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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright September 1 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE |
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of September
1 2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth
Report" - a short review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic
changes in the Sun and the Earth are effecting our lives more and more
intensely, with the latest prognostications and predictions for weathermen,
farmers, investors, businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week,
or use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Sept_1_04.htm BEWARE
HURRICANE FRANCIS This
is more probable than not a Category Five Grand Slam into the middle of THE COSMIC FORCES BRIEFLY MUTED ON
THE EARTH PLANE THIS PAST WEEK BUT ALREADY A RESURGENCE
FROM THE SOLAR VORTEX IS GROWING AND WILL PUSH WEATHER AND HUMANS TO
EXTREMES. AMONG THE NATIONS, AL QAEDA,
OBVIOUSLY HOPING TO DIMIINSH THE TURN TO PEACE IN On the geophysical
front,
FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING SUMMER, the next major peak of sunspots will
probably hit 180 plus during the first week of September to produce VERY WET
LATE SUMMER STORMS . But Earth’s
tectonics remain calm. Volcanism remains largely muted with the
calming of Kilauea and Etna, even despite four minor eruptions in Africa and On the geopolitical
front,
BEWARE THE NEXT 60 DAYS. As the Imperial Faction continues to lose its
hypnotic mindlock on the American public, vigorous
effort and stupendous sums are being expended on manufacturing FEAR AND THE WILL TO VIOLENT
REACTIONS. The greater portion of the
Republican National Convention is lavishing praise and adulation on “Der Fuhrer” (German for National Leader). Along with this weird and endless spectacle,
we see the endless repetition of fear and loathing mantras to raise THE WILL
TO ENDLESS INTERNATIONAL WAR led by “Der Fuhrer” against
the Enemies and Evil-doers. The
nakedness of the lies is stunning. The
boldness of this starkly Hitlerian strategy is jaw-dropping But will
they work?….THAT is not easy to determine.
Save possibly for this, the economy is now
in free fall and this inconvenient fact is likely to invoke more real fear to
vote for a change than the Merchants of Imperialism can contrive for their
masters. On this front, beware the Ides of September. |
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hidden column on the right is available for
links, banners, and icons of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made
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MUST HAVE BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational PREVIOUS UPDATES |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth Changes
Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these
Bulletins, see the Earth Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmontor/ |
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SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since may 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF SEPTEMBER 1,
2004: All projections are on track. This month and next more probable than not
are the last months of the last bubble in this 25 year leg of the long term
economic cycle. When equities begin to
slide this Fall, they will hunt up and down sporadically as the chaos deepens
through 2005. Absolute Bottom will be
found in 2006 or in 2007 and a very slow increase (not driven by Bull
speculation) will probably begin to manifest in 2008. In the interim period, most of the “Fortune
500” will disappear in their current form and their remnants will reappear as
vastly different companies.. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF AUGUST 11, 2004: Once
again, the Collapse 2006 book TRACKS the unfolding real dynamics, except that
the forecasted events are tending to manifest three to fours months
earlier. All economic indicators for this July 2004 are DOWN except of
course the BIG ONE is UUUUUP (you know what it is, don’t you?). Yes of
course, OIL is climbing rapidly, partly based on a 34% increase this year in
world demand created largely in LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF JULY 21, 2004 – Several important economic
factors and/or indicators are now declining – IF TWO MORE MONTHS OF DECLINES
ARE FOUND IN THE KEY FACTORS, IT WILL BE MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT THAT
THE DJI HAS PEAKED AND IS NOW HEADED PROGRESSIVELY DOWN. ACCORDINGLY,
SEPTEMBER 2004 WILL REVEAL WHETHER THE 25 YEAR ECONOMIC DECLINE HAS FINALLY
HIT. IF THE MESSAGE IS “YES”, the Kerry-Edwards ticket most likely will
win decisively and the Republican control of Congress most likely will be
“cracked”. But there is room for considerable movement in all positions
among large numbers of people and it is clear that many events in this
fast-paced, unpredictable year could deflect ALL expectations. |
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HOUSEKEEPING Some portions of this week’s update was prepared one day early on Tuesday, August 17, others
one day later than usual, on August 19. MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. |
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As stated in the “Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire
Earth. Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to
making a new Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to
it. Not by a long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to
dissolve the blockages and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts
and minds of a great mass of humanity, EVEN AS the merchants of dominance,
hate, revenge,
and violence appear to crow even more loudly on the world stage or can be
found eagerly arranging a major increase in the tempo of bombs explosions to
murder and maime even more people. A consciousness is gathering greater focus
to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism and
militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse
towards peaceful solutions. Look for it. Greet
it. Nourish it with love. AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
BREATH
FREE. Let go of
everything which is disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of
everything which is forced, contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or
constrictive. Keep flowing with the rising tide of spiritual energies which
are filling many thirsty souls. The old patterns are falling
away. Transition continues. Embrace new relationships which are trying
to form in your life if they are honest and straightforward and provide a new
openness. Forget the fears of the unknown, embrace all that which lifts your
life into the light of a greater understanding and relationship with the all. EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN PEOPLE ARE
CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE SO. In a
short while, some will come forth giving witness to
a great energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of
God was upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these
words will have greater meaning by the end of the year. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these
ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us
that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For
additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The Y Max point, reported three weeks ago, has been passed
and the North Spin Axis appears to moving fairly normally after giving us a bumpy
peak. AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS: We have passed the “Y
Max” last week. Y Max is the point in the spiral track of the North Spin Axis
when it is moving as far to the left on the XY chart of polar motion which is
maintained by the IERS agency in As the Spin Axis begins its return towards the X Axis, the
seismic activity may mirror what happened as it was moving outwards.
This may occur during the next Full Moon or New Moon in September. http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past year: a magnetic pole shift
is not something to be very concerned about within this decade at least. Currently, there is little of note. Despite many
claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical
analysis of many different regions of the Earth. |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids)
are on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are
finding new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar AS REPORTED LAST WEEK:
A new almanac is being constructed.
The links above are the main sources I use. I am now going to incorporate them directly
into the Bulletin Updates. It still is not complete. August is a
bad time to get real work accomplished. August is for people to relate
to each other and the REALLY real world. LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR Sept. 2004 Distance Full 30-Aug 2:23 378,000 km (rounded) Perigee 27-Aug 5:38 365105
km F-2d20h Apogee 8-Sep 2:43 404462
km N-6d11h New 14-Sep 14:29 Perigee 22-Sep 21:13 369599
km F-5d15h Full 28-Sep 13:09 Apogee 5-Oct 22:11 404326
km F+7d 9h For the remainder of 2004, see the August
25 EC Update TODAY’S MOON We are still in Lunation #1010 with the next New Moon on September
14 at 14:28 UTC. As of September 1, the Moon this day is North of the
Equator (in its North Node) 17 days past
the New Moon. It is now approximately 388,000 KM from the Earth. It is still
90% of the Full Moon (visibility or phase). The next Perigee is Sept 22,
about 5 and a half days before the next Full Moon. SEISMIC SYZYGY WINDOWS We are still in the August Full Moon Perigee syzygy but
the influence is waning rapidly and should disappear by September 3. Since September 8 is the Apogee of the
Moon, seismic activity should null out at the lowest levels through to about
September 11. Thereafter, seismic
activity should gradually pick up in tempo and magnitudes through to
September 16, hold steady or dip for a few days, then increase suddenly on
about September 20 through to September 24 for the Perigee, thereafter dip
again, and then perhaps increase somewhat once again for the Full Moon on
September 28. September’s seismic
activity should be somewhat weaker over all than August’s. The next two strongest seismic syzygies for
2004 will be the New Moon of November 12 (Perigee within less than two days)
and December 12 (Perigee within 20 hours). For describing the peak danger periods for the most
damaging earthquakes. these Perigee syzygies I will define arbitrarily as November 10 – November 16 December 10 – December 15 Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the
most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for
computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater precision. For details see the Syzygy website
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the
planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page,
you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you
do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the
Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is
7, From August 3 to September 8, the three closest inner
planets have been and will be in very close angles to each other. Mercury will align with Venus on September 8 to finish up
a probably tempestuous season of exceptional solar activity. LIST OF ALIGNMENTS THROUGH SEPTEMBER 2004 Mercury | Venus ***Mars is in near alignment with Jupiter as Mercury
catches up to form a nearly a straight alignment with Mercury, within 5
degrees, with all other planets widely dispersed ***Mercury | Mars | Jupiter perfected PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR THE NEXT 10 MONTHS For the next 10 months, four particular periods stand out
for their potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and
pull out huge ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the
Earth’s weather. The Summer Knot July 27 through
September 8 Major ups and downs in the sunspot counts, at least three major storm fronts betwixt
now and September 15 or so. The Triple Whammy September Surprise September
28, 2004 - October
1, 2004 Mercury | Mars | Jupiter in a triple alignment Spots peak about the Fall Equinox and Weather turns into
chaos by about October 1, followed by extreme
Fall flooding by the middle of October in the usual places. The Apogee At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY
STORMY WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June 7,
2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NO CHANGE THIS WEEK NASA REPORTS ON URANUS:
“This week Uranus and Earth are having a close encounter. Uranus will
be "at opposition" on August 27th, which means it's opposite the
sun in the sky and as near to Earth as it gets: about 1.7 billion miles. Because close encounters with Uranus are,
in fact, so distant, the planet is not easy to see. Shining like a 6th
magnitude star, Uranus is barely--barely!--visible to the unaided eye from
the darkest observing sites. You can try to find it in the constellation
Aquarius an hour or so after sunset.” MWM: Because it is
in near perfect alignment with the Earth, it will rise as the Sun sets. At midnight it should be close to the
middle of the sky along the Zodiac belt. |
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The Sunspot Count on August 31 was 11 after falling
sharply along with the Solar Flux Index.
The Solar Flux sunk to 87 and then leveled off. MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT:
Spots and flux counts will rise today and for the next additional few
days. Peak could be well over 150. AS
PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED: the alignment on
September 8, 2004 between Mercury | Venus
should bring another high spike in the Sunspot Count, at least as high as
160. This peak should form up about
September One and bring late Summer storms no later than September 10. MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23 JULY’S
AVERAGE DAILY COUNT IN THE ISSN SERIES WAS UP BY NEARLY 10 FROM 43.2 TO
51. Somewhere the Sun took a wrong turn. This rise in the count
is in the opposite direction to where it should be going. August’s
average, which is predicted by computers to drop to 34, may also hover near
50.. Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March 2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at
48.9 April’s count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was SLIGHTLY HIGHER
THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an average count of 43.2. and July took as
even higher to an average count of 51.
August could also be higher than the predicted average sunspot
curves (based on computer modeling of the Solar Sunspot Cycles) and probably
will be higher than June but lower than July. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Solar Wind was robust at 472.2 km/s this day while
pushing a density of 1.0 protons/cm3”. GENERAL
CONSENSUS: NO CHANGE FROM LAST
THURSDAY - Not much solar activity of note, not much is likely during the
next 48 hours, very little probability of disturbances felt on Earth. The Fluxgate Chart
at the A major rise in the Planetary A Index (a measure of the
Earth’s magnetic field in the atmosphere) showed a large spike of about 35 on
August 30 (normally this Index hovers around 10 most of the time). This
disturbance was well displayed in the Fluxgate Charts. NASA AURORA WATCH: “ NASA PREDICTS AS OF SEPTEMBER
1: During the next 24/48 hours, probability
for an M-class solar flare is at 10% and for an X-class solar flare is at 1%,
with a generally 1% to 30% probability for minor to severe geomagnetic
disturbances during the next 24/48 hours, depending upon latitude (higher the
latitude, higher the probability). Jan Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was
unsettled to major storm on August 31. Solar wind speed ranged between 363
and 548 km/sec under the influence of a high speed stream from coronal hole
CH111...Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on 2.8 GHz was 88.1. The planetary A index was 28 (STAR Ap - based on the mean of three hour
interval ap indices: 28.5)...At midnight the visible disk was spotless. The solar
flare activity level was moderate. A total of 1 M class event was recorded
during the day...A poorly defined coronal hole
(CH111) in the northern hemisphere was in a geoeffective position on August
27-29. Jan Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active on September 1 due to a coronal hole flow. Quiet to unsettled is likely on September 2-4.“ Alvestad also
predicts a 0% probability of coronal holes, a 0% probability of CME’s, and a 0%
probability of M and/or X Class Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. FOLLOWING THE SUNSPOTS, CURRENTLY ALL CONDITIONS ARE CALMING OR MUTING DOWN. BUT SOON CONDITIONS WILL GATHER GREATER FORCE AS SUNSPOTS
CLIMB, AND THIS IS LIKELY TO OCCUR WITH HURRICANE FRANCIS AS OBSERVED LAST MONTH: weather patterns are tweaked
out into chaotic extremes which fit no averages or generalities. Forget
predictions, expect anything. THIS CONDITION WILL PERSIST THROUGH SEPTEMBER,
CHAOS ALTERNATING WITH PERIODS OF CALMING. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. BEWARE
HURRICANE FRANCIS This
is more probable than not a Category Five Grand Slam into the middle of WATCH
THE SUNSPOTS, ON WHICH ALL THINGS IN THE WEATHER TURN. IF THE NUMBER GOES UP TOMORROW, I HIGHLY
RECOMMEND SPENDING TIME ANYWHERE ELSE BUT STAND PAT: IS ANY PATTERN ANYWHERE NORMAL?
Nope. I can’t keep up with it and therefore won’t. MORE OF
THE SAME. No predictions will call the tune for any
area. More extremes during the next 30
days will be quite “normal”. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. STANDING PREDICTION FOR THIS SUMMER: The output of
the Sun is currently too volatile and unpredictable. Accordingly,
expect 50% probability of anything. This is my last prediction related to
general weather patterns for this summer. HAS
“FALL” COME? For
remarks related to the early Fall Season see the Weather Section in the August
25 EC Update PATTERN TO WATCH: Global
Warming could easily intensify the seasons, making a short bitterly cold
Winter, longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and shorter but
very hot and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at work in the
Northern Hemisphere? SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This “sloppycast” is based on six years of
living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary
alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar. For a large part of the elevations below 4000 feet in the Southwest, the general
drought in the Everything is dry as a bone in
the Sonoran Desert Plain. Apparently, for drought-hit areas, no relief is in
sight. Only the Winter of 2005 remains
a hope at this point. At this point,
everyone in the Southwest should begin to pray in earnest for a HUGE El Nino
effect. During the last El Nino, the Southwest received substantial
water. On this score, Fortune may shine. See
below. |
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EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:
El Nino on the way, more probable than not - OR MAYBE NOT!!!! Conditions in the Mid Pacific have taken quite a dramatic
turn away from the Classic El Nino Build Up Pattern of warm water gradually
building up along the Equator between the coast of Instead, a huge spot of warm water,
considerably above average range, has concentrated in the zone between Beyond this, we are flying into Weather chaos. Until a RECOGNIZABLE trend forms up, it is
impossible to predict what is going to happen on this front. THIS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED ITEM WILL
PROBABLY NEED REVISION DURING THE NEXT 30 DAYS: “Purely in accordance with the X Wave
correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model, I PREDICT AN EL NINO IN 2005. In accordance with
the trend in Global Warming, I PREDICT A VERY STRONG EL NINO, which should produce a very wet, warm winter for the Pacific
coast and the Southwest. Hopefully this will finally break the
drought in the ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance
with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s
Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods
seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as
April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early
Spring 2005. |
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KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC,
ANTARCTIC, and the desert zones. These areas are the most objective
front line observatories of the climate shift. |
GLOBAL WARMING It is becoming obvious that we have a long term
real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the
latitudes. This climate shift is creating a growing environmental
disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the
Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004 No new comments this week. Many more reports keep coming in about major changes in
the Arctic, from As well, many new findings about the Sun, the record of climate in the ice, and from other sources, are
circulating in greater variety than ever, all seeming to parallel with the
idea of an accelerating warm up. We are no doubt seeing a rising tide of
change data coming at us and it will get heavier still. It is apparent from these many reports that “global
warming” is accelerating climate shifts and ecological changes around the
world. These changes are so varied in such great quantity, it is
difficult to summarize the shifts which are going on but it is impossible to
ignore them. For latest comments on Global Warming, Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25, 2004 For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how
to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and
tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004 |
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IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR Emotional reactions should begin to turn hot again just
after September 2. CONFIRMED: AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED: The ionic
flux and the human contradictions of denial have focused people into thinking
and plotting intensely their next round of moves within a highly polarized
mental and emotional atmosphere. Expect heavy choppiness in all things
human. Sudden shifts, both good and ill, everywhere. Recently
there has been a strong chop in the polls against Bush. But as the year
progresses, the polls could begin to chop the other way for a spell (by a
spell) as the mass mind focuses on other things. It will take at least
another six months for these factors to smooth out….Since the emotional
damage inflicted this past four years has been so severe, psychological
conditions may not smooth out until the beginning of the next solar cycle
sometime in 2006/07. |
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EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and
potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of
danger. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake
activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above. Unfortunately there are many lags
in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of quakes
nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate. Real time
analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON INCOMPLETE
INFORMATION. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS, Jim
Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication than
I do. See Syzygy.com Activity was decidedly below average in frequency and
magnitude for the past seven days, which included a close Perigee Full Moon.
Even veteran quake forecaster Jim Berkland was confounded and his predictions
for the past several days were wide of the mark. Quake activity in the world (for all quakes 3.0 and
greater in magnitude) generally was randomized but four areas were much more
heavily hit than all others: There was only one quake above 5.7 in magnitude: a 6.5 quake in the In all this, there were no obvious patterns, no other hot
spots, and except for . Three shape-shifter quakes occurred during the past seven
days, all three scattered around the margin of the Antarctica Plate. COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR AS PREVIOUSLY
OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a
major destructive quake could now strike at any time in SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH No reports to add this week SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of
the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the
Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy
vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around
the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which
list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the
quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.) For
additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the
Earth, go to Plate
Tectonics Map The USGS World Chart for the past seven days shows three
shape-shifter quakes in the Great Oceanic Rift along the margin of Antarctica
Tectonic Plate. One was in the Indian Ocean, the other two were between Antarctica and Magnitude 5.1 Friday, August 27, 2004 at 20:26:53 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_mrbz.html center Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones Location 57.59S
25.63W Depth 60.1
kilometers Region Reference 140 km
(85 miles) SE of Visokoi Island, 165 km (105 miles) NNE of 3555 km (2210 miles) SSE of Magnitude 4.9 SOUTHEAST INDIAN RIDGE Monday, August 30, 2004 at 06:19:42 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_muam.html Location 50.01S
111.89E Depth 10.0
kilometers Region SOUTHEAST
INDIAN RIDGE Reference 2040 km
(1260 miles) S of Location Quality Error
estimate: horizontal +/- 28.8 km; depth +/- 0.0 km Magnitude 4.8 WEST OF Wednesday, September 01, 2004 at 04:55:26 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_mwau.html Location 53.82S
140.12E Depth 10.0
kilometers Region WEST
OF Reference 1320 km
(820 miles) SSW of 1815 km (1130 miles) S of Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity
which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables
which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of
the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in
magnitude.
Any
numbers used in this section may or may not be accurate and may or may not
reflect what will eventually appear in scientific databases. Seismic activity in North America overall for quakes in
the range of 1.0 and over was up this past week for the past seven days, but
not by much. 464 quakes in U.S./Alaska as a whole, up one whole quake from
463 the prior week. 327 in 49 small microtremors in the PNW, down from 60 last week, widely
scattered in Washington State; there many small quakes in the bottom of Puget
Sound as well as a 1.9 mag quake in the throat of St. Helens and at least
three new quakes probably related to Tahoma (Rainier). 16 in 6
in the Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude. For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE. Activity this past seven days continued to pick up with 39
quakes in WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES The Magnitude 6.5 CHILE-ARGENTINA BORDER REGION Saturday, August 28, 2004 at 13:41:29 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_msat.html Location 34.81S
70.30W Depth 10.0
kilometers Region CHILE-ARGENTINA
BORDER REGION Reference 145 km
(90 miles) ENE of 150 km (90 miles) SSE of 180 km (115 miles) W of 230 km (140 miles) SSE of Remarks Power
outages occurred at Cauquenes, Curico,
San Javier and Quakes rarely happen here.
This quake is very close to the Longitude down which the North Spin
Axis is tending to drift with greater acceleration during the past 15 years. Magnitude 4.6 SOUTHAMPTON ISLAND, Thursday, August 26, 2004 at 23:11:37 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_mqcr.html Location 64.75N
86.27W Depth 18.0
kilometers Region SOUTHAMPTON
ISLAND, Reference 165 km
(100 miles) WNW of Coral Harbour, 200 km (125 miles) S of Repulse Bay, 870 km (540 miles) WNW of IQALUIT, 1410 km (870 miles) ENE of Source Geological
Survey of Remarks |
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VOLCANOES Around the world with the most interesting and
relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage
of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre. Or
see “Breaking Volcano
Eruption News”. WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY PICKED
UP SLIGHTLY WITH SOME VIGOROUS EMMISSIONS AND ACTIVE ERUPTIONS in Africa and
on Reunion, but Etna and Kilauea are silent and all counts seem to reflect
silence in most of the other active or semi-active volcanoes. (This is a fairly
subjective guestimate based on the numbers and data reported by the SWVC,
quake data, and other reports) Piton de
la Fournaise Volcano (Reunion) was quite active this past week along with
Asama in Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of September 1 2004 7 on restless list (could go on active list at
any moment) (same as last week) 44 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that
activity may begin) (four down from last week) 21 on active list (seismic, gas, steam, lava,
ash, or explosive activity) (down 2 from last week) Popo gave only a 7 puff day yesterday. Centrapred
reports for September 1 (17:00 GMT) that “"In
the last 24 hours the monitoring system of MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK from Volcano Breaking News by Volcanologist John Seach Volcano Travel: john@volcanolive.com Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian
Time (UT + 10 hr) Piton de la Fournaise
Volcano (Reunion)
Asama Volcano (Japan) Kilauea Volcano (Hawaii) Piton de la Fournaise
Volcano (Reunion)
Mt Elgon
Volcano (Kenya) Piton de la Fournaise
Volcano (Reunion)
Nyiragongo Volcano
(Democratic Republic of Congo) |
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Standing Assessment: Likely,
it is fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from
HAARP to the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba,
not to mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of
ethical, moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely
feared. |
STAY TUNED. We are just on the
front edge of “the outing”…. |
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ECONOMY WATCH BREAKING
NEWS: Ford,
GM Sales Drop; Both Cut Production Wed
8:24PM ET - Associated Press General
Motors Corp. and Ford Motor Co. reported disappointing These announcements in previous decades were generally
taken as clear proof that the economy was nose-diving into recession. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED CONFIRMED CONFIRMED CONFIRMED -----AS PREDICTED IN PREVIOUS WEEKS:
“Conditions are clearly tilting SOUTH, as in a decline down hill. The Bush League Boom is over before it
started.” All economic indicators for July are clearly
down IT SEEMS OBVIOUS THAT AUGUST INDICATORS WILL
ALSO BE NEGATIVE. We are not far from
the Ides of September, by which we will know the most important indicators. Beware
the IDES OF SEPTEMBER IN ALL FINANCIAL MARKETS. Emotions will be depressed, the plutocracy
will begin to feel that its free ride under Bush is nearly over, confidence
will be shot, and numbers will be slip-sliding away. FOR THE LASTEST DETAILED DISCUSSION See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004 FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION
FOR THIS YEAR, See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004 GENERAL PREDICTION DJI
AVERAGES The DJI finished September 1 at 10,168.46
just about the same as last Wednesday at 10,181.74. We are very very close to the top of the
market for the next several years. WE ARE ON THE CUSP. AS PREDICTED LAST FEW WEEKS: THIS IS PROBABLY THE MINI BUBBLE FOR SEPTEMBER PAY ATTENTION: All the King’s Sorcerers and All the King’s Bagmen will
conspire earnestly after the Republican convention this next week to lift the
markets. But it isn’t going to work
very well. The cut in auto production trumps the politicos. Hot air might have worked for a rebound through September
and October for a few hundred points. But I doubt the hot air is going
to rise it much for very long. AS PREVIOUSLY PREDICTED:
Don’t wait for Christmas Retail Sales…they will be disappointing,
depress the stock values, and lead into the final economic collapse.
When the DJI is above 10,000, liquidate anything you have in all such
equities anywhere. The DJI MAY HIT 10,500 AGAIN
during late September but DON’T COUNT ON IT. And if it does, it will be
only a signal spike which will break the market for many months, if not many
years. FOR THE LAST CURRENT DETAILED DISCUSSIONS SEE: See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004 The softening of the dollar continues. The dollar
closed today at 0.8202, down about three fourths
of a penny from the 0.8281 per euro a week ago. The softening probably
will continue. The overall erosion is likely to slowly continue through
the year and may bottom at $0.70 per euro by the end of 2004. NOW HAPPENING: WHEN
PETRO PER BARREL GOES DOWN FOR MORE THAN A COUPLE OF WEEKS IN A ROW, WATCH THE DOLLAR
SLIDE. MUST READ: “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”, which
lays out the dynamics of what is happening |
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SURVIVAL WATCH For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin
Update as of July
7, 2004 For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin
Update as of July
7, 2004 |
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SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME). But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted. Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year. ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES: The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services. This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah. I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM. |
POLITICAL WATCH For general overview on the Tragedy in The rhetorical flights of fantasy at the Democratic
National Convention were often unpalatable and made me squirm repeatedly but,
sadly, that was only a warm-up for the Republican convention FRANKLY, the reduction of a national political party at
Boston and the majority of its speakers into a slogan-fest of hot air bleated
endlessly ad nauseum on an half-hourly schedule around a limited set of
choreographed, prissy sound-bytes which did absolutely nothing for anyone was
hard to endure. I kept asking, whatever
happened to debate, discussion, and the sober presentation of real shtuff? The convention in But now, Wednesday night finally required barf bags to endure. In between gagging episodes, George Orwell
could clearly be seen in the sky over Like the Democrats, Republicans clearly no longer exist as
a party. Their activities have become
just another stage prop in the manufacturing of consent, oops, no, that’s not
it, hmmm, “blinders” is more nearly close to the
right concept. Are the facts of
existence inconvenient for the Ubermensch?
Or are the people too stupid to sell the facts of feudalism? Well then, f*ck the facts, engineer
emotions. ENGINEER EMOTIONS…..a
near cousin to the old-fashioned arts of race-baiting and transmitting
bigotry Those on the floor of the convention hall? How desperate
these people must be emotionally. They
are trying so hard to believe they belong to something, anything, which
provides a greater sense of meaning and purpose in their life. But how sad for these people, that they are
so abused by the cunning sociopaths who manipulate the scenery, the props,
and the lines of the play. The average
rank and file are abused to such an extent that they are led to create the
exact opposite of what they so desperately want to believe in. They want to give the world Freedom and Equal
Opportunity. But what they create is
Ashcroft and his Little Shop of Patriot Horrors for picking the locks of the
constitution and heisting away the Bill of Rights. The stench of Dr. Strangelove behind all of this is so
bad, even the Mass Media is beginning to seriously question the entire
play….in both parties. STAND PAT – See Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 7 2004 THE WORLD AWAITS THE DEPARTURE OF THE BUSH REGIME. IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY THAT THE MOST DECISIVE AMMUNITION
AGAINST THE IMPERIAL FACTION IS YET TO BE LOBBED…. THE SENSE OF MORAL OUTRAGE IS …PEOPLE ARE WAITING FOR THE RIGHT TIMING… …I HAVE THIS FEELING THAT FIREWORKS WILL EMERGE IN
OCTOBER. AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: Bush remains in
every way an “untouchable” international pariah such as has not been
seen since the days of Stalin. The problem is the lying. To touch this tar
baby, one risks becoming befouled with the lies from even the barest minimum
of association. WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IS ANYONE’S GUESS. American
politics has never been so unpredictable. Doubtless the Bush Administration
and virtually the entire Imperial Faction is or will be caught up in legal
issues and press controversies which will pile higher and higher. To
counter the attacks and legal moves against them, the Bush-iters will use every sorcery they can contrive to conceal everything
which is not nailed down in plain site in front of the New York Times.
They will even chip away at that late at night. They will use
Saddam Hussein in every way possible to rationalize their existence, deeds,
and legitimacy to be re-elected. Every lie and form of bigotry they
have ever used will be retred to denigrate Kerry, Edwards, Nader, and every
other candidate for lower office. The meltdown of BUT PERHAPS THIS IS JUST AN ANNEALING
PROCESS, THE TIME OF THE EXPOSIING AND BURNING AWAY OF THE CRAP. PERHAPS WE ARE NOW FINALLY FIGHTING IN ONE
OF THE LAST CHAPTERS IN THE STRUGGLE FOR THE SOUL OF |
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A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and
with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven
so much of the past 50 years…. From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly
collapses. All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty! |
THE STRATEGIC SITUATION – Final
Synopsis Cry THE
ENTIRE WORLD IS WITNESSING THE AMERICAN IMPASSE IN AS OBSERVED IN PRIOR WEEKS: The strategic impasse
which has paralyzed the American military machine continues while time erodes
the viability of the American position in BUT PEACE
IS BEGINNING TO “BREAK OUT” IN MORE,
IN NAJAF, WE SAW THE ENDING OF THE MARCH OF EMPIRE. MARK THESE WORDS. AN
AUTHENTIC ISLAMIC MORAL AUTHORITY IS ARISING AND IS BEGINNING TO FORGE A
COALITION TO UNIFY MORE
PROBABLE THAN NOT, THE MULLAHS WILL ARRANGE THE ELECTION OF A GOVERNMENT
WHICH ASSERTS ITS SOVEREIGNTY AND ASKS THE THIS
IS HOW IT WILL END IN AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: The U.S. Ship of State sails
through extremely dangerous historical waters. Major tragedies which change the course of
history can occur at any moment. Al Qaeda has the Accordingly, the answer is arising NOW in STAND PAT ON the latest dossier, see the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update as of July
7, 2004 Michael Wells Mandeville, |
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