EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN Weekly Update

 


A great many elements of the Anglo-American establishment are now clearly warning the American people that the Cheney/Bush Junta is out-of-control and is a clear and present danger to the world.  Russia's President Putin is now warning the entire world that the escalation of the military occupation in Iraq is a fatal mistake and that the Cheney/Bush Junta will end up destroying America if it endeavors to expand its demented war plans against Iran.  Inside Washington DC, intelligence "flies on the walls" of the corridors of war and peace are telling Seymour Hersh, one of leading journalists of this time whose expertise spans the entire cold war from Vietnam to Iraqnam, that THE WAR PLAN IS ALREADY SET.

The 911 Deception, an article by MW Mandeville, appears in the December-January copy of Nexus Magazine.

__________

 

CRITICAL ALERTS

(November 19, 2007 ECB; MWM) 

 

NORTHERN ARC PACIFIC RIM:  HEADS UP

[11-12-07 ECB]    We are betwixt all extremes of the Lunar Cycles headed rapidly towards an extreme Perigee and North Declination in the Full Moon on November 24 and 25.  Consider this Syzygy Window to be sharply focused from November 21 through to November 27 with all extremes in play.  Major peak extreme tectonic activity in the Southern Hemisphere (Great Quake of 7.7 plus many Major Quakes of 6+ in the Andes) the past seven days suggests that this period will be VERY STRONG for tectonic activity in the Northern Hemisphere. This tendency is clearly portended by an unusually strong 5.8 quake off the coast of Oregon within the past 24 hours and an elevated frequency of small quakes in North America at the current time.  Quite clearly the This Full Moon Syzygy at Perigee in the North Node may very well produce some of the most extreme quake activity of 2007.

This advisory should be considered in the context of the past few years of major quake activity around the Earth.  All the major tectonic  zones around the planet, including the Aleutians and Alaska Great Peninsula, have demonstrated a consistent upward trend in frequency of quakes 4+.  North America, however, has remained "locked" at lower levels of activity than during the 1990's.  This may mean that stress is building in North America as it compresses against the Pacific bottom plates.  Many lines of evidence suggest that this stress build-up is in fact occurring at certain points on the West Coast of North America.  If so, it may finally release catastrophically in a manner similar to the recent release of tectonic plate strain which is still shaking a long section of the Andes Mountains from Columbia to Chile.

This logic should also be evaluated against the highly unusual number of expansion rift quakes 4+ in the Atlantic and the East Pacific Rise during the first half of 2007.  The Earth is most likely "shape-shifting" at an accelerated rate in response to these expansion thrusts out of the Atlantic and Pacific.  This may be the driving force for the current round of Andes quakes and the source of the stress which may potentially produce another round of major quakes in the Northern Hemisphere during the next several days.

 

CHECK OUT THE World Clock for the latest earth-scale human statistics.

COSMIC FACTORS: Sunspots and solar activity are at 0 where it has been now for nearly a month and half.  Two small, short peaks in the Sunspot Count, of 11 and of 13, occurred during the last several days.  The Solar Flux remained at approx. 69/70 throughout the last seven days and the Fluxgate is not showing any current disturbances.  The next window for an increase in Solar Activity is approximately December 15-20, which will be driven by the Six Body Alignments on December 22 during the Winter Solstice.  NASA predicts a 1% or less probability of major explosive or flare events on the Sun but a 10% to 25% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the Earth's atmosphere in the higher latitudes.  Another solar wind gust is coming our way as of approximately November 21 from coronal holes which now can be seen in the Sun's atmosphere. 

ATMOSPHERICSHurricane Season died early last month and there is very little prospect that it will revive this year  (it is mirroring Solar MIN).  Well, okay, we were wrong in spades for the Indian Ocean, which lost several thousand souls the past few days in the Ganges Delta to Cyclone Sidr, but this prediction holds firm for the Atlantic and East Pacific.  La Nina is now stable and is probably at its worst - and fairly mild at that.  It  has already made for a dry Fall in the lower Southwest region and this is likely to remain through a good portion of the winter of 2008.  The North Atlantic Oscillation is bigger and badder than ever this week off the coast of Ireland, to its east and south.  Chaos for Western Europe's winter, similar to last year, is now easy to foresee. The North Pacific Gyre Hot Spot, north of Hawaii, is cooling while the cool Mid Pacific coast zone off California and the Pacific Northwest is warming.  The temperature and pressure differentials are disappearing to  become "typical" for a La Nina winter throughout North America.   Dry in the southerly and western zone of North America.  Wet and cold in the northern and especially the eastern zone.   Elsewhere, early snowfalls in the mountains have already begun.  The east coast likely will freeze like last winter.  Expect a cooler winter than the weathermen predict. 

GEOPHYSICAL FACTORS:    As it has for many weeks,  the wobble spiral track of the North Spin Axis continues now to track more or less normally, though showing signs of significant displacement (drift or True Polar Wander) during the past few years. (A new version of WobbleTracker Software is available for those who have purchased it. )  Seismic activity is way above average in magnitude and frequency at 4+, predominantly expressed in the Andes Mountains but now becoming more scattered around the Pacific Rim.  The next syzygy period - Full Moon in Perigee in Extreme North Declination on November 24/25, UTC - will run approximately November 22-27.  Meanwhile volcanism continues apace with  28 volcanoes now on the active list.  The Alert List is steady at 61, and  vigorous continuing eruptions in Kilauea and Krakatau suggest that the sleepy time for 2007 is about over, but  Indonesian volcanoes appear to have fallen back into a light sleep, mirroring the Carib Plate volcanoes. A worldwide resurgence  most likely will not hit its stride until late in December or in January, which is later in timing that first guestimated here a few months ago.

 

 

WAR WATCH

 

This is great: YouTube - Clan Dyken - No More Silence

 

WAR RISK IS STILL EXTREMELY HIGH

PLEASE KEEP REFLECTING ON THE LIKELIHOOD THAT AS THINGS CURRENTLY STAND, A RUTHLESSLY CRUEL, BARBARIAN BOMBING CAMPAIGN IS LIKELY TO LAUNCHED AGAINST A NATION OF HAPLESS, INNOCENT HUMAN BEINGS NO LATER THAN MID-SPRING, 2008.

The current  historical parallel:  the Cabal is rerunning the Fall of 2002, the run-up to the invasion of Iraq.  Even the timing of their assault on Iran is likely to be somewhat the same, though I suspect that it will be later in the year, perhaps the late Spring as opposed to the early Spring.

For additional details,  see the "rant": http://www.capitolhillblue.com/

New Yorker Magazine,  from Seymour Hersh in "Shifting Targets" (click for article).   Hersh now pretty well confirms that the die is cast.

So keep in mind at all times during the next eight months:

THERE IS AN EXTREMELY HIGH RISK OF FALSE-FLAG TERRORIST OPERATIONS INSTIGATED BY RIGHT-WING THUG ELEMENTS IN THE CIA, MOSSAD, MK5, AND ALLIED MOBS WORKING AS AGENTS FOR AN INTERNATIONAL CABAL composed of Anglo-American-Jewish elements through to Spring 2008.  

 

 

GEOPOLITICAL FLUX:    Unless the impeachment movement can overturn the existing conditions in Washington DC., the consolidation of American resources and institutions to service the Imperial Faction's Empire appears now to be virtually inevitable.  The Cheney/Bush Junta is proceeding at full speed in working towards its objectives in the Middle East, which include the dismemberment of Iraq, destructive military forays against Iran, increased militarization of the U.S. continent under totalitarian controls, and implementation of the North American Union treaties to complete the "mooting" of the U.S. Constitution.  As always, the Democratic faction in Congress, is for the most part pathetically UNAWARE OF HOW AND WHY IT IS BEING MANIPULATED, UNABLE TO DEAL WITH THE PLAIN TRUTH, UNABLE TO DEAL WITH THE FACT THAT THE REPUBLIC IS DEAD.  Thus it will continue to fail in derailing the Imperial Faction while  shadow boxing furiously with illusions even as it lines up in vast halls to support the smoothest, grooviest Globalist act on the U.S. East Coast, the Bill and Hillary Show.  Meanwhile the Imperial Faction's Zionazi billionaires and hangers-on are already beginning  a blitzkrieg propaganda campaign with $200 million dollars to drown out the sound of the Democratic campaigners and all traitorous talk of peace and withdrawal by scaring the crap out of Americans with a new round of Boogie-Iranmen.  Unless a miracle occurs to change the subject of focus and moot the Imperial plan, the disgust, anger, and reactivity in U.S. politics will continue to increase during 2007/08, generate outbreaks of increasing violence, factionate the political parties, and propel independent candidacies for many races, including major third and fourth party candidates for the Presidency.  But all this may merely seal the fascist deal for the entrenched Zionazi mobsters and their Machiavellian Masters, even if the result of 2008 is a federal congress and executive nominally controlled by Democrats.. There does not appear any solution within the existing equations and circumstances and for the most part the Demoquacks are as self-serving as the Republicrooks.   The prospects for the American people are bleak indeed unless they can finally throw off the evil incubus which infects their mass media, political institutions, and thoughts.  A profound spiritual  paradigm shift, a new Zeitgeist, must come, but its emergence seems too little, too fragmented, too late.  Kucinich and Paul should consider running together to help forge the new paradigm.

 

SPIRITUAL FLUX  -   HOLD TO THE TRUTHS OF YOUR SPIRITUAL REALITY.   THOSE OF YOU WHO THINK YOU CAN CREATE YOUR OWN REALITIES AT WILL, THINK UPON THE MAKING OF A GREAT NOISE OVER THE CONTINENT TO END AMERICAN MILITARY ACTIVITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST. IMAGINE A WALL OF SOUND WHICH INTRUDES INTO EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE WHICH SAYS ESSENTIALLY ONE THING.  OUT OF IRAQ NOW. LEAVE IN PEACE.  NO ATTACKS AGAINST OTHER NATIONS.  THINK UPON THIS.
 

GEO-ECONOMIC FLUX:  AS YOU CAN SEE MORE CLEARLY EVERY WEEK, THE PACE OF COLLAPSE IS QUICKENING AND THE DANGER OF A VERY DEEP DEPRESSION IS VERY HIGH.  More and more extreme bears are showing up.   A long depression in the U.S. is slowly settling in and likely will bottom in 2008/2009.  It will likely take a full seven years to pull out of this nose dive.  Figures by moderate bears are now ranging between 20 to 30%.  Figures by skeptical bears are in the 40%-60% range LONG TERM.  With the collapse of the housing industry, unemployment is rolling heavily throughout the continent, worsening throughout the remainder of this year and well into 2008.  Meanwhile a vicious inflation cycle has commenced with the escalating price of oil.  This is HOW YOU AND I WILL PAY FOR THE CABAL'S MILITARY CAMPAIGN OF TERROR IN THE MIDDLE EAST.  All real commodity goods will increase by another 50% in the next few years, AT LEAST.  The value of the dollar is being rapidly adjusted downward to compensate for the high levels of unpayable dollar debts and reduce the ability of Americans to purchase international goods.  Real producers, such as China,  will get the oil and the value of their labor will rise rapidly against the value of American labor.   In all cases, regardless of short term fluctuations, Eurasia up, Latin America  up. Buy Euros.  Asia, still so tied to American consumers, is risky for the next few years until they re-orient to serving primarily Eurasian markets.

MUST READING:  For the latest economic profiing on the now rapidly accelerating crash SEE Charles Hugh Smith. This site is succinctly laying out what  I have been talking about the past few years. Smith is very bright, very astute, and offers great graphs and history lessons.   Read especially his "Empire of Debt I: The Great Unraveling Begins".  It's here and its bad.  We are in the melt down and according to him the unraveling of the past several years of speculation and asset  increases will occur during the next several weeks.  Funny thing that, the Web-bots and Half Past Human are saying the same things.

For extensive update dossier on the banking panic and economic crash, see

http://tech.groups.yahoo.com/group/earthchange-bulletins/message/4136

 

A RECENT NEW CHART DEFINES "THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH". Click to see the threefold trend in world quake activity 4+ for 1973-2007. This increase in seismic energy is signaling all the other Changes In The Earth, including Global Warming.  Daily average frequency of 4+ quakes has risen from 11 in 1973 to about 35 in 2007.  The average rose dramatically during 2005/06 and is currently lower.  The daily average for 2007 will probably rise a little by the end of the year and may rise more slowly during the next few years.  Statistics are tricky master illusionists so be careful with this following thought:  an exponential growth curve can be drawn through earthquake data 4+ to project another DOUBLING of the current frequency by about 2020.

CHECK OUT THIS INTERESTING GRAPH OF EARTH CYCLE CORRELATIONS:

This graph of earthquake activity in Eurasia is only one among dozens of graphs I am working on which detail how the Earth really works tectonically.  It demonstrates how deep you have to dig to get to the basics.  Only partially complete, this graph at the moment displays only 2.0-2.99 quakes on Eurasia, from Spain and Norway to most of Siberia and down into India and SE Asia to encompass the entire Mideast and Saharan Africa as well  Excluded is Japan and Eastern Siberia.   Many zones and some sizes of earthquakes do not show a correlation worth talking about with orbital factors, which keeps the entire topic somewhat confusing.  But in this graph of the regular daily small grinders, you can see a very close parallel with the average declination angle of the Moon's orbit (how far it goes in any given year to the north and south of the Equator) up until 2004.  Then the level of quake activity in this category falls off (it increases in the larger magnitudes).  Look at the BLACK LINE and the BLUE LINE and see how they parallel their trend.  Observe how the lowest total for average daily quakes corresponds dead on with the lowest lunar declination angle in 1987.  Observe as well that the Seven Year Wobble Cycle is clearly "reflected" in frequency of change in the up and down waveform of average daily quakes, but the "alignment" or "phasing" of the two activities is partially offset, leaving us to "guess" crudely at what is coming next.  Observe also that in the small quakes (this chart shows only 2.0 to 2.99 quakes) THERE IS NO TREND.  However, for quakes above 4.0, Eurasia shows a very strong trend of increase.  This chart I will show you very soon.

 

SPECIAL ANNOUNCEMENTS:

A major collection of graphs, charts, and links to information and databases is nearing collection. It more or less represents my  collected "notes" and analysis of Earth Changes (including Global Warming and climate change phenomenon) for completion of a new verification of Edgar Cayce's Earth Change Prophecies and analysis of how the "shifting of the poles" is likely to take place.  This has taken enormously more time than I originally anticipated for the revision of the Trilogy (like over an extra year) because of the explosion of research data about the Earth which the Global Warming scare has "induced" through liberal funding.  These "notes" would take hundreds of pages to publish, hence very little of it will appear in the final book of the Trilogy.  The resulting verification will be many more times powerful and thorough than the work in the first edition of the Trilogy.  Based on the new material I can provide a disciplined set of exact criteria and time windows for the lead-in phases, crescendo peak, and down-slope of the Event Horizon of the Fifth Phoenix (we are in it now and we have **perhaps** another 20 years before we hit the other side) .   Some of the background material will appear in a follow-on book which is titled "The Nine Trends Which Are Changing The Earth".  Because my collection is so powerful in demonstrating a completely new perspective about the Earth and its history, all of it will be made to appear on the web or on CD for subscribers during the following months, to be known as "The Earth Changes Gallery".  The Gallery will never be complete in the sense that this will become a growing collection.  The existing collection still requires more organization and editing of the explanations and concluding points, perhaps another three weeks of work.  At the moment I am completing one of the major "floors" in the Gallery - the "Solar Activity Cycle" and how it does and does not connect with the major trends.  Check out these two charts in which everything comes together and the logic of my arguments  "turn" with the changes in the "trends".

 

Correlation of Solar Activity Cycle With XY Plots of the Earth's Wobble 1890-2006.  When it loads, click on the image to make your browser enlarge it to the correct giant size. Scroll across it.  Notice Sunspot Cycle 19.  What happens thereafter to the Earth's Wobble which is distinctly new?  Why has nobody put this together yet?  This is one of a dozen profound connections I have made in the past few months. Notice the date of Sunspot Cycle 19 MAX.  Where else have you seen this date?  Ah yes, Edgar Cayce....in 1934 or 36 describing the advent of Major Activities in the Earth Changes --- 1958!

Correlation of Solar Activity, World Termperature Trend, and Heat Gain Trend In The World Ocean 1867-2004 This is deliberately small so you stare with a 150 year vision all at once.  Ask yourself, what connects with what?  What REALLY connects with what?  Then connect the critical transition dates with the first chart which has the XY plots in it.  Then, if you are familiar with the graphs on world volcanism which I have produced, you will realize that WHILE the XY Plots "separate" in the graph, world volcanism and earthquake activity trend lines begin to accelerate manyfold, the oceans warm, and Global Warming becomes the fourth place topic on the news (after war and corruption and sex).

 

I have DOZENS  of supporting graphs which I have collected from other researchers which prove the reality of these "connections".  Many of these will be posted within the next couple of months.

You should see what I can do with the Phoenix 4 Event Horizon 12,500 Before Present.  The Global Warming paleo researchers are not proving up their favorite theories about CO2 but you should see what they are doing proving up Edgar Cayce's comments about the past. 

 

Go see a chart which demonstrates plainly and simply that neither the Sun nor Greenhouse Gases cause Global Warming: Solar Activity - Irradiance Correlation 1975-2005

 

The Prophecies, Book Three: 

on the lead-in for this Update

 

  1. The revised Prophecies book is still several weeks away.

  2. As already discussed I am paralleling a fourth book to work tightly in tandem with the revised Prophecies book.  The working title of this fourth book is:  "The Nine Trends Changing The Earth 1875-2025" - How Global Warming Is Caused By Underwater Volcanism & Why Greenhouse Gas Is Just Hot Air.  A review draft of nearly four chapters is available for paid subscribers with password at http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ebooks/ebookaccess.htm

  3. About 15 pages of this material, plus a couple of graphs, will be condensed into Book Three of the Trilogy to present a summary but complete logical argument to finish the verification of Edgar Cayce's long range prophecies.  The few left outstanding will not be verified until the other side of the Phoenix Singularity, which is called Phoenix 5 in the Prophecies and in the Earth Changes Bulletin.  As you should know by now, the Earth Changes Bulletin is monitoring the Earth's progression into chaotic motion and crustal breakup on the way towards an "avalanche of the crust" over the spin axis.

  4. It remains that all those who subscribed  with donations beginning in September 2005 in order to have access to the Phoenix books will have their subscriptions renewed at no charge to run through June 2007.   I may extend this further. This will give you plenty of time to download the finished Trilogy ebooks, the final set of which will be made available some time in January.  You will also get a fourth book, free, which will be a world class document, highly controversial.

The full content of the Weekly Updates are on the web (archive) at

http://michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin

 

 

THE WAR PLAN

"...in recent months, the former intelligence official told me, a special planning group has been established in the offices of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, charged with creating a contingency bombing plan for Iran that can be implemented, upon orders from the President, within twenty-four hours..."

"the current contingency plans allow for an attack order this spring..."

Seymour Hersh, in the "The New Yorker" Magazine, Posted February 26, 2007 for the March 5, 2007 Issue. Article citation: "The Redirection: Is the Administration’s new policy benefitting our enemies in the war on terrorism?"

MWM: Such a plan is not a contingency plan.  It is a war plan.


MWM:  MOST LIKELY THE COOKY WING OF THE CABAL IS NOW BLOCKED FROM BROADENING THE WAR INTO IRAN.  BUSH IS A DESTROYED PRESIDENT WHO NO LONG COMMANDS SUFFICIENT CREDIBILITY TO SUCCESSFULLY CONDUCT WAR EXPANSION. THE MAIN THREAT OF WAR FOR THE REMAINDER OF 2007 IS A FALSE-FLAG OPERATION CONTRIVED BY THE MOSSAD TO WHICH ISRAEL RESPONDS DIRECTLY WITH A BOMBING ATTACK ON IRAN.

 

 
 
Our Sacred Body
Without these things we die, thus these things compose our true body.

GEOPHYSICAL WATCH

The Changes In The Earth

Solar Activity  |  Planets  |  Moon  |  Asteroids  |  Meteors & Comets  |

Earth's Wobble  |

World Weather  |  Earthquakes  |  Volcanism  |

 

 
 

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar Storms, Sunspots, Ionic Wind, Magnetic Disturbances

ALMANAC | BACKGROUND | EARTHMONITOR LINKS |  LATEST
 

 

Visible Sun Of November 11, 2007:  Credit: SOHO/MDI

[11-19-07 ECB]  Solar Activity is once again at 0 after two minor peaks of first 11 and then 13 during the previous five days.   FLUX has been about flat line at about 69 or 70.  As it has for the past 30 days, Sunspot Activity is likely to hover at or near 0 for most of the time.  However a few alignments during the next 60 days should create a few modest spikes of activity.  We are about as close to Solar MIN as it gets, its doubtful it will get any lower than this..  October/November very well may be the MIN turn-around period into Solar Sunspot Cycle 24.

[11-19-07 ECB]  NASA reports no sunspots on the farside.
[Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI] 

[11-5-07 ECB] Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments:    No change from previous weeks - for the most part, planetary stimulus should average out close to nil and so should solar activity for several weeks, although an occasional small spike in activity will probably occur.  Most likely there will be greater activity during the next forty days than during the previous fifty days.

IMPORTANT NOTE WHICH MOST PEOPLE STILL ARE NOT GETTING:

The Sun is at minimum levels of activity.  Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes.

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/solar_11-12-07.gif

graph courtesy Jan Alvestad http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Latest Graph: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/images/solar.gif
Daily Sunspot Numbers Are ISSN: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt

Sunspot Count Chart:  In this chart above the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).  

 

Date       Flux Spots Area

Click here for NOAA Sunspot Table For Past 30 Days

Pix of coronal holes[11-19-07 ECB]   NASA reports coronal holes in the Sun's atmosphere and predicts the solar wind flowing out of it will reach Earth November 21.  NASA predicts a 1% to 1% probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours. As a result of the solar wind, NASA,  predicts there is a 10% to 25% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours.    Pix Credit: NOAA  

[11-5-07 ECB] Average Solar Counts for 2007:  Flux:  83 in January, 77 in February, 74.4 in May, 69.1 in September..   Spots: ISSN - 16.9 in January, 10.6 in February,  4.8 for March, 3.7 in April, 11.7 in May. August continued the decline to 6.2, despite the Venus | Earth alignment and September's was 2.4, about as low as it gets.   OCTOBER'S AVERAGE WAS 0.9 and as of November 5 we had 26 days of 0 sunspots.  THAT'S ALMOST THE SOLAR MINIMA.

 

[11-12-07 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:    We did not make a full 30 days of 0 Sunspots, thus we still do not have a 0 month.  Even so, this might be Solar MIN.  Astrophysicists will not confirm this, however, for a few more months.  Their definition is based on a running mathematical monthly average which obscures somewhat the exact turning point of the cycle. (The MINIMA is calculated as a running 12 month average and so our definition of the event always lags for several months until the numbers work themselves out. Note to astrophysicists: we need a better method of calculation which can spot the passage within 90 days).

 

Magnetic Disturbances: (As Shown By Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska )

11-19-07 ECB]  Fluxgate Monitor shows a mirror surface in the current solar sea.  This is likely, however, to get modestly stormy for a few days as a result of the coming solar wind.   (Always keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur and produce intense magnetic storms in the atmosphere.)

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/sunspots/fluxgate_11-19-07.gif

Solar Cycle 24 Predictions: 

[4-30-07 ECB]  Another round of predictions for Solar Cycle 24 is now being tendered through NASA and other sources.  Using more traditional statistical methods, dates for the beginning of the next cycle have been pushed back to Spring 2008. We now have predicted dates ranging from NOW through to April/May 2008.   

[2-12-07 ECB] There are now three major focal points for predictions of the beginning of Cycle 24.  One cluster is for March 2007.  Another is for Fall 2007, which is probably NASA/NOAA's most prevalent opinion.  A third is January 2008.  I personally lean toward January 2008, which is the official prediction of the EU's apparently most prominent solar group. 

[3-26-07 ECB] Conservative predictions shown in red by Hathaway, NASA/NOAA, 2007, uses an older statistically-based model. Other predictions using Solar Dynamic Models indicate a higher peak for Cycle 24. Cycle 25 "seems" too low in this chart when compared to the past nine Activity Cycles

The Phoenix Five Revised Scenario will be based on the following logic:

These projected Solar Activity Cycles are of immense importance because of the impact of Cycle 19 on the shifting of the Spin Axis in 1958.  Cycle 24 may be as large as Cycle 19 and this may bring enough new shifting and tectonic motion in the Earth's crust to initiate major tectonic ruptures around the Pacific Rim.  From now through to the MAX of Cycle 24, increasing break up in the crust may be evident through a variety of increased tectonic activities.  During the MAX years of 2011-2014, the ruptures may begin the long predicted destructions in the Western U.S.  The final breakup of the crust may occur during the MAX period of Cycle 25, which is not likely to be so small as shown here.  In all cases we will be watching the Great Rift for the auguries.  Always, the windows of greatest danger will be the combination of the "whammies", New Moon or Full Moon, Perigee, Perihelion, Mercury aligned with another inner planet or even Jupiter, during the peak years of the Solar Cycle.  Add as well the Eclipse Nodal Cycle (18 years) to find the extremes in the Lunar Sygygy, the next of which occurs in 2022.   It is the splitting of the Great Rift which is the key to the entire Earth Changes phenomenon, including the current waves of Global Warming and acidification of the oceans.  The Wobble pumps the Great Rift and the Great Rift spreads the tectonic plates and forces the motions which cause them to buckle and grind against each other... and every once in a very great while the tectonic plates avalanche together en masse to redistribute their mass to achieve a better condition of balance in the spinning vortices of the Earth-Moon-Sun System.

 

SOLAR OUTPUT 1975-2005

This chart of the last three Solar Cycles is profoundly important for many reasons.  First, it demonstrates that scientists have learned in just the last 30 years that gross solar output is almost precisely parallel with the output of Sunspots. In other words, the Sunspot Cycle is actually the Solar Activity Cycle.  Secondly the chart demonstrates that Sunspot numbers define the amount of actual irradiance (also called luminescence) which strikes the top of the Earth's atmosphere. This measure in turn is telling us how much "heat" energy is being delivered to the Earth.  As we can see, the total energy has been declining in average since 1975.  With less primary heat, there is also less "reflected" or "green-housed" heat. To make a long story short, this chart demonstrates that neither the Sun, nor all its cycles, nor all the Greenhouse Gases, nor all the inflated academic claims concerning them, have much to do with the obvious warming of the Earth.  Ignorance is a wonderful thing.  It frees the mind to seek the right answers.  Go seek, find the real cause of Global Warming.

Chart by Robert A. Rohde for the Global Warming Art Project
http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Image:Solar_Cycle_Variations.png

 
 

 

 

 

PLANETARY ACTIVITY: Skywatching, Planet Alignments, Moon, Asteroids

 The Inner Four Planets set inside the ring of the asteroid belt and the orbit of Jupiter. Each point of light is an actual representation of a planet, asteroid, or comet (plus the Sun of course), set within a true scale of distance as of April 1.   The positions of all numbered asteroids and all numbered comets in JPL's small-body database are shown (as of April 1, 2007 ).  Asteroids are yellow dots, comets are the pale blurry smudges.  We are looking down on the Solar System, overlooking the "North Pole" of the Earth.  As can be seen, our Solar System is a pretty busy place.

Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
Inner Solar System Orbit Diagrams
http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/?ss_inner

 

NIGHT SKY FOR November 19, 2007 from Hopiland:  Click for full screen sky map

 

 

IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory

If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this.  It is centered for 5 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings- 10 pm Monday evening) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land.  This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL).  It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it.  With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world).  Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay).  Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart.  Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.

 

PLANET WATCH: 

[11-19-07]  COMET HOLMES THROUGH A HOME TELESCOPE IN  BLACK/WHITE PIX THIS WEEK.  FROM NASA: "Comet 17P/Holmes tonight is passing directly in front of Mirfak, the brightest star of the constellation Perseus. Carlos Reis of Portugal took this picture of the converging pair on Nov. 18th."

IMAGE SOURCE: NASA:  SPACEWEATHER.COM

THIS IS ABOUT THE LAST WEEK FOR VIEWING COMET HOLMES

BLUE COMET  Holmes is creating quite a stir with its highly unusual appearance. It currently can be seen just after Sunset by looking toward the Northeast.

 

 

This pix was taken by November 1, 2007 by Vicent Peris and José Luis Lamadrid,
Javalambre, Teruel, Spain;  2020 meters above sea level, 0.85" median

 

Please note that most of this light CANNOT BE SEEN without a telescope or binoculars.

I have tried to "see" the blue but I cannot in the Arizona sky with a modest power binocular. The photos I have seen of this comet ARE USING TIME LAPSE PHOTOGRAPHY to capture the light and color.
 


Click here for more pix of Comet Holmes and links to information about viewing it

Comet 17P/Holmes Photo Gallery
[Interactive World Map of Comet Photos]
[sky map] [ephemeris] [3D orbit] [Night Sky Cameras]
 


PLANET ALIGNMENTS:

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LINKS  |  LATEST

 

[5-7-07 ECB] Welcome to Solar Minima, which is the point when one Sunspot Cycle ends and another begins during a month when very little sunspot activity will be recorded.  We won't know the official "point" of the transition for many more months yet, perhaps not even until near the end of 2008, but frankly it sure feels like 2007 is the transition year.

 

SOLAR SYSTEM FORECAST:

[11-19-07 ECB]  Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment. This next six body alignment creates a very complex time line of coupling and refocusing of energy patterns in the solar system.  There may be several minor blips produced by this dynamic coupling scattered over two or three weeks.

 

December 22 , 2007 Six Bodies In A Straight
Mars | Earth | Sun | Mercury | Jupiter | Pluto

 

Most important for Solar Activity is the six-way alignment in December on the Solstice.  This next chart is added because it far outclasses all else during 2007.  On about December 18/19, five planets will align in a straight line with the Sun.  Earth and Mars will align on the top of the chart, while  Mercury, Jupiter, and Pluto align on the almost exact opposite side of the Sun. Off to one side, Venus will align with Saturn.  On December 22, Earth's Moon will be Perigee at the peak of its North Node and on December 24, the Moon will be Full.  Talk about a syzygy window!!!

Almost certainly these alignments will induce Solar Activity.  These probably will mark the beginning of Solar Cycle 24. Sunspot Activity will begin to rise in brief flurries about December 10-15.  I have no idea how large these flurries will get but I would guess they will be larger than anything seen during the past six months.

 

December 22, 2007 - An Heliocentric Projection from Home Planet Software

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthchanges/bulletin/2007/planets/planets_equal9_12-22-07.gif

 

LUNAR SCHEDULE:

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LINKS  |  LATEST

To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs.  Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words.  Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

NORTHERN ARC PACIFIC RIM:  HEADS UP

[11-12-07 ECB]    We are betwixt all extremes of the Lunar Cycles headed rapidly towards an extreme Perigee and North Declination in the Full Moon on November 24 and 25.  Consider this Syzygy Window to be sharply focused from November 21 through to November 27 with all extremes in play.  See earthquakes section below for extended discussion.

 

This following prediction is right so far.  If the month of September is any indication of what is in store for October and November, I hope this one also goes wrong.

STANDING PREDICTION:  Beware, however, from about October 11 through to the Perihelion in early January.  The cycles are phasing up together, Perigee and Full Moon tightly linked in November, with the New Moon and Extreme Declination tightly linked in early December.   Thus, heightened danger will begin to mount in September and continue through to December of this year, with the greatest danger likely during the syzygy windows in October -December.

 

 Lunar Schedule For 2007
computed from Home Planet Software (op. cit.)

ALL TIMES AND DATES ARE UTC (Greenwich)

+ or - = synchronicity within 48 hours with Full or New Moon

Event Date Time Distance To Earth KM  + Time Spread
close influence          
peak influence          
  Perigee          
Perigee June 12, 2007 17:08 363777 km   N-2d10h
Perigee July 9, 2007 21:39 368533 km   N-4d14h
Perigee August 3, 2007 23:53 368891 km   F+4d23h
Perigee August 31, 2007 0:14 364173 km   F+2d13h
Perigee September 28, 2007 1:54 359419 km   F+1d 6h
Perigee October 26, 2007 11:52 356754 km ++ F+   6h
Perigee November 24, 2007 0:13 357195 km + F-  14h
Perigee December 22, 2007