Monitoring The Changes In The Earth
December 8, 2008
Alvestad Solar Activity Graph As Of December 7, 2008
click on this graph to view it in full size
In this chart the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).
Note that Alvestad is using the historical statistical method for defining Solar Cycles and thus is still treating the current activity of the Sun as a part of Solar Cycle 23.
Visible Sun Of December 8, 2008: Credit: SOHO/MDI
[12-8-08 ECB] So far the Sun has not responded to the growing alignment of Mercury | Jupiter on December 15 but these may not appear until as late as about December 12-14. Currently the Sunspot Count is zip on a nearly bottom line Flux index of 69, which has been pretty much the output of the entire last week. There is a coronal hole high in the Northern Hemisphere of the Sun's atmosphere, but NASA is unsure if a solar wind from this wind will hit the Earth or sail right on by high over the Earth's North Pole Despite the lack of increased output, the Planetary A Magnetic Index (upper atmosphere field strength) has fluctuated a bit this past week, now at about six (blue line on the graph above). Alaska's Fluxgate Monitor (U. of A.) shows practically no disturbances in the "surface" on the "solar sea" through which the Earth sails except for a modest magnetic storm of a few hours duration during the previous day. See Planetary Alignments for longer range forecast. NASA expects very little of anything for the next few days. This calm should be broken during the next seven days with sunspots and storms induced by the pairing of Mercury and Jupiter.
FROM SIDC, BRUSSELS:
" PRESTO FROM SIDC - RWC
BELGIUM Mon Dec 8 2008, 1330 UT
See SIDC HOME PAGE for more details.
[12-8-08 ECB] NASA reports no Sunspots on the far side of the Sun. [Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI]
[12-8-08 ECB] Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments: We are now beginning to move on the up-ramp of Solar Activity Cycle 24. During 2009 we will see a slow ramp up. The next three years most likely will bring a steady progressive climb in Solar Activity. Sometime in 2012-2015 average monthly sunspots will peak above 100, which will be close to 100 times as much daily activity as we have experienced during 2008. Daily activity will occasionally exceed 400, even rarely 500. In the meantime we are clearly still very much in Solar Min and accordingly you must ascribe the extremes in weather and climate patterns at this time to the emerging global warming syndrome. Don't expect much activity from the sun during the next sixth months which is a very very good thing. Human wars generally do not commence during the solar min phase. They generally begin to roll as the solar cycle reaches maximum intensity. The next intense peak period will begin approximately 2012-2014.
[12-8-08 ECB] NASA predicts a 1% probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours. NASA reports this coronal hole may bypass the Earth. NASA also predicts there is only a 1% to 5% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours, not a very significant chance and in fact this is the lowest probability level that I have seen NASA use. Pix Credit: NOAA
[12-8-08 ECB] After some minor (very) fluctuations yesterday, University of Alaska's Fluxgate Monitor is showing nearly a glass sea surface in the magnetic ocean. (Always keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur and produce intense magnetic storms in the atmosphere.)
[10-20-08 ECB] IMPORTANT CONCLUSIONS AS OF THIS DATE:
The ELECTROMAGNETIC DYNAMIC PARADIGM for defining solar cycles is currently lost in the FLUX, in a matter of speaking. This new paradigm forecast Solar Cycle 24 as having begun in late 2007 or January 2008. Unfortunately it is now strongly possible that this will produce a variance of 9-12 months from the traditional 13 month weighted average (smoothed) method of defining the SOLAR MIN. For purposes of comparative study of the impact of Solar Activity on Earth and its parts, this much variation is not good. Thus it is best to continue to use the traditional statistical method for marking the cycles.
[8-18-08 ECB] ASSESSMENT OF IMPLICATIONS OF THESE CONCLUSIONS: The drawn out length of Solar MIN and a smaller Cycle 24 will promote a trend of Global Cooling, as some are speculating. BUT this factor may be overshadowed by tectonic-induced Global Warming. Thus Global Warming may continue. If so, it will be apparent to nearly all scientists by about 2013/14 that Global Warming is an activity of the Earth, not of the Sun nor of reflected heat induced by human-created so-called greenhouse gases. Having said this, we cannot predict with precision either the amount of tectonic Global Warming nor the amount of Solar Activity during the next several years, hence the future is by no means certain as of 8-18-08
[8-18-08 ECB] Current Solar Activity for August 08 corresponds very well with the "SM Trend" in this chart above. We have had almost an entire month of 0 Sunspots. This follows on July which averaged only 0.5 Sunspots per day. This suggests strongly that Solar MIN is occurring right now, rather than 10 to 8 months ago.
[8-25-08 ECB] Now we have had some 35 days without any Sunspots, a full five weeks! This despite the fact that Mercury has aligned itself with all the inner planets and most of the outer planets during the past 60 days. This "round" of Mercury (orbit around the Sun) must surely be the "message from the celestial gods" that Solar Cycle 23 is ending and Cycle 24 is about to begin.
[12-8-08 ECB] We are doubtless now in the trajectory termed "SM" in the graph above. It looks like this Solar Cycle 24 is slow to emerge and will be slow to rise during 2009. It also may be a fairly small peak as compared to the past 50 years.
These charts are from the ECB Gallery. They are not for general release at this time. I am showing these now in the Bulletins to help readers can a better sense of perspective about the current year and the next several. You will get a better idea of what to be watching.
Chart - 50 Year Trend Line Solar Activity - Monthly Count
As can be seen in this chart, a month of zero Sunspot Count occurs in many but not all of the Solar MIN periods. There is nothing all that unusual about Solar Activity at this time once you look at a larger frame of time.
Chart - 100 Year Trend Line Solar Activity - Annual Count
This chart is even more interesting. It is part of what I call the Vortex Paradigm Proof. It demonstrates the chilling accuracy of Edgar Cayce's comments, made during the 1930's. Notice first that during the first half of the 20th century there were some years in which the entire year had an almost zero average count - less than five. That has not happened since the peak of Solar Cycle 19 in 1958. Shades of Edgar Cayce, who predicted during the 1930's that Major Changes in the Earth would begin in 1958. Now notice that in Wobble Cycle 7 (1930's), for the first time on this graph the greatest amount of swing in the wobble was above the x= zero line. This means that, as Cayce predicted during 1932 for the period 1935, a shifting in the balance of the Earth's orientation in space would occur. Following this, in 1958 major trends of change would begin. Notice that the X and Y directions of the wobble begin to progressively separate after a huge Solar MAX (Cycle 19 during Wobble 11) in 1958. What this graph is telling us is that the wobble's average location is shifting progressively much more quickly towards Longitude West 90 (Y) than towards Longitude 0 (X) and this directional shift began when Cayce predicted a major trend of change would begin.
This tells us something incredibly important, namely, the equilibrium of the Earth's wobble in space can be influenced by the stormy energy in a major Sunspot Cycle. A blast of the Sun can move the Earth, change its orientation and orbit. In fact it did so and all the trends of geophysical and ecological change in the Earth are a direct consequence, most emphatically including Global Warming. There is no doubt about this whatsoever. So far, this shift continues, the Earth has not regained stability. The cycles since SS #11 have been far smaller in total energy output but they still outweigh by far the cycles of the first half of the 20th century. Rather exact the correlations, are they not?
Now you can see why the Earth Changes Bulletin is so focused on the Sun and the Cosmic Frame to provide the backdrop for analyzing the changes on the Earth. Looking at this chart we realize the truth of the Hermetic Doctrine, as above so below, taught since the earliest days of Egypt. By following the Sun in detail, we will be able to observe in advance the influences which will result in the next destabilization of the wobble and shifting of the poles. In the train of the destabilization will come accelerated breaking in the crust, which will produce major tectonic rifting, volcanism, earthquakes, and their tertiary effect, an increase in the rate of Global Warming.
There is little to doubt about this. But as can be also observed, there really is no statistical basis for predicting whether the next cycle is going to be bigger, smaller, or the same. So the larger frame of time is unknowable, but yet we probably can observe enough within the framework of A CYCLE to compare enough facts to draw appropriate conclusions. As the man said a long time ago, watch! The astute will know what to do.
Chart - 100 Year Trend Line Solar Activity Correlate World Heat
This chart is part of what I call the Al Gore Paradigm Buster. It properly correlates Global Warming with the changes in the World Ocean. During the first half of the 20th Century, before the acceleration of trends in tectonic motion began with the shifting of the wobble, global temperature shifts more or less seem to approximately parallel with the level of Solar Cycle activity. Then 1958 begins, the blowout of Solar Cycle 19 pushes all the buttons, the measurement of the heat in the world oceans begins and we see that Global Warming rises isomorphicly with the increase of heat in the World Ocean and both are moving, on average, in an opposite direction from the average energy which is being received from the Sun. The total Solar Input, declined, as a matter fact, and may continue to decline for all we know during 2008. Some say this decline will continue and a new "ice age" will begin. But this chart rains on their parade as well. The heat gain is in the oceans and that heat gain is flowing from the bottom to the top...probably proving what marine geologists have been claiming the past couple of decades, there is a million times as much volcanism on the bottoms of the oceans as on the continents and islands. Thus this chart demonstrates that geophysical changes in the Earth could continue to drive Global Warming even if we have Solar Cycles during the next decades which look like the small ones in the first half of the 20th Century or the even smaller ones in the 19th Century. With this chart before you, you cannot intelligently assert that small increases in "reflected" heat energy from a declining Sun is the cause of Global Warming.
HISTORY OF SOLAR
CYCLE 23 & PROJECTED TRANSITION TO CYCLE 24
This is a fuller, long-term version of the SIDC chart above
[8-18-08 ECB] REVISED STANDING PREDICTION FOR SOLAR CYCLE 24: Previous coverage in the EC Bulletin for the past 12 months was not correct. It covered the new electrodynamic paradigm of the Sun and it was well worth working with it to study possible better methods of observing solar behavior. After six months of uncertainties which have been noted here, this coverage is now abandoned. Accordingly, using the older statistical methods, Solar Cycle 24 is most likely to begin at any time from September 08 to January 09. The year 2008 likely will be the MIN year, August 08 may be the MIN month. Solar Cycle 24 activity may peak during 2012-2016. As solar activity gradually increases, both environmental dynamics and human behavior and emotionalism will shift into a more rapid flux of activity and reactivity. Solar Cycle 23 engendered deep, bitter polarizations in the world, especially in Palestine, the Middle East, and vis a vis the United States, both internationally and domestically. Rather than resolve divisions and conflict, humans accentuated them during this last Solar Cycle. Accordingly, during the coming cycle human reactivity and tendency to fear and violence will become greater and could easily match the worst episodes in human history. Human affairs will be accompanied by continued Global Warming and extreme weather patterns in climate, cyclones, tornadoes, ocean storm-fronts, flooding, and drought conditions, which are made all the more extreme under the ionic influence of the once-again active Sun which is producing major Solar Storms, Flares, and Ionic Wind Gusts. Under this growing pressure, which will reach its heights in about 2012-2016, both the terrestrial environment and human societies will be subject to immense dynamic flux which will alter both the greater expanse of the Earth as well as the nations and the affairs of humans. Global Warming will accelerate more rapidly, mass migrations will become more frequent, more agriculture and oceanic food sources will fail, more nations will collapse (as in Africa), and the general level of violence will increase in many areas. The exceptionally strong internal polarization in the U.S. against the Cabal of banksters and their oil-soaked Junta, and as well the antagonistic international polarization against the U.S., likely will be resolved by acceleration of a chronic "half-collapse" of the current economic and political system in the U.S. This period will be marked by paralysis of politics and a chaotic period of increased repression and rebellion which gradually destroys the power of Federal agencies which have usurped far too much illegal (unconstitutional) power. Likely the period will also spawn many concerted efforts to change major aspects of the constitution of the U.S. and the structure of its government. In fact, these movements have already begun and are very likely to grow, perhaps reaching a peak in about 2012. Increased international militarism may be attempted by intellectually and morally bankrupt Zionazi puppetmasters, cliques, and agit-prop organizations who manipulate and strongly influence nearly all institutions in the U.S. East Coast under the guise of "rational" globalism. These attempts may be and probably will be made in various guises regardless of which political party "wins" the November 08 national U.S. elections. Likely, however, these efforts will end in greater failure and bankruptcy of the U.S. and virtual abandonment of U.S. militarism by an exhausted citizenry.
For additional information on the influence of Sunspots and Solar Activity Cycles, go to the Earth Changes Solar Gallery. (this link not active yet).
[12-8-08 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:
12-8-08 ECB] The shift into Solar Cycle 24 is now very solid. The latest numbers computed by Jan Alvestad for November 08, using ISSN numbers, report that July and August's average flux and ISSN sunspot count Monthly Daily Average matched each other as the lowest since the beginning of Sunspot Cycle 23. In September the numbers began to rise again. Using the Statistical Model for inferring the beginning of Solar Cycles, this means that the cycle has turned and we are now in Solar Cycle 24. And because of Hathaway's (NASA) observation of the reversal of magnetic polarity in the Sunspots which have appeared, it would seem that all factors point to this conclusion. This conclusion is not likely to change. Note also that the predicted Sunspot Number for Sept-November 08 has been consistently well over the mark. This suggests a long cycle is coming and it may indicate a smaller peak to come.
HISTORY OF SOLAR
CYCLES a la BRUSSELS SIDC
source: SIDC, Brussels; http://sidc.oma.be/html/wolfaml.html
TO COMPARE THE LAST THREE SOLAR CYCLES SUPERIMPOSED ON EACH OTHER, CLICK HERE. As can be seen, there is nothing exact about the Sunspot Cycle. Length varies and so does the quantity of events and the energy released.
[12-8-08 ECB] MOST LIKELY SOLAR CYCLE 24 WILL LOOK MORE LIKE #23 THAN THE PREVIOUS TWO. IT COULD MIRROR #21. Some analysts think that it could look more like #20 (the tall one about 1960) and indeed that is a reasonable speculation. I think however that the long slow low lead in (low monthly average counts) is more typical of a long low peak. The way to refine this concept is to develop the statistical descriptions of the cycles for their lead-ins and to compare these with the movements and alignments of the outer heavy planets. This will take some work and I hope somebody does it. I won't have time during the year ahead for this. If anyone notices somebody doing something along these lines, please pass a reference onto me.
HATHAWAY ELECTROMAGNETIC PREDICTION MODEL
For current, critical information about the past few cycles and Sunspot Cycle 24, click here. Notice that there are three curves to indicate the total range of possibility for the magnitude of the Solar Cycle 24 in Hathaway's prediction. The magnitude is probably not statistically predictable with greater than random chance. The curve of this prediction is now substantially OFF. Or, in other words, Hathaway's model, a truly worthy speculation, unfortunately fails. For more details, go to Almanac: Cycles of the Sun,
source: NASA, http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2008/28mar_oldcycle.htm
NOTES ON SOLAR CYCLES, ACTIVITY, WEATHER:
CLARIFICATIONS OF TWO MAJOR CONFUSIONS ABOUT THIS SOLAR CYCLE 24 WHICH ARE ON THE IWAY DURING MID 2008: Some people are remarking about HOW UNUSUAL IS the low level of Solar Activity. Some even have confused the cycle to suppose that the Sun is supposed to be in its MAX condition during the later part of this year. THERE IS NOTHING UNUSUAL ABOUT THE LOW LEVEL OF SOLAR ACTIVITY DURING THE LAST 18 MONTHS. WE ARE IN SOLAR MIN, A CONDITION OF VERY LOW SOLAR ACTIVITY WHICH RE-OCCURS EVERY 7-13 YEARS, GENERALLY ABOUT EVERY 11 YEARS. Since the cycle varies in length, there is nothing unusual about any current timing factor. Sometime during 2009 the Sun will most likely begin a vigorous ascent to its MAX levels of activity, which it will likely reach sometime 2011-2013. However, even this projection is based on "average" expectations. It could remain low until 2010 and not reach the next MAX until 2013. Another confusion surrounds the likely size of the next Solar MAX. Using advanced physics modeling, some people expect a much larger than normal Sunspot MAX, others using short term statistics expect a smaller MAX than usual. Reality is that the PEAK OF SOLAR CYCLE 24 MAX IS PROBABLY IMPOSSIBLE TO CALL ON scientific grounds (if one knew all that humans knew on the topic). BUT, my personal GUESS from the cycle stats and rhythms of the past two hundred years is that the next cycle will be larger than normal. From the point of view of human politics, it would be a good thing if the next cycle is lower than average. Such an event most likely would lay to rest definitively the theory of greenhouse gases since Global Warming will continue to trend upward as a result of the current round of accelerated tectonic warming of the world ocean (heat flux through the Great Rift).
IMPORTANT NOTE WHICH MOST PEOPLE STILL ARE NOT GETTING:
The Sun is at minimum levels of activity - it is at its lowest ebb since 1997. Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes. MAY'S EXTREMES IN CYCLONES (Myanmar) AND TORNADOES (N.A. Midwest & Plains) PLAINLY AND ABSOLUTELY IS NOT A RESULT OF STIMULUS FROM THE SUN NOR NATURAL NOR HUMAN-CAUSED CONDITIONS IN THE ATMOSPHERE. The same thing can be definitively argued for the rapid acceleration of the annual melt in the Arctic. A reduction in solar output means that the reflected energy in the atmosphere IS LESS THAN THE PREVIOUS YEARS. Since the continents cannot store heat, the heat MUST be coming from the oceans, which has clearly been demonstrated TO BE RISING FROM THE DEPTHS. Thus this can only be "Tectonic Global Warming Syndrome", which shows us what the new weather "normal" is becoming as the Earth's oceans continue to gradually warm from tectonic causes. The Sun and the atmosphere and carbon dioxide HAVE NOTHING TO DO WITH THE TREND.
of the Horos Sun
Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
NIGHT SKY FOR December 8, 2008 from Hopiland: Click for full screen sky map
IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory
If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this. It is centered for 4 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings- 9 pm Monday evening) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land. This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL). It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it. With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world). Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay). Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart. Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.
At Sunset, Venus still shines brightly with its present companion Jupiter. Polaris is in the north on the vault of the sky, the Moon slightly south in the Mid Heavens. In the northwest part of the sky (upper right), nearly on the horizon, Vega shines brightly, one of the brightest stars seen on Earth.
This chart show Orion rising at 9 PM Hopi time (Arizona UTC-7). Orion's Belt (the Three Great Pyramids Of Giza) shows in this chart as a tight cluster of three stars in the southeast half of the sky, more east than south. Can you find it, the three stars are nearly merged in the chart.
This tells a story once told in ancient tribal days. We Three Kings of Orient Are, Westward Leading, Still Proceeding, Following Yonder Star. Which is the Yonder Star which Orion's Belt is following?....Vegas, to the northwest? Shining so bright, it would have been easy for story tellers and children to spot. Or was it one of the planets, such as Venus and Jupiter, which would have been directly to the west of Orion for the most part? Hard to say, but clearly you can see that this song refers to an astronomical date and/or specially to this time of year. Bearing Gifts We Traverse Afar.....Orion, also known as Osirus by the Egyptians, came from Atlantis after it fell, they claim, and brought the gifts of wisdom and technology of the Gods to the nascent civilizations of Egypt, Mesopotamia, and the Indus Valley...hence human civilization was reborn among the nomadic sheep and cattle herders of the ancient Middle East.
Does that put on a whole new dimension of that song for you? I do believe it is a typical fragment of an ancient memory of the far distant past. The song is far less Christian than it is hermetic.
Perihelion Alignments With The Deep Galactic Center
conjunction of Jupiter and Venus will continue though the week and into
the following week. Near to or about the December 12/13 Full Moon this
conjunction will be joined by Mercury, which will become visible at just
about dead on Sunset at a very low angle on the horizon. Mountains may
block your view of this but Mercury will ride higher into the sky during
the last half of December, so keep trying to spot it. Jupiter will pass
out of sight gradually but may still be visible with the other two. On
about January 12, Mercury | Venus in the same quadrant occupied by
Earth. Both planets should be very close together in the sunset sky
during and just after Sunset. Solar Activity should peak for this
alignment at just about Earth's Solar Perihelion on January 6. Jupiter
will be virtually conjuncted with the Sun as well as in nearly a true
alignment on the side of the Sun opposite to the Earth.
SOLAR SYSTEM FORECAST: [10-20-08] OUT OF DATE NOW - WILL UPDATE SOON
For a listing of all planetary alignments and charts for 2008, click onto the 2008 Alignment Almanac. Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment.
Here is the schedule of alignments for the
next few months. Solar Activity will typically 9 days to 3 days in
advance of the alignment, sometimes dead on or a couple of days
afterwards when the alignments are complex involving three or more
planets. Mercury will be following Venus around past these planets
during the next several weeks, which should give us several bumps in
solar activity as it flies by the planets to form alignments:
See early January charts below for the inner planet conference on the "destiny of humankind".
[12-15-08] - Mercury | Jupiter
from Home Planet Software
[12-28-08] - Mercury | Uranus ( & Mars | Pluto)
from Home Planet Software
2009 - JANUARY
Mercury will successively align with Venus, Earth, and Saturn, nearly weekly. This is likely to make an aggressive winter on Earth a little more aggressive. Solar Activity probably will be bumped up three times and this will likely accelerate the northern migration of upper atmosphere air and moisture from the temperate zones into the far north and induce the pushing of cold Arctic air onto the great plains of North America and northern Eurasia. These high pressure cold air masses may move far to the south, "piling on" so to speak, pushing the extremes further and further to the south in three waves from about mid January through to mid February. Keep in mind that this "bump" from the Sun will be pretty small. More like a tap on the bumper than a rear-ender. We will probably notice the influence if we are looking for it, but it probably will be small, like the coming small surges in Solar Activity.
[1-12-09] - Mercury | Venus
from Home Planet Software
[1-19-08] - Mercury | Uranus
To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs below by clicking on their titles. Use these graphs which are drawn by MWM from JPL Ephemeris table data to find PERIGEE, DECLINATION, AND PHASE (NEW OR FULL MOON). Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words. Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.
Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
For a more traditional text table of the Lunar Schedule, go to the Almanac
Declination (Dragon Cycle) and Distance (Perigee Cycle) define the strongest and most extreme moments of Lunar influence on the Earth. Distances of less than 365,000 KM indicate Perigees with the Lunar gravity field considerably stronger than average. Declinations of 27 or 28 indicate an extreme position of the Moon over the Northern (+) or Southern Hemisphere (-). A high declination with a low distance for Perigee exerts significantly greater torque on the Earth in zones which do not usually receive so much. The "timing" of these "moments" creates "windows" of exceptional syzygy. These relationships are best viewed in graph form.
[12-8-08 ECB] THE DECEMBER 12/13 FULL MOON
Let's see, where have I heard that date before. Oh yes, the December Triple Whammy Full Moon nigh unto Perihelion, long predicted by the infamous web-bots to be especially “eventful”. Well, the Cosmic Frame is certainly suitably composed for an eventful time and many psychics are singing in the chorus.
Here is what is happening. As the Earth is "sinking" into Perihelion (drawing closer to the Sun for its Jan 6 orbital renewal when it begins to draw away from the Sun again), the Moon will be Full in virtual Perigee on both December 12/13 and again on January 10/11. Two super-moons separated by a weak New Moon (it will be in Apogee on the New Moons, its furthest distance from the Earth). The Full Moons will both be in an Extreme Northern Declination, about 28 degrees north of the Equator while the Sun is almost 24 degrees South of the Equator. You really could not ask for a more perfected opposition of the gravity vectors of the two vectors which absolutely rule the surface of the Earth and all that lives upon it. The greatest torque of 2008 will be delivered on the crust during this period, surging already now for December 12/13 then dropping somewhat and then surging again for Janaury 10/11.
During this time the Moon and Sun will pull the Earth to "set" into momentum the next turn in its corkscrew motion as its spirals around the Sun. Each year it alternates which part of the Earth (the heavy bottom or the lighter top) it points toward the Sun. At this time it will receive an acceleration of motion from this pulling by the Sun and the Moon which will begin the process of re-orienting the axis once again to slowly begin pointing the North Pole towards the Sun for the Summer of 2009.
This acceleration will result in expanding the seven year wobble spiral into its greatest size during 2009. The acceleration will also produce much greater surges in Earthquake activity than has been seen all year and possibly also in volcanic activity, though volcanism has a somewhat different annual rhythm than quakes. Doubtless there will be increased volcanism, some large quakes in the Great Rifts, and both Major (Class 6) and Great (Class 7+) quakes in the subduction zones. Since North America appears to be "opening up" this year to increased tectonic movement, the odds appear good for additional adjustments along the western coasts of North America in at least Class 5+. Consider this moment, then, the crescendo moment for 2008 changes in the Earth. And, it goes without saying, Great Quakes of destructive historical proportions (Class 8+) are more probable now through January than they have been since the Great quakes in China very early in 2008.
When Phoenix Five begins to lurch off the
runway for the shifting of the axis sometime in the future....it will
occur precisely in a window of this kind near unto Perihelion and
Perigee. This is exactly why I am going to so much trouble to
understand and explain these orbital connections. As above, so
below, and they ain't kidding.
If you live in the active tectonic zones, maybe you oughta look over your bags and get prepared for anything. It's a good drill, even if nothing happens this time. Eventually, something will happen and under the accelerated trend lines of tectonic activity, MOST ZONES in North America are literally overdue. Even the geologists who are loathe to say anything controversial will tell you this. So in this Window of coming heightened probability, which will last to February, for your own sake get with a program.
Accordingly, hang on, the ride is getting bouncier and 2008 may end up showing yet another annual acceleration in all World quakes Class 4 and above.
[12-8-08 ECB] STANDING SYZYGY ANALYSIS FOR THE NEXT FEW WEEKS. November will begin a new round of synchronized lunar cycles, with December 12 producing the strongest synchronization of the year in a near perfect alignment with the Earth's Perihelion, during both the New Moon (Dec. 27/28) and Full Moon (Dec. 12).These then are likely months of the greatest quake events and these are likely to exceed the tectonic activity of April/ May/June 2008.
THE PUSHME-PULLME OF THE EARTH
The tandem may work (at least part of the time) like
this: the Full Moon sets up the shape-shifting tension by pulling
the crust apart at the Great Rifts which creates compression build-up in
the subduction zones. The New Moon
releases the stress in the compression zones by pulling the Earth up on
the collision points, allowing the lower plate to slip further under or
past the upper plate. The stronger the gravity, the greater
the potential action. That simple, though it rarely is that purely
simple. Fortunately for us at
the current time, the New Moons in late October through January 2009 are
weak, they are occurring at or
near Apogee. Later on in 2009 (Spring) the New Moons will become
stronger than the Full Moons.
True Equator and Equinox of Date For 2008
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time. See http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/neo/groups.html
On December 8, 2008 there were 1010 potentially hazardous asteroids
Dec. 2008 Earth-asteroid encounters:
Notes: LD means "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.
ORIONID METEORS: Earth is passing through a stream of dusty debris from Halley's Comet and this is giving rise to the annual Orionid meteor shower (so-called because the meteors emerge from the constellation Orion). This morning in the Netherlands, Koen Miskotte witnessed approximately 15 per hour "including many bright ones between magnitude +1 and -2," he says. Sky watchers should be alert for more during the hours before sunrise on Tuesday, Oct. 21st. [live counts]