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Monitoring The Changes In The Earth edited by Michael Wells Mandeville copyright December Day 1 2004
BULLETIN ARCHIVE | CHANGES HOME PAGE | SUBSCRIBE | UNSUBCRIBE | QUEST GROUP |
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FEATURES SUMMARIES WATCHES Click here for how to access these in the complete weekly
update which is posted on the WEB. Energy ET DATA SOURCES HEADLINES Links Daily Events Important Articles Please Note: This Bulletin is conceived as a
System. It is still in an early stage of evolution. We intend to
progressively link into this synopsis system all of the major news feeds of
Planet Earth which articulate aspects of the profound historical Change In
The Earth which is underway. |
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of December 1 2004 You have heard of the Weather Report?
Here exclusively is this week’s "Earth Report" - a short
review of the “big picture” about how the dynamic changes in the Sun and the
Earth are effecting our lives more and more intensely, with the latest
prognostications and predictions for weathermen, farmers, investors,
businessmen, and every man. You may click here for the full text of the Earth Changes Bulletin Update for this week, or
use this URL http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ecbulletins/2004/ecb_Dec_1_04.htm FOR THIS AMAZING GLOBAL WARMING YEAR On the geophysical front, SOLAR activity slowly abated and yesterday’s Sunspot Count fell to 46 while the Solar Flux plateaued at
111-112 despite the coming Venus | Jupiter alignment on December 3 and the
Mercury | Earth alignment on December 10.
The slight rise in the Sunspot count on November 30 augers for an
increase in the count during the week (it rose five points December 1).
Likely a large peak will form for the two alignments and may persist from
December 3-10 to drive the count over 100 and thus to send a huge surge of
storms across the continents December
10-20. But the good news is that El
Nino is currently NOT on the way and the North Pacific is returning to
normal, which will permit the jet stream to return to normal. So in the meanwhile enjoy the mild weather
during the next few days, since more storm-fronts are coming in December. From
below during the past seven days, many large quakes over 6.0 in magnitude,
including two 7.0 plus quakes, and five shape-shifter quakes prove once again
that the Syzygy syndrome is currently being over-ridden by other factors. Volcanism has abated again and it will most
likely continue during the next seven days with a very dull roar from only a
very few volcanoes. On the geopolitical
front,
The truly bad news remains, the Bush Imperial Faction thinks it has won the
U.S. elections with a virtual mandate and thus has taken nearly complete
control of the U.S. government despite widespread and mounting evidence of
systematic fraud. Accordingly the
Imperial Faction is currently pre-occupied with seizing complete control over
the CIA, the NSA, the State Department, and the remaining agencies of
government while potential leakers, moderates, and Democrats are ousted from
as many offices as possible. And
already they are moving against Kofi Annan with a contrived scandal to force
out of office this hypercritical U.N. Secretary General who has declared |
This
hidden column on the right is available for links, banners, and icons
of Earth Changes Bulletin subscribers who have made their annual
donation. Inquire by sending query for exact procedure by sending a
REPLY to the Earth Changes Bulletin weekly email update. YOU MUST HAVE
BEEN SUBSCRIBED FOR AT LEAST 30 DAYS TO QUALIFY (or a previous
subscriber).. |
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NOTES Grayed items are not yet operational |
Program Thesis: What are we trying to do with the Earth
Changes Bulletin? Most news media do not handle technical and
scientific subjects like geology and earth sciences very well. They
don't understand the causes and effects of activities in the Sun and
Earth. Accordingly, they often do not understand if, when, how, why to
report earthquakes, volcanic activity, global warming effects The
treatment often sounds absent-minded, poorly qualified, and frequently
contains various technical errors. Seldom is the treatment entertaining
and genuinely educational. Based on new scientific principles which have
emerged during the past thirty years, many of the dynamic activities of the
Sun and Earth can be linked together to see how a range of effects are linked
together. This makes it possible to paint "the big picture"
into a perspective which explains many diverse events and processes,
especially climate and weather patterns such as global warming and El Nino.
From the "big picture", long range predictions can be made for
weeks and even months ahead. The result is sophisticated cutting-edge
information which is objective, balanced, astute, relevant, and can be easily
seen and appreciated by lay audiences. The perspective is generally
global, seldom parochial. For the framework of concepts, terms, and current
conditions which are used or described in the these Bulletins, see the Earth
Changes 2003 Almanac Calendar. To see the internet resources which are used to
prepare this Update, take a look at the Earth
Monitor front page - http://www.michaelmandeville.com/earthmonitor/ The Bulletin is written in Arizona (UTC +8
hours) so any relative references, such as “Today”, or “Tomorrow”, or
“Yesterday” should generally to taken to refer to the day spans as
experienced in Western North America. |
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PREVIOUS UPDATES Nov 24
not available as of this date |
SPONSORING: THE COMING ECONOMIC COLLAPSE OF 2006, which puts today, tomorrow, and the trends together into the Cayce 25 year economic cycle which will “bottom” in 2006/2007. Click here to download THIS BOOK STILL COOKS AND IT WILL COOK THE
POLITICIANS AND THE ECONOMY ALL THE WAY THROUGH TO 2008: This synthesis
is far ahead of the daily digests in all halls of the internet media: so far (since May 2003) the track
record on this set of predictions for 2003-2008 is running 100 per
cent. If you have not purchased this book, you will remain ignorant of
the main dynamics which are rapidly changing everything. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF DECEMBER 1, 2004: As stated November 17, no change except to add that
the erosion of the dollar is now accelerating and there is a nearly universal
feeling among the watchers and managers that the euro is going up as the
dollar sinks yet more to adjust for the terrible imbalances in the American
economy created by its profligate, highly spoiled scions who lust after
Empire. LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 17,
2004: As per stated below, the bubble is re-inflating for
a few more weeks or even months if Al Qaeda does not attack. Oil prices are dropping as stocks and
equities firm up and the economy continues expansion with the expectation
that American Imperialism will continue (unfortunately)
to drive international events during 2005. BEWARE SUDDEN REVERSALS WHEN
ALQAEDA STRIKES. BEWARE THE EMERGING SUPER-COALITION IN LATEST UPDATE NOTE AS OF NOVEMBER 3,
2004: On all economic fronts, hang tuff. The bubble will
hang in there for a little while longer even if it is currently sagging under
the high oil prices. Oil prices will
come down this Winter and the rebuilding boom in the SE section of the
country will keep the economy firm.
Stocks will go back up with the decline in oil prices and so will the
value of the dollar. All long term projection for the collapse in 2006 is
still right on target. The main proviso in all things
is Al Qaeda. The re-election of Bush
will, more probable than not, bring Osama Bin Laden to order another major
round of terrorist attacks against the |
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HOUSEKEEPING MANDEVILLE IS ON THE RADIO EVERY WEDNESDAY WITH Alex Merklinger (Millennium Radio) show at 6
PM Arizona Time (also 6 PM Pacific Daylight Saving Time). Regular
Weekly Update For The Earth Changes Bulletin. To find Iway archives and
stations, see Millennium
Radio Network. ALL DATES AND TIMES USED IN THE EARTH CHANGES BULLETIN ARE
NOW UTC = Universal Time Constant, previously known as Greenwich Mean Time. |
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As stated in the “Coming Economic
Collapse of 2006”, the nature of human politics reflects the communication
abilities of the human species. As we transform the media, as we have
been on the Iway, we will transform human politics and the entire Earth.
Making the way for the New Earth is operationally equivalent to making a new
Media on the Iway. Not that that is all that there is to it. Not by a
long shot…but IT IS one of the essentials we need to dissolve the blockages
and dance around the tyrannies. |
SPIRITUAL WATCH How to converge and express the spirit of mass transformation
into manifestation, HOW to be, IS the question. How to do is the praxis of
the time. Examining this question, probing it, is the chief trendline
of this year. NO CHANGE THIS WEEK FOR THE REMAINDER: UNDERTAKE A RESOLUTE FOCUS WALK AWAY
FROM THE COMING WARS AND THE LEADERS WHO ARE PUSHING US INTO THE WARS OR INTO
THEIR INDIRECT SUPPORT. UTTERLY
REFUSE THEM IN EVERY WAY THAT YOU CAN. A great turning towards peace is underway in the hearts
and minds of a great mass of humanity, REGRETFULLY, A LARGE PROPORTION OF THE AMERICAN PEOPLE ARE
STILL SOUND ASLEEP UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF UGLY EMOTIONS AND A THOUSAND
NIGHTMARES OF SELF-DOUBT AND ACUTE DENIAL OF SELF-WORTH. IT APPEARS THAT AT LEAST A THIRD OF THE
POPULATION IS BARELY ABOVE AN EMOTIONAL AGE-LEVEL OF 8 AND CAN OFFER LITTLE
MORE THAN SERVING AS FASCIST FODDER. Accordingly, But even as they initiate to undertake a great
militarization of North America for an ambitious expansion of empire-building
over the Arab oil producing states, a consciousness is gathering greater
focus to dissolve away the entire Bush-Alqaeda continuum of absolutism and
militarism and replace its brutalities with profound movement en masse
towards peaceful solutions. The gathering
movement did not wax strong enough to end the Bush Presidency, but
perhaps the movement will never function successfully with the corrupted,
archaic forms of the old Perhaps the movement has a greater destiny. Look for it. Greet it.
Nourish it with love. BREATH
FREE. Let go of everything which is
disturbed, distorted, or weird. Let go of everything which is forced,
contrived, hidden, manipulative, and/or constrictive. Keep flowing with the
rising tide of spiritual energies which are filling many thirsty souls.
The old patterns are falling away. Transition continues. Embrace new
relationships which are trying to form in your life if they are honest and
straightforward and provide a new openness. Forget the fears of the unknown,
embrace all that which lifts your life into the light of a greater
understanding and relationship with the all. EVERYTHING IS WORKING OUT DIFFERENTLY THAN
PEOPLE ARE CURRENTLY FEARING OR PROJECTING. IT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
SO. In a short while, some will come forth giving witness to a great
energy which has come into their lives, literally, as if the hand of God was
upon them. This is becoming more and more apparent and these words will
have greater meaning by the end of the year. Don’t react, go to center, get clear, release, and
grieve…the Fourth Age is dying rapidly now… much more rapidly than we
thought, its institutions and identities are beyond saving… let it go, let
go, get to center…flow into God, let God flow into you…don’t speculate, don’t
analyze, don’t react to the shtuff…clear…clean out the past four years…we are
now free to grieve the death of everything we detested…let it go…let it
go…let it die. As you re-center in
God, find the realization that this is the final moment you have been waiting
for to end your connections and involvements with the illusions and delusions
of all that which has betrayed the divine within each and brought greed, war,
and destruction over the Earth. The destroyers belong to each other, this is now the final
time of their fatal embrace. Let them
love their wars…they have greatly desired the bitter wines of their hatreds
and violence, they have lusted greatly for their Armageddon, and they shall
have it. The die has been cast with a thousand artifices and
illusions. With the excellence of its
manner of casting, God has delivered
to you your own freedom from the delusions and spells of the Mass Sorcerers,
indeed, from the entire age, if you will but realize it. Clear yourself and your life to find now
the sense of movement and direction to separate your life from the dying
culture which is putrefying all around you. There is no saving it…as
Buckminster Fuller observed many decades ago, the old order is never saved,
the new order merely grows up around it to eventually takes its place. So it will come to pass now in an intense
period of vast change during the next twenty years. |
The “Great Purification” predicted by the
Hopi, Maya, Q’ero, and many others continues. How amazing that these
ancient oral traditions could tune into last year and this one to advise us
that this was a period of profound historical turning involving The Great Purification of the Earth? For additional discussion, see the commentary of May 19, 2004 and the commentary of June 16, 2004. THE NEW BASIS IS GESTATING…. THE time to link the spiritual communities
of the Earth. The Whole Earth. IT HAS BECOME URGENT TO LINK THE SPIRITUAL
COMMUNITIES WITHIN A BROAD MOVEMENT WHICH PROVIDES NEW CURRENTS OF SPIRITUAL
LEADERSHIP. |
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FOR THE
MOST PART: Steady as she goes. A slow acceleration in the shifting of the
poles has been underway for perhaps the past 100 years and the last three
decades has shown an increase in the rate of acceleration. This has
appeared to accelerate even more during the past decade. |
POLAR MOTION What is happening to the
motion of the Earth. For the overall summary of the status
of polar motion CLICK HERE. To see the current
graphs of polar motion, CLICK HERE. Scroll down the page until you get to the black
and white graphs with show the x and y coordinates of the North Spin Axis on
two separate graphs. THE PANCAKING OF THE X MAX PEAK WHICH WE OBSERVED LAST
WEEK SEEMS TO BE DISSOLVING SLOWLY (See the URL’s below for the xplot). I
EXPECT A STRONG, SHARP REBOUND, quite possibly in connection with the New
Moon Perigee of December 12. I expect
this rebound will produce AN EXCEPTIONALLY STRONG SEISMIC PERIOD. (The sharper turning of the spiral wobble
will produce more sudden shifts in the stress vectors of the Tectonic Plates
and this is more likely to cause more sudden releases in the fault zones) THE X WAVE
MAX, which we are in for the current 14 month spiral track, HAS BEEN showing some
pancaking (see the xplot links below). Rather than a smooth bell-shaped curve, the
X plot HAS BEEN currently plateauing.
The Earth is showing some hesitancy to continue the spiraling wobble
and is favoring slightly a motion at a vector which is keeping the Atlantic
Hemisphere pushing towards the North.
This is now apparently going to rebound during the next two
weeks. KEEP IN
MIND THAT THIS
WATCH HAS BEEN SET TO LOOK EXACTLY FOR THIS TYPE OF DEPARTURE OF THE EARTH
FROM ITS PREVIOUS SPIRALING WOBBLE TRACKS.
Seeing the slight tendency of the Atlantic Hemisphere to continue
pushing to the North CONFIRMS THE DEDUCTION FOR THE PROJECTED AVALANCHE OF
THE CRUST WHICH WAS CALCULATED IN THE “RETURN
OF THE PHOENIX”. In general, the Wobble Track is showing continued
tightening of the Chandler’s Wobble Spiral, as should be at this time in its
7 year Wobble Cycle, and the track seems to be conforming with a continued
acceleration in the rate of drift, but this can be by no means certain until
this 7 year cycle is over. In about
two years we will be able to locate the minimum spiral of motion and then
look for the average 7 year "location" of this past seven years for
comparison with previous cycles. http://maia.usno.navy.mil/xplot2.gif http://maia.usno.navy.mil/yplot2.gif |
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MAGNETIC POLES – SHIFTING What is happening to the
magnetic fields of the Earth. No real change during the past
year: a magnetic pole shift is not something to be very concerned about
within this decade at least. Currently, there is little of note. Despite many
claims, there are no apparent trends which will hold up to historical
analysis of many different regions of the Earth. |
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Asteroids As of June 04, NASA’S ESTIMATE: “Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs (asteroids) are on a collision
course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time.” |
PLANETS & ALIGNMENTS Daily Planet – click here for sheer artistic pleasure Every day John Walker’s (Home Planet Software) computer creates a new image of hypothetical habitable planet, just one every day for the estimated 2 billion potential habitable planets in our Galaxy, which the Egyptians more or less named Nun, a mother Goddess from which all life flows. Euro people nursery tales converted the name into the Milky Way. http://www.fourmilab.ch/terranova/terranovag.html
Moon Perigee/Apogee/Phase Data - click here to be always up to date Earth/Moon Viewer by John Walker
The Home Planet software computes in real time the exact relative positions of the planets. Go here to view today’s image of the solar system as seen from a heliocentric view (the sun in the center, you looking at the entire solar system as if it were a big pancake. You can set any date and time. You should generally ask the form to give you the “equal orbits” view so you can see all the planets. http://www.fourmilab.ch/cgi-bin/uncgi/Solar LUNAR PERIGEE/APOGEE/PHASE TABLE FOR THE REMAINDER
OF 2004
Distance New 12-Nov 14:27 Perigee 14-Nov 13:55 362312
km N+1d23h Apogee 30-Nov 11:26 405951
km F+3d15h Perigee 12-Dec 21:31 357985 km N+
20h New
12-Dec 1:29 Full 26-Dec 15:07 Apogee 27-Dec 19:16 406487
km F+1d 4h For 2005, see the August
25 EC Update TODAY’S MOON We are in Lunation #1013 and we are now 19 days past the New Moon of November 12 at 14:27 UTC. As of December
Day 1, the Moon this day is now into its North
Node (orbiting North of the Equator). It
is now approximately 404,000 KM from the Earth. It is 78% of the Full Moon
(visibility or phase) now waning rapidly into the New Moon of December 12. SEISMIC
SYZYGY WINDOWS QUALIFER:
As we have seen at least three times this past year, most dramatically
with the recent outbreak (Oct 23-26 2004) of large Earthquakes on the West
side of Honsho Island (Japan), the Syzygy Window and Perigee principles DO
NOT WORK CONSISTENTLY TO FORECAST AN INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE NOR FREQUENCY OF
EARTHQUAKES. Using strictly an
intuitive view of the past 12 months, the rate of accuracy is definitely
larger than random but probably not larger than about 70% for any given area. The next strong seismic syzygy remaining for 2004 will be
the New Moon of December 12 which will include Perigee within 20 hours. For describing the peak danger period for the most
damaging earthquakes. this Perigee syzygy I will define arbitrarily as December
10 – December 15 – This syzygy should produce more seismic energy release
(earthquakes) than during most of the other syzygies of the preceding year. HOWEVER,
AS WE HAVE OBSERVED DURING THE PAST 60 DAYS, the syzygy window concept has
not worked very well to “contain” the major quakes. THIS MAY BE BECAUSE OF THE “PANCAKE
ANOMALY” we have observed during the past 60 days in the motion of the North
Spin Axis (on the IERS Xplot). This
anomaly may be generating unusual stress on the Earth’s crust. If so, the next 30 days could look like one
extended syzygy window in terms of major earthquakes occurring in higher
frequency than normal. I DO NOT
EXPECT Jim Berkland, the originator of using syzygy to define the
most active periods of seismic activity has a more complex method for
computing dates and you may want to use his methods for greater
precision. For details see the Syzygy website
(Perigee = the Moon’s closest approach to the
Earth during its monthly orbit which increases gravitational influence of the
Moon by as much as 15%; Apogee = the Moon’s greatest distance from the Earth
during its monthly orbit). (Berkland has a more complex formula
for syzygy and his dates are often different.) For details see the Syzygy website. THE NEXT PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS For any “Home Planet Software” charts of the
planets which are shown here or through URLS which are provided on this page,
you can decipher which planet is which by counting the orbital rings if you
do not know the signs which denote the planets. Mercury is 1 closest to the
Sun, Venus is 2, Earth is 3, Mars is 4, Jupiter is 5, Saturn is 6, Uranus is
7, LIST OF
ALIGNMENTS THROUGH TO DECEMBER 21, 2004 BAD CALL:
Given the recent large build up of Sunspots during the At the current time the outer planets are widely
distributed and no new alignments are forming up between them. But now many new alignments will be forming
up during the next two months mainly as a result of Mercury’s rapid rotation
around the Sun, which enables it to catching up and pass by the planets about
every three months. Here are the next two: December 3 Venus |
Jupiter December 10 Mercury
| Earth So,
consider December 1-15 the next sunspot peak prediction, with the next round
of major ocean stormfronts rolling onto land from about December 10-20. An alignment of Venus | Jupiter on December 3 should prove
productive of a new round of solar flares and sunspots. But the December 10 alignment of Mercury |
Earth should be even more potent. A peak should have begun this last week of November for
Venus and Jupiter and as of November 30, the sunspot count has begun to climb
again, clearly in response to these planets.
These two alignments may result in one major large fat
peak which should form up pretty much by December 5-10. PLANETARY ALIGNMENTS FOR LATE DECEMBER 2004 – JUNE 2005 For late December through to June 2005, four particular periods stand out for their
potential to induce major reactions in the solar atmosphere and pull out huge
ionic storms, high sunspot counts, and major effects on the Earth’s weather. The Aphelion At or near the Earth’s Apogee (closest approach to the
Sun) Mercury will once again align progressively with the inner planets
during a 30 day period. Expect an INTENSELY
STORMY WINTER. December 30, 2004 Mercury | Jupiter The Spring Grand Alignment Jupiter | Earth | Mercury | Sun | Venus Beginning by about March 7, at least major peaks in the
sunspot count should produce three major waves of early Spring storm fronts.
The largest peak should form up about the Spring Equinox and the
largest storm front should blow in about the time of the Grand Alignment March 14, 2005 Mercury | Saturn Summer Ping Pong June
7, 2005 Venus
| Saturn with Mercury moving up in close alignment, followed on June 10 ,
2005 with Mercury forming a triplet with Venus and Saturn as Earth couples
with Pluto and |
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PLANET WATCHING For background and the current information on
observable planets. NASA'S
DATA ON NEAR EARTH ASTEROIDS: "Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks
larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU.
None of the known PHAs are on a collision course with our planet, although
astronomers are finding new ones all the time.” On 1 Dec 2004
there were 653 known
Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (two more than
last month). For December
2004, NASA has listed two Earth-asteroid encounters ranging from 1.5 million
to 2 million miles away (5 to 7 average Lunar distances).
Notes: LD is a "Lunar Distance." 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon.
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SUNSPOTS The events in the solar atmosphere which impact weather and climate patterns, the magnetic field and auroras, including forecasts for the week, month, and year ahead. CLICK HERE for background information. To follow the numbers below, click here to view the Solar Cycle 23 Chart. Or, get the data in a NOAA Table. The Sunspot Count has steadily dropped from 72 on November 24
down to 42 as of November 30, where the count and the flux has plateaued
briefly. Now look for a steady rise during the next four days, then a
plateau December 5-12, with a rapid drop off. THE PEAK COULD SHOOT UP
BRIEFLY TO 150 OR MORE ACCOMPANIED WITH MAJOR FLARES, CME’S, SEVERE MAGNETIC
DISTURBANCES, AND A ANOTHER BOUT OF SEVERE WEATHER IN THE NORTHERN
HEMISPHERE. Date Flux
Sunspots Area 2004 11 24 107
72 320 2004 11 25 109
61 310 2004 11 26 111
61 470 2004 11 27 110
64 420 2004 11 28 113
66 470 2004 11 29 111
40 440 2004 11 30 111
42 420 MONTHLY AVERAGES IN SOLAR CYCLE 23 Over
all, the sunspot average count (ISSN) for February 2004 was 46.0. March
2004 was even higher with the ISSN average count at 48.9 April’s
count was radically lower at 39.3. The May 2004 average count of 41.5 was
SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN in April. June 2004 was higher still with an
average count of 43.2. and July took as even higher to an average count of
51. August’s count dropped the average
to 40, which returns us to the point on the general curve which we reached
during April 2004. The law of averages finally caught with the Sun during
September. For the first time all
year, sunspot activity fell below the 32.8 predicted average monthly count
and was only 27.7 October became a major
anomaly. The “smoothed” average count for
October was predicted to be 32.5 but at 48.4 it was dramatically higher, 21 points above
September’s average. IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY NOW
THAT THIS ANOMALY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOVEMBER. THE CURRENT HIGH SUNSPOT
COUNTS HAVE PROVIDED A LONG, HIGH, RELATIVELY WIDE PEAK ON THE NUMBERS WHICH ( Once
again we are reminded that the Sun and its cycles are really not very
“average” and not very “cyclical” or “regular”. Nowhere can we find any evidence of an
exact regularity, only constant variations.
The Sun is and probably always has been a vast cauldron of chaotic
storms, electro-magnetic upwellings, and enormous explosions and sudden
flares (or CME’s) which can extend out as far as even the outer planets,
producing somewhat chaotic impacts on the planets. All
this makes exact predictions of solar activity far beyond the pale of human
science, even with first class models of the electromagnetic gradients
created by the planets and their orbital relationships. From this it is easy to infer with
considerable experience and conviction, that nothing on Earth can be
foreseen, EXACTLY. Just as some order
is inevitable, so is some chaos built directly into the cosmos. But
even so the average count should drop during the next 12 months to a monthly
low in the range of 10. More and more,
now and for the next half dozen years, the Sun will influence Earth’s
atmosphere and weather less and less.
Global Warming and El Nino type of phenomena will be more and more
influential compared to the solar input.
The geo-data we gather during the next three years about weather,
climate, the Arctic, Antarctic, Drought Regions, etc. will be extremely
valuable in telling us what the true long-term geo-trends really are. |
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SOLAR ACTIVITY As reported by NASA/NOAA unless otherwise
stated. (Sudden surprises and huge storms are always possible even
during sunspot minima periods such as the one we are currently headed
into). Descriptions and numbers are based on numbers as given by iway
sources at about 1:00 – 3:00 PM The Solar Wind was strong at: 561.9 km/s this hour while
pushing a thick density of 0.8 protons/cm3”. Once again
we are on an ascending curve of activity. Solar activity is likely to get somewhat
higher for at least a few days: THE
OUTLOOK IS FOR MILD LEVELS OF SOMEWHAT ELEVATED ACTIVITY OVER THE RELATIVELY
LOW LEVELS OF THE PAST TWO DAYS. Fluxgate Magnetometer: The Fluxgate Chart at the University of Alaska (which measures magnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere created by solar winds and ion storms) is showing today ultra small chops of very short duration (cosmic background noise more or less) with a couple of minor magnetic disturbances DURING the past 36 hours. HOWEVER, THERE ARE TWO RECENT GAPS ON THE GRAPH, INCLUDING ONE AT THE CURRENT TIME – WHICH MAY INDICATE AN EXCEPTIONAL STORM BURST TRIPPED OFF THE MONITORS, OR SOMEBODY FORGOT TO LEAVE THE LIGHTS ON AT THE MONITORING STATION (as of this time, about 2 PM Mountain time US). To see the Fluxgate moment to moment, CLICK HERE. NASA REPORTS: “Astronomers are monitoring two enormous filaments on the sun today. These are ribbons of dense gas held suspended above the sun's surface by magnetic forces.” NASA NASA PREDICTS “Earth is entering a solar wind stream flowing from …(a)
coronal hole.” The overly conservative NASA reported a 1% probability
of X-Class Flares, a 10% probability of M-Class Flares, and a 10%-30%
probability of geomagnetic disturbances in the Earth’s atmosphere over the
high latitudes (higher the latitude higher the probability). Jan
Alvestad reports: “The geomagnetic field was quiet to active on November 30.
Solar wind speed ranged between 511 and 729 km/sec under the influence of a
high speed stream from coronal hole CH129. Solar flux measured at 20h UTC on
2.8 GHz was 110.6. The planetary A index was 15 (STAR Ap - based on the mean
of three hour interval ap indices: 14.9)...At midnight there were 3 spotted
regions on the visible solar disk. The solar flare activity level was low. A
total of 2 C class events was recorded during the day. Region 10706 was quiet
and stable. Region 10707 developed slowly with a new penumbra forming to the
west of the main penumbrae. The main penumbra split into two. Flare: C1.8 at
11:02 UTC. Region 10708 added a couple of small spots and was
otherwise unchanged. Flare: C4.8 long
duration event peaking at 06:58 UTC. A fairly small CME was observed over the
northeast limb after this event...November 28-30: No obviously Earth directed
CMEs observed...Large and well defined recurrent trans equatorial coronal
hole CH129 was in a geoeffective position on November 26-28. A well defined
coronal hole in the southeast quadrant is probably too far to the south to
become geoeffective.” Jan
Alvestad predicts: “The geomagnetic field is expected to quiet to unsettled on
December 1-4.” Alvestad also predicts for the next 24 hours a 0-20%
probability of coronal holes, a 0-20% probability of CME’s, and a 0-20% probability of M and/or X Class
Flares. |
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WORLD WEATHER SUMMARY Those who have been following the patterns have
seen that the correlations between sunspot peaks and major storm fronts
coming in off the oceans to track across the continents is roughly pretty
good, sometimes very much exactly on the mark. Accordingly, our
“sloppycasts” (approximate continental weather patterns) this past few years
have proven out to be fairly worthwhile. For the U.S. West Coast and now the Rocky Mountains
Plateau, we are definitely in early Winter onset, extremely wet generally
with lots of snow in the Mountains. At the moment we are between major marine-generated storm-fronts. A lull is setting in throughout most of the
world as rain, snow, and flooding dissipates. Expect this lulling worldwide
to continue for at least another week. But in no later than two weeks, expect major, highly
energetic, larger than normal storm
fronts to sweep in once again across the Pacific Northwest and down all the
way into the Pacific Southwest to slide across the mountains as they usually
do into the Great Plains and Great Lakes. The typical pattern in Europe will
also be seen (out of the Northern Atlantic down through December is likely to see at least one major severely
extreme storm front, forming up about December 10-20. Thereafter the weather should lull until
about the First of January. Expect,
then, a mild Christmas, with the snow already come and gone. For this schedule, see Planets
above EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS (Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. Mild and Variable, perhaps a bit of rain and snow, but
generally clearing for a few days. EARTH WEATHER PREDICTION FOR FALL SEASON
(Northern Hemisphere) This “sloppycast” is
based on sunspot counts, planetary alignments, and visual data shown on
satellite and radar. Next major storm fronts should appear about December
10-20, with the next one to appear just after the New Year in 2005. The unusually warm water in the North Pacific ( KEEP
WATCHING FOR THIS PATTERN: Global Warming
could easily intensify the seasons, making a short bitterly cold Winter,
longer intermediate stormy Spring and Fall seasons, and shorter but very hot
and dry summers. Don’t we already see this pattern at work in the Northern
Hemisphere? SOUTHWEST CONDITIONS This “sloppycast” is based on six years of
living in the USA Pacific Southwest, the sunspot counts, planetary
alignments, and visual data shown on satellite and radar. Continued lulling into mild, clear, mostly dry weather
typical for this time of year for the next 7 to 10 days. AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED:
For a large part of the elevations below 4000 feet in the
Southwest, the general drought in the For higher elevations, 5000 feet
and above, much rain and snow has already come in many areas, much more on
the way. |
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EL NINO & LA NINA WATCH http://www.cdc.noaa.gov/map/clim/sst_olr/sst_animated.gif IT MAY NOT
OCCUR. As of November
16, conditions for El Nino are softening. Ocean surface temperatures along the Pacific Equator are
now trending away slightly from the Classic El Nino Condition. A large expanse of the Pacific Equator WAS
warming up faster than normal and two nodes of considerably hotter than
normal water could be seen forming up at about Long. East 170 and at about Long.
West 90 (this near the AS
REPORTED PREVIOUSLY – THE CLASSIC EL NINO – We do not at this point know
whether an El Nino is in the offing for 2005.
Purely in accordance with the
X Wave correlation which I discovered in the Vortex Tectonics Model, AN
EL NINO IS MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT IN 2005.
But, the El Nino is not like an astrophysical cycle. There are some “missing” El Nino’s in the
record of the 20th century and we may have a missing one. HOWEVER, WE CAN’T BE CERTAIN UNTIL ABOUT
APRIL OF 2005, which is about the latest month in which the syndrome has
formed up during previous El Nino’s. ADDITIONAL NOTE: The year 2004 and/or 2005, in accordance
with the 100 year X Wave Graph of the motion of the spin axis in Chandler’s
Wobble, COULD BE EL NINO YEARS. Graphs of various El Nino periods
seem to show that the beginning of temperature build-up can occur as late as
April of an El Nino year. So 2005 may not be callable until early
Spring 2005. |
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KEEP WATCHING THE ARCTIC, ANTARCTIC, and
the desert zones. These areas are the most objective front line observatories
of the climate shift. |
GLOBAL WARMING It is becoming obvious that we have a long term
real shift in the average temperatures and climate regions related to the
latitudes. This climate shift is creating a growing environmental
disaster in the polar zones and in the desert-prone latitudes such as in the
Pacific Southwest. For the latest short review, see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of May 26, 2004 and the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 18, 2004 NO CHANGE THIS WEEK More or less, the Pacific Southwest will probably begin to face
the bitter but essential facts of life on a “Global Warming Earth”. More probable than not, global warming is
inducing this current drought condition, which is about the worst drought in
at least 400 years (which is estimated from the general life of the “old
growth’ Ponderosa Pine which the drought continues to kill). As the water tables continue to
drop and especially as the Colorado River reservoirs continue to dry up,
engineers and technical people are already discussing the huge impact a
‘water freeze” will have on the economics of the southwest. It will mean no more permits for
construction, for one thing, in the Sonoran desert, or in the Mojave, More probable than not, the
economics and politics of the Pacific Southwest will transition during 2005
into the new politics and economics of extreme water scarcity. But, an El Nino next year, which
is still very much a possibility, would most likely delay the transition for
about 18 months. When this transition begins, it
will form up a terrible political war between the owners of the last
significant unused aquifers of North America (the Hopi, Navaho, and Apache)
and the crazy white man world of plutocratic real estate development
corporations which dominate the political order in AS PREVIOUSLY REPORTED ABOUT THE LIKELY IMPACT OF GLOBAL
WARMING ON HURRICANES– For others comments on Global Warming, Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of August 25, 2004 For backgrounder information about Global Warming and how
to look for it and correlate it to the real causes (solar influx and
tectonic heat rifts in the bottoms of the oceans), see Earth
Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 14, 2004 |
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IONIZING SOLAR ACTIVITY & MASS BEHAVIOR ANOTHER PERIOD OF CHAOS AND BLIND EMOTIONALISM WILL ENVELOPING
US RAPIDLY DURING THE FIRST TWO WEEKS OF DECEMBER. FOR HUMAN AFFAIRS, THE FOCUS FOR THE MOMENT IS ON
ELECTIONS, STILL. CONDITIONS IN THE EVEN THE EVER-DRY NADER HAS JOINED THE FRAY WITH A HUGE
FIRE IN HIS BELLY AND HE IS NOW RIDING THE CIRCUITS LIKE THE HALLOWEEN
HEADLESS HORSEMAN HELL-BENT TO OVERTURN THE ELECTIONS WITH CHARGES OF VOTER
FRAUD. MERCURY, THE GOD’S MESSENGER IS COMING INTO AN ALIGNMENT
ON DECEMBER 10 WITH THE EARTH. THE SUN IS SURE TO ISSUE MUCH COMMENTARY ON
HUMAN AFFAIRS THROUGH AN INTENSE PARADE OF SUNSPOTS, CME’S, FLARES, AND
MAGNETIC/IONIC DISTURBANCES.. Will Ralph Nader AND Jesse Jackson (with thousands of
activist supporters) do for the Democratic Party what its leadership, AS
EVER, EVEN UP TO THIS MOMENT IN THE FACE OF NOW OVERWHELMING
EVIDENCE OF SYSTEMATIC FRAUD, is STILL too timid
to do. (Late Breaking News Dec 1:
Kerry may be throwing his hat behind the movement to context the
elections.) Reaction upon reaction upon reaction. So much of it in Count on very little stability, let things go, let things
melt, let things find their own way.
They will anyway…and traveling with the flow is always a lot easier. But I don’t mean float into oblivion…keep focusing on
where you really need to be, what you really ought to be doing proactively…And
in the meanwhile, DON’T
IGNORE THE VOTESCAM ISSUES AND DATA. IF THEY GET AWAY
WITH IT THIS TIME, YOU MAY NEVER HAVE THE OPPORTUNITY TO HONESTLY VOTE A
MAJOR PERSONAGE IN THE FOR
TERRORISM, NO DOUBT AL QAEDA IS COLDLY PLOTTING THE TIMING OF THE NEXT MAJOR
ATTACKS OUTSIDE OF Earth | Saturn.
Perhaps around the inauguration…of January 20, 2005…a typical Alqaeda
“symbolic” act. |
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EARTHQUAKES Around the world to see the current and
potential patterns of seismic activity, with coverage of the windows of
danger. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS database charts and tables which list quake
activity in excess of 2.0 mag. and above. Unfortunately there are many
lags in reporting of information about quakes, thus neither the numbers of
quakes nor the actual quakes discussed may be complete and accurate.
Real time analysis of quake patterns is merely AN APPROXIMATION BASED ON
INCOMPLETE INFORMATION. FOR MORE QUAKE INFO RELATED TO SYZYGY WINDOWS,
Jim Berkland calculates syzygy windows with considerably more sophistication
than I do. See
Syzygy.com Seismic activity continued this last seven days with a
decline in overall frequency of earthquakes but a rather decided increase in magnitude. Many more quakes
above 6.0 magnitude, including two 7.0 plus quakes during the last seven days,
struck along the Australian Tectonic Plate, in Japan, and in the Great Rift. Continuing the strong trends of November, the greater
portion of the world’s seismic energy above 3.0 for the last seven days, was
expressed along the Western edge of the Pacific Ocean Tectonic Plate and
along the edge of the Australian Tectonic Plate. Most other quake activity was fairly randomized. Shape-shifting produced another five quakes in the Great
Rift of the Earth, all focused along the Antarctic Tectonic Plate. This pattern continues to illustrate fairly
clearly the thesis that the tectonic motion (and thus the quakes) is produced
by the action of the Sun and Moon on the Earth’s crust which produces the
wobble. As the Earth wobbles each year
to change the orientation of the poles to the Sun, it produces a differential
pull on the North and the South Poles, inducing the movement of the crust
which results in quakes and volcanoes.
Once again, the activity this week seemed to show that type of pattern
quite clearly. The Antarctic Plate is
now being pulled UP by the Sun to create Summer on the South Pole. Again this
past week, this pulling flexed the joints of COSA NOSTRA DAMUS WATCH FOR AS PREVIOUSLY
OBSERVED: according to the Cosa Nostra Damus Prophecy, a
major destructive quake could now strike at any time in SLOW EARTH MOVEMENT WATCH No reports to add this week SHAPE-SHIFTERS WATCH The quake activity in the Great Rift is one of
the most important harbingers for the Earth Changes Watch to monitor. As the
Earth’s crust adjusts its shape in response to gravitational and spin energy
vectors, quakes in the Great Rift increase and tectonic activity all around
the world increases. (Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is
discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which
list quake activity in excess of 3.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the
quakes which appear in these counts are 4.5 plus in magnitude.) For
additional information on Plate Tectonics and charts of the Great Rift of the
Earth, go to Plate
Tectonics Map Five shape-shifter quakes struck in the Great Rift along
the margin of the Antarctic Tectonic Plate at its complex junctions with the
other Tectonic Plates. This week the shape-shifters outlined AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED: These quakes may illustrate an
important tectonic fact. I stress the
word “may” because I cannot prove it without doing a lot of database work,
but they seem to reveal that the Sun’s gravity is now beginning to reach its
peak influence for the year over I have not noticed this seasonal correlation before with
Rift quakes around Magnitude 4.8 SOUTHEAST OF Saturday, November 27, 2004 at 21:57:55 UTC Magnitude 5.0 Monday, November 29, 2004 at 06:32:52 UTC Magnitude 6.6 Sunday, November 28, 2004 at 02:35:10 UTC Magnitude 4.5 Wednesday, December 01, 2004 at 02:15:45 UTC Magnitude 5.1 Tuesday, November 30, 2004 at 18:25:30 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report Tuesday, November 30, 2004 at 04:25:30 PM local time at
epicenter Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones Location 56.04S
24.38W Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity
which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables
which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of
the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude. Any numbers used in this
section may or may not be accurate and may or may not reflect what will
eventually appear in scientific databases. Seismic activity in NOTE: Most volcano monitoring sites appear to
be screening out microquakes. A study needs to be done to establish how to
reconcile various lists and databases because of this practice. The numbers below cannot be considered to
be definitive totals and subtotals. We
use them merely to observe relative fluctuations from week to week. US & ALASKA & down from 597 the prior week BIG ISLAND up from 12 during the prior week - these do not include
the microquakes under down from 352 last week, widely scattered in down from 31 last week. PNW --- 250 up from 113 last week, at least 200 directly related to NE Cal - East of These are almost certainly volcanic related, quakes have
broken out here off and on during the past two years. down from 31 last week. Unless otherwise specified, all quake activity which is discussed is based on the USGS LOCAL AREA database charts and tables which list quake activity in excess of 1.0 mag. and above. Generally most of the quakes which appear in these counts are in the range of 1 to 2 in magnitude. For Yellowstone Quake Chart, CLICK HERE. up from 0 last week WEEK’S MOST SIGNIFICANT QUAKES Magnitude 7.1 PAPUA, Friday, November 26, 2004 at 02:25:03 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report Location 3.57S
135.35E Depth 10.0
kilometers Region Reference 110 km
(70 miles) WNW of Enarotali, 275 km (170 miles) NNE of Dobo, Aru Islands, 1095 km (680 miles) NNE of 3180 km (1980 miles) E of Remarks At
least 19 people killed, 130 injured and 328 buildings destroyed in the
epicentral area. Airport damaged and power outages at Nabire. Magnitude 7.0 Sunday, November 28, 2004 at 18:32:14 UTC Preliminary Earthquake Report U.S. Geological Survey, http://neic.usgs.gov/neis/bulletin/neic_rjap.html Location 43.01N
145.12E Depth 43.3
kilometers Reference 60 km
(35 miles) E of 235 km (145 miles) ESE of 930 km (580 miles) NNE of 7125 km (4430 miles) NE of Remarks At
least 24 people injured; road damage occurred; power, natural gas and railway
service interrupted in the Bekkai-Kushiro-Nemuro area. Minor damage to docks
and buildings at Nemuro. A 10 centimeter tsunami was recorded at Nemuro. Felt
at Misawa, |
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VOLCANOES Around the world with the most interesting and
relevant volcano stories; briefs on the likely eruptions as well as coverage
of on-going activity. For information on current eruptions, see the Southwest Volcano Centre. Or
see “Breaking Volcano
Eruption News”. OBSERVABLE
WORLD VOLCANIC ACTIVITY HAS DECLINED SOMEWHAT DURING THE PAST 14 DAYS, THOUGH
A FEW VOLCANOES ARE STILL IN VIGOROUS ERUPTIVE OR PRE-ERUPTIVE PHASES OF Saint Helens is still building a dome relatively rapidly
and steam emissions are increasing, Colima is still oozing lava, as is Nyiragongo continues in Bezymianny, Sheveluch, Karymsky appear to be mirroring Volcano
Belinda WATCH THIS ONE CAREFULLY. The continued occurrence of
shape-shifter quakes in the vicinity of the REPEATED FROM LAST WEEK:
One new eruption was reported for a volcano on the edge of the
Antarctic Tectonic Plate where it forms the South Sandwich Islands below The
South Sandwich Islands are situated approximately between the southern tip of
South America and mainland SAINT
HELENS VOLCANO UPDATES Text in this section is a condensation of direct
quotes from online source: CURRENT
UPDATE supplied by the U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University
of Washington, Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington;
U.S. Geological Survey, Vancouver, Washington; University of Washington,
Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network, Seattle, Washington December
1, 2004 10:05 am PST (1805 UTC) MOUNT Current
status is Volcano Advisory (Alert Level 2); aviation color code Growth
of the new lava dome inside the crater of Although
considered less likely at this time, the current eruptive activity could
evolve into a more explosive phase that affects areas farther from the
volcano and sends significant ash thousands of feet above the crater where it
could be a hazard to aircraft and to downwind communities. Wind
forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA),
coupled with eruption models, show that ash clouds that rise high above the
crater rim today would drift south-southeastward early in the day and
southward later. Seismicity
remains at a low level compared to that observed early in this unrest. The current
seismicity is consistent with a continuing, slow rise of magma driving uplift
of the crater floor and feeding the extrusion of lava onto the surface, where
it builds a dome. The overall low rates of seismicity and gas emission
suggest that the lava reaching the surface is gas poor, thereby reducing the
probability of highly explosive eruptions in the near term. Recent
observations: No field work was possible yesterday. Weather permitting, crews
will be in the field tomorrow doing instrument maintenance and making some
hydrologic measurements. From photographs taken on Monday, we now know that
the GPS instrument, or Spider, that had been riding along on the new lava
dome since November 20 is lost. The crumbling southwest margin of the dome
probably neared the Spider on Saturday, radio communications became
intermittent, and were lost on Sunday when the Spider evidently fell off the
cliff into the talus below. In its week-long journey it moved about 75 meters
(250 feet) south-southeastward and about 8 meters (26 feet) upward. Future
deployments of new Spiders are being considered. For
additional information, background, images, and other graphics:
http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html For a
webcam view of the volcano: All
other volcanoes in the USGS
Cascades Volcano Observatory, the Pacific Northwest Seismograph Network at
the For
additional information, background, images, and other graphics:
http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html For
seismic information: http://www.pnsn.org/HELENS/welcome.html For a
definition of alert levels: http://vulcan.wr.usgs.gov/News/framework.html Telephone
recordings with the latest update on OTHER CASCADE VOLCANOES
as of December Day 1 2004 All
other volcanoes in the LATEST FORECAST FOR
SAINT HELENS BY EC BULLETIN: Look to mid-month
in December for increases in activity (see the syzygy periods defined above). AS REPORTED PREVIOUSLY: Colima may be the closest “model”
for how More probable than not during the next 90 days, perhaps
with some fits and starts related to Lunar Motion. Most probable is (a) the New Moon Perigee Syzygy of December. Here are the SWVC volcanic activity numbers as of December
Day 1 2004: 5 on restless list (could go on active list at any moment)
(same as last week) 45 on alert list (pre-cursors suggesting that activity may
begin) (down 4 from last week) 20 on active list (seismic,
gas, steam, lava, ash, or explosive activity) (down
one from last week) Popo gave a 12 puff day yesterday, down from 14 last
Tuesday. Centrapred reports for December Day 1 (17:00 GMT) that “In the last 24
hours the monitoring system of Popocatepetl volcano, recorded only 12 low
intensity exhalations accompanied by steam and gas emissions. The other
monitored parameters remain without important changes. At the moment of this
report we can observe the volcano with a light emission of steam and gas…In
an aerial photograph taken on July 8th by SCT, subsidence is observed in the
inner crater; an external lava dome at the bottom of the crater cannot be
distinguished...Due to the low levels of activity shown in the past days, the
scenarios consisting of explosions and ash emission are less probable.” HIGHLY
INTERESTING NEW PLATE TECTONICS RESOURCE: Digital
World Tectonic Activity Map (DTAM) - visualization tool that
presents an actual representational view of global tectonics; created using
current global datasets of seismicity, volcanism, and plate motions. MOST ACTIVE VOLCANOES THIS WEEK from Volcano Breaking News by
Volcanologist John Seach Volcano Travel:
john@volcanolive.com Dates in red are posted in Eastern Australian
Time (UT + 10 hr) Manam Volcano
(Papua New Guinea) Nyiragongo
Volcano (Democratic Republic of Congo) |
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Standing Assessment: Likely, it is
fair to conclude that the not-so-invisible Black Arts Nation, from HAARP to
the Navy, to the Bush/Ashcroft prisons in Iraq/Afghanistan and Cuba, not to
mention many other technologies, areas, and programs, are far out of ethical,
moral, constitutional, and treaty control, as has been widely feared. |
STAY TUNED. We are just on the
front edge of “the outing”…. THE FIRST MAJOR OUTING IS GOING TO BE
VOTESCAM 2004….this outing is just in the outer stages of manifestation. Statistical anomalies show a strange
fluctuation of unauditable electronic votes and tallies over to Bush against
250 million to one odds. This one
datum makes the AS PREVIOUSLY OBSERVED:
What is truly bazaar about mass opinion at this current time in the BUT VOTESCAM 2004 MAY DO IT, IF RELENTLESSLY PURSUED DAY
IN AND DAY OUT FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL MONTHS.
EVENTUALLY THE MULE WILL MOVE IF BEAT ON BY ENOUGH 2-4’S… |
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ECONOMY WATCH LITTLE CHANGE THIS WEEK The EVEN SO,
THE DOLLAR IS NOW SHRINKING FAST IN A MAJOR DEVALUATION. COMMODITY PRICES WILL CLIMB RAPIDLY,
GENERATING A PERNICIOUS INFLATION IN FOR THE LAST UPDATED
DISCUSSION: click here for the EC
Bulletin Update as of October 27, 2004 With the re-election of George Bush a completely new
scenario for the next two years is needed. We need an AHA experience to see the larger picture..
Perhaps it is this. Perhaps the AHA is
that all the contradictions which thousands of analysts have been reporting
for the past 20 years mean NOTHING to the Power Elite for they have a
solution. If so, the solution is this: the main driving force of the economy will
transition fully into an Imperial economy.
It will be based on major militarization of the A massive empire building drive to export “Order” over the
greater portion of the world’s petroleum reserves will shore up the value of
the petro dollar quite nicely and preserve its hegemony well through the
“peak oil” period. Huge expenditures
on armaments should provide a continuing stimulus of the North American
economy, enough to at least keep it gimping along while the Empire is
consolidated. The eventual eclipse of well oil poses no long term
problem. Only naïve analysts are
worried. Once oil supply is seriously
declining and oil prices can be maintained above $80/barrel, some people in
the oil industry, including David Rockefeller, understand the means of
“growing” your own. They have held the
secrets of this for some 23 years. FOR THE LASTEST DETAILED DISCUSSION See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of July 21, 2004 FOR THE STAND PAT ECONOMIC PREDICTION FOR
THIS YEAR, See the Earth
Changes Bulletin Update Of May 12 2004 GENERAL PREDICTION DJI
AVERAGES The bubble is rising
steadily. The DJI finished December
Day 1 at 10,590.22 up
about $40 from November 17 at 10,549.57.
WATCH THIS VERY CAREFULLY – SO FAR OIL COULD STILL RISE
RATHER THAN FALL – WAR IN THE MIDDLE EAST IS THE PRIMARY FACTOR DRIVING OIL
UP IN PRICE AND ACCELERATING THE DECLINE IN THE DOLLAR. WHAT SHOULD HAPPEN:
Eventually oil prices should drop and allow the bubble to inflate some
more. Another factor is the weakening dollar. As the dollar drops AND the stock values
remain constant, So it is all a complex equation which could go sideways at
any moment. THE MAIN PROVISO IS AL
QAEDA. When they strike in the The main
weakness in the international economy is that THE BUSH ADMINISTRATION IS SO
INCOMPETENT THAT NO INTERNATIONAL ACTOR KNOWS HOW TO BE RATIONAL AND MAKE
REAL DECISIONS. EVERYTHING IS HEDGED
AND HIDDEN. All news on the war fronts
is terrible. The dollar closed today at 0.7486 down almost another TWO CENTS from 0.7672 per euro a week
ago. We have lost about six cents
during the past 60 days. But with the
rise in interest rates and the decrease in oil prices, it is clear that the
value of the dollar is being stabilized.
Don’t expect much drop for the remainder of the year. The dollar may actually gain a bit for a
brief time. “As oil goes up, the dollar will tend also to go
down against the Euro.” OIL IS STABLIZING IN THE It also appears that retail energy prices are stabilizing
at the current retail prices. But
expect a steady if slow creep of prices upward all through 2005, with faster
relative increases for some basic commodities and imports to reflect rapidly
rising international costs, which will still accelerate in response to the
rise in energy costs this past six months. MUST READ: “The Dollar Panics” in “The Coming Economic Collapse of 2006”,
which lays out the dynamics of what is happening |
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SURVIVAL WATCH For latest info, see the Earth Changes Bulletin
Update as of July
7, 2004 Any aspect of the construction and home
products industry is hot. |
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SIGN OF THE TIMES: Ken Lay, who is now widely described as the biggest corporate swindler of all time, is still scott free. (ONE OF THE WORST ECONOMIC TERRORISTS OF ALL TIME). But now finally after waiting for two or so years, Lay has been indicted. Notice the timing, near the end of the first term of the Bush Administration. At this time I will hazard the guess that he will be pardoned by Bush during the final days of his administration, probably December of this year. ANOTHER NEARLY EQUAL SIGN OF THE TIMES: The lawyers who have been settling the Enron collapse for all parties, are billing the remaining net assets of Enron for approximately $1 billion for their services. This is a new heavenly-ordained definition for the term Chutzpah. I CALL IT CLASS ECONOMIC TERRORISM. |
POLITICAL WATCH For general overview on the Tragedy in For general background: see
Earth Changes Bulletin Update As Of July 7 2004 WHAT WILL HAPPEN NEXT IS
ANYONE’S GUESS. American politics has never been so unpredictable but maybe
it has all been foreseen….even 400 years ago.
Many who would will a great change are depressing in deep pessimism.
Despite a year of exposing the grave crimes of the Imperial Faction and the
incompetence of their President, a majority of Americans WHO VOTE refuse to
believe that conditions have become so corrupt. They insist on drawing their blinders more
tightly around their favorite illusions. In this they are so well aided
and abetted by a crony Mass Broadcast Media which has chosen to abjectly
shill the fantasies and delusions of a upper class bubble of “attitude”. While Iraq explodes, Republican crooks burn
black ballots, and Canadians mount such an unwelcome that Bush cannot
actually visit Canada (only pretend to visit in staged events surrounded mainly
by stage props), TV anchors feed us a ceaseless, nauseating diet of
speculation about the penalties in the Luci Peterson Murder case, as non news
as news is ever non. For a time yet, important truths
must remain an orphan in the street.
Currently the orphan is WANDERING THE STREETS OF OHIO AND FLORIDA, AND
OCCASSIONALLY IN A DOZEN OTHER LOCALES, with VOTESCAM 2004 written across its
blazer. The vote scams were done so
brazenly and so amateurishly, they STINK, OBVIOUSLY. THIS IS CRUCIAL. In a multitude of places and ways, the
essential immaturity and incompetent greed of the Imperial Faction and its
allies break above the surface of Illusion to demonstrate extensive crookery
in the election process. Dozens of stories and professionally attested documentation
now floods the iway, providing circulation to tens of millions of people
around the world in a direct, honest, unfiltered way which was IMPOSSIBLE TO
EVEN CONCEIVE TEN YEARS AGO. We are very lucky the cohorts of
the Imperial Faction have been so brazen.
They have alerted the world and half the Americans to the existence of
a malevolent class of somewhat amateurish crooks within the heart of the
current ruling political cliques. THIS MAY MAKE ALL THE DIFFERENCE IN THE WORLD. WHAT A FABULOUS TEST OF THE NEW IWAY
MEDIA. The people assembled, so to
speak, get to directly assay the evidence.
FOR GOD’S SAKE GO FOR IT.
HISTORY IS TWISTING IN THE BREEZE, GO GIVE IT A TURN IN THE DIRECTION
OF HONESTY AND INTEGRITY. If you push it, eventually this will break into
the Courts and eventually Grand Jury proceedings will be undertaken. Nixon’s thieving trickery and lies were
ultimately broken by Congress, when finally leading Republicans realized that
they couldn’t hide away his crookedness and obvious abuse of power. Bush may well be broken by the much
larger VOTESCAM scandal, but it will not be through the Congress at first. It is now too corrupted and unresponsive to
people and media pressures. Like small
children, today’s vastly over-privileged political class in power believes
that all you have to do is believe in your exalted status and all the
problems will go away to hang out with the homeless. THE COURTS AND GRAND JURY PROSECUTIONS IN
LOCAL GOVERNMENT JURISDICTIONS OFFER THE MOST DYNAMIC MECHANISM FOR BREAKING
VOTESCAM 2004. As this unfolds, which
may take the greater part of 2005, the Republican Party may eventually
disintegrate with old conservatives and neocom factions coming out into open
warfare with each other. Finally in a
convulsive political month, if this comes to pass, the old-fashioned Conservatives will bolt
the Republican party as it is currently constituted and align with Democrats
to oust the most hated and crooked administration in U.S. History by invoking
impeachment proceedings. AT ALL COSTS THE PEOPLE MUST NOT ALLOW
THEMSELVES TO BE PERSUADED THAT FEDERAL COURTS PREVAIL. UNDER THE TRADITIONAL FEDERALISM STRUCTURE,
THERE IS NO COMPELLING RIGHT OF FEDERAL COURTS TO DICTATE OUTCOMES IN THIS
MATTER. ONLY LOCAL COURTS AND
LEGISLATURES RULE THE VOTING ISSUE, EXCEPT IN REGARD TO CIVIL RIGHTS OF
MINORITIES. BUT THIS IS TRUMPED BY THE
BLACKS, WHO WILL BE THE PRIMARY LITIGANTS FOR FORCING RECOUNTS AND NEW
ELECTIONS IN GO FOR IT REVEREND JESSE JACKSON. THIS IS YOUR MOMENT IS HISTORY. SEIZE
IT. SHOVE THE IMPERIAL JUNTA’S SNOOTY
GARBAGE BACK INTO ITS FILTHY FACE. Though it is important to try to block
the certification of the electors in the crooked states of But in the meantime, as previously
observed, Ralph Nader, many of Kerry’s lawyers and agents, Jesse
Jackson, and other public interest groups are aggressively seeking to block
the certification of the elections.
They are attempting to prove many different cases of the Diebold
VOTESCAM as well as other forms of election cheating. During the second week of December the
electoral college meets to formally cast their votes for President. Those who want to prove that at least some
elections were “crooked” have to be able to convince a court before then to
block the certification of the elections in their state. Only by court order at this point will
anyone be able to prevent fraudulently-elected
electors from being seated for the final tabulation. Proven fraud, for example, may
be able to block the certification of Unless there is a new election
conducted in And if they did act
independently, they might still split right down the middle. Or if they come
up with a winner with a clear absolute majority, it is likely the nation’s
legal system and the House of Representatives would be at war with each
other, all seeking to change the outcome in January by refusing to accept the
electoral college, or seeking to overturn it in some New York lawyer way. This could keep the uncertainty
going for several months, a crisis of complete stalemate. Is such likely? Don’t ask me,
but many would prefer such a situation. It is possible, and the fraud involved
would entirely justify stalemating the electoral process as a prelude to
shaking the crap out to make it right.
The Under such conditions, honest
men eventually must end up becoming criminals to protect themselves from the
incursions of crooked government and crooked lawyers. Far better to have no such government which
can function to persecute honest people. Interestingly enough, a psychic
predicted this stalemate some fifteen years ago….a time of complete electoral
stalemate which was only resolved with agreement to elect an entirely
different person. Nominally based on a
Nostradamus quatrain, the psychic reader claimed to talk directly with
Nostradamus to receive an authoritative translation and interpretation of
many of Nostradamus’s predictions which refer to our time. I have previously shied away from
Nostradamus, but this psychic’s work with Nostradamus has some very credible
components to it, not least of which is that the conditions and revelations
of fact during the past five years were eerily predicted 15 years ago through
this person. Some key notes to the predicted stalemate: an embattled President facing “Watergate”
type suspicions of subterfuge, an election so blockaded by manipulations,
intense ideological stalemate, and lawyers, that the Congress would have to
meet to try to resolve the deadlock, ultimately selecting a compromise
“third” individual…. …sound familiar to anyone? Was 2000 just the prolegomena to
the coming deadlock? (I will post much more info
about this psychic in a short while). PROJECTED POLITICAL
FUTURES: Uncertainty for two more
weeks, possibly for several more months amidst rapidly deteriorating
conditions. The highest possible outcome –
stalemating the Imperial Faction with a Kerry amidst a tragic ending to the
horrible blunders in The lowest possible outcome - more probable than
not....another four years of political struggle, bitterness, the
loss of more political and individual rights, continued declassing and
economic deterioration, and a growing general civil upheaval which takes many
forms…in the midst of a nation which is virtually ostracized from most of the
remainder of the world…and the forces of Jihad reaching greater ascendancy in
the Middle-East. |
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A new media now arrives, floating down the river Iway, and
with it comes a new consciousness of the world and the lies which have driven
so much of the past 50 years…. From this, the future will arise as the old world slowly
collapses. All else is fluid, in transition. Thank God Almighty! |
THE STRATEGIC SITUATION – Final
Synopsis CONDITIONS IN ARE IN EXTREME CRISIS The entire world continues to witness the American impasse
in We can already see at work the
aggressive moves of the Imperial Faction to ready the A major consolidation of power
is now underway. The new CIA director, who is assuming de facto control of
all Porter Goss is George Herbert Walker Bush’s old Skull and
Bones Yale frat buddy from way back in the days when the CIA WAS Skull and
Bones…who do you think is now in fact running the CIA once again? People who believe in extreme secrecy in
very discrete service to the inner circles of a small aristocracy of entitled
people. If you think we are shut out
now, you t’aint seen nuttin yet. Thus in certain ways, “Poppy” is back in the saddle again…the Bush Crime
Family, its plutocratic allies, and the Imperial Faction is closer than ever
with dominance over the CIA, NSA, the Pentagon, the FBI. A major turnover in the CIA will soon stuff it with Yassha
Men. And the same fate is in store for
the State Department under the diktat of Condeleeza Rice. The international competence of the Meanwhile the semi-tragic Powell
falls by the wayside and all of the powers of the State Department are
brought directly into the control of the Imperial Faction through the
appointment of Condeleeza Rice as Secretary Of State. The one true act of service Powell could
give the country and the world would be to reveal the truth of the past 40
years, beginning with his conduct in Vietnam while white-washing My Lai. If the fool could find it in himself to fall
on his sword he could find a true grace in history’s remembrance. But I suspect that the man is too
conflicted in bogus cants to get anything right. He will leave the stage of history as a
thoroughly discredited liar and fool, even if he retains a good enough
schtick to fleece right wing evangelical and business groups for tens of
thousands per “motivational” speech. The departure of Ashcroft is
extremely bad news. Ashcroft was crazy
but his replacement is insane, a deep core sociopath who finds nothing to
dislike in Nazi-like rationales for hidden torture chambers and Soviet style
gulags in which people disappear forever.
Shades of the Gestapo and Heinrich Himmler,
now Bush gives us for Attorney General the man who wrote the legal doctrines
for Al Ghraib, Gitmo, and other sociopath hidey holes for nouveau torture. The As these prime players and
others are moved into position, the Imperial Faction consolidates its control
with or without the understanding of George Bush. With only slight luck, they will be able
to appoint “made men” into the Supreme Court and complete a generational
seizure of all aspects of the U.S. Government. Working with their key allies in
the Black Arts Nation and the hidden cabal of plutocratic families on the
East Coast which predominately controls it, inner groups will be able to
employ even more aggressively their gangs of right wing street enforcers to
intimidate independent media and naive people at various non-violent
demonstrations while creating bogus “violence” to bad rap the demonstrators. As well, they will have even greater
ability to shut off the political careers of upstarts who promote the wrong
issues and agendas. And if they get away with the
theft of the current elections by hacking the voting machines and the
electronic process of tabulating the totals together, it is doubtful that
most crucial elections in the country will ever be “won” by the majority of
people again. All in all, the year 2004/05 is
parallel with approx. 1934/35. The fascist nightmare in As previously observed, as a consequence of the widely
unexpected Bush reelection, several massive reaction waves have been set in
motion. One of the most important
reaction waves is among political state policymakers throughout …Not since the production of technology was
outsourced. (You dumb clucks)… Another reaction wave is at a more fundamental human
level. The increasing violence in Falluja, which the Sorcerers in the Mass Broadcast Media
tout as a great victory, provides little sense of confidence. There cannot be said to be a victory when
one successfully slaughters all the fish in a barrel with a machine gun. One
speaks in terms of butchery, not victory. Scenes from Falluja appear to reveal that
the U.S. military still confuses saving a city with destroying it…more and
more glimpses of MyLai can be seen as hyped up, drugged up, hair-trigger
soldiers shoot at anything that moves…more and more the ceaseless propaganda
phrases of surgical strikes, precision targeting, highly disciplined, highly
skilled operations can be seen largely for what it is, wishful thinking by
incompetent pipe-dreamers in Washington DC which ends up as unmitigated
horseshit in operation. And every soldier past and present knows and understands….sadly
some of them are so confused they think they like it. It most certainly seems fair to conclude that a discredited
Army engagement doctrine pounds away at densely settled urban zones with
exceptional violence. The results please no one and simply increase the
polarization of world dynamic forces into greater opposition. The time is quickly coming when the
American military simply is not going to be welcome anywhere at any level in
most of the world. And the answer for all this is at least partly obvious, an
extremely self-centered piker too cheap to do real war…using high explosives
and extreme fear (instead of skill and people) to pacify and occupy a country
without a clue to how real men have successfully conducted pacification
operations in peace among many peoples in many places and times. But the damage seems done, far too deep to
contain…unless…an accommodation can be made to progressively isolate and
transform the conditions. It is now
doubtful with the Sunni, but it could be done with the Kurds and the
Shiites…even now at this late date.
But it most likely cannot be done with the Imperial Faction who have
seized so much control in The next Democratic administration in the Bottom line: All the King’s Men got mugged by
a swindling crook named Chalabi, who sold the New World Order Emperor the
equivalent of the To claim this prize, the Mass
Broadcast Media began beating the war drums and the “Good German” Americans
goose-stepped to war. One thousand three
hundred and counting Americans died in vain, along with some 100,000 Iraqis, and
some 10,000 As things stand now, sometime in 2005, Americans will beat
a hasty retreat, under the pretext of some contrived imaginary political fig
leaf, and we will see the last helicopter evacuation from Iraq...finishing
the historical parallel of this Tragedy with the Tragedy of Vietnam. If so, it will be the beginning of the end of both the
American Century and the U.S. Constitution. A generation of upheaval and grievous
conflict will ensue before the Americans can repose themselves and their
society on a sounder basis. FOR THE
LASTEST SUMMARY BRIEFING ON THE SITUATION AND THE WAY OUT OF IT, GO TO “A
Letter To The Generals: Saving Iraq
and Saving The U.S.” FOR
A PDF VERSION, CLICK HERE. HERE IS
THE AN AUTHENTIC ISLAMIC MORAL AUTHORITY IS ARISING AND IS
BEGINNING TO FORGE A COALITION TO UNIFY THE ARRANGEMENTS WILL BE FORGED BY JANUARY. MORE PROBABLE THAN NOT, THE MULLAHS WILL
ARRANGE THE ELECTION OF A GOVERNMENT WHICH ASSERTS ITS SOVEREIGNTY AND ASKS
THE PASS THE
WORD: THIS IS HOW IT WILL END IN Michael Wells Mandeville, |
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