PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Monitoring The Changes In The Earth

edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright February Day 23 2005

                                                                                                             

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Please Note:  This Bulletin is conceived as a System.  It is still in an early stage of evolution.  We intend to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is underway.

 

 

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of February 23 2005

You have heard of the Weather Report?  Here exclusively is this week’s  "Earth Report" - a short review of the "big picture" about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

 

NEW LINK FOR THE NEW Earth Changes Bulletin Almanac & Updates Archive. USE THIS NEW HOME PAGE TO ACCESS THE ARCHIVES OF WEEKLY UPDATES, SPECIAL REPORTS, AND THE NEW ALMANAC.

 

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this  URL

 

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2005/ecb_Feb_23_05.htm

 

 

A SCHEDULE IS NOW POSTED IN ITALIAN FOR THE MANDEVILLE – EDIZIONI BOOK TOUR IN ITALY DURING APRIL. CHECK IN THE SECTION BELOW

 

Continue To Maintain Extreme Vigilance!!!

 

CONTINUE EXCEPTIONAL VIGILENCE IN ACTIVE SEISMIC ZONES THROUGH TO THE END OF MARCH 2005:  Nearly all psychic and avocational quake predictors believe that additional major tectonic activity is about to occur during the next few weeks.  The danger period probably extends through to the end of March 2005.

 

 

LENGTHY NEW MATERIAL
UPDATE PREDICTIONS FOR 2005 – 2012
"The Imperial Blowback & The Changes In The Earth"

I am still working diligently on this material which succinctly outlines predictions for the period 2005 – 2012.  This will serve as the basis of two one day seminars during April, one in Rome, another in Milan, Italy.  

LATER, PERHAPS BY MID MARCH:  Beyond this I am also working on the period of what the Q’ero call the Pachacuti and the Hopi call the "Great Purification" (also known as the "Time of Troubles" or "The Tribulations").  I have just consumed four books and many iway articles and websites the past few weeks to prepare for this.  For a variety of reasons, the final keys for putting together the final plot line of the Fourth Age and the most probable key signals are now being brought forward into my consciousness in a way which will allow me to describe them clearly and specifically to the world.  Due to many issues, the greater bulk of this material shall not be openly available directly on the internet.  Access to most of the predictions will be made available through paid annual subscriptions.  Because of the strategic seriousness of some of the predictions, some I will only make available through mouth and ear in private seminars.   I will begin to advise of this material through the EC Bulletins and through Alex Merklinger’s radio program

 

EACH WEDNESDAY - Alex Merklinger Radio at Mysteries Of The Mind

7 PM Mountain Time

 

FOR THIS YEAR OF THE GATHERING EMERGENCE:

 

On the geophysical front,  at the current time activity at the solar level of our vast Vortex continues to decrease and this trend should continue for at least a few days. The Sunspot Count fell to 23 during the past several days and then rose to 54 today (probably a fleeting spike) as the Flux dropped each day to 85, where it is still falling.  Despite the huge "mystery explosion" on the other side of the Sun, little solar storm activity is active on the Earth and no disturbances are expected by any source for at least several days.  Yet still, the Jet Stream circulation is kinked out far from normal and the Pacific Southwest has received so much rain that for the first time in memory all the rivers have filled to flooding not once but two or three times during the past four months.  And more is expected. Are we seeing Global Warming or World Weather Manipulation at work? Or an acceleration of the Changes In The Earth?  Pick you favorite paranoia.  Is it volcanic activity deep beneath the seas? Through seismic activity through to this Full Moon was inconsequential for most of the world, a clear pattern of spreading began in the Great Rift from the Equator in the Mid-Indian Ocean and traveled up through a succession of days with four quakes along Longitude East 58-68 to culminate with the 6.4 quake and three aftershocks in Eastern Iran (Long. East 58) where the "spreading wave" hit the landfall of Eurasia.  Mean world volcanism continued to rise rapidly this past seven days with a 3 to 5 % increase in activity.  Around the globe, all tectonic signals of volcanism ROSE in unison, including another substantial increase in seismic activity around St. Helens, suggesting that St. Helens is a virtual shoo-in for major emissions later on this year along with vigorous eruptions in Alaska and the Kamchatka Peninsula.  Four other shape-shifters struck in the Atlantic Hemisphere and the Carib Plate remained a hot spot, as did the Northern and Eastern edge of the vast Australian Tectonic Plate through many of the South Pacific Islands. The movement of the Earth's crust relative to the North Spin Axis – Chandler's Wobble – IS NOW NORMALIZING.  Even so, continue to watch the tea leaves of sudden tectonic rupture on the North American West Coast, everyone is still nervous about it. Maintain exceptional vigilance on the Western coasts of the Americas. And watch the volcanoes – a major increase in world volcanism continues to increase and this activity will continue to rise worldwide during the next six months.  Many surprises may be in store for this year.

 

On the geopolitical front, all international and domestic dynamics are shifting rapidly though most of the real news is unstated and under the covers.  Political forces in the U.S. and the world are encircling Washington DC in every way.  The kooky part of the Bush-Rove domestic agenda will go nowhere and the Shi'a and Kurds will soon coalesce a coalition and begin the process of pushing the Imperial Faction out of Iraq. Increasingly this year, the tide of violence will abate as emotional stimulation subsides,  but the political polarization which the Imperial Faction has engendered domestically and internationally will increase with ever-more hardened attitudes informed by ever-more hardened perspectives which have broken through the increasingly empty illusions and delusions of America The Great Uber Alles.  Bush will return as ever from Europe with hands holding only tokens and good luck charms.  But he will rejoice in the sycophancy of the Faux Centrists.  Led by the ever too-eager-to-please-the-interests Lieberman and the DNC, much of the Faux Centrist Democrats are melting down into overt poodledom to the Imperials and their every connivance with the Imperial Faction will confirm in greater detail their abject moral bankruptcy to large numbers of Democrats west of the Appalachian Mountains who are already unable to tolerate the large volume of dimwitted garbage with floats in Washington DC masquerading itself as U.S. Government or as the Democratic Party.  The Faux-Centrists will finish digging their grave this year just in time to be dumped in by the political convulsions which will begin in 2006 and split both political parties into warring splinters. Meanwhile, as a result of the incompetence of the Imperial Faction and the moral vacuum of the Mass Broadcast Media, the balance of the current American fate STILL lies in the hands of those in the Mid-East.  If their will is strong enough, the will of the Iraqi people to create peace among themselves, the Americans will be able to extricate themselves from what has always been a completely untenable condition.  PRAY.

 

 

Go to detailed synopsis…

 

 

 

EACH WEDNESDAY - Alex Merklinger Radio at Mysteries Of The Mind

7 PM Mountain Time

This hidden column on the right  is available for links, banners, and icons of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual donation.  Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update.  YOU MUST HAVE BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous subscriber).. 

 

NOTES

Grayed items are not yet operational

 

 

 

Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well.  They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth.  Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects  The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors.  Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together.  This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead.  The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences.  The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

 

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/

 

The Bulletin is written in Arizona (UTC +8 hours) so any relative references, such as "Today", or "Tomorrow", or "Yesterday" should generally to taken to refer to the day spans as experienced in Western North America.

 

 

 

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COMING LATE SPRING IN WEEKLY INSTALLMENTS:

 

UPDATE PREDICTIONS FOR 2005 – 2012 and through "The Tribulations"

 

  go to the Earth Changes Almanac

 

A systematic synopsis is being assembled which succinctly outlines predictions for the period 2005 – 2012 and through the period of what the Q’ero call the Pachacuti and the Hopi call the "Great Purification" (also known as the "Time of Troubles" or "The Tribulations".  This outline will update the predictions in "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" and the "Return of the Phoenix", mainly by confirming the general plot line and by adding more details which carry the predictions well beyond 2006-2008.

 

PRELIMINARY FINDING: (based on the integration of several credible psychic sources)

 

We have perhaps as little as 1.5 years but possibly up to 5 years before the first wave of "The Upheavals" – the long predicted rupturing of the crust along the West Coast of North America.  This will terminate the American Empire and consummate the final stages of a continental civic struggle, a virtual civil war (but one without armies), which will have begun as a consequence of the economic collapse during 2006-07.  Several waves of catastrophic ruptures in various locations of the crust will follow over some 20-25 years.   These ruptures will create opportunities for wars in Eurasia which are not restrained by the Western powers and serious efforts will be made by regional coalitions to "conquer" the greater part of Eurasia.  These waves of Upheavals and raving human irrationality will progressively degrade and finally destroy existing human cultures and nations.  The final flight of the Phoenix to a new polar axis orientation for the Fifth Age Of Human Memory will occur some 20-25 years after the first Upheaval in Western North America.  Thereafter, for up to 3000 years, tectonic activity, especially in the form of volcanism, will remain at heightened levels, creating many peak CENTURIES of volcanic activity which are 100-1000 times higher than current levels.

 

COMING IN APRIL…

 

Mandeville will be conducting a book tour in Italy from April 5-16 for Macro Edizioni, a major Italian publisher who has translated the Coming Economic Collapse of 2006 into Italian. Mandeville will be in several cities.  In addition, he will conduct a full day seminar in Rome and Milan on the coming Changes In The Earth.

 

ITINERY FOR ITALIAN BOOK TOUR

the material will be presented in English and translated into Italian

 

Michael Wells Mandeville -  autore del libro Come affrontare il Crollo economico del 2006/7 Macro Edizioni 2004 – In Italia ad Aprile

 

Presentazione del libro e approfondimento della tematica a:

Il collasso politico ed economico – 2005/2010 - in Usa. Le sue ricadute in Europa e Italia. (Incluso l'effetto di ritorno della tragedia in Iraq e la disintegrazione dell'Impero Americano)
Come affrontare individualmente i cambiamenti a livello economico e politico
In questi tempi molto instabili, imprevedibili, segnati da grandi conflitti politici, il "vecchio" senso di equilibrio sembra perduto e molte sono le condizioni che sembrano deteriorarsi a livello del benessere economico, ambientale e politico. In questi incontri, organizzati da Macro Edizioni, a seguito della sua pubblicazione "Come affrontare il crollo economico del 2006-2007", l’autore analizzerà  le possibili dinamiche di ciò che è più probabile che accada, ai fini di dedurne  una strategia pratica per il futuro.


Appuntamenti

Mer. 6 Aprile               conferenza a Roma  - Libreria Mel Bookstore – ore 18

                          Via Nazionale 252/255 – 06 4885405                        

Giov. 7 conferenza a Napoli – La Feltrinelli libri e musica – ore 18

Via Santa Caterina a Chiaia, 23 (ang. piazza dei Martiri) - 081 2405411

Ven. 8                   “A cena con l’autore” a Roma presso Bibli (libreria, caffetteria, ristorante in Trastevere) – dalle ore 20 Via dei Fienaroli, 28 – 06 5814534

Sab. 9 seminario a Roma presso Bibli – ore 9.00 – 13  14.30-18-30

Dom.10               conferenza e “A cena con l’autore” a Bologna presso  Libreria Sala Borsa e Sala Borsa Eventi - orario da confermare, P.zza Nettuno  tel. 051 2960871

Lun. 11                Conferenza a Firenze presso Libreria Edison -  ore 18

Piazza della Repubblica 27/r -  055 213110 e “A cena con l’autore” presso “Il Teatro del Sale” (da confermare)

Mart.12 conferenza a Padova  presso Libreria Feltrinelli - orario da confermare - Via S. Francesco, 7 – 049 8754630

Merc.13              conferenza a Verona presso Libreria PortaBorsari - orario da confermare  Corso S. Anastasia 7 – 045 8002234

Giov.14               conferenza  a Lugano presso Tisana Fiera ore 16.45-17-45 e “a cena con l’autore” presso ristorante Fiera dalle ore 19.00 – 0041 919946647

Ven.15 conferenza a Milano presso Libreria Esoterica ore 18.30

Galleria Unione 1(P.zza Missori) – 02 878422

Sab.16 seminario a Milano sala Libreria Esoterica ore 9.00 – 13  14.30-18-30

 

Mart.19 Conferenza presentazione a  Ravenna - sede da confermare

 

Info: Macro Edizioni – 0547 346290 int.7 mattina, 0547-347424 pomeriggio

www.macroedizioni.it, www.macrolibrarsi.it

Le cene sono su prenotazione

 

 

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will "bottom" in 2006/2007.  Click here to download

 

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008:  This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since May 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent.  If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything.

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF FEBRUARY 23, 2005: Ditto all conditions.  ONLY MORE SO.

 

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JANUARY 6, 2005:   On track, as discussed in previous Bulletins.  A new quick summary is provided below in the Economy section.

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF DECEMBER 22, 2004:  No surprises, everything on track as predicted…conditions remain about the same through to the first week of January – things will then begin to break suddenly…into a fast and furiously changing year.  The tide will clearly turn during 2005 on many fronts, collectively marking the end of the American Age and a progressive waning of American stature and prosperity..

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 17, 2004:

As per stated below, the bubble is re-inflating for a few more weeks or even months if Al Qaeda does not attack.  Oil prices are dropping as stocks and equities firm up and the economy continues expansion with the expectation that American Imperialism will continue (unfortunately) to drive international events during 2005. BEWARE SUDDEN REVERSALS WHEN ALQAEDA STRIKES.  BEWARE THE EMERGING SUPER-COALITION IN EURASIA WHICH WILL PROGRESSIVELY UNDERCUT THE AMERICAN DOLLAR DURING 2005, GENERALLY IN A MEASURED WAY WHICH AVOIDS SUDDEN PANIC.  This is not a hostile action, it is a sensible reaction of the world to the vast over-reach of America’s Imperial Pretenders. This will produce a strong trend of basic price inflation in the U.S. as basic material commodity prices and the cost of imported goods continue to rise. The world WILL solve the Balance of Payments problem, mainly by raising the dollar costs of imports beyond the means of Americans to purchase them.

 

 

 

 

 

ALL DATES AND TIMES USED IN THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN ARE NOW UTC = Universal Time Constant, previously known as Greenwich Mean Time.

 

 

HOUSEKEEPING

 

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 7 PM Arizona Time (6 PM Pacific Time).   Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin.  To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network

 

WE ARE STILL IN AN AWKWARD STAGE WITH THE BULLETINS.  MUCH PROGRESS HAS BEEN MADE IN COMPLETELY REDEFINING THE BULLETIN, MONITOR, ALMANAC, AND WEBSITE, BUT SO FAR IT IS ALL INVISIBLE.  THE NEW SCHEMA WILL BE INTRODUCED DURING FEBRUARY AND MARCH

 

We are halfway into a process which will combine an almanac structure with the weekly updates.  I intend a three tier Bulletin/Almanac Archive:  a weekly newsletter which is shorter than present, an archive of the Weekly Updates in web pages, and a deeper core structure which is like an Almanac, encompassing years, major references, explanations of all the details, and outlines for many years in advance of various predictions and concerns.  To this core we will link the Updates and around the entire business we will add a variety of news feeds and tightly focused discussion forums.  From these news feeds, some items in summary form will appear in the Updates.  It will take a couple of months yet to shape this up to where I will truly want it to be.

 

Today you can finally access an update of the past year's bulletins and the beginning of an annual forecast for 2005.  Click here for the new access point to the current new home page for the Earth Changes Bulletin Almanac & Archive

 

 

 

Begin Synopsis

 

 As stated in the "Coming Economic Collapse of 2006", the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities of the human species.  As we transform the media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth.  Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it.  Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies.

 

 

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time.  Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

BREAKING NEWS:

 

All forces, BOTH DARK AND LIGHT, seem to be gathering and abiding at the moment….

 

Many things and events are being set in motion but very little is currently visible on the surface as people busy themselves re-arranging the deck chairs of the Titanic.

 

The loony Imperial Faction clearly is on a course for a massive confrontation with the Iceberg of history.  They have consummated almost a complete takeover of the National government, all that remains are two Supreme Court Justice appointments.

 

None of us will escape the titanic struggle for the soul of America and history which will emerge this year and next.

 

FOR WINTER 2005:

 

There is underway very rapid progress on all internal spiritual and psychic development issues.  THOSE WHO MEDITATE ARE TUNING INTO INCREASING ENERGY LEVELS AND MAJOR TRANSFORMATIONS OF HOW THEIR CHAKRAS BALANCE AND WORK.  Much of this transformation is not very describable as it involves shifts in how our personal "holographic" field is experienced. 

 

DIET IS EXCEPTIONALLY IMPORTANT AS EVER BUT EVEN MORE SO FOR THOSE WHOSE UPPER CHAKRAS ARE OPENING and energize.  As they energize, the body begins to reject more militantly the load of industrial chemistry which now adulterates the greater bulk of American grocery store food items. 

 

What to do about it is very complex and differs for nearly all people.  But here is a shot gun approach which is probably very helpful for a great many  If you are having an increased load of health issues, drop prepackaged food out of your diet AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE, fix from scratch with items as pure as possible, eat mega doses of sodium acerbate (Vitamin C) or from natural sources such as rose hips, and MAKE SURE YOU TAKE IN NO COOKING OILS EXCEPT FROM OLIVE OIL.  OLIVE OIL IS A GIFT FROM THE GODS AND HAS ALSO BEEN DEMONSTRATED TO DECREASE CANCER AND/OR SLOW DOWN ITS REPLICATION IN THE BODY. 

 

Interior channels have energized and nearly everyone I talk to relays similar experiences of new channels or access to new awareness of imagery or feelings or knowledge opening up.  A step-function in personal maturity has been experienced, along with increased personal vibrancy.  As it were, a real "personal inauguration" seems at hand.  It is a good time to focus on the emerging Medicine Wheel of the Earth and our energetic interconnection within Indri's Net.  It is an excellent time to enhance the power of inner visualization and connection.  Thanks to Adam for bringing this back into our consciousness.  Try this visualization:.

 

Indri's Net:  (as described in the ancient Sanskrit texts)

 

There is an endless net of threads throughout the universe.

The horizontal threads are in space.

The vertical threads are in time.

At every crossing of threads there is an individual.

And every individual is a crystal bead.

 

The great light of absolute being illuminates and penetrates every crystal being.

 

And every crystal being reflects not only the light from every other crystal in the net,

 

But also every reflection of every reflection throughout the universe.

 

MWM: Try that on for visualizing the All In All we call God.  Talk about opening up channels….

 

Mayan Elders have delivered an urgent message:  the major Earth Changes of the "Pachacuti" or "Purification" period have begun with the rupture of the Indo-Trench.  They expect increasing seismic activity and major quakes of a similar nature to occur through the next several months.

 

FOR 2005: 

 

Some major keywords for 2005 are:

 

"Gathering", most especially in the sense of gathering of forces;

 

"Being", as in the sense of fully participating in the realization and practice of what we dare to hope we are becoming;

 

"Accepting"; negatively as in eating the "Karmic Blowback" (the American People are going to take an immense amount of Karmic Blowback for the Tragedy in Iraq); positively as in receiving supportive affirmation for long-suffering spiritual efforts and intentions

 

"Emerging", realization and experiencing of the becomings long sought, most especially as in bringing forth the new understandings, orientations, needs, and directions of purpose for a profoundly different world than is celebrated in the Mass Media.

 

In the positive dimension, around these keywords, many new phenomenon will emerge, especially in the forms of groups and individuals manifesting new activities.

 

NEXT SEVEN YEARS:

 

In the negative dimension, the coming "Karmic Blowback" is going to be terrible and shake the very roots of everything in North America from now through to 2012.  But a great turning towards peace and a desire for equitable, personal connection to real community is underway in the hearts and minds of a great mass of humanity.  This is the entire hope.

 

STAY FOCUSED ON HELPING THE EMERGENCE OF PEACE, JUSTICE, AND FREEDOM.  DENY ALL MOVEMENT TOWARDS FASCISM.  THE FASCISTS AND BIGOTS AMONG THE NATIONS ARE GOING TO DELIVER INCREASING QUANTITIES OF KARMIC BLOWBACK TO EACH OTHER.  It will be terrible in the coming years, and in 2005 the U.S. will begin to tangibly feel PRECURSERS of the blowback.  Nothing is going to "go right" for the North American Powers That Be this year – and it gets worse and worse as the year goes down.

 

I SUGGEST YOU "DUCK" AND KEEP PUTTING YOURSELF IN A DIFFERENT PLACE ALLTOGETHER – MENTALLY AND EMOTIONALLY AND POLITICALLY AND ECONOMICALLY, AND IF YOU ARE URBAN DEPENDENT, I HIGHLY RECOMMEND THAT YOU BEGIN TO FORM YOUR STRATEGY FOR PHYSICALLY DUCKING THE EMPIRE’S KARMIC BLOWBACK FOR THE PERIOD 2006-2012, ESPECIALLY IF YOU LIVE IN THE EAST COAST BUBBLE.

 

No-Eyes, the blind old first world prophet of the Rockies had it right 20 years ago, conditions are going to get increasing bad because of the karmic blowback and there is no end in sight until "the Phoenix screeches". 

 

BREATH FREE. Let go of everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird.  Let go of everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.  The old patterns are falling away.  Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all.

 

SPIRITS EMERGING:  CONFIRMING WHAT I PREDICTED LAST YEAR:  "In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them.  This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater meaning by the end of the year."

 

Here is one.  ADAM, an 18 year old healer in Vancouver, British Columbia, is beginning to be recognized and is causing more and more of a stir.  He is quite possibly a great successor to the Edgar Cayce tradition.  If you combine his group "work" with disciplined personal meditation, you have the keys to the full realization of gathering, being, and emergence this year.  His two short books, which I had the opportunity to read over the year end holidays are well worth reading and he will tell you in his own words how to operationalize what I had written in this section last month:

 

Don’t react, go to center, get clear, release, and grieve…the Fourth Age is dying rapidly now… much more rapidly than we thought, its institutions and identities are beyond saving… let it go, let go, get to center…flow into God, let God flow into you…don’t speculate, don’t analyze, don’t react to the shtuff…clear…clean out the past four years…we are now free to grieve the death of everything we detested…let it go…let it go…let it die.   As you re-center in God, find the realization that this is the final moment you have been waiting for to end your connections and involvements with the illusions and delusions of all that which has betrayed the divine within each and brought greed, war, and destruction over the Earth.

 

The destroyers belong to each other, this is now the final time of their fatal embrace.  Let them love their wars…they have greatly desired the bitter wines of their hatreds and violence, they have lusted greatly for their Armageddon, and they shall have it. 

 

The die has been cast with a thousand artifices and illusions.  With the excellence of its manner of casting,  God has delivered to you your own freedom from the delusions and spells of the Mass Sorcerers, indeed, from the entire age, if you will but realize it.  Clear yourself and your life to find now the sense of movement and direction to separate your life from the dying culture which is putrefying all around you. There is no saving it…as Buckminster Fuller observed many decades ago, the old order is never saved, the new order merely grows up around it to eventually takes its place.  So it will come to pass now in an intense period of vast change during the next twenty years.

 

 

 

The "Great Purification" predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues.  How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving

The Great Purification

of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004.

 

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….

THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

 

 

FOR THE MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration.  This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

 

 

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE.  To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

 

BREAKING NEWS: 

 

The phase-shifting appears to be slowing at the moment.  The spiral track appears to be returning to normal after have shifted in the time dimension by something like a month or so.

 

FOR A DETAILED DISCUSSION OF THE RECENT "PHASE-SHIFTING" IN CHANDLER'S WOBBLE, GO TO THE NEW MATERIAL IN THE NEW Earth Changes Almanac

 

As reported in January:  The Great Rupture of the Indo-Trench on Christmas 2004 caused a decided departure from what was already an aberrant track.  The track has not returned to normal and it appears to be initiating what may best be described as a "phase shift" in the waveform of the motion of the North Spin Axis relative to the surface of the Earth. The onset of this phase shift began in approximately September 2004 and was followed approximately 120 days later with the Christmas Day Great Rupture.  Earlier "phase-shifts" of Chandler's Wobble during the 20th century also resulted in large Great Quakes and Ruptures.

 

BUT CURRENTLY,  the phase-shifting appears to have ended and the track of the wobble is now turning inward tightly to begin a rapid spiraling motion into the MIN phase of the wobble.

 

Accordingly, it may be fair to conclude that the peak period of danger from major tectonic events is now beginning to ebb.  However, keep in mind that the Earth is a huge and ponderous system with immense inertia.  The effects of the recent phase-shift may be felt for the next two years.

 

I RECOMMEND EXCEPTIONAL VIGILENCE AROUND THE EQUATORIAL ZONE, ESP IN THE CARIB PLATE, THE BAJA PLATE,  THE WESTERN COASTS OF THE AMERICAS, FROM ECUADOR THROUGH ALASKA, AND IN THE CENTRAL MEDITERREAN.

 

 

BACKGROUND INFORMATION

 

No change from last week

 

For an excellent timely discussion of mass instability in the Earth during this current time, check out this very interesting article by William Hutton which is linked below.  Long time subscribers to the EC Bulletins will recall that I began to report in 2000 that a major anomaly had appeared beginning in December 1998 in the track of Chandler's Wobble (of the North Spin Axis).  Hutton, a retired professional geologist, has followed up this lead with this very interesting article which confirms the anomaly within his framework of thought.

 

This is especially pertinent because the current anomaly is beginning to smell a lot like the 1998-1999 anomaly, which "phase-shifted" the wobble to some degree. If the wobble once again phase-shifts as it approaches its MIN spiral track in the 6.5 year cycle, it will reveal a new recurring pattern in polar motion which has not been apparent since the 1936 phase shift which Edgar Cayce described.  For one thing, it will reveal that the Earth will require an era of shape-shifting and accelerated wobble drift to regain a balanced distribution of mass (more mass needs to be shoved by centrifugal spin energy towards the equator).

 

Reflect on the idea that a phase-shift represents a shift in the time domain for a variable…suddenly it is in a new time connection with the flux of the universe.  Now reflect for a moment that the primary description of the shifting of the poles which was offered by the oral tradition of the Inca is the name "Pachacuti", which they defined as a rip in the fabric of time

 

This is ALL VERY PERTINENT as well because it tends to corroborate the "feeling" of the tripwires among psychics and shamen and avante garde researchers that an acceleration is occurring in Earth Changes right now and that many more major quakes are to be expected during the coming months. As you will see in Hutton's discussion, the 1998 incident was followed by some historical quakes.

 

for background information, click here

 

POSSIBLE POLE-SHIFT PRECURSOR FOUND!

Two Scientists Have Detected A Large-Scale Redistribution Of Mass Within The Earth System, Beginning in 1998!

Introduction

The Hutton Commentaries (THC) has been saying from the beginning that a shift in the poles of Earth's rotational axis can only be caused by a significant shift of mass somewhere within our planet. Now, two scientists studying data on Earth's gravity field have found evidence of just such a mass shift that began in 1998. This is the year in which Cayce readings 3976-15 and 378-16 said that a forty-year-long period, from 1958-1998, marking the beginning of predicted Earth changes would come to an end. Then, in 1998 and beyond there would be "the changes wrought in the upheavals and the shifting of the poles."

We present evidence here that the "upheavals" may have begun in the inner Earth between 1998 and 2002, where the liquid outer core meets the overlying plastic mantle. This is the core-mantle boundary, or CMB. Upheavals along the CMB may have been detected by means of precision satellite-ranging measurements conducted since 1979. Interpretations of the voluminous measurements between 1979 and 2002 have been published by two scientists, Christopher Cox and Benjamin Chao, in the August 2 issue of Science magazine (p. 832). Here
follows their reasoning and their conclusions.

much more here with excellent visual graphics:

Hutton Commentaries On 1998 Polar Motion Anomaly

 

RECENT

 

The "jiggle" in the polar motion wobble produced by the 9.2 Indo-Trench quake can be clearly seen on the spiral wobble track.

 

It is as if two vectors at 90 degrees to each other are contending with each other over which force will move the Earth’s crust the most, and thus move the location of the North Spin Axis in one direction or another.

 

Since this anomaly is directly synchronous with the Great Rupture of the Indo-Trench, I am deeply suspicious that the events are directly related (the slightly erratic wobble causing the rupture, the rebound of which shifts the wobble into an even more erratic motion).

 

The specific causes are unknown (the general cause is simple:  an accumulating imbalance in the distribution of the mass of the Earth on which centrifugal force acts to push excess mass towards the Equator).

 

The appearances of the graphs of polar motion suggest that this is an "emerging" and accelerating instability which has been increasing in tempo for at least the past 20 years. (Actually this is an illusion, it is the crust of the Earth which is wobbling and moving as centrifugal force attempts to push accumulating extra mass (such as polar ice pack) towards the equator).

 

This acceleration in the rate of motion suggests the there is indeed a "Change In The Earth", as long prophesied, beginning to happen right before our eyes and under our feet.

 

As many no doubt have been reading, many prophetic "tripwires" among psychics and First World Medicine Wheel elders are clearly interpreting current Earth events as signals and signs and effects of the "Pachacuti", "Great Purification", or "Tribulation" which precedes the final avalanche of the crust (shifting of the poles, Ragnarok, Judgment Day, etc.).

 

 

FOR 2005:

 

In general, the Wobble Track is showing continued tightening of the Chandler’s Wobble Spiral, as should be at this time in its 7 year Wobble Cycle, and the track seems to be conforming with a continued acceleration in the rate of drift, but this can be by no means certain until this 7 year cycle is over.  In about two years we will be able to locate the minimum spiral of motion and then look for the average 7 year "location" of this past seven years for comparison with previous cycles.

 

NEXT SEVEN YEARS:

 

KEEP IN MIND THAT THIS WATCH HAS BEEN SET TO LOOK EXACTLY FOR THIS TYPE OF DEPARTURE OF THE EARTH FROM ITS PREVIOUS SPIRALING WOBBLE TRACKS.  THESE MOTIONS DURING THE PAST 90 DAYS CONFIRMS THE THESIS OF VORTEX TECTONICS AND THE DEDUCTION FOR THE PROJECTED AVALANCHE OF THE CRUST WHICH WAS CALCULATED IN THE "RETURN OF THE PHOENIX".

 

(The spiral track takes nearly seven years to define a complete wobble cycle and it takes the entire cycle to be able to calculate the average location of the North Spin Axis in order to compare it against other "average locations" in the previous axis cycles.  From this, a straight line track of the "average locations" can be computed and the acceleration in the rate of motion of the "shift" can be defined I believe at the current time that this will show a specific "jump" this past year, a micro "pole shift".  Very micro.)

 

REFERENCE:

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif

 

 

 

 

 

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth.  No real change during the past year:  a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

 

EXCELLENT UPDATING BACKGROUNDER:

Focus On Our Magnetic Planet

Paris, France (ESA) Jan 25, 2005

http://www.terradaily.com/news/earth-magnetic-05b.html

"Mission controllers cross their fingers whenever the Sun is stormy and their spacecraft have to fly over the South Atlantic. There, even satellites in low orbits suffer many hits by atomic bullets from the Sun.

Troublesome faults occur in electronic systems and astronauts see flashes in their eyes. The Earth's magnetic field, which shields our planet against charged atomic particles coming from outer space, is curiously weak in that region.

The South Atlantic Anomaly, as the experts call it, is one pressing reason why they are intensifying their exploration of the Earth's magnetism. Denmark's Orsted satellite, launched in 1999, is dedicated to magnetic research, whilst Germany's CHAMP mission (2000) measures both magnetism and gravity.

These satellites show that the danger zone for satellites over Brazil and the South Atlantic is growing wider towards the southern Indian Ocean.

The Earth's magnetic field is becoming generally weaker at an astonishing rate. When a French-Danish team compared Orsted's results for 2000 with those from an American satellite, Magsat, 20 years earlier, the decline in the field's strength suggested that it might disappear completely in a thousand years or so.

The experts wonder if our planet is preparing to swap its north and south magnetic poles around, as it has often done before during the Earth's long history.

These and other mysteries about our magnetic planet will get the closer attention they deserve, in ESA's forthcoming Swarm project. Three satellites will work together to measure the magnetic field and its variations far more accurately than ever before. [...]

Separating the different sources of magnetism

Ordinary magnetic compasses obey the main magnetic field, produced by electric currents in the Earth's core of molten iron. But in magnetic storms, compass needles wander.

Since the 19th Century scientists have linked these storms to eruptions on the Sun. Many space ventures, recently including the ESA-NASA SOHO spacecraft and ESA's four-satellite Cluster mission, have helped to clarify the solar connection.

We live in a protective bubble in space called the magnetosphere. At its boundary, gusts in a non-stop solar wind of atomic particles battle with the Earth's magnetism.

As a result, events in outer space make a continual but highly variable contribution to the magnetic field. So do electric currents in the ionosphere, the zone of free electrons and charged air molecules high in the atmosphere that's best known for reflecting radio signals.

Other, much weaker patterns are overlaid on the global picture. In the Earth's crust, many rocks have built-in magnetism that remembers the direction of the main magnetic field when they formed.

This affects the field measured locally. By its subtle east-west comparisons Swarm will picture the magnetic field of the crust with unprecedented clarity. And even ocean water generates electric currents as it move in the main field, so that the ebb and flow of the tides have a slight magnetic effect.

As gauged by the satellites, the main field is roughly 6,000 times stronger than the rock magnetism of the ocean floor, and 30,000 times greater than the influence of the oceanic tides.

Only with delicate measurements by satellite constellations, supported by ground stations, ships and aircraft carrying magnetic instruments, can scientists sort out all the patterns of magnetism from the different sources.

The most careful analyses reveal yet another effect. Magnetic variations drive electric currents in the mantle, the main region between the core and the crust. These in turn cause further magnetic changes, from which scientists can estimate the electrical conductivity of the mantle. This provides a check on the temperature of the material hidden deep in the Earth's interior.

"What excites us is the huge scope of what we can study even with quite small satellites," comments Nils Olsen of the Danish National Space Center in Copenhagen, who analyses Orsted's results while he helps to plan Swarm.

"By making magnetic measurements in space we get new information about the Earth, from the molten core deep under our feet, through the mantle, to the crust on which we live. And then we go on upwards into the upper atmosphere, through the planet's local space environment, and all the way to the Sun itself, which is the source of daily magnetic disturbances."

Practical benefits

Solar storms can be fatal for satellites, and not only on account of radiation damage. The atmosphere inflates and low-orbiting spacecraft run into unexpected air resistance.

Experts used to think it was just a matter of the air being heated by particles and electric currents in the regions around the poles, where auroras occur.

Now a sensitive French-built accelerometer on the German CHAMP satellite has revealed heating by intense currents where the solar wind pushes towards the magnetic poles in daytime. The three Swarm satellites will investigate this new effect with accelerometers of their own.

Swarm's operational lifetime, 2009-13, will coincide with the next expected peak of storminess on the Sun. Immediate practical benefits will centre on Swarm's general monitoring of space weather, and the solar events affecting not just spacecraft and astronauts but technological systems on the ground as well.

Magnetic storms can damage power systems and pipelines, whilst the changes in the magnetic field can mislead any navigational systems that use magnetic compasses. These include compasses operating underground to guide the drills used to find and recover oil.

For scientists, the biggest benefit of Swarm is that high-quality magnetic measurements provide a new way of 'x-raying' the hidden interior of planet. Earthquake waves and variations in the strength of gravity already provide a picture of the hot core, the rocky mantle that surrounds it, and the ever-active crust. But the picture is not yet clear enough for scientists to agree how the internal machinery of the planet really works.

"Magnetic measurements give a fresh point of view on the Earth's interior," says Roger Haagmans, who is responsible for solid-Earth science in ESA's Earth Observation programme.

"And Swarm will also investigate the puzzling changes in the Earth's core that are responsible for the present weakening of the magnetic field. That's already a matter of practical concern for many satellite operators. With a better idea of the reasons, we may know what to expect in the busy decades of spaceflight that we have ahead of us."

 

 

 

 

Asteroids

As of June 04,

NASA’S

ESTIMATE:

"Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs  (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time."

 

 

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted, dates for planetary alignments are derived from Home Planet Software using PC graphics, due to limitations of software and graphics display, actual timing may be off as much as three days, for scientific work, use a professional ephemeris for exact dates).  For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar.  The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal "lunar" influences, etc.  

 

Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure

Every day John Walker’s  (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of  hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows.  Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way.  http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html

 

Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data  - click here to be always up to date

Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html


Daily Solar System – click here to view Planet Alignments

The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets.  Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake.  You can set any date and time.  You should generally ask the form to give you the "equal orbits" view so you can see all the planets.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar

 

FOR AN ALMANAC SYTLE SUMMARY FORECAST OF 2005 ALIGNMENTS, SUNSPOT PEAKS, WEATHER IMPACTS, AND HUMAN MOOD SHIFTS (through to Summer at this point)

AND a general discussion of how all this works and why this is worth doing, click here for the Earth Changes Almanac.

 

TODAY’S MOON

 

We are in Lunation #1016 and we are now 14 days past the New Moon of February 8.   As of February Day 23, the Moon this day is now in its North Node (orbiting North of the Equator).  It is now approximately 400,305 KM from the Earth. It is 99% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase) now waxing toward the Full Moon of February 24.

 

LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR 2005

                     

Event      Day       UTC     Distance   Days +/- Phase

 

Perigee

7-Feb

22:10

358563 km

N-1d 0h

New

8-Feb

22:30

 

 

Apogee

20-Feb

5:00

405805 km

F-3d23h

Full

24-Feb

4:55

 

 

Perigee

8-Mar

3:43

363234 km

N-2d 5h

New

10-Mar

9:13

 

 

Apogee

19-Mar

22:55

404847 km

F-5d22h

Full

25-Mar

21:01

 

 

Perigee

4-Apr

11:11

368490 km

N-4d 9h

New

8-Apr

20:35

 

 

Apogee

16-Apr

18:42

404302 km

F-7d15h

Full

24-Apr

10:09

 

 

Perigee

29-Apr

10:00

369028 km

F+4d23h

New

8-May

8:49

 

 

Apogee

14-May

13:42

404600 km

N+6d 4h

Full

23-May

20:21

 

 

Perigee

26-May

10:44

364240 km

F+2d14h

New

6-Jun

21:58

 

 

Apogee

11-Jun

6:13

405505 km

N+4d 8h

Full

22-Jun

4:16

 

 

Perigee

23-Jun

11:50

359674 km

F+1d 7h

New

6-Jul

12:05

 

 

Apogee

8-Jul

17:40

406362 km

N+2d 5h

Full

21-Jul

11:03

 

 

Perigee

21-Jul

19:46

357159 km

F+   8h

Apogee

4-Aug

21:50

406629 km

N-   5h

New

5-Aug

3:06

 

 

Full

19-Aug

17:55

 

 

Perigee

19-Aug

5:33

357395 km

F-  12h

Apogee

1-Sep

2:36

406209 km

N-2d16h

New

3-Sep

18:46

 

 

Perigee

16-Sep

13:59

360405 km

F-1d12h

Full

18-Sep

2:02

 

 

Apogee

28-Sep

15:21

405306 km

N-4d19h

New

3-Oct

10:28

 

 

Perigee

14-Oct

13:51

365449 km

F-2d22h

Full

17-Oct

12:14

 

 

Apogee

26-Oct

9:36

404492 km

N-6d15h

New

2-Nov

1:24

 

 

Perigee

10-Nov

0:16

370013 km

F-6d 0h

Full

16-Nov

0:57

 

 

Apogee

23-Nov

6:19

404370 km

F+7d 5h

New

1-Dec

15:00

 

 

Perigee

5-Dec

4:33

367364 km

N+3d13h

Full

15-Dec

16:16

 

 

Apogee

21-Dec

2:50

405013 km

F+5d10h

New

31-Dec

3:12

 

 

Full

14-Jan

9:48

 

 

 

SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS

QUALIFER:  As we have seen at least three times this past year, most dramatically with the recent outbreak (Oct 23-26 2004) of large Earthquakes on the West side of Honshu Island (Japan), the Syzygy Window and Perigee principles DO NOT WORK CONSISTENTLY TO FORECAST AN INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE NOR FREQUENCY OF EARTHQUAKES.  Using strictly an intuitive view of the past 12 months, the rate of accuracy is definitely larger than random but probably not larger than about 70% for any given area.

 

THE CURRENT WEEK

 

We are in a Full Moon syzergy not too far from an apogee.  This should be a relatively weak Full Moon syzergy in terms of tectonic activity.

 

 

FOR THE YEAR 2005

 

The strongest syzygies (based on the combination of the Lunar Phase with Perigee) during the first half of the year should tend to be around the New Moon.  The New Moon and Perigee combination was the strongest in January (occurring at virtually the same time on January 10) and the combination gradually gets weaker during the year and is at its lowest during the Summer.

 

The Full Moon is in the weakest syzygy (based on its distance from the Earth) during January and SUCCEEDING FULL MOONS will gradually become stronger, achieving their greatest pull on the Earth in June and July.  (Cancer natives will have a maximum power Lunar whammy this year).  Then it gradually gets weaker during the remainder of the year while the New Moon is slowly gaining again in strength.

 

HOWEVER, VERY IMPORTANT QUALIFICATION:  This characterization of strong and weak syzygies does not necessarily mean you can predict the strength or frequency of earthquake activity by this means…the Earth is inconsistent and full of surprises to keep us all busy.  Outbreaks of seismic activity can and do break out at any time. Large quakes tend to be in the syzygies, but they are not always…

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:

 

Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision.  For details see the Syzygy website  

 

Seismic/Tsunami Heads Up All Zones Pacific Rim of Fire & Indonesia

(ECB, February 9, 2005) There remains a substantial danger of additional major rupturing of the Earth's Crust and the creation of major Tsunami forces during the next 50 days. The 9.0 Great Rupture of Christmas 2004 in the Indo-Trench may be just a precursor to additional major seismic, volcanic, and tsunami activity to occur within the next three to four weeks.

Given the constellation of many material forces and various human impressions, all peoples who live in the Pacific Rim of Fire and along the Australian Plate, especially those on the coasts, should at all times maintain a heightened sense of vigilance

 

MOST ESPECIALLY DURING THE NEXT 40 DAYS.

 

Right now is the time to work through your evacuation plan. It is a useful drill for anytime and it may be needed in somewhere during the next 90 days. If you fall into the target areas outlined above, DO IT NOW.

 

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit).   (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.)  For details see the Syzygy website.

 

THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS

For any "Home Planet Software" charts of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is 7, Neptune is 8, Pluto is 9, and both Planet X and Nibiru are bogus.

 

IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT PLANETARY/SOLAR INFLUENCES:  Solar Cycle 23 is rapidly approaching its minima period when solar activity and sunspot counts will be minimal most of the time.  But even so, major sunspot peaks, big flares, coronal holes, and powerful CME’s will still occur once in a while, as the graphs of previous sunspot cycles definitely show.  These flare-ups will be a lot less predictable than during the past four years, which makes the large flare-ups even more intrusive.

 

LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO JUNE 30, 2005

 

Today's Solar System:  Click Here For Heliocentric Chart of Solar System as of February 17, 2005

 

 

Two alignments are shaping up during the next couple of weeks:

 

Venus | Uranus

Mars | Pluto

 

Venus will go on to align with Uranus on March 7 while Mars aligns in a different quadrant of the solar system with Pluto.  These are likely to produce a milder increase in solar activity than the last alignments involving Mercury.

 

From January through to June 2005,  four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.

 

The Spring Grand Alignment

Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus

 

Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.  The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment

 

March 14, 2005  Mercury | Saturn
Spring Alignments begin in three main spirals
March 21,2005  Mars | Pluto with a spiral forming in
Mercury | Earth | Jupiter and another in Venus | Uranus
March 30, 2005 Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus
form a virtual straight line through the solar system with Mars and Pluto still closely coupled. Observers on Earth will only be able to physically see Jupiter rising on the Eastern horizon just after sunset and Saturn close to the Mid-heavens in the Western half of the sky. In the very early morning Mars and Uranus will be visible.

 

Summer Ping Pong

 

June 7, 2005  Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and
Mars | Neptune.  The timing of these alignments between these planets is not exact, the electromagnetic balances of the solar system will shift in a complex way, probably producing a number of ups and downs in the sunspot count.

 

 

 

 

 

 

STAR & PLANET WATCHING  

For background and the current information on observable planets.

 

NASA REPORTS ON THE NEAREST KNOWN PROBABLE MAJOR ASTEROID ENCOUNTER:  "There's no danger of a collision, but on April 13, 2029, asteroid 2004 MN4 will come awfully close to Earth. You'll be able to see the 300m-wide space rock glowing like a 3rd magnitude star as it passes only 30,000 km above our planet's surface--closer than many satellites. [full story]   That's a mighty big rock and that's mighty close.

 

NASA'S DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time."

 

On 23 Feb 2005 there were 672 known Potentially

Hazardous Asteroids (three more than last month).  For February 2005, NASA has listed three Earth-asteroid encounters ranging from 14 to 15 LD’s away (see below).

 

ASTEROID

DATE (UT)

MISS DISTANCE

MAG.

1998 DV9

Jan. 11

30 LD

15

2004 EW

Feb. 14

23 LD

16

2004 RF84

Feb. 27

23 LD

14

 

Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon.

 

 

 

 

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information.  

To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table.

 

A 7-day movie of the Sun captured Feb. 8th - 15th by the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO).

 

AS OF FEBRUARY DAY 23:

 

AS PREDICTED, THE SUNSPOT COUNT DROPPED AGAIN WAY DOWN to 23 with a declining Solar Flux at 93 on Feburary 22.  But February 23 saw a sudden rise in the sunspot count to 54 even thought the Flux continued dropping to 85.

 

This is probably momentary. Both the Flux and Sunspot Count should continue dropping for a few days but they will likely "twin up" about the first of March for the next alignments on or about March 7.

 

 

Date       Flux  Sunspots  Area

 

2005 02 16  113     61      720    

2005 02 17  111     51      620    

2005 02 18  104     46      590     

2005 02 19   99     51      520     

2005 02 20   96     60      580     

2005 02 21   95     33      560     

2005 02 22   92     23      510     

2005 02 23   85     54      200

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  Solar Cycle 23 is dying quickly but IT CAN AND WILL OCCASSIONALLY PRODUCE SUDDEN STORMY MOMENTS WITH BRIEF MOMENTS OF HIGH SUNSPOT COUNTS, CME’S FLARES, ETC.  "NOW" is the kind of moment when these spritzy solar moods will come.

 

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23
These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad

Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. By November 2004, the count was still abnormally high at 43.7, making the decline of Solar Cycle 23 slow indeed.  But December clearly brought the end of the high sunspot counts. The average dipped down to a low of 17.9, surprising everyone. The predicted average value for January was 27 but the Sun's average sunspot output nearly double December's and rose to 31.3.  February's is expected to be 21 and since there are few compelling planetary alignments during February, this projection may well be very close.

FOR 2005 – 2009

The average count should drop during the next 12 months to a monthly low in the range of 10.  More and more, now and for the next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s atmosphere and weather less and less.  Global Warming and El Nino type of phenomena will be more and more influential compared to the solar input.  The geo-data we gather during the next three years about weather, climate, the Arctic, Antarctic, Drought Regions, etc. will be extremely valuable in telling us what the true long-term geo-trends really are.

NOTE:  The Sun and its cycles are really not very "average" and not very "cyclical" or "regular".  Nowhere can we find any evidence of an exact regularity, only constant variations.  The Sun is and probably always has been a vast cauldron of chaotic storms, electro-magnetic upwellings, and enormous explosions and sudden flares (or CME’s) which can extend out as far as even the outer planets, producing somewhat chaotic impacts on the planets.  All this makes exact predictions of solar activity far beyond the pale of human science, even with first class models of the electromagnetic gradients created by the planets and their orbital relationships.  From this it is easy to infer with considerable experience and conviction, that nothing on Earth can be foreseen, EXACTLY.  Just as some order is inevitable, so is some chaos built directly into the cosmos.

 

 

 

 

 

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated.  (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into).  Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by Iway sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM Arizona Mountain Time (which does not have daylight savings time).

 

 

With the exception of a huge energetic explosion on the Far Side of the Sun, solar activity muted down all week as predicted here last week.  

 

The Solar Wind was slow at: 408.4 km/s this hour while pushing a thick density of 6.7 protons/cm3".   

 

NASA REPORTS:  "A solar wind stream flowing from the indicated coronal hole could reach Earth on or about February 26th."  This could increase the energy in Earth's weather storm fronts.

 

Fluxgate Magnetometer: To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE.  The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) shows a virtual flatline during the past 24 hours (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US).

 

NASA AURORA WATCH:  no comments.

 

NASA PREDICTS:   There is a 1-30% probability of geomagnetic storms, 1%-5% probability on coronal holes, CME’s, and M and/or X Class Flares.

 

NASA REPORTS:  "SOLAR EXPLOSION:  Three days ago something exploded on the sun. We couldn't see the blast from Earth because the blast-site was hidden behind the sun's western limb."

 

A candidly stupid remark on the NASA website space.com: 

 

"Solar farside explosions … have no effect on Earth, but they can interact with other planets. Yesterday's blast was directed more or less toward Mars. One day humans will go to the Red Planet; the colonists be very interested in this kind of solar activity."

 

One would "think" that an astrophycist would learn that EVERYTHING IN THE SOLAR VORTEX IS CONNECTED and influences everything else.

 

Jan Alvestad reports:  " The geomagnetic field was inactive to quiet on February 22. Solar wind speed ranged between 345 and 417 km/sec. The total field of the interplanetary magnetic field was stronger than normal, however, the IMF was mostly northwards all day and no geomagnetic disturbance was observed.  Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 92.3. The planetary A index was 4 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 4.1)...At midnight there were 2 spotted regions on the visible solar disk. The solar flare activity level was very low. No C class events were recorded during the day.

Region 10735 decayed slowly and is rotating over the southwest limb.

Region 10736 was mostly unchanged and rotated partly out of view at the northwest limb...A poorly defined trans equatorial coronal hole (CH147) was in a geoeffective position on February 20-22. "

 

Jan Alvestad predicts:  "A recurrent coronal hole (CH148) in the northern hemisphere will likely rotate to a geoeffective position on February 23-24.  The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to active on February 23-27 due to coronal hole effects."  Alvestad also predicts for the next 24 hours a 20-60% probability of coronal holes, a 0-20% probability of CME’s, and a  0-20%  probability of M and/or X Class Flares.

 

 

 

 

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been watching the weather patterns track the Sunspot Peaks  have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark.  Accordingly, our "sloppycasts" (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.  With the decline in sunspot activity, weather is now more governed by Earth’s geophysics and will be mostly through to about 2010. For geophysical-based reports and predictions – start with Yahoo Weather, or the Weather Channel. Am I resigning from weather forecasts?  Almost. This section will only add commentary on possible weather disturbances when major sunspot peaks form up.  These should be more rare than during the past four years.

 

FOR AN ALMANAC SYTLE SUMMARY FORECAST OF 2005 ALIGNMENTS, SUNSPOT PEAKS, WEATHER IMPACTS, AND HUMAN MOOD SHIFTS (through to Summer at this point) AND a general discussion of how all this works and why this is worth doing, click here for Earth Changes Almanac.

 

THIS REQUIRES MODIFICATION:  AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:  I think the weather patterns pretty much prove up the case of Global Warming and reveal what the essential syndrome is going to be: a major shift in the eco systems of the extreme North and the desert zone latitudes with short intense Winters and Summers and long drawn out often stormy Springs and Falls. 

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS

(Northern Hemisphere) This "sloppycast" is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

AS PREDICTED LAST WEEK:  WE ARE STILL IN AN INBETWEEN PERIOD WHICH WILL BE CHARACTERIZED BY MANY UNPREDICTABLE AND UNSTABLE WEATHER FRONTS.  CONTINUE TO EXPECT 50% PROBABILITY OF NEARLY ANYTHING. 

 

AND HOW!!!  HOW MUCH?  LET ME COUNT THE INCHES OF RAIN IN LOS ANGELES SINCE THE BEGINNING OF JANUARY:  19.

 

Even in places that get a lot of rain, that is a lot of rain!

 

ONCE AGAIN: Jet Stream is still kinky and chaotic.  There is a good chance of just about anything during the next week, freak Spring weather one day, freak snow storm the next. 

 

LAST WEEK WRONG:  it will get more predictable in a few more days.

 

That one was too early.  It is only now that the weather may now settle down and be more in the "rut" of normality.

 

But not for long….Spring planetary alignments and massive storm fronts are waiting in the wings.

 

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR WINTER SEASON

(Northern Hemisphere) This "sloppycast" is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

IT DOESN'T LOOK LIKE A SHORT WINTER AT ALL.

 

AND

 

I AM NOW BEGINNING TO SUSPECT THAT PLANETARY WEATHER MODIFICATION HAS BEEN IN FULL GEAR THE PAST FEW MONTHS, SEE THE BLACK ARTS NATION SECTION BELOW.

 

FOR SPRING:

During the end of March we will have another major round of extreme weather, due to the five planet straight line alignment.  After a mild ending to Winter, the first week of Spring will rapidly turn into a very stormy period of about two weeks of extremely wet weather.  No doubt the high mountains will have another  late round of snow and the skiing season may be extended in many areas.

 

SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS

This "sloppycast" is based on six years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

We got another FOUR inches of rain this past several days in the Sonoran Desert Foothills and we should have more in the next week.  This will make late March and April a riot of wildflowers.

 

ALL THE RIVERS IN THE PACIFIC SOUTHWEST ARE FULL OF….YES, I BELIEVE IT IS ACTUALLY WATERRRRRRRRRRRRRR EVERYWHERE..

 

I HAVE NEVER SEEN WATER ACTUALLY RUNNING IN MOST OF THEM. 

 

THIS ONE IS STILL WORKING:  No change this week.  The forecast below is on track…the grass is growing thicker and taller than ever, the brittlebush is blooming, the Jojoba are setting prodigious numbers of beans for the first time in years.  What a harvest of wild jojoba can be had.

 

The Sonoran Desert Plain will have a long Spring with some occasional light rain getting rarer and rarer until the Summer Monsoon begins. Wild flowers are already blooming all over.   I am not sure at this point what is in store for the Summer Monsoon.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  The past 120 days has clearly broken the drought pattern of the past four years.  You can see it in the plants and the atmosphere everywhere.  It "feels" wet here now even on a sunny day, which it rarely has during the past six years (that I have been here).  Some climatologists are arguing that this is an anomalous wet year for the Pacific Southwest and that the drought will reassert itself next year or the year after.  I am inclined to think that the drought in the Southwest is a product of both the Sunspot Cycle 23 and the Global Warming syndrome.  From this, I suppose that the drought pattern may be somewhat reduced during the next four years during the Sunspot Minima, submerged completely by a lot of rain during El Nino, if it appears, but slowly the drought will reappear during the next climb of sunspot counts during Solar Sunspot Cycle 24.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH
The watch is now open again; Pacific water activity appears mostly normal, we are between the extremes of the ENSO; Click here for the NOAA window on the Pacific Ocean Temperatures:

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif

 

BREAKING NEWS:

Apparently the NOAA animated chart I use is no longer updated weekly, only monthly.

 

I AM SUSPECTING MORE AND MORE STRONGLY THAT ONE OF THE REASONS IS THAT PLANETARY WEATHER MODIFICATION EXPERIMENTS ARE UNDERWAY.  IF THE CHARTS UPDATE ONLY MONTHLY, WEEKLY FLUCTUATIONS ARE CANCELLED OUT.  The short term fluctuations might betray the signature of beam weapons which are altering ocean sea surface temperatures in selected areas.

 

In any event, I can see that NOAA  making it difficult for outsiders to deduce what it happening on the long term weather front.  Maybe it is the abject cheapness of Republican Imperial Domination, maybe it is a conspiracy to keep us ignorant, and maybe it is both.

 

As of January 23, 2005, NO TREND IS APPARENT

El Nino MAY OR MAY NOT OCCUR.  No prediction one way or the other is truly possible at the current moment but if anyone will lay me odds at Vegas, at the moment I will bet on one. 

 

BACKGROUND:

 

The NOAA website for El Nino has gotten fairly well organized and is far more digestible by laypeople. 

Try clicking here to go to the latest NOAA ENSO Home Page.

 

If El Nino does begin to firm up, it will have little impact on the Winter of 2005, but it may begin to impact the Spring and hit heavy and hard during the Summer and Fall months and perhaps deliver a VERY wet and warm Winter for 2006.

 

Or not…only time will tell.  Probably by the end of May we will know for certain.

 

AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY – THE CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005.  Purely in accordance with the X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model,  AN EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN 2005.  But, the El Nino is not like an astrophysical cycle.  There are some "missing" El Nino’s in the record of the 20th century and we may have a missing one.  HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN UNTIL ABOUT APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in which the syndrome has formed up during previous El Nino’s.

 

ADDITIONAL NOTE:  The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS.   Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El Nino year.  So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005.

 

 

 

KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC,  ANTARCTIC, and the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories of the climate shift.

 

 

GLOBAL WARMING

It is becoming obvious that we have a long term real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the latitudes.  This climate shift is creating a growing environmental disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004

 

BREAKING NEWS:

 

For a broad and detailed perspective on Global Warming issues, go to the Earth Changes Almanac.

 

NO CHANGE THIS WEEK

 

 

 

 

 

IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR

 

BREAKING NEWS

 

All conditions muting out.  This muting should continue.  Even the Europeans are muting out their reactions to the Bush Chutzpa, which looks increasingly like one of the strange animals described in the Book of Revelations.

 

FOR THE NEXT PERIOD

 

No change from last week.

 

With the falling count of the average Sunspot Count, more and more people are shifting international discussions to elections, compromises, negotiations, diplomacy, renouncing or ending violence, etc.. all within the context set by the Imperial Faction.

 

It is the next wave and it could take us through to the Fall of 2005.  How the coalition shapes up in Iraq is super critical, this powder keg may still blow up and ignite a greater war but the likelihood is diminishing.  The Shi'a leadership has stuck it out this long, they are likely to rationally push along Iraq's eventual independence, even it takes another year of slowly manipulating the Imperial Faction out.

 

With the death (likely CIA or MOSSAD inspired assassination) of Arafat, the American military machine is knee deep already in taking over the Palestinian government.  A U.S. General has been "appointed" by the PLO to rebuild its "security forces".  It should be obvious where all of that is going….

 

Bush's Democracy is springtime all over the Mid-East and as you have no doubt noticed they are grinning like the Cheshire Cat.

 

STAND PAT  AGAIN THIS WEEK

 

The assessment as of last week, repeated below, is well and good in very general terms for this rapid descent into Sunspot Cycle 23 MIN. 

 

For a general discussion and forecast for the Spring Season, go to:  Earth Changes Almanac

 

 

IN GENERAL FOR  2005-2009 DURING LULLS OF THE SOLAR VORTEX:

 

AS OBSERVED AS OF DECEMBER 30:  As the sunspot counts decline and fail to peak for the planetary alignments, the impact on humans and the biosphere is declining progressively.  Relatively more human activity will tend to be more driven by mental activity and spiritual connectivity than emotional impulses.

 

This is going to be especially true with the four year jag of emotional associations around "patriotism".  During 2005, patriotism and martial ardor will become increasingly  "old" among the young and the marginal.  More and more soldiers will wake up and realize they have been on a "bender" which left them in a literal hellhole.

 

As solar activity ebbs into low activity levels, have you noticed that the polls are increasingly showing that people think the Tragic Invasion of Iraq was in fact A MISTAKE (now some 60%) and that 65% believe Rusted should go.

 

People collectively are losing the ardor of blind emotional commitments which the sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast Media and the agents of Hillbilly Sunday whipped up.  They are waking up to a wicked hangover in bed with a very ugly mess.

 

This shift is palpable and will grow in magnitude and depth.  The Imperial Faction will stall out rapidly during 2005, it is increasingly unlikely that they will have their way in the Middle East.

 

 

 

 

 

EARTHQUAKES

Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger.  Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above.  Unfortunately there are many lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.  Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON INCOMPLETE INFORMATION.  FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I do.  See Syzygy.com

 

World seismic activity this past seven days was dominated by activity on the Northern and Eastern edges of the Australian Tectonic Plate.  Some activity remained in the Nicobar/Andaman/Sumatra Islands area, but the action has predominately shifted to the East.

 

So far both magnitude and frequency of seismic activity is depressed.  Another shoe should fall during the next three days and activity should pick up substantially for at least a day or so.

 

The most active area in the world continued 90 degrees away from the Andaman Islands in the Fiji-Tonga-Loyalty Islands region, with considerable activity to the South in New Zealand and to the West in Papua New Guinea and to the North in Japan. 

 

Another 90 degrees away, substantial activity continued in the area of Ecuador-Columbia-Costa Rica, with activity along the Andes Mountains and up into Mexico and Baja.  In general the Carib plate continued a heightened level of activity and this is likely to continue. 

 

Eight modest sized shape-shifters struck in the Great Rift, two in the Atlantic Polar Zone, one in the Atlantic-Antarctic Zone, one in the East Pacific Rise, AND

 

FOUR STRUCK IN VIRTUALLY A STRAIGHT LINE IN DATE SEQUENCE THROUGH THE INDIAN OCEAN (MID OCEAN RIFT) FROM THE EQUATOR UP THROUGH TO EAST OF THE HORN OF AFRICA

 

THEN CULMINATING IN THE 6.4 QUAKE IN EASTERN IRAN (PLUS TWO AFTERSHOCKS).

 

PREDICTORS TAKE NOTE.

 

I do believe from the 17th of February through to the 22nd of February the shape of the Earth "rippled" up a Longitude East 58-68 belt, such that the Earth spread out along the line to the East and the West in a wave pattern which began just to the South of the Equator and ended near (relatively speaking) the junction of the Indian Ocean Plate and Eurasia.

 

THIS IS EXACTLY THE PATTERN, THOUGH WITH MUCH MORE ACTIVITY, WHICH I PREDICTED IN THE "RETURN OF THE PHOENIX" WILL ACCOMPANY THE MOVEMENT OF THE EARTH'S CRUST AS IT BEGINS TO FLEX AND EXPAND TO MOVE ACROSS THE EQUATOR.  I PREDICTED MANY MOONS OF SUCH LONGITUDINAL FLEXING AROUND THE GLOBE IN MANY PLACES, IN MUCH HIGHER MAGNITUDES OF ACTIVITY,  ESPECIALLY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FULL MOON SYZYGY, BEFORE THE AVALANCHE OF THE CRUST WILL BEGIN.

 

The spreading Indian Ocean seven quake shape-shifter (including the quakes in Iran) this week may be a precursor to the patterns and greater activity to come in the following years.

 

THIS WEEK VIRTUALLY REPEATED LAST WEEK IN THE CARIB PLACE.  The Carib Plate remained a tectonic hotspot, sporting quakes on its Western and Southern edges while at least six volcanoes on it huffed and puffed intermittently. Quakes struck in several locations.

 

Quake activity in North America was down substantially in most areas except the total number was about the same as last week mainly due to increased activity in Alaska and around St Helens. St. Helens activity has been steadily rising for the past four weeks, clearly portending a major eruption. The same could occur on the Alaskan Peninsula at Veniaminoff.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:  Quite clearly the Earth is rapidly adjusting its shape in response to the phase-shifting of the Chandler Wobble and the sudden rupturing of the Indo-Trench.  The equatorial zone is still in process of adjusting the shape of the Earth along Sumatra and at the opposite side at the coast of Equator, which is also on the Equator.  This has stimulated adjustment in shape and acceleration of both seismic and volcanic activity from Ecuador to as far North as Colima and Popo.

 

With the flexing once again of the Great Rift in multiple locations, the shape shifting is probably broadening out to slowly adjust more of the overall shape of the Earth.  This has stimulated a focal point of activity in both the Fiji Islands and a sudden increase during the past few days of volcanic activity in Stromboli and Etna.  This gives us four points on the Earth which are separated by 90 degrees each.

 

A period of accelerated tectonic activity will likely continue for the remainder of this year.  This shape-shifting process is by no means over.  The phase-shifting process in the wobble is not over and will require additional adjustments in the shape of the earth.  And, more probable than not, the earth is only beginning to respond to the large amount of change related to the indo-trench area. 

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:   I AM STILL VERY CONCERNED THAT THE EARTH IS "COCKING THE TRIGGER" THIS YEAR FOR MAJOR TECTONIC ACTIVITY WHICH WILL BREAK OUT IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND IGNITE EL POPO IN A CATASTROPHIC ERUPTION.  THIS HAS BEEN PREDICTED IN A COSTRA NOSTRA DAMUS PREDICTION AND RECENTLY I HAVE DISCOVERED THAT IT WAS ALSO MOST LIKELY PREDICTED DIRECTLY BY THE WORLD FAMOUS MICHEL DE NOSTREDAME.

 

COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR SOUTH CAL.

 

SUPER ALERT FOR THIS WATCH!!!

As witnessed by the Indo-Trench Rupture and the aberrant motions of the Earth’s crust, global tectonic motions in the Earth are unstable and obviously are tending to exceptionally explosive releases in the trenches of tectonic collision and in the spreading Great Rift zones.

 

The Western ledge of the Carib Plate is 180 degrees from the 9.3 quake in the Indo-Trench.  Accordingly, the Carib Plate may also release its "shape-shifting" stress during one of the upcoming Lunar syzygies this year.  This release could come in the form of major volcanism and major Earthquakes which breaks out first in Central America and then presses the Baja Plate enough to ignite the pattern of earth quakes which are described in the Costa Nostra Damus psychic prediction. We are watching for signals of this possibility very carefully because it will mean life or death for millions of people in Mexico City.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a major destructive quake could now strike at any time in Santa Barbara, Santa Monica, Hollywood, the Van Nuys Valley region, Bakersfield, and anywhere along the escarpment of the San Bernardino Mountains. This will be a follow up to the 4.9 quake which was felt in Coos Bay Oregon during July 2004.  If a quake occurs near Santa Barbara, warnings will need to be given to Mexico City about the possibility of a major explosive event in Popo.

 

SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH

 

No reports to add this week

 

SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH

The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.)  For additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the Earth, go to Plate Tectonics Map

 

Four shape-shifters last week,  8 this week, all of modest size ranging from 4.9 to 5.6.  Two modest quakes struck in the high Arctic Rise, one in the East Pacific Rise, one in the South Mid-Atlantic Rise along the junction with Antarctica, and four struck in the Mid-Indian Ocean Rise. 

 

Magnitude 4.3 NORTH OF SVALBARD

Thursday, February 17, 2005 at 20:34:13 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_uqcd.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        82.82N 6.71W

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          NORTH OF SVALBARD

Reference     205 km (130 miles) NE of Nord, Greenland

765 km (475 miles) ENE of Alert, Nunavut, Canada

1590 km (990 miles) NNW of Tromso, Norway

2385 km (1480 miles) NNE of NUUK (GODTHAB), Greenland

 

 

Magnitude 4.3 REYKJANES RIDGE

Sunday, February 20, 2005 at 20:28:38 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_utbh.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        59.60N 30.36W

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          REYKJANES RIDGE

Reference     670 km (420 miles) SW of REYKJAVIK, Iceland

740 km (460 miles) WSW of Vik, Iceland

765 km (475 miles) SSE of Tasiilaq (Angmagssalik), Greenland

1230 km (760 miles) ESE of NUUK (GODTHAB), Greenland

 

 

Magnitude 5.6 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

Thursday, February 17, 2005 at 01:19:16 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_uqac.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        56.12S 27.44W

Depth            102.7 kilometers

Region          SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

Reference     70 km (40 miles) N of Visokoi Island, South Sandwich Islands

325 km (205 miles) N of Bristol Island, South Sandwich Islands

610 km (380 miles) ESE of Grytviken, South Georgia

3375 km (2090 miles) SE of BUENOS AIRES, Argentina

 

Magnitude 4.8 CARLSBERG RIDGE

Thursday, February 17, 2005 at 12:29:55 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_uqck.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        2.46S 68.57E

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          CARLSBERG RIDGE

Reference     685 km (425 miles) NW of Diego Garcia, Chagos Archipelago

915 km (570 miles) SW of MALE, Maldives

1620 km (1010 miles) SW of COLOMBO, Sri Lanka

 

Magnitude 5.0 CARLSBERG RIDGE

Sunday, February 20, 2005 at 13:41:04 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_utap.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        2.35S 68.54E

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          CARLSBERG RIDGE

Reference     700 km (435 miles) NW of Diego Garcia, Chagos Archipelago

900 km (560 miles) SW of MALE, Maldives

1620 km (1010 miles) SW of COLOMBO, Sri Lanka

Location Quality         Error estimate: horizontal +/- 11.9 km; depth +/- 0.0 km

 

OBSERVE HOW THE SHAPE SHIFTER QUAKE ACTIVITY MOVES UP FROM THIS POINT ALONG A 10 DEGREE BELT OF LONGITUDE TOWARDS IRAN AND THEN ENDS IN THE 6.4 QUAKE (AND TWO OTHERS) WHICH STRUCK IN THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE COUNTRY.

 

Magnitude 4.4 OWEN FRACTURE ZONE REGION

Thursday, February 17, 2005 at 19:47:40 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_uqcf.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        12.81N 58.08E

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          OWEN FRACTURE ZONE REGION

Reference     500 km (310 miles) E of Qalansiyah, Socotra Island, Yemen

635 km (395 miles) SE of Salalah, Oman

760 km (470 miles) S of Sayy, Oman

1515 km (940 miles) E of SANA, Yemen

 

Magnitude 4.6 WEST OF MACQUARIE ISLAND

Saturday, February 19, 2005 at 11:41:04 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_usb1.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        52.85S 141.20E

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          WEST OF MACQUARIE ISLAND

Reference     1200 km (740 miles) SSW of HOBART, Tasmania, Australia

1695 km (1050 miles) S of MELBOURNE, Victoria, Australi

 

Magnitude 4.9 CHAGOS ARCHIPELAGO REGION

Saturday, February 19, 2005 at 18:53:59 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_usca.html

Location        6.47S 68.39E

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          CHAGOS ARCHIPELAGO REGION

Reference     455 km (285 miles) WNW of Diego Garcia, Chagos Archipelago

1950 km (1210 miles) SW of COLOMBO, Sri Lanka

 

Magnitude 4.9 CHAGOS ARCHIPELAGO REGION

Saturday, February 19, 2005 at 22:00:38 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_usb5.html

Location        6.55S 68.58E

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          CHAGOS ARCHIPELAGO REGION

Reference     435 km (270 miles) WNW of Diego Garcia, Chagos Archipelago

1950 km (1210 miles) SW of COLOMBO, Sri Lanka

 

WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES

 

Then this quake struck in Iran in the same Longitude belt (within 10 degrees).

 

Magnitude 6.4 - CENTRAL IRAN

2005 February 22 02:25:22 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2005/usuvae/

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

 

A strong earthquake occurred at 02:25:22 (UTC) on Tuesday, February 22, 2005. The magnitude 6.4 event has been located in CENTRAL IRAN. (This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.)

 

Location        30.727°N, 56.821°E

Depth            14 km (8.7 miles) set by location program

Region          CENTRAL IRAN

Distances     

55 km (35 miles) NNW of Kerman, Iran

180 km (110 miles) NE of Sirjan, Iran

260 km (165 miles) ESE of Yazd, Iran

745 km (460 miles) SE of TEHRAN, Iran

 

A long way around the world this quake struck in the middle of Baja California….large enough to wonder what more is coming.  Is the increased activity in the Carib plate now beginning to increase the pressure of movement in the Baja Tectonic Plate?

 

Magnitude 5.5 GULF OF CALIFORNIA

Tuesday, February 22, 2005 at 19:15:51 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_uva5.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        25.82N 109.90W

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          GULF OF CALIFORNIA

Reference     95 km (60 miles) W of Los Mochis, Sinaloa, Mexico

145 km (90 miles) SSW of Navojoa, Sonora, Mexico

145 km (90 miles) E of Loreto, Baja California Sur, Mexico

1305 km (810 miles) NW of MEXICO CITY, D.F., Mexico

 

 

NORTH AMERICAN WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitudeAny numbers used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect what will eventually appear in scientific databases. IMPORTANT NOTE: Most volcano monitoring sites appear to be screening out microquakes. A study needs to be done to establish how to reconcile various lists and databases because of this practice.  The numbers below cannot be considered to be definitive totals and subtotals.  We use them merely to observe relative fluctuations from week to week.

 

Seismic activity in North America overall for quakes in the range of 1.0 and over was down slightly from the preceding week.  Activity obviously does not yet reflect the Full Moon syzergy.  Most activity was basically random but the activity was even more concentrated in Alaska and around St. Helens.

 

US & ALASKA & ISLANDS  ---703

DOWN from  755 the prior week;

 

BIG ISLAND HAWAII (not including microswarms) --- 14

down from 22 during the prior week - these do not include the microquakes under Mauna Loa;

 

CALIFORNIANEVADA  ---  292

down from 299 last week, widely scattered in California and Nevada;

 

LONG VALLEY - MONO LAKE REGION – 41

up from 22 last week – widely scattered

 

Utah -- 27

 

PNW --- 390

up from 348 last week; widely scattered but dominated 90% by St. Helens activity –371 mostly for St. Helens, up for the third week in a row;

 

NE Cal - East of Klamath Falls, Oregon --- 0

Baker -- 0

Tahoma (Rainer) – 0

Hood – 0

 

YELLOWSTONE WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude.  For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE.

 

YELLOWSTONE  -- 22 widely scattered

up from 8 last week

 

 

 

 

 

 

VOLCANOES

Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre.  Or see "Breaking Volcano Eruption News".

 

As predicted here last year volcanic activity is still picking up and more probable than not will continue building up on through June of 2005, when once again it will begin to taper off.

 

OBSERVABLE WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY HAS DEFINITELY CONTINUED AT LAST WEEK'S PACE AND

 

ONCE AGAIN

 

INCREASED THIS PAST SEVEN DAYS by a factor of 3–5%.

 

The number of active volcanoes increased from 23 to 28 in just the past fourteen days.   Once again, more and more intermittent "smokers" are flaring on and off in ash plumes and lava flows, led again as nearly always by the lava flows of Kilauea and the ash emissions of Etna. 

 

New lava flows were spotted this week flowing out of Etna. 

 

El Popo activity suddenly flared up from 16 emissions last Wednesday to 46 during the past 24 hours.

 

AS LAST WEEK:  Ash and steam emissions are continuing all around the Pacific Rim.  Two volcanoes in Ecuador, three in Guatemala, Nicaragua, two in Mexico, four on the Kamchatka Peninsula, Papua New Guinea, the Philippines, the Marianas, and the Japanese Islands continued their activity this past few days.

 

AS LAST WEEK:  Saint Helens is sedate but now accelerating the building of a dome and at least four look-alike volcanoes on the Kamchatka have begun emitting ash and stream and minor explosions.  Alaska's Veniaminoff is also stirring more strongly.  More and more with each passing week, these

Pacific Rim Northern Arc volcanoes seemed destined to flare up and erupt vigorously during the next 150 days. 

 

Major eruptions may occur in the deep South as well.  AS QUOTED FROM SWVC:  "As of the 11th of February, the Mt. Erebus Volcano Observatory (MEVO) reports

http://www.swvrc.org/cerupt.htm

that there has never been an eruption, or set of eruptions like this in the recorded history of Mt. Erebus. On February 7th from 5am UTC to 11am UTC there were 31 documented eruptions. All of the events had very clear Infrasound signals, however many of them were relatively small. The larger events had very clear Infrared signals (most predominantly at RAY). The eruptive swarm peaked from 0700 UTC to 0800 UTC.

Mt. Erebus (3794 meters above sea level) is classified as a polygenetic stratovolcano. The composition of the current eruptive activity on Mt. Erebus is anorthoclase-phyric tephriphonolite and phonolite, which constitute the bulk of exposed lava flow on the volcano. The oldest eruptive products from Mt. Erebus consist of relatively undifferentiated and non-viscous basanitic lavas that form the low, broad platform shield of the Erebus edifice. Slightly younger basanites and phonotephrite lavas crop out on Fang Ridge, an eroded remnant of an early Erebus volcano and at other isolated locations on the flanks of the Mt. Erebus edifice.

Mt. Erebus located on Ross Island, Antarctica is the world’s southern-most active volcano. Discovered in 1841 by James Ross, it is one of only a very few volcanoes in the world with a long-lived (decades or more) lava lake. Scientific research, sponsored by the U.S. National Science Foundation (NSF) since began the early 1970’s had included basic study of the petrology and geophysics of the volcano, the eruptive history, activity and degassing behavior of the lava lake, and the overall impact of the volcano on the Antarctica and global environment. Research on Mt. Erebus has been primarily conducted by scientists in the Department of Earth and Environmental Science and the Bureau of Geology and Mineral resources at the New Mexico Institute of Technology.

The Current Color Code for Mt. Erebus is ORANGE. The Mt. Erebus volcano in Antarctica was successfully forecasted by SWVRC's programme ERUPTION Pro 10.5 to erupt in 2005 with 100% probability."

WHAT TO EXPECT FROM THIS POINT:  Anything on the Carib Plate (East, West, North, or South) is in danger of major tectonic activity during the next 90 days, especially around the Perigeen New Moons.  To this list I would add the Northern Arc of the Pacific Rim of Fire, especially on Kamchatka, Alaska, and St. Helens.

 

AND THEN THERE IS EREBUS.  It appears likely to sustain a major eruption this year.

 

SAINT HELENS VOLCANO UPDATES

Text in this section is a condensation of direct quotes from online source:

CURRENT UPDATE supplied by the U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington; U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington

Wednesday, February 23, 2005 10:30 a.m. PST (1830 UTC)

MOUNT ST. HELENS UPDATE

Current status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level 2); aviation color code ORANGE

Growth of the new lava dome inside the crater of Mount St. Helens continues, accompanied by low rates of seismicity, low emissions of steam and volcanic gases, and minor production of ash. During such eruptions, episodic changes in the level of activity can occur over days to months. The eruption could also intensify suddenly or with little warning and produce explosions that cause hazardous conditions within several miles of the crater and farther downwind. Small lahars could suddenly descend the Toutle River if triggered by heavy rain or by interaction of hot rocks with snow and ice. These lahars pose a negligible hazard below the Sediment Retention Structure (SRS) but could pose a hazard along the river channel upstream.

Potential ash hazards: Wind forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), coupled with eruption models, show that any ash clouds that rise above the crater rim today would drift westward.

Potential ash hazards to aviation: Under current eruptive conditions, any ash clouds produced are unlikely to exceed 15,000 feet in altitude. Ashfall from such events rarely reaches more than 20 miles downwind. If the lava dome continues to grow over the next several months, it will become able to produce larger ash clouds that reach higher altitudes and extend farther downwind.

Recent observations: A scar on the west side of the lava dome roughly 100 m long and 50 m high marks the source of the large rockfall event at 3 a.m. yesterday morning. Several slabs of similar dimension are separating from the dome along widening cracks and will likely be sources of future such events. The deposit from the rockfall forms an apron of large blocks at the northwest base of the dome. Yesterday field crews also dredged several samples from the surface of the lava dome using a helicopter. Photographs will be posted on our web site later this morning.

For additional information, background, images, and other graphics: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html

For seismic information: http://www.pnsn.org/HELENS/welcome.html

For a definition of alert levels: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html

Telephone recordings with the latest update on Mount St. Helens and phone contacts for additional information can be heard by calling: Media (360) 891-5180 General public (360) 891-5202

OTHER CASCADE VOLCANOES as of February Day 23 2005
Same source as above.

"All other volcanoes in the Cascade Range are all at normal levels of background seismicity. These include Mount Baker, Glacier Peak, Mount Rainier, and Mount Adams in Washington State; Mount Hood, Mount Jefferson, Three Sisters, Newberry, and Crater Lake, in Oregon; and Medicine Lake, Mount Shasta, and Lassen Peak in northern California."

LATEST FORECAST FOR SAINT HELENS BY EC BULLETIN:   

Feb-16 2005:  The three active eruptions (still small) on Kamchatka Peninsula and the steady increase in seismic activity around St. Helens most likely means that this prediction below is on track for major activity during the next four months:

Feb-2 2005:  THE INCREASE IN ACTIVITY THIS PAST SEVERAL DAYS ON THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA IS LIKELY AN OMEN FOR INCREASED ACTIVITY IN ST. HELENS.  I EXPECT VIGOROUS ERUPTIONS ON BOTH SIDES OF THE PACIFIC SOMETIME THIS NEXT FIVE MONTHS.

Look for the next increase in eruptive behavior in St. Helens to occur in tandem with an increase in activity on Kamchatka Peninsula and/or in Alaska.  Activity among these volcanoes will progressively increase and reach a peak in the period of May – July.

AS OBSERVED LAST MONTH:  At least three of the active volcanoes on Kamchatka Peninsula are behaving in many ways very similar to St. Helens.  Perhaps we shall see these four volcanoes, which are in the Northern Arc of the Pacific Rim of Fire, flare up virtually simultaneously.

AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY: Colima may be the closest "model" for how St. Helens may behave during the next few years.  Both may erupt off and on with lava flows, as Colima does now from week to week, or with occasional ash plumes, then slowly stewing for weeks and months on end while merely steaming like nearly two dozen other volcanoes around the world, steaming until the next eruptive episode of ash and lava, which may last from a few days to several months.  More probable than not, St. Helens will have sudden flare-offs and a few major ash plumes during the next year, but no major, explosive eruption which comes even close to its 1980 eruption.  It will continue to sporadically emit steam and ash like Colima and Popo for the next few years.  How much and how vigorously remains unpredictable.

 

Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of February Day 23 2004: (SWVC does it annual database cleaning and new predictions at the beginning of the year, accordingly its numbers in early January "break" sequence with the last numbers in December).

 

8 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment) (same as last week)

 

37 alert list – up from 36 last week (alert list are volcanoes with pre-cursor activities suggesting that activity may begin)

 

28 on active list (seismic, gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (up from 27 a week ago)

 

THERE HAS BEEN A MAJOR INCREASE IN EL POPO'S EMISSIONS THIS WEEK, THE BIGGEST IN AT LEAST A YEAR:

 

Popo gave a 46 puff day yesterday.  Centrapred reports for February Day 23 (17:00 GMT) that "In the last 24 hours, the system of monitored of Popocatépetl volcano registered 46 exhalations of low intensity accompanied by steam, gas and some of them with small amounts of ash. The most important one occurred today, at 07:30h.  (see image).The other monitored parameters remain without important changes.  At the moment of this report we can not see the volcano, however, this morning we could see with steam and gas emissions…In an aerial photograph taken on January 14th by Ing. Roberto Quaas Weppen(CENAPRED) , subsidence is observed in the inner crater; an external lava dome at the bottom of the crater cannot be distinguished."

 

HIGHLY INTERESTING NEW PLATE TECTONICS RESOURCE:

 

Digital World Tectonic Activity Map (DTAM) -  visualization tool that presents an actual representational view of global tectonics; created using current global datasets of seismicity, volcanism, and plate motions.

 

MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK

from Volcano Breaking News by Volcanologist John Seach

Volcano Travel:  john@volcanolive.com

Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian Time (UT + 10 hr)

Papua New Guinea Earthquake (Magnitude 6.0)
Thursday 24th February 2005
A large earthquake hit New Britain Island in Papua New Guinea on Wednesday, February 23 at 09:33 PM local time. The earthquake epicenter was located offshore from southern New Britain at a depth of 52 km. This is about 60 km south of Pago volcano. Pago volcano last erupted in 2002 when 12,000 people were forced to evacuate.
Location map...
More on Pago Volcano...
Volcanoes of Papua New Guinea...

Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion)
21.22 S, 55.71 E, summit elevation 2631 m, shield volcano
Wednesday 23rd February 2005
Eruption of Piton de la Fournaise volcano February 2005. 
4th Feb - Increase in seismic activity to10 to 50 per hour.
17th Feb 1300 hr - Seismic crisis with 100 earthquakes in 2 hours.
17th Feb 1738 hr - Amplified seismic crisis - hundreds of earthquakes per hour.
17th Feb 2035 hr - Eruption on the northwestern flank of the volcano.
18th Feb - Very hot lava flowed quickly down the volcano slope, reaching 6km in 24 hours.
19th Feb - Slow down of lava flow due to less steep terrain.
21st Feb - End of eruption.
22nd Feb - Very weak volcanic tremor indicates the eruption has not totally finished.
More on Piton de la Founrainse volcano...

Kliuchevskoi Volcano (Russia)
56.06 N, 160.64 E, summit elevation 4835 m, stratovolcano
Monday 21st February 2005
Lava has flowed down the slope of Kliuchevskoi volcano, melting a large section of the Ehrman glacier. A 2.5 km lava flow moved down the north east slope. The Ehrman glacier reaches a depth of 300 meters in some places. Mud flows may rush down the volcano's slopes, now that the ice is melting. Ash emissions from  Kliuchevskoi volcano, as well asf from neighboring Shiveluch volcano, may threaten aircraft. Kliuchevskoi, which is the highest Eurasian volcano, began to erupt January 17. A bright lava glow can be seen above the crater at night. Volcanic bombs are being ejected 300 to 500 meters above the crater. 
More on Kliuchevskoi volcano...
Location Map...

Mt Etna Volcano (Italy)
37.73 N, 15.00 E, summit elevation  3350 m, Shield volcano
Saturday 19th February 2005
New emissions are visible at Mt Etna volcano in Italy. A new lava flow has occurred at 2620 m elevation in the direction of Monti Centenari, and black ash is emitting from SE crater. The eruption has been accompanied by seismic activity. The lava flow is not threatening settlements. The last large eruption of Etna happened in 2001.
More on Mt Etna volcano...

Kilauea Volcano (Hawaii)
19.425 N, 155.292 W, summit elevation 1222 m, Shield volcano
Saturday 19th February 2005
Lava continues to flow into the sea at Kilauea volcano in Hawaii.  The west branch of PKK lava flow is reaching the sea at West Highcastle lava delta. The West Highcastle ocean entry is about 1.6 miles from the end of Chain of Craters Road, drawing a daily crowd of approximately 1,500. During the peak sunset viewing period, more than 150 cars are parked along the road. The second ocean entry is at Ka`ili`ili, about 1 km west of Waha`ula, which is about five miles from the end of the road. The West Highcastle lava flow was the most active on Friday. Some hazards for lava watchers are high temperatures in the high 80s (F) and low 90s,  toxic fumes, unstable ground and the potential for the collapse of newly created coastline. The source of the lava flows is Pu'u 'O'o crater, which is in an inaccessible area of the mountain. Pu'u 'O'o crater has been splattering lava into the air over the past few days from five vents. On February 10 there was a lava flow inside the crater from East Pond vent. This is the first intra crater lava flow at  Pu'u 'O'o for 6 months. Kilauea has been erupting continuously since Jan. 3, 1983. 
More on Kilauea volcano...
Volcanoes of Hawaii...

Rabaul Volcano (Papua New Guinea)
4.271 S, 152.203 E, summit elevation 688 m, Caldera
Friday 18th February 2005
Rabaul volcano is in continuous mild eruption. Ash emissions are reaching 7000 ft elevation. Stronger eruptions are possible, but Rabaul Volcano Observatory states eruptions are not threatening populations.
More on Rabaul volcano...
Location Map...

Egon Volcano ( Indonesia)
8.67 S, 122.45 E, summit elevation 1703 m, stratovolcano
Friday 18th February 2005
Hundreds of residents have been evacuated from two subdistricts surrounding Mt Egon volcano. The residents will live in temporary shelters until the volcanic activity decreases. The volcano burst into activity last year. This was the first confirmed eruption from the volcano.
More on Egon Volcano...

 

 

 

 

Standing Assessment:  Likely, it is fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical, moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. 

 

 

BLACK ARTS NATION

 

 

Weather Modification:  Many psychics have predicted it.  Many scientists are reporting details on aspects of it. BUT THE WEATHER ITSELF MAY BE THE FINAL WITNESS.  What ever is happening with the Wacky Weather over North America this Winter, I am now hostile to the idea that it is either induced by the Sunspot Cycle or by Global Warming.  Things are

 

too too…

 

too kinky…

 

too extreme…

 

I have been trying for the past few years to connect as much phenomenon as possible into the cycles of the vast solar vortex.  That sure did work well during the peak of Sunspot Cycle 23 and it will again during the next peak.  But right now, as we descend into the Solar Minima, something else is must be happening.  Anybody heard from The Shadow lately?  We need "detectives" to track this "something else" down.

 

 

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  The Iway and the bookstores are awash with the outings of the Black Arts Nation.

 

BUT THERE IS NO CHANGE THIS WEEK IN ACTION WHICH IS AIMED AT DEALING WITH IT

 

Have we passed the point of no return?  Should we just admit to ourselves that the Junta won and we live in a seedy third-rate banana republic which is devolving rapidly into the autocracy of nowhereville?

 

Riddle this one!  Can you answer it?

 

It looks like civilized people are being taken collectively to the cleaners and once again their noses are being rubbed in the realization that after all, this is NOT a civilization, it is a masquerade.

 

So far the scandals are being kept in the closets of Washington DC.  Like Votescam 2004, the clear evidence of a military intelligence corps which is out of control and half off its rockers should be big news, not to mention the growing international interest in pulling down Rumsfeld with indictments to eat his own words.

 

But very little is manifesting in actual dynamics of change.

 

Except this:  through the Iway the web of connections is being spun in greater and greater detail, in better and better fidelity and precision.  It is ONLY through the Iway that the web of corruption is going to be fully spun. I think it is well worth the spinning, eventually events will conspire to bring Humpty Dumpty into question.  If their wicked web has been reasonably spun out into completion, suddenly it will have the strength of a rope, with the power to hang Humpty Dumpty, or pull him down from the Wall.

 

BUT AS OBSERVED LAST YEAR.  The auguries are not clear to me this past two weeks on how any of this is going, or even if any of this IS going anywhere during the next several months.  If none of this goes anywhere, take it as a given, take it as a fact, that all is lost on the Republic and we have passed into in the deep twilight zone of a Fascist nightmare for which there may not be any electoral remedy…at least not while we are mired within the deep sorcery which the  Mass Broadcast Media now casts in greater depth all around us.  It is as if after the elections they turned up the volume of manipulation by at least a half turn of the knob.

 

Despite impeccable scientific reasoning, high caliber informed observers and investigators, the story of the stolen elections simply will not be told in America through the corporatized media.  By their acts, said the good saint, ye shall know them.  Doubtless, we are in very deep doodoo and, with few exceptions, the only things allowed on TV are a bunch of chickens clucking through the mire.

 

 

 

 

 

ECONOMY WATCH 

 

NO CHANGE THIS WEEK OF FEBRUARY 23 2005

 

ALL SIGNALS MIXED, THE ECONOMY IS "WOBBLING" WITH VERY LITTLE "GOOD NEWS" OR HOPES. As throughout most of 2004, there are still no signs of a general recovery of the classic 20th century kind.  MOST COMMENTARY AND EXPECTATIONS ARE PESSIMISTIC FOR 2005.  The most optimistic projections appear to be in the nature of "holding" firm with small improvements.  The worst expectations are dire indeed.

 

I predict that most of the expectations will turn sour after May or June.  I also predict that they will become more and more morose as the economy begins to show a rapid movement into recession during the later part of the year and then clearly moves into depression in 2006.

 

STAGFLATION IS BUILDING MOMENTUM FOR A CONSIDERABLE RISE DURING 2005. 

 

COMMODITY PRICES WILL CLIMB RAPIDLY DURING 2005 TO CATCH UP WITH THE HUGE INCREASE IN ENERGY COSTS (UP SOME 30% THIS YEAR).  This will generate a pernicious inflation in NORTH AMERICA.

 

The economy will never regain any sense of confidence in government efforts to build the basis for more solid growth.  The Bush administration will continue to lose credibility, will come under severe legal pressure from wide ranging indictments, perhaps even impeachment proceedings (long overdue), and this gathering loss of political confidence will destroy corporate confidence.

 

This loss of confidence may be experienced first in Europe and Japan, even China, which may bring the recessionary pressures home to the U.S. with a rapid decline in demand for American products and a shrinking profit base for American companies overseas.

 

AS OBSERVED IN DECEMBER:  With the re-election of George Bush a completely new scenario for the next two years is needed. It is this:  the main driving force of the economy will transition fully into an Imperial economy.  It will be based on major militarization of the U.S. to AMP up Empire Building for general export.  We may be as in Germany as in approximately 1934-6.  During the 1930’s, while much of the world was mired in a deep depression, Germany, Italy, and Japan under the Fascists (Corporate National Plutocracy) prospered in a wave of tremendous prosperity for their workers.  The Fascists terminated all external debt to the international banks and recycled their currencies highly astutely without the need to finance debt.  That is why Hitler, Mussolini, and the Japanese Militarists were so fervently supported.

 

A massive empire building drive to export "Order" over the greater portion of the world’s petroleum reserves will shore up the value of the petro dollar quite nicely and preserve its hegemony well through the "peak oil" period.  Huge expenditures on armaments should provide a continuing stimulus of the North American economy, enough to at least keep it gimping along while the Empire is consolidated.

 

The eventual eclipse of well oil poses no long term problem.  Only naïve analysts are worried.  Once oil supply is seriously declining and oil prices can be maintained above $80/barrel, some people in the oil industry, including David Rockefeller, understand the means of "growing" your own.  They have held the secrets of this for some 23 years.

 

THE ONLY BUMP ON THE ROAD TO THE IMPERIAL ECONOMY is "global warming".  This is bringing people into other solutions than the use of oil.  Is this not a course of development the cabals of great wealth in America must resist as strongly as they can?  If this is correct, we would expect that a great political struggle will be waged on both sides of this global warming issue.  We should expect to see that the Republicrats will resist encouraging a replacement for oil to the very bitter end.  Without dominance over oil, their feudalized world will dissolve away from them.

 

 

 

GENERAL PREDICTION DJI AVERAGES

 

THIS WEEK

Oil prices rose suddenly today at least 5% and the dollar slimmed down some more while the DOW dropped a couple hundred points from last week. See the relationship.

 

ONE WEEK AGO

Oil prices firmed and rose slightly and the dollar slimmed down very slightly while the DOW rose a little. See the relationship.

 

TWO WEEKS AGO

Oil prices sagged and the dollar rose while the DOW stood firm and slightly higher. See the relationship.

 

THREE  WEEKS AGO

Fed signals slightly higher interest rates while Oil held near constant and Stocks and Dollar all firmed up higher.  See the relationship.

 

The DJI finished February Day 23 at 10,673.79 ABOUT THE SAME AS TWO WEEKS AGO, TEETERTOTTER, DOWN about $160 from 10,834.881 a week ago,

 

WHILE ALAN GREENSPAN DELIVERED ANOTHER SPOONFUL OF HIS USUAL LITANY OF GLOBALIST DISINFORMATION.

 

DON’T PLAN ON ANYTHING HIGHER THIS YEAR BUT THIS PREDICTION IS STILL GOOD:  AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  "Propredictions" predicts a soft DJI around 11,000 during the first quarter of 2005.  IT LOOKS LIKE THIS IS PROBABLY ON TARGET FOR A FLUCTUATION IN THE MARKET.  BUT IT WON’T LAST LONG.  And be careful with their numbers, they tend to be in the right direction but they tend to be optimistically high.

 

AS OBSERVED DURING 2004:  WATCH THIS VERY CAREFULLY – WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR DRIVING OIL UP IN PRICE AND ACCELERATING THE DECLINE IN THE DOLLAR.  The dollar of course is a major factor.  As the dollar drops AND the stock values remain constant, U.S. stocks will become suddenly cheaper for foreign investors and they may begin to convert to buy U.S. stocks.  This also will firm up values when it occurs, but I have no idea where the conversion points are.  This is all a complex equation which could go sideways at any moment.  THE MAIN PROVISO IS AL QAEDA. When they strike in the U.S. again, they will trump all else.

 

MAIN OVER-RIDING STRATEGIC VARIABLE:  For the players, what the Bush administration will and will not do is beginning to become more and more set.  This allows others to make their bets on the outcomes, pro and con.

 

WORLD CONFIDENCE MAY IMPROVE FOR A WHILE if a Shiite coalition can take power in Iraq through the elections and motivate Bush to substantially withdraw American troops.

 

THIS IS NOW ON COURSE. 

 

EURO WATCH    - DOLLAR VALUE SOFT AGAINST EURO - IT WILL WEAKEN WITH RENEWED OIL PRICE INCREASES

 

OIL PRICES ROSE AND THE DOLLAR DROPPED WHILE THE DOW DROPPED.

 

The dollar closed today at 0.7552 per euro, about one cent lower than last week which was at 0.7664 per euro. 

 

Interesting article on current dynamics of currency markets

http://biz.yahoo.com/rb/050119/markets_forex_8.html

Did you know that corporations have a special "deal" this year which allows them to repatriate billions of dollars in foreign profits by paying a surcharge of only $.05 per dollar in lieu of the regular 35% tax rate.

 

Thus in general, expect a steady if slow creep of prices upward all through 2005, with faster relative increases for some basic commodities and imports to reflect rapidly rising international costs, which will still accelerate in response to the rise in energy costs this past six months.

 

MUST READ:  "The Dollar Panics" in "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006", which lays out the dynamics of what is happening

 

LATEST OVERVIEW ON OIL: As of February 2, 2005

 

The high price points at the pump established last Fall look permanent.  It does not look like retail prices will ever again be South of where they currently are.  We are going to have a pretty vigorous STAGFLATION for 2005 and average wholesale prices are likely to continue an upward drift, somewhere in the range of 10% to 30%, with transitory peaks in the range of last year’s $55.  Perhaps even higher, if the oil industry is disrupted by Al Qaeda or other terrorist groups. 

 

HIGH PRICE PRESSURES CAN NO LONGER BE RESISTED BECAUSE ALL OF THE WORLD POLITICAL STRUGGLES ARE NOW POLARIZING AROUND THE STRUGGLE FOR OIL.  Oil has become in the minds of all those seeking power as THE ONLY SOURCE OF POWER in the world today.

 

HERE IS THE ARCHILLES HEEL OF EMPIRE:  It seems more probable than not, reading the tea leaves and listening to Seymour Hersh and other internationalists, that the main irrational and "upsetting factor" in the world at this juncture is the aggressive plan which the Imperial Faction would like to pursue in Iran.  Any effort to beat the war drums in that direction will unify the Eurasian powers to "clip the wings" of the Empire.  They will do it with a concerted program to push down the value of the dollar sufficient to swamp the U.S. economy in such high international costs that it will not be able to sustain an expansionary war effort.  They will accomplish this feat by stopping their purchase of U.S. banking debt and bond instruments.  Under these circumstances, oil prices in dollar terms could double while they remain the same in euro terms.

 

PETROLEUM: Crude oil falls to lowest price in month

Associated Press
Published February 8, 2005

NEW YORK -- Crude oil fell more than $1 a barrel Monday to its lowest level in more than a month as traders took cues from OPEC officials signaling their willingness to accept lower prices before cutting output.

Warmer weather in the Northeast also contributed to the decline in prices, but analysts said long-range trends remained bullish, with rising demand from China and India keeping global supplies tight.

Crude for March delivery fell $1.20, to $45.28 a barrel, on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was the lowest closing price since Jan. 5.

During the recent World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, several OPEC representatives signaled that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries would not cut output unless prices fell to about $37 a barrel, a source told The Associated Press.

At its last meeting, on Jan. 30, OPEC decided not to rein in production, as the price of crude oil futures hovered near $47 a barrel. The cartel left open the possibility of an output cut before it meets again in March.

 

 

Associated Press

Oil Prices Decline on Rise in U.S. Supply

Wednesday January 26, 4:00 pm ET

By Jane Wardell, AP Business Writer

Oil Prices Drop As Nigeria Oil Workers Call Off Imminent Strike, U.S. Notes Rise in Oil Supply

 

LONDON (AP) -- Crude futures fell below $49 a barrel Wednesday as Nigerian oil workers called off an imminent strike and the U.S. government said the nation's oil supply grew.

 

Still, prices are more than 40 percent higher than a year ago and traders remain concerned about possible supply disruptions in Iraq, high demand from China's booming economy and speculation over an upcoming OPEC decision on output.

 

ADVERTISEMENT

Light sweet crude for March delivery was down 86 cents to close at $48.78 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. A year ago, oil futures settled at $34.47 a barrel.

 

Brent for March delivery on the International Petroleum Exchange in London was 45 cents lower at $46.51 a barrel.

 

After meeting with Nigerian labor ministry officials on Wednesday, union representatives for oil workers agreed to hold off any strike action until at least Friday, said Obiadulu Nduka, an official of the white-collar PENGASSAN oil union.

 

The unions initially said they would launch a strike in and around the Niger delta oil hub of Port Harcourt Monday, after two executives accused of cutting workers' benefits ignored an ultimatum to leave Nigeria by Sunday. The strike call was delayed amid a series of last-minute negotiations.

 

Still, Royal Dutch/Shell shut down two oil platforms producing 35,000 barrels per day in the Niger Delta after protesters armed with machetes attacked the facility.

 

In its weekly petroleum supply report, the U.S. Energy Department said Wednesday that supplies of crude oil grew last week by 3.4 million barrels to 295.6 million barrels, or 9 percent above year ago levels. Inventories of distillate fuel, which include heating oil, declined by 2.3 million barrels to 121.5 million barrels, or 4 percent below year ago levels. The drop in distillate was expected due to increased demand during a cold spell last week.

 

Heating oil for February delivery fell 2.15 cents to $1.4033 per gallon on Nymex, where gasoline futures were down about 1.48 at $1.3593 per gallon and natural gas futures declined by 1.5 cent to $6.388 per 1,000 cubic feet.

 

One of the persistent jitters underpinning today's higher prices is uncertainty about Iraq, where sabotage has crippled production and elections are planned for Jan. 30 amid major security concerns.

 

Demand from China is also keeping prices high, with the government reporting Tuesday that the economy expanded at an annual rate of 9.5 percent last year, exceeding economists' forecasts and the official target of 8 percent.

 

OPEC ministers, meanwhile, are scheduled to meet Jan. 30 to discuss whether additional production cuts may be necessary. Some members have suggested, however, that the current high prices might mean that the group may not cut output quotas, easing the market slightly.

 

Hani Hussein, chief executive of the Kuwait Petroleum Corp., joined those who believed that OPEC would hold steady.

 

"Officially, I'd say that anything can happen at an OPEC meeting, but unofficially, I don't think anything will happen," said Hani Hussein on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum.

 

Associated Press Writers Christopher Bodeen in Singapore and Brad Foss in Washington contributed to this report.

 

 

 

 

SURVIVAL WATCH

 

FOOD WATCH

 

For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

 

JOB WATCH

 

Any aspect of the construction and home products industry is hot.

 

 

 

SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME).  But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted.  Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year.  ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES:  The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services.  This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah.  I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM.

 

POLITICAL WATCH

For general overview on the Tragedy in Iraq and the Bureau-Political Civil War in Washington DC, I highly recommend Tom Dispatch.

 

BREAKING NEWS

 

The Imperial Faction has lost little time is jumping on Syria after the huge bombing in Lebanon.  They are busy pushing the notion that Syria is isolated and can be easily squeezed by the Imperial Faction to withdraw from Lebanon and surrender its support of Hezbollah.

 

Meanwhile, the Shi'a coalition in Iraq has selected a  Prime Minister candidate with strong connections to Iran

 

Russia's Putin has determined that a nuclear Iran is more favorable for Eurasian security than not while Bush huffs and puffs his way through Europe this week demanding that Iran abandon all ambitions to create a nuclear bomb.  He found an ally in Germany for his demand, which should supprise no one.  Germany to its core is militantly anti-war and anti-nuclear.  Seems they learned something about Fascism. 

 

What the press avoided mentioning is that the Germans would like to see all nations abandon their nuclear weapons.

 

What a great idea.  Bush's demands are completely appropriate.  Except….he forgot to take the beam out of his own eye first.

 

BACKGROUND FROM PREVIOUS WEEKS

 

The Imperial Faction appears to be on the road, literally with Condaleeza Rice's travels, to spend the next year taking a breather while it works to counter the growing forces which are unifying on Eurasia to isolate the U.S.  Iran has been more and more successful during the past year in drawing a convergence of Eurasian opinion into its corner.

 

The bigoted mentalities who control the U.S. continue to outcast the Iranians as members of an evil axis of terror and try to dump them into the same suit that they painted on Saddam Hussein.  But it is not working and in fact this profiling has become completely counter-productive.  Iran may be an authoritarian society in many ways but it is far more moral a society than Hitler's Germany, and a great many now argue that it is a more moral nation than the U.S.

 

Many in Eurasia are now also saying that the U.S. is as authoritarian as Iran and far more dangerously capricious.

 

This is not an argument that Bush and his Empire can win.  There is also no possibility of a successful invasion or a strategic win by the U.S.  Iran is too big, too many, too well armed, too well supported by its population, and too totally determined not to kowtow to the CIA Masters who made them suffer the tyranny of the bogus Shah.

 

The Shah of Iran, the CIA's very own stooge for the American Oil Industry, was as nasty and violent a thug who ever ruled a colonial outpost. His demise had nothing to do with religion. He, we, have not been forgiven, nor should we.

 

It is true that the U.S. government is controlled by men with strong tendencies to lunacy.  Thus there is a terrible danger of miscalculation by the Imperial Faction.  The savory blood of Fascism runs hot in many veins on the Eastern Seaboard, there are many who crave to impose dominance and humiliation over more independently-minded  people to "win" the world for their "gang's" sense of "freedom".

 

But their time is running out for an attack on Iran, the cosmic tide is leaving that boat high and dry in the bay, unable to sail.  It will become more and more difficult to enflame mass consciousness towards war as the Sunspot Cycle troughs into its MIN.

 

The Iranians have shown a methodical, disciplined, progressive approach to reasoning their way out and around the boxes imposed by Western imperializing forces.  They have found much success in establishing relationships with other nations.  They are likely to continue in this mode and practice the art of "what is possible" to avoid violent conflagration.  If they are careful and methodical enough, they will outflank the Imperial Faction and simply wait it out. 

 

FROM PREVIOUS WEEKS

 

The SENATE VOTE on the nomination of Condaleeza Rice for Secretary of State is a profound watershed moment for American politics.

 

IT NEATLY AND PRECISELY DEFINES THE POLITICAL LANDSCAPE FOR ALL TO SEE.

 

13 Democratic Senators voted against the nomination, partly because C.R. is a liar with no personal nor professional credibility, partly because the immense Tragedy Of Iraq demonstrates that she is too incompetent in history and human social dynamics to fill the position in a way which will help the U.S.

 

Those 13 votes were brave acts.

 

These same 13 Democrats are now completely  "OUT" side the Republicrat establishment and they will be the primary political targets of the Nazi-like political operatives of the Imperial Faction.  They will be subject to tremendous efforts during the next several years to destroy their careers, their lives, their limited political capacities, even their families and personal economics.

 

Some 44 or 45 Democratic Senators voted for the nomination. They know, like us, even better than us, that C.R. is a professional liar who pushes bungling ideas and recommendations which have resulted in the deaths of well over a hundred thousand people and the maiming of tens of thousands (not to mention the total devastation of a quasi industrialized nation without a clue about how to rebuild it).  Yet despite this knowledge, these 44 or 45 Democratic Senators voted to place their careers over principles and their cushy positions of worthless power over elementary morality and ethics.

 

These are the Republic-rats, the Faux Centrists who are in bed with the corporate syndicates who sponsor and own globalism.  They are the hand-maidens of the globalist movement which seeks to use economic conquests to rebuild feudal-like estates.  These are the people who have betrayed and destroyed the Democratic Party as a conscience of the people.  This list of Senators needs to be printed up and placed prominently on the Web.  These are the first targets for removal by the New Democratic Party. Every one of them must be removed from office as a Democrat at the earliest opportunity.

 

The names of the 13 Senators who voted their conscience and against the monumental stupidities of Bushco Inc.  also need to be collected and printed up.  These people are the elected core of the Progressive Reform faction in the U.S.  They are well worth supporting by anyone who values truth in politics.  With them, a radically different New Democratic Party will begin to emerge in 2006.

 

Another watershed event hit the bricks of New York this past week.  Seymour Hersch's new article in the New Yorker outlines the Imperial Faction's current thinking for stirring the pot of the Mid-East into a vast cauldron of violence, war, and Imperial expeditions.

 

We already know all this…but here it is now, I guess…officially in print. Ta Da!

 

It seems to devolve to this.  Shock and awe and G.I. Joe didn't work for saving Iraq?  Too expensive to go into Iran? Skip the soldiers and forget about saving the country, we can just bomb them and cripple them into oblivion instead.  We will manipulate the factions from remote locations the old fashioned way, just like we have been doing and practicing for the past several decades.

 

 Why does the base concept sound terribly much like a carbon copy of Israel's strategy for dealing with its Palestinian "Indians"?

 

With this article, Seymour indelicately informs us that we have a terrible problem on our hands.  The Empire is expanding as rapidly as it can this next four years and they are not kidding.  By Summer the gloves will start coming off.

 

FOR 2005 & BEYOND

 

All of the activity of 2004 gave us the "lowest possible outcome" of all choices.  We are stooping along smartly onto the pages of history:

 

More probable than not....another four years of political struggle, bitterness, the loss of more political and individual rights, continued declassing and economic deterioration, and a growing general civil upheaval which takes many forms…in the midst of a nation which is virtually ostracized from most of the remainder of the world…with the forces of Jihad reaching greater ascendancy in the Middle-East.

 

 

 

 

A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven so much of the past 50 years….

 

From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly collapses.

 

All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty!

 

 

THE STRATEGIC SITUATIONFinal Synopsis
For predictions related to the mess in Palestine, the Middle East, and the Bush political era.

 

BREAKING CONDITION

 

For the first time in nearly a year we can see a changing of the strategic conditions of the age. 

 

 It rests on six realities:

 

1.       In the dark background, Al Qaeda could to be a spent, dying force. It does NOT SEEM to have flourished well in hidden places.  It has not delivered on its promises for over a year.  Is it a spent force? Or is it preparing a new round?  With the circumstances in Iraq distracting the Bull, perhaps it has tightly consolidated its resources and operatives towards another target.  With the U.S. Bull full engaged and tripping all over itself in the international arena, there is little point in striking inside the U.S. The Americans have already sold their souls to Hitler II and can be counted upon to waste huge sums of money.  What is the point of wasting more energy in that direction?  Osama Bin Laden's true target was and remains the take over of Saudi Arabia.  Is this his next phase?  Likely this will not be fully understood and this is most likely Osama Bin Laden's most important tactical win of the last year.  He is more inscrutable than ever.  But he clearly lost as well.  The insurgency failed and other forces will now assume power and move the U.S. out. His influence in Iraq will wane.

2.       The Iraqi insurgent's opposition to the elections was a catastrophic failure.  At the moment, it is terminal for their movement. The elections clearly reveal a massive swing of popular opinion against the diktat of the insurgents.  The insurgents are now clearly revealed to be in opposition to real democracy and the greater portion of the people in Iraq.  The new assembly makes their "movement" technically moot. The real Iraqi movement will then become focused on taking up enough real operational power to begin displacing the Americans. In the face of this, the Sunni tribes cannot hold an insurgent coalition together.  They will come around one by one and make their arrangements with the newly emerging power structure. Time for Al Qaeda and the carpet bagging terrorist Al Zawari to move on down the road.

3.       The American Bull is currently focused on Iran and Syria and the reign of agitprop lies has already become thick. At all nominal levels, the American public is stupefied and it will not be enlightened by the "legal" intelligence community about what is really going on.  "Twouldn't be prudent", one can imagine overhearing from the mouth of one of the most notoriously sinister figures in the history of North America, "Poppy Bones". Under this cover, the Zionist wing of the Imperial Faction will seek frantically for schemes and support to ferret out the destruction of Iran's war machine.

4.       North Korea has South Korea and five million people hostage, even without the Bomb.  This probably makes Japan hostage, even already.  THIS IS A STRATEGIC STALEMATE WHICH CANNOT BE EASILY BROKEN. An assault on North Korea, even a stealthy one aimed at just the bomb, will almost certainly result in the annihilation of five million people just through conventional armaments.  No leader anywhere can afford to issue an order for an assault to prevent the use of the Bomb. That is why Bush backed off and why they are still "backed off".  The moral choices involved are far deeper than the limited mental abilities of the Imperial Faction.

5.       Between North Korea and Pakistan, it is not likely that Iran will remain without the bomb.  Iran has huge amounts of legal money and large supplies of energy. All they need are three of them.  One for the nearest Aircraft Carrier Armada.  One for Tel Aviv, and one for a suitcase.   Pakistan and North Korea have little of either energy or money….

6.       With money and oil, all things are possible. This is NOT a condition which favors the U.S. Every attempt to break it will make it worse.

 

 

HERE IS THE MAIN HOPE OUT OF THIS STRATEGIC IMPASSE:

 

LEAVE IRAQ AND ABANDON THE EMPIRE.  WE CANNOT RESOLVE THE INTERNATIONAL IMPASSE AND IT IS NOT NECESSARY TO DO SO AT THIS POINT IN TIME.  The Empire is inimical to the American people and every day it exists their collective impoverishment deepens.

 

AN AUTHENTIC ISLAMIC MORAL AUTHORITY IS ARISING AND IS BEGINNING TO FORGE A COALITION TO UNIFY IRAQ AND BRING CIRCUMSTANCES TO THE POINT WHERE THE AMERICANS CAN BE ASKED TO LEAVE.  QUICKLY. 

 

MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT, THE MULLAHS WILL ARRANGE THE ELECTION OF A GOVERNMENT WHICH ASSERTS ITS SOVEREIGNTY AND ASKS THE U.S. TO LEAVE WITH THE YEAR.

 

"A Letter To The Generals:  Saving Iraq and Saving The U.S."

 

FOR A PDF VERSION, CLICK HERE

 

PASS THE WORD: THIS IS HOW IT WILL END IN IRAQ,

Michael Wells Mandeville,
The Hills of Arizona USA at mwman@earthlink.net
Master Website Index is at: http://www.michaelmandeville.com

Author of  several books, including: "Return of the Phoenix" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/phoenix/phoenix.htm
and "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006.htm
_________________________________________________
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