.  Nearly the entire anti-establishment, anti-imperial American intelligensia, including left, right, or centrist, are also in a state of high anxiety and depression that a juggernaut of militarism, war against Iran and Pakistan, imperial occupations, and dictatorship is about to roll over what is left of U.S. institutions as Zionazi cliques and the Bush Crime Family strive to surmount opposition and the growing 911 truth and impeachment movements which are now dogging their footsteps everywhere.

 

The only way this can be stopped is to begin IMPEACHMENT proceedings against Dick Cheney, who is widely regarded as  the criminal mastermind behind the first 911 and the planning for the next "911" as a pretext for war against IRAN.