PHOENIX FIVE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN

Monitoring The Changes In The Earth

edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright September 8 2004

                                                                                                             

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Please Note:  This Bulletin is conceived as a System.  It is still in an early stage of evolution.  We intend to progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In The Earth which is underway.

 

 

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of September 8 2004

You have heard of the Weather Report?  Here exclusively is this week’s  "Earth Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man.

 

You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or use this  URL

http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Sept_8_04.htm

 

ONCE AGAIN!!!

BEWARE HURRICANE IVAN

It has intensified rapidly into a Category Four and may be Category Five when it slams across Jamaica and Cuba.  Florida may be hit, or is it the Gulf Coast or the Carolinas…..

WATCH CAREFULLY!!!  The good news is that it is likely to mute down into a Category Three or Two by the time it slams into North America, but, like Frances, this storm is unbelievably HUGE and will blow long and hard and dump a foot of water over already flooded areas.

 

THE COSMIC FORCES BEGAN TO RISE IN INTENSITY ON THE EARTH PLANE THIS PAST WEEK. ALREADY

A RESURGENCE FROM THE SOLAR VORTEX PUSHED WEATHER AND HUMANS TO EXTREMES AND THERE IS NO END IN SIGHT FOR A TEMPESTUOUS SEPTEMBER.  BUT AL QAEDA’S SPONSORED MURDERS OF RUSSIAN SCHOOL CHILDREN IS LIKELY A TERRIBLE MISTAKE AND THIS TEMPESTUOUS FALL MAY MARK THE BEGINNING OF ITS END.

 

On the geophysical front,  FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR, the CURRENT peak of sunspots will probably hit 100 plus to produce VERY WET LATE SUMMER STORMS .  The El Nino trend weakened in the charts of August 8-29, calling it in doubt for 2005, but an anomalous huge patch of warming water between Hawaii and California will no doubt force Fall weather in North America into chaotic, unpredictable patterns.  Meanwhile, Earth’s tectonics remain calm.  Volcanism remains largely muted but activity is picking up slightly with the resumption of activity in Etna.  Only two shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great Rifts of the ocean bottoms this past week. But seismic activity in Japan, with a 7.2 and a 7.4 mag quake on the same day surprised everyone and shred the syzygy paradigm.

 

On the geopolitical front, AS As the Imperial Faction continues to lose its control of the Iraqi street and the hypnotic mindlock on the American public which led to the Tragedy of Iraq, vigorous efforts and stupendous sums are being expended on manufacturing FEAR AND THE WILL TO VIOLENT REACTIONS.  The boldness of this starkly Hitlerian strategy is jaw-dropping  But will it work?….THAT is not easy to determine.  BUT NO DOUBT ALQAEDA WILL DO ITS BEST TO MAKE IT WORK. THE BOMBING OF THE SCHOOL CHILDREN IN RUSSIA, IN THIS GLOBAL VILLAGE AGE, IS AS GOOD AS A “MESSAGE” DELIVERED DIRECTLY IN AMERICA. Among both the Americans and the Russians, the will to violence is much strengthened by this action and we may see many more of them during the next two months.  Keep in mind always that the one goal of the terrorists in these campaigns is to goad an escalation in violent reactions and attacks on Islamic targets. Violent over-reactions are the one sure method the terrorists have to keep Islamic peoples fragmented and too isolated to form up a united front to directly oppose the terrorists.  The one sure method for destroying the terrorist movement is to help the Islamic community forge a common front to oppose both the crudities of western interference and the barbarism of the jihadists.

 

Go to detailed synopsis…

 

This hidden column on the right  is available for links, banners, and icons of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual donation.  Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update.  YOU MUST HAVE BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous subscriber).. 

 

NOTES

Grayed items are not yet operational

 

PREVIOUS
WEEKLY

UPDATES

 

September 8, 2004

September 1, 2004

August 25, 2004

August 18, 2004

August 11, 2004

July 28, 2004

July 21, 2004

July 14, 2004

July 7, 2004

June 30, 2004

June 23, 2004

June 16, 2004

June 9, 2004

June 2, 2004

May 26, 2004

May 19, 2004

May 12, 2004

 

 

Program Thesis:

What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes Bulletin?

Most news media do not handle technical and scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well.  They don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and Earth.  Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects  The treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently contains various technical errors.  Seldom is the treatment entertaining and genuinely educational.

Based on new scientific principles which have emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked together.  This makes it possible to paint "the big picture" into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes, especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino. From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for weeks and even months ahead.  The result is sophisticated cutting-edge information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily seen and appreciated by lay audiences.  The perspective is generally global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar.

 

To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/

 

 

 

 

SPONSORING:

THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007.  Click here to download

 

THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008:  This synthesis is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per cent.  If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. 

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1, 2004: 

All projections are on track.  This month and next more probable than not are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg of the long term economic cycle.  When equities begin to slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as the chaos deepens through 2005.  Absolute Bottom will be found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow increase (not driven by Bull speculation) will probably begin to manifest in 2008.  In the interim period, most of the “Fortune 500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants will reappear as vastly different companies..

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF AUGUST 11, 2004:  Once again, the Collapse 2006 book TRACKS the unfolding real dynamics, except that the forecasted events are tending to manifest three to fours months earlier.  All economic indicators for this July 2004 are DOWN except of course the BIG ONE is UUUUUP (you know what it is, don’t you?).  Yes of course, OIL is climbing rapidly, partly based on a 34% increase this year in world demand created largely in ASIA.  The progressive devaluation of the PETRO DOLLAR is now unfolding rapidly, despite the best expressed intentions of the House of Saud to hold dollar price stability for their partners, the Bush Family.

 

LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY 21, 2004 – Several important  economic factors and/or indicators are now declining – IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS,  IT WILL BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED PROGRESSIVELY DOWN.  ACCORDINGLY, SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE 25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE HAS FINALLY HIT.  IF THE MESSAGE IS “YES”, the Kerry-Edwards ticket most likely will win decisively and the Republican control of Congress most likely will be “cracked”.  But there is room for considerable movement in all positions among large numbers of people and it is clear that many events in this fast-paced, unpredictable year could deflect ALL expectations.

 

 

 

 

 

 

HOUSEKEEPING

 

Some portions of this week’s update was prepared one day early on Tuesday, August 17, others one day later than usual, on August 19.

 

MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH

Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6 PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time).   Regular Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin.  To find Iway archives and stations, see Millennium Radio Network

 

 

 

Begin Synopsis

 

 As stated in the “Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication abilities of the human species.  As we transform the media, as we have been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth.  Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it.  Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies.

 

 

SPIRITUAL WATCH

How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of the time.  Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline of this year.

 

A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance, hate,  revenge, and violence appear to crow even more loudly on the world stage or can be found eagerly arranging a major increase in the tempo of bombs explosions to murder and maime even more people.   A consciousness is gathering greater focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism and militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse towards peaceful solutions.

 

Look for it.  Greet it.  Nourish it with love.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: 

 

BREATH FREE. Let go of everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird.  Let go of everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.  The old patterns are falling away.  Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all.

 

EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING.  IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO.  In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was upon them.  This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will have greater meaning by the end of the year.

 

 

 

The “Great Purification” predicted by the Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues.  How amazing that these ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us that this was a period of profound historical turning involving

The Great Purification

of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004.

 

THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING….

THE time to link the spiritual communities of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL LEADERSHIP.

 

 

FOR THE MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration.  This has appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade.

 

 

POLAR MOTION

What is happening to the motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status of polar motion CLICK HERE.  To see the current graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on two separate graphs.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:

The Y Max point, reported three weeks ago, has been passed and the North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally after giving us a bumpy peak.

 

AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS:  We have passed the “Y Max” last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is maintained by the IERS agency in France.  “Y Max” is where the North Spin Axis is titled as far as it can go towards North America down Longitude West 90.   The motion towards “Y Max” may have caused the increased movement of the North American Tectonic Plate to produce the interesting quake activity of the previous weeks.

 

As the Spin Axis begins its return towards the X Axis, the seismic activity may mirror what happened as it was moving outwards.  This may occur during the next Full Moon or New Moon in September.

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif

 

http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif

 

 

 

 

MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING

What is happening to the magnetic fields of the Earth.  No real change during the past year:  a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least.

 

Currently, there is little of note.  Despite many claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical analysis of many different regions of the Earth.

 

 

 

 

Asteroids

As of June 04,

NASA’S

ESTIMATE:

“Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs  (asteroids) are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.”

 

 

PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS
(all time coordinates here and elsewhere are in UTC unless otherwise noted, dates for planetary alignments are derived from Home Planet Software using PC graphics, due to limitations of software and graphics display, actual timing may be off as much as three days, for scientific work, use a professional ephemeris for exact dates).  For background and the current information on planetary alignments go to the Earth Changes Almanac Calendar.  The Almanac lays out the planets and the lunar phases for entire year in advance to allow you to find the best and worst periods of weather, earthquake activity, ethereal “lunar” influences, etc.  

 

Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure

Every day John Walker’s  (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of  hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows.  Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way.  http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html

 

Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data  - click here to be always up to date

Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
http://www.fourmilab.ch/earthview/pacalc.html


Daily Solar System – click here to view Planet Alignments

The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets.  Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake.  You can set any date and time.  You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets.

http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar

 

LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR Sept. 2004

 

                                             Distance

Apogee         8-Sep   2:43      404462 km        N-6d11h

New              14-Sep 14:29               

Perigee         22-Sep 21:13    369599 km        F-5d15h

Full               28-Sep 13:09               

Apogee         5-Oct    22:11    404326 km        F+7d 9h

 

For the remainder of 2004, see the August 25 EC Update

 

TODAY’S MOON

 

We are still in Lunation #1010 with the next New Moon on September 14 at 14:28 UTC.  As of September Day 8, the Moon this day is North of the Equator (in its North Node) 24 days past the New Moon.  It is now approximately 405,000 KM from the Earth. It is still 29% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase).  The next Perigee is Sept 22, about 5 and a half days before the next Full Moon.

 

SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS

 

Since September 8 is the Apogee of the Moon, seismic activity should null out at the lowest levels through to about September 11.  Thereafter, seismic activity should gradually pick up in tempo and magnitudes through to September 16, hold steady or dip for a few days, then increase suddenly on about September 20 through to September 24 for the Perigee, thereafter dip again, and then perhaps increase somewhat once again for the Full Moon on September 28.  September’s seismic activity should be somewhat weaker over all than August’s.  The next two strongest seismic syzygies for 2004 will be the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days) and December 12 (Perigee within 20 hours).

 

For describing the peak danger periods for the most damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as

 

November 10 – November 16

 

December 10 – December 15

 

Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision.  For details see the Syzygy website  

 

(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth during its monthly orbit).   (Berkland has a more complex formula for syzygy and his dates are often different.)  For details see the Syzygy website.

 

THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS

For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page, you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is 7, Neptune is 8, Pluto is 9, and both Planet X and Nibiru are bogus.

 

The three closest inner planets have been and will be in very close angles to each other Mercury will align with Venus on September 8.

 

LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004

 

September 8, 2004

Mercury | Venus
Most of the planets in general now begin breaking apart widely, the "Summer Knot" become  untied. From About September 10 onwards,  Mars and Jupiter will be in a slow forming virtual alignment

***September 28, 2004

***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5 degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed
***October 1, 2004

***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected

 

PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS

For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather.

 

The Summer Knot  July 27 through September 8

 

Major ups and downs in the sunspot counts, at least three major storm fronts betwixt now and September 15 or so.

 

The Triple Whammy September Surprise September 28, 2004 - October 1, 2004

 

Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment

Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places.

 

The Apogee Six Way Cluster Bomb

 

At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets during a 30 day period.  Expect an INTENSELY STORMY WINTER.

December 30, 2004  Mercury | Jupiter
Venus and Mars still close and Earth near Saturn alignment
January 13, 2005  Mercury & Mars close couple to
Venus | Pluto and Earth | Saturn
January 27, 2005  Mercury | Venus with Pluto close couple

 

The Spring Grand Alignment

Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus

 

Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.  The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment

 

March 14, 2005  Mercury | Saturn
Spring Alignments begin in three main spirals
March 21,2005  Mars | Pluto with a spiral forming in
Mercury | Earth | Jupiter and another in Venus | Uranus
March 30, 2005 Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus
form a virtual straight line through the solar system with Mars and Pluto still closely coupled. Observers on Earth will only be able to physically see Jupiter rising on the Eastern horizon just after sunset and Saturn close to the Mid-heavens in the Western half of the sky. In the very early morning Mars and Uranus visible

 

Summer Ping Pong

 

June 7, 2005  Venus | Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 , 2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples with Pluto and
Mars | Neptune.  The timing of these alignments between these planets is not exact, the electromagnetic balances of the solar system will shift in a complex way, probably producing a number of ups and downs.

 

 

 

 

 

 

PLANET WATCHING  

For background and the current information on observable planets.

 

 

 

 

 

SUNSPOTS

The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information.  

To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table.

 

The Sunspot Count on September 7 was 95 AND RISING RAPIDLY after climbing steadily from 11 on August 31.  The Solar Flux rose from 87 to reach 120 on September 7 AND IT IS STILL RISING RAPIDLY.

 

Date        Flux   Sunspots  Area

2004 09 01   90     12      180     

2004 09 02   94     25      260     

2004 09 03   97     25      270     

2004 09 04   99     28      390     

2004 09 05  103     59      340      

2004 09 06  107     82      390     

2004 09 07  119     95      480     

 

MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT:  Spots and flux counts will rise at least for today.  After that it is the cosmic wheel of destiny for the next additional few days.  Peak could be well over 150 today, tomorrow, or the next.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:  the alignment on September 8, 2004 between Mercury | Venus should bring another high spike in the Sunspot Count, at least as high as 160.  This peak should form up about September One and bring late Summer storms no later than September 10.

 

AS WE CAN SEE, this sunspot peak formed up relatively late for the planetary alignment of Mercury | Venus.  Since the nominal date of the alignment may be “off” by as much as two days (due to computational and display limitations of “Home Planet Software”, the peak could form up anytime during the next five days and be within the general pattern of timing correlation which we have seen many times this past couple of years.

 

MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23
These numbers are reported by Jan Alvestad

Over all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004  was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9  April’s count was radically lower at 39.3.  The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April.  June 2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of 51.  August’s count dropped the average to 40, which returns us to the point on the general curve which we reached during April 2004.

 

 

 

 

SOLAR ACTIVITY

As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise stated.  (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed into).  Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM Arizona Mountain Time (which does not have daylight savings time).

 

The Solar Wind was robust at 382.3 km/s this day while pushing a density of 0.8 protons/cm3”.   

 

General consensus: some volatility, more expected

 

The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) showed only a couple of relatively small disturbance today in a solar sea which is composed of very small chops defining a long plateau. (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE.

 

NASA AURORA WATCH: NASA reminds us “Northern autumn is the best time of year for geomagnetic storms and auroras. And even though it's still summer in the northern hemisphere, some beautiful auroras have already appeared over Alaska… Earth is inside a weak solar wind stream flowing...”

 

NASA PREDICTS AS OF SEPTEMBER 8:  During the next 24/48 hours, probability for an M-class solar flare is at 15% and for an X-class solar flare is at 1%, with a generally 5% to 30% probability for minor to severe geomagnetic disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude (higher the latitude, higher the probability). 

 

Jan Alvestad reports:  “The geomagnetic field was quiet to active on September 7. Solar wind speed ranged between 412 and 495 km/sec under the influence of a fairly low speed stream from coronal hole CH112...Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 118.9. The planetary A index was 16 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour interval ap indices: 16.1)...At midnight there were 3 spotted regions on the visible disk. The solar flare activity level was low. A total of 2 C class events was recorded during the day...One or perhaps two closely spaced regions are approaching the northeast limb and could rotate into view late today or tomorrow. M class flares are possible...September 5-7: No obviously Earth directed CMEs were observed. A full halo CME was observed after the C2 event behind the northeast limb on September 7...A recurrent coronal hole (CH112) in the northern hemisphere was in a geoeffective position on September 3-6.”

 

Jan Alvestad predicts:  “The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on September 8-10 with the possibility of a few active intervals on September 8 due to coronal hole effects.“  Alvestad also predicts a 0% probability of coronal holes, a 0% probability of CME’s, and a 20% probability of M and/or X Class Flares.

 

 

 

 

 

WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY

Those who have been following the patterns have seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark.  Accordingly, our “sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years have proven out to be fairly worthwhile.

 

 

CONDITIONS WILL GATHER GREATER FORCE AS SUNSPOTS CLIMB,

 

FRANCES MAY JUST BE THE FORERUNNER OF WHAT IS TO COME WITH IVAN.

 

MAJOR STORM FRONTS AND EXTENSIVE FLOODING CAN BE EXPECTED IN MANY AREAS FROM ABOUT SEPTEMBER 12 THROUGH TO SEPTEMBER 20.

 

WE CERTAINLY CALLED THIS CORRECTLY FOR THE U.S. AND JAPAN:  AS OBSERVED LAST MONTH:  weather patterns are tweaked out into chaotic extremes which fit no averages or generalities.  Forget predictions, expect anything.  THIS CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH SEPTEMBER, CHAOS ALTERNATING WITH PERIODS OF CALMING. CONSIDER THIS STILL ON AS THE STAND PAT PREDICTION OF SEPTEMBER 2004..

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT SEVEN DAYS

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

BEWARE HURRICANE IVAN

This is more probable than not a Category Five Grand Slam into the Jamaica, Cuba, and thence up into the Gulf States or into Florida as a Category Four or Three.  LIKE FRANCES, THIS HURRICANE IS OF RECORD-BREAKING SIZE AND WILL DROP A PRODIGIOUS AMOUNT OF WATER.

 

WATCH THE SUNSPOTS, ON WHICH ALL THINGS IN THE WEATHER TURN.  IF THE NUMBER GOES UP AGAIN FOR TODAY AND FOR TOMORROW, I HIGHLY RECOMMEND SPENDING TIME ANYWHERE ELSE BUT FLORIDA.

 

STAND PAT:  IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE NORMAL?  Nope.   I can’t keep up with it and therefore won’t.  MORE OF THE SAME.   No predictions will call the tune for any area.  More extremes during the next 30 days will be quite “normal”.

 

EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR FALL SEASON

(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

WILD AND WOOLY:  The output of the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable to give very good predictions.  Accordingly, expect 50% probability of anything.

 

Once we get past this current wave of sunspot induced weather, along about September 20, another wave will begin to form up about October 1st.  The long slow alignments of Mercury, Mars, and Jupiter from September 28 through October 1 should bring sunspots from below 20 up to well above 100 to intensify any Hurricanes, Typhoons, and Marine Storm Fronts coming in off the Pacific and Atlantic Oceans.

 

I expect a very wet late September with a lot of rain as well in October with an early “Fall Syndrome” before and after the Mercury alignments at the end of September..  THIS SHOULD BE A GREAT YEAR FOR SHROOMING.

 

LAST WEEK WE ASKED: HAS “FALL” COME?

 

For remarks related to the early Fall Season see the Weather Section in the August 25 EC Update

 

Note as of September-8:  Summer definitely returned to Arizona this past few days with another heat wave in the Sonoran Desert Plain.  The night refused to cool off, which means we are no longer getting air flowing down the Rocky Mountain Cordillera from the North.  Last night I had to revert to sleeping with a wet towel to cool my feet and legs down.

 

PATTERN TO WATCH:  Global Warming could easily intensify the seasons, making a short bitterly cold Winter, longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and shorter but very hot and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at work in the Northern Hemisphere?

 

SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS

This “sloppycast” is based on six years of living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar.

 

For a large part of the elevations below 4000 feet in the Southwest,  the general drought in the Western U.S. is still holding sway.

 

Though we did have some scattered rain a few days ago, everything is generally dry as a bone in the Sonoran Desert Plain.   Apparently, for drought-hit areas, no relief is in sight.  Only the Winter of 2005 remains a hope at this point.  At this point, everyone in the Southwest should begin to pray in earnest for a HUGE El Nino effect.  During the last El Nino, the Southwest received substantial water. 

 

 

 

 

 

EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH
The watch is now open again; Pacific water activity appears mostly normal, we are between the extremes of the ENSO; Click here for the NOAA window on the Pacific Ocean Temperatures:

http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif

 

DOWNGRADE EL NINO – MAJOR CHANGE IN PREDICTION:

Conditions in the Mid Pacific have taken quite a dramatic turn away from the Classic El Nino Build Up Pattern.  We do not at this point know whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005. 

 

Warm water was gradually building up along the Equator between the coast of Peru and the Fiji Islands for about a third to a fourth of the width of the Pacific Ocean.  But then suddenly from August 1 through to August 29, water temperatures there actually declined and the surface is now near normal.

 

INSTEAD, AS REPORTED LAST WEEK, a huge spot of warm water, considerably above average range, has concentrated in the zone between Hawaii and California.  This MUST BE HAVING A HUGE IMPACT ON ALL MARINE AND WEST COAST WEATHER PATTERNS ALREADY.    This is not your normal pattern at all and it will create some El Nino characteristics in the Fall Weather. 

 

By altering the pattern of the  flow of wet marine air into North America, this patch of warm water (up to about eight degrees higher than normal in its center) will effect the weather of North America through the Mid-West and even into New England and Eastern Canada.

 

Accordingly, we are flying into Weather chaos.  Until a RECOGNIZABLE trend forms up, it is impossible to predict what is going to happen on this front.

 

Purely in accordance with the X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model,  AN EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN 2005.  But, the El Nino is not like an astrophysical cycle.  There are some “missing” El Nino’s in the record of the 20th century and we may have a missing one.  HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN UNTIL ABOUT APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in which the syndrome has formed up during previous El Nino’s.

 

ADDITIONAL NOTE:  The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS.   Graphs of various El Nino periods seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as April of an El Nino year.  So 2005 may not be callable until early Spring 2005.

 

 

 

KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC,  ANTARCTIC, and the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories of the climate shift.

 

 

GLOBAL WARMING

It is becoming obvious that we have a long term real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the latitudes.  This climate shift is creating a growing environmental disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004

 

It is apparent from dozens and hundreds of reports from around the world that “global warming” is accelerating climate shifts and ecological changes around the world.  These changes are so varied in such great quantity, it is difficult to summarize the shifts which are going on but it is impossible to ignore them.

 

LOOK FOR THE “HEADLINES ON EARTH NEWS”  WHICH I OCCASSIONALLY SEND.  THERE IS SO MUCH HAPPENING ON THIS FRONT IT IS DIFFICULT TO EASILY SUMMARIZE IT.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  Many more reports keep coming in about major changes in the Arctic, from Canada and Siberia.  Reports keep surfacing everywhere about animal behavior changes, weather pattern changes, ocean current and upwelling changes, new dead zones in the ocean, etc.  As well, many new findings about the Sun, the record of climate in the ice, and from other sources, are circulating in greater variety than ever, all seeming to parallel with the idea of an accelerating warm up. We are no doubt seeing a rising tide of change data coming at us and it will get heavier still.

 

For latest comments on Global Warming,

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25, 2004

 

For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see

 

Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004

 

 

 

 

 

IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR

 

Emotional reactions are turning quite hot again.  The terrorist attack on the Russian School Children was emotional and profoundly stupid.  The rise of mass anger in Russia will max greatly on this Mercury | Venus sunspot peak and accelerate a profound and terrible shift in Russian policy. 

 

CONFIRMED:  AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:  The ionic flux and the human contradictions of denial have focused people into thinking and plotting intensely their next round of moves within a highly polarized mental and emotional atmosphere.  Expect heavy choppiness in all things human.  Sudden shifts, both good and ill, everywhere.  Recently there has been a strong chop in the polls against Bush.  But as the year progresses, the polls could begin to chop the other way for a spell (by a spell) as the mass mind focuses on other things.  It will take at least another six months for these factors to smooth out….Since the emotional damage inflicted this past four years has been so severe, psychological conditions may not smooth out until the beginning of the next solar cycle sometime in 2006/07.

 

 

 

 

 

EARTHQUAKES

Around the world to see the current and potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of danger.  Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above.  Unfortunately there are many lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.  Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON INCOMPLETE INFORMATION.  FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than I do.  See Syzygy.com

As befitting an APOGEE WEEK (the Moon far from the Earth) seismic activity was decidedly down in frequency for the past seven days BUT IT WAS NOT DOWN IN MAGNITUDE.

 

In a week of events which theorists hate because it blows the paradigms, in this case the syzygy paradigm, two giant 7 plus mag quakes shook the seafloor to the Southwest of Japan, swaying buildings as far away as Tokyo.  Once again all the pro forma predictors (statistical) are left holding bags of empty nothings.  Once again veteran quake forecaster Jim Berkland was confounded.

 

Most active were the Japanese Islands, with the 7.2, 7.4, and several aftershocks in the range of 5.0 to 6.2  Also dominating the week’s small numbers of quakes (for all quakes 3.0 and greater in magnitude) was the Tonga Islands area, probably the second most active area.  Otherwise, around the world. seismic activity was generally randomized.

 

Only two shape-shifter quakes occurred during the past seven days, both along the Mid-Atlantic Rise, one on Iceland, another along the intersection of the Mid-Atlantic Rise and the margin of the Antarctic Plate.

 

COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR SOUTH CAL.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a major destructive quake could now strike at any time in Santa Barbara, Santa Monica, Hollywood, the Van Nuys Valley region, Bakersfield, and anywhere along the escarpment of the San Bernardino Mountains. This will be a follow up to the 4.9 quake which was felt in Coos Bay Oregon during July 2004.  If a quake occurs near Santa Barbara, warnings will need to be given to Mexico City about the possibility of a major explosive event in Popo.

 

SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH

 

No reports to add this week

 

SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH

The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.)  For additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the Earth, go to Plate Tectonics Map

 

The USGS World Chart for the past seven days shows two shape-shifter quakes in the Great Oceanic Rift in the South Mid-Atlantic on the margin of the Antarctic Tectonic Plate, and one in the North Mid-Atlantic near Iceland. 

 

Magnitude 5.4 REYKJANES RIDGE

Sunday, September 05, 2004 at 10:35:51 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_naaj.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        53.00N 35.18W

Depth            8.8 kilometers

Region          REYKJANES RIDGE

Reference     1080 km (670 miles) SE of Qaqortoq (Julianehab), Greenland

1125 km (700 miles) ESE of Nain, Newfoundland and Labrador, Canada

1380 km (860 miles) ENE of SAINT JOHN'S, Nfld. and Labrador, Canada

1560 km (970 miles) SE of NUUK (GODTHAB), Greenland

 

Magnitude 5.1 SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

Tuesday, September 07, 2004 at 02:55:29 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_ncac.html

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        55.09S 28.31W

Depth            10.0 kilometers

Region          SOUTH SANDWICH ISLANDS REGION

Reference     195 km (120 miles) NNW of Visokoi Island, South Sandwich Islands

450 km (280 miles) NNW of Bristol Island, South Sandwich Islands

535 km (335 miles) ESE of Grytviken, South Georgia

3270 km (2030 miles) SE of BUENOS AIRES, Argentina

 

NORTH AMERICAN WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitudeAny numbers used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect what will eventually appear in scientific databases.

 

Seismic activity in North America overall for quakes in the range of 1.0 and over was down this past week for the past seven days during this Apogee phase of the Moon.

 

440 quakes in U.S./Alaska as a whole, down from 464 the prior week.

 

250 in California and Nevada, down from 327 last week, widely scattered in California and Nevada, with Northern California showing more activity than Southern activity on the charts as of this hour on September 8. 

 

42 small microtremors in the PNW, down from 49 last week, widely scattered in Washington State mainly along the Cascades and Puget Sound.

 

17 in Utah, up from 16 last week.

 

10 in the Mammoth Lakes, Long Valley Volcanic Cauldera area,  up from 6 last week, 

YELLOWSTONE WATCH

Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude.  For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE.

 

Activity this past seven days slowed significantly with only 8 quakes in Yellowstone, down from 39 last week.  Most of these were in the center of the ancient Caldera in the Yellowstone Lake area, typically about 1 km deep.  As last week, NO DOUBT THIS WAS RELATED TO NEW MOVEMENT OF MAGMA.  IT SHOULD NOT BE SURPRISING TO LEARN THAT THE BULGE IN THE LAKE HAS EXPANDED SOME MORE.

 

WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES

 

The Japanese Islands were very active this past seven days, a 7.2 and a 7.4 struck the Southwestern Coastal zone of Honshu Island (Main Island of Japan) and these were followed by several large aftershocks, including a 6.2 quake today, September 8.  Here are the biggest two of the week:

 

Magnitude 7.2 - NEAR S. COAST OF WESTERN HONSHU, JAPAN

2004 September 5 10:07:08 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2004/usnaah/

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        33.056°N, 136.686°E

Depth            14 km (8.7 miles) set by location program

Region          NEAR S. COAST OF WESTERN HONSHU, JAPAN

Distances     

180 km (115 miles) S of Tsu, Honshu, Japan

190 km (120 miles) SE of Wakayama, Honshu, Japan

205 km (125 miles) SSW of Hamamatsu, Honshu, Japan

405 km (250 miles) SW of TOKYO, Japan

Felt Reports   At least four people injured in the Kyoto area. Felt in much of southwestern Japan and as far northeast as Tokyo. A local tsunami was generated with wave heights (peak-to-trough) of about 51 cm in Wakayama Prefecture. Recorded (5L JMA) in Mie, Nara and Wakayama; (4 JMA) in Aichi, Gifu, Hyogo, Kyoto, Osaka and Shiga; (3 JMA) in Chiba, Fukui, Hiroshima, Kanagawa, Nagano, Okayama, Shimane, Shizuoka, Tokyo, Tottori and Yamanashi; (2 JMA) in Gumma, Ishikawa, Saitama, Tochigi, Toyama and Yamaguchi (1 JMA) in Ibaraki, Miyagi and Niigata Prefectures. Recorded (3 JMA) in Kagawa, Kochi and Tokushima; (2 JMA) in Ehime Prefectures, Shikoku. Recorded (1 JMA) in Kagoshima, Kumamoto, Miyazaki and Oita Prefectures, Kyushu. Also recorded (3 JMA) on Kozu-shima, Nii-jima and O-shima; (2 JMA) on Hachijo-jima, Mikura-jima and Miyake-jima; (1 JMA) on Dogo and the Dozen islands.

 

Magnitude 7.4

NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

2004 September 5 14:57:18 UTC

Preliminary Earthquake Report

http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqinthenews/2004/usnaav/

U.S. Geological Survey, National Earthquake Information Center

Location        33.198°N, 137.088°E

Depth            10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program

Region          NEAR THE SOUTH COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

Distances     

175 km (110 miles) SSE of Tsu, Honshu, Japan

175 km (110 miles) SSW of Hamamatsu, Honshu, Japan

210 km (130 miles) ESE of Wakayama, Honshu, Japan

365 km (230 miles) SW of TOKYO, Japan

 

 

 

 

 

VOLCANOES

Around the world with the most interesting and relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre.  Or see “Breaking Volcano Eruption News”.

 

ONCE AGAIN, FOR THE SECOND WEEK IN A ROW, WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY PICKED UP SLIGHTLY WITH SOME VIGOROUS EMMISSIONS AND ACTIVE ERUPTIONS in Japan and on Reunion Island.  Kilauea remains silent but Etna has resumed the flow of lava this week.  (This is a fairly subjective guestimate based on the numbers and data reported by the SWVC, quake data, and other reports)

 

Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion) was quite active this past week along with Asama in Japan.

 

Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of September Day 8 2004

 

7 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment) (same as last week)

 

46 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may begin) (up 2 from last week)

 

21 on active list (seismic, gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (same as last week)

 

Popo gave a 12 puff day yesterday.  Centrapred reports for September 8 (17:00 GMT) that “"In the last 24 hours the monitoring system of Popocatepetl volcano, recorded only 12 low intensity exhalations accompanied by steam and gas emissions. The other monitored parameters remain without important changes. At the moment of this report we cannot distinguish fumarolic activity."

 

 

MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK

from Volcano Breaking News by Volcanologist John Seach

Volcano Travel:  john@volcanolive.com

Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian Time (UT + 10 hr)

Mt Etna (Italy)
37.73 N, 15.00 E, summit elevation  3350 m, Shield volcano
Wednesday 8th September 2004
A new fissure opened up on the southeast side of Mt etna volcano yesterday and emitted an effusive lava flow 170m long. This is the first new emissions of lava since 2002.
More on Mt Etna Volcano...

Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion)
21.22 S, 55.71 E, summit elevation 2631 m, shield volcano
Tuesday 7th September 2004
The eruption of Piton de la Fournaise volcano stopped on Thursday 2nd September and resumed two days later. Volcanic tremor returned, and the eruption continued to grow over the weekend, with an important lava flow observed on Monday morning at 1500m elevation. The lava flow was very fluid and there is a possibility that it might reach the sea. This eruption has already created 9 hectares of new land at the coast, and three new craters formed on the lava bench.
More on Piton de la Fournaise volcano...

Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion)
21.22 S, 55.71 E, summit elevation 2631 m, shield volcano
Friday 3rd September 2004
Yesterday, two new vents formed at sea level, at the end of the lava bench, and ejected lava to a height of 60-80m. There is danger of bench collapse, so the area is off limits to the public. A new viewing area will be created this weekend at a safe location.
More on Piton de la Fournaise volcano...

Asama Volcano (Japan)
36.40 N, 138.53 E, summit elevation 2560 m, complex volcano
Friday 3rd September 2004
The eruption Wednesday night of Mt. Asama, which straddles Gunma and Nagano prefectures, emitted volcanic ash over nearby areas, with potentially devastating consequences for many farmers and businesses. Concern is mounting over the impact the ash could have on agricultural products, particularly cabbages that are a speciality of the region. In Naganoharamachi, Gunma Prefecture, rain that started falling Thursday morning mixed with the ash to turn cabbages ready to be harvested a blackish colour. The rain washed the ash right down to the stems of the cabbage leaves. Ash fell in 10 towns and villages in the prefecture, including Naganoharamachi, Agatsumamachi and Katashinamura. In a region abounding with fields of cabbage, lettuce, Chinese cabbage and other leafy vegetables, minimizing the extent of the damage is a paramount priority. Rain began falling in areas around Mt. Asama at about Wednesday midnight. The summit of the volcano was covered in cloud and mist, making it difficult to tell from the foot of the mountain if the eruption was continuing. 
More on Asama volcano...

Piton de la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion)
21.22 S, 55.71 E, summit elevation 2631 m, shield volcano
Thursday 2nd September 2004
The impressive eruption continues at Piton de la Fournaise volcano in Reunion. On Tuesday, a cone appeared at the end of the lava flow in the ocean! The cone was active and ejected lava and gases. It is not yet clear whether the oceanic cone originated from the August 25 lava flow, or it is a new fissure. 
More on Piton de la Fournaise volcano...

Asama Volcano (Japan)
36.40 N, 138.53 E, summit elevation 2560 m, complex volcano
Thursday 2nd September 2004
Asama volcano erupted on Wednesday 1st September. The eruption was preceded on Tuesday by 116 tremors, and 177 by 5pm on Wednesday. Volcanic rock and ash has spread about a mile from the crater, and volcanic tremor was continuing. A local meteorological station in Karuizawa in Nagano Prefecture recorded a huge explosion and shock waves at the time of the eruption. Police in nearby Komoro said they received dozens of phone calls from residents reporting the sound of a large bang. Television footage showed a red glow lighting up the night sky from the eruption, which occurred shortly after 8 p.m. The eruption set fire to forest on the volcano slopes. A ranch in the town of Naganohara in Gunma Prefecture, about 20 km north of the mountain, was hit by a shower of molten rock at around 8:50 p.m. Volcanic ash falls were observed in Tochigi and Fukushima prefectures. The height of emissions was not observed due to cloud cover. There were no reports of casualties although some 50 people, mostly tourists, evacuated voluntarily. The Meteorological Agency lifted its activity rating for Mount Asama to 3. Residents have been advised to stay away from the crater. The eruption was the biggest at the volcano in 21 years. The mountain has shown signs of volcanic activity since June 2002 and repeated tiny eruptions occurred between February and April last year. Asama volcano is 30 miles southeast of Nagano, site of the 1998 Winter Olympics.
More on Asama volcano...

 

 

 

Standing Assessment:  Likely, it is fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical, moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. 

 

 

BLACK ARTS NATION

 

STAY TUNED.  We are just on the front edge of “the outing”….

 

 

 

 

 

ECONOMY WATCH 

 

 

BREAKING NEWS:

Delta Airlines to cut employment by thousands and abandon its Dallas Hub operations.  Greenspan shines on and ignores the growing signs of recession…

 

AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED

CONFIRMED CONFIRMED CONFIRMED

 

-----AS PREDICTED IN PREVIOUS WEEKS: “Conditions are clearly tilting SOUTH, as in a decline down hill.  The Bush League Boom is over before it started.”

 

All economic indicators for July were down and we are not far from the Ides of September, by which we will know the most important indicators

 

Beware the IDES OF SEPTEMBER IN ALL FINANCIAL MARKETS.  Emotions will be depressed, the plutocracy will begin to feel that its free ride under Bush is nearly over, confidence will be shot, and numbers will be slip-sliding away.

 

BREAKING NEWS: Time to take notice that Greenspan (in the AP article below) has stepped up to the table to jawbone support for the Bush-league economic bubble (such as it is in these threadbare times of seedy statistics).  AS I PREDICTED IN THE “COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006” nearly a year and a half ago, the Ubermensch are now busying themselves this Fall with huffing and puffing the economy into a some vague semblance of a recovery in order to push their brainwashed legions into thinking that all is well enough to vote once again to elect the Imperial Faction to the Presidency through the person of George W. Bush..

 

As you read the AP article below please feel free to challenge any statement in the article.  Many of them are obviously just vague and empty lines of schmooze.  Keep in mind that layoffs in the airline and auto industries, such as have been recently announced, have always been associated with an on-coming RECESSION.  So where does Greenspan get his idea of “traction” in the economy?  For no answer, read on in vain, my friends, this AP piece below is just another brick in the wall of lies which have become habitual for the governing class.

 

Associated Press

http://biz.yahoo.com/ap/040908/greenspan_18.html

 

Greenspan: Economy Regained Some Traction

Wednesday September 8, 5:11 pm ET

By Martin Crutsinger, AP Economics Writer

Greenspan Says Economy Regaining Some Traction After Spring Slowdown From Spike in Oil Prices

 

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan told Congress on Wednesday that the economy has "regained some traction" after a lull in late spring, reinforcing expectations of higher interest rates during the final stretch of the presidential campaign.

 

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Greenspan said the economic pickup follows a "soft patch" caused in large part by soaring energy prices.

 

"The most recent data suggest that, on the whole, the expansion has regained some traction," said the Fed chief, who offered his latest thoughts on the economy in an appearance before the House Budget Committee.

 

The modestly upbeat assessment two months before Election Day comes as President Bush and Democratic John Kerry clash over the economy and jobs.

 

A Federal Reserve survey of the economic climate said activity expanded in July and August. Many Fed regions reported modest growth. The St. Louis region, however, said business conditions were improving slowly; San Francisco reported solid gains.

 

Consumer spending, the lifeblood of the economy, showed mixed results across the Fed's 12 regions.

 

Economists viewed Greenspan's comments and the latest Fed survey as signs of a third rise this year in short-term interest rates when Fed policy-makers next meet, on Sept. 21.

 

Economists expect the Fed to increase a key rate to 1.75 percent from the current 1.50 percent.

 

"The indications are that we are emerging from a soft spot and that Greenspan is giving a green light to another interest rate increase," said Ken Mayland, president of ClearView Economics.

 

Incumbent politicians normally are unhappy if the Fed raises interest rates close to an election.

 

But this time, many private economists believe the Fed probably is helping Bush's campaign by signaling an intention to keep lifting rates. Such an approach supports the administration's view that the economy has begun to emerge from the recent slowdown, they said.

 

On Wall Street, investors, looking past Greenspan's hopeful economic remarks, sent stocks lower. The Dow Jones industrials lost 29.43 points to close at 10,313.36.

 

Analysts say the economy, which grew at a 2.8 percent rate in the April-to-June quarter, picked up momentum in the July-to-September quarter. They estimate growth rates from 3 percent to just over 4 percent.

 

Job growth rebounded somewhat in August. Payrolls expanded by 144,000, the most since May. Still, there are 913,000 fewer jobs since Bush took office in January 2001.

 

Bush says his tax cuts have helped the economy rebound and that making them permanent will create more jobs. Kerry contends that Bush's policies benefit the wealthy, squeeze the middle class, are not producing a significant number of jobs and have burdened the federal deficit.

 

The Congressional Budget Office is projecting a $422 billion deficit this year. That is a record in dollar terms but an improvement from a January forecast for a larger, $477 billion shortfall.

 

Greenspan said he believed the tax cuts were well-timed to help the economy bounce back from the 2001 recession. But he agreed the government could have taken other steps that might have provided an even bigger boost to growth. He did not elaborate.

 

Greenspan said he believed that were it not for surging oil prices this year, the United States would "still be seeing some very strong growth." He refused to say precisely how the costlier oil had crimped economic activity.

 

The chairman did largely blame rising energy prices for a big slowdown in consumer spending in the second quarter. Consumer spending bounced back in July after a weak June, Greenspan said. Early readings on retail sales in August have been mixed.

 

As he has done previously, Greenspan urged Congress to reinstate budget rules from the 1990s. They required that any tax cuts or increases in benefit programs such as Social Security be paid for either by higher taxes or spending cuts elsewhere.

 

He repeated a warning that Congress must act to address the long-term deficit problems before the retirement of the baby boom generation at the end of this decade.

 

"As a nation, we may have already made promises to coming generations of retirees that we will be unable to fulfill," he told lawmakers.

 

Greenspan has suggested that Congress consider raising the retirement age for receiving full Social Security benefits or a less generous annual cost-of-living adjustment as ways to trim payments to baby boomers.

 

FOR THE LASTEST DETAILED DISCUSSION

 

See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004

 

FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION FOR THIS YEAR,

 

 See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004

 

GENERAL PREDICTION DJI AVERAGES

 

The DJI finished September Day 8 at 10,313.36 up about $150 from last Wednesday at 10,168.46.  We are very very close to the top of the market for the next several years.

 

WE ARE ON THE CUSP. 

 

AS PREDICTED LAST FEW WEEKS: THIS IS PROBABLY THE

MINI BUBBLE FOR SEPTEMBER

 

PREDICTION OF PREVIOUS WEEKS

CONFIRMED CONFIRMED CONFIRMED

THANK YOU ALAN GREENSPAN,

CHIEF FINANCIAL MARKETS SORCERER:

“PAY ATTENTION:  All the King’s Sorcerers and All the King’s Bagmen will conspire earnestly after the Republican convention this next week to lift the markets.  But it isn’t going to work very well.”

 

The cut in auto production and the collapse of Delta Airlines trumps the politicos.  These are merely the tip of iceberg.

 

Hot air might have worked for a rebound through September and October for a few hundred points. But I doubt the hot air is going to rise it much for very long.

 

AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:  Don’t wait for Christmas Retail Sales…they will be disappointing, depress the stock values, and lead into the final economic collapse.  When the DJI is above 10,000, liquidate anything you have in all such equities anywhere.  The DJI MAY HIT 10,500 AGAIN during late September but DON’T COUNT ON IT.  And if it does, it will be only a signal spike which will break the market for many months, if not many years.

 

FOR THE LAST CURRENT DETAILED DISCUSSIONS SEE:

See the Earth Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004

 

EURO WATCH 

 

The softening of the dollar continues.  The dollar closed today at

0.8207 up very slightly from 0.8202 per euro a week ago.

 

WHEN PETRO PER BARREL GOES DOWN FOR MORE THAN A COUPLE OF  WEEKS IN A ROW, WATCH THE DOLLAR SLIDE.

 

The softening  probably will continue.  The overall erosion is likely to slowly continue through the year and may bottom at $0.70 per euro by the end of 2004.

 

MUST READ:  “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, which lays out the dynamics of what is happening

 

 

 

 

 

SURVIVAL WATCH

 

FOOD WATCH

 

For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

 

JOB WATCH

 

For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

 

 

 

SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME).  But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted.  Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year.  ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES:  The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services.  This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah.  I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM.

 

POLITICAL WATCH

For general overview on the Tragedy in Iraq and the Bureau-Political Civil War in Washington DC, I highly recommend Tom Dispatch.

 

 

STAND PAT – See Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 7 2004

 

THE WORLD AWAITS THE DEPARTURE OF THE BUSH REGIME. 

 

IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY THAT THE MOST DECISIVE AMMUNITION AGAINST THE IMPERIAL FACTION IS YET TO BE LOBBED….

 

THE SENSE OF MORAL OUTRAGE IS STILL BUILDING

 

…PEOPLE ARE WAITING FOR THE RIGHT TIMING…

 

…I HAVE THIS FEELING THAT FIREWORKS WILL EMERGE IN OCTOBER. 

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Bush remains in every way an “untouchable” international pariah such as has not been seen since the days of Stalin. The problem is the lying. To touch this tar baby, one risks becoming befouled with the lies from even the barest minimum of association.  WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IS ANYONE’S GUESS. American politics has never been so unpredictable. Doubtless the Bush Administration and virtually the entire Imperial Faction is or will be caught up in legal issues and press controversies which will pile higher and higher.  To counter the attacks and legal moves against them, the Bush-iters will use every sorcery they can contrive to conceal everything which is not nailed down in plain site in front of the New York Times.  They will even chip away at that late at night.   They will use Saddam Hussein in every way possible to rationalize their existence, deeds, and legitimacy to be re-elected.  Every lie and form of bigotry they have ever used will be retred to denigrate Kerry, Edwards, Nader, and every other candidate for lower office.  The meltdown of U.S. politics into a world-class cesspool manipulated by a sordid class of third rate sorcerers will be nearly complete. 

 

BUT PERHAPS THIS IS JUST AN ANNEALING PROCESS, THE TIME OF THE EXPOSIING AND BURNING AWAY OF THE CRAP.  PERHAPS WE ARE NOW FINALLY FIGHTING IN ONE OF THE LAST CHAPTERS IN THE STRUGGLE FOR THE SOUL OF  AMERICA WHICH BEGAN ON THE STREETS OF BERKELEY WITH THE FREE SPEECH MOVEMENT AND THE REALIZATION THAT THE VIETNAM WAR WAS A HIDDEOUS MISTAKE.

 

 

 

 

A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven so much of the past 50 years….

 

From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly collapses.

 

All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty!

 

 

THE STRATEGIC SITUATIONFinal Synopsis
For predictions related to the mess in Palestine, the Middle East, and the Bush political era.

 

THE ENTIRE WORLD CONTINUES TO WITNESS THE AMERICAN IMPASSE IN IRAQ, which has left the U.S. Military adrift without a rudder AND NOW MISSING ITS PADDLES whilst attempting a turn-around far up the proverbial creek.  Each week, the morass of violence increases….this is a trendline which spells defeat for the Americans.

 

NEW THIS WEEK:  For the first time in over a year, somebody other than the Americans have made a profound mistake.  The crude and murderous attack against the school children in Russia may be the beginning of the end of terrorism in the name of Islam.  It was a profoundly stupid strategic error which fully and finally reveals who the terrorists really are.  Most of Islam will rise to condemn the attacks and many more will make cause to bring higher moral authority to bear in the Middle East over Palestine and Iraq.  This will destroy some of the momentum which Alqaeda has built up.  As such, this could be the beginning of the end of the Alqaeda radical jihad movement and its fellow traveler groups.

 

AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS:  The strategic impasse which has paralyzed the American military machine continues while time erodes the viability of the American position in Iraq, throughout the world, and indeed, within North America.  Once again, the initiative is likely to be taken up in the Mid-east by the growing legions of radical jihadists in Gaza, the West Bank, in Iraq, in Saudi Arabia, and in many other venues. 

 

AN AUTHENTIC ISLAMIC MORAL AUTHORITY IS ARISING AND IS BEGINNING TO FORGE A COALITION TO UNIFY IRAQ AND BRING CIRCUMSTANCES TO THE POINT WHERE THE AMERICANS CAN BE ASKED TO LEAVE.  QUICKLY. 

 

THE ARRANGEMENTS WILL BE FORGED BY JANUARY.  MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT, THE MULLAHS WILL ARRANGE THE ELECTION OF A GOVERNMENT WHICH ASSERTS ITS SOVEREIGNTY AND ASKS THE U.S. TO LEAVE VIRTUALLY IMMEDIATELY.

 

PASS THE WORD: THIS IS HOW IT WILL END IN IRAQ, NEITHER BY BUSH NOR BY KERRY. 

 

AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: The U.S. Ship of State sails through extremely dangerous historical waters.  Major tragedies which change the course of history can occur at any moment.  Al Qaeda has the U.S. just exactly where they want it, its military extended and exposed to the grenades of  an endless Arab "snipe hunt" across a vast unfriendly territory which ranges from Palestine to Pakistan.  Al Qaeda uses random attacks like the lances of bullfighters, to weaken and confuse the American Bull.  Their strategy is winning, mainly because Bush, Rumsfeld and his Imperial Faction are incompetent buffoons and continue to step into the traps Al Qaeda lays as well as hand-delivering on a silver platter an oafish continuation of the killing fields of Iraq.  An astute leader could turn the entire situation around in 120 days but none has arisen among the Americans. 

 

STAND PAT ON  the latest dossier, see the Earth Changes Bulletin Update as of  July 7, 2004

Michael Wells Mandeville,
The Hills of Arizona USA at mwman@earthlink.net
Master Website Index is at: http://www.michaelmandeville.com

Author of  several books, including: "Return of the Phoenix" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/phoenix/phoenix.htm
and "The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006" at
http://www.michaelmandeville.com/calendar/collapse2006.htm
_________________________________________________
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