EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN Weekly Update

 


A great many elements of the Anglo-American establishment are now clearly warning the American people that the Cheney/Bush Junta is out-of-control and is a clear and present danger to the world.  Russia's President Putin is now warning the entire world that the escalation of the military occupation in Iraq is a fatal mistake and that the Cheney/Bush Junta will end up destroying America if it endeavors to expand its demented war plans against Iran.  Inside Washington DC, intelligence "flies on the walls" of the corridors of war and peace are telling Seymour Hersh, one of leading journalists of this time whose expertise spans the entire cold war from Vietnam to Iraqnam, that THE WAR PLAN IS ALREADY SET. Many other reports during the last six months of 2007 details many of the ways in which the U.S. imperial military expedition in the Middle East has been augmented and logistically built up to conduct massive military operations against Iran.

The 911 Deception, an article by MW Mandeville, appears in the December-January copy of Nexus Magazine.

__________

 

CRITICAL ALERTS

(December 10, 2007 ECB; MWM) 

 

CHECK OUT THE World Clock for the latest earth-scale human statistics.

COSMIC FACTORS:   HEADS UP -  If conditions seems extreme, that's because this IS an extreme cosmic moment.  We are entering into a period of exceptional synchronicity of many orbital cycles, involving nearly all the planets and the orbital cycles of both the Earth and the Moon.  This is likely to produce a substantial rise in Solar Activity during the remainder of December through January.  It is also likely to produce a substantial rise in tectonic activity, both volcanic and seismic.  The year 2006 was a record-breaking year for significant events in both types of tectonic activities and 2007 has become a close match.  We may now see a temporary surge upwards into new levels.

December 22 is a middle focal point at which many cycles "click" synergistically.  It is of course, the Winter Solstice (shortest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere), but more importantly it is the approximate beginning of the moment of Perihelion, the time of the annual orbit during which the Earth is closest to the Sun.  This maximizes the Sun's influence on the Earth (especially in the Southern Hemisphere).  The Moon will be in Full Phase, in a fairly close Perigee, maximizing the "rifting" or expanding effect with a 180 degree pull of opposition to the gravity of the Sun.

At the same time, the Moon will be in Extreme Declination of about 27 Degrees in the Northern Hemisphere while the Sun will be in the lowest elevation in the Southern Hemisphere.  The total divergence is approximately 50 degrees. This suggests that the greatest torque impact on the Spinning Earth will be at a considerable angle to the Equator, most especially against  the north-south trending East Pacific Rise and the always hyperactive eastern and northern margins of the vast Australian Tectonic Plate, most notably through New Zealand, Fuji/Loyalty/Solomon Islands groups, Papua New Guinea, and the always dangerous tectonic margins alongside which sit the main Indonesian Islands.

In this vast tug of war, the Sun will be pulling the Equatorial bulge downwards and the Moon will be pulling the bulge upwards at about the same force of gravity, once every 24 hours of the Earth's Spin.  If we could hear all the earthquake signals, we would hear the Earth groaning and creaking in rising and falling patterns, like a ship tossed at sea, in response to this cosmic dance.  As the Earth spirals daily through this routine, like a ballerina  pirouetting multiple times across a long stage,  bowing first to the Sun and then to the Moon, all fault zones in the Earth will "work" and more than normal will break in greater ruptures than usual.  It is that simple

Spreading activity in the Great Rift of the Pacific should be higher than usual and the stress against the Western Pacific (Philippines, Taiwan, Japan) and Australia should thus also much higher than normal.  This is of course equally true for Central and South America.  This combination may also be favorable for greater lateral movement of the Pacific past the western coast of North America, though this is merely a speculation.  In any event, this combination is more likely to produce Great Quakes in the tropical and Pacific regions than during any other moment of 2007 and earlier years.  It will almost certainly produce a substantial increase in heat flux in the Great Rift, most especially in the East Pacific.  This heat flux likely will initiate the next round of El Nino during 2008 and noticeably accelerate Global Warming.

Overhead, the planets will play out a complex set of alignments which must be seen on the chart below for the best mental image.  Mars and Earth will align, which almost always has a major impact on the Earth's atmosphere by substantially increasing solar activity for a few weeks.  At the same time Venus aligns in a different quadrant with Saturn.  On the side of the Sun dead opposite to the Earth, in a remarkable symmetry of synergy, Mercury aligns with Jupiter and Pluto, thus creating a nearly straight line in the solar system between six bodies, with the Sun in the middle.  Mercury and Jupiter have coupled their influences quite easily during previous alignments, despite the far distance in their orbits, and have sometimes produced spectacular increases in Solar Activity.

This is probably not the Sun's season for a huge increase in Solar Activity.  But all this planetary stimulation should produce a fairly energetic response in the Sun.  Sunspots and wind streams should be pulled out of both sides of the Sun at the same time which will make for a few weeks of counts mostly above 10, with one or two or three peaks above 50.  This may be the beginning of a progressive upsurge in Solar Activity from month to month, a new cycle which scientists will number as Solar Cycle 24.

This increased solar activity will of course hit our Global Warming Syndrome Winter (in La Nina Phase which is "beating" with the North Atlantic Warm Oscillation).  Ionic power in the atmosphere will increase substantially, inducing larger flows of large air masses, especially flowing out of the polar zones over the land masses.  This will make for COLD WINTER gales in the high northern latitudes and in all mountain zones.  Continental coast zones will see a lot of stormy weather highly variable under an unstable Jet Stream.  Much snow and rain.   Latitudes below North 45 in the Northern Hemisphere will see a lot of unpredictable weather.  What would have been a La Nina winter drought period will be punctuated with sudden wet storm fronts.

Solar Activity rose from 0, where it was most of the past several months, on December 1 and has been rising since then and is was at 43 on December 10 with a Flux of 87, which had also risen rapidly.  Currently there is little apparent solar wind turbulence but it is likely to increase at any moment from another coronal hole in the solar atmosphere which is sending a new solar wind stream  on December 11/12 roughly towards the Earth and Mars as Earth draws rapidly into alignment with Mars.  Sunspot Activity is likely to be more active throughout December from a series of alignments.   The Mars | Earth Alignment is likely to bring the greatest rise in Sunspot Activity, sometime about mid-December but because of the long close coupling of these two planets, we most likely are already in the influence they are creating in solar activity and this will continue to rise during the next week at least. The actual Sunspot Count may bob up and down, as it always does, but the overall level should rise.

 

ATMOSPHERICS All in all, most likely a very stormy wet, windy, cold, snowy Solstice - Perihelion (Christmas) across vast sections of the Northern Hemisphere in the higher latitudes (primarily Lat. 45+) and major mountainous zones.  This December/January is not a good time to travel in the Northern Hemisphere.  Stay home.  For the next 48 hours, NASA predicts a 1% to 10% or less probability of major explosive or flare events on the Sun with a 6% to 25% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the Earth's atmosphere in the higher latitudes.  A solar wind gust and major auroras are always possible from the coronal hole aimed at Earth which now can be seen in the Sun's atmosphere. La Nina is declining already and may be gone by the end of January.  A dry Winter in the lower Southwest region, likely to develop through a good portion of the winter of 2008 but the rise in Solar Activity is competing with it and  there will be some chaotic weather patterns which will bring in episodes of rain.  The North Atlantic Oscillation is dissolving this week.  In January, weather patterns will begin to normalize.  But even so, chaos for Western Europe's winter, similar to last year, is now easy to foresee for at least  through to the end of the year. The North Pacific Gyre Hot Spot is largely defocused, neutralizing its influence.  Mid Pacific coast zone off California and the Pacific Northwest is about normal.  Through to at least early February, a "typical" La Nina winter throughout North America.   Dry in the southerly and western zone of North America.  Wet and cold in the northern and especially the eastern zone.   Huge snowfalls in the mountains.  The east coast likely will freeze like last winter.  Expect a cooler winter than the weathermen once predicted for this Winter. 

GEOPHYSICAL FACTORS:    No new news on the Wobble. As it has for many weeks,  the wobble spiral track of the North Spin Axis continues now to track more or less normally.   Seismic activity is now about average in frequency with magnitude about normal but activity is below average for a New Moon Syzygy, such as the one we are in at the moment.  Meanwhile volcanism continues apace with  30 volcanoes now on the active list, up one from last week.  The Alert List has risen by 2 since last week and stands now at 63.  Even so, the actual levels of activity appear to be fairly sedate - a worldwide resurgence  most likely will not hit its stride until late in December or in January.

 

SPIRITUAL FLUX  -  

A profound spiritual  paradigm shift, a new Zeitgeist, must come, but from day to day its emergence often seems too little, too fragmented, too late...I hope this is just the pessimism of a somewhat drepressed day.  The great and good news is that more and more people ARE waking up.  It is becoming palpable everywhere.  I walk into shops and inevitably the clerk and I end up taking about the despised Junta in Washington DC.  The Cabal's puppet fig leave is gone, the people are hip to TPTB.

HOLD TO THE TRUTHS OF YOUR SPIRITUAL REALITY.   THOSE OF YOU WHO THINK YOU CAN CREATE YOUR OWN REALITIES AT WILL, THINK UPON THE MAKING OF A GREAT NOISE OVER THE CONTINENT TO END AMERICAN MILITARY ACTIVITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST. IMAGINE A WALL OF SOUND WHICH INTRUDES INTO EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE WHICH SAYS ESSENTIALLY ONE THING.  OUT OF IRAQ NOW. LEAVE IN PEACE.  NO ATTACKS AGAINST OTHER NATIONS.  THINK UPON THIS.

 

Perhaps the Great Noise is a prayer every evening.  I will send a separate post on this.
 

GEO-ECONOMIC FLUX:  This is it!!!  DING DING DING DING goes the closing bell on the Great Exchange inside Miss American Pie In The Sky.  Here before us are the last dying days of the late Empire of Stinky, Stanky, & Bush, Inc.  Cayce gave the formula for predicting the year some 70 years ago and once again is RIGHT ON THE MONEY.  As the forces contend between the factions, cliques, and money houses of the international "families", numbers will gyrate, here advancing, there declining, but over all thinning down to much lower levels.  The year 2008 will be the year of the Free Fall.  See the economy section below for much greater detail and links.

 

GEOPOLITICAL FLUX:   

 

WAR WATCH

 

This is great: YouTube - Clan Dyken - No More Silence

WAR RISK IS STILL HIGH BUT MAY BE DECLINING.  We have come a long way during the past 12 months.

CROOKED, CORRUPT ELEMENTS WHICH HAVE SEIZED UNUSUALLY GREAT POWER OVER THE U.S. UNDER THE MORONIC LEADERSHIP OF LITTLE BUSH STILL APPARENTLY INTEND TO "DO" IRAN WITH  A RUTHLESSLY CRUEL, BARBARIAN BOMBING CAMPAIGN AGAINST A NATION OF HAPLESS, INNOCENT HUMAN BEINGS NO LATER THAN MID-SPRING, 2008.

BUT, they are running out of steam... see below on War and Peace. and their window of crime opportunity is rapidly closing.  Large numbers of people are agitated about the Cheney-Bin-Laden war-mongering and his ludicrous finger-puppeteering with bogus boogiemen.   People are talking widely about the absurdity of expansion of warfare, the Cabal is openly in disarray over basic strategy, international financiers are gravely in conflict about the inability of the U.S. to continue on its current course, and the coalition of opposition to the current political class (Demoquacks, Republicons, and the Warcast Media which shills the agendas arranged for them by the Cabal) is growing and crystallizing rapidly into a massive movement.  An intense campaign of  Orwellian agit-prop by the vast Black Arts Nation (military-industrial complex) is falling flat on its face because huge numbers of Americans are now permanently conditioned to expect that Bush, his government, the den of iniquity known as the CIA, and Congress do nothing but pose, posture, and lie.  Major military leaders keep appearing to contradict the shmeer of demented thoughts which passes for Bush policy pronouncements.  It is very doubtful that another incident of U.S. contrived synthetic terror will convince the two thirds of the U.S. population who now utterly despise the cess-pool of Washington DC  that Bush should be followed even so far as the bathroom.  Who knows what Republicon pervert may be lurking there?

The current  historical parallel:  the Cabal is rerunning the Fall of 2002, the run-up to the invasion of Iraq.  Even the timing of their assault on Iran is likely to be somewhat the same, though I suspect that it will be later in the year, perhaps the late Spring as opposed to the early Spring.

For additional details,  see the "rant": http://www.capitolhillblue.com/

New Yorker Magazine,  from Seymour Hersh in "Shifting Targets" (click for article).   Hersh pretty well confirmed this past summer that the die was cast. But his and countless other visible warnings and communications may have had the effect of dissolving the ground away from the plotters.  They may now be unable to proceed even if Bush remains determined to "do it".

So continue to keep in mind at all times during the next eight months:

THERE IS STILL A RISK OF FALSE-FLAG TERRORIST OPERATIONS INSTIGATED BY RIGHT-WING THUG ELEMENTS IN THE CIA, MOSSAD, MK5, AND ALLIED MOBS WORKING AS AGENTS FOR AN INTERNATIONAL CABAL composed of Anglo-American-Jewish elements through to Spring, possibly October 2008.

  

A RECENT NEW CHART DEFINES "THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH". Click to see the threefold trend in world quake activity 4+ for 1973-2007. This increase in seismic energy is signaling all the other Changes In The Earth, including Global Warming.  Daily average frequency of 4+ quakes has risen from 11 in 1973 to about 35 in 2007.  The average rose dramatically during 2005/06 and is currently lower.  The daily average for 2007 will probably rise a little by the end of the year and may rise more slowly during the next few years.  Statistics are tricky master illusionists so be careful with this following thought:  an exponential growth curve can be drawn through earthquake data 4+ to project another DOUBLING of the current frequency by about 2020.

CHECK OUT THIS INTERESTING GRAPH OF EARTH CYCLE CORRELATIONS:

This graph of earthquake activity in Eurasia is only one among dozens of graphs I am working on which detail how the Earth really works tectonically.  It demonstrates how deep you have to dig to get to the basics.  Only partially complete, this graph at the moment displays only 2.0-2.99 quakes on Eurasia, from Spain and Norway to most of Siberia and down into India and SE Asia to encompass the entire Mideast and Saharan Africa as well  Excluded is Japan and Eastern Siberia.   Many zones and some sizes of earthquakes do not show a correlation worth talking about with orbital factors, which keeps the entire topic somewhat confusing.  But in this graph of the regular daily small grinders, you can see a very close parallel with the average declination angle of the Moon's orbit (how far it goes in any given year to the north and south of the Equator) up until 2004.  Then the level of quake activity in this category falls off (it increases in the larger magnitudes).  Look at the BLACK LINE and the BLUE LINE and see how they parallel their trend.  Observe how the lowest total for average daily quakes corresponds dead on with the lowest lunar declination angle in 1987.  Observe as well that the Seven Year Wobble Cycle is clearly "reflected" in frequency of change in the up and down waveform of average daily quakes, but the "alignment" or "phasing" of the two activities is partially offset, leaving us to "guess" crudely at what is coming next.  Observe also that in the small quakes (this chart shows only 2.0 to 2.99 quakes) THERE IS NO TREND.  However, for quakes above 4.0, Eurasia shows a very strong trend of increase.  This chart I will show you very soon.

 

SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENTS:

A major collection of graphs, charts, and links to information and databases is nearing collection. It more or less represents my  collected "notes" and analysis of Earth Changes (including Global Warming and climate change phenomenon) for completion of a new verification of Edgar Cayce's Earth Change Prophecies and analysis of how the "shifting of the poles" is likely to take place.  This has taken enormously more time than I originally anticipated for the revision of the Trilogy (like over an extra year) because of the explosion of research data about the Earth which the Global Warming scare has "induced" through liberal funding.  These "notes" would take hundreds of pages to publish, hence very little of it will appear in the final book of the Trilogy.  The resulting verification will be many more times powerful and thorough than the work in the first edition of the Trilogy.  Based on the new material I can provide a disciplined set of exact criteria and time windows for the lead-in phases, crescendo peak, and down-slope of the Event Horizon of the Fifth Phoenix (we are in it now and we have **perhaps** another 20 years before we hit the other side) .   Some of the background material will appear in a follow-on book which is titled "The Nine Trends Which Are Changing The Earth".  Because my collection is so powerful in demonstrating a completely new perspective about the Earth and its history, all of it will be made to appear on the web or on CD for subscribers during the following months, to be known as "The Earth Changes Gallery".  The Gallery will never be complete in the sense that this will become a growing collection.  The existing collection still requires more organization and editing of the explanations and concluding points, perhaps another three weeks of work.  At the moment I am completing one of the major "floors" in the Gallery - the "Solar Activity Cycle" and how it does and does not connect with the major trends.  Check out these two charts in which everything comes together and the logic of my arguments  "turn" with the changes in the "trends".

 

Correlation of Solar Activity Cycle With XY Plots of the Earth's Wobble 1890-2006.  When it loads, click on the image to make your browser enlarge it to the correct giant size. Scroll across it.  Notice Sunspot Cycle 19.  What happens thereafter to the Earth's Wobble which is distinctly new?  Why has nobody put this together yet?  This is one of a dozen profound connections I have made in the past few months. Notice the date of Sunspot Cycle 19 MAX.  Where else have you seen this date?  Ah yes, Edgar Cayce....in 1934 or 36 describing the advent of Major Activities in the Earth Changes --- 1958!

Correlation of Solar Activity, World Termperature Trend, and Heat Gain Trend In The World Ocean 1867-2004 This is deliberately small so you stare with a 150 year vision all at once.  Ask yourself, what connects with what?  What REALLY connects with what?  Then connect the critical transition dates with the first chart which has the XY plots in it.  Then, if you are familiar with the graphs on world volcanism which I have produced, you will realize that WHILE the XY Plots "separate" in the graph, world volcanism and earthquake activity trend lines begin to accelerate manyfold, the oceans warm, and Global Warming becomes the fourth place topic on the news (after war and corruption and sex).

 

I have DOZENS  of supporting graphs which I have collected from other researchers which prove the reality of these "connections".  Many of these will be posted within the next couple of months.

You should see what I can do with the Phoenix 4 Event Horizon 12,500 Before Present.  The Global Warming paleo researchers are not proving up their favorite theories about CO2 but you should see what they are doing proving up Edgar Cayce's comments about the past. 

 

Go see a chart which demonstrates plainly and simply that neither the Sun nor Greenhouse Gases cause Global Warming: Solar Activity - Irradiance Correlation 1975-2005

 

The Prophecies, Book Three: 

on the lead-in for this Update

 

  1. The revised Prophecies book is still several weeks away.

  2. As already discussed I am paralleling a fourth book to work tightly in tandem with the revised Prophecies book.  The working title of this fourth book is:  "The Nine Trends Changing The Earth 1875-2025" - How Global Warming Is Caused By Underwater Volcanism & Why Greenhouse Gas Is Just Hot Air.  A review draft of nearly four chapters is available for paid subscribers with password at http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/ebookaccess.htm

  3. About 15 pages of this material, plus a couple of graphs, will be condensed into Book Three of the Trilogy to present a summary but complete logical argument to finish the verification of Edgar Cayce's long range prophecies.  The few left outstanding will not be verified until the other side of the Phoenix Singularity, which is called Phoenix 5 in the Prophecies and in the Earth Changes Bulletin.  As you should know by now, the Earth Changes Bulletin is monitoring the Earth's progression into chaotic motion and crustal breakup on the way towards an "avalanche of the crust" over the spin axis.

  4. It remains that all those who subscribed  with donations beginning in September 2005 in order to have access to the Phoenix books will have their subscriptions renewed at no charge to run through June 2007.   I may extend this further. This will give you plenty of time to download the finished Trilogy ebooks, the final set of which will be made available some time in January.  You will also get a fourth book, free, which will be a world class document, highly controversial.

The full content of the Weekly Updates are on the web (archive) at

http://michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin

 

 

Despite the best efforts of the kooky neonazi elements in the Republicon and Demoquack Parties, and the Thugocrats in Israel and AIPAC
(Isaeli Lobby),

THE WAR PLAN to do Iran has failed.


MWM:  MOST LIKELY THE KOOKY WING OF THE CABAL IS NOW BLOCKED FROM BROADENING THE WAR INTO IRAN.  BUSH IS A DESTROYED PRESIDENT WHO NO LONG COMMANDS SUFFICIENT CREDIBILITY TO SUCCESSFULLY CONDUCT WAR EXPANSION. THE MAIN THREAT OF WAR FOR 2008 IS A FALSE-FLAG OPERATION CONTRIVED BY THE MOSSAD TO WHICH ISRAEL RESPONDS DIRECTLY WITH A BOMBING ATTACK ON IRAN, hoping that this will push the Americans into supporting operations against Iran. Given the past vicious treacheries of the thugocracy which rules Israel and some international Zionist organizations, Israel is likely to attempt a False-Flag destruction of some U.S. military targets or U.S. "allies" among the Gulf States.  The main risk for the Cabal and rogue mobster cliques in running another round of such a scam is that it may backfire and turn public opinion in the U.S. in the opposite direction. I predict that any such operation will be easily exposed in Europe and North America by populations which have groan deeply cynical and/or hostile to Israel.  This exposure will result in a cataclysmic loss of American support for the State of Israel.  The end result historically for those who attempt to "take out" the non-hostile people of Iran  is that history will turn on the perpetrators and they will be taken out, politically, economically, and socially.

 

 
 
Our Sacred Body
Without these things we die, thus these things compose our true body.

GEOPHYSICAL WATCH

The Changes In The Earth

Solar Activity  |  Planets  |  Moon  |  Asteroids  |  Meteors & Comets  |

Earth's Wobble  |

World Weather  |  Earthquakes  |  Volcanism  |

 

 
 

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar Storms, Sunspots, Ionic Wind, Magnetic Disturbances

ALMANAC | BACKGROUND | EARTHMONITOR LINKS |  LATEST
 

 

Visible Sun Of December 10 2007:  Credit: SOHO/MDI

[12-10-07 ECB]  Solar Activity rose from 0 where it was most of the past few months to 13 and then progressively all last week to stand at 42 as of December 9 with a radically rising Flux of 89.  A rise in the Flux this distinct is usually a herold of an increase in the Sunspot Count the following day.  Currently there is some apparent solar wind turbulence, still minor.  It is likely to increase, especially from December 11 or 12 as a result of another coronal hole in the solar atmosphere which is sending a new solar wind stream roughly towards the Earth and Mars as Earth draws rapidly into alignment with Mars.  It is likely that Solar Cycle 24 has begun and that Sunspot Activity will be more active throughout December from a series of alignments. The Mars | Earth Alignment is likely to bring the greatest rise in Sunspot Activity, sometime about mid-December but because of the long close coupling of these two planets, we most likely are already in the influence they are creating in solar activity. 

[12-10-07 ECB]  NASA reports no sunspots on the farside. But I gotta wonder what those spots in the pix are all about.  I mean, it is the Sun, right, and those are spots, right.....well.....
[Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI] 

[12-3-07 ECB] Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments:    The Solar Flux was rising as of the day before, usually a good harbinger of another rise in the Sunspot Count to come today.  Apparently the clustering of the solar system into a six body grand alignment is already casting its spell over the Sun.  Expect more volatility in solar activity during the next 45 days than previously indicated here. The peak of this activity is most likely to come about mid-December.

IMPORTANT NOTE WHICH MOST PEOPLE STILL ARE NOT GETTING:

The Sun is at minimum levels of activity.  Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes.

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/solar_12-10-07.gif

graph courtesy Jan Alvestad http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Latest Graph: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/images/solar.gif
Daily Sunspot Numbers Are ISSN: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt

Sunspot Count Chart:  In this chart above the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).  

 

Date       Flux Spots Area

Click here for NOAA Sunspot Table For Past 30 Days

Pix of coronal holes[12-10-07 ECB]   NASA reports coronal holes in the Sun's atmosphere.  NASA predicts a 1% to 10% probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours. NASA  predicts there is a 6% to 25% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours.    Pix Credit: NOAA  

[12-3-07 ECB] Average Solar Counts for 2007:  Flux:  83 in January, 77 in February, 74.4 in May, 69.1 in September..   Spots: ISSN - 16.9 in January, 10.6 in February,  4.8 for March, 3.7 in April, 11.7 in May. August continued the decline to 6.2, despite the Venus | Earth alignment and September's was 2.4, about as low as it gets.   OCTOBER'S AVERAGE WAS 0.9 and November's was 1.7.  Both numbers were well below the NASA predicted numbers of about 7.  Have we passed out of Cycle 23  through Solar Min early into Cycle 24?  I think so but this probably won't be confirmed until next month.

 

[11-12-07 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:    We did not make a full 30 days of 0 Sunspots, thus we still do not have a 0 month.  Even so, this might be Solar MIN.  Astrophysicists will not confirm this, however, for a few more months.  Their definition is based on a running mathematical monthly average which obscures somewhat the exact turning point of the cycle. (The MINIMA is calculated as a running 12 month average and so our definition of the event always lags for several months until the numbers work themselves out. Note to astrophysicists: we need a better method of calculation which can spot the passage within 90 days).

 

Magnetic Disturbances: (As Shown By Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska )

12-10-07 ECB]  Fluxgate Monitor shows a couple of minor disturbances.  This is not likely to remain so calm for very long.  Expect choppy and occasionally fairly stormy during December.   (Always keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur and produce intense magnetic storms in the atmosphere.)

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/fluxgate_12-10-07.gif

 

Solar Cycle 24 Predictions: 

[4-30-07 ECB]  Another round of predictions for Solar Cycle 24 is now being tendered through NASA and other sources.  Using more traditional statistical methods, dates for the beginning of the next cycle have been pushed back to Spring 2008. We now have predicted dates ranging from NOW through to April/May 2008.   

[2-12-07 ECB] There are now three major focal points for predictions of the beginning of Cycle 24.  One cluster is for March 2007.  Another is for Fall 2007, which is probably NASA/NOAA's most prevalent opinion.  A third is January 2008.  I personally lean toward January 2008, which is the official prediction of the EU's apparently most prominent solar group. 

[3-26-07 ECB] Conservative predictions shown in red by Hathaway, NASA/NOAA, 2007, uses an older statistically-based model. Other predictions using Solar Dynamic Models indicate a higher peak for Cycle 24. Cycle 25 "seems" too low in this chart when compared to the past nine Activity Cycles

The Phoenix Five Revised Scenario will be based on the following logic:

These projected Solar Activity Cycles are of immense importance because of the impact of Cycle 19 on the shifting of the Spin Axis in 1958.  Cycle 24 may be as large as Cycle 19 and this may bring enough new shifting and tectonic motion in the Earth's crust to initiate major tectonic ruptures around the Pacific Rim.  From now through to the MAX of Cycle 24, increasing break up in the crust may be evident through a variety of increased tectonic activities.  During the MAX years of 2011-2014, the ruptures may begin the long predicted destructions in the Western U.S.  The final breakup of the crust may occur during the MAX period of Cycle 25, which is not likely to be so small as shown here.  In all cases we will be watching the Great Rift for the auguries.  Always, the windows of greatest danger will be the combination of the "whammies", New Moon or Full Moon, Perigee, Perihelion, Mercury aligned with another inner planet or even Jupiter, during the peak years of the Solar Cycle.  Add as well the Eclipse Nodal Cycle (18 years) to find the extremes in the Lunar Sygygy, the next of which occurs in 2022.   It is the splitting of the Great Rift which is the key to the entire Earth Changes phenomenon, including the current waves of Global Warming and acidification of the oceans.  The Wobble pumps the Great Rift and the Great Rift spreads the tectonic plates and forces the motions which cause them to buckle and grind against each other... and every once in a very great while the tectonic plates avalanche together en masse to redistribute their mass to achieve a better condition of balance in the spinning vortices of the Earth-Moon-Sun System.

 

SOLAR OUTPUT 1975-2005

This chart of the last three Solar Cycles is profoundly important for many reasons.  First, it demonstrates that scientists have learned in just the last 30 years that gross solar output is almost precisely parallel with the output of Sunspots. In other words, the Sunspot Cycle is actually the Solar Activity Cycle.  Secondly the chart demonstrates that Sunspot numbers define the amount of actual irradiance (also called luminescence) which strikes the top of the Earth's atmosphere. This measure in turn is telling us how much "heat" energy is being delivered to the Earth.  As we can see, the total energy has been declining in average since 1975.  With less primary heat, there is also less "reflected" or "green-housed" heat. To make a long story short, this chart demonstrates that neither the Sun, nor all its cycles, nor all the Greenhouse Gases, nor all the inflated academic claims concerning them, have much to do with the obvious warming of the Earth.  Ignorance is a wonderful thing.  It frees the mind to seek the right answers.  Go seek, find the real cause of Global Warming.

Chart by Robert A. Rohde for the Global Warming Art Project
http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Image:Solar_Cycle_Variations.png

 
 

 

 

 

PLANETARY ACTIVITY: Skywatching, Planet Alignments, Moon, Asteroids

 The Inner Four Planets set inside the ring of the asteroid belt and the orbit of Jupiter. Each point of light is an actual representation of a planet, asteroid, or comet (plus the Sun of course), set within a true scale of distance as of April 1.   The positions of all numbered asteroids and all numbered comets in JPL's small-body database are shown (as of April 1, 2007 ).  Asteroids are yellow dots, comets are the pale blurry smudges.  We are looking down on the Solar System, overlooking the "North Pole" of the Earth.  As can be seen, our Solar System is a pretty busy place.

Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
Inner Solar System Orbit Diagrams
http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/?ss_inner

 

NIGHT SKY FOR December 10, 2007 from Hopiland:  Click for full screen sky map

 

 

IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory

If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this.  It is centered for 5 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings- 8 pm Monday evening) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land.  This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL).  It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it.  With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world).  Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay).  Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart.  Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.

 

PLANET WATCH: 

 

MARS IS APPROACHING (actually we are approaching Mars)

 

image source:  Don Peterson through Spaceweather.com

[11-26-07]  This was just photographed using a naked eye two nights ago.  It looks about the size of the Moon.  Don't miss it tonight!  (Just kidding, it was photographed through a telescope with a camera.   Within a couple of weeks it should be the brightest item in the sky but its size will only increase for those whose nearsightedness makes the stars a little blurry).  Unfortunately, all those above Lat.45 will have a very difficult time catching a glimpse of it.  Wet massive cloudy stormfronts will dominate your skies for many weeks.

NASA ADVISORY AND LINKS ON MARS: (text condensed) "An hour or so after the sun goes down tonight, step outside and look east. Weather permitting, you'll see red Mars rising in company with the nearly full Moon. It's a beautifully close pairing of two of the brightest objects in the heavens: sky map.  By the time you finish reading this sentence, you'll be 25 miles closer to the planet Mars. Earth and Mars are converging, and right now the distance between the two planets is shrinking at a rate of 22,000 mph--or about 25 miles per sentence. Ultimately, this will lead to a close approach in late December 2007 when Mars will outshine every star in the night sky. Of a similar encounter in the 19th century, astronomer Percival Lowell wrote the following: "[Mars] blazes forth against the dark background of space with a splendor that outshines Sirius and rivals the giant Jupiter himself." Even at closest approach the two planets are separated by a gulf of tens of millions of miles. From such a distance, Mars looks like a star, an intense yet tiny pinprick of light, never a full Moon. To appreciate the situation, think of Earth and Mars as runners on a track, with speedy Earth on the inside lane and slower Mars on the outside.  Earth is catching up to Mars from behind. Relative speed: 22,000 mph. In December, Earth overtakes Mars, still moving rapidly but never approaching the Red Planet any nearer than the gap between lanes: about 55 million miles.  Mindful that the two planets are converging, NASA chose this time to send its Phoenix Lander to Mars. Launched on Aug. 4, 2007, from Cape Canaveral, Phoenix is slated to land in late May 2008 on a Martian arctic plain where Phoenix's robotic arm will dig in the dirt hunting for, among other things, habitats for microbial life."

more images: from Peter Garbett of Sharnbrook, England; from Guenther Strauch of Borken, NRW, Germany; from Friedrich Deters of LaGrange, North Carolina.


PLANET ALIGNMENTS:

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LINKS  |  LATEST

 

[12-10-07 ECB] SPECIAL NOTE:

We are entering into a period of exceptional synchronicity of many orbital cycles, involving nearly all the planets and the orbital cycles of both the Earth and the Moon.  This is likely to produce a substantial rise in Solar Activity during the remainder of December through January.  It is also likely to produce a substantial rise in tectonic activity, both volcanic and seismic.  The year 2006 was a record-breaking year for significant events in both types of tectonic activities and 2007 has become a close match.  We may now see a temporary surge upwards into new levels.

December 22 is a middle focal point at which many cycles "click" synergistically.  It is of course, the Winter Solstice (shortest day of the year in the Northern Hemisphere), but more importantly it is the approximate beginning of the moment of Perihelion, the time of the annual orbit during which the Earth is closest to the Sun.  This maximizes the Sun's influence on the Earth (especially in the Southern Hemisphere).  The Moon will be in Full Phase, in a fairly close Perigee, maximizing the "rifting" or expanding effect with a 180 degree pull of opposition to the gravity of the Sun.

At the same time, the Moon will be in Extreme Declination of about 27 Degrees in the Northern Hemisphere while the Sun will be in the lowest elevation in the Southern Hemisphere.  The total divergence is approximately 50 degrees. This suggests that the greatest torque impact on the Spinning Earth will be at a considerable angle to the Equator, most especially against  the north-south trending East Pacific Rise and the always hyperactive eastern and northern margins of the vast Australian Tectonic Plate, most notably through New Zealand, Fuji/Loyalty/Solomon Islands groups, Papua New Guinea, and the always dangerous tectonic margins alongside which sit the main Indonesian Islands.

In this vast tug of war, the Sun will be pulling the Equatorial bulge downwards and the Moon will be pulling the bulge upwards at about the same force of gravity, once every 24 hours of the Earth's Spin.  If we could hear all the earthquake signals, we would hear the Earth groaning and creaking in rising and falling patterns, like a ship tossed at sea, in response to this cosmic dance.  As the Earth spirals daily through this routine, like a ballerina  pirouetting multiple times across a long stage,  bowing first to the Sun and then to the Moon, all fault zones in the Earth will "work" and more than normal will break in greater ruptures than usual.  It is that simple

Spreading activity in the Great Rift of the Pacific should be higher than usual and the stress against the Western Pacific (Philippines, Taiwan, Japan) and Australia should thus also much higher than normal.  This is of course equally true for Central and South America.  This combination may also be favorable for greater lateral movement of the Pacific past the western coast of North America, though this is merely a speculation.  In any event, this combination is more likely to produce Great Quakes in the tropical and Pacific regions than during any other moment of 2007 and earlier years.  It will almost certainly produce a substantial increase in heat flux in the Great Rift, most especially in the East Pacific.  This heat flux likely will initiate the next round of El Nino during 2008 and noticeably accelerate Global Warming.

Overhead, the planets will play out a complex set of alignments which must be seen on the chart below for the best mental image.  Mars and Earth will align, which almost always has a major impact on the Earth's atmosphere by substantially increasing solar activity for a few weeks.  At the same time Venus aligns in a different quadrant with Saturn.  On the side of the Sun dead opposite to the Earth, in a remarkable symmetry of synergy, Mercury aligns with Jupiter and Pluto, thus creating a nearly straight line in the solar system between six bodies, with the Sun in the middle.  Mercury and Jupiter have coupled their influences quite easily during previous alignments, despite the far distance in their orbits, and have sometimes produced spectacular increases in Solar Activity.

This is probably not the Sun's season for a huge increase in Solar Activity.  But all this planetary stimulation should produce a fairly energetic response in the Sun.  Sunspots and wind streams should be pulled out of both sides of the Sun at the same time which will make for a few weeks of counts mostly above 10, with one or two or three peaks above 50.  This may be the beginning of a progressive upsurge in Solar Activity from month to month, a new cycle which scientists will number as Solar Cycle 24.

This increased solar activity will of course hit our Global Warming Syndrome Winter (in La Nina Phase which is "beating" with the North Atlantic Warm Oscillation).  Ionic power in the atmosphere will increase substantially, inducing larger flows of large air masses, especially flowing out of the polar zones over the land masses.  This will make for COLD WINTER gales in the high northern latitudes and in all mountain zones.  Continental coast zones will see a lot of stormy weather highly variable under an unstable Jet Stream.  Much snow and rain.   Latitudes below North 45 in the Northern Hemisphere will see a lot of unpredictable weather.  What would have been a La Nina winter drought period will be punctuated with sudden wet storm fronts.

[12-3-07 ECB] Welcome to Solar Minima and to what in all liklihood is our start this month in Solar Cycle 24.  This  is the point when one Sunspot Cycle ends and another begins during a month when very little sunspot activity will be recorded.  We won't know the official "point" of the transition for many more months yet, perhaps not even until near the end of 2008, but frankly it sure feels like 2007 is the transition year and the now feels like THIS IS THE NOW.

 

SOLAR SYSTEM FORECAST:

[11-19-07 ECB]  Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment. This next six body alignment creates a very complex time line of coupling and refocusing of energy patterns in the solar system.  There may be several minor blips produced by this dynamic coupling scattered over two or three weeks.

 

December 22 , 2007 Six Bodies In A Straight
Mars | Earth | Sun | Mercury | Jupiter | Pluto

 

Most important for Solar Activity is the six-way alignment in December on the Solstice.  This next chart is added because it far outclasses all else during 2007.  On about December 18/19, five planets will align in a straight line with the Sun.  Earth and Mars will align on the top of the chart, while  Mercury, Jupiter, and Pluto align on the almost exact opposite side of the Sun. Off to one side, Venus will align with Saturn.  On December 22, Earth's Moon will be Perigee at the peak of its North Node and on December 24, the Moon will be Full.  Talk about a syzygy window!!!

Almost certainly these alignments will induce Solar Activity.  These probably will mark the beginning of Solar Cycle 24. Sunspot Activity will begin to rise in brief flurries about December 10-15. 

 

[12-10-07] NOTE:  The flurries began early, during the first week of December, rising for several days to a Sunspot Count of 42 on December 9 with a rapidly rising Flux (which usually predicts a rise in the Sunspot Count during the following day).  It is likely from this that Sunspot Cycle 24 has begun and that the rapidly rising level of activity will create a rising daily and monthly average on which peaks in activity will occasionally rise much higher than seen during 2007.   The peaks to be seen by this weekend may be twice the count of 42 on December 9. 

 

Six Body Alignment

 

December 22, 2007 - An Heliocentric Projection from Home Planet Software

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/planets/planets_equal9_12-22-07.gif

 

LUNAR SCHEDULE:

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LINKS  |  LATEST

To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs.  Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words.  Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

 

[12-10-07 ECB]    We are now in the New Moon of December 9/10 while in Apogee (furthest point from the Earth).  This is likely to be a middling syzygy window but it is in the extreme South Declination, suggesting an elevated seismic tendency in the Southern Hemisphere.  In fact, the 7.9 quake south of Fiji during December 8 is most likely directly the outcome of the New Moon South Declination.  See Special Note in Planetary Alignments above for the upcoming Full Moon.

 

[12-3-07 ECB]  The following prediction is definitely right so far.  We have another several weeks to finish this cosmic window of elevated tectonic activity - not until the end of February can we conclude that averages in seismic activity are likely to decline.  STANDING PREDICTION FROM EARLIER THIS YEAR:  Beware, however, from about October 11 through to the Perihelion in early January.  The cycles are phasing up together, Perigee and Full Moon tightly linked in November, with the New Moon and Extreme Declination tightly linked in early December.   Thus, heightened danger will begin to mount in September and continue through to December of this year, with the greatest danger likely during the syzygy windows in October -December.

 

 Lunar Schedule For 2007
computed from Home Planet Software (op. cit.)

ALL TIMES AND DATES ARE UTC (Greenwich)

+ or - = synchronicity within 48 hours with Full or New Moon

Event Date Time Distance To Earth KM  + Time Spread
close influence          
peak influence          
  Perigee          
Perigee June 12, 2007 17:08 363777