GEOPHYSICAL WATCH

The Changes In The Earth

|  Solar Activity  |  Planets  |  Moon  |  Asteroids  |  Meteors & Comets  |

|  Earth's Wobble  |

|  World Weather  |  Earthquakes  |  Volcanism  |

SOLAR ACTIVITY: Solar Storms, Sunspots, Ionic Wind, Magnetic Disturbances

ALMANAC | BACKGROUND | EARTHMONITOR LINKS |  LATEST
 

Visible Sun Of July 23, 2007:  Credit: SOHO/MDI

[7-23-07 ECB]  Solar Activity finally dropped like a rock to zip and has remained there the past three days. The Flux has been coasting down to a plateau of 66 were it remained on July 22.  As with previous weeks the over all level of activity should remain quite mild to zero for the next week.  The next spike of activity will form up just after the first of August under the approaching alignment of Venus and Earth on August 12. After this one, the Sun will be virtually silent for several weeks pending the next alignment in mid September.

[7-23-07 ECB]  NASA reports no significant sunspots on the farside.  [Holographic image credit: SOHO/MDI] 

[7-23-07 ECB] Quick Solar Activity Forecast From Planetary Alignments:  The planets for the most part will be widening apart again very soon and influences on the Sun will become simple again.  After the peaking in early August for the Venus | Earth alignment, planetary stimulus should average out to nil and so should solar activity for several weeks.

IMPORTANT NOTE WHICH MOST PEOPLE STILL ARE NOT GETTING:

The Sun is at minimum levels of activity, headed to even lower levels of activity in August.  Thus the climate patterns this year have nothing to do with solar cycles and are entirely related to global warming phenomenon produced by tectonic causes.

ALVESTAD SOLAR ACTIVITY  GRAPH AS OF July  22,  2007
CLICK ON GRAPH FOR EXPANDED VIEW

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2007/sunspots/solar_7-23-07.gif
graph courtesy Jan Alvestad http://www.dxlc.com/solar/
Latest Graph: http://www.dxlc.com/solar/images/solar.gif
Daily Sunspot Numbers Are ISSN: http://www.sec.noaa.gov/ftpdir/indices/DSD.txt

Sunspot Count Chart:  In this chart above the black line is the Solar Flux as measured in orbit near the Earth, the red line is the Sunspot Number and the blue line is a measure of the strength of the magnetic field in the Earth’s high atmosphere (called the Planetary A Index).  

Date      Flux Spots Area

2007 07 16  73  30  260
2007 07 17  72  17  240
2007 07 18  70  13  210
2007 07 19  68  12  110
2007 07 20  67  0     0
2007 07 21  66  0     0
2007 07 22  66  0     0
 

[5-21-07 ECB] Passage To Solar Cycle 24:   We may pass into Solar Cycle 24 at practically any time during 2007, though we may not know it completely officially until six months after the fact. (The MINIMA is calculated as a running 12 month average and so our definition of the event always lags for several months until the numbers work themselves out. Note to astrophysicists: we need a better method of calculation which can spot the passage within 90 days). SEE BELOW, WE MAY HAVE ENTERED INTO CYCLE 24 AS OF APRIL 2007.

[7-23-07 ECB]   NASA predicts that a solar wind stream flowing from this coronal hole should reach Earth on July 26 or so.  NASA predicts a 1% to 1% probability of solar flares (X to M, respectively) during the next 48 hours.  NASA predicts there is a 1% to 15% probability of major magnetic disturbances in the high latitudes during the next 48 hours. Pix Credit: NOAA GOES-13.  

[7-23-07 ECB] Average Solar Counts for January - April 2007:  Flux:  83 in January, 77 in February, 72 in April, 74.4 in May.   Spots: ISSN - 16.9 in January, 10.6 in February,  4.8 for March, 3.7 in April, 11.7 in May, a little above the prediction.  June's ISSN was 12.  WAS MARCH AND APRIL THE MIN AND ARE WE NOW IN SOLAR CYCLE 24 IN A NEW CYCLE OF RISING ACTIVITY???  IT COULD BE.

Magnetic Disturbances: (As Shown By Fluxgate Monitor at the University of Alaska )

[7-23-07 ECB]  Fluxgate Monitor is showing almost no magnetic activity in the upper atmosphere after a minor magnetic storm in a preceding day.  Activity may continue to be fairly uneventful through the remainder of this year however keep in mind that even during a Solar Min period, intense X class flares and CME's occasionally occur.

CLICK ON GRAPH FOR EXPANDED VIEW

http://www.michaelmandeville.com//ecbulletin/2007/sunspots/fluxgate_7-23-07.gif

Solar Cycle 24 Predictions: 

[4-30-07 ECB]  Another round of predictions for Solar Cycle 24 is now being tendered through NASA and other sources.  Using more traditional statistical methods, dates for the beginning of the next cycle have been pushed back to Spring 2008. We now have predicted dates ranging from NOW through to April/May 2008.   

[2-12-07 ECB] There are now three major focal points for predictions of the beginning of Cycle 24.  One cluster is for March 2007.  Another is for Fall 2007, which is probably NASA/NOAA's most prevalent opinion.  A third is January 2008.  I personally lean toward January 2008, which is the official prediction of the EU's apparently most prominent solar group. 

[3-26-07 ECB] Conservative predictions shown in red by Hathaway, NASA/NOAA, 2007, uses an older statistically-based model. Other predictions using Solar Dynamic Models indicate a higher peak for Cycle 24. Cycle 25 "seems" too low in this chart when compared to the past nine Activity Cycles

The Phoenix Five Revised Scenario will be based on the following logic:

These projected Solar Activity Cycles are of immense importance because of the impact of Cycle 19 on the shifting of the Spin Axis in 1958.  Cycle 24 may be as large as Cycle 19 and this may bring enough new shifting and tectonic motion in the Earth's crust to initiate major tectonic ruptures around the Pacific Rim.  From now through to the MAX of Cycle 24, increasing break up in the crust may be evident through a variety of increased tectonic activities.  During the MAX years of 2011-2014, the ruptures may begin the long predicted destructions in the Western U.S.  The final breakup of the crust may occur during the MAX period of Cycle 25, which is not likely to be so small as shown here.  In all cases we will be watching the Great Rift for the auguries.  Always, the windows of greatest danger will be the combination of the "whammies", New Moon or Full Moon, Perigee, Perihelion, Mercury aligned with another inner planet or even Jupiter, during the peak years of the Solar Cycle.  Add as well the Eclipse Nodal Cycle (18 years) to find the extremes in the Lunar Sygygy, the next of which occurs in 2022.   It is the splitting of the Great Rift which is the key to the entire Earth Changes phenomenon, including the current waves of Global Warming and acidification of the oceans.  The Wobble pumps the Great Rift and the Great Rift spreads the tectonic plates and forces the motions which cause them to buckle and grind against each other... and every once in a very great while the tectonic plates avalanche together en masse to redistribute their mass to achieve a better condition of balance in the spinning vortices of the Earth-Moon-Sun System.

SOLAR OUTPUT 1975-2005

This chart of the last three Solar Cycles is profoundly important for many reasons.  First, it demonstrates that scientists have learned in just the last 30 years that gross solar output is almost precisely parallel with the output of Sunspots. In other words, the Sunspot Cycle is actually the Solar Activity Cycle.  Secondly the chart demonstrates that Sunspot numbers define the amount of actual irradiance (also called luminescence) which strikes the top of the Earth's atmosphere. This measure in turn is telling us how much "heat" energy is being delivered to the Earth.  As we can see, the total energy has been declining in average since 1975.  With less primary heat, there is also less "reflected" or "green-housed" heat. To make a long story short, this chart demonstrates that neither the Sun, nor all its cycles, nor all the Greenhouse Gases, nor all the inflated academic claims concerning them, have much to do with the obvious warming of the Earth.  Ignorance is a wonderful thing.  It frees the mind to seek the right answers.  Go seek, find the real cause of Global Warming.

Chart by Robert A. Rohde for the Global Warming Art Project
http://www.globalwarmingart.com/wiki/Image:Solar_Cycle_Variations.png

PLANETARY ACTIVITY: Skywatching, Planet Alignments, Moon, Asteroids

 The Inner Four Planets set inside the ring of the asteroid belt and the orbit of Jupiter. Each point of light is an actual representation of a planet, asteroid, or comet (plus the Sun of course), set within a true scale of distance as of April 1.   The positions of all numbered asteroids and all numbered comets in JPL's small-body database are shown (as of April 1, 2007 ).  Asteroids are yellow dots, comets are the pale blurry smudges.  We are looking down on the Solar System, overlooking the "North Pole" of the Earth.  As can be seen, our Solar System is a pretty busy place.

Courtesy Jet Propulsion Lab
Inner Solar System Orbit Diagrams
http://ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/?ss_inner

CHECK OUT THE EVENING SKY JUST AFTER SUNSET.

Venus, Saturn, and New Moon Crescent all together. Venus, Saturn and the bright star Regulus form a triangle with the crescent Moon inside.  Despite the incredible brightness of Venus, it is actually only a slender crescent. Here is NASA's sky chart  to help you sort them out: sky map.

VENUS:  Still a great and bright first star you see every nite in its annual appearance as the Evening Star. Look for Jupiter on the other end of the sky (on the eastern horizon).  Both of these two planets are very bright at this time and appear very early in the Sunset.  THEN, CHECK OUT THE BRIGHTEST STAR NEXT TO VENUS.  That is not a star, it is the planet Saturn, who are in what earth-centric perspectives call a conjunction.

 Then check out directly overhead at the top of  the vault of the heavens, just a little to the off-center to the South.  At nearly that point is Arcturus, an enormously huge star (100 times the size of our Sol) which outshines everything else up there in that portion of the sky.  Cayce predicts that we will discover that our sun is revolving around Arcturus as part of a complex system of many stars.  Notice, if you can see the stars clearly enough, the relationships of Arcturus with the Milky Way (Nun), with the Great Bull (the cow which jumped over the Moon), and with the zodiac path of Venus and Jupiter, which are roughly on the Earth's "Celestial Equator" (which is the Earth's Equator extended out into the Universe).

NIGHT SKY FOR July 23, 2007:  Click for full screen sky map

IMAGE PRODUCED BY MICA, software & data from the JPL & U.S. Naval Observatory

If you want to learn how to follow the stars at night and get deeper into the cosmic scene of the planetary alignments, how the solar system actually works, and so forth, start using this.  It is centered for 5 AM Greenwich Tuesdays (the map is changed for each weekly update) for Arizona Mountain Time (no daylight savings) at 2000 meter elevation on approximately Black Mesa, Hopi Land.  This projection is produced by U.S. Navy Observatory MICA software and Ephemeris (Ephemeris is maintained on line by JPL).  It is more or less the world standard of algorithms for precisely tracking the cosmos and the software is such a snap to use to create powerful results, I cannot resist using it.  With this you can stand on the bridge of a vessel at sea and navigate like they used to do (but no longer, its all satellite positioning now, but old habits die not at all in the navies of the world).  Hopi Land was selected as the focal point because this provides the same approximate night sky to New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, Utah, Nevada, and California (with a little time delay).  Sorry, you folks in the Pacific Northwest will not be able to use this very well, you need your own projection. As a rough and ready make-do, just face the South and look for the relevant items about 10 to 20 degrees lower than indicated in the chart.  Like California, expect events in the chart to be one hour earlier than your time.

PLANET ALIGNMENTS:

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LINKS  |  LATEST

[5-07-07 ECB] Welcome to Solar Minima, which is the point when one Sunspot Cycle ends and another begins during a month when very little sunspot activity will be recorded.  We won't know the official "point" of the transition for many more months yet, perhaps not even until near the end of 2008, but frankly it sure feels like 2007 is the transition year.

SOLAR SYSTEM FORECAST:

[7-9-07 ECB]   Mercury will pass by Neptune and then Uranus during the next two weeks, followed during the next month by Venus and Earth, even as Venus passes Earth.  These orbital passes will generate a number of small spikes in Sunspot Activity during the next 30 days, the size and timing of which will be unpredictable.  August should be a "dead" solar month with no stimulus for hurricanes.  The height of the hurricane season of 2007 may emerge about September 10 in connection with the alignment of Mercury | Jupiter on September 18.  This season may extend through to the end of October while Mercury completes another series of fast moving alignments with the inner planets and two more of the outer planets.  This influence is not likely to be very strong this year during this year of the Solar Minima.  Major solar influence on storm fronts is not likely to reappear until 2009 

Sunspot and solar activity should peak generally 8 to 3 days in advance of these alignment dates but keep in mind that some times the solar peak comes in on the day or the day after the alignment.

July 23, 2007 Mercury | Mars PLANETARY ALIGNMENT

This should bring in another modest rise in solar activity about the middle of the July.   NOW CONFIRMED AS OF JULY 16 - THESE APPROACHING ALIGNMENTS HAVE ALREADY PEAKED SOLAR ACTIVITY UP TO A COUNT OF 42 SUNSPOTS.

July 23, 2007 - An Heliocentric Projection from Home Planet Software

http://michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2006/planets/planets_equal9_7-23-07.gif

August 12 , 2007 Venus | Earth | Neptune Three-Way PLANETARY ALIGNMENT

This is a highly focused alignment with Mercury on the other side of the Sun in nearly perfect opposition.  This may produce a brief flurry of Sunspots, perhaps a count as high as 35

August 12, 2007 - An Heliocentric Projection from Home Planet Software

http://michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2006/planets/planets_equal9_8-12-07.gif

HURRICANE SEASON SUNSPOT ALIGNMENTS:  The next most interesting moment in the planetary alignments will come a month later near September 18 when Mercury moves into alignment with Jupiter. This pass of Mercury will be posted in a few weeks.  Thus from about September 12, we may see the beginning of the height of the Hurricane Season and it may persist for a couple of months while Mercury passes by in alignments once again with all the inner planets along with Neptune and Uranus.

December 22 , 2007 Six Bodies In A Straight
Mars | Earth | Sun | Mercury | Jupiter | Pluto

There are significant alignments in September, October, and November but the charts have not been added yet. A spectacular "bunching" of the inner planets will be seen as "morning stars" during early November, Mercury, Mars, and Venus should all be viewable together at dawn in a very rare conjunction.  I am guessing that this confabulation of the inner planets will mark the beginning of Solar Cycle 24.

Most important for Solar Activity is the six-way alignment in December on the Solstice.  This next chart is added because it far outclasses all else during 2007.  On about December 18/19, five planets will align in a straight line with the Sun.  Earth and Mars will align on the top of the chart, while  Mercury, Jupiter, and Pluto align on the almost exact opposite side of the Sun. Off to one side, Venus will align with Saturn.  On December 22, Earth's Moon will be Perigee at the peak of its North Node and on December 24, the Moon will be Full.  Talk about a syzygy window!!!

December 22, 2007 - An Heliocentric Projection from Home Planet Software

http://michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2006/planets/planets_equal9_12-22-07.gif

LUNAR SCHEDULE:

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LINKS  |  LATEST

To quickly surmise the situation for the week, use these graphs.  Once you figure out how to read them, which is not difficult, you will find these more powerful than words.  Please note that you may have to click on the pictures in the browser to instruct your browser to display them in their full size.

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

[7-16-07 ECB]   We are now half way between New and Full Moon in a modest southern declination just past a modest Apogee.  The current bout of tectonic activity is still running modestly above average for 6+ quakes but this should drop to average levels during this next several days.  The coming Full Moon on July 30 will catch it returning from its extreme southern declination at about the same angle it is today and a modest Perigee will occur a few days after the Full Moon on August 3. This should be a modest syzygy season which runs from about July 27 through to August 6.

STANDING PREDICTION:  In general, I believe that the danger of major quakes in North America is very modest during this coming cycle.  Heightened danger will begin to mount in September and continue through to December of this year, with the greatest danger likely in October.

 Lunar Schedule For 2007
computed from Home Planet Software (op. cit.)

ALL TIMES AND DATES ARE UTC (Greenwich)

+ or - = synchronicity within 48 hours with Full or New Moon

Integrated Lunar Schedule On Time Dimension

All dates and times are UTC

Apparent Geocentric Positions Of The Moon
from the U.S. Naval Observatory.

In this schedule below, you can see the Perigee/Apogee cycle in the right hand column and in the next set of numbers to the left you can see Declination.  Or just learn to read the charts above, which are a lot more fun.  The Giant Plot allows you to see the exact dates (UTC). 

Or use these graphs which are drawn by MWM from the table data to find PERIGEE, DECLINATION, AND PHASE (NEW OR FULL MOON)..

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
 

One Year Overview
 

Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
 

Declination (Dragon Cycle) and Distance (Perigee Cycle) define the strongest and most extreme moments of Lunar influence on the Earth. Distances of less than 365,000 KM indicate Perigees with the Lunar gravity field considerably stronger than average.  Declinations of 27 or 28 indicate an extreme position of the Moon over the Northern (+) or Southern Hemisphere (-). A high declination with a low distance for Perigee exerts significantly greater torque on the Earth in zones which do not usually receive so much. The "timing" of these "moments" creates "windows" of exceptional syzygy.  These relationships are best viewed in graph form.

True Equator and Equinox of Date For 2007
http://aa.usno.navy.mil/cgi-bin/aa_geocentric.pl

Date        Time       RightAscen. Declination   Distance
(UT1)
            h m s h m s ' "                      kilometers
2007 Jan 01 00:00:00.0 4 18 51.569 + 26 25 9.13 374438.168
2007 Jan 02 00:00:00.0 5 20 37.107 + 28 10 31.34 377068.422
2007 Jan 03 00:00:00.0 6 22 28.863 + 28 10 37.17 380355.528
2007 Jan 04 00:00:00.0 7 22 17.216 + 26 30 22.75 384181.562
2007 Jan 05 00:00:00.0 8 18 28.354 + 23 24 56.92 388344.097
2007 Jan 06 00:00:00.0 9 10 27.823 + 19 14 29.28 392572.587
2007 Jan 07 00:00:00.0 9 58 32.705 + 14 19 7.31 396556.504
2007 Jan 08 00:00:00.0 10 43 30.929 + 8 56 7.43 399978.815
2007 Jan 09 00:00:00.0 11 26 23.932 + 3 19 16.95 402548.992
2007 Jan 10 00:00:00.0 12 8 17.140 - 2 20 26.41 404031.663
2007 Jan 11 00:00:00.0 12 50 16.315 - 7 53 42.11 404269.051
2007 Jan 12 00:00:00.0 13 33 26.493 - 13 11 24.32 403196.727
2007 Jan 13 00:00:00.0 14 18 50.547 - 18 3 20.11 400852.683
2007 Jan 14 00:00:00.0 15 7 24.511 - 22 16 59.29 397379.491
2007 Jan 15 00:00:00.0 15 59 46.991 - 25 36 59.42 393018.611
2007 Jan 16 00:00:00.0 16 56 2.358 - 27 45 48.93 388095.290
2007 Jan 17 00:00:00.0 17 55 24.585 - 28 26 33.53 382992.490
2007 Jan 18 00:00:00.0 18 56 17.577 - 27 27 34.99 378113.497
2007 Jan 19 00:00:00.0 19 56 43.723 - 24 46 58.89 373835.876
2007 Jan 20 00:00:00.0 20 55 7.930 - 20 34 1.77 370463.611
2007 Jan 21 00:00:00.0 21 50 47.260 - 15 6 50.63 368188.025
2007 Jan 22 00:00:00.0 22 43 52.271 - 8 48 13.45 367068.534
2007 Jan 23 00:00:00.0 23 35 10.918 - 2 2 5.23 367039.769
2007 Jan 24 00:00:00.0 0 25 50.501 + 4 48 28.21 367943.228
2007 Jan 25 00:00:00.0 1 17 3.886 + 11 21 39.16 369573.532
2007 Jan 26 00:00:00.0 2 9 58.215 + 17 16 39.04 371725.539
2007 Jan 27 00:00:00.0 3 5 21.828 + 22 13 21.08 374230.270
2007 Jan 28 00:00:00.0 4 3 27.428 + 25 52 58.83 376972.814
2007 Jan 29 00:00:00.0 5 3 36.817 + 28 0 19.95 379891.296
2007 Jan 30 00:00:00.0 6 4 21.197 + 28 27 12.24 382960.584
2007 Jan 31 00:00:00.0 7 3 47.673 + 27 15 4.88 386167.134
2007 Feb 01 00:00:00.0 8 0 20.637 + 24 34 53.07 389482.262
2007 Feb 02 00:00:00.0 8 53 10.595 + 20 43 40.13 392840.449
2007 Feb 03 00:00:00.0 9 42 16.700 + 16 0 24.47 396127.349
2007 Feb 04 00:00:00.0 10 28 12.397 + 10 42 54.54 399179.507
2007 Feb 05 00:00:00.0 11 11 49.152 + 5 6 26.96 401795.108
2007 Feb 06 00:00:00.0 11 54 5.566 - 0 36 17.84 403753.127
2007 Feb 07 00:00:00.0 12 36 2.133 - 6 14 36.94 404837.410
2007 Feb 08 00:00:00.0 13 18 39.306 - 11 38 46.67 404862.360
2007 Feb 09 00:00:00.0 14 2 56.332 - 16 38 56.49 403697.674
2007 Feb 10 00:00:00.0 14 49 48.422 - 21 4 4.05 401290.301
2007 Feb 11 00:00:00.0 15 39 59.923 - 24 41 5.89 397682.246
2007 Feb 12 00:00:00.0 16 33 52.081 - 27 14 51.58 393022.628
2007 Feb 13 00:00:00.0 17 31 7.945 - 28 29 21.03 387571.668
2007 Feb 14 00:00:00.0 18 30 44.220 - 28 10 48.65 381693.255
2007 Feb 15 00:00:00.0 19 31 3.268 - 26 11 50.93 375832.125
2007 Feb 16 00:00:00.0 20 30 26.360 - 22 34 36.35 370472.714
2007 Feb 17 00:00:00.0 21 27 48.795 - 17 31 10.75 366080.616
2007 Feb 18 00:00:00.0 22 22 55.401 - 11 21 27.64 363034.639
2007 Feb 19 00:00:00.0 23 16 14.243 - 4 29 58.99 361565.251
2007 Feb 20 00:00:00.0 0 8 40.563 + 2 36 52.51 361718.509
2007 Feb 21 00:00:00.0 1 1 20.864 + 9 32 50.96 363358.773
2007 Feb 22 00:00:00.0 1 55 19.104 + 15 52 58.69 366209.661
2007 Feb 23 00:00:00.0 2 51 22.447 + 21 14 23.70 369918.632
2007 Feb 24 00:00:00.0 3 49 44.976 + 25 17 20.51 374124.434
2007 Feb 25 00:00:00.0 4 49 53.845 + 27 46 59.48 378510.248
2007 Feb 26 00:00:00.0 5 50 29.589 + 28 35 53.93 382834.065
2007 Feb 27 00:00:00.0 6 49 49.494 + 27 45 42.48 386936.194
2007 Feb 28 00:00:00.0 7 46 24.514 + 25 26 31.27 390728.778
2007 Mar 01 00:00:00.0 8 39 26.217 + 21 53 56.94 394174.091
2007 Mar 02 00:00:00.0 9 28 50.816 + 17 25 31.83 397258.287
2007 Mar 03 00:00:00.0 10 15 7.249 + 12 18 8.40 399966.331
2007 Mar 04 00:00:00.0 10 59 2.382 + 6 46 48.91 402262.467
2007 Mar 05 00:00:00.0 11 41 30.449 + 1 4 37.63 404079.077
2007 Mar 06 00:00:00.0 12 23 27.554 - 4 36 54.33 405315.103
2007 Mar 07 00:00:00.0 13 5 49.373 - 10 7 10.30 405843.690
2007 Mar 08 00:00:00.0 13 49 29.890 - 15 15 43.98 405527.553
2007 Mar 09 00:00:00.0 14 35 19.183 - 19 51 35.63 404239.847
2007 Mar 10 00:00:00.0 15 23 58.443 - 23 42 37.07 401888.196
2007 Mar 11 00:00:00.0 16 15 51.154 - 26 35 22.82 398439.542
2007 Mar 12 00:00:00.0 17 10 51.773 - 28 15 52.67 393943.543
2007 Mar 13 00:00:00.0 18 8 17.964 - 28 31 24.67 388551.873
2007 Mar 14 00:00:00.0 19 6 55.779 - 27 13 22.48 382529.840
2007 Mar 15 00:00:00.0 20 5 21.692 - 24 19 51.62 376255.451
2007 Mar 16 00:00:00.0 21 2 31.557 - 19 56 51.03 370199.986
2007 Mar 17 00:00:00.0 21 57 59.711 - 14 17 44.87 364884.991
2007 Mar 18 00:00:00.0 22 52 0.819 - 7 42 1.13 360815.315
2007 Mar 19 00:00:00.0 23 45 19.839 - 0 33 43.75 358397.245
2007 Mar 20 00:00:00.0 0 38 58.240 + 6 39 52.66 357862.000
2007 Mar 21 00:00:00.0 1 33 59.768 + 13 29 59.49 359220.144
2007 Mar 22 00:00:00.0 2 31 14.403 + 19 28 14.32 362264.817
2007 Mar 23 00:00:00.0 3 30 59.114 + 24 9 14.02 366622.704
2007 Mar 24 00:00:00.0 4 32 40.310 + 27 13 45.17 371833.123
2007 Mar 25 00:00:00.0 5 34 51.887 + 28 32 0.22 377428.894
2007 Mar 26 00:00:00.0 6 35 40.627 + 28 5 22.32 382998.964
2007 Mar 27 00:00:00.0 7 33 28.524 + 26 5 2.78 388224.513
2007 Mar 28 00:00:00.0 8 27 23.550 + 22 47 58.60 392889.983
2007 Mar 29 00:00:00.0 9 17 23.255 + 18 32 30.83 396875.219
2007 Mar 30 00:00:00.0 10 4 0.190 + 13 35 37.82 400135.832
2007 Mar 31 00:00:00.0 10 48 4.849 + 8 11 59.04 402677.911
2007 Apr 01 00:00:00.0 11 30 34.046 + 2 34 8.93 404531.955
2007 Apr 02 00:00:00.0 12 12 25.117 - 3 6 40.91 405729.684
2007 Apr 03 00:00:00.0 12 54 33.640 - 8 39 54.69 406286.560
2007 Apr 04 00:00:00.0 13 37 52.267 - 13 54 50.31 406191.918
2007 Apr 05 00:00:00.0 14 23 8.701 - 18 40 5.93 405407.713
2007 Apr 06 00:00:00.0 15 11 1.234 - 22 43 21.01 403875.897
2007 Apr 07 00:00:00.0 16 1 51.081 - 25 51 23.21 401533.477
2007 Apr 08 00:00:00.0 16 55 32.895 - 27 50 57.51 398333.573
2007 Apr 09 00:00:00.0 17 51 28.655 - 28 30 26.20 394270.187
2007 Apr 10 00:00:00.0 18 48 32.514 - 27 42 0.16 389403.858
2007 Apr 11 00:00:00.0 19 45 29.641 - 25 23 28.01 383884.671
2007 Apr 12 00:00:00.0 20 41 21.213 - 21 38 51.89 377967.987
2007 Apr 13 00:00:00.0 21 35 41.988 - 16 37 50.31 372016.889
2007 Apr 14 00:00:00.0 22 28 43.779 - 10 34 39.27 366484.460
2007 Apr 15 00:00:00.0 23 21 8.486 - 3 47 39.82 361870.308
2007 Apr 16 00:00:00.0 0 13 57.309 + 3 20 42.43 358651.339
2007 Apr 17 00:00:00.0 1 8 19.014 + 10 23 59.01 357197.396
2007 Apr 18 00:00:00.0 2 5 15.396 + 16 52 30.06 357694.072
2007 Apr 19 00:00:00.0 3 5 20.542 + 22 15 49.32 360099.529
2007 Apr 20 00:00:00.0 4 8 15.838 + 26 7 5.08 364152.396
2007 Apr 21 00:00:00.0 5 12 35.781 + 28 8 38.85 369427.416
2007 Apr 22 00:00:00.0 6 16 6.966 + 28 16 33.70 375417.310
2007 Apr 23 00:00:00.0 7 16 39.707 + 26 40 38.04 381614.361
2007 Apr 24 00:00:00.0 8 12 55.841 + 23 39 35.57 387572.915
2007 Apr 25 00:00:00.0 9 4 41.043 + 19 34 41.90 392945.937
2007 Apr 26 00:00:00.0 9 52 27.802 + 14 45 19.71 397497.791
2007 Apr 27 00:00:00.0 10 37 12.237 + 9 27 24.94 401099.352
2007 Apr 28 00:00:00.0 11 19 58.022 + 3 53 46.17 403711.824
2007 Apr 29 00:00:00.0 12 1 48.605 - 1 44 50.44 405364.446
2007 Apr 30 00:00:00.0 12 43 44.461 - 7 18 29.82 406129.894
2007 May 01 00:00:00.0 13 26 42.108 - 12 37 5.93 406100.298
2007 May 02 00:00:00.0 14 11 32.422 - 17 29 35.34 405366.301
2007 May 03 00:00:00.0 14 58 56.429 - 21 43 33.00 404001.346
2007 May 04 00:00:00.0 15 49 17.591 - 25 5 22.16 402053.010
2007 May 05 00:00:00.0 16 42 31.845 - 27 21 14.43 399542.637
2007 May 06 00:00:00.0 17 38 0.726 - 28 19 5.94 396473.630
Date        Time       RightAscen. Declination   Distance
(UT1)
            h m s h m s ' "                      kilometers
2007 May 07 00:00:00.0 18 34 35.737 - 27 51 3.31 392847.659
2007 May 08 00:00:00.0 19 30 57.712 - 25 55 14.59 388686.837
2007 May 09 00:00:00.0 20 26 3.165 - 22 36 5.69 384058.774
2007 May 10 00:00:00.0 21 19 23.021 - 18 3 5.62 379100.205
2007 May 11 00:00:00.0 22 11 6.464 - 12 29 6.16 374033.674
2007 May 12 00:00:00.0 23 1 53.957 - 6 9 22.57 369170.787
2007 May 13 00:00:00.0 23 52 47.055 + 0 38 21.82 364895.435
2007 May 14 00:00:00.0 0 44 58.687 + 7 33 6.87 361622.782
2007 May 15 00:00:00.0 1 39 42.378 + 14 9 48.69 359735.976
2007 May 16 00:00:00.0 2 37 55.560 + 19 59 37.44 359512.202
2007 May 17 00:00:00.0 3 39 53.560 + 24 32 32.59 361058.679
2007 May 18 00:00:00.0 4 44 41.814 + 27 22 59.45 364280.640
2007 May 19 00:00:00.0 5 50 12.035 + 28 17 4.15 368893.307
2007 May 20 00:00:00.0 6 53 44.727 + 27 17 5.43 374472.869
2007 May 21 00:00:00.0 7 53 15.656 + 24 39 27.53 380527.984
2007 May 22 00:00:00.0 8 47 53.999 + 20 47 25.35 386570.563
2007 May 23 00:00:00.0 9 37 55.002 + 16 4 1.24 392171.064
2007 May 24 00:00:00.0 10 24 12.110 + 10 48 26.83 396992.832
2007 May 25 00:00:00.0 11 7 53.297 + 5 15 31.82 400806.932
2007 May 26 00:00:00.0 11 50 8.354 - 0 23 13.01 403491.944
2007 May 27 00:00:00.0 12 32 4.123 - 5 58 6.26 405023.461
2007 May 28 00:00:00.0 13 14 43.209 - 11 19 50.42 405457.023
2007 May 29 00:00:00.0 13 59 2.847 - 16 18 21.36 404907.195
2007 May 30 00:00:00.0 14 45 51.467 - 20 42 0.36 403524.808
2007 May 31 00:00:00.0 15 35 41.329 - 24 17 22.03 401474.262
2007 Jun 01 00:00:00.0 16 28 37.504 - 26 49 59.60 398912.989
2007 Jun 02 00:00:00.0 17 24 7.846 - 28 6 23.89 395975.464
2007 Jun 03 00:00:00.0 18 21 3.332 - 27 56 58.27 392764.143
2007 Jun 04 00:00:00.0 19 17 55.940 - 26 18 36.85 389349.157
2007 Jun 05 00:00:00.0 20 13 28.252 - 23 15 35.48 385777.391
2007 Jun 06 00:00:00.0 21 6 57.693 - 18 58 11.60 382089.821
2007 Jun 07 00:00:00.0 21 58 23.745 - 13 40 20.34 378344.081
2007 Jun 08 00:00:00.0 22 48 21.106 - 7 37 38.21 374637.396
2007 Jun 09 00:00:00.0 23 37 48.252 - 1 6 40.48 371123.768
2007 Jun 10 00:00:00.0 0 27 57.372 + 5 34 32.33 368018.901
2007 Jun 11 00:00:00.0 1 20 5.626 + 12 5 30.55 365587.395
2007 Jun 12 00:00:00.0 2 15 23.539 + 18 2 21.17 364110.006
2007 Jun 13 00:00:00.0 3 14 35.107 + 22 58 10.35 363834.508
2007 Jun 14 00:00:00.0 4 17 29.182 + 26 26 4.64 364920.676
2007 Jun 15 00:00:00.0 5 22 37.479 + 28 5 23.06 367394.967
2007 Jun 16 00:00:00.0 6 27 29.019 + 27 48 39.67 371129.654
2007 Jun 17 00:00:00.0 7 29 29.035 + 25 44 30.71 375853.433
2007 Jun 18 00:00:00.0 8 27 0.242 + 22 13 24.61 381189.473
2007 Jun 19 00:00:00.0 9 19 41.337 + 17 39 57.72 386708.630
2007 Jun 20 00:00:00.0 10 8 7.007 + 12 26 48.59 391983.797
2007 Jun 21 00:00:00.0 10 53 19.550 + 6 52 7.36 396635.098
2007 Jun 22 00:00:00.0 11 36 29.615 + 1 9 43.22 400361.293
2007 Jun 23 00:00:00.0 12 18 47.314 - 4 29 37.98 402957.314
2007 Jun 24 00:00:00.0 13 1 19.359 - 9 56 39.75 404320.127
2007 Jun 25 00:00:00.0 13 45 8.015 - 15 2 7.35 404445.585
2007 Jun 26 00:00:00.0 14 31 8.808 - 19 35 36.48 403418.415
2007 Jun 27 00:00:00.0 15 20 4.665 - 23 24 50.09 401396.750
2007 Jun 28 00:00:00.0 16 12 15.443 - 26 15 45.14 398592.141
2007 Jun 29 00:00:00.0 17 7 25.384 - 27 53 56.64 395246.085
2007 Jun 30 00:00:00.0 18 4 36.908 - 28 7 26.56 391604.660
2007 Jul 01 00:00:00.0 19 2 21.440 - 26 50 6.55 387893.918
2007 Jul 02 00:00:00.0 19 59 8.072 - 24 3 48.37 384299.588
2007 Jul 03 00:00:00.0 20 53 54.456 - 19 58 3.76 380954.942
2007 Jul 04 00:00:00.0 21 46 22.059 - 14 47 42.32 377939.788
2007 Jul 05 00:00:00.0 22 36 52.991 - 8 50 7.75 375291.288
2007 Jul 06 00:00:00.0 23 26 17.937 - 2 23 31.48 373024.272
2007 Jul 07 00:00:00.0 0 15 44.202 + 4 13 36.72 371155.810
2007 Jul 08 00:00:00.0 1 6 26.316 + 10 42 0.00 369727.027
2007 Jul 09 00:00:00.0 1 59 36.548 + 16 40 43.02 368815.192
2007 Jul 10 00:00:00.0 2 56 10.417 + 21 46 46.38 368531.051
2007 Jul 11 00:00:00.0 3 56 24.133 + 25 36 14.69 369000.058
2007 Jul 12 00:00:00.0 4 59 30.403 + 27 48 0.91 370330.844
2007 Jul 13 00:00:00.0 6 3 34.197 + 28 9 39.02 372578.800
2007 Jul 14 00:00:00.0 7 6 8.302 + 26 42 9.49 375715.121
2007 Jul 15 00:00:00.0 8 5 12.299 + 23 39 42.04 379610.654
2007 Jul 16 00:00:00.0 8 59 50.524 + 19 24 15.40 384039.345
2007 Jul 17 00:00:00.0 9 50 9.985 + 14 19 12.46 388699.963
2007 Jul 18 00:00:00.0 10 36 56.898 + 8 45 12.05 393249.911
2007 Jul 19 00:00:00.0 11 21 14.510 + 2 58 48.18 397343.180
2007 Jul 20 00:00:00.0 12 4 10.178 - 2 47 4.02 400665.662
2007 Jul 21 00:00:00.0 12 46 49.951 - 8 21 56.35 402963.750
2007 Jul 22 00:00:00.0 13 30 16.694 - 13 36 24.29 404064.694
2007 Jul 23 00:00:00.0 14 15 28.434 - 18 20 48.73 403888.904
2007 Jul 24 00:00:00.0 15 3 14.345 - 22 24 14.19 402454.903
2007 Jul 25 00:00:00.0 15 54 6.578 - 25 34 0.74 399877.484
2007 Jul 26 00:00:00.0 16 48 8.382 - 27 36 16.24 396359.073
2007 Jul 27 00:00:00.0 17 44 43.790 - 28 17 52.89 392173.814
2007 Jul 28 00:00:00.0 18 42 39.111 - 27 29 35.65 387643.985
2007 Jul 29 00:00:00.0 19 40 23.233 - 25 9 6.48 383109.219
2007 Jul 30 00:00:00.0 20 36 39.032 - 21 22 22.75 378890.949
2007 Jul 31 00:00:00.0 21 30 47.165 - 16 22 32.46 375257.007
2007 Aug 01 00:00:00.0 22 22 51.251 - 10 27 26.16 372393.375
2007 Aug 02 00:00:00.0 23 13 28.982 - 3 57 13.16 370390.185
2007 Aug 03 00:00:00.0 0 3 39.269 + 2 47 8.86 369246.207
2007 Aug 04 00:00:00.0 0 54 30.994 + 9 24 26.79 368890.842
2007 Aug 05 00:00:00.0 1 47 12.885 + 15 33 7.69 369217.168
2007 Aug 06 00:00:00.0 2 42 40.872 + 20 51 11.12 370116.334
2007 Aug 07 00:00:00.0 3 41 19.860 + 24 56 48.53 371503.856
2007 Aug 08 00:00:00.0 4 42 43.173 + 27 30 43.54 373331.505
2007 Aug 09 00:00:00.0 5 45 24.297 + 28 20 17.63 375583.055
2007 Aug 10 00:00:00.0 6 47 18.446 + 27 23 30.86 378256.620
2007 Aug 11 00:00:00.0 7 46 29.279 + 24 49 58.06 381339.632
2007 Aug 12 00:00:00.0 8 41 48.681 + 20 57 38.66 384783.980
2007 Aug 13 00:00:00.0 9 33 5.640 + 16 7 52.60 388488.251
2007 Aug 14 00:00:00.0 10 20 51.079 + 10 41 14.60 392291.612
2007 Aug 15 00:00:00.0 11 5 57.863 + 4 55 32.83 395980.460
2007 Aug 16 00:00:00.0 11 49 26.732 - 0 54 32.21 399305.834
2007 Aug 17 00:00:00.0 12 32 19.205 - 6 36 53.76 402007.701
2007 Aug 18 00:00:00.0 13 15 34.682 - 12 1 1.61 403841.799
2007 Aug 19 00:00:00.0 14 0 8.762 - 16 56 59.17 404605.545
2007 Aug 20 00:00:00.0 14 46 50.377 - 21 14 25.84 404160.684
2007 Aug 21 00:00:00.0 15 36 15.971 - 24 41 58.14 402451.438
2007 Aug 22 00:00:00.0 16 28 40.267 - 27 7 9.38 399517.358
2007 Aug 23 00:00:00.0 17 23 46.368 - 28 17 30.72 395500.009
2007 Aug 24 00:00:00.0 18 20 42.304 - 28 2 40.58 390642.008
2007 Aug 25 00:00:00.0 19 18 11.819 - 26 17 7.25 385276.222
2007 Aug 26 00:00:00.0 20 14 58.742 - 23 2 11.05 379802.724
2007 Aug 27 00:00:00.0 21 10 12.290 - 18 26 28.30 374652.078
2007 Aug 28 00:00:00.0 22 3 39.737 - 12 44 45.08 370236.602
2007 Aug 29 00:00:00.0 22 55 44.145 - 6 16 15.30 366896.191
2007 Aug 30 00:00:00.0 23 47 14.068 + 0 36 51.81 364850.426
2007 Aug 31 00:00:00.0 0 39 11.857 + 7 30 41.72 364170.601
2007 Sep 01 00:00:00.0 1 32 42.232 + 14 0 28.52 364781.155
2007 Sep 02 00:00:00.0 2 28 38.908 + 19 41 28.44 366490.489
2007 Sep 03 00:00:00.0 3 27 26.906 + 24 10 21.17 369040.957
2007 Sep 04 00:00:00.0 4 28 43.464 + 27 7 34.00 372162.556
2007 Sep 05 00:00:00.0 5 31 10.310 + 28 20 48.94 375616.315
2007 Sep 06 00:00:00.0 6 32 52.551 + 27 48 6.36 379219.295
2007 Sep 07 00:00:00.0 7 32 0.629 + 25 38 7.86 382849.845
2007 Sep 08 00:00:00.0 8 27 27.621 + 22 7 16.84 386436.601
2007 Sep 09 00:00:00.0 9 18 59.506 + 17 35 10.88 389937.349
2007 Sep 10 00:00:00.0 10 7 2.715 + 12 21 8.82 393314.449
2007 Sep 11 00:00:00.0 10 52 25.801 + 6 42 25.93 396512.918
2007 Sep 12 00:00:00.0 11 36 5.741 + 0 53 53.11 399445.674
2007 Sep 13 00:00:00.0 12 19 0.579 - 4 51 40.59 401988.408
2007 Sep 14 00:00:00.0 13 2 6.172 - 10 22 49.14 403984.439
2007 Sep 15 00:00:00.0 13 46 14.422 - 15 28 47.43 405258.123
2007 Sep 16 00:00:00.0 14 32 10.863 - 19 58 52.79 405634.380
2007 Sep 17 00:00:00.0 15 20 30.138 - 23 41 58.44 404961.601
2007 Sep 18 00:00:00.0 16 11 28.931 - 26 26 31.83 403135.449
2007 Sep 19 00:00:00.0 17 4 58.184 - 28 1 13.37 400121.521
2007 Sep 20 00:00:00.0 18 0 19.540 - 28 16 21.62 395975.014
2007 Sep 21 00:00:00.0 18 56 32.015 - 27 5 45.81 390855.346
2007 Sep 22 00:00:00.0 19 52 29.927 - 24 28 20.57 385032.843
2007 Sep 23 00:00:00.0 20 47 24.331 - 20 28 43.40 378883.509
2007 Sep 24 00:00:00.0 21 40 57.079 - 15 16 55.93 372867.192
2007 Sep 25 00:00:00.0 22 33 22.976 - 9 7 44.84 367485.395
2007 Sep 26 00:00:00.0 23 25 23.467 - 2 20 12.87 363219.307
2007 Sep 27 00:00:00.0 0 17 57.041 + 4 42 40.51 360456.558
2007 Sep 28 00:00:00.0 1 12 8.347 + 11 34 31.97 359424.255
2007 Sep 29 00:00:00.0 2 8 54.260 + 17 46 49.19 360149.800
2007 Sep 30 00:00:00.0 3 8 44.242 + 22 51 12.28 362464.350
2007 Oct 01 00:00:00.0 4 11 17.588 + 26 23 18.21 366048.017
2007 Oct 02 00:00:00.0 5 15 11.732 + 28 7 23.36 370500.215
2007 Oct 03 00:00:00.0 6 18 20.986 + 28 0 8.69 375412.344
2007 Oct 04 00:00:00.0 7 18 43.890 + 26 10 46.19 380424.621
2007 Oct 05 00:00:00.0 8 15 6.569 + 22 56 55.58 385258.798
2007 Oct 06 00:00:00.0 9 7 14.352 + 18 39 12.73 389727.239
2007 Oct 07 00:00:00.0 9 55 36.773 + 13 37 9.58 393723.731
2007 Oct 08 00:00:00.0 10 41 6.358 + 8 7 37.49 397202.849
2007 Oct 09 00:00:00.0 11 24 43.357 + 2 24 49.55 400154.261
2007 Oct 10 00:00:00.0 12 7 27.878 - 3 18 55.17 402577.339
2007 Oct 11 00:00:00.0 12 50 16.643 - 8 52 20.55 404460.161
2007 Oct 12 00:00:00.0 13 34 1.359 - 14 4 29.90 405765.824
2007 Oct 13 00:00:00.0 14 19 26.528 - 18 44 15.47 406427.598
2007 Oct 14 00:00:00.0 15 7 5.310 - 22 40 5.80 406353.197
2007 Oct 15 00:00:00.0 15 57 13.160 - 25 40 18.82 405437.257
2007 Oct 16 00:00:00.0 16 49 41.061 - 27 33 49.23 403580.304
2007 Oct 17 00:00:00.0 17 43 52.815 - 28 11 29.43 400712.026
2007 Oct 18 00:00:00.0 18 38 51.540 - 27 27 41.87 396816.488
2007 Oct 19 00:00:00.0 19 33 36.052 - 25 21 22.90 391956.707
2007 Oct 20 00:00:00.0 20 27 20.341 - 21 56 9.43 386295.530
2007 Oct 21 00:00:00.0 21 19 46.692 - 17 19 39.83 380108.686
2007 Oct 22 00:00:00.0 22 11 8.480 - 11 42 51.61 373784.530
2007 Oct 23 00:00:00.0 23 2 5.483 - 5 19 54.07 367803.906
2007 Oct 24 00:00:00.0 23 53 36.382 + 1 31 17.38 362694.703
2007 Oct 25 00:00:00.0 0 46 50.318 + 8 28 10.01 358961.018
2007 Oct 26 00:00:00.0 1 42 55.406 + 15 3 14.42 356997.355
2007 Oct 27 00:00:00.0 2 42 39.712 + 20 45 19.29 357010.196
2007 Oct 28 00:00:00.0 3 46 3.155 + 25 3 21.06 358974.113
2007 Oct 29 00:00:00.0 4 51 52.254 + 27 32 57.41 362640.005
2007 Oct 30 00:00:00.0 5 57 46.089 + 28 3 30.29 367592.232
2007 Oct 31 00:00:00.0 7 1 8.237 + 26 41 0.98 373332.548
2007 Nov 01 00:00:00.0 8 0 10.621 + 23 44 16.18 379363.411
2007 Nov 02 00:00:00.0 8 54 20.154 + 19 37 6.06 385251.112
2007 Nov 03 00:00:00.0 9 44 3.568 + 14 42 6.81 390661.604
2007 Nov 04 00:00:00.0 10 30 18.906 + 9 17 58.35 395371.348
2007 Nov 05 00:00:00.0 11 14 14.232 + 3 39 23.86 399259.688
2007 Nov 06 00:00:00.0 11 56 56.945 - 2 1 41.10 402289.639
2007 Nov 07 00:00:00.0 12 39 29.802 - 7 34 47.62 404482.824
2007 Nov 08 00:00:00.0 13 22 49.482 - 12 49 44.77 405892.951
2007 Nov 09 00:00:00.0 14 7 44.787 - 17 35 51.84 406581.256
2007 Nov 10 00:00:00.0 14 54 52.733 - 21 41 37.20 406596.698
2007 Nov 11 00:00:00.0 15 44 31.968 - 24 54 52.48 405963.107
2007 Nov 12 00:00:00.0 16 36 35.225 - 27 3 50.82 404674.795
2007 Nov 13 00:00:00.0 17 30 25.531 - 27 58 46.42 402701.204
2007 Nov 14 00:00:00.0 18 25 2.226 - 27 33 46.46 400000.155
2007 Nov 15 00:00:00.0 19 19 18.210 - 25 48 3.63 396538.239
2007 Nov 16 00:00:00.0 20 12 21.283 - 22 45 50.64 392316.040
2007 Nov 17 00:00:00.0 21 3 48.778 - 18 35 8.26 387395.059
2007 Nov 18 00:00:00.0 21 53 50.736 - 13 26 20.80 381922.367
2007 Nov 19 00:00:00.0 22 43 4.914 - 7 31 31.17 376147.824
2007 Nov 20 00:00:00.0 23 32 29.394 - 1 4 36.94 370427.396
2007 Nov 21 00:00:00.0 0 23 15.697 + 5 37 21.30 365205.379
2007 Nov 22 00:00:00.0 1 16 41.150 + 12 12 50.01 360969.981
2007 Nov 23 00:00:00.0 2 13 55.629 + 18 14 46.66 358182.799
2007 Nov 24 00:00:00.0 3 15 36.729 + 23 11 45.15 357193.699
2007 Nov 25 00:00:00.0 4 21 14.791 + 26 32 43.33 358164.267
2007 Nov 26 00:00:00.0 5 28 51.074 + 27 55 37.90 361026.717
2007 Nov 27 00:00:00.0 6 35 26.431 + 27 15 38.97 365494.423
2007 Nov 28 00:00:00.0 7 38 18.024 + 24 46 26.15 371119.520
2007 Nov 29 00:00:00.0 8 36 1.650 + 20 53 2.53 377375.506
2007 Nov 30 00:00:00.0 9 28 36.588 + 16 2 31.10 383738.737
2007 Dec 01 00:00:00.0 10 16 54.226 + 10 38 2.99 389750.835
2007 Dec 02 00:00:00.0 11 2 6.661 + 4 57 25.75 395055.754
2007 Dec 03 00:00:00.0 11 45 28.747 - 0 46 1.00 399413.819
2007 Dec 04 00:00:00.0 12 28 10.965 - 6 21 43.79 402698.540
2007 Dec 05 00:00:00.0 13 11 17.325 - 11 40 16.96 404882.121
2007 Dec 06 00:00:00.0 13 55 44.083 - 16 32 4.90 406014.283
2007 Dec 07 00:00:00.0 14 42 16.614 - 20 46 32.66 406197.722
2007 Dec 08 00:00:00.0 15 31 23.144 - 24 11 55.07 405562.764
2007 Dec 09 00:00:00.0 16 23 6.077 - 26 35 58.33 404243.561
2007 Dec 10 00:00:00.0 17 16 55.172 - 27 47 41.10 402358.235
2007 Dec 11 00:00:00.0 18 11 49.832 - 27 39 33.69 399995.401
2007 Dec 12 00:00:00.0 19 6 34.968 - 26 9 35.46 397209.155
2007 Dec 13 00:00:00.0 20 0 5.111 - 23 21 45.48 394023.742
2007 Dec 14 00:00:00.0 20 51 43.917 - 19 24 52.78 390447.769
2007 Dec 15 00:00:00.0 21 41 30.640 - 14 30 38.64 386496.251
2007 Dec 16 00:00:00.0 22 29 55.584 - 8 52 0.47 382217.114
2007 Dec 17 00:00:00.0 23 17 51.631 - 2 42 36.16 377717.376
2007 Dec 18 00:00:00.0 0 6 26.718 + 3 42 47.66 373182.936
2007 Dec 19 00:00:00.0 0 56 57.685 + 10 7 1.03 368885.148
2007 Dec 20 00:00:00.0 1 50 42.149 + 16 9 0.49 365167.564
2007 Dec 21 00:00:00.0 2 48 42.466 + 21 22 59.31 362408.739
2007 Dec 22 00:00:00.0 3 51 16.979 + 25 19 52.69 360962.938
2007 Dec 23 00:00:00.0 4 57 26.094 + 27 32 40.22 361089.597
2007 Dec 24 00:00:00.0 6 4 44.342 + 27 45 12.61 362890.752
2007 Dec 25 00:00:00.0 7 10 9.078 + 25 59 11.32 366277.308
2007 Dec 26 00:00:00.0 8 11 19.872 + 22 33 11.87 370976.263
2007 Dec 27 00:00:00.0 9 7 22.432 + 17 54 33.65 376575.609
2007 Dec 28 00:00:00.0 9 58 36.993 + 12 30 37.06 382590.792
2007 Dec 29 00:00:00.0 10 46 4.232 + 6 44 0.59 388533.081
2007 Dec 30 00:00:00.0 11 30 58.260 + 0 51 50.61 393965.422
2007 Dec 31 00:00:00.0 12 14 32.995 - 4 53 8.53 398539.643

ASTEROID DATA QUOTED DIRECTLY FROM NASA 

Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.  See http://www.spaceweather.com/

Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.

EARTH POLAR MOTION: Spin Axis, Magnetic Poles

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LINKS  |  LATEST

[7-23-07 ECB]  POLAR MOTION:  No new news of note.  The Spiral Track of Earth's Wobble continues to expand outward in a normal, stable pattern.

http://michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2007/wobble/wobbletrac_7-23-2007.gif
Image is from WobbleTracker software, drawn by MWM

Graph Scale is set to 0.9 arcseconds, Grid Size = 0.05 arcseconds
Time Domain as shown in upper right hand corner.
All movement is counter-clockwise.

This chart shows the location of the North Spin Axis relative to the “map coordinates” which were established at the end of the 19^th century.  A drift of over 50 feet since 1900 in the circular track of Chandler’s Wobble is shown in this chart.  This drift is the primary cause of the acceleration in Earth’s tectonic activity. In order to “parallel” the way in which geophysicists create and record the Earth’s polar location geo-reference system, this graph shows the negative numbers opposite to the manner which they are typically drawn in school books.  –X is shown on the top half, and this corresponds to the direction of the Pacific Hemisphere.  –Y is shown on the right side and this corresponds to the Eurasian Land Mass.  X= Longitude 0, which is the Greenwich Meridian which bisects through England; +Y= Longitude West 90,  which bisects through the Great Lakes (North America).

NEW CHART RELEASE WHICH PROVES THAT POLAR MOTION PHASES OR REGULATES EL NINO (and probably the other climate oscillations in the Northern Atlantic and the Indian Oceans):  Click Here! Composed fresh for the revised edition of the Return of the Phoenix, a new expanded chart shows the track of Earth's Wobble up and down the Greenwich Meridian (called the X Axis of polar motion by geophysicists) for the period 1890-2006.  Incorporated also is color coding for the Wobble X MAX (largest spiral in the Wobble every seven years as measured on its X Axis), the Wobble X MIN (smallest spiral in the Wobble every seven years) and the years of the El Nino.  The correlation in this stunning chart is much clearer than before, during the past 106 years, with only two exceptions, an El Nino does not occur during either an X MAX or an X MIN phase.  It typically occurs on the transitions between the two phases.  On the basis of the correlations, I am predicting that the DOA El Nino of 2006/07 was not a peak of El Nino oscillation year.  Because the wobble is now leaving its MIN PHASE, or did so in the main during 2006, I predict that a much stronger El Nino will occur in 2007/08.  Or if not, it will occur 2008 and quickly abort in 2009, but almost certainly it will not appear in the next X MAX, which is due 2009/2010. After the current wobble cycle matures during the next six months, I will tighten this prediction.

[3-5-07 ECB]  NEW FINDINGS ABOUT POLAR MOTION & THE WOBBLE:

The anomaly of 2006, during which the Spin Axis "hung" for nearly two months in one place, and then re-commenced its wobble spiral in a nearly perfect "cartoid" (see Wikipedia) prompted me to look for other similar anomalies between 1890-2006.  (Cartoids are termination points of an inward spiral curve from which a new spiral begins to curve outward, the moment of the yin becoming yang).   During the course of this search, I discovered to my horror that all of the IERS databases have been updated, making all of my graphs theoretically out-dated.  So...after spending a month and a half restructuring my databases and rebuilding all my graphs, plus a lot of new ones, I have come to a new level of understanding about the Spin Axis and its history, all of which most remarkably corroborate Cayce's predictions and add profundity of understanding about the coming avalanche of the crust.  I found more cartoids in various MIN phases of the wobble, just enough to establish a 99 year base line of movement from cartoid moment to moment (the majority of the "moments" are indistinguishable).  I found that the average rate of drift for the century using only the cartoid points to define the location of the Spin Axis is nearly a dead letter match for the average drift computed by mathematician Joachim Hopfner (google him).  (I calculate about 12.5 centimeters per year).  I also found, which Hopfner's averages do not reveal, a variable rate of drift which corresponds very well with Cayce's earth changes dates.  All of that was stunning enough, but even more stunning was the realization that these cartoid moments occur during the early months of the year, typically January through March.  Since these wobble moments are ALMOST ALWAYS during VERY SMALL MIN phases, during which the Earth has not wobbled much for many weeks, hence the Spin Axis has not shifted hardly at all for a significant spell, it finally struck me that at these "cartoid moments" we find the Earth in a state of nearly perfect balance of all vectors.  Literally the wobble ceases at these moments but it is slowly regenerated during the year and then is "hit" by Perihelion gravity interference.  This drag of Solar gravity on the Southern Hemisphere (which is the heaviest side of the Earth) induces a greater swing or spiral motion in the wobble and continues to deepen the spiral for at least two or three annual Perihelion moments.  BUT, whenever the Spiral Swing  reaches maximum on the X Axis (the Atlantic Quadrant of the Earth) AFTER THE SUMMER SOLSTICE, the Sun's gravity tug falls out of phase with the 14 month long wobble (the Southern Hemisphere) and the wobble begins to decline in size towards the next MIN. (The Sun creates, the Sun destroys).  The "cartoid moments" are the points when the Earth recovers its balance until the gravity vectors line up again to pull the Earth's Spin into another wobble.  This appears to be about every two to three wobble cycles (many of which are seven years long, some a little less).  This can all be seen clear as a bell in the giant scrolling charts I have constructed (and will share in a few weeks).  The complete equation of the wobble is more complex, of course, it is essentially a beat function between orbital gravity vectors, the annual precession of the heavy side of the Earth towards Perihelion, the Moon's adding and subtracting, and the "plastic" reactions of components of the Earth's crust.  BUT, I part company here with the weather-related geophysicists.  It  can be seen without doubt in properly constructed graphs that solar/lunar influence is about 90% of the wobble.  Some scientists are currently maintaining that Earth's fluids are the main source of the wobble.  Sorry, not to be, it is the heavy Southern Hemisphere and the Sun's gravity, the fluids affect less than 10%.

The graphs for all this will be added into a "Storyboard" about the wobble. This is coming within a couple of weeks to registered subscribers with passwords.  The generalizations which are constructed in this storyboard will become the basis on which I both finish the verification of Cayce's predictions and construct a new scenario of a likely way in which the crust will avalanche and can be foreseen.   We probably will not be able to predict the exact year, wobble cycle, and date, but we will see what's coming well in advance.  I am completely certain now that it will occur during a Wobble MAX phase during the first half of the year, in a wobble cycle which has "lost its bearings" by becoming far too large. 

WORLD & REGIONAL WEATHER: Storm Fronts, Hurricanes, El Nino & La Nina, Drought & Fire, Global Warming

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LINKS  |  LATEST

GLOBAL WARMING SYNDROME:  Far more probable than not, the first half of 2007 has brought a serious surge of heat through the Great Rifts in the bottom of the oceans.   It is likely that this is still continuing and it may continue throughout the year.  The telling sign is the spurt of Great Rift quakes which come and go in waves.  These all indicate movements which marine geologists are nearly certain indicate extensive magma dikes and lava flows in or very close to the Great Rift Valleys.  This activity likely will feed a new round of heat into the oceanic climate system during the next 36 months and thus over-all Global Warming will continue to surge upwards. 

The increased heat energy in the climate system along the broad middle of the Earth ( which is the juice which powers the air conditioner of your weather) is causing the North South flow of air more rapidly in greater volumes.  Warm air travels further to the North and pushes increased cold air to flow out of the polar zones (your cooling coils).  The more Global Warming, the more intense and stormy will be both Winter and Summer, the Winter cooler, the Summer hotter, with more power in all storms.  The primary consistent barometer of all of this:  the melting of the Arctic Ice.

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2007/gsstanim_7-23-07.gif

The key to dynamic change is the bottom graph which displays the "out of average" readings.  This allows us to quickly spot the extremes which are forming up in the various oceanic climate regimes.  It is a lot cheaper and easier than using supercomputers.

Seasonal Color Map Graphs - Predict Rain and Temperatures For North America For The Year Ahead – Science Is Finally Catching Up With Farmer’s Almanac.  Go here to get updated on the likely rain and temperature forecast.  This one currently on the web is essentially based on a La Nina forecast. 
 

AS OF 7-23-2007:  Nothing NEW to change any of this assessment from last week:

NORTH ATLANTIC OSCILLATION IS....well...still cooking,
while the low-key La Nina in the Eastern Pacific Equator is still chillin'.   Meanwhile, the Pineapple Express has hard wired itself from Taiwan through the Pacific north of Hawaii and then into the entire California Coast.  Has Cosmic Central delivered both La Nina and El Nino to the same address?

[7-16-07 ECB] Your guess is as good as mine.  My guess is, as suggested in prior updates, this is the year of Northern Chaos.   Some areas gets Global Warming Syndrome (Great Plains and Eastern Seaboard), some get El Nino (California to Alaska), and some get La Nina (Alaska, PSW).  Pacific Equator:  La Nina on the Pacific Equator is still there but weaker this week. IF IT PERSISTS, as predicted previously, this will be a dry hot summer for the southern Rocky Mountain states of Arizona, Utah, New Mexico, and Colorado as well as Southern California.  BUT IF IT DISSIPATES, then a more normal Monsoon Summer will begin sometime in July or August.  The Pacific Southwest Monsoon is currently  delayed.   Pacific North:  Still there.  The Pineapple Expressway.  A lot of warm "pineapple express" marine air into the Northeastern Arc of the Pacific Rim of Fire, now moving more to the South-  Pacific Northwest, potentially as far south as the Cal. San Diego region.  Pacific Far North: COOL,  which should dry up Alaska and perhaps BC and direct marine air into lower towards the California coast, a very wet summer may be in store now for the high Sierras. Pacific South: La Nina...who knows? This corner of confusion is left open to keep the game unpredicatable.   Atlantic:   The central North Atlantic is warmer than normal as is the North Sea and Atlantic to New Foundland. But the energy in now near normal in the Caribbean Sea or the Gulf..  This is good news for most people.  Hurricanes of great destruction are perhaps growing less likely.  But continue to expect a lot of very wet tropical storms. PROVISO:  This warning in brackets from earlier weeks is less and less pertinent but the situation should be watched like a hawk:  [What could have been a bumper crop of super storms smashing the Atlantic coasts and Florida, are now likely to incline in the main towards the Carib Islands, Venezuela, and Central Mexico. Since the cooler than normal air in the Pacific to the West will tend to block the western flow of air across the northern tip of Latin America, the air will flow higher to the north and thus  Yucatan, Cuba and Puerto Rico are likely to be heavy casualties of at least one major hurricane this year if the existing trends hold up, perhaps for all three super storms now predicted by the U.S. Hurricane Center. ]  Gulf States:  A Katrina is a distinct possibility, most likely in the late September, early October time frame. More Pacific Coastline: north section, stormy, mid section, chaotic, southern section (Baja) dry but moving into Monsoon later in July..  Arizona/Mexico, could see reverse flow monsoon.  Instead of monsoon flow from the Pacific, monsoon could flow up from the Carib. This will be interesting to watch.  This pattern is evident as of July 16.  Much of the humid air currently is moving from the Southeast off the Carib through Mexico/Texas.  THIS IS CERTAINLY ON TRACK AS OF JULY 16. MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT:  This summer will be highly unpredictable for North America and South America and in general chaos in the atmosphere will feed very strong tornadoes and hurricanes.  Likely this is already leading to a hurricane season which is as highly unpredictable as was the weather this Spring. 

WE MAY HAVE ENTERED INTO A PERIOD DURING WHICH THE PACE OF THE EARTH CHANGES IS TOO RAPID AND CHAOTIC TO MAKE  CYCLICAL AND SYNDROME-BASED PREDICTIONS.  When you have as many divergent parameters as appear to be the case now, all the mathematical global models crash and burn.

UPDATE SOME DETAILS AS OF 7-23-2007:

Northern Chaos in Europe is advancing as a result of a significantly warmer North Atlantic ranging from Newfoundland to Ireland. This looks like it will be the Summer and Fall condition for you in that area of the world.

The Pacific Southwest Reverse Monsoon has come into play.  Massive flows of moist air from the Caribbean are coming in and leaving increasing amounts of moisture. No doubt this is partly the result of the La Nina on the Equator. I am writing these updates by dodging around the downtimes of my DSL service.  The lightning strikes cause enough interference at times to block DSL communications, sometimes for hours. But we are extremely thankful for the near one inch of rain we have received during the past 48 hours.

A cyclone is forming up along the western coast of southern Mexico.  It is projected to advance into the Cabo area in a few days.  This formation may  push a lot more rain into the Pacific Southwest.

FOR THE ATLANTIC, NO HURRICANES IN THE WORKS AS OF JULY 23, NOT EVEN A MAJOR TROPICAL STORM.  I am not sure what this is about other than to suggest that the jet streams and Atlantic moisture must be traveling far to the north to produce the flooding in Britain and Eurasia.  This must be leaving  Hurricane Ally too dry to produce major storm fronts.  At the moment, nothing seems in the works to change the current dynamic conditions we are all experiencing. 

IS IT HAARP FRYING THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC TO SUCK HURRICANE ALLEY DRY?  I AM GETTING SUSPICIOUS.

[1-22-07 ECB]   Much of what the weather this year is about is the emerging "Global Warming Syndrome" Winter. This year the newly emerging "winter syndrome" is NOT energized by the 11 year and other Solar Activity cycles. More overall energy in the storm fronts seems to be the predominant pattern, all sourced from major "out of norm" differentials in the oceans.  A few planetary alignments, spaced every couple or three weeks apart, will continue to peak up Solar Activity in very modest waves and thus continue to invigorate marine storm fronts though generally they will not be as severe as during the preceding year.

[4-30-07 ECB]  UPGRADED REVISED HURRICANE PREDICTION FOR 2007:   Gray and Klotzbach (below) who issue what are probably the most highly regarded forecasts for hurricanes, report that temperatures in the Atlantic are well above normal and very propitious for hurricane development..  And in fact, during the past 20 days, the North Atlantic was warmed even more over a huge area.  This augers at the moment for an above normal hurricane season with modest-sized but higher energy storms than during 2006. They expect a few of these will strike the U.S   A Katrina type season is not likely during 2007 under these circumstances.  But take note that circumstances may change.  Conditions in this Global Warming Earth are more fickle than in previous decades. [SIDEBAR AS OF JULY 16 - conditions are increasingly in unpredictable flux.  At the moment hurricane (cyclone) season in the Pacific appears more active and threatening].   I expect Katrina class storms are likely to begin to re-appear sometime  in 2008 or 2009 (which ever year is not a strong El Nino year) and reach historic record-breaking frequencies and magnitudes during 2010-2016.  The current wave of shape-shifting quakes in the Atlantic Great Rift, which are almost certainly connected with major magma dikes and lava flows on the bottom of the ocean,  probably indicates that heat will surge slightly higher in the Atlantic and Arctic, perhaps as early as 2008, bringing both Global Warming to increase and hurricane and tornado seasons to be more extreme.

MORE HURRICANE FORECASTS FOR 2007

  FROM NOAA:  "2007 Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Forecast "
http://typhoon.atmos.colostate.edu/forecasts/

Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and U.S. Landfall Strike Probability for 2007 - HTML Format
Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray
3 April 2007

Extended Range Forecast of Atlantic Seasonal Hurricane Activity and U.S. Landfall Strike Probability for 2007 - PDF Format
Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray
3 April 2007

ATLANTIC BASIN SEASONAL HURRICANE FORECAST FOR 2007
(compared with the forecast made Dec 06 before La Nina developed)

Klotzbach & Gray:  "Based on the latest ENSO predictions as well as currently observed conditions in the tropical Pacific, we expect either neutral or cool ENSO conditions to be in place in the tropical Pacific during the upcoming hurricane season.  Since SSTs in the tropical and northern Atlantic continue to be well above average, we expect a very active hurricane season in 2007."

"Despite a fairly inactive 2006 hurricane season, we believe that the Atlantic basin is currently in an active hurricane cycle associated with a strong thermohaline circulation and an active phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO).  This active cycle is expected to continue for another decade or two at which time we should enter a quieter Atlantic major hurricane period like we experienced during the quarter century periods of 1970-1994 and 1901-1925.  Atlantic hurricanes go through multi-decadal cycles.  Cycles in Atlantic major hurricanes have been observationally traced back to the mid-19^th century, and changes in the AMO have been inferred from Greenland paleo ice-core temperature measurements going back at least one thousand years."

NEW CHART RELEASE WHICH PROVES THAT POLAR MOTION PHASES REGULATE EL NINO (and probably the other climate oscillations in the Northern Atlantic and the Indian Oceans):  Click Here! Composed fresh for the revised edition of the Return of the Phoenix, a new expanded chart shows the track of Earth's Wobble up and down the Greenwich Meridian (called the X Axis of polar motion by geophysicists) for the period 1890-2006.  Incorporated also is color coding for the Wobble X MAX (largest spiral in the Wobble every seven years as measured on its X Axis), the Wobble X MIN (smallest spiral in the Wobble every seven years) and the years of the El Nino.  The correlation in this stunning chart is much clearer than before, during the past 106 years, with only two exceptions, an El Nino does not occur during either an X MAX or an X MIN phase.  It typically occurs on the transitions between the two phases.  On the basis of the correlations, I am predicting that the DOA El Nino of 2006/07 was not a peak of El Nino oscillation year.  Because the wobble is now leaving its MIN PHASE, or did so in the main during 2006, I predict that a much stronger El Nino will occur in 2007/08.  Or if not, it will occur 2008 and quickly abort in 2009, but almost certainly it will not appear in the next X MAX, which is due 2009/2010. After the current wobble cycle matures during the next six months, I will tighten this prediction.

Temperatures shown in degrees Celsius, bottom scale shows seasonal “variance” by the amount in Celsius.

NOAA EXPLANATION:  Weekly averaged sea surface temperatures (top, °C) and anomalies (bottom, °C) for the past twelve weeks.  SST analysis is the optimum interpolation (OI) analysis, while anomalies are departures from the adjusted OI climatology (Reynolds and Smith 1995, J. Climate, 8, 1571-1583).  MWM:  Otherwise stated, the top graph represents a statistical profile of what probably should be seen while the bottom graph shows the relative amount of variation. 

HOW THE AIR CIRCULATION WORKS OVER NORTH AMERICA DURING EXTREME YEARS OF EL NINO AND LA NINA:  In the chart below, the indicated air flows persist for much of the year, not just the Winter months.  The main change during the year is that the patterns migrates towards the North with the season changes. The bottom pix neatly describes our weather this past three months of early 2007.  This pattern could continue to dominate next Fall and into the Winter of 2008/

Image source:  NOAA,  Home Page For El Nino La Nina

LINKS TO BACKGROUND INFORMATION ON EL NINO LA NINA:

START HERE FOR ALL THINGS PACIFIC CLIMATE AND GLOBAL WARMING

An excellent orientation for kids of all ages: http://library.thinkquest.org/20901/overview_1.htm

Covers in simple English how scientists are attempting to analyze El Nino, model it into a climate theory, and from that make predictions.

After reading this meta overview, it is easy to immediately spot the two main conceptual blind spots of the weathermen.  The first is that they are completely unfamiliar with the fact that the Earth is spinning to the East, bunching up the crust and fluids of the Earth against the eastern “windward” edges of the continents. Thus they mistake why the water and atmospheric circulation works as it does.  They “see” it as “pressure differentials” created by the “equatorial climate”.  These pressures are likely secondary effects produced indirectly by the rotating mass(es) of the Earth, not primary causes. The second mistake is that their model simply lacks an elementary driver to make it work.  Energy must come into the system to produce El Nino.  To attribute such a source, they mystically bow and scrape to Ozian “feedbacks” just behind the veils of perception.  They are totally oblivious to the driver - the “bunsen burner” at the bottom of the ocean.

The La Nina Home Page - What Is La Nina – A NOAA compendium of  web pages on La Nina & El Nino

http://www.elnino.noaa.gov/lanina.html

Current But Static SST Charts & Predictions:
predictions on Nina, Nino, SO, & the Climate For Months Ahead

 Home Page For El Nino La Nina

FAQS on Nino Nina – excellent range of questions and answers and links to powerful sources and images of information.

 National Weather Service -Climate Prediction Center

Monitoring & Data Index – this is a very extensive list of many different kinds of data series

 PRIMARY DATA SERIES USED BY MWM IN VORTEX CHARTS & DISCUSSIONS:

 ENSO Impacts The Main Long Range Climate Data Series Related To ENSO

Quarterly Data 1950-2006

Year Data 1877-2006

Comparison Charts Of Two Most Powerful La Nina's

How they come on, develop, and disappear.

THIS BELOW  IS A VALUABLE RESOURCE AND I WILL BE WORKING THESE GRAPHS INTO THE EC BULLETINS SOMEHOW.

Seasonal Color Map Graphs - Predict Rain and Temperatures For North America For The Year Ahead – Science Is Finally Catching Up With Farmer’s Almanac

NOAA 3/4/2007 Forecast

A PP Frame:  Most statistical and coupled model forecasts indicate SST anomalies will decrease during the next 2-3 months, with ENSO-neutral conditions lasting through the northern Spring (March-May 2007).

Following PP Frame:  The CFS ensemble mean (heavy blue line) indicates a rapid transition from neutral to La Niña conditions during the next 2-3 months.

Say what?  Say what a forecast.  All things for all folks.  The real news:   LA NINA is already here affecting the weather and this pattern will increase through to the Summer

THE BING0! Frequency Chart Of Top Ten Most Extreme El Nino Events:

This is an amazing chart for Phoenix readers!!!!

It blows me away.  I just discovered it after weeks of browsing through the Iway underbellies of NOAA and NASA and the like.

It sustains and proves through its very close parallelism the claim that the Earth Changes are new (for this millennium), that they began in the 1930's, as suggested by Cayce, and commenced the noticeable trend line of change in 1958, as suggested by Cayce and as proven by trend lines of ocean warming, earthquake activity, volcanism, and drift in the wobble.

The El Nino Bingo Chart:  Frequency Of Extreme Events Began Accelerating In 1960

By the unsung gnomes of NOAA
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/oa/climate/research/1998/enso/10elnino.html
http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/1998/enso/ensotr2.gif

Subscribers with access to the Nine Trends Chart will notice that the parallelism between the curves in this chart match the curves of geophysical trends in the Nine Trends chart, esp. the OCEAN WARMING curve and world volcanism.

Play it again one more time, Sam, I need a good belly-aching laugh:

CARBON DIOXIDE causes Global Warming.

HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA HA

GEOTECTONIC ACTIVITY: Volcanoes, Shape Shifting, Earthquakes

ALMANAC  |  BACKGROUND  |  EARTHMONITOR LNKS  |  LATEST

Al, you there?  Here is the primary signal of the tectonic motion which is creating Global Warming.

EARTHQUAKE TRENDS & THE CHANGE IN THE EARTH

This first chart was developed for the Return of the Phoenix, Book Three.  The chart demonstrates that the Change In the Earth has accelerated about threefold since 1973.  This is a well qualified and objectively real trend.  The daily average frequency for 2007 is now running at about 35 per day for quakes 4+.  Since the online quake catalogs seldom show even half that many for each of the preceding seven days, it is also perfectly obvious that the online catalogs DO NOT PROVIDE ON THE FLY AN OBJECTIVE VIEW OF THE BEHAVIOR OF THE WHOLE EARTH.  It takes the catalog builders about 60 days to finalize the latest entries.  In other words, they are are bout two months behind.  What we get from the online services in the "current term" is a source of bulletins which provide information on the largest quakes or those closest to civilized areas.

Here is the signal which reveals the driving "wedge" where the "shaping of the Earth" begins to produce the "Change in the Earth".  Here is a roughly threefold acceleration in tectonic motion in the course of 23 years, mainly in the Great Rift which runs through the North Atlantic.  The greatest push is against Eurasia, which is subducting Japan and the Western Pacific at an accelerating pace.  Thus both zones now have geometric growth rates which will double their average seismic activity during the next 15 years while the North Atlantic continues to warm itself and the Arctic to produce a growing acceleration of Global Warming.  OBSERVE THE CLEAR RELATIONSHIP IN FREQUENCY AND PHASING WITH THE SIZE OF EARTH'S WOBBLE (TERMED HEREIN THE X MAX) AS MEASURED EACH YEAR ON THE X AXIS (very nearly the Greenwich Meridian).  Pss.  Pass this along.  I do not think anyone in the earth sciences other than you or I are aware of this fundamental geophysical dynamic.

EARTHQUAKES CURRENT:

[7-23-07 ECB]   Activity 4+ during the  past seven days is about normal and is widely scattered.  Frequency of 6+ is elevated above normal. Activity during the past 48 hours is apparently mainly in the West Pacific,  Fuji Islands, and the Nazca Plate and the East Pacific Rise.

[7-23-07] CLICK ON IMAGES FOR EXPANDED VIEW; red indicates quakes 4+ during the previous 24 hours, orange during previous day, yellow during the previous two weeks, violet during the past 15 years

 http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2006/quakes/worldquakes_IRIS_7-23-07.gif

prior week

 http://www.michaelmandeville.com/ecbulletin/2006/quakes/worldquakes_IRIS_7-16-07.gif

Best to go here below and click for the latest dynamic page with explanations of the symbols and large displays of regions of the Earth (these are "at the moment" charts):  http://www.iris.edu/seismon/

CONCERNING DATABASE FILES OF QUAKE CATALOGS:
The EC Bulletins is now using  ONLY THE "ANSS COMPOSITE QUAKE CATALOG" for stats - The ANSS is the evolved transformation of the CSSC system based at Berkeley California where the geophysicists have been collecting data since the beginning of the seismograph technology.  The USGS databases are derived from the ANSS catalogs and the IRIS group above is attempting to provide a scientific display network for access to current information about current earthquakes (for the last 30 days).

SHAPESHIFTING:

Shape-shifter quakes indicate the spreading of the Rift Valley, the creation of new crust through magma dikes which fills in the cracks of the Great Rift, and hence the inevitable forcing of the Earth’s crust to change its shape to adjust for the new crust.  Most subduction zone quakes (such as in the Pacific Rim of Fire) probably occur as a consequence of the shape-shifting of the Earth. The outlines of the tectonic plates and the Great Rift can be be seen in the violet color in this chart above.  For a chart of Earth’s Tectonic Plates, go to: http://www.iris.edu/seismon/html/plates.html

M 5+ earthquakes, past 7 days RSS 2.0 CAP
The USGS RSS Feed, which is constantly changing its content, can be accessed at:
http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/catalogs/eqs7day-M5.xml

Other Datafeeds On Quakes:

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/catalogs/

TECTONIC MOTION QUAKE FORECAST:
Forecasts are based on Syzygy Windows which can be seen in these charts:
(you may have to click on the images to tell your browser to expand the images to their full size).

Giant Plot For Easy Viewing Day By Day
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
One Year Overview
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
Thirteen Year Overview Of Variations In The Perigee Cycle
(note:  South Declination Is On The Top Side Of The Graph)
 

Occasionally the chart information is supplemented with data from Earth Sensitives, who include some humans and animals. For Earth Sensitive information, go to PamWiseman.com  For other Syzygy-type forecasts and a portal to other valuable approaches, see Syzygyjob.com

[7-16-07 ECB]   THIS WEEK'S FORECAST: We are passing the New Moon and an extreme North Node of the Moon at a full 28 degrees north of the Equator. More or less the forecast was correct for this syzygy, though the frequency of 6+ quakes was higher than expected. The week ahead should see a steady decline in the frequency of quakes Mag. 5 plus.  Activity should pick up again about July 25 through to August 5, which will encompass the Full Moon, a Perigee, and an Extreme Southern Declination.

[5-28-07 ECB]   FORECAST FOR REMAINDER OF 2007: By viewing the One Year Overview Graph, one can easily see that there is a significant annual (actually 14 month) variation in the closeness of Perigee.  During the remainder of this Spring, we are in relatively small (distant) Perigees.  Then in the Fall, the Perigee Cycle brings the Moon closer and closer at the peak moments of Perigee.  The Summer, then, should see progressively greater, still modest, quake activity but it is the last four months of 2007 during which we will experience the greatest tectonic motion and quake activity for the year 2007.  September through December see the closest Perigees, all of which will have similar gravitational impact on the whole Earth.  October (Full Moon of Oct 25) and November (Full Moon of Nov 26) are the greatest Perigees for 2000.  These both occur nearly in perfect synchronicity with the Full Moon, which is why they are so big.  (Perigees at Full Moon are always the largest of the year and by a substantially large margin).  TAKE SPECIAL NOTE in the fact that the Moon is in its Extreme North Declination of +28 degrees very close to these last four Full Moons, especially the November 26 Full Moon.  Probably the most dangerous period for the remainder of 2007 will be during the last week of December.  A close Perigee Full Moon occurs very very close to Earth's Perihelion moment (which is during the first week of January).
 

THE GREAT RIFT QUAKES OF FEBRUARY AND MARCH 07:  Please note that these quakes in the Atlantic Rift have occurred during the phase of a vigorously expanding wobble spiral, which is the usual timing of an increase in worldwide volcanism.  I suspect that these quakes in the Rifts were mainly associated with spreading rift and extensive volcanic "diking" (magma oozing up to fill the cracks).  If so, Atlantic ocean temperatures should increase during the next two years and accelerate Global Warming as well as accelerate the rate of melting in the Arctic.  This should also increase Atlantic hurricane ferocity in coming years.

Last Seven Days - for earthquakes worldwide magnitude 4.0 plus and U.S. territorial magnitude 2.5 plus; for source list see http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsww/Quakes/quakes_big.php

VOLCANISM:

Summit Of Etna During Its Fourth Eruption in April, 2007

 [7-16-07 ECB]  Activity worldwide is about the same as last week, most of the 28 volcanoes on the active list are barely alive.  Kilauea in Hawaii is still apparently oozing small amounts of lava. Only a few widely-scattered small ash emissions and minor explosions were reported. Etna's activity seems over, though it remains on the active list.  Four on Kamchatka Peninsula are still active with some ash episodes and dome building, but they are all now beginning to mirror more and more the slow "simmering" stance of St. Helens.  During the next volcano season in the first half of 2008, all five of these Pacific Rim Northern Arc volcanoes could produce large eruptions.

 [7-2-07 ECB]  Standing Forecast For Late 2007  With the passage of the Summer Solstice, we will likely see a gradual drop now in volcanic activity through to late Fall.  It seems that this year's volcanic activity will not set any new records as we are now leaving the typical year's most active period.  Knock on wood but the time to watch again is most likely in  September or October.

BAROMETER ERUPTERS:
About 20 to 30 volcanoes each year are very nearly in a continuous state of eruption.  The active volcanoes which are continuously erupting change their names only very slowly.  This means there is some turnover in the list, but it is generally at a low rate.  I have not computed it for yearly averages but it is likely in the range of about 15%.  

Most Active Zones:

Australian Tectonic Plate (northern edge)

Hawaii

Italy  - another vigorous round began April 30

Japan - Kamchatka Peninsula & Northern Arc of Rim of Fire (Aleutians-Alaska)

Western Americas - Mexico to Peru

SUMMARY DATA FROM THE INTERNATIONAL VOLCANO RESEARCH CENTER: 

General Note:   INTLVRC reached a 100% rate of accuracy in predicting eruptions, the first time in their history since 1989.  They also documented 69 eruptions during 2005 and 2006, which most likely defines a peak plateau.  I expect to see even higher in 2007 (based on Wobble parallels) and then another plateauing for a couple years.  So far, the year is beginning with higher than normal numbers for "alert list" volcanoes.  The list has generally begun the year in the range of 60 but it began the year at 71, a record, and is already at 73 just eight days into the year.  Some big events may be cookin'.

Conclusions Independently Reached From Data At The International Volcano Research Center (INTLVRC)

http://www.intlvrc.org/

In early January the INTLVRC resets their counts.  They carried forward into 2007 16 volcanoes on the active list .  These are the volcanoes  which more or less are continuously erupting.  Since resetting their counts, the Active List has doubled).

[7-23-07]   Alert List = 79 (up one from last last week)

[7-23-07]  Restless List = 4  (same as last week)

[7-23-07]   Active List = 28 (same as last week

[ 7-2-07]  The show for this year is basically over.  As appears to be typical, volcanic activity falls off rapidly after the Summer Solstice and so it is once again

PREDICTING ERUPTIONS:

Side Note on INTLVRC's eruption prediction program.  They had a 100% rate of accuracy last year (2006) but they have already failed by one so far this year.   The volcano Huila in Columbia was NOT successfully forecasted by SWVRC's programme ERUPTION Pro 10.6 to erupt in 2007 as it had only a 18.51% probability of an event.

[7-16-07 ECB]  Below are some report summaries and links as prepared by John Seach at http://www.volcanolive.com/volcanolive.html

none selected for this week

Ancient Supervolcano Rocked Washington State

Ancient "Supervolcano" Rocked Washington State

Richard A. Lovett
for National Geographic News
February 6, 2007

Tahoma (Rainier so-called by crazy white men) could easily become the same kind of event.

Vortex Tectonics: How earth's spin axis creates earthquakes, volcanoes & global warming.

Subscribers can now download a draft review of a few chapters of  "The Nine Trends Changing The World - 1875-2025" - How Global Warming Is Caused By Underwater Volcanism and Why Greenhouse Gas Is Just Hot Air". 

 THE RISING PHOENIX

[11-06-06]  I can now provide numbers and graphs which demonstrate that the current Global Warming trends CAN ONLY be produced by underwater volcanism.  The rising CO2 in the atmosphere is also likely produced by underwater volcanism, which is occurring at a rate underwater which is at least 10,000 times greater than surface volcanism.  With these numbers I am finalizing the proofs of Edgar Cayce’s Earth Change prophecies.  Global Warming is the “fire” of the Phoenix. 

Mean Annual Heat Flux Into The Oceans:  109 Terawatt

This is the amount of mean steady-state heat flux required to cause the warming of the World Ocean from 1957 to 1998.  This amount is three times greater than old theories.

Mean Minimum Annual Heat Flux Into The Oceans:  ~33 Terawatt

(although this is the widely-quoted number in the scientific literature, this is based purely on old-timey speculations which have little basis in actual fact; modern observations provide the basis to reasonably infer much higher numbers)

Mean Maximum Observed Peak Flairs Of Heat Flux:  ~1000 Terawatt
(from observed underwater volcanic eruptions of  a few weeks in duration)

Likely Range Of Annual Volcanic Heat Flux Into The Bottom Of The Oceans:  33 to 150 Terawatt. (This estimate is based on an extensive review of the literature of marine geology and oceanography for the past 25 years.  Numbers were compiled by many authors for various types of underwater volcanism and their numbers are added together to define this range).  They are being added together for the first time here in the Earth Changes Bulletin.  Much more to come.

The last item provides plenty of energy to sustain an empirically-based speculation that Global Warming is caused by underwater volcanism. This is a far more realistic source than the theorized small amount of "reflected heat" from a minute amount of CO2 in the Earth's atmosphere.

The implications of this "discovery" are profound.  On the one hand "Greenhouse Gases" are not a direct threat to the climate and spending money on eradication of CO2 emissions in order to stop Global Warming is misguided.  On the other hand, the oceans are slowly warming and climate is changing radically and there is not much we can do about either one.  Furthermore, we have no clear empirical way to estimate what this trend will do in the future.  We can however look back into the past and observe that both short term and long term fluctuations do occur and the amount of change has often swung much further into higher temperatures, higher acidification of the oceans, and wider climate extremes.  In other words, we have no idea what is going to happen next, on empirical grounds, but it can change profoundly more than we know how to describe and can anticipate.

The long and short of it is that Global Warming is a serious threat to all human cultures and it must be assiduously dealt with on every level to avoid profound tragedy.

Mind

GEOPOLITICAL WATCH:  Strategic Assessments

( Mass Behavior, War & Peace, Politics, Black Arts Nation )

Mass Behavior:

CHECK OUT MOOD ALERT:  6.5 Point Alert for July 16 & 17 2007

"elevated sense of awareness with an apprehensive or worrying disposition that for some may prove to be intense. In addition there may be a poor sense of concentration so that extra discipline will be required to keep to ones normal routine."

Check out the Mood Alert occasionally at http://www.moodalert.com/
It is astrologically oriented but incorporates solar and geophysical indexes as well.  Cautionary note:  they confuse planetary conjunctions (an astrological term which describes relative positions with the Earth in the center reference point) by calling them planetary alignments, which is an ASTRONOMICAL term which denotes relative positions with the Sun as the center reference point.  We wish they wouldn't do that.  The EC Bulletins uses only a Solar-oriented frame of reference to track planetary alignments.

 THE SPIRITUAL FLUX:

KEEP ON Meditation - IT IS PAYING huge dividends AND THOSE WHO MEDITATE ALREADY KNOW IT!!!

The energetic influx is stupendous. Tune into the cosmic scene, drop out of the lunatic asylum known as Earth, and regroup your energy. The Spirit Dimension is up-scaling radically.  Know it, join hands, a huge wave of energy and conscioussness change is coming rapidly to help lift North Americans out of the talons of the awful Incubus which has seized control of New York and Washington DC.

THIS MESSAGE IS STILL THE CRUX OF MATTER:  The flux is moving simultaneously in both a positive and a negative direction, completing the polarization of North America and birthing the division of Americans into one of two societies.  On one hand is the same old Jingo Party, originally led by Andrew Jackson, who started the  Indian Wars to make the world safe for his kind and his fellow slavers, whose Jingoism and Wars have continued unabated fashioning the New World Order Empire. On the other hand is the same old Peace Party, composed of  the same old prairie populists, spiritual idealists, and Sitting Bull conservatives who are resisting the same old assertions of nationalism and wars with foreign powers to expand the powers of the plutocrats.  The battleground between these societies is the Mass Media industry, as it has always been.  It is in the media that the soul of America will finally be found or discovered to be finally lost under a mountain of lies for the people who inhabit the continent.  Even as the spirit stirs to create powerful political conditions to block the Jingoes  and move the U.S. towards peace policies, the Jingoes have begun a massive counter-attack to poison the mind and emotions of Americans with another round of Boogiemen.  Be afraid, America, be very afraid, the Jingoes exclaim in every media, the Boogiemen of Iran are out to get you!  And if it is not them, there are other boogiemen under every other third rock.  Look Dick, said Jane, there is one over there in the college.  Oh no, now there is another one in the Fuel Tank of the Airport.  Oh Dick, said Jane, I am very frightened.  The only thing real about the Boogiemen is the War OF Terror which is being waged upon the American people by the demented Incubus in the Warcast Media which insists in following Andrew Jackson's jingo bigot footsteps.

[2-27-07 ECB] The spirit is now moving decisively and is  rising with determination to gain the upper hand.  The American public now sees through the Punch and Judy show of entrenched plutocrat politics, the worthlessness of the Warcast Media, and the lying deceptions on which lunatics are attempting to engineer a New World Empire.  More, the public now also knows that a majority truly knows.  As this consciousness of a new shared majority consensus reality blooms into greater certainty, positive political, legal, and economic change will begin to flow. Bush has become a sort of historical toxic pill which has caused the body politic to begin a  long process of rejecting the poisons of many decades which had nearly overcome it.  Like the King of the Rohirrim, whose mind and will had become numbed by the cleverly lying tongue of the ambitious Warmtongue, Americans are awakening to the realization of the truth about the parasitical pirates who infect its political and economic institutions and who have led a once successful Republic into a wholly corrupt and increasingly evil empire.  Even as all seems nearly lost under the assault of the Rings of Power, the Will to the Good is rising.  A deep, profound psychological moment has come to North America, the mind of its people are changing rapidly in many fundamental ways.  This rising tide will lift all useful institutions, and flood out the rotten ones.

Economy:

NO NEW NEWS.  YOU ALREADY GOT ALL YOU NEED.

As predicted here during the last few years, the Global System is now rapidly readjusting all basic American economic values to pay for the tragedy in Iraq and the outsourcing of economic production abroad.   The slide continues.  You want more stats?  You don't need them.  All Bears are warning everywhere of a further slide in the value of the dollar relative to Euro and Gold.  Act accordingly.   Euro economic expansion is accelerating.  Eurasian economic links are displacing North American dynamics.  The world economy, by intelligent choice of Eurasians, is bifurcating and will pull a good portion of Latin America with it.  North American economy can tank out in bankruptcy while Eurasia continues to expand.  The illegal aliens in the U.S. have traveled the wrong direction.  In a few years, a good portion will be going South.  All this will be evident in spades during the next 36 months.

 [5-21-07 ECB] Another great wave of Bears are warning on practically every corner now about the drop of the dollar.  Since Eurasian economic growth appears on the upswing and Eurasian projections are generally optimistic, the Euro is likely to remain strong, probably stronger in the coming weeks and months, along with Gold, which Muslims and Asians are using in larger and larger quantities in private trading exchanges.  The year 2007 is most likely the watershed year in which the dollar is being permanently eclipsed even as the American War machine is grinding down into incoherence. Economic tailspin will become serious late in the year.

 [4-30-07 ECB]  Why the surge in stocks? Why the drop in Real Estate?  Money going into real estate in prior years, especially Asian money, is now going into the only place it can for the moment, globalist stocks.  So at the moment the turn-over bulls are touting stocks at every turn. 

 [3-18-07 ECB]  Bears are thrashing around and salivating everywhere. This economic collapse seems cosmically destined to parallel closely the collapse of imperial pretensions and the expansionary expeditions in southern Eurasia.  All comes home during the next 24 months. We will all be plucking chickens for a good while.

 [3-5-07 ECB]  ALL IS AS PREDICTED IN THE THREE FOLLOWING ITEMS BELOW THIS ONE.  You will see continued seesaws this year, up and down, with the general trend slowly down.  The precipitous collapse will come some time within the next two years when the world finally realizes that the age of the American Wehrmacht is done and its war industry is folding. Since the War Industry is the last major manufacturing sector in the U.S. economy, its collapse (from lack of demand) will induce the final collapse of the North American economy.  Eurasian economy will re-generate with the re-alignment of import and export markets between China, Russia, India, Europe, and Islamic Middle East.  None of these blocks needs North America and Russia's Putin is already building the future of the world based on this realization.  Having cast off the paralyzing straightjacket of ideology, China and Russia are demonstrating the infinite power of common sense, humbly applied.  

[2-27-07 ECB]  CONFIRMED, THIS ITEM:  [1-29-07 ECB]  Propredictions warns that a major "correction" in financial markets is coming in a matter of weeks.  (This is a majority opinion of a panel of professional psychics).

[2-27-07 ECB]  The sag today will not be permitted to continue.  On Wednesday the markets will seesaw back and forth but the Cabal's off-shore computers (in the Federal Reserve Monopoly) will begin ambitious program buying to create sudden surging demand to stabilize prices and even bring this back up a bit.  However, in general, the markets will sag and all world equities will sink to some extent as a massive wave of loss of confidence flows over the world.  We are all now one and we can see the profound reality of this truth in this moment.  The world's war hysteria about the demented madmen in control of Washington DC is sapping everything.  Confidence in everything is declining, increasing instability and economic recession is seen as the most likely outcome of the continued reign of the Cheney/Bush Junta.  Thus we are clearly on a descending trend line now, though there will be ups and downs, false negatives and positives.  There is considerable evidence to suppose that the bankers are as anxious as any to be rid of the Cheney/Bush Junta.  If so, they are likely to allow markets to fall during the coming months just enough to give everyone a strong message that Bush is killing the economy.  ALL THIS ON EDGAR CAYCE'S 25 YEAR TIME LINE.

[1-22-07 ECB]  The collapse of oil prices tells us that the economy is indeed sagging.  The Oil Plutocrats are "correcting" the economy by stimulating business and consumers with lower energy prices.  Despite a modest loss of the international value of the dollar during the past year, the oil bubble has been broken along with the real estate bubble.  The only thing which will push oil prices up this year will be an Israeli/American attack on Iran.  WATCH OUT NOW FOR THE STOCK MARKETS.  ALL SOURCES INCLUDING PSYCHIC SOURCES ARE PROCLAIMING THAT MAJOR CORRECTIONS ARE COMING VERY SOON.  Substantial corrections are being called for the next few weeks, another round much later in the year.

[12-11-06 ECB]  CHINA & THE TRILLION DOLLAR DUMP?  Many sources on the Iway and in the establishment print media, such as the Washington Post, are speculating loudly about the coming collapse of the American Dollar, to be caused in no small part by the decision of China to "dump" their now vast holdings of U.S. dollars (accumulated from the U.S. deficit in the U.S. balance of payments during the past ten years or so) . From this some are drawing the hasty and alarmist conclusion that the dollar will crash suddenly and perversely.  Is such likely?  Frankly I doubt it very strongly.  In the first place, the trillion dollars of U.S. dollars owned by China represents a very large proportion of China's collective savings from the last ten years of economic activity.  If it were yours, would you dump it?  Not likely.  Neither for you, China, nor me.  More likely you would seek arrangements in a number of ways to discretely "spend" the dollars and end up with assets whose value will inflate with any decrease in the value of the dollar.  Is this why we are seeing the irrational lending in the housing market, the current exuberent stock market bubble, etc.  Almost certainly. Almost certainly Chinese money is involved, large blocks of it.   In this way, market forces have been steadily readjusting the value of the dollar for the past 18 months, progressively lowering its value vis a vis everything else, EXCEPT labor.  Labor in both the U.S. and China is progressively losing international parity in value.  This is a "tax" the Chinese seem willing to pay.  What is now new as a result of the recent round of international conferences?  China appears to have completely rebuffed Bush and his imperials.  They appear to have indicated that the Chinese currency will be floated slightly, probably to allow about a 5% to 10% increase in prices, but that's it.  Why?  The answer may be inscrutable.  But it may lie partly in the simple truth that this is the cheapest and easiest way for China, which is after all is said and done a socialist economy, to come into greater and greater ability to defend itself from all capitalist comers, including the Rockefeller/Rothschild Cabal.  The more U.S. dollars the Chinese "own", the more power they have over the American economy and institutions. The more that the U.S. is dependent upon Chinese manufacturing, the greater control China can exert over the destiny of the world. It is that simple.  Eventually, all they have to do is "threaten" to move their money in a certain direction and the entire U.S. economy will tremble.  This is a far more powerful defense strategy than any combination of military assets.  We may now be at this point. Are the Chinese this clever?  Again, an inscrutable truth.  But observe, other than Castro's Cuban revolution, the Chinese communist party is the world's ONLY successful communist party. Despite Mao's destructive demented period, they were smart enough with and after Deng to not only hold the country together, they transferred power peacefully in national elections twice, and they have progressively created a decentalized bureacracy which extols a market economy.  Now all agree, they are busy expanding their market economy as fast as possible. When, the U.S. cannot pay for goods in ways which the Chinese desire, they will have markets throughout Africa, the Middle-East, and Europe for what they are currently selling to the U.S.  Insofar as the debt the U.S. is piling up with China, the U.S. still has plenty of assets which the Chinese could eventually demand.  Space technology.  Black Arts military technology. The Rockefeller/Rothschild Central Bank Accounts.  Etc. In other words, from a long-range social engineering perspective, which the communists do, slow incremental steps in adjusting directions and balances are far more likely to be seen as the most intelligent choices.  Since all current trends are rapidly weakening the U.S. and its Zionazi partners, while strengthening China's holdings, growth, and world influence, sudden "dumps" are likely to be seen as stupid as shooting yourself in the foot.  Having said all this, I expect that another "trim" in the value of the U.S. dollar will easily reach another 20% this year.  Have you seen what has happened across the board in convenience store prices?  Totally unreal.  Inflation in many basic necessity sectors is roaring.

[12-11-06 ECB]  Why is all  the money flooding into the stock market running up the prices?  Many reasons no doubt but two large factors are, (1) that money which used to speculate in real estate has no where else to go and, (2) international dollars are becoming El Cheapo, as can be see in the graph below, much too easy to acquire.  Where else do you want to dump your dollars?  Where else can you dump your dollars?  For these reasons the stock market will hang onto the bitter end of the economic crash of the American empire, which is now just beginning to occur. It will take most of 2007 apparently to play out the collapse.  As it proceeds, the establishment is likely to embrace impeaching Bush as a last ditch effort to retain credibility but it will be far too late.

[12-04-06 ECB]  Here in this graph below is a snapshot of what is happening to the U.S. Economy. Americans are all  loosing a portion of their relative value vis a vis the rest of the world.  As discussed in "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006", the bankers are slowly shifting the world's value into the Euro, letting the U.S. adrift.  This is how the Rothschild Syndicate has decided to "bill us" for the Tragedy in Iraq. This chart reveals only the down payment.  Wait to you see the end of 2007. The euro will easily cost in the range of $1.50 - $1.60.  Bye-bye Miss American Pie, here you can see it slipping right on out the door.

Read this chart by asking what the cost of a Euro (in dollars) was at any point in the year.  The answer is in the right hand column.

http://judicial-inc.biz/us_dollar_versus_the_euro.htm

During the next year the Chinese are going to be forced to revalue their output to maintain a better parity with the rouble and the euro. This will begin the next round of consumer price inflation in the U.S. even while asset deflation begins to follow the breaking of the housing bubbles. Go here and read this story on the mounting hysteria about what the Chinese are going to do with their trillion dollar surplus::

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/servlet/story/
LAC.20061128.RDOLLAR28/TPStory/Business

[10-23-06]  Slowing in all critical regards. Highly recommend that you read Lou Dobbs latest book to penetrate the phony lingo and pitches of the Republicrat shills.

[11-06-06]  Answering a subscriber (and many others):

From: grammies
Subject: Predictions Review
To: mwm@michaelmandeville.com
X-Accept-Language: en-us, en

Sir,

After reviewing your dire predictions:

The "Coming Economic Collapse Of 2006"

How do you reconcile the DOW rise above 12000 and the excellent state of the U.S. economy with your predictions?

[11-06-06] MWM:  Comments:  Dear Grammies, read below. The three articles below I believe provide a good update of the logic presented in the "Coming Economic Collapse of 2006".

Access them all together by going to the ECB Economic Trends

EUR0PEAN UNION ECONOMIC FORECAST

Autumn economic forecasts 2006-2008: solid growth and unemployment and deficits falling

Can the Economy Survive the Housing Bust?

Fortune on CNNMoney.com
By Jon Birger

 

The Dollar's Full-System Meltdown
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article15440.htm
By Mike Whitney
 

War & Peace:

THEY, the sold and bought self-styled national political  elite, has consolidated itself as an Imperial Class sitting in the first class cabins of the S.S. Titanic.  THEY WILL NOT END OUR NATIONAL DISGRACE.  There is something terribly wrong here, it is clear that our Republic no longer functions, that the Mass Media is merely a propaganda shill machine which abandoned real news gathering many years ago, and that the electorate, as an electorate, has lost its ability to elect people who will enact an overwhelmingly national collective desire to stop the tragedy in Iraq.

IT HAS COME TO US FINALLY AT THIS TIME

THAT IF WE WISH TO END

THE NATIONAL TRAGEDY INTO WHICH WE HAVE FALLEN,

WE MUST MAINTAIN

A RELENTLESS FOCUS OF WILL TO OVERCOME.

A RELENTLESS FOCUS OF WILL

ON

ONE ISSUE,

ONE TOPIC,

ONE AGENDA,

ONE DECISION,

ONE ACTION

BY CONGRESS & THE AMERICAN PEOPLE:

IMMEDIATELY IMPEACH BUSH/CHENEY/RICE.

WITH THE HARDEST POSSIBLE WILL OF IRON,

MUST THE AMERICAN PEOPLE

COME TO RELENTLESSLY COMMUNICATE

 THIS ONE DECISION

EVERY DAY

IN EVERY WAY POSSIBLE.

IF IT TAKES A YEAR

TO BRING THE AMERICAN NATION

BEFORE THE JUDGMENT OF GOD AND HISTORY

THAT THIS HORRIBLE TRAGEDY MAY  END,

SO BE IT.

BE RESOLUTE, NOTHING ELSE
ON THE PUBLIC STAGE MATTERS.

BE RELENTLESS.

NO CANDIDATE, NO MARCH, NO ORGANIZATION,

NO CONGRESSIONAL RESOLUTION

CAN END THE NIGHTMARE.

ONLY THE RELENTLESS,

 IRON WILL OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE,

 COMMUNICATED FIRMLY EACH AND EVERY DAY,

 WILL CREATE THE FORCE OF PRESENCE

BY WHICH RIGHT WILL BE DONE.

Everyone must put their finger in the dike. I began in late 2002 with a severely radical critique of the jingoism and mass-media programming which was driving Americans into an imperial expansion which would fail.  At that time many of my subscribers grumbled and complained about my politics and questioned my judgment. They don't anymore. Now they see the truth of the matter in their own terms.

Put your finger in the dike. Do something personal, anything you think appropriate, EVERY DAY, to communicate the overwhelming need to IMPEACH BUSH/CHENEY.  Finally, when the mass media fully realizes that it is a dodo out to lunch and cannot persuade a carrot of the legitimacy of the powers that be, they will relent and rush to the head of the pack to continue their pretense of leadership.  Congress then will throw in the towel and commence impeachment.

It may take a full year of maintaining this relentless focus of will.  Do it.

You might want to check out http://www.pdamerica.org

Politics:

We may have to live in this historical sh#t-hole of collective dishonor with blood on our hands for another 18 months, minimum. 

The Democrats have failed to deliver on their words and promises and are wasting our time with one phony pose after another.  About 80% of congressional Democrats are now as much as incompetently responsible as the Republicons for the Tragedy in Iraq.

We can already see that the Zionazi money, which funds both parties, is already destroying the Democratic Party as well as the Republican Party.  Both are currently on a rapid trajectory of extreme factionalization over rejection of the wars, globalism, and economic mismanagement.  Conditions HAVE NEVER BEEN MORE RIPE for third parties or "independent" candidates.

Beware a new false terror gambit, another episode of synthetic "false-flag" terror, instigated by Dr. Demento "the dick" Cheney and his  Zionazi Mossad terrorist allies.  All signs, all moves on the Grand Chessboard, demonstrate the movement of primary "assets" into placement for a blitzkrieg air assault on Iran.  Money, ships, surging force levels in the Middle East, appointment of lick-spittle bureaucrats into supreme positions of power, and many other signs suggest the obvious.   Given the full press court of New York Zionazi Money to support the idea of broadening and greatly deepening U.S. militarism in the Middle East and other areas, as witnessed by the huge sums of money which are being thrown into support of McCain's and Giuliani's candidacies, we should be greatly concerned about Dr. Demento's Gambit. 

CONCERNING THE BRITISH TERROR ALERTS AND OTHER RUMORS OF BOOGIE-IRAN:   No one but no one has any inkling left that any of these people who shout  and shill about the Boogieman have any remaining credibility or moral legitimacy...  The anglo-american regimes have completely lost it in the thickets of lies which has grown up during the past eight years. The way to defeat these crooks and idiots, as the case may be, is to pay them only with derision, rotten tomatoes, and cold shoulders.  That and that only defeats the "terror" gambit, which appears to be played in about equal parts by nearly incompetent patsies and zionazi or imperial agitprop specialists.  In other words, the only way to get the "Adventures of Boogieman" off the stage of history is to refuse the show an audience.  That's about it, isn't it, defeat the entire Mad Max crew of state and street mobs by telling them all roundly

go f#$& yourself

P.S.  Sorry to be so exasperated but have you noticed how exasperating these times are?  Between the 113 degrees in the shade in central Arizona, the rotting sections of my roof which I am forced to replace before the monsoons strike, Paris Nothing But Princess Bogousity, and TV nattering endlessly about no news at all except "terror stunts" so ineptly staged, or rumors of rumors of unsourced hints of third hand anon conjectures  of the possible appearance of the Wicked Boogie-Iran of the East, such that even the Strawman can see through them... what is there not to be nearly completely disgusted about the low estate of our now apparently non-existent culture?  Oh Barf.  Meanwhile, Gaza has been reduced to a ghetto which will now become a closed off prison for any Palestinian in the west bank or Lebanon who does not agree to be ruled by CIA clients. THIS IS THE REAL TERRORISM, VISITED DAILY ON MILLIONS OF PEOPLE.  Apparantly the Palestinians are to be completely bitch-slapped out of Gaza for the good of Greater Zionazi.  The Abbas and Fatah puppet show will play one last engagement in the West Bank, then gradually disappear on dark and stormy nights.  The complete and abject failure of the western peoples to abide by the democratic criteria they imposed on Palestine is the final betrayal, and Jimmy Carter is the only American statesman who is speaking the truth, though the man is so cautious much of his real message is veiled in moralized abstractions.   A final war between Israel and the rest of the world may now be inevitable.  The Zionazis obviously hoped to reap the kinds of rewards of Andrew Jackson's heirs in stealing a continent, but, like Custer, Israel simply cannot prevail in the long run. 

Meanwhile in the U.S., political fractionalization is increasing and an exceptional breakdown of the two party electoral system is already well underway.   The Imperial Faction will drive the degeneration, inadvertently, by forcing increased synthetic terror in various forms and by playing out a serious covert campaign to incite a war with Iran.  It is the last strategic piece which extreme Zionazi's want to suck out of the of the dying Bush regime.  It is not likely they can do so without creating extreme controversy and agitation in the U.S., BUT IT IS NOW OVERWHELMINGLY OBVIOUS THAT THEY INTEND TO TRY.  A very sick core of manipulators fully intend to trash out the remaining vestiges of constitutional rule in the U.S. by using international violence and Zionazi "emergencies" to diktat the rise of a Globalist Aristocracy, cloaked in "corporatism", to rule over much of the world.  Iran is now the emerging foil by which they intend to induce the "emergencies" to complete the militarization of the U.S.

THE LAST MAJOR PLAYER FOR THE GAME:  It may be so-called immigration reform.   With Bush's corporate immigration policies, the Imperial Faction will have a full suite of sticks and carrots to induce millions of Hispanics to take a fully paid vacation in the Middle East, or even Iraqis for that matter.